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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,135 records · Page 63
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2015

Radical Radiation Therapy After Lung-Sparing Surgery for Malignant Pleural Mesothelioma: Survival, Pattern of Failure, and Prognostic Factors

Purpose: To prospectively assess the survival, patterns of failure, and prognostic factors in a large cohort of patients with malignant pleural mesothelioma who had undergone a novel trimodal therapeutic approach, including lung-sparing surgery, chemotherapy, and subsequent treatment with high doses of intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) to the whole hemithorax. Methods and Materials: The analysis was conducted on the data from 69 patients. Of the 69 patients, 35 underwent extended pleurectomy/decortication (P/D), with resection of the entire pleura, along with portions of the pericardium and diaphragm and 34, partial pleurectomy, defined as partial removal of parietal or visceral pleura for diagnostic purposes, leaving gross tumor behind in all cases. All patients received cisplatin/pemetrexed chemotherapy. Postoperative IMRT was delivered to the entire hemithorax, excluding the intact lung. The IMRT dose was 50 Gy in 25 fractions. Any fluorodeoxyglucose-avid areas or regions of particular concern for residual disease were given a simultaneous boost to 60 Gy. Results: The median follow-up duration was 19 months. No difference was seen in overall survival and locoregional control between the extended P/D group and the partial pleurectomy group. The 2-year overall survival was 65% and 58% in the extended P/D and partial pleurectomy groups, respectively (P=.94). Locoregional control at 2 years was 65% and 64% in the extended P/D and partial pleurectomy groups, respectively (P=.75). The predominant pattern of failure was distant: 19 patients (27.5%) developed distant metastases as the first site of relapse. Gross residual disease after surgery was significantly associated with overall survival (hazard ratio 3.45). One fatal pneumonitis was reported; 14 cases (20%) of grade 2 to 3 pneumonitis were documented. Conclusions: Radical IMRT after lung-sparing surgery and chemotherapy for malignant pleural mesothelioma leads to promising survival results and acceptable toxicity rates. The similarity of survival between patients treated with extended P/D or partial pleurectomy observed in our study is intriguing.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
DOE OSTI2016

Patterns of Failure After Radical Cystectomy for pT3-4 Bladder Cancer: Implications for Adjuvant Radiation Therapy

Purpose: In patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer, local-regional failure (LF) has been reported to occur in up to 20% of patients following radical cystectomy. The goals of this study were to describe patterns of LF, as well as assess factors associated with LF in a cohort of patients with pT3-4 bladder cancer. This information may have implications towards the use of adjuvant radiation therapy. Methods and Materials: Patients with pathologic T3-4 N0-1 bladder cancer were examined from an institutional radical cystectomy database. Preoperative demographics and pathologic characteristics were examined. Outcomes included overall survival and LF. Local-regional failures were defined using follow-up imaging reports and scans, and the locations of LF were characterized. Variables were tested by univariate and multivariate analysis for association with LF and overall survival. Results: A total of 334 patients had pT3-4 and N0-1 disease after radical cystectomy and bilateral pelvic lymph node dissection. Of these, 46% received perioperative chemotherapy. The median age was 71 years old, and median follow-up was 11 months. On univariate analysis, margin status, pT stage, and pN stage, were all associated with LF (P<.05), however, on multivariate analysis, only pT and pN stages were significantly associated with LF (P<.05). Three strata of risk were defined, including low-risk patients with pT3N0 disease, intermediate-risk patients with pT3N1 or pT4N0 disease, and high-risk patients with pT4N1 disease, who had a 2-year incidence of LF of 12%, 33%, and 72%, respectively. The most common sites of pelvic relapse included the external and internal iliac lymph nodes (LNs) and obturator LN regions. Notably, 34% of patients with LF had local-regional only disease at the time of recurrence. Conclusions: Patients with pT4 or N1 disease have a 2-year risk of LF that exceeds 30%. These patients may be the most likely to benefit from local adjuvant therapies.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
DOE OSTI2016

Patterns of Failure in Pediatric Rhabdomyosarcoma After Proton Therapy

Purpose: To report on the patterns of failure in children with rhabdomyosarcoma treated with proton therapy. Patients and Methods: Between February 2007 and November 2013, 66 children with a median age of 4.1 years (range, 0.6-15.3 years) diagnosed with nonmetastatic rhabdomyosarcoma were treated with proton therapy. Clinical target volume 1 was defined as the prechemotherapy tumor plus a 1-cm anatomically constrained margin. Clinical target volume 2 was defined as the postchemotherapy tumor (or tumor bed) plus a 0.5-cm anatomically constrained margin, further expanded to encompass potential pathways of spread, including soft tissue infiltrated with tumor at diagnosis. Results: Of the 66 children, 11 developed locally progressive disease at a median of 16 months (range, 14-32 months), for an actuarial 2-year local control rate of 88%. Among the children who progressed, median age and tumor size at diagnosis were 6.7 years (range, 0.6-16 years) and 6 cm (range, 2-8 cm), respectively. Of the recurrences, 64% and 36% were embryonal and alveolar, respectively. Disease progression was observed in 7 (64%) parameningeal, 2 (18%) head and neck (other), and 2 (18%) bladder/prostate subsites. At diagnosis, 8 of 11 patients who developed a recurrence were Intergroup Rhabdomyosarcoma Study stage 3, and all 11 were group III. Of the relapses, 100% (11 of 11) were confirmed as in-field within the composite 95% isodose line. One of the 11 patients (9%) developed a new simultaneous regional nodal recurrence outside of the previously treated radiation field. Conclusion: Early data suggest that the sharp dosimetric gradient associated with proton therapy is not associated with an increased risk of marginal failure. Routine use of a 0.5- to 1-cm clinical target volume 1/2 margin with highly conformal proton therapy does not compromise local control in children diagnosed with rhabdomyosarcoma with unfavorable risk features.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
DOE OSTI2017

Histologic Subtype in Core Lung Biopsies of Early-Stage Lung Adenocarcinoma is a Prognostic Factor for Treatment Response and Failure Patterns After Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy

Purpose: Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) has emerged as an effective treatment for early-stage lung cancer. The histologic subtype of surgically resected lung adenocarcinoma is recognized as a prognostic factor, with the presence of solid or micropapillary patterns predicting poor outcomes. We describe the outcomes after SBRT for early-stage lung adenocarcinoma stratified by histologic subtype. Methods and Materials: We identified 119 consecutive patients (124 lesions) with stage I to IIA lung adenocarcinoma who had undergone definitive SBRT at our institution from August 2008 to August 2015 and had undergone core biopsy. Histologic subtyping was performed according to the 2015 World Health Organization classification. Of the 124 tumors, 37 (30%) were a high-risk subtype, defined as containing a component of solid and/or micropapillary pattern. The cumulative incidences of local, nodal, regional, and distant failure were compared between the high-risk and non–high-risk adenocarcinoma subtypes using Gray's test, and multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated from propensity score–weighted Cox regression models. Results: The median follow-up for the entire cohort was 17 months and for surviving patients was 21 months. The 1-year cumulative incidence of and adjusted HR for local, nodal, regional, and distant failure in high-risk versus non–high-risk lesions was 7.3% versus 2.7% (HR 16.8; 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.5-81.4), 14.8% versus 2.6% (HR 3.8; 95% CI 0.95-15.0), 4.0% versus 1.2% (HR 20.9; 95% CI 2.3-192.3), and 22.7% versus 3.6% (HR 6.9; 95% CI 2.2-21.1), respectively. No significant difference was seen with regard to overall survival. Conclusions: The outcomes after SBRT for early-stage adenocarcinoma of the lung correlate highly with histologic subtype, with micropapillary and solid tumors portending significantly higher rates of locoregional and metastatic progression. In this context, the histologic subtype determined from core biopsies is a prognostic factor and could have important implications for patient selection, adjuvant treatment, biopsy methods, and clinical trial design.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
DOE OSTI2017

Prognostic Factors and Patterns of Locoregional Failure After Surgical Resection in Patients With Cholangiocarcinoma Without Adjuvant Radiation Therapy: Optimal Field Design for Adjuvant Radiation Therapy

Purpose: To identify prognostic factors and patterns of local failure in patients with cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), after surgical resection in the absence of adjuvant radiation, for optimal definition of target volumes encompassing the majority of local recurrences. Methods and Materials: A chart review was performed in patients who underwent resection for primary CCA (intrahepatic, hilar, and distal) between 1999 and 2014. Local failure was defined as recurrence in a theoretical reasonable postoperative radiation volume. This includes the cut surface of liver, biliary anastomosis, hilum, portal nodes, celiac nodes, peri-pancreatic nodes, gastro-hepatic nodes, and retroperitoneal nodes. Patients who received adjuvant radiation were excluded. Results: A total of 189 patients underwent surgical resection for CCA, of whom 145 patients had sufficient follow-up. Median follow-up was 41.6 months (95% confidence interval 35.4-48.7 months). Of the 145 cases, 102 were intrahepatic and 43 were hilar/distal CCA. Adjuvant chemotherapy was given in 38 cases (26%), of which 20 (54%) were gemcitabine-based. Eighty-six patients (59%) had a documented recurrence, of whom 44 (51%) had a locoregional component. Among patients who had a recurrence, 23 (27%) had a recurrence at the biliary anastomosis and/or cut liver surface. Twenty-eight patients (32.6%) had a recurrence in the regional lymph nodes, most prevalent in the portal (16.3%) and retroperitoneal (17.4%) lymph nodes. Univariable analysis identified tumor size, any vascular invasion, presence of satellites, stage/nodal status, and receipt of chemotherapy as significant prognostic factors of overall recurrence among intrahepatic patients. Presence of satellites, and stage 3/Nx status remained statistically significant in multivariable modeling. Conclusions: The areas at highest risk for locoregional recurrence after surgical resection for primary CCA are the biliary anastomosis/cut liver surface, portal lymph nodes, and retroperitoneal lymph nodes. Although these results need to be validated, adjuvant radiation should possibly cover these areas to maximize locoregional control.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
DOE OSTI2019

Type IV failure in weldment of creep resistant ferritic alloys: I. Micromechanical origin of creep strain localization in the heat affected zone

Creep strength enhanced ferritic (CSEF) steels containing 9-12wt% chromium have been extensively used in fossil-fuel-fired power plants. Despite their excellent creep resistance at high temperatures, premature failures (especially Type IV cracking) are often found in the fine-grained heat affected zone (HAZ) or intercritical HAZ of the welded components. This failure mode is preceded by the strain localization in the HAZ, as measured by the Digital Image Correlation (DIC) technique. The present work aims to develop a finite-element based computational method to determine the micromechanical and microstructural origin of the strain localization phenomenon. We construct a two-dimensional digital microstructure based on the actual microstructure of ferritic steel weldments by using the Voronoi-tessellation method, to account for the effects of its large grain-size gradients. A mechanism-based finite element method is developed for modeling the high temperature deformation resulting from a synergy of thermally activated dislocation movements, diffusional flow and grain boundary sliding. The numerical results agree well with the strain measurements by our DIC technique, particularly revealing the effect of pre-welding tempering on the evolution of strain localization in HAZ of creep resistant steel weldments. It is found that the diffusional creep with dependence on grain sizes, dislocation creep with dependence on material strength, and more importantly, grain boundary sliding, contribute synergistically to the creep strain accumulation in the HAZ, and their relative degree of significance is quantified. The creep rupture life will be investigated in the companion paper.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Failure analysis and design principles of silicon-based lithium-ion batteries using micron-sized porous silicon/carbon composite

Significant progresses have been made to overcome the fundamental challenges in silicon (Si)-based lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). However, much less work have been reported on the design and failure analysis these batteries for practical applications. In this work, we analyzed various cell design parameters affecting the performance of pouch cells using micron-sized porous Si with nano-pore structure and coated by pitch-carbon (p-Si/C). The correlation among particle level, electrode level, and cell level properties, especially the effect of electrode density on the volumetric capacity density of Si anode and full batteries have been systematically investigated. It is found that the corrosion of p-Si/C particle surface is the main failure mechanisms on the eventual capacity loss, while Li plating on anode electrode surface is the main reason for the fast capacity loss in later stage of cycling. The volumetric capacity of Si anode highly depends on both electrode density and the Si content. Moreover, the prelithiation of Si anodes is found to increase energy density while decreasing cycle life of Si-based full cells. Finally, the pathways and strategies for adoption of micron-sized p-Si/C anodes in LIBs have been proposed for their practical applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2024

A mechanistic interpretation of Nelson curves for PVP failures under high temperature hydrogen attack

As an empirically established design criterion, Nelson curves that relate the service temperature and the allowable hydrogen partial pressure have been developed and utilized for more than sixty years in pressure vessels and piping (PVP) safety design. Despite a relatively clear thermodynamic understanding of the high-temperature-hydrogen-attack (HTHA) problem, the detailed fracture process on the microstructural length scales, however, remains elusive, and a quantitative assessment of the PVP lifetime under HTHA from the available creep fracture dataset is still not possible. This work develops a microstructure-informed and micromechanics-based model by incorporating a synergy between hydrogen transport and intergranular-cavity-based fracture process. Based on the available creep lifetime data of C-0.5Mo steels, we are able to calibrate material constitutive parameters, and then conduct nonlinear finite element simulations that reveal a real-time stress-induced hydrogen diffusional transport along grain boundaries, coupled with a microstructure-explicit failure process, from which Nelson curves can be computed. Such failure analyses allow us to delineate two distinct regimes on the Nelson curves, i.e., dislocation-creep-controlled or grain boundary diffusion-assisted cavity growth. More importantly, we found that a small change of the pipe thickness and applied stresses can significantly shift these lifetime curves. However, these two parameters are usually not provided in Nelson curves, thus limiting their usage in material selection and safety design. In conclusion, this discrepancy can clearly be mitigated by extensive parametric studies from our micromechanical modeling/simulation framework.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2015

Modeling the effect of laser heating on the strength and failure of 7075-T6 aluminum

The effect of rapid laser heating on the response of 7075-T6 aluminum has been characterized using 3-D digital image correlation and a series of thermocouples. The experimental results indicate that as the samples are held under a constant load, the heating from the laser profile causes non-uniform temperature and strain fields, and the strain-rate increases dramatically as the sample nears failure. Simulations have been conducted using the LLNL multi-physics code ALE3D, and compared to the experiments. The strength and failure of the material was modeled using the Johnson–Cook strength and damage models. Here, in order to capture the response, a dual-condition criterion was utilized which calibrated one set of parameters to low temperature quasi-static strain rate data, while the other parameter set is calibrated to high temperature high strain rate data. The thermal effects were captured using temperature dependent thermal constants and invoking thermal transport with conduction, convection, and thermal radiation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

A comprehensive review on the loss of wellbore integrity due to cement failure and available remedial methods

With the recent abrupt fluctuations in oil pricing and the need of complying with environmental and social requirements, nowadays it is an urgent call for the oil and gas industry to produce the hydrocarbon without any loss as well as in a safe manner. Cements are placed in the annular space of casing to provide zonal isolation in between wellbore and surface during the operational life cycle of the well or even after the abandonment. But this is not what happens most of the time. Cement degrades or loses its integrity through debonding either from the casing or formation and generates cracks or fractures due to varied reasons throughout the life of the well. Multiple causes contribute to the loss of wellbore integrity – either by physical, mechanical, or chemical processes. These failures lead to sustained casing pressure (SCP) and contamination of surrounding environment. To combat this issue or to restore the well integrity, multiple remedial actions have also been either implemented in the industry or proposed based on experimental research to prevent the damage or to seal the leakage in the cement sheath. Here, this paper will provide an extensive review of the underlying reasons of cement failure and the available remedial actions to minimize the loss of well integrity issue. These information are not only useful to know about the different corrective options available for us to implement in industry but also it will provide us a knowledge base regarding how we can enhance the performance of the exiting systems to battle the cement integrity problem more efficiently.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2023

Identifying human failure events (HFEs) for external hazard probabilistic risk assessment

In recent years, several advancements in nuclear power plant (NPP) probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) have been driven by increased understanding of external hazards, plant response, and uncertainties. However, major sources of uncertainty associated with external hazard PRA remain. One important source is how risk-significant human actions that are carried out to enable plant response and recovery from natural hazards cause the close coupling of physical impacts on plants and overall plant risk during these hazard events. This makes human reliability and human-plant interactions important elements to consider in resolving PRA gaps in external hazards. One of the challenges in considering human response in external hazard probabilistic risk assessment (XHPRA) is that most existing human reliability analysis (HRA) models were not developed for assessing actions outside the control room (termed ex-control room actions) and hazard response. To support this new scope, HRA models will need to be developed or modified to support identification of human activities, causal factors, and uncertainties inherent in external hazard response, thereby providing insights regarding event timing and physical event conditions as they relate to human performance. In this study, there are two main objectives: (1) evaluate the applicability of an existing cognitive-based HRA method, Phoenix, to ex-control room actions, and (2) identify sources of uncertainty to be characterized or reduced in order to make this method suitable for XHPRA. The first step of such work is performed by assessing the suitability of existing HRA methods to support identifying human failure events (HFEs) for human response to flooding hazards. These HFEs are human actions or inactions that are involved in human responses to flooding hazards and could contribute to the loss of a critical function for the plant in the scenario being examined. Here, in this work, decomposition analyses using the cognitive-based Phoenix HRA model are used to identify HFEs. The Phoenix method was found to be suitable for analyzing ex-control room actions as well as identifying specific HFEs and underlying crew failure modes (CFMs). However, the method's suitability for use in ex-control room actions would benefit from expanding the available CFMs to accommodate a larger variety of physical and communication tasks.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Optimizing the location and configuration of disaster resilience hubs under transportation and electric power network failures

Natural disasters often result in failures of transportation network components and blackouts that imperil the wellbeing of vulnerable populations. In response to these events, resilience hubs have been proposed as a pre-disaster planning strategy to improve access to critical services. This paper introduces an optimization-based approach to locate and configure electric power-generating resilience hubs considering the possibility of failures in transportation and electric power systems. The model's objective is to identify hub locations and configurations that maximize transportation accessibility to the hubs and maximize the satisfaction of basic energy needs through hub-generated electric power. Besides a budget constraint, the model accounts for limits on the levels of hub energy generation vis-à-vis community energy demands, and on the transportation network distance of communities to hubs. Three heuristics are presented for the proposed planning problem. The first heuristic is a genetic algorithm (GA) with problem-specific solution generation procedures. The other two heuristics implement greedy search techniques. Numerical experiments were conducted, using data from rural Puerto Rico, to illustrate the application of the proposed model and heuristics, and examine their performance. In the numerical experiments, the GA heuristic found better solutions than the greedy heuristics. Additionally, design solutions consisting of spatially dispersed hubs with low energy generation capacity were better than solutions with spatially concentrated high-capacity hubs. Lastly, across a wide range of hub demand scenarios, only a small number of candidate hub locations consistently ranked among the best locations for establishing a hub.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2017

The role of cardiac energy metabolism in cardiac hypertrophy and failure

In mammalian heart, incessant production of cellular energy is vital for maintaining continuous mechanical pumping function providing the body for oxygen and nutrients. To ensure this essential function, cardiac muscle adapt to increased energy demand or compromised energy supply by reprogramming the network of genes whose products are necessary to match the production of energy to consumption. Failure in this regulation leads to severe cardiac dysfunction and has been associated with cardiac pathogenesis including cardiac hypertrophy, failure and diabetes. Metabolic adaptations are induced by network of transcriptional pathways that are activated by a variety of factors such as hormones, nutrients, second messengers and oxygen. The metabolic phenotype of the heart is maintained by pathways controlling transcriptional regulators, which include peroxisome proliferator-activated receptors, estrogen-related receptors and nuclear respiratory factors, as well as their common coactivator protein peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor γ coactivator 1. These central regulators of gene expression are complemented with factors such as hypoxia inducible factor 1, which is activated in insufficient oxygenation of the tissue. Here, we discuss how these pathways relate to the cardiac metabolism and how they interact with pathways controlling the contractile phenotype of the heart. - Highlights: • Energy metabolic changes are associated with cardiac adaptation and pathogenesis. • Cardiac energy substrate utilisation is controlled by complex transcriptional networks. • Transcriptional pathways controlling heart metabolic and contractile phenotype overlap.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Investigation of the Failure of Marcus Theory for Hydrated Electron Reactions

Reactions of the hydrated electron with a wide variety of substrates have been found to exhibit unusually similar activation energies in a manner incompatible with Marcus electron transfer theory. Given the fundamental linear response assumption of Marcus theory, one possible explanation for this apparent failure is that the underlying free energy surfaces governing the reactions are not harmonic, i.e., hydrated electron structural fluctuations exhibit non-Gaussian behavior. In this work, we test this hypothesis by using simulations to calculate the hydrated electron vertical detachment energy distribution. Furthermore, we consider both cavity and non-cavity models for the hydrated electron, between which the actual hydrated electron behavior is expected to lie. Our results identify a possible origin for non-Gaussian behavior of the hydrated electron, but show that it is not of sufficient magnitude to explain the failure of Marcus theory to describe its reactions. Thus, other explanations must be sought.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

From Filamentary Failure to Durable Halide Perovskite Memristors

Halide perovskites have emerged as promising materials for memristive devices. While their pronounced electrochemical reactivity and fast ionic mobility enable numerous advantages including low-voltage operation and fast switching, the same features also render perovskite-based memristors vulnerable to metallic shunts and poor endurance, limiting their practical applications. Here, we elucidate both the resistive switching and failure mechanisms in perovskite memristors with a fluorine-doped tin oxide (FTO)/methylammonium lead triiodide (MAPbI3)/Ag structure and demonstrate a strategy to substantially enhance device durability. As opposed to commonly invoked filamentary mechanisms, electrical, structural, and spectroscopic analyses reveal that resistive switching arises from interfacial barrier modulation by reversible Ag redox reactions that drive electrochemical doping/dedoping within the perovskite. Device failure, however, originates from metallic Ag0 filamentation that ultimately forms permanent conductive pathways. Introducing an ultrathin Al2O3 interlayer at the inert-electrode interface improves device endurance by more than 30-fold, exceeding 15,000 switching cycles, without compromising other performance metrics. Interfacial characterization indicates that the Al2O3 layer modifies wettability of Ag deposits, promoting planar island growth rather than through-film filamentation. These findings establish a clear link between interfacial electrochemistry, metal precipitation behavior, and memristor reliability, highlighting inert-electrode interfacial engineering as an effective pathway toward durable perovskite-based memristors.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

High-Sensitivity DNA Aptasensors for Detecting Salivary Biomarker S100A7 in Heart Failure

Early detection of heart failure (HF) is vital for improving patient outcomes, lowering hospital readmission rates, and enabling prompt treatment. We present the first high-affinity DNA aptamer for the salivary HF biomarker S100A7 and its application in highly sensitive, noninvasive diagnostic tests. Iterative truncation of the initial 82-nt aptamer (17–82) produced a 43-nt core (17–43) with a binding affinity of 27 nM, which was further enhanced to 5.5 nM through dimerization. Biochemical and mutational studies confirmed that 17–43 adopts a G-quadruplex structure, which is essential for S100A7 recognition and resistance to enzymatic degradation in human saliva. Incorporating 17–43 into sandwich aptamer-ELISA and hybrid aptamer–antibody ELISA assays allowed detection of recombinant S100A7 in human saliva with limits of detection (LOD) of 7.4 ng mL–1 (0.6 nM) and 29 pg/mL (2.2 pM), respectively-outperforming commercial immunoassays in both sensitivity and dynamic range. The hybrid assay maintained its full performance after 2.5 months of room temperature storage. Additionally, a biolayer interferometry (BLI) sensor with 17–43 quantified S100A7 in patient saliva (n = 3), achieving a LOD of 3.2 ng mL–1 (0.3 nM) with a total assay time of less than 20 min. The aptamer’s stability, high specificity, and versatility across biosensing platforms establish it as a promising tool for noninvasive heart failure diagnostics, laying the groundwork for portable aptamer-based biosensors for multiplexed monitoring of HF biomarkers.

DNA aptamer↗
DOE OSTI2020

Preseismic Fault Creep and Elastic Wave Amplitude Precursors Scale With Lab Earthquake Magnitude for the Continuum of Tectonic Failure Modes

Tectonic faults fail in a continuum of modes from slow earthquakes to elastodynamic rupture. Precursory variations in elastic wavespeed and amplitude, interpreted as indicators of imminent failure, have been observed in limited natural settings and lab experiments where they are thought to arise from contact rejuvenation and microcracking within and around the fault zone. However, the physical mechanisms and connections to fault creep are poorly understood. Here we vary loading stiffness during frictional shear to generate a range of slip modes and measure fault zone properties using transmitted elastic waves. We find that elastic wave amplitudes show clear changes before fault failure. The temporal onset of amplitude reduction scales with lab earthquake magnitude and the magnitude of this reduction varies with fault slip. Our data provide clear evidence of precursors to lab earthquakes and suggest that continuous seismic monitoring could be useful for assessing fault state and seismic hazard potential.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Attention Network Forecasts Time-to-Failure in Laboratory Shear Experiments

Rocks under stress deform by creep mechanisms that include formation and slip on small-scale internal cracks. Intragranular cracks and slip along grain contacts release energy as elastic waves termed acoustic emissions (AE). AEs are thought to contain predictive information that can be used for fault failure forecasting. Here, we present a method using unsupervised classification and an attention network to forecast labquakes using AE waveform features. Our data were generated in a laboratory setting using a biaxial shearing device with granular fault gouge intended to mimic the conditions of tectonic faults. Here, we analyzed the temporal evolution of AEs generated throughout several hundred laboratory earthquake cycles. We used a Conscience Self-Organizing Map (CSOM) to perform topologically ordered vector quantization based on waveform properties. The resulting map was used to interactively cluster AEs. We examined the clusters over time to identify those with predictive ability. Finally, we used a variety of LSTM and attention-based networks to test the predictive power of the AE clusters. By tracking cumulative waveform features over the seismic cycle, the network is able to forecast the time-to-failure (TTF) of lab earthquakes. Our results show that analyzing the data to isolate predictive signals and using a more sophisticated network architecture are key to robustly forecasting labquakes. In the future, this method could be applied on tectonic faults to monitor earthquakes and augment early warning systems.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗