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At least 1,117 records · Page 62

Mapping the Extent of Mangrove Ecosystem Degradation by Integrating an Ecological Conceptual Model with Satellite Data

Anthropogenic and natural disturbances can cause degradation of ecosystems, reducing their capacity to sustain biodiversity and provide ecosystem services. Understanding the extent of ecosystem degradation is critical for estimating risks to ecosystems, yet there are few existing methods to map degradation at the ecosystem scale and none using freely available satellite data for mangrove ecosystems. In this study, we developed a quantitative classification model of mangrove ecosystem degradation using freely available earth observation data. Crucially, a conceptual model of mangrove ecosystem degradation was established to identify suitable remote sensing variables that support the quantitative classification model, bridging the gap between satellite-derived variables and ecosystem degradation with explicit ecological links. We applied our degradation model to two case-studies, the mangroves of Rakhine State, Myanmar, which are severely threatened by anthropogenic disturbances, and Shark River within the Everglades National Park, USA, which is periodically disturbed by severe tropical storms. Our model suggested that 40% (597 km2) of the extent of mangroves in Rakhine showed evidence of degradation. In the Everglades, the model suggested that the extent of degraded mangrove forest increased from 5.1% to 97.4% following the Category 4 Hurricane Irma in 2017. Quantitative accuracy assessments indicated the model achieved overall accuracies of 77.6% and 79.1% for the Rakhine and the Everglades, respectively. We highlight that using an ecological conceptual model as the basis for building quantitative classification models to estimate the extent of ecosystem degradation ensures the ecological relevance of the classification models. Our developed method enables researchers to move beyond only mapping ecosystem distribution to condition and degradation as well. These results can help support ecosystem risk assessments, natural capital accounting, and restoration planning and provide quantitative estimates of ecosystem degradation for new global biodiversity targets.

Calvin K. F. Lee

Source and Variability of Formaldehyde (HCHO) at Northern High Latitude: an Integrated Satellite, Aircraft, and Model Study

Here we use satellite observations of formaldehyde (HCHO)vertical column densities (VCD) from the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI), aircraft measurements, combined with a nested regional chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem at 0.5°×0.625° resolution), to understand the variability and sources of summertime HCHO better in Alaska. We first evaluate GEOS-Chem with in-situ airborne measurements during Atmospheric Tomography Mission 1 (ATom-1) aircraft campaign. We show reasonable agreement between observed and modeled HCHO, isoprene, monoterpenes and the sum of methyl vinyl ketone and methacrolein (MVK+MACR) in continental boundary layer. In particular, HCHO profiles show spatial homogeneity in Alaska, suggesting a minor contribution of biogenic emissions to HCHO VCD. We further examine the TROPOMI HCHO product in Alaska summer, reprocessed by GEOS-Chem model output for a priori profiles and shape factors. For the year with low wildfire activity (e.g.,2018), we find that HCHO VCDs are largely dominated by background HCHO (58-71%), with minor contributions from wildfires (20-32%) and biogenic VOC emissions (8-10%). For the year with intense wildfires (e.g.,2019), summertime HCHO VCD is dominated by wildfire emissions (50-72%), with minor contributions from background (22-41%) and biogenic VOCs (6-10%). In particular, the model indicates a major contribution of wildfires from direct emissions of HCHO, instead of secondary production of HCHO from oxidation of larger VOCs. We find that the column contributed by biogenic VOC is often small and below the TROPOMI detection limit, in part due to the slow HCHO production from isoprene oxidation under low NOx conditions. This work highlights challenges for quantifying HCHO and its precursors in remote pristine regions.

HCHO

An Interface Specification for Urban Air Mobility Performance Models to Support Air Traffic Management Research

Performance modeling of Urban Air Mobility vehicles in support of Air Traffic Management research poses new challenges. These aircraft often rely on a combination of fixed-wing and rotorcraft performance capabilities to enable a new and still-evolving concept of high-volume operations in densely populated areas. These characteristics lead to variability in performance model format and functionality, complicating model development and leading to difficulties for users integrating the models into their applications. This paper describes an interface specification for performance models that is intended to help address this issue. The interface aims to support the core functionality of performance models while also providing the necessary flexibility to both model developers and users. The specification describes the required model documentation, required inputs to the model, and required outputs from the model in general terms that are adaptable to most programming languages. The utilization of an appropriate interface specification will support the development of an Urban Air Mobility performance model database and help to improve interoperability of these models for a broad array of user applications.

Trajectory Prediction

An Interface Specification for Urban Air Mobility Performance Models to Support Air Traffic Management Research

Performance modeling of Urban Air Mobility vehicles in support of Air Traffic Management research poses new challenges. These aircraft often rely on a combination of fixed-wing and rotorcraft performance capabilities to enable a new and still-evolving concept of high-volume operations in densely populated areas. These characteristics lead to variability in performance model format and functionality, complicating model development and leading to difficulties for users integrating the models into their applications. This paper describes an interface specification for performance models that is intended to help address this issue. The interface aims to support the core functionality of performance models while also providing the necessary flexibility to both model developers and users. The specification describes the required model documentation, required inputs to the model, and required outputs from the model in general terms that are adaptable to most programming languages. The utilization of an appropriate interface specification will support the development of an Urban Air Mobility performance model database and help to improve interoperability of these models for a broad array of user applications.

Trajectory Prediction

System-Level Integration of Modular Language Models for Real-Time Risk Assessment in Third-Party Risk Management Systems

Large enterprises typically rely on dedicated teams to govern and implement security measures throughout their supply chains, ensuring compliance with enterprise security procedures. There is a significant reliance on Third-Party Risk Management (TPRM) platforms, which often require complete, highly structured information from potential vendors. The review and compliance assurance processes are time- and labor intensive, often requiring several rounds of review between the supply chain security risk management teams, business users, and potential vendors, leading to delays in the supply chain processing and consumer experience. Significant challenges in the risk management paradigm include handling unstructured data in various formats and providing real-time feedback to users to reduce the required review time. This paper presents a novel solution to these challenges. A modular multi-step system architecture is proposed using advances in language processing, specifically for unstructured responses and provides real-time feedback (i.e., 3 seconds) so that users can improve their responses before the TPSRM team review. This novel system architecture will increase information accuracy and significantly reduce time and labor during the review process.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS

Results of a Pressure Loads Investigation on a 0.030-scale Model (47-OTS) of the Integrated Space Shuttle Vehicle Configuration 5 in the NASA Ames Research Center 11 by 11 Foot Leg of the Unitary Plan Wind Tunnel (IA81A), Volume 1

Results of wind tunnel tests on a 0.030-scale model of the integrated space shuttle vehicle configuration 5 are presented. Testing was conducted in the NASA Ames Research Center 11 x 11 foot leg of the Unitary Plan Wind Tunnel to investigate pressure distributions for airloads analyses at Mach numbers from 0.9 through 1.4. Angles of attack and sideslip were varied from -6 to +6 degrees.

Chee, E.

MBSE (SysML) and Digital Twin Integration to Support Engineering Analysis & Design

Problem Statement: The complexity of Gateway systems and of managing the integrated safety analysis have made traditional methods of engineering analysis and design increasingly challenging. To address these challenges, a prototype that integrate Model-Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) with Digital Twin technology has been developed to demonstrate the utilities and functions. Project Goal: Develop a prototype of a Digital Twin Of Gateway ECLSS IMV system to enhance fault management analysis through collaboration, visualization, and simulation. Overall Project Results / Accomplishments: - Developed extension to streamline the integration of SysML models with the Digital Twin platform - Demonstrated the capability to aggregate any relevant information and provide simulation integration within the DT prototype. - Generated digital twin simulation using SysML Activity Diagrams - Implemented a complex trade study use case based on the integrated SysML-Digital Twin infrastructure

MBSE

Results of including geometric nonlinearities in an aeroelastic model of an F/A-18

An integrated, nonlinear simulation model suitable for aeroelastic modeling of fixed-wing aircraft has been developed. While the author realizes that the subject of modeling rotating, elastic structures is not closed, it is believed that the equations of motion developed and applied herein are correct to second order and are suitable for use with typical aircraft structures. The equations are not suitable for large elastic deformation. In addition, the modeling framework generalizes both the methods and terminology of non-linear rigid-body airplane simulation and traditional linear aeroelastic modeling. Concerning the importance of angular/elastic inertial coupling in the dynamic analysis of fixed-wing aircraft, the following may be said. The rigorous inclusion of said coupling is not without peril and must be approached with care. In keeping with the same engineering judgment that guided the development of the traditional aeroelastic equations, the effect of non-linear inertial effects for most airplane applications is expected to be small. A parameter does not tell the whole story, however, and modes flagged by the parameter as significant also need to be checked to see if the coupling is not a one-way path, i.e., the inertially affected modes can influence other modes.

Buttrill, Carey S.

Methodology for analysis and simulation of large multidisciplinary problems

The Integrated Structural Modeling (ISM) program is being developed for the Air Force Weapons Laboratory and will be available for Air Force work. Its goal is to provide a design, analysis, and simulation tool intended primarily for directed energy weapons (DEW), kinetic energy weapons (KEW), and surveillance applications. The code is designed to run on DEC (VMS and UNIX), IRIS, Alliant, and Cray hosts. Several technical disciplines are included in ISM, namely structures, controls, optics, thermal, and dynamics. Four topics from the broad ISM goal are discussed. The first is project configuration management and includes two major areas: the software and database arrangement and the system model control. The second is interdisciplinary data transfer and refers to exchange of data between various disciplines such as structures and thermal. Third is a discussion of the integration of component models into one system model, i.e., multiple discipline model synthesis. Last is a presentation of work on a distributed processing computing environment.

Russell, William C.

Qualitative Validation of the IMM Model for ISS and STS Programs

To validate and further improve the Integrated Medical Model (IMM), medical event data were obtained from 32 ISS and 122 STS person-missions. Using the crew characteristics from these observed missions, IMM v4.0 was used to forecast medical events and medical resource utilization. The IMM medical condition incidence values were compared to the actual observed medical event incidence values, and the IMM forecasted medical resource utilization was compared to actual observed medical resource utilization. Qualitative comparisons of these parameters were conducted for both the ISS and STS programs. The results of these analyses will provide validation of IMM v4.0 and reveal areas of the model requiring adjustments to improve the overall accuracy of IMM outputs. This validation effort should result in enhanced credibility of the IMM and improved confidence in the use of IMM as a decision support tool for human space flight.

risk assessment

The TAME Project: Towards improvement-oriented software environments

Experience from a dozen years of analyzing software engineering processes and products is summarized as a set of software engineering and measurement principles that argue for software engineering process models that integrate sound planning and analysis into the construction process. In the TAME (Tailoring A Measurement Environment) project at the University of Maryland, such an improvement-oriented software engineering process model was developed that uses the goal/question/metric paradigm to integrate the constructive and analytic aspects of software development. The model provides a mechanism for formalizing the characterization and planning tasks, controlling and improving projects based on quantitative analysis, learning in a deeper and more systematic way about the software process and product, and feeding the appropriate experience back into the current and future projects. The TAME system is an instantiation of the TAME software engineering process model as an ISEE (integrated software engineering environment). The first in a series of TAME system prototypes has been developed. An assessment of experience with this first limited prototype is presented including a reassessment of its initial architecture.

Basili, Victor R.