Evaluating Potential Benefits of Flexible Solar Power Generation in the Southern Company System
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Energy & Fuels↗
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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Understanding the Costs and Barriers of Residential Electrical Panel and Service Upgrades
Upgrading electrical panels and services in U.S. homes represents a significant barrier to building modernization, imposing considerable costs, delays, and procedural uncertainties on homeowners, contractors, utilities, and building departments. Although cost databases document individual infrastructure activities, they rarely capture the integrated, whole-project perspective required to understand how electrical upgrades are planned, executed, and regulated. Existing research is often geographically constrained, narrowly scoped, or derived from limited samples, leaving significant knowledge gaps unaddressed. This study examines the timelines and costs associated with residential electrical panel and service upgrades using data from a national cross- sectional survey conducted in summer 2025. The survey captured responses from 140 stakeholders across 34 states, including building industry professionals, utility staff, and building department staff. Findings indicate that project duration and cost increase substantially with building size though patterns vary by infrastructure type. Most single-family and small multifamily projects were completed within 30 days, whereas medium and large multifamily buildings show longer and less predictable timelines. Service rating increases modestly extend project duration, but building type and size were the primary determinants of delays. Cost patterns were similar: customer-side equipment and panel replacements scale predictably with building size, while utility-side costs are highly variable, often triggered by threshold-driven infrastructure upgrades such as transformer replacements. Permit fees vary considerably between jurisdictions but generally represent a minor proportion of total project costs. These findings identify electrical upgrades as a significant barrier to residential building costs and highlight the need for improved stakeholder coordination, streamlined permitting, and strategies that reduce upgrade requirements while maintaining safety and code compliance.
Casquero-Modrego, Nuria↗
Least-Cost Pathways for India's Electric Power Sector
The Government of India has a target of deploying 175 GW from renewable energy by 2022 and 40% of electricity capacity from renewable energy by 2030 and has indicated that ambitions for 2030 could be higher. Rapid changes in technology costs and performance could drive further deployment of wind and solar capacity beyond these policy targets. Increased deployment of variable renewable energy (VRE) raises new questions for power system planning regarding the optimal siting of generation capacity, trade-offs between generation and transmission infrastructure, and system flexibility needs. This study aims to evaluate least-cost pathways for India's electric power system over the period 2017-2047. Uniquely, this work considers an expanded planning horizon and range of scenarios not previously analyzed in national planning studies in India. The data collection and model design processes undertaken for this study provides a framework for recurring planning studies. This study finds anticipated changes in electricity demand and component costs can drive a significant shift in India's future electricity supply and how this system will be operated. In the Base scenario, the share of generation from VRE reaches 54% by 2047. Reducing the capital cost of wind has a larger impact on VRE penetration than reducing the capital cost of solar PV or battery storage. In the lowest wind cost scenario (40% capital cost decline by 2047 relative to the Base scenario), the penetration of VRE in the generation mix reaches 722%, exceeding the penetration levels achieved when the cost of battery storage or solar PV are reduced by an even greater 50%. In a future system with high penetrations of RE, capacity additions are driven by the coincidence of demand and RE generation rather than peak demand alone. This study finds the system could have surplus capacity during the peak demand months of July–September because this period corresponds to periods with high wind speeds and more wind generation available to meet peak demand. By contrast, new capacity is needed to meet demand during moderate demand months of October–November when output from wind plants falls more than 75% nationally compared to the previous two months. Finally, the success for gas for electricity production may depend on cost competitiveness rather than fuel availability. Increasing the amount of gas available for electricity production had no significant impact on the capacity or generation mix by 2047, as determined from a scenario that significantly increases fuel availability throughout the planning horizon. In fact, over 80% of new gas fuel available for the power sector remains unused. This suggests the high cost of gas plant operations relative to other technologies may constrain the expansion of gas generation in India more than fuel availability.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
One-Step Ahead Prediction of Thermal Mixing Tee Sensors with Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Neural Networks
High-temperature advanced reactors under development, such as sodium fast reactors (SFR) and molten salt cooled reactors (MSCR), are expected to offer lower levelized cost of energy (LCOE) compared to existing light water reactor (LWR’s). In the existing light water reactors (LWR’s), operation and maintenance (O&M) expenses constitute the largest fraction of the total operating cost. Some of the O&M costs are related maintenance of sensors which can fail due to exposure to harsh environment in a reactor. The O&M costs of Advanced Reactor (AR)’s are expected to constitute a significant fraction of the total cost as well, because of high temperature and radiation level in AR are likely to cause material fatigue and premature failure of sensors and components. The O&M costs in AR’s could be reduced through integration of advanced informatics of performance-related sensors into a digital twin designed for reactor monitoring. For example, machine learning (ML) could be employed for real-time validation and correction of performance-related sensors, and reducing the number of performance-related physical sensor units through virtual sensing. As part of the effort, we investigate real-time validation of thermal hydraulic sensors through one-step ahead forecasting of sensor values using long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks (RNN). The sensors are installed in a flow loop containing a thermal mixing tee, which is a common experimental model to study thermal fatigue in a thermal hydraulic loop. In addition, nonlinear transients generated in a thermal mixing tee constitute a good challenge data set for training and validation of ML algorithms. Sensors in this study include thermocouples, flow meters, and optical fibers for distributed temperature sensing. In one experiment, measurement data sets were obtained for a loop was filled with water, and in another experiment, measurements were performed on a loop filled with liquid metal Galinstan. We have also conducted preliminary investigation of one-step ahead prediction of fiber optics-based distributed temperature sensing with LSTM networks. In predicting fiber-based temperature measurements, we treated each gauge pitch of the fiber as an independent sensor. Accuracy of one-step ahead forecasting was estimated by calculating root mean square error (RMSE) for the test segment of time series of each sensor. RMSE’s for temperature sensors in water loop were, for the most part, lower than for the same sensors in Galinstan loop. The RMSE’s for flow meters were similar for both loops. The RMSE’s for distributed temperature measured with the fiber optic sensor were similar to those of the point sensors. Results of this study demonstrated the capability of LSTM one-step ahead forecasting with RMSE comparable to uncertainty in sensor measurements.
22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
A Process with Decoupled Absorber Kinetics and Solvent Regeneration through Membrane Dewatering and In-Column Heat Transfer (Final Report)
This report summarizes the work conducted on project DE-FE0031604 where University of Kentucky Center for Applied Energy (UK CAER) has validated its intensified CO 2 capture process through substantial enhancements to the kinetics of the absorption process and energy reductions by absorber temperature profile modification, dewatering and heat integration technologies for achieving significant capital and operating cost reductions. To address DOE’s objective of improving post-combustion CO 2 capture technology and reducing associated cost, UK CAER employed an intensified process which combined three key aspects targeted at overcoming inherent limitations or barriers in the conventional CO 2 capture and desorption process. The process designed to be independent of the type of solvent used, included (1) the use of 3-D printed two-channel structured packing material to control the temperature profile and increase the CO 2 absorption rate in the absorber, (2) a zeolite membrane dewatering unit for dewatering of the carbon-rich solvent to decouple solvent concentration needs for CO 2 absorption and desorption, and (3) a rich-split feed with two-phase flow heat transfer prior to the stripper that provided a secondary point of vapor generation to provide energy savings in steam extraction and solvent regeneration. The project was executed over two budget periods. This involved testing of individual process components which included the advanced heat transfer packing and the dewatering membrane on UK CAER’s 30 liter per minute (L/min) CO 2 (3” Column) capture bench unit with simulated flue gas in the first budget period. Subsequent scaled-up testing of these components together with the split-feed configuration were also tested in UK CAER’s 0.1 MWth CO 2 capture unit with coal-derived flue gas in the second-budget period. Long term studies were done during this period to assess process and solvent performance over extended duration. Project partners Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and Media & Process Technology (MPT) led the development efforts for the advanced packing material and dewatering membrane respectively. Data from the long term testing was used as input for an environmental, health and safety (EH&S) assessment for the process and scaled technology performed by ALL4 LLC. Trimeric Corporation also completed a techno-economic analysis (TEA) for the UK CAER technology which was compared to the DOE reference Case B12B. Tests on the 3” column capture unit showed that the advanced heat transfer packing could be used to lower the bulge temperature in the absorber, and this was also proven in the scaled testing in the 0.1 MWth CO 2 capture unit. The bulge temperature could be lowered by >10 °C, changing the temperature profile in the absorber, and showed potential to enhance absorption with the ability to tailor the profile to provide conditions suitable for a solvent’s properties and kinetics. Conditions for short term evaluation of a 19” zeolite dewatering membrane on the 3” column capture unit yielded desirable fluxes and sustained rejection rates of >80%. However, for the scaled testing of six membrane modules consisting of 21 parts of 31-inch-long membrane tubes in each bundle (surface area 0.3 m 2 ), over a more extended duration, similar rejection rates could not be achieved. With the split-feed of the rich stream to the stripper, improved heat recovery minimized waste heat exiting the top of the stripper. The stripper exhaust temperatures could be reduced by >10 °C; reducing the amount of water vaporization contributed to lowering the regeneration energy by ~ 15%. The energy benefit could be sustained from the long term monitoring of the solvent performance. The solvent properties were not significantly impacted over the long-term operations. The benefits of the UK CAER process demonstrated experimentally were mostly validated from the TEA comparing a commercial scale application of the technology to DOE reference Case B12B. The cost of CO 2 capture for the UK CAER technology was estimated to be ~$34.97/tonne of CO 2 captured; a reduction of 23% compared to Case B12B. The increase in cost of electricity was also shown to be 16% lower than that of Case B12B. The total parasitic demand was also shown to be 11% lower. The key drivers for the benefits are a result of the process intensification approaches employed in the UK CAER technology for enhanced solvent performance, effective heat recovery and improved energy performance. The EH&S assessment did not find any major environmental concerns or barriers to the full scale implementation of the technology.
20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
Transition Metal Oxide Powders Made from Flame Spray Pyrolysis for Li-Ion Batteries
In 2012 the U.S. Department of Energy introduced its EV Everywhere Grand Challenge, with a stated goal of enabling “plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) that are as affordable and convenient for the American family as gasoline-powered vehicles by 2022.” This requires a reduction in battery costs from the current $500/kWh to around $125/kWh. Most approaches have been to eliminate vehicle weight through lightweighting and to improve the energy density of battery materials. But what if we were able to just make the materials cheaper instead? To this end we introduce a green, low-cost method of producing cathode materials using an integrated flame spray pyrolysis process.
25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
A Novel Hollow Fiber Membrane Reactor for High Purity H 2 Generation from Thermal Catalytic NH 3 Decomposition (Final Report)
Ammonia (NH 3 ), as a promising carbon neutral liquid fuel (CNLF) and an effective H 2 source, can be synthesized from air and water (N 2 extracted from air and H 2 from water) using renewable energy sources. To produce H 2 as an intermediate, it is essential to develop effective and economic NH 3 decomposition technologies. We have been developing an innovative hollow fiber membrane reactor for high purity H 2 generation from thermal catalytic NH 3 decomposition. The objective of the proposed research is to fabricate a compact and robust prototype with high energy efficiency (>80%) to deliver high purity (>99%) H2 at high rate per volume (>0.15 g H 2 /h/cm 3 ) from NH3 decomposition at low temperature (<450 °C) and high conversion (>99%). Our overall technical approach is to effectively combine an active catalyst for NH 3 decomposition with a selective H 2 membrane separation process in a novel, compact modular system to generate high purity H 2 and simultaneously achieve high NH 3 conversion and optimize the entire system energy efficiency. This novel integrated membrane reactor design, together with low-cost, highly active Ru-based catalyst, makes it most appropriate for the project objective. The proposed applied research and development work, therefore, represents an innovative and transformational solution to H 2 generation from thermal catalytic NH 3 decomposition. During the course of our research we i) synthesized and characterized ruthenium(Ru)-based catalysts, evaluated their catalytic performance for NH 3 decomposition and optimized the catalyst composition and performance based on machine learning, ii) prepared SAPO-34, MFI membranes on α-alumina hollow fibers and measured their performance for H 2 /N 2 , H 2 /N 2 /NH 3 separation and evaluated carbon molecular sieve (CMS) and Pd/Ag membranes for H 2 /N 2 , H 2 /N 2 /NH 3 separation at different conditions, iii) designed and evaluated several types of membrane reactors for H 2 production from NH 3 decomposition, and iv) evaluated the H 2 delivery cost base on catalysts development, membrane development and membrane reactor. For 3,1,12 RuYK catalyst, H 2 productivity of 6.35 mmol/min/gcat with NH 3 conversion of 95~98% was achieved at 5 bar and 400 °C; for SAPO-34 membrane, the best membrane showed H 2 permeance of 7.56×10 -7 mol/(m 2 ∙s∙Pa) and H 2 /N 2 selectivity of 23.1 at 20 °C; For CMS and Pd/Ag membranes, both showed superior stability for 71%H 2 /24%N 2 /5%NH 3 mixture separation at 450 °C and 7 bar for over 120 h; for the membrane reactor, high H 2 purity of >99.99% with NH 3 conversion of >99.4% were achieved in Pd/Ag membrane reactor at 450 °C, and the NH 3 concentration was always below 10 ppb in H 2 product. The H 2 generation rate was calculated to be as high as 0.47 g/h/cm 3 and the energy efficiency was calculated to be 88%. The membrane reactor showed superior stability for over 370 h and high H 2 purity, H 2 production rate and NH 3 conversion. Based on calculation, the H 2 delivery cost can be as low as $3.66/kg.
08 HYDROGEN↗
Photovoltaic and Cost Analysis for Winston-Salem, North Carolina
This study assesses the feasibility of solar installations at various sites in Winston-Salem, focusing on factors such as solar resource availability, electricity costs, and rooftop area for photovoltaic systems. The analysis begins by estimating daily energy requirements based on annual electricity use, followed by adjusting for seasonal and operational fluctuations. Using regional solar data from the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB), we calculate average peak sun hours to determine effective system sizing. A parametric approach using the System Advisor Model (SAM) refines this sizing process, incorporating a safety margin of 1.2 to address demand peaks. Each PV system is designed to fit available rooftop space, and a coverage threshold of 70% is identified as optimal for maximizing cost savings and sustainability. This threshold allows installations to meet substantial energy demands, supporting energy resilience and enhancing economic returns.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Strategy to Develop a Control Scheme for Core Thermal Performance Optimization
This report outlines a three-year research plan for optimizing reactor core thermal performance through use of a Digital Twin (DT) model and a set of neutron detectors to correspondingly adapt the reactor control strategy. It identifies reactor features and achievable neutron measurements that factor into this optimization task. It considers spatial effects that are important and how they can be managed by a real-time algorithm that controls reactivity actuators. The report presents a set of tasks, along with corresponding methods, for accomplishing this objective. The final task in this set is to validate the combined optimization procedure in the Purdue University’s PUR-1 reactor, for which we have an agreement of understanding. Additionally, we describe an alternative approach for overcoming some of the limitations inherent in the above approach, which includes the computational costs of high-fidelity simulations and achievable integration of neutron measurements into the DT. The proposed algorithms lower the technology readiness level (TRL) of the overall approach as some additional analysis and the development of a new neutron detector concept are necessary. In particular, a sensor measuring the gradient of the neutron flux is required, and the prototype is expected to be validated in the PUR-1 reactor. The potential benefits and the opportunity to significantly push forward the state-of-the-art make this approach worthy of further exploration in the upcoming years.
22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
Interpretable Deep Learning for Advancing Field-Enhanced Catalysis
This DOE Early Career project developed a physics-informed, interpretable AI-and-modeling framework to understand and exploit electric-field effects in heterogeneous catalysis, with ammonia cracking and synthesis as a representative pathway. The team built and validated methods to map local electric fields on metal surfaces and nanoparticles, showing that low-coordination features (tips/edges/corners) can concentrate fields by several-fold relative to flat facets. Using DFT-generated datasets, the project created physics-guided machine learning models that rapidly predict local electric fields and field-dependent adsorption energetics with near-DFT accuracy while reducing computational cost by orders of magnitude. These predictions were integrated with microkinetic modeling to quantify how field-dipole interactions reshape reaction energetics and mechanisms, enabling large increases in predicted catalytic rates and substantial reductions in operating temperature under favorable field conditions. To accelerate discovery of earth-abundant catalysts, the project combined interpretable ML screening (with electronic-structure descriptors identified as key drivers) with a generative inverse-design workflow based on diffusion models and physics constraints. The resulting closed-loop approach, linking simulation, mechanistic modeling, and AI, provides reusable tools and datasets for designing catalysts and operating conditions in field-enhanced catalysis, with broad relevance to electrostatic catalysis, plasma catalysis, electrocatalysis, and other energy-related chemical transformations.
30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗
Prognosis of Wind Turbine Gearbox Bearing Failures Using SCADA and Modeled Data
Predictive maintenance and condition monitoring systems for wind turbines have seen increased adoption to minimize downtime, reducing operation and maintenance costs. On today’s wind power plants, the integrated supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system provides low- frequency operational data that can be leveraged to quantify a wind turbine’s health. The aim of this study is to utilize machine-learning techniques to predict axial cracking failures in wind turbine gearbox bearings up to 1 month ahead of time. The failures are assumed to have occurred when the investigated bearing was replaced. While current SCADA systems show the overall condition of a wind turbine, often they do not allow for the investigation of specific gearbox bearings’ health. To enrich bearing fault signatures, additional data are computed through physics-based models using gearbox design information. Based on SCADA data, modeled data, and bearing failure log data from an actual wind plant, the performances of different machine-learning models on unseen data are then evaluated using industry-standard metrics such as precision, recall, and F1 score. Results show the overall system performance enhancement in predicting bearing failure when modeled data are included with SCADA data. The reduction in terms of false alarms is about 50%, and improvement in terms of precision and F1 score is about 33% and 12% respectively, based on the best modeling case in this study.
49 EE - Wind and Water Power Program - Wind (EE-4W↗
Integrated electronics for the space shuttle
Integrated electronics for NASA space shuttle program, discussing costs, configurations and technologies application
Gardiner, R. A.↗
Memory reduction through higher level language hardware
Application of large scale integration in computers to reduce size and manufacturing costs and to produce improvements in logic function is discussed. Use of FORTRAN 4 as computer language for this purpose is described. Effectiveness of method in storing information is illustrated.
Kerner, H.↗
Integrated operations/payloads/fleet analysis (executive summary)
The Integrated Operations/Payloads/Fleet Analysis predicts total national space program costs and launch vehicle traffic assuming either an expendable, a partially reusable or a fully reusable launch vehicle fleet. The payload system costs are estimated and reported for each payload program at the subsystem level, payload program level, user level and national level, providing complete system cost traceability. The analysis determines the primary changes to be expected for space payload programs and space operations in the space shuttle era. When the space shuttle becomes fully operational, not only will launch costs be reduced but refurbished satellite units will be flown instead of new units and maintenance will be performed on failing satellites. It is possible to implement the concepts of satellite refurbishment and maintenance because of the space shuttle's capability to retrieve and return payloads to the earth's surface. The two-way satellite transportation capability is extended to high energy orbits by use of the space shuttle/space tug combination.
Source record↗
Performance potential of combined cycles integrated with low-Btu gasifiers for future electric utility applications
A comparison and an assessment of 10 advanced utility power systems on a consistent basis and to a common level of detail were analyzed. Substantial emphasis was given to a combined cycle systems integrated with low-Btu gasifiers. Performance and cost results from that study were presented for these combined cycle systems, together with a comparative evaluation. The effect of the gasifier type and performance and the interface between the gasifier and the power system were discussed.
Nainiger, J. J.↗
Non-parametric PCM to ADM conversion
An all-digital technique to convert pulse code modulated (PCM) signals into adaptive delta modulation (ADM) format is presented. The converter developed is shown to be independent of the statistical parameters of the encoded signal and can be constructed with only standard digital hardware. The structure of the converter is simple enough to be fabricated on a large scale integrated circuit where the advantages of reliability and cost can be optimized. A concise evaluation of this PCM to ADM translation technique is presented and several converters are simulated on a digital computer. A family of performance curves is given which displays the signal-to-noise ratio for sinusoidal test signals subjected to the conversion process, as a function of input signal power for several ratios of ADM rate to Nyquist rate.
Locicero, J. L.↗
Study of advanced electric propulsion system concept using a flywheel for electric vehicles
Advanced electric propulsion system concepts with flywheels for electric vehicles are evaluated and it is predicted that advanced systems can provide considerable performance improvement over existing electric propulsion systems with little or no cost penalty. Using components specifically designed for an integrated electric propulsion system avoids the compromises that frequently lead to a loss of efficiency and to inefficient utilization of space and weight. A propulsion system using a flywheel power energy storage device can provide excellent acceleration under adverse conditions of battery degradation due either to very low temperatures or high degrees of discharge. Both electrical and mechanical means of transfer of energy to and from the flywheel appear attractive; however, development work is required to establish the safe limits of speed and energy storage for advanced flywheel designs and to achieve the optimum efficiency of energy transfer. Brushless traction motor designs using either electronic commutation schemes or dc-to-ac inverters appear to provide a practical approach to a mass producible motor, with excellent efficiency and light weight. No comparisons were made with advanced system concepts which do not incorporate a flywheel.
Younger, F. C.↗