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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,135 records · Page 63
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Transformer coupled toroidal wave-heated remote plasma sources operating in Ar/NF 3 mixtures

Remote plasmas are used in semiconductor device manufacturing as sources of radicals for chamber cleaning and isotropic etching. In these applications, large fluxes of neutral radicals (e.g. F, O, Cl, H) are desired with there being negligible fluxes of potentially damaging ions and photons. One remote plasma source (RPS) design employs toroidal, transformer coupling using ferrite cores to dissociate high flows of moderately high pressure (up to several Torr) electronegative gases. In this paper, results are discussed from a computational investigation of moderate pressure, toroidal transformer coupled RPS sustained in Ar and Ar/NF 3 mixtures. Operation of the RPS in 1 Torr (133 Pa) of argon with a power of 1.0 kW at 0.5 MHz and a single core produces a continuous toroidal plasma loop with current continuity being maintained dominantly by conduction current. Operation with dual cores introduces azimuthal asymmetries with local maxima in plasma density. Current continuity is maintained by a mix of conduction and displacement current. Operation in NF 3 for the same conditions produces essentially complete NF 3 dissociation. Electron depletion as a result of dissociative attachment of NF 3 and NF x fragments significantly alters the discharge topology, confining the electron density to the downstream portion of the source where the NFx density has been lowered by this dissociation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Triboplasma assisted chemical conversion in granular systems: a semi-analytic model

We present a semi-analytic model for a novel plasma-assisted chemical conversion pathway using triboplasmas generated in granular flows. Triboelectric charge relaxation is a well known phenomena where the potential generated from contact charging of particles exceeds the breakdown voltage of the background gas. In this work, we extend the triboelectric charge relaxation theory to include non equilibrium plasma energy and particle balance equations to predict the formation of dissociated and excited species that act as precursors to chemical conversion, for example in plasma-assisted ammonia synthesis. Our example case study with nitrogen background gas and teflon/aluminum tribomaterial system yielded high excited nitrogen species densities per collision that are comparable to current plasma-assisted conversion pathways. We also present a regime diagram for various gases where Paschen breakdown parameters are used to determine whether triboplasmas can be formed for a given effective work-function difference between two materials. Our sensitivity studies indicate particle velocity, particle radius, solids fraction and space charge effects play a critical role in overall plasma densities and excited species production.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2026

Decomposition of methane diluted with inert gas in an RF discharge cell

Decomposition of methane using non-thermal plasmas is an attractive route for producing hydrogen-rich gases and valuable carbon nanomaterials. Understanding how plasma discharge modes influence methane decomposition in optimizing plasma-assisted chemical conversion remains unexplored. This study explores the coupling between the discharge structure and product selectivity in RF capacitively coupled discharges operating in methane/inert gas mixtures in the pressure range of 2–3 torr. Under our experimental conditions the discharge exhibits mode transitions from uniform to striated in Ar and Kr and from diffuse to contracted in Ar and Kr with <5% CH 4 . The discharges in He and Ne remained uniform under our operating conditions, and their mixtures with CH 4 remained diffuse. A 0-d model for Ar/CH 4 discharge established a threshold for contraction while also asserting the importance of Ar$^{*}_{\textrm{m}}$ in the dissociation and ionization processes. The highest degree of methane decomposition, >99.7% with the main products of acetylene and graphitized solid carbon was achieved in the contracted discharge mode for both Kr or Ar with ⩽5% CH 4 . We demonstrate that contraction can play a crucial role in the effective decomposition of methane with value-added products and that both the electronic and thermal properties of plasma gas are responsible for this effect.

RF plasma↗
DOE OSTI2021

Simulation studies of the interaction of laser radiation with additively manufactured foams

The interaction of laser radiation with foams of various porosities and low densities has been the subject of several numerical and experimental studies. In all cases, the modeling of low-Z under-dense foams as uniform gases of equivalent average density using standard radiation-hydrodynamics codes has resulted in heat-front velocities that are considerably faster than those observed experimentally. It has been theoretically conjectured that this difference may be attributed to the breakdown of the foam’s morphology, leading to a dynamics of filament expansion where the ion and electron energy partitions are significantly different from those calculated using the uniform gas model. We found that 3D computer simulations employing a disconnected representation of the foam’s microstructure which allowed for the dynamics of foam element heating, expansion, and stagnation largely supported the theoretical picture. Simulations using this model for laser experiments on under-dense 2 mg cc -1 SiO 2 aerogel foams reproduced the experimental data fairly well. We used the validated model in simulations of low-density structured foam-like materials (produced via additive manufacturing) with a variety of morphologies. We found that the log-pile configurations were consistent with the analytical propagation model of Gus’kov et al. Further validation of the model was obtained by simulating experiments performed at the Jupiter Laser Facility using the log-pile and octet-truss foam morphologies. Simulations of the foam-laser interaction using a wave propagation code showed that the microstructure was able to enhance stimulated Brillouin scattering (SBS) by concentrating the light energy into density holes. In turn, this promotes laser filamentation, reducing SBS and bringing the predicted values closer to the experimental data.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Hollow plasma structure during the breakdown phase of nanosecond pulsed pin–pin discharges generated with overvoltage

Atmospheric pressure nanosecond repetitive pulsed discharges are of interest for applications in combustion, material processing, plasma medicine and gas treatment. Here, the observation of a hollow structure at the ignition stage of such discharge in a pin–pin geometry is reported. Plasma images show that the phenomenon occurs in a variety of gases (helium, humid helium, argon and air) suggesting that it is in first approximation non-species specific. The phenomenon is investigated in detail in pure helium discharges for peak applied voltages between 3 and 6 kV and 200 ns voltage pulse duration by performing time-resolved optical emission spectroscopy measurements of electron density, gas temperature and electric field. All the measurements were performed at the mid-gap during the early stages of the discharge, near the breakdown. The transition from a homogeneous filament to a hollow structure occurs between 4 and 5 kV in helium. Electron density measurements by Stark broadening of the He I line at 492.2 nm show no significant difference in electron densities for the applied voltage between 3 and 6 kV. In all cases, a maximum electron density of about 3.5 × 10 21 m –3 was found. Electric field measurements performed by Stark polarization spectroscopy of the He I transition at 492.2 nm and of its forbidden counterpart show electric field strengths higher than the DC breakdown field of helium at atmospheric pressure consistent with the generation of the discharges with overvoltage. Moreover, a correlation between electric field values and the appearance of the hollow structure is observed and, remarkably, the phenomenon is not sensitive to the pre-ionization level (memory effect). Possible mechanisms for the phenomenon are discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Transients using low-high pulsed power in inductively coupled plasmas

Pulsed inductively coupled plasmas (ICPs) are widely deployed in the fabrication of semi-conductor devices. Pulse repetition frequencies (PRFs) of up to tens of kHz are commonly used during plasma etching for the high power densities they generate during the pulse-on period, and for their unique chemistries during the pulse-off period. The use of highly attaching halogen gases produces low electron densities during the pulse-off period, and these low density can result in instabilities, E-H transitions and ignition delays when applying power on the next pulse. To mitigate these possibilities, a low-level power environment could be maintained during “pulse-off” to moderate the minimum plasma density, therefore reducing ignition delays and enhancing plasma stability. In this work, ICPs sustained by 5 kHz pulsed power using Ar/Cl 2 mixtures at 20 mTorr were computationally investigated. For these conditions, the computed electron temperature (T e ) reaches a quasi-steady state during both the high- and low-power excitation. The model predicts that within the electromagnetic skin-depth, T e spikes to a high value during a low-to-high power modulation, and to a low value during a high-to-low power modulation. At the same time, a few cm above the substrate, there is little modulation in T e , as electron power convected from the skin depth disperses in traversing the reactor. Finally, the positive and negative spikes, and convection of transients across the reactors, are functions of power ramping time and gas mixtures.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

PISCES-RF: a liquid-cooled high-power steady-state helicon plasma device

Radio-frequency (RF) driven helicon plasma sources can produce relatively high-density plasmas (n > 1019 m -3 ) at relatively moderate powers (<2 kW) in argon. However, to produce similar high-density plasmas for fusion relevant gases such as hydrogen (H), deuterium (D) and helium (He), much higher RF powers are needed. For very high RF powers, thermal issues of the RF-transparent dielectric window, used in the RF source design, limit the plasma operation timescales. To mitigate this constraint, we have designed, built and tested a novel helicon plasma source assembly with a fully liquid-cooled RF-transparent window which allows steady state operations at high power (up to 20 kW) and successfully produces high-density plasma with both argon and H. Deionized (DI) water, flowing between two concentric dielectric RF windows, is used as the coolant. We show that a full azimuthal blanket of DI water does not prevent high-density plasma production. From calorimetry on the DI water, we measure the net heat removed by the coolant at steady state conditions. Using infra-red imaging, we calculate the constant plasma heat deposition and measure the final steady state temperature distribution patterns on the inner surface of the ceramic layer. The heat deposition pattern follows the helical shape of the antenna. We also show the consistency between the heat absorbed by the DI water, as measured by calorimetry, and the total heat due to the combined effect of the plasma heating and the absorbed RF. These results are being used to answer critical engineering questions for the 200 kW RF device materials plasma exposure experiment being designed at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory as a next generation plasma material interaction device.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Transient behavior of drift and ionization in atmospheric pressure nitrogen discharge

The fluid models are frequently used to describe a non-thermal plasma such as a streamer discharge. The required electron transport data and rate coefficients for the fluid model are parametrized using the local field approximation (LFA) in first order models and the local-mean-energy approximation (LMEA) in second order models. We performed Monte Carlo simulations in Nitrogen gas with step changes in the E/N (reduced electric field) to study the behavior of the transport properties in the transient phase. During the transient phase of the simulation, we extract the instantaneous electron mean energy, which is different from the steady state mean electron energy, and the corresponding transport parameters and rate coefficients. Our results indicate that the mean electron energy is not a suitable parameter for mobility/drift of electrons due to big difference in momentum relaxation and energy relaxation. Furthermore, the high energy threshold rates such as ionization show a strong correlation to mean electron energy. In second order models where the energy-balance equation is solved, we suggest that it would rather be appropriate to use the local electric field to find electron drift velocity in gases such as Nitrogen and the local mean electron energy to determine the ionization and excitation rates.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Electron kinetics in a positive column of AC discharges in a dynamic regime

Abstract We have performed hybrid kinetic-fluid simulations of a positive column in alternating current (AC) argon discharges over a range of driving frequencies f and gas pressure p for the conditions when the spatial nonlocality of the electron energy distribution function (EEDF) is substantial. Our simulations confirmed that the most efficient conditions of plasma maintenance are observed in the dynamic regime when time modulations of mean electron energy (temperature) are substantial. The minimal values of the root mean square electric field and the electron temperature have been observed at f/p values of about 3 kHz Torr −1 in a tube of radius R = 1 cm. The ionization rate and plasma density reached maximal values under these conditions. The numerical solution of a kinetic equation allowed accounting for the kinetic effects associated with spatial and temporal nonlocality of the EEDF. Using the kinetic energy of electrons as an independent variable, we solved an anisotropic tensor diffusion equation in phase space. We clarified the role of different flux components during electron diffusion in phase space over surfaces of constant total energy. We have shown that the kinetic theory uncovers a more exciting and rich physics than the classical ambipolar diffusion (Schottky) model. Non-monotonic radial distributions of excitation rates, metastable densities, and plasma density have been observed in our simulations at pR > 6 Torr cm. The predicted off-axis plasma density peak in the dynamic regime has never been observed in experiments so far. We hope our results stimulate further experimental studies of the AC positive column. The kinetic analysis could help uncover new physics even for such a well-known plasma object as a positive column in noble gases.

Physics↗
DOE OSTI2024

Simulating dirty bosons on a quantum computer

Abstract Quantum computers hold the potential to unlock new discoveries in complex quantum systems by enabling the simulation of physical systems that have heretofore been impossible to implement on classical computers due to intractability. A system of particular interest is that of dirty bosons, whose physics highlights the intriguing interplay of disorder and interactions in quantum systems, playing a central role in describing, for instance, ultracold gases in a random potential, doped quantum magnets, and amorphous superconductors. Here, we demonstrate how quantum computers can be used to elucidate the physics of dirty bosons in one and two dimensions. Specifically, we explore the disorder-induced delocalized-to-localized transition using adiabatic state preparation. In one dimension, the quantum circuits can be compressed to small enough depths for execution on currently available quantum computers. In two dimensions, the compression scheme is no longer applicable, thereby requiring the use of large-scale classical state vector simulations to emulate quantum computer performance. In addition, simulating interacting bosons via emulation of a noisy quantum computer allowed us to study the effect of quantum hardware noise on the physical properties of the simulated system. Our results suggest that scaling laws control how noise modifies observables versus its strength, the circuit depth, and the number of qubits. Moreover, we observe that noise impacts the delocalized and localized phases differently. A better understanding of how noise alters the observed properties of the simulated system is essential for leveraging near-term quantum devices for simulation of dirty bosons, and indeed for condensed matter systems in general.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2021

Recent progress in shattered pellet injection technology in support of the ITER disruption mitigation system*

Shattered pellet injection (SPI) has been selected as the baseline technology for the disruption mitigation (DM) system for ITER. Typical SPI utilizes cryogenic cooling to desublimate low pressure (<100 mbar) gases onto a cold zone within a pipe gun barrel, forming a cylindrical pellet. Pellets are dislodged from the barrel and accelerated using either a gas driven mechanical punch or high-pressure light-gas delivered by a fast-opening valve. SPI technology developed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory is currently deployed and operational on DIII-D, JET, and KSTAR. These SPI systems are used in experiments for physics scaling to ITER thermal mitigation and runaway electron dissipation/avoidance. The pellet sizes used for these machines are in the range of 4 to 12.5 mm in diameter with length to diameter ratios (L/D) of ~1.5. The current plan for ITER SPI is to utilize pellets that are 28.5 mm in diameter with an L/D of ~2. Furthermore, the large pellet sizes, high steady-state magnetic fields, and limitations of operating in a radiation environment render much of the current technology unusable. In addition to technology improvements, a deeper understanding of pellet material properties, formation, and release is being developed for implementation in future SPI designs, specifically ITER.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Radiation induced non-linear oscillations in ITER baseline scenario plasmas in DIII-D

Abstract This work shows how the radiation brought about by metals or metal-equivalent radiators such as Kr and Xe produces non-linear dynamics on otherwise stationary β N flattops of DIII-D ITER Baseline Scenario demonstration discharges. The Kr and Xe gases are used to reproduce the radiative loss rates of W in present machines that operate at core temperatures much lower than the expected ITER temperature. Experiments on DIII-D with injection of Kr and Xe, as well as with sources of intrinsic metals reach the range of radiated fraction values expected in the ITER core and experience slow oscillations in temperature and radiated power. In many cases of high radiated fraction, the core temperature decreases enough for the safety factor profile to rise above the 1/1 rational surface, naturally eliminating sawteeth and occasionally producing a persistent helical core. The oscillations can be reproduced by a modified Lotka–Volterra system for temperature and radiated fraction if diffusion and noise are included, which indicates that the interplay between temperature and radiation can be the main cause of the cyclic nature of the system. A new physics based model which includes equations for temperature, density and input power can also reproduce the oscillations observed in the experiments. The present results suggest that the non-linearity of the system can be increased by the inclusion of the inherently non-linear alpha heating term, which is proportional to ∼ n e 2 T i 2 , and obtains oscillations in the model when added to an otherwise more stationary system.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

First tungsten radiation studies in DIII-D’s ITER baseline demonstration discharges

Abstract ITER Baseline Scenario plasmas were studied in DIII-D using krypton and xenon gases as a proxy for the tungsten that will be present in ITER. These impurities were chosen for having the same radiative loss rate Lz as tungsten would exhibit in the hotter ITER core. Results show that the scenario with these core radiators spans the range of impurity concentration and W radiated fraction expected for ITER, and up to 50% higher values, explored at zero injected torque, as well as 1 Nm and full co-torque injection with T ∼ 3 Nm. Stationary discharges with duration >2–4 τ R are achieved with f rad ⩾ 30% leading to a reduction in confinement of ∼10%, and a comparison with real metal radiators in the same range of f rad shows that the higher Lz at the lower temperatures in these plasmas yields too pessimistic results on the survivability and performance of this scenario in ITER. Simulations of ITER power balance including W radiation show that with concentration up to three times higher than in the DIII-D plasmas the scenario can be stationary, remaining at acceptable core radiated fraction values.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Varied farm-level carbon intensities of corn feedstock help reduce corn ethanol greenhouse gas emissions

Abstract A reduction in the overall carbon intensity (CI) of a crop-based biofuel can be achieved by cutting down the CI of the biofuel’s feedstock, which in turn correlates significantly to agricultural management practices. Proposals are being made to incentivize low-carbon biofuel feedstocks under U.S. fuel regulatory programs to promote sustainable farming practices by individual farms. For such an incentive scheme to function properly, robust data collection and verification are needed at the farm level. This study presents our collaboration with U.S. private sector companies to collect and verify the corn production data necessary for feedstock-specific CI calculation at the farm level, through a carefully designed questionnaire, to demonstrate the practicality and feasibility of data collection at scale. We surveyed 71 farms that produced 0.2 million metric tons of corn grain in 2018 in a Midwestern U.S. state to obtain information on key parameters affecting corn ethanol feedstock CI, such as grain yields, fertilizer/chemical application rates, and agronomic practices. Feedstock-specific CI was calculated in the unit of grams (g) CO 2 equivalent (CO 2 e) of greenhouse gases per kilogram (kg) of corn produced. Results showed large CI variations—from 119 to 407 g CO 2 e kg −1 of corn—due to the farm-level inventory, while the production-weighted average CI for all surveyed farms was 210 g CO 2 e kg −1 , comparable to the national average CI of 204 g CO 2 e kg −1 . The nitrogen fertilizer type applied and rate were identified as key factors contributing most to CI variations at the farm level. The estimated N 2 O emissions from fertilizer and biomass nitrogen inputs to soil accounted for 51% of the overall farm-level CI and therefore need to be better monitored at farm level with high resolution. We concluded that this feedstock-specific, farm-level CI evaluation has the potential to be used to incentivize low-carbon feedstock for biofuel production.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on ambient PM 2.5 and O 3 pollution and the related health burden for 2000–2015

Global economic development and urbanization during the past two decades have driven the increases in demand of personal and commercial vehicle fleets, especially in developing countries, which has likely resulted in changes in year-to-year vehicle tailpipe emissions associated with aerosols and trace gases. However, long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on air quality and human health are not clear. In this study, we employ the Community Earth System Model in conjunction with the newly developed Community Emissions Data System as anthropogenic emission inventory to quantify the long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on ambient air quality and human health for the period of 2000–2015. Global gasoline and diesel emissions contributed to regional increases in annual mean surface PM 2.5 (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameters ≤2.5 μm) concentrations by up to 17.5 and 13.7 µg m –3 , and surface ozone (O 3 ) concentrations by up to 7.1 and 7.2 ppbv, respectively, for 2000–2015. However, we also found substantial declines of surface PM 2.5 and O 3 concentrations over Europe, the US, Canada, and China for the same period, which suggested the co-benefits of air quality and human health from improving gasoline and diesel fuel quality and tightening vehicle emissions standards. Globally, we estimate the mean annual total PM 2.5- and O 3 -induced premature deaths are 139 700–170 700 for gasoline and 205 200–309 300 for diesel, with the corresponding years of life lost of 2.74–3.47 and 4.56–6.52 million years, respectively. Diesel and gasoline emissions create health-effect disparities between the developed and developing countries, which are likely to aggravate afterwards.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Carbon flux estimates are sensitive to data source: a comparison of field and lab temperature sensitivity data

Abstract A large literature exists on mechanisms driving soil production of the greenhouse gases CO 2 and CH 4 . Although it is common knowledge that measurements obtained through field studies vs. laboratory incubations can diverge because of the vastly different conditions of these environments, few studies have systematically examined these patterns. These data are used to parameterize and benchmark ecosystem- to global-scale models, which are then susceptible to the biases of the source data. Here, we examine how greenhouse gas measurements may be influenced by whether the measurement/incubation was conducted in the field vs. laboratory, focusing on CO 2 and CH 4 measurements. We use Q 10 of greenhouse gas flux (temperature sensitivity) for our analyses because this metric is commonly used in biological and Earth system sciences and is an important parameter in many modeling frameworks. We predicted that laboratory measurements would be less variable, but also less representative of true field conditions. However, there was greater variability in the Q 10 values calculated from lab-based measurements of CO 2 fluxes, because lab experiments explore extremes rarely seen in situ , and reflect the physical and chemical disturbances occurring during sampling, transport, and incubation. Overall, respiration Q 10 values were significantly greater in laboratory incubations (mean = 4.19) than field measurements (mean = 3.05), with strong influences of incubation temperature and climate region/biome. However, this was in part because field measurements typically represent total respiration (Rs), whereas lab incubations typically represent heterotrophic respiration (Rh), making direct comparisons difficult to interpret. Focusing only on Rh-derived Q 10 , these values showed almost identical distributions across laboratory ( n = 1110) and field ( n = 581) experiments, providing strong support for using the former as an experimental proxy for the latter, although we caution that geographic biases in the extant data make this conclusion tentative. Due to a smaller sample size of CH 4 Q 10 data, we were unable to perform a comparable robust analysis, but we expect similar interactions with soil temperature, moisture, and environmental/climatic variables. Our results here suggest the need for more concerted efforts to document and standardize these data, including sample and site metadata.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Local, regional, and global adaptations to a compound pandemic-weather stress event

Global food security can be threatened by short-term extreme events that negatively impact food production, food purchasing power, and agricultural economic activity. At the same time, environmental pollutants like greenhouse gases (GHGs) can be reduced due to the same short-term extreme stressors. Stress events include pandemics like COVID-19 and widespread droughts like those experienced in 2015. Here we consider the question: what if COVID-19 had co-occurred with a 2015-like drought year? Using a coupled biophysical-economic modeling framework, we evaluate how this compound stress would alter both agricultural sector GHG emissions and change the number of undernourished people worldwide. We further consider three interdependent adaptation options: local water use for crop production, regional shifts in cropland area, and global trade of agricultural products. We find that GHG emissions decline due to reduced economic activity in the agricultural sector, but this is paired with large increases in undernourished populations in developing nations. Local and regional adaptations that make use of natural resources enable global-scale reductions in impacted populations via increased global trade.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

An uncertain future change in aridity over the tropics

Abstract An ensemble of climate models from phase six of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project shows that temperature and potential evapotranspiration (PET) are projected to increase globally towards the end of the 21st century. However, climate models show a spatially heterogeneous change in precipitation over the tropics. Consequently, future changes in aridity (a measure of water availability) are complex and location-dependent. We assess future changes in aridity using three climate models and several single-forcing experiments. Near-term (2021–2040) changes in aridity are small, and we focus instead on its long-term (2081–2100) changes. We show that the increase in greenhouse gases (GHG) primarily explains the spatial pattern, magnitude and ensemble spread of the long-term future changes in aridity. On this timescale, the effects of changes in emissions of anthropogenic aerosols are moderate compared to the effects of increases in atmospheric GHG concentrations. Model diversity in the responses to GHG concentration is large over northern Africa and North and South America. We suggest the large uncertainty is due to differences between models in simulating the effects of an increase in GHG concentrations on surface air temperature over the North Atlantic Ocean, on the interhemispheric temperature gradient, and on PET over North and South America.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗