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At least 1,117 records · Page 62

A Modeling framework for flocculated cohesive sediment transport in the current bottom boundary layer

Cohesive sediment transport, where its settling velocity is controlled by the flocculation process, is a crucial component in determining biochemical cycles, fate of pollutants, and morphodynamics in many aquatic ecosystems. In this study, a modeling framework is presented to investigate how flocculation influences cohesive sediment transport in the current bottom boundary layer in dilute conditions, consistent with the calibration range of the flocculation model. From a local analysis of floc dynamics in homogenous turbulence, we identify that the floc size distribution is mainly controlled by floc cohesion and yield strength. The uncertainty in fractal dimension plays a minor role for the floc size but it influences the resulting floc density and settling velocity. The transport analysis in the current boundary layer shows that the flocculation process alters the vertical distribution of the settling velocity and hence the sediment concentration with a strong dependence on cohesion, floc yield strength, and floc structure. When the flocs are more susceptible to breaking, a well-mixed concentration profile is obtained. In contrast, for flocs with higher cohesion or yield strength, higher concentration with a sharp gradient is observed close to the bed. Overall, the settling velocity exhibits a low vertical variability within 20 % of the depth-averaged value except near the bed. Further, this suggests that using a depth-averaged settling velocity yields acceptable predictions of the sediment concentration profiles, especially for flocs with lower cohesion.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A unified ensemble soil moisture dataset across the continental United States

Abstract A unified ensemble soil moisture (SM) package has been developed over the Continental United States (CONUS). The data package includes 19 products from land surface models, remote sensing, reanalysis, and machine learning models. All datasets are unified to a 0.25-degree and monthly spatiotemporal resolution, providing a comprehensive view of surface SM dynamics. The statistical analysis of the datasets leverages the Koppen-Geiger Climate Classification to explore surface SM’s spatiotemporal variabilities. The extracted SM characteristics highlight distinct patterns, with the western CONUS showing larger coefficient of variation values and the eastern CONUS exhibiting higher SM values. Remote sensing datasets tend to be drier, while reanalysis products present wetter conditions. In-situ SM observations serve as the basis for wavelet power spectrum analyses to explain discrepancies in temporal scales across datasets facilitating daily SM records. This study provides a comprehensive soil moisture data package and an analysis framework that can be used for Earth system model evaluations and uncertainty quantification, quantifying drought impacts and land–atmosphere interactions and making recommendations for drought response planning.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

On MCNP Stochastic Volume Estimation Normalization

This paper resolves a perennial point of confusion regarding the source-weighting normalization factor recommended in the MCNP manual (𝜋⁢𝑟 2 ) to stochastically estimate the volume of a region within an enclosing inward-directed spherical surface source with radius 𝑟. The normalization factor arises from the relationship between a sphere’ s mean chord length, its volume, and the values estimated by MCNP track-length tallies. A brief derivation is given that relates these quantities and results in the stated normalization. The correctness of this factor is demonstrated by estimating the volume of a variety of convex and nonconvex volumes. A heuristic demonstration of how biasing the inward-directed source reduces the statistical uncertainty of the stochastic volume estimate is also given, but a rigorous analysis of this improvement is left as future work.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Global polarization of Λ and $\overline{Λ}$ hyperons in Au + Au collisions at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$ = 19.6 and 27 GeV

In relativistic heavy-ion collisions, a global spin polarization, 𝑃 H , of Λ and $\overline{Λ}$ hyperons along the direction of the system angular momentum was discovered and measured across a broad range of collision energies and demonstrated a trend of increasing 𝑃 H with decreasing $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$. A splitting between Λ and $\overline{Λ}$ polarization may be possible due to their different magnetic moments in a late-stage magnetic field sustained by the quark-gluon plasma which is formed in the collision. The results presented in this study find no significant splitting at the collision energies of $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$ = 19.6 and 27 GeV in the BNL Relativistic Heavy Ion Collisions Beam Energy Scan Phase II using the STAR detector, with an upper limit of 𝑃 $\overline{Λ}$ – 𝑃 Λ < 0.24% and 𝑃 $\overline{Λ}$ – 𝑃 Λ < 0.35%, respectively, at a 95% confidence level. We derive an upper limit on the naive extraction of the late-stage magnetic field of 𝐵 < 9.4 × 10 12 T and 𝐵 < 1.4 × 10 13 T at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$ = 19.6 and 27 GeV, respectively, although more thorough derivations are needed. Differential measurements of 𝑃 H were performed with respect to collision centrality, transverse momentum, and rapidity. With our current acceptance of |𝑦| < 1 and uncertainties, we observe no dependence on transverse momentum and rapidity in this analysis. Furthermore, these results challenge multiple existing model calculations following a variety of different assumptions which have each predicted a strong dependence on rapidity in this collision-energy range.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Global Microscopic Description of Nucleon-Nucleus Scattering with Quantified Uncertainties

We develop for the first time a microscopic global nucleon-nucleus optical potential with quantified uncertainties suitable for analyzing nuclear reaction experiments at next-generation rare-isotope beam facilities. Within the improved local density approximation and without any adjustable parameters, we begin by computing proton-nucleus and neutron-nucleus optical potentials from a set of five nuclear forces from chiral effective field theory for 1800 target nuclei in the mass range 12 ≤ A ≤ 242 for energies between 0 MeV < E ≲ 150 MeV. We then parameterize a global optical potential for each chiral force that depends smoothly on the projectile energy as well as the target nucleus mass number and isospin asymmetry. Uncertainty bands for elastic scattering observables are generated from a full covariance analysis of the parameters entering in the description of our global optical potential and benchmarked against existing experimental data for stable target nuclei. Since our approach is purely microscopic, we anticipate a similar quality of the model for nucleon scattering on unstable isotopes.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Interpretable machine learning-guided design of Fe-based soft magnetic alloys

Here, we present a machine learning (ML) guided approach to predict saturation magnetization (𝑀 S ) and coercivity (𝐻 C ) in Fe-rich soft magnetic alloys, particularly Fe-Si-B systems. ML models trained on experimental data reveal that increasing Si and B content reduces 𝑀 S from 1.81 T (DFT ≈ 2.04 T) to ≈1.54 T (DFT ≈ 1.56T) in Fe-Si-B, which is attributed to decreased magnetic density and structural modifications. Experimental validation of ML predicted magnetic saturation on Fe-1Si-1B (2.09 T), Fe-5Si-5B (2.01 T), and Fe-10Si-10B (1.54 T) alloy compositions further supports our findings. These trends are consistent with density functional theory predictions, which link increased electronic disorder and band broadening to lower 𝑀 S values. Experimental validation on selected alloys confirms the predictive accuracy of the ML model, with good agreement across compositions. Beyond predictive accuracy, detailed uncertainty quantification and model interpretability including through feature importance and partial dependence analysis reveal that 𝑀 S is governed by a nonlinear interplay between Fe content and early transition metal ratios, while 𝐻 C is more sensitive to processing conditions such as ribbon thickness and thermal treatment windows. The ML framework was further applied to Fe-Si-B/Cr/Cu/Zr/Nb alloys in a pseudoquaternary compositional space, which shows comparable magnetic properties to NANOMET (Fe 84.8 ⁢Si 0.5 ⁢B 9.4 ⁢Cu 0.8⁢ P 3.5 ⁢C 1 ), FINEMET (Fe 73.5 ⁢Si 13.5 ⁢B 9 Cu 1 ⁢Nb 3 ), NANOPERM (Fe 88 ⁢Zr 7⁢ B 4 ⁢Cu 1 ), and HITPERM (Fe 44 ⁢Co 44 ⁢Zr 7⁢ B 4 ⁢Cu 1 . Our findings demonstrate the potential of the ML framework for accelerated search of high-performance soft magnetic materials.

density functional theory↗

Design and Evaluation of a Ring Tension Test Grip for Remote Mechanical Testing of Irradiated Tubular Specimens

Here, the ring tension test (RTT) is a mechanical testing method for determining bulk mechanical behavior in the circumferential or hoop direction for tubular materials. The test is especially useful for testing materials with anisotropic mechanical properties, such as zirconium alloys, which are commonly used as nuclear fuel cladding. Anisotropy requires direction-specific testing to determine the hoop strength. Historically, several RTT methods and grips have been used, each method has its strengths and weaknesses, and, in all cases, the measured strength is subject to uncertainty due to variations of the testing geometry and experimental tolerances. Recent analysis has shown that grips with a hemicylindrical mandrel configuration are recommended as the most robust configuration. The two strictest aspects to be controlled are the ability to determine gage region orientation and closely matching the size of the mandrels to the test specimen. This last requirement is particularly challenging when the dimensions of the specimen vary because of environmental effects such as dimensional changes due to irradiation. This paper presents a new RTT grip designed to incorporate this mandrel shape, hold the gage at the desired orientation, be suitable for remote operation in a hot-cell environment, and be adaptable for different sizes or variations in the specimen size. The general description and the unique design features of the test specimen and grips are given in detail. The performance of the grips in mechanical testing, including in a remote hot-cell environment, is also provided.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Integrated Data Analysis to Improve Te and Zeff Measurement on NSTX-U

The multi-energy soft x-ray (ME-SXR) camera is a new concept for a fusion plasma diagnostic based on a pixelated detector with adjustable photon cutoff thresholds. It is a single, compact, solid-state detector which combines spatial and spectral sensitivity and can be configured remotely at run time, making it ideal for a fusion environment. The detector can be configured for application to a wide range of physics problems including impurity transport, electron temperature profiles, and non-thermal effects. The detector has been installed on the Madison Symmetric Torus (MST) as part of a collaboration between Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory and the University of Wisconsin–Madison to develop the technology and analysis techniques. A full diagnostic forward model of the ME-SXR diagnostic has been developed to enable analysis of the raw photon count data. This model incorporates the atomic physics underlying the plasma emission, diagnostic geometry, and detector response characteristics. Employing this model, a Bayesian analysis approach is used to extract electron temperature from the raw data. This analysis approach uses all available information, clearly quantifies prior information, and handles uncertainties transparently. The ME-SXR camera is being used to study the 3D (helical, stellarator-like) state that forms in the MST device. This helical core structure has improved energy confinement. The transition to the helical state is accompanied by a rise in electron temperature in the central part of the helical structure, but then this enhancement fluctuates. The characteristics of this fluctuation are being compared to a magneto-hydrodynamics model.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

GoldSim E-Area Low-Level Waste Facility Aquifer Zone Model Calibration Methodology

This report documents the development and calibration of the E-Area Low-Level Waste Facility (ELLWF) Gold Sim aquifer model. It provides a methodology on how a Gold Sim aquifer model can be calibrated to specific PORFLOW-based aquifer predictions. The calibration activity presented within this report focuses on the Slit Trench #06 (ST06) location that resides within the center set of Slit Trenches. This Gold Sim-based aquifer model is a generic model capable of being calibrated to any of the other trench locations within E-Area. In addition, subsequent activities (beyond the scope of this effort) will couple this GoldSim-based aquifer model to various GoldSim-based trench models, with the intent of performing stochastic analyses that couple all pertinent fate and transport processes from the ground surface up to the 100-m point of assessment (POA).

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

GoldSim E-Area Low-Level Waste Lacility Vadose Zone Model Benchmarking

This report documents the development and benchmarking of the E-Area Low-Level Waste Facility (ELLWF) GoldSim Engineered and Slit Trench (ET and ST) vadose zone models. Subsequent activities (beyond the scope of this effort) will couple the GoldSim-based vadose zone models to the GoldSim aquifer model, with the intent of performing stochastic analyses that couple all pertinent fate and transport processes from the ground surface up to the 100-m Point of Assessment (POA). The benchmarking presented within this report focuses on the Slit Trench 06 (ST06) bydrostratigraphic location that resides within the center set of slit trenches. These GoldSim-based vadose zone models are generic models capable of being benchmarked to any of the other trench locations within E-Area.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Assessment of the Effect of Prototypic High-Burnup Operating Conditions of Fuel Fragmentation, Relocation, and Dispersal Susceptibility

The US nuclear energy industry is investigating strategies that further reduce the cost of energy production by using its existing fleet of nuclear generating stations. Most nuclear power plant operating costs are associated with purchasing fresh fuel assemblies or the efficiency of the reactor core design. Material costs are typically beyond the operator’s control; however, the core design optimizations offer potential operational savings. The core design envelope available to operators is constrained by two primary regulatory criteria: an enrichment limit of 5% 235 U and a burnup limit of 62 GWD/tU. These constraints have resulted in renewed efforts by the nuclear industry to pursue extending the peak rod-average burnup beyond 62 GWd/tU. This effort will likely require additional safety analyses beyond what is currently accepted by the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission. The purpose of this work is to demonstrate a best estimate plus uncertainty pin-by-pin high-burnup loss of coolant accident analysis technique to assess full-core high-burnup fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) and identify approaches for minimizing or potentially mitigating FFRD through core design optimizations.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Measurement of the anomalous precession frequency in the Muon $g-2$ experiment at Fermilab

The muon anomalous magnetic moment, $a_\mu=\frac{g-2}{2}$, is a low energy observable that can be both measured and computed with high precision, therefore it can provide an important test of the Standard Model and it is a sensitive probe for new physics. In particular, any discrepancy between the experimental value and the theoretical prediction can be due to Beyond Standard Model physics contribution. The E989 Muon $g-2$ Experiment at Fermilab aims to measure $a_\mu$ with a precision of 140 parts per billion, four time more precisely than the previous experiment at Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL). E989 seeks to either resolve or confirm the observed discrepancy of $3.7\sigma$ between the Standard Model value and the experimental one. The $a_\mu$ measurement requires a precise determination of both the muon spin anomalous precession frequency and the average magnetic field seen by the muons as they circulate in a storage ring. The anomalous precession frequency measurement is b ased on the time distribution of high-energy decay positrons observed by 24 electromagnetic calorimeters placed around the inner circumference of the ring, while the magnetic field is constantly monitored by NMR probes. Last spring, E989 has published a new measurement of $a_\mu$ from the 2018 data-taking campaign, confirming the previous BNL value with comparable precision, bringing the discrepancy with the theoretical value to $4.2\sigma$. The candidate worked on the measurement of the anomalous precession frequency and on the estimate of the related systematic uncertainties of the 2018 data, giving an important contribution to the data analysis. The result presented in chapters 4 and 5 of this dissertation was included, among three other analyses, to determine the estimate of the anomalous magnetic moment by the Muon g-2 experiment. This work will present the anomalous precession frequency analysis technique and its result, the related systematics and finally the latest $a_\mu$ result.

Sorbara, Matteo↗

Review of thermophysical property methods applied to fueled and un-fueled molten salts

Recent investigation into designs of molten salt reactors (MSR) requires accurate data of candidate salts. Review of the literature shows lacking thermophysical (TP) property data for coolants and fuel-bearing salts of Advanced High Temperature Reactors (AHTR). Measurement uncertainties of current data are even more deficient, and this affects ongoing research where MSR modeling and testing are being performed. Melting temperature, viscosity, density, specific heat capacity, and thermal and electrical conductivity measurements are often not arranged together or discussed in great detail, especially for fuel-bearing salts. Raw data from key findings spanning over 70 years for LiF, LiF-BeF 2 , LiF-NaF-KF, KCl-MgCl 2 , KF-ZrF 4 , and NaF-KF-MgF 2 have been organized and presented here. Brief description of methods used to obtain these results, in addition to the TP data of some of these salts as fuel carriers, has also been discussed. Thermal conductivity data are particularly weak due to older, high-error measurement techniques. More recent measurement systems to evaluate salt thermal conductivity show promise for obtaining consistent absolute values. This work concludes that measurement systems such as transient hot-wire method, forced Rayleigh scattering, and laser flash analysis provide the most promise to fill these data gaps and reduce current uncertainty in thermal conductivity measurements of both fueled and un-fueled molten salts.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Predicting Thermal Performance of an Enhanced Geothermal System From Tracer Tests in a Data Assimilation Framework

Abstract Predicting the thermal performance of an enhanced geothermal system (EGS) requires a comprehensive characterization of the underlying fracture flow patterns from practically available data such as tracer data. However, due to the inherent complexities of subsurface fractures and the generally insufficient geological/geophysical data, interpreting tracer data for fracture flow characterization and thermal prediction remains a challenging task. The present study aims to tackle the challenge by leveraging a data assimilation method to maximize the utilization of information inherently contained in tracer data, and meanwhile maintain the flexibility to handle various uncertainties. A tracer data interpretation framework was proposed with the following three components integrated: (a) We use principal component analysis (PCA) to reduce the dimensionality of model parameter space. (b) We use ES‐MDA (ensemble smoother with multiple data assimilation) to invert for fracture aperture/flow fields and obtain posterior model ensembles for uncertainty quantification. Various data types are assimilated jointly to improve the predictive ability of the posterior ensemble. (c) The inverted fracture aperture fields are then incorporated into reservoir models to predict thermal performance. We developed a field‐scale EGS model to verify the ability of the framework to characterize highly heterogeneous fracture aperture/flow fields and predicting thermal performance. We also applied the framework to a mesoscale field experiment to demonstrate its potential application in real‐world geothermal reservoirs. The results indicate that the proposed framework can effectively retrieve fracture flow information from tracer data for thermal prediction and uncertainty quantification, and thus provide informative guidance for EGS optimization and risk management.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

A framework and tool for designing cost-effective, resilient, and circular net-zero supply chains under uncertainty with an application to multilayer plastic films

While 55% of Fortune 500 companies have committed to achieving net-zero emissions and/or zero-waste operations by 2035, only 2% are currently on track, revealing a critical gap between ambition and action. Designing supply chains that reduce both emissions and waste is a complex non-intuitive, multi-objective challenge, compounded by the high costs of new technologies and the need for resilient, profitable solutions. This paper aims to address this challenge by presenting a generic framework and multi-objective optimization formulation for designing cost-effective, circular, and resilient supply chains under uncertainty, implemented through a user-friendly decision-support tool with intuitive data visualization capabilities, enabling communication of results to both technical and non-technical stakeholders. We demonstrate the application of this framework in the context of multilayer plastic films (barrier films), which are widely used in food packaging and composite materials. The model quantifies trade-offs across three objectives: minimizing global warming potential, maximizing circularity, and minimizing cost. A key contribution of this work is the explicit modeling of technological resilience, the ability of supply chains to maintain function under disruption. In the cost-minimization case, the resilience constraint makes the design approximately three times more expensive in the short-term metric, but shifts the system from relying on a single recovery pathway to a portfolio of four recovery pathways, improving the robustness of the optimization solution under uncertainty. Lastly, we introduce TranZero, a decision-support tool that integrates material flow analysis, hotspot identification, and optimization-based scenario planning to support net-zero and circularity decisions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Physical-mass calculation of ρ ( 770 ) and K * ( 892 ) resonance parameters via π π and K π scattering amplitudes from lattice QCD

We present our study of the ρ ( 770 ) and K * ( 892 ) resonances from lattice quantum chromodynamics (QCD) employing domain-wall fermions at physical quark masses. We determine the finite-volume energy spectrum in various momentum frames and obtain phase-shift parametrizations via the Lüscher formalism and as a final step the complex resonance poles of the π π and K π elastic scattering amplitudes via an analytical continuation of the models. By sampling a large number of representative sets of underlying energy-level fits, we also assign a systematic uncertainty to our final results. This is a significant extension to data-driven analysis methods that have been used in lattice QCD to date, due to the two-step nature of the formalism. Our final pole positions, M + i Γ / 2 , with all statistical and systematic errors exposed, are M K * = 893 ( 2 ) ( 8 ) ( 54 ) ( 2 ) MeV and Γ K * = 51 ( 2 ) ( 11 ) ( 3 ) ( 0 ) MeV for the K * ( 892 ) resonance and M ρ = 796 ( 5 ) ( 15 ) ( 48 ) ( 2 ) MeV and Γ ρ = 192 ( 10 ) ( 28 ) ( 12 ) ( 0 ) MeV for the ρ ( 770 ) resonance. The four differently grouped sources of uncertainties are, in the order of occurrence: statistical, data-driven systematic, an estimation of systematic effects beyond our computation (dominated by the fact that we employ a single lattice spacing), and the error from the scale-setting uncertainty on our ensemble. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Sensitivity analysis of small modular reactor mPower with ATHLET

Small modular reactor (SMR) possesses the characteristics of less radioactive source term, simpler structure, modular design and features like passive safety as well as low risk of proliferation. Developed and designed by Babcock and Wilcox, the mPower reactor is one of pronouncing small modular reactors that adopts the integrated design of the pressurized water reactor, steam generator and a built-in internal control rod drive mechanism. In this paper, the code ATHLET (Analysis of fossil-hydraulics of Leaks and Transients) is used to model the mPower reactor. At the same time, the sensitivity analysis of the core structure and geometric parameters of the pipeline loop, as well as the steady-state simulation and post-exothermic simulation are carried out depending on the given scenarios. In addition, the sensitivity analysis of pressure, temperature and mass flow in the secondary loop is performed. The results of this study will mitigate some of the frequent misunderstanding in the field and will help to better understand the design of SMR and provide basic research data for further research. However, there are limitations in the current research. Considering that the mPower is still in the conceptual design, the established model is only based on the limited public data while detailed parameters are still in myth, which leads to certain level of uncertainties in the calculation. Besides, the research is mainly on the influence of sensitivity analysis under steady state conditions. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗