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At least 1,135 records · Page 63
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Bayesian Cloud Property Retrievals from ARM Active and Passive Measurements

The optimum use of the continuous measurements of thermodynamics, radiation, aerosols, clouds and precipitation from the DOE Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program is key to achieve the DOE Atmospheric System Research (ASR)’s objectives. One of the key mission requirements is to retrieve cloud and precipitation properties, as well as vertical motion parameters, along the vertical cross- section defined by the profiling active sensors. Such retrievals are challenging to perform continuously in the entire spectrum of cloud and precipitation conditions due to the large natural microphysical and dynamical variability, the often-limited information content in the measurements, and the lack of proper characterization of measurement quality and uncertainty. Today, the acquisition of new remote and in-situ sensors by the ARM program creates opportunities to address the microphysical retrieval problem by exploiting new, more robust retrieval techniques and integrating various scattered advancements in both sensor techniques and retrieval algorithms. During this project, we constructed a robust Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) cloud property retrieval algorithm that includes a state of the art radar forward model. Our MCMC-based retrieval produces both the best estimate of height-resolved cloud and precipitation properties in the radar profile, as well as an estimate of the in-cloud vertical motion and turbulence. In addition, the MCMC algorithm automatically produces robust and flexible estimates of retrieval uncertainty. We tested the algorithm on several synthetic cloud profiles obtained from large eddy simulation (LES) models with bin-resolved microphysics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Carbon Block Density

Within the framework of the Neutron Target Demonstrator about 1 m 3 of reactor grade graphite is available at LANSCE. In order to evaluate its suitability as a moderator, knowledge about the exact density is important, since it strongly affects the average time neutrons spend in the volume. The graphite is available in different shapes. A brief analysis was done on three different carbon blocks to determine the density of the material as well as the uncertainty in that measurement.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigating 1- and 2- Body Interference in Neutrino Interactions with ACHILLES

Understanding neutrino oscillations can help us answer some of the universe s most fundamental questions like: Why is there more matter than antimatter? Neutrino-nucleus cross-sections (probability of neutrino interactions with nuclei) are a leading uncertainty in the measurements of neutrino oscillations. To meaningfully determine scattering parameters, measurements must be supported by robust theoretical modeling, which can be provided via event generators. In this poster, we use ACHILLES to investigate the interference term between 1-body (1p1h) and 2- body (2p2h) processes where a neutrino interacts with one or two nucleon(s).

Serumaga, Peera [UC, San Diego]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Investigating Interference Term in DUNE & SBND Neutrino Interactions with ACHILLES

Understanding neutrino oscillations can help us answer some of the universe’s most fundamental questions like: Why is there more matter than antimatter? Neutrino-nucleus cross-sections (probability of neutrino interactions with nuclei) are a leading uncertainty in the measurements of neutrino oscillations. To meaningfully determine scattering parameters, measurements must be supported by robust theoretical modeling, which can be provided via event generators. In this poster, we use ACHILLES to investigate the interference term of neutrino interactions with both DUNE-ND and SBND flux configurations [1] [2]. The interference term is the quantum amplitude interference resulting from 1p1h or 2p2h neutrino-nucleon interactions, and isn't modeled in current industry standard event generators.

Serumaga, Peera [UC, San Diego (main); Fermilab]↗
DOE OSTI2026

AI-driven Neutrino Beam Diagnostics for Next-Generation Neutrino Experiments

The accelerator-driven beam uncertainty limits oscillation measurements in long-baseline neutrino experiments. Spill-resolved beam diagnostics and real-time inference are necessary to address these neutrino flux systematics. As such, we present a machine-learning-based beam monitoring framework developed and validated using data from the T2K experiment. Our approach uses downstream, spill-by-spill muon monitor observables to predict upstream parameters such as proton beam position and width. We achieve high predictive accuracy on nominal runs, demonstrating robust baseline performance whether the model is trained on stable runs or systematically varied conditions. The framework is designed to be robust against domain shifts, allowing the neural network architectures and inference strategies developed with T2K data to be retrained and validated using LBNF simulations, with the goal of eventual deployment under real LBNF/DUNE operating conditions. This scalable approach to real-time beam inference offers a pathway toward reducing flux systematics for next-generation neutrino experiments such as DUNE.

Aney, Noah [Fermilab; U. Chicago (main)]↗
DOE OSTI2022

On the Response of a Herschel–Bulkley Fluid Due to a Moving Plate

In this paper, we study the boundary-layer flow of a Herschel–Bulkley fluid due to a moving plate; this problem has been experimentally investigated by others, where the fluid was assumed to be Carbopol, which has similar properties to cement. The computational fluid dynamics finite volume method from the open-source toolbox/library OpenFOAM is used on structured quad grids to solve the mass and the linear momentum conservation equations using the solver “overInterDyMFoam” customized with non-Newtonian viscosity libraries. The governing equations are solved numerically by using regularization methods in the context of the overset meshing technique. The results indicate that there is a good comparison between the experimental data and the simulations. The boundary layer thicknesses are predicted within the uncertainties of the measurements. The simulations indicate strong sensitivities to the rheological properties of the fluid.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Observations with the Differential Speckle Survey Instrument. X. Preliminary Orbits of K-dwarf Binaries and Other Stars

This paper details speckle observations of binary stars taken at the Lowell Discovery Telescope, the WIYN telescope, and the Gemini telescopes between 2016 January and 2019 September. The observations taken at Gemini and Lowell were done with the Differential Speckle Survey Instrument (DSSI), and those done at WIYN were taken with the successor instrument to DSSI at that site, the NN-EXPLORE Exoplanet Star and Speckle Imager (NESSI). In total, we present 378 observations of 178 systems, and we show that the uncertainty in the measurement precision for the combined data set is ∼2 mas in separation, ∼1°–2° in position angle depending on the separation, and ∼0.1 mag in magnitude difference. Together with data already in the literature, these new results permit 25 visual orbits and one spectroscopic-visual orbit to be calculated for the first time. In the case of the spectroscopic-visual analysis, which is done on the ternary star HD 173093, we calculate masses with a precision of better than 1% for all three stars in that system. Twenty-one of the visual orbits calculated have a K dwarf as the primary star; we add these to the known orbits of K-dwarf primary stars and discuss the basic orbital properties of these stars at this stage. Although incomplete, the data that exist so far indicate that binaries with K-dwarf primaries tend not to have low-eccentricity orbits at separations of one to a few tens of astronomical units, that is, on solar system scales.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Photometry of Outer Solar System Objects from the Dark Energy Survey. I. Photometric Methods, Light-curve Distributions, and Trans-Neptunian Binaries

We report the methods of and initial scientific inferences from the extraction of precision photometric information for the >800 trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs) discovered in the images of the Dark Energy Survey (DES). Scene-modeling photometry is used to obtain shot-noise-limited flux measures for each exposure of each TNO, with background sources subtracted. Comparison of double-source fits to the pixel data with single-source fits are used to identify and characterize two binary TNO systems. A Markov Chain Monte Carlo method samples the joint likelihood of the intrinsic colors of each source as well as the amplitude of its flux variation, given the time series of multiband flux measurements and their uncertainties. A catalog of these colors and light-curve amplitudes A is included with this publication. We show how to assign a likelihood to the distribution q(A) of light-curve amplitudes in any subpopulation. Using this method, we find decisive evidence (i.e., evidence ratio <0.01) that cold classical (CC) TNOs with absolute magnitude 6 < H$_{r}$ < 8.2 are more variable than the hot classical (HC) population of the same H$_{r}$, reinforcing theories that the former form in situ and the latter arise from a different physical population. Resonant and scattering TNOs in this H$_{r}$ range have variability consistent with either the HCs or CCs. DES TNOs with H$_{r}$ < 6 are seen to be decisively less variable than higher-H$_{r}$ members of any dynamical group, as expected. More surprising is that detached TNOs are decisively less variable than scattering TNOs, which requires them to have distinct source regions or some subsequent differential processing.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2024

Multiscale assessment of North American terrestrial carbon balance

Abstract. Comparisons of carbon uptake estimates from bottom-up terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) to top-down atmospheric inversions help assess how well we understand carbon dioxide (CO2) exchange between the atmosphere and terrestrial biosphere. Previous comparisons have shown varying levels of agreement between bottom-up and top-down approaches, but they have almost exclusively focused on large, aggregated scales (e.g., global or continental), providing limited insights into reasons for the mismatches. Here we explore how consistency, defined as the spread in net ecosystem exchange (NEE) estimates within an ensemble of TBMs or inversions, varies with at finer spatial scales ranging from 1∘×1∘ to the continent of North America. We also evaluate how well consistency informs accuracy in overall NEE estimates by filtering models based on their agreement with the variability, magnitude, and seasonality in observed atmospheric CO2 drawdowns or enhancements. We find that TBMs produce more consistent estimates of NEE for most regions and at most scales relative to inversions. Filtering models using atmospheric CO2 metrics causes ensemble spread to decrease substantially for TBMs, but not for inversions. This suggests that ensemble spread is likely not a reliable measure of the uncertainty associated with the North American carbon balance at any spatial scale. Promisingly, applying atmospheric CO2 metrics leads to a set of models with converging flux estimates across TBMs and inversions. Overall, we show that multiscale assessment of the agreement between bottom-up and top-down NEE estimates, aided by regional-scale observational constraints is a promising path towards identifying fine-scale sources of uncertainty and improving both ensemble consistency and accuracy. These findings help refine our understanding of biospheric carbon balance, particularly at scales relevant for informing regional carbon-climate feedbacks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

PaleoSTeHM v1.0: a modern, scalable spatiotemporal hierarchical modeling framework for paleo-environmental data

Abstract. Geological records of past environmental change provide crucial insights into long-term climate variability, trends, non-stationarity, and nonlinear feedback mechanisms. However, reconstructing spatiotemporal fields from these records is statistically challenging due to their sparse, indirect, and noisy nature. Here, we present PaleoSTeHM, a scalable and modern framework for spatiotemporal hierarchical modeling of paleo-environmental data. This framework enables the implementation of flexible statistical models that rigorously quantify spatial and temporal variability from geological data while clearly distinguishing measurement and inferential uncertainty from process variability. We illustrate its application by reconstructing temporal and spatiotemporal paleo-sea-level changes across multiple locations. Using various modeling and analysis choices, PaleoSTeHM demonstrates the impact of different methods on inference results and computational efficiency. Our results highlight the critical role of model selection in addressing specific paleo-environmental questions, showcasing the PaleoSTeHM framework's potential to enhance the robustness and transparency of paleo-environmental reconstructions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1973

DONAR - A computer processing system to extend ultrasonic pulse-echo testing.

A dedicated general purpose digital computer has been built on the principle of a sampled-data system to run an ultrasonic subsystem under programmed control. A most significant application is the ability to extract a signal from an interfering background. As illustrated in the paper, a 1 mm diameter transducer was used to measure the diameter of a 2.5 mm OD plastics tube with 0.4 mm wall thickness. Echoes from all four surfaces were displayed and the measurements indicated an uncertainty of less than 0.1 mm.

Lees, S.↗
NASA NTRS1973

Measurements of the dielectric properties of seawater and NaCl solutions at 2.65 GHz.

Measurements at 2.653 GHz of the dielectric properties of seawater samples collected over the world's oceans and NaCl solutions over the concentration range from 0.3 to 0.7 N have been made over the temperature range from 5.5 to 24 C to an accuracy of 0.2% in the real part of epsilon and 0.4% in the imaginary part of epsilon. The measurements demonstrate that the dielectric properties of seawater can be determined from its chlorinity alone but are substantially different from those of the 3.35 wt % NaCl solution, which has been taken in all previous work as a model for seawater. The data are presented in a form that is well fitted by a linear dependence on chlorinity. The accuracy of the measurements removes the uncertainty in the dielectric properties of seawater as a significant source of error in S-band radiometric determination of ocean surface temperature.

Ho, W.↗
NASA NTRS1977

Vacuum ultraviolet radiometry. III - The argon mini-arc as a new secondary standard of spectral radiance

A miniature argon arc has been designed and tested as a new transfer standard of spectral radiance for the wavelength range from 114 nm to 330 nm. Calibration has been performed using two primary standard sources: the hydrogen arc from 130 nm to 330 nm and the blackbody line radiator from 114 nm to 130 nm. The mini-arc provides an intense, stable, and reproducible UV continuum with dc power requirements of less than 1.5 kW. The arc characteristics have been investigated, and the sensitivity of the radiant power output to various operating parameters has been measured. The rms uncertainty in the spectral radiance is estimated to be 5.3% above 140 nm and 10.1% between 114 nm and 140 nm, due primarily to uncertainties in the primary standard sources.

Bridges, J. M.↗
NASA NTRS1977

The total hemispherical emittance of silicon-carbide coated reinforced carbon composites in the temperature range 100 K to 450 K

This paper deals with the measurement of the total hemispherical emittance of a silicon carbide coated carbon composite which is the thermal control material of the nose cone and leading edges of the Space Shuttle. In order to effect the thermal design of the spacecraft, it is desirable to have emittance data available for the temperature range 100 K to 2000 K to encompass the thermal extremes associated with orbiting and reentry conditions. Since the multiple thermal cycling associated with fifty to one hundred missions might result in substantial property changes, the data to be presented are for the low temperature regime 100 K to 450 K for both virgin material and material which was thermally treated to simulate multiple reentries. The discussion emphasizes the identification of possible sources of error in the measurement of equilibrium temperatures and the extent to which these measurement errors or uncertainties would alter the derived emittance values.

Mcgrath, J. J.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Undisturbed heat transfer data analysis on the Space Shuttle External Tank Barrel Section

The paper analyzes the existing continuum undisturbed turbulent heat transfer data on smooth models of the Space Shuttle External Tank and develops a mathematical model for theoretical prediction of heat transfer rates on the External Tank Barrel Section. Experimental data have been obtained from various wind tunnels which simulated the continuum flow regime in the Shuttle flight trajectory. The model data have been compared with theoretical predictions using realistic flow fields and well-known empirical heat transfer relationships. The results show that the predictions are good to within the experimental uncertainties of the measured data.

Praharaj, S. C.↗
NASA NTRS1979

Undisturbed flowfield and turbulent heat-transfer analysis on the Space Shuttle external tank

The paper analyzes the existing undisturbed flowfield and turbulent heat-transfer data on smooth models of the Space Shuttle external tank and extends the mathematical model for theoretical calculation of heat-transfer rates presented in an earlier paper to include both the external tank barrel and ogive sections at zero and nonzero angles of attack. Experimental data have been obtained from various wind tunnels which simulated the continuum flow regime in the Shuttle flight trajectory. The model data have been compared with theoretical predictions using realistic flowfields and well-known empirical heat-transfer relationships. The results show that the predictions are good to within the experimental uncertainties of the measured data.

Praharaj, S. C.↗
NASA NTRS1979

H/+/ and He/2+/ in the dawnside magnetosheath

Mass and energy analyses of energetic ions in the dawnside magnetosheath have been made by the energetic ion composition experiment on the ISEE-1 spacecraft over the energy range 10 eV/e to 17 keV/e. The significant observations are: the bulk flows of the H(+) and He(2+) components determined from first moments of the distributions averaged over several minutes are equal within the uncertainties of the measurement. The H(+) and He(2+) distributions are similar in that they both show temperature anisotropies with perpendicular temperature not less than parallel temperature; however, the distributions are not well characterized by temperatures derived from second moments. In at least one case high energy tails of both distributions can be characterized by an additional higher temperature component. The major difference between the H(+) and He(2+) distributions is the depletion of the low velocity (in the center of mass frame) part of the He(2+) distributions, relative to the H(+) distributions.

Peterson, W. K.↗
NASA NTRS1980

NASA-JSC ozone observations for validation of Nimbus 7-LIMS data

A series of balloon flights undertaken to validate data received from the limb infrared monitor of the stratorphere instrument aboard the Nimbus 7 satellite is discussed. Ozone data profiles, which included altitude, pressure, and mixing ratio, obtained during both ascent and descent of the balloons are reported. The measurement concept, instrumental uncertainties, and temporal variations observed for several time periods are discussed.

Robbins, D. E.↗