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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Evaluation of Engineered Barrier Systems FY20 Report

This report describes research and development (R&D) activities conducted during fiscal year 2020 (FY20) specifically related to the Engineered Barrier System (EBS) R&D Work Package in the Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign supported by the United States (U.S.) Department of Energy (DOE). The R&D activities focus on understanding EBS component evolution and interactions within the EBS, as well as interactions between the host media and the EBS. A primary goal is to advance the development of process models that can be implemented directly within the Generic Disposal System Analysis (GDSA) platform or that can contribute to the safety case in some manner such as building confidence, providing further insight into the processes being modeled, establishing better constraints on barrier performance, etc. The FY20 EBS activities involved not only modeling and analysis work, but experimental work as well. Despite delays to some planned activities due to COVID-19 precautions, progress was made during FY20 in multiple research areas and documented in this report as follows: (1) EBS Task Force: Task 9/FEBEX Modeling Final Report: Thermo-Hydrological Modeling with PFLOTRAN, (2) preliminary sensitivity analysis for the FEBEX in-situ heater test, (3) cement-carbonate rock interaction under saturated conditions: from laboratory to modeling, (4) hydrothermal experiments, (5) progress on investigating the high temperature behavior of the uranyl-carbonate complexes, (6) in-situ and electrochemical work for model validation, (7) investigation of the impact of high temperature on EBS bentonite with THMC modeling, (8) sorption and diffusion experiments on bentonite, (9) chemical controls on montmorillonite structure and swelling pressure, (10) microscopic origins of coupled transport processes in bentonite, (11) understanding the THMC evolution of bentonite in FEBEX-DP—coupled THMC modeling, (12) modeling in support of HotBENT, an experiment studying the effects of high temperatures on clay buffers/near-field, and (13) high temperature heating and hydration column test on bentonite.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Start-to-end self-consistent simulation of the UEM beamline

Addressing the preliminary design review report of the ultrafast electron microscope (UEM), start-to-end self-consistent simulations were carried out to explore fundamental aspects affecting the resolution (space-charge effects, energy spread, shot-to-shot energy jitter, contrast formation, etc.). The electron beam energy spread in the single-shot mode and the effective energy spread in the accumulation mode, equivalent to the convolution of the single-shot energy spread and shot-to-shot energy jitter, have been identified as the ultimate limits of the instrument resolution. A full self-consistent simulation from the photocathode to the detector is being performed using the GPT code to find out what resolution can be achieved. Preliminary results of the start-to-end simulations are reported in this note and the plan of further simulations is presented.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Effect of changes of physical properties on CO2 capture solvents on its absorption rate

Concern over greenhouse gas emissions, such as CO2 from fossil fuel combustion, is leading to new regulations on fossil-fuel fired power generation facilities. Using amine-based solutions for CO2 capture in power plants is the most common method utilized industrially and studied in the laboratory environment. However, a limited number of amines are available for carbon capture research after balancing the capital cost and energy penalty. In the carbon capture process, physical properties such as viscosity, surface tension, wettability, etc. are found to play important roles in solvent performance. In this context, we are exploring an approach to enhance the CO2 capture of amine solvents by tuning the physical properties of the amine solvents by the addition of additives. These additives in the amine solution utilize controlled bubble generation to increase liquid-gas contact surface area. This method can increase mass transfer in the absorber column, specifically at the bottom where the mass transfer is limited. These additives can enhance the CO2 capture efficiency by changing the physical property of the solvent which in turn can lower the capital cost associated with the system. This work can be applied to all common aqueous amine solvent and would be of great interest to those in the CCS community.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Active Betweenness Cardinality: Algorithms and Applications

Centrality rankings such as degree, closeness, betweenness, Katz, PageRank, etc. are commonly used to identify critical nodes in a graph. These methods are based on two assumptions that restrict their wider applicability. First, they assume the exact topology of the network is available. Secondly, they do not take into account the activity over the network and only rely on its topology. However, in many applications, the network is autonomous, vast, and distributed, and it is hard to collect the exact topology. At the same time, the underlying pairwise activity between node pairs is not uniform and node criticality strongly depends on the activity on the underlying network. In this paper, we propose active betweenness cardinality, as a new measure, where the node criticalities are based on not the static structure, but the activity of the network. We show how this metric can be computed efficiently by using only local information for a given node and how we can find the most critical nodes starting from only a few nodes. We also show how this metric can be used to monitor a network and identify failed nodes. We present experimental results to show effectiveness by demonstrating how the failed nodes can be identified by measuring active betweenness cardinality of a few nodes in the system.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Guide to Energy Master Planning of High-Performance Districts and Communities

This guide was developed with partners throughout the United States to demonstrate how implementing district-scale high-performance strategies can be successful and scalable approaches to achieving deep energy savings that increase affordability, improve resilience, reduce emissions, and foster economic development. This document serves as a framework for districts, campuses, and communities, illustrating an iterative process of building support for, planning, and implementing high-performance districts by engaging stakeholders, setting aggressive energy goals, completing technical and financial planning, and implementing a high-performance energy master plan. The information in this guide is based on a 3-year U.S. Department of Energy Zero Energy District Accelerator and a range of real-world examples of emerging high-performance districts. It is particularly useful for architects, planners, engineers, local government agencies, and real estate developers in the early phases of planning a district with high-performance or other deep energy goals. For the purposes of this guide, a high-performance district is a multibuilding development that achieves aggressive energy and related goals such as zero energy, carbon neutrality, sustainability, ultra-efficiency, etc. High-performance districts optimize energy efficiency to reduce energy loads and use renewable energy resources to meet the remaining loads whenever possible. The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 defines a high-performance building as “a building that integrates and optimizes on a life cycle basis all major high-performance attributes, including energy conservation, environment, safety, security, durability, accessibility, cost-benefit, productivity, sustainability, functionality, and operational considerations.” High-performance districts are collections of such buildings that take advantage of the synergies available when energy consumption and production are considered at a district level rather than one building at a time.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2020

Modeling Tree Foliage for Microwave Radar Transparency Study

The motivation for this report is to discuss and present some realistic tree models employed in computational electromagnetics (EM) simulations to study foliage penetration (FOPEN) at Ku-band. The detail obtained in these trees is unprecedented in FOPEN modeling since many studies in this area focus on lower frequencies where precise tree parameters are not required due to the associated large wavelengths relative to the tree dimensions. The focus of this study is in the Ku-band range where the wavelength is notably smaller and the details of the trees have more of an influence on EM waves (i.e. scattering, attenuating, reflecting, diffracting etc.). Therefore, explicit tree parameters are modeled. Also, moderate foliage is of most interest because with less dense foliage t here is a higher percentage of Ku-band transmission. The EM wave and foliage interaction s are simulated with the computational electromagnetics (CEM) Altair FEKO software. The realistic tree model s implemented for simulations are created in the computer-aided design (CAD) software Arbaro and the module CADFEKO that is offered in FEKO. Details of these tree models are provided, and EM simulation results will be discussed in a follow-on report

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Hotel Room Computational Fluid Dynamics to Investigate Airborne Pathogen Dispersal Patterns

A hotel room unit consisting of a bedroom and bathroom was modelled using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) to investigate airborne pathogen dispersal patterns. The full-scale model includes a ‘typical’ hotel room configuration, furniture, and vents. The air sources and sinks include a bathroom vent, a heating, ventilation, and cooling (HVAC) unit located in the bedroom, and a ½” gap at the bottom of the entry door. In addition, the entry door and window can be opened or closed, as desired. Three key configuration simulations were conducted: 1) both the bathroom vent and HVAC were on, 2) only the HVAC was on, and 3) only the bathroom vent was on. If the HVAC air is from a fresh, clean source, or passes through a high-efficiency filter/UV device, then the first configuration is the safest, as contaminated air is highly reduced. The second configuration is also safe, but does not benefit from the outsourcing of potentially-infected air, such as contaminated air flowing through an ineffective filter. The third configuration should be avoided, as the bathroom vent causes air to flow from the hallway, which can be of dubious origin. The CFD simulations also showed that recirculation and swirling regions tend to accumulate the largest concentrations of heavier airborne particles, pathogens, dust, etc. These regions are associated with the largest turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) , and tend to occur in areas with flow recirculation and corners. Therefore, TKE presents a reasonable metric to guide the strategic location of pathogen mitigation devices. The simulations show complex flow patterns with distinct upper and lower flow regions, swirling flow, and significant levels of turbulent mixing. These simulations provide intriguing insights that can be applied to help mitigate pathogen aerosol dispersal, generate building design guidelines, as well as provide insights for the strategic placement of mitigation devices, such as ultraviolet (UV) light, supplemental fans, and filters.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

24.1.3.1.1 - Frisch Grid CZT Spectrometer

Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) worked with FLIR System Inc., the manufacturer of the nanoRAIDER, to develop a handheld field deployable detector based on the novel position-sensitive virtual Frisch-grid (VFG) Cadmium-Zinc-Telluride (CdZnTe or CZT) detectors (with 1% FWHM at 662 keV or better energy resolution). The detector called nanoRAIDER-VFG would be an improvement to the current nanoRAIDER, which is a compact gamma-ray detection instrument manufactured by FLIR Systems Inc. that employs relatively lower-performing CZT hemispheric detectors (i.e., 3%-FWHM CZT detectors). The nanoRAIDER-VFG would have significantly improved accuracy of measurements while maintaining similar efficiency, as compared to the nanoRAIDER, for in-field analysis of nuclear materials and detection of undeclared activities during inspections conducted by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Since the nanoRAIDER is currently used by the IAEA as part of its Complementary Access toolkit, a relatively quick acceptance of the nanoRAIDER-VFG for safeguards was anticipated. The nanoRAIDER-VFG project was undertaken to address the following items in the IAEA's Long-Term R&D Plan, 2012-2023: 2.2 (elemental and isotopic signatures of fuel cycle processes); 2.3 (detect signatures of undeclared activity and improve analysis); and 2.6 (detect process emanations). The high energy-resolution of the nanoRAIDER-VFG would also have had applicability to 3.2 (fissile content of metal mixtures containing actinides Np, Am, etc.). The project was not completed due to a change in priorities within FLIR.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Characterization of Partially Observed Epidemics - Application to COVID-19

This report documents a statistical method for the "real-time" characterization of partially observed epidemics. Observations consist of daily counts of symptomatic patients, diagnosed with the disease. Characterization, in this context, refers to estimation of epidemiological parameters that can be used to provide short-term forecasts of the ongoing epidemic, as well as to provide gross information for the time-dependent infection rate. The characterization problem is formulated as a Bayesian inverse problem, and is predicated on a model for the distribution of the incubation period. The model parameters are estimated as distributions using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, thus quantifying the uncertainty in the estimates. The method is applied to the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020, using data at the country, provincial (e.g., states) and regional (e.g. county) levels. The epidemiological model includes a stochastic component due to uncertainties in the incubation period. This model-form uncertainty is accommodated by a pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings MCMC sampler, which produces posterior distributions that reflect this uncertainty. We approximate the discrepancy between the data and the epidemiological model using Gaussian and negative binomial error models; the latter was motivated by the over-dispersed count data. For small daily counts we find the performance of the calibrated models to be similar for the two error models. For large daily counts the negative-binomial approximation is numerically unstable unlike the Gaussian error model. Application of the model at the country level (for the United States, Germany, Italy, etc.) generally provided accurate forecasts, as the data consisted of large counts which suppressed the day-to-day variations in the observations. Further, the bulk of the data is sourced over the duration before the relaxation of the curbs on population mixing, and is not confounded by any discernible country-wide second wave of infections. At the state-level, where reporting was poor or which evinced few infections (e.g., New Mexico), the variance in the data posed some, though not insurmountable, difficulties, and forecasts were able to capture the data with large uncertainty bounds. The method was found to be sufficiently sensitive to discern the flattening of the infection and epidemic curve due to shelter-in-place orders after around 90% quantile for the incubation distribution (about 10 days for COVID-19). The proposed model was also used at a regional level to compare the forecasts for the central and north-west regions of New Mexico. Modeling the data for these regions illustrated different disease spread dynamics captured by the model. While in the central region the daily counts peaked in the late April, in the north-west region the ramp-up continued for approximately three more weeks.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Titan on the Red (advanced AI / ML system) [Slides]

Born out of a need to make LANL Weapons Program archival material available to scientists and engineers. Material is the end result of decades of consolidation of mini-libraries and mini archives at LANL. Latest consolidation brought together LANL’s digital archives and physical archives. This houses over 75 years of nuclear weapons research, designs, procedures, videos, photos, and other reports. For the Titan on the Red machine learning project, the system must be able to automatically extract metadata from digitized documents, perform natural-language search, enforce security classification and NTK protocols, be expandable to ingest various data stores (Online Vault, PDMLink, shared drives, SharePoint, etc.), and utilize commercial, public domain, and LANL ontologies.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
DOE OSTI2021

Meteorological services annual data report for 2020

This document presents the meteorological data collected at Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) by Meteorological Services (Met Services) for the calendar year 2020. The purpose is to publicize the data sets available to emergency personnel, researchers and facility operations. Met services has been collecting data at BNL since 1949. Data from 1994 to the present is available in digital format. Data is presented in monthly plots of one-minute data. This allows the reader the ability to peruse the data for trends or anomalies that may be of interest to them. Full data sets are available to BNL personnel and to a limited degree outside researchers. The full data sets allow plotting the data on expanded time scales to obtain greater details (e.g., daily solar variability, inversions, etc.).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Ambient Ion Trapping and Separations for High Throughput Structurally Selective Material Deposition

While ion mobility coupled to mass spectrometry (IMS/MS) has been increasingly adapted to biological analysis, the structural and molecular specificity offered by IMS/MS has untapped potential for creating novel materials (for energy, catalysis, biomolecular switches etc.) with rationally tailored properties by precisely controlling the chemical structure and composition of these materials. While electrochemical and catalytic properties of the bulk material are understood by mass-selective ion-soft-landing, different structures of one molecule can exhibit distinct properties from the bulk. Many biological phenomenon occur at interfaces and are highly structurally specific. IMS/MS offers means to separate molecules in a sample (which is first ionized and released to gas phase from the condensed phase) based on mass and structure. Species thus separated can potentially be deposited onto surfaces with molecular and structural specificity, to perform fundamental investigations for understanding critical interfacial phenomenon. Key performance metrics for IMS/MS analysis are resolution of separations and sensitivity. Recently developed Structures for Lossless Ion Manipulations (SLIM)4 enabled unprecedented resolution in IMS separations. In addition, high sensitivity was enabled in SLIM due to lossless confinement of ions using radio frequency fields. Thus, SLIM enabled extremely long path length separations (up to 0.1 km thus far) providing efficient separation of molecular ions never before achieved (e.g. isotopologues, D&L amino acids). While SLIM has unprecedented analytical separations power/utility, the use of SLIM platform for depositing mobility and mass selected molecular ions has two specific technological challenges: (a) Pulsed nature of IMS separations and their low duty cycle and (b) the need for a low vacuum of ~4 torr for lossless ion confinement. These limitations lead to long deposition times due to loss of ions generated from the sample. Enabling ion confinement at atmospheric pressure will be path-breaking contribution to the fundamental understanding of ion manipulations and separations and will also enable novel science currently precluded due to the inability of the present technologies to confine ions under ambient conditions. Traditionally used radio frequency fields are ineffective in confining ions at high pressures due to ion/neutral collisions. To address these, we propose to (a) develop methods for confining and manipulating ions for lossless IMS separations at atmospheric pressure enabling high sensitivity and throughput and (b) use the high specificity of IMS/MS and high throughput from ambient ion confinement to perform mobility and mass selective ion deposition at atmospheric pressure. Our goal is to enable the study of the fundamental properties of energy/catalysis materials and biomolecules. This project paves the way for high-throughput, mass and structure selective material deposition for highly specific surface creation/functionalization (discussed in Section 2 of the report). Further, the developments reported continue to push the boundaries of this process to ambient conditions (discussed in Section 3 of the report). We conclude with a list of specific intellectual property and publications which have been the outcome of this funded project.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Exploring variability in seasonal average and extreme precipitation using unsupervised machine learning.

Focal Area(s): We will use unsupervised machine learning methods to identify and quantify the influence of large scale natural modes of climate variability to gain insight into the observed and simulated seasonal average and extreme precipitation changes. Science Challenge: A recent paper, led by co-PI Mark Risser, finds that although much of the variability in seasonal average and extreme precipitation over CONUS is unforced, the effect of large-scale modes of circulation variability (such as ENSO, AMO, PNA, etc.) can be detected and attributed. However, it is unclear whether or not unsupervised learning methods can (a) replicate this finding or (b) yield insight into possible nonlinear behavior that was not captured in the initial statistical analysis. Further work would entail extending this framework to other global land areas.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Improved Understanding of Coupled Water and Carbon Cycle Processes through Machine Learning Approaches

Focal Area(s): This white paper addresses how explainable machine learning (ML) algorithms can improve insights gained from complex data (Focal Area 3). We will also address how ML approaches related to sensor compression and low energy AI hardware can be used for efficient data acquisition (Focal Area 1). Science Challenge: We will focus on the coupled water cycle and carbon cycle processes in terrestrial ecosystems and terrestrial-aquatic interfaces. Thus, our approaches will be centered around several data-model integration challenges indicated in EESD strategic plans for two science focus areas: Terrestrial Ecosystem Science and Hydrobiogeochemistry. We can use AI to correct systematic model errors due to biases in either data or model structure/processes. Error patterns in model predictions usually vary by region, model, season etc. But there are systematic patterns in them. e.g., soil moisture tends to be overestimated in the arid western continental United States underestimated in wetter eastern USA; some land surface models tend to underestimate moisture in wet seasons and overestimate in dry seasons. Moreover, the consequences of extreme events (e.g., drought, extreme flooding, storm surges associated with tropical storms, hurricanes) on carbon cycle processes are not well represented in ecosystem and Earth system models. Redox-sensitive processes (e.g., rapid oxidation/reduction of iron and other redox-sensitive elements in soil microsites subjected to fluctuated hydrology) in terrestrial-aquatic interfaces further challenge model predictions of hot-spots (and hot-moments) due to poor understanding of underlying mechanisms. Thus, AI/ML approaches can be used to learn patterns in the data and model errors and use them to build model equations and correct process-based model errors.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Tracking Extremes in Exascale Simulations Utilizing Exascale Platforms

There is a growing recognition in the literature that understanding variability and trends in hydrometeorological extremes relies on understanding variability and trends in the meteorological phenomena that drive these extremes. Such phenomenon-focused understanding relies critically on a robust methodology for identifying the occurrence of these phenomena in observations and model output, but a robust methodology does not currently exist. There are a variety of heuristic methods reported in the literature for identifying, and in some cases temporally tracking, meteorological phenomena. However, there have been several intercomparison projects (and resulting papers) indicating that there is a large uncertainty associated with choices in the identification methods; this is the case for extratropical cyclones (ETCs), atmospheric rivers (ARs), and even tropical cyclones (TCs); and we hypothesize that this is a general issue with heuristic identification methods altogether. These studies clearly show that this identification uncertainty leads to a large, and previously under-recognized, quantitative and even qualitative uncertainty in our understanding of these phenomena. In light of these issues, we suggest that the field could be advanced by addressing two overarching questions. First, can we explicitly quantify uncertainty associated with detecting hydrometeorological phenomena? Second, can we decompose detection uncertainty into reducible and irreducible parts?

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Transforming ESM Physical Parameterization Development Using Machine Learning Trained on Global Cloud-Resolving Models and Process Observations

ESMs robustly predict that 21st century greenhouse warming will slowly increase global mean precipitation, rapidly increase extreme precipitation, and increase subtropical drought. ESMs agree less about precipitation trends and extremes over particular land regions critical to human societies, e. g. in semi-arid regions such as California or the Sahel, or in wetter climates prone to monsoonal rainfall (e. g. southeast Asia) or to tropical cyclones and flooding from mesoscale convective systems (e. g. the southeastern U.S.) Deep convective parameterizations and poor representation of orography and complex vegetated land surfaces contribute to this inter-model spread; clouds, aerosols and sea-surface temperature biases are also key. Reducing regional precipitation projection uncertainty has enormous planning value for water supplies, land use, wildfire, hydropower, flood control, etc. IPCC-class ESMs are making painfully slow progress on this.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

DeepMerge: Studying Distant Merging Galaxies with Deep Neural Networks

The hierarchical merging of galaxies is a probe of the cosmos to test the canonical ?CDM cosmology paradigm. A particularly interesting period is "cosmic high noon" at redshifts z? 2?3, during which star formation rates were the highest, and significant amounts of stellar mass assembled into galaxy-scale bodies. Detecting galaxy mergers in observations by conventional automated methods (which use extracted parameters of galaxy structure - asymmetry, clumpiness, concentration etc.) or by visual inspection has proven to be quite time-consuming and prone to errors. Convolutional Neural Network (CNNs) are a primary representative of deep learning algorithms which are used in computer vision tasks by training to detect features in images. CNNs were already used for classification of low-redshift merging galaxies [1, 2]. Here we will use CNN to to learn directly from images (without the need to extract morphology parameters) of distant merging galaxies in order to distinguish between merging and non-merging objects.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Parallel Solver Framework for Mixed-Integer PDE-Constrained Optimization

ROL-PEBBL is a C++, MPI-based parallel code for mixed-integer PDE-constrained optimization (MIPDECO). In these problems we wish to optimize (control, design, etc.) physical systems, which must obey the laws of physics, when some of the decision variables must take integer values. ROL-PEBBL combines a code to efficiently search over integer choices (PEBBL = Parallel Enumeration Branch-and-Bound Library) and a code for efficient nonlinear optimization, including PDE-constrained optimization (ROL = Rapid Optimization Library). In this report, we summarize the design of ROL-PEBBL and initial applications/results. For an artificial source-inversion problem, finding sources of pollution on a grid from sparse samples, ROL-PEBBLs solution for the nest grid gave the best optimization guarantee for any general solver that gives both a solution and a quality guarantee.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗