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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,135 records · Page 63
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1980

The impact of satellite soundings on the National Meteorological Center's Analysis and Forecast System - The data systems test results

Parallel analyses produced with (SAT) and without (NOSAT) the sounding data from the experimental Nimbus-6 and operational NOAA-4 satellites for two data system test periods have indicated that satellite soundings had little impact on forecast through 72 h over the Northern Hemisphere. The effect of remote temperature sounding was generally small and of inconsistent sign, i.e. beneficial in some cases, harmful in others. These positive and negative contributions averaged slightly positive for test period 6 and slightly negative for test period 5. Because of the inconsistency in sign, neither result is much of meteorological consequence. There were, however, systematic differences between the SAT and NOSAT mode analysis: the amplitude of weather systems was consistently less in the SAT mode. The reduced amplitude reflects a tendency for the satellite temperature retrievals to underestimate the spatial variance in the thermal structure of the atmosphere.

Tracton, M. S.↗
NASA NTRS2003

Tilt-Sensitivity Analysis for Space Telescopes

A report discusses a computational-simulation study of phase-front propagation in the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA), in which space telescopes would transmit and receive metrological laser beams along 5-Gm interferometer arms. The main objective of the study was to determine the sensitivity of the average phase of a beam with respect to fluctuations in pointing of the beam. The simulations account for the effects of obscurations by a secondary mirror and its supporting struts in a telescope, and for the effects of optical imperfections (especially tilt) of a telescope. A significant innovation introduced in this study is a methodology, applicable to space telescopes in general, for predicting the effects of optical imperfections. This methodology involves a Monte Carlo simulation in which one generates many random wavefront distortions and studies their effects through computational simulations of propagation. Then one performs a statistical analysis of the results of the simulations and computes the functional relations among such important design parameters as the sizes of distortions and the mean value and the variance of the loss of performance. These functional relations provide information regarding position and orientation tolerances relevant to design and operation.

Papalexandris, Miltiadis↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Robust Design Under Uncertainty of Hypersonic Inlets

The objective of this work is to optimize scramjet inlet designs under uncertainty at multiple fidelity levels. Optimizations are performed for both deterministic and stochastic conditions. For stochastic conditions, robust design is used to minimize the variance in system performance in addition to optimizing mean system performance. Uncertainty quantification is performed using non-intrusive polynomial chaos. Comparisons are made between low-fidelity analysis and high-fidelity analysis, as well as deterministic optimization and robust optimization. Results indicate that the general design trend of previous inlet optimization techniques is recovered for the external compression portion of an inlet. For the internal compression portion of an inlet, when viscous effects become more significant and boundary layer separation becomes more likely, the optimal trend departs from previous results. Multifidelity uncertainty quantification methods are found to substantially reduce the computation time of robust design while obtaining results that nearly match those of high-fidelity analysis. Robust optimization is found to decrease the standard deviation of throat Mach number by up to 40% compared to deterministic optimization. Changes in the design variables and total turning that lead to robust scramjet inlets are identified and linked back to fundamental physical principles through the theta-beta-Mach function.

Hypersonic↗
DOE OSTI2020

Probabilistic Look-ahead Contingency Analysis Integration with Commercial Tool and Practical Data

This paper presents an initial effort of integrating a smart sampling-based probabilistic look-ahead contingency analysis algorithm with General Electric (GE) Grid Solutions’ commercial energy management system (EMS) tool as a proof-of-concept for a seamless research tool integration using real world large-scale grid data. With the increasing impact of random forces such as variable generation and load, their stochastic behaviors cannot be ignored. However, the current practices are still dominated by deterministic tools. They are becoming increasingly inadequate for the future grid. The developed look-ahead contingency analysis algorithm incorporates forecast errors of variable energy and load to address the challenges brought by the increasing uncertainty of power system. The algorithm can reveal the potential violations caused by the variance of variable energy and load that are not normally detected by traditional deterministic approaches. To test its performance under practical environments ( real data with real commercial tool), significant efforts have been made to prepare test cases, modify GE EMS tool, and adapt an extreme value distribution algorithm to analyze the GE EMS’s violation-only outputs. The test results clearly demonstrate the effectiveness of the developed algorithm as new transformer violations that were not previously detected have been identified. This performance provides better situational awareness to engineers for their decision-making process under uncertainty. Moreover, with the discussion of computational performance and future work, this paper has shown a clear path for integrating the probabilistic algorithm with commercial tools to make us better equipped for the changing power system.

Modeling and simulation of power systems, constrai↗
DOE OSTI2013

Uncertainty propagation in full-core Monte Carlo depletion simulations using Serpent

The desire to accurately model the heterogeneity of the nuclear reactor environment combined with the ever more powerful computational resources have made in recent years the use of Monte Carlo method more attractive and feasible (if challenging) even for 3-D full core depletion simulation. However, in this case statistical uncertainty is combined with error propagating through the calculation from previous steps. In an effort to understand this error propagation, a numerical study was undertaken and previously reported modeling depletion of a four fuel assemblies (a 'quad'). This work extends results and analysis on a full nuclear reactor core depletion simulation where isotopics of individual fuel pins is tracked. By changing the code's initial random number seed, the data produced by a series of 19 replica runs was used to investigate the true and apparent variance in k{sub eff} and pin powers. It is hoped that this results can help to identify some common regularities in the behavior of uncertainty in several key parameters, and ultimately develop a predictive model. (authors)

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Shutdown dose rate analysis with the Shift Monte Carlo radiation transport code and modular verification workflow

Calculation of the shutdown dose rate is crucial for safe fusion reactor operations. The Rigorous-two-step (R2S) method is a method that requires connected neutron transport, activation, and gamma transport. Shift has integrated variance reduction with a deterministic solver Denovo, supports multiple geometry formats, and is scalable. These features make it an attractive transport solver choice for an R2S workflow. An R2S workflow for the Shift Monte Carlo code is developed and compared to the existing Oak Ridge National Laboratory Shutdown Dose Rate Code Suite (ORCS) workflow. Also, a Python framework for integrating two R2S workflows is developed to mix and match each step in the R2S workflow for improved collaboration and verification experience. In this study, results show that the Shift-Denovo R2S workflow and the ORCS workflow calculate the shutdown dose rate of the ITER Shutdown Dose Rate benchmark problem with an average relative error of 2.285%.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

A bi-level data-driven framework for fault-detection and diagnosis of HVAC systems

Long-term operation of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems will eventually lead to a range of HVAC system failures, resulting in excessive energy consumption and maintenance costs. Here, to avoid HVAC malfunctioning, fault detection diagnostic (FDD) is utilized as a common practice. Machine learning methods have lately received considerable interest for FDD analysis of HVAC systems due to their high detection accuracy. Meanwhile, HVAC malfunctions are regarded as rare occurrences, hence normal operating data samples are much more accessible than data samples in faulty and malfunctioning conditions. The dominating frequency of normal operation in HVAC datasets has also led to heavily biased classification algorithms within the literature. Moreover, the focus of previous literature has been on increasing the accuracy of the models which leads to a high number of false positives (misleading alarms) in the system. In order to enhance the performance of diagnostic procedures and fill the mentioned gaps, this study proposes a novel data-driven framework. A bi-level machine learning framework is developed for diagnosing faults in air handling units (AHUs) and rooftop units (RTUs) based on principal component analysis (PCA), time series anomaly detection, and random forest (RF). It is shown that PCA can reduce the dataset dimension with one principal component accounting for 95% of data variance. Also, the random forest could classify the faults with 89% precision for single-zone AHU, 85% precision for RTU, and 79% for multi-zone AHU. By proposing this framework, three persistent challenges are addressed: (I) minimizing false positives; (II) accounting for data imbalance; and (III) normal condition monitoring of equipment.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2024

Insights into Tetravalent Np Speciation in HNO 3 through Spectroelectrochemistry and Multivariate Analysis

In situ optical spectroscopy, spectropotentiometry, and multivariate analysis were applied to the Np(IV) nitrate system to better understand speciation and quantify HNO 3 concentration. Thin-layer spectropotentiometry, or spectroelectrochemistry, was leveraged to isolate and stabilize Np(IV) without compromising the solution conditions and generate representative Vis-NIR absorption spectra from 0.5 to 10 M HNO 3 and benchmark the corresponding Np(IV) molar absorptivity coefficients. Spectra were described with principal component analysis (PCA) to identify the purest Np(IV) absorbance spectra among other oxidation states [e.g., Np(V/VI)] at each acid concentration and then to identify the primary sources of variance within each Np(IV) spectrum with respect to Np(IV) nitrate complexes. Then, partial least-squares regression (PLSR) and support vector regression (SVR) models were built to predict HNO 3 concentration from the Np(IV) spectral data. The nonlinear SVR model outperformed the linear PLSR model for the HNO 3 concentration predictions. Finally, the inclusion of spectra collected in edge and center point HNO 3 concentrations in the calibration set was determined to be crucial for producing models with strong predictive capabilities. The multivariate approach used in this study makes it possible to quantify HNO 3 concentration solely based on Np(IV) absorption spectra, which is essential to quantifying processing streams in various online monitoring applications.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗
DOE OSTI2016

The hadronic corrections to muonic hydrogen Lamb shift from ChPT and the proton radius

We obtain a model independent expression for the muonic hydrogen Lamb shift. The leading hadronic effects are controlled by the chiral theory, which allows for their model independent determination. We give their complete expression including the pion and Delta particles. Out of this analysis and the experimental measurement of the muonic hydrogen Lamb shift we determine the electromagnetic proton radius: r{sub p} = 0.8412(15) fm. This number is at 6.8σ variance with respect to the CODATA value. The parametric control of the uncertainties allows us to obtain a model independent determination of the error, which is dominated by hadronic effects.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2019

Evaluation of earthquake stress parameters and its scaling during the 2016-2017 Amatrice-Norcia-Visso sequence -- Part I

The Amatrice–Norcia–Visso sequence is distinguished by complex behaviour that is somewhat atypical of main-shock–aftershock sequences, as there were multiple large main shocks that continued for months. Here, we focus on the Amatrice sequence (main shock 2016 August 24, M w = 5.97) to evaluate the apparent stress values and magnitude-dependent scaling in order to improve our knowledge of processes that control small and large earthquakes within this active region of Italy. Apparent stress is proportional to the ratio of radiated seismic energy and seismic moment, and as such, these stress parameters play an important role in hazard prediction as they have a strong effect on the observed and predicted ground shaking. We analyse 83 events of the sequence from 2016 August 24 to October 16, within a radius of 20 km from the main shock and with an M w ranging between 5.97 and 2.72. Taking advantage of the averaging nature of coda waves, we analyse coda-envelope-based spectral ratios between neighbouring event pairs. We use equations proposed by Walter et al. to consider stable, low-frequency and high-frequency spectral ratio levels which provide measures of the corner frequency and apparent stress ratios of the events within the sequence. The results demonstrate non-self-similar behaviour within the sequence, indicating a change in dynamics between the largest events and the smaller aftershocks. The apparent stress and corner frequency estimates are compared to those obtained by Malagnini and Munafò who utilized hundreds of direct S-wave spectral ratio measurements to obtain their results. Although our analysis is based only on 83 events, our results are in very good agreement, demonstrating once more that the use of coda waves is very stable and provides lower variance measures than those using direct waves. A comparison with recent Central Apennines source scaling models derived from various seismic sequences (1997–1998 Colfiorito, 2002 San Giuliano di Puglia, 2009 L'Aquila) shows that the Amatrice sequence source scaling in this study is well represented by the models proposed by Pacor et al. and Malagnini and Mayeda.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Internal Delensing of Cosmic Microwave Background Polarization B -Modes with the POLARBEAR Experiment

Using only cosmic microwave background polarization data from the polarbear experiment, we measure B-mode polarization delensing on subdegree scales at more than 5σ significance. We achieve a 14% B-mode power variance reduction, the highest to date for internal delensing, and improve this result to 22% by applying for the first time an iterative maximum a posteriori delensing method. Our analysis demonstrates the capability of internal delensing as a means of improving constraints on inflationary models, paving the way for the optimal analysis of next-generation primordial B-mode experiments.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
NASA NTRS1972

Error analysis of earth physics satellite systems

Error analysis of distant-satellite-to-close-satellite range-rate, satellite-to-sea altimetry, and ground station to satellite range are made by simulations in which observational variances are assumed, observation equations are formed, and normal equations incremented. The final normal equation matrix is inverted to obtain standard deviations and correlation coefficients. The natural parameters solved for are the broad variations of the gravity field, represented by harmonic coefficients; local variations of gravity, represented by point masses; and the departure of the sea level from the geoid, represented by area means. A standard case of a low (263 km) polar close satellite, three equatorial geosynchronous satellites, and eight ground tracking stations is set up.

Kaula, W. M.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Spectral analysis of magnetohydrodynamic fluctuations near interplanetary shocks

Preliminary results of an investigation of magnetic fluctuations seen upstream of two interplanetary shocks are presented. The spectral analysis includes calculation of the normalized reduced magnetic helicity spectrum, the normalized reduced cross-helicity spectrum, and the Alfven ratio as discussed by Matthaeus and Goldstein (1982). Minimum variance methods are used to compute wave polarization as a function of frequency. The Taylor 'frozen in flow' hypothesis is assumed to convert frequencies to wave vectors. Some of the basic properties of the waves, including the probable mode of propagation in association with both quasi-parallel forward and reverse shocks, are described. A comparison with previous results on the generation of waves at interplanetary and planetary shocks is presented.

Vinas, A. F.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Aircrew coordination and decisionmaking: Peer ratings of video tapes made during a full mission simulation

Six professionally active, retired captains rated the coordination and decisionmaking performances of sixteen aircrews while viewing videotapes of a simulated commercial air transport operation. The scenario featured a required diversion and a probable minimum fuel situation. Seven point Likert-type scales were used in rating variables on the basis of a model of crew coordination and decisionmaking. The variables were based on concepts of, for example, decision difficulty, efficiency, and outcome quality; and leader-subordin ate concepts such as person and task-oriented leader behavior, and competency motivation of subordinate crewmembers. Five-front-end variables of the model were in turn dependent variables for a hierarchical regression procedure. The variance in safety performance was explained 46%, by decision efficiency, command reversal, and decision quality. The variance of decision quality, an alternative substantive dependent variable to safety performance, was explained 60% by decision efficiency and the captain's quality of within-crew communications. The variance of decision efficiency, crew coordination, and command reversal were in turn explained 78%, 80%, and 60% by small numbers of preceding independent variables. A principle component, varimax factor analysis supported the model structure suggested by regression analyses.

Murphy, M. R.↗
NASA NTRS1991

An investigation of the detection of tornadic thunderstorms by observing storm top features using geosynchronous satellite imagery

The number of tornado outbreak cases studied in detail was increased from the original 8. Detailed ground and aerial studies were carried out of two outbreak cases of considerable importance. It was demonstrated that multiple regression was able to predict the tornadic potential of a given thunderstorm cell by its cirrus anvil plume characteristics. It was also shown that the plume outflow intensity and the deviation of the plume alignment from storm relative winds at anvil altitude could account for the variance in tornadic potential for a given cell ranging from 0.37 to 0.82 for linear to values near 0.9 for quadratic regression. Several predictors were used in various discriminant analysis models and in censored regression models to obtain forecasts of whether a cell is tornadic and how strong tornadic it could be potentially. The experiments were performed with the synoptic scale vertical shear in the horizontal wind and with synoptic scale surface vorticity in the proximity of the cell.

Anderson, Charles E.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Analysis of the heliospheric current sheet at Earth's orbit and model comparisons

IMP 8 magnetic field data for the first half of the year 1994, i.e., for about 6 solar rotations, are analyzed around regions of sector boundary crossings with the purpose of obtaining both gross- and fine-scale characteristics of the related heliospheric current sheets separating the observed sectors. For purposes of estimating the attitudes of the normals to the sector boundaries. analysis intervals (sometimes 30 min or more in length) allowing the field to fully complete an excursion of about 180 deg were used in the study, which consisted of variance analyses of the field within those intervals. The resulting boundary normals were analyzed and compared to known (generic) models of projected heliospheric current sheets and to a coronal field model for the same time period. One of the most outstanding features of the resulting ensemble of estimated boundary normals for this period is that they strongly prefer low inclinations, indicating that the observations do not support a 1 AU model that predicts a current sheet whose surface is approximately parallel with the sun's equator, such as the 'sombrero' model. They instead support a model that predicts a relatively high inclination current sheet at 1 AU. Also the normals assume a surprisingly large range of longitudes, somewhat favoring those consistent with a Parker model (45 deg and 225 deg) and/or radial alignment (0 deg and 180 deg). These boundary structures, as defined, are shown typically to be as broad as several hundred proton gyroradii, but having embedded within them very thin structures associated with stronger currents. Such thin structures have normals usually differing markedly from the gross boundary. For some crossings there are indications of a wave-like structure in the current sheet as it passed the spacecraft.

Lepping, R. P.↗
NASA NTRS2010

Direct Relationship Between Perceptual and Motor Variability

The time that elapses between stimulus onset and the onset of a saccadic eye movement is longer and more variable than can be explained by neural transmission times and synaptic delays (Carpenter, 1981, in: Eye Movements: Cognition & Visual Perception, Earlbaum). In theory, noise underlying response-time (RT) variability could arise at any point along the sensorimotor cascade, from sensory noise arising Vvithin the early visual processing shared Vvith perception to noise in the motor criterion or commands necessary to trigger movements. These two loci for internal noise can be distinguished empirically; sensory internal noise predicts that response time Vvill correlate Vvith perceived stimulus magnitude whereas motor internal noise predicts no such correlation. Methods. We used the data described by Liston and Stone (2008, JNS 28:13866-13875), in which subjects performed a 2AFC saccadic brightness discrimination task and the perceived brightness of the chosen stimulus was then quantified in a second 21FC perceptual task. Results. We binned each subject's data into quartiles for both signal strength (from dimmest to brightest) and RT (from slowest to fastest) and analyzed the trends in perceived brightness. We found significant effects of both signal strength (as expected) and RT on normalized perceived brightness (both p less than 0.0001, 2-way ANOVA), without significant interaction (p = 0.95, 2-way ANOVA). A plot of normalized perceived brightness versus normalized RT show's that more than half of the variance was shared (r2 = 0.56, P less than 0.0001). To rule out any possibility that some signal-strength related artifact was generating this effect, we ran a control analysis on pairs of trials with repeated presentations of identical stimuli and found that stimuli are perceived to be brighter on trials with faster saccades (p less than 0.001, paired t-test across subjects). Conclusion. These data show that shared early visual internal noise jitters perceived brightness and the saccadic motor output in parallel. While the present correlation could theoretically result, either directly or indirectly, from some low-level brainstem or retinal mechanism (e.g., arousal, pupil size, photoreceptor noise) that influences both visual and oculomotor circuits, this is unlikely given the earlier fin ding that the variability in perceived motion direction and smooth-pursuit motor output is highly correlated (Stone and Krauzlis, 2003, JOV 3:725-736), suggesting that cortical circuits contribute to the shared internal noise.

Liston, Dorion B.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Star Tracker Accuracy Improvement and Optimization for Attitude Measurement in Three-Axis

High precision attitude measurement systems obviate the need for the beacon from the receiver making it possible for the spacecraft to beam a laser communications signal to a ground station without the ground station advertising its location. The research presented targets new detection and estimation methods to improve the accuracy in locating stars on a focal plane detector, and an understanding of the effects of changes in the optics design parameters and aberration, including defocus, on the navigation solution itself. This understanding can lead to an optimization of the attitude solution with respect to those optics realm parameter changes. The methodology discussed includes the development of a model of a current star tracker system. Using this model, multiple algorithms are implemented, including a multi-hypothesis method (MHT), to detect and estimate the position of the stars on the focal plane detector. It will be shown that using the MHT for detection and estimation, a greater accuracy can be found for each star estimation from more traditional detection and estimation algorithms. The approach then uses the model to develop statistics of the star tracker and the attitude estimation outputs to understand the accuracy, or variance, of the system's attitude solution. This solution is repeated for a range of defocus aberration, and a lower limit to the variance of the attitude solution is shown. A Cramer Rao lower bound solution is derived for the star tracker system and the results are compared to the Monte Carlo analysis from the model and shown to correlate very well. The approach uses a star image not as a Gaussian spot on the focal plane as done in previous work, and use of an image that includes the effects of aberrations of the optic system, and the effects of under-sampling and noise from the focal plane detector as well. Analysis includes exploring a star tracker's accuracy improvement through the combination of focus error and under-sampling effects alone, possibly contradicting conventional wisdom and approaches.

Lichter, Michael J.↗