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1,109 records · Page 62

Simulating nationwide coupled disease and fear spread in an agent-based model

Human cognitive responses, behavioral responses, and disease dynamics co-evolve over the course of any disease outbreak, and can result in complex feedbacks. We present a dynamic agent-based model that explicitly couples the spread of disease with the spread of fear surrounding the disease, implemented within the EpiCast simulation framework. EpiCast models transmission within a realistic synthetic population, capturing individual-level interactions. In our model, fear propagates through both in-person contact and broadcast media, prompting individuals to adopt protective behaviors that reduce disease spread. In order to better understand these coupled dynamics, we create and compare a range of compartmental models to ensure that introducing additional disease states does not prevent the emergence of multiple waves in these simpler models. Additionally, we compare a range of behavioral scenarios within EpiCast, varying the level and intensity of fear and behavior change. Our results show that the addition of asymptomatic, exposed, and pre-symptomatic disease states can impact both the rate at which an outbreak progresses and its overall trajectory in compartmental models. In EpiCast, the combination of non-local fear spread via broadcasters and strong behavioral responses by fearful individuals generally leads to multiple epidemic waves, an outcome that occurs only within a narrow parameter range when fear spreads purely through local contact. Accounting for the coupled spread of fear and disease is critical for understanding disease dynamics and designing timely, targeted responses to emerging infectious threats.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Generalized impurity pinch in partially magnetized multi-ion plasma

In a two-ion-species plasma with disparate ion masses, heavy ions tend to concentrate in the low-temperature region of collisionally magnetized plasma and in the high-temperature region of collisionally unmagnetized plasma, respectively. Moreover, collisional magnetization can be determined as the ratio of the light ion gyrofrequency to the collision frequency of light and heavy ion species, and the behavior of this effect in the intermediate regime of partially magnetized plasma is predominantly dependent on this Hall parameter. Multi-ion cross-field transport has been described before in the collisionally magnetized plasma regime, and generalized pinch relations, which describe densities of ion species in equilibrium in that plasma, are found in the literature. Here, the role of collisional magnetization and Larmor magnetization in multi-ion collisional transport is clarified, and generalized pinch relations are extended to the partially magnetized regime in which the ion Hall parameter may be small, as long as electrons remain collisionally magnetized. Equilibrium ion density profiles have the same dependence on external forces and on each other regardless of collisional magnetization of ions. The expansion of the range of validity of multi-ion collisional transport models makes them applicable to a wider range of laboratory plasma conditions. In particular, ion density profiles evolve sufficiently fast for radial impurity transport to be observable around stagnation on MagLIF, leading to expulsion of heavy ion impurities from the hotspot as long as plasma becomes sufficiently collisionally magnetized during the implosion.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Fundamental Investigations into the Properties and Performance of Advanced Materials

Intelligent engineering designs require an accurate understanding of material behavior, since any uncertainties or gaps in knowledge must be counterbalanced with heightened factors of safety, leading to overdesign. Therefore, building better structures and pushing the performance of new components requires an improved understanding of the thermomechanical response of advanced materials under service conditions. This dissertation provides fundamental investigations of several advanced materials: thermoset polymers, a common matrix material for fiber-reinforced composites and nanocomposites; aluminum alloy 7075-T6 (AA7075-T6), a high-performance aerospace material; and ceramic matrix composites (CMCs), an advanced composite for extreme-temperature applications. To understand matrix interactions with various interfaces and nanoinclusions at their fundamental scale, the properties of thermoset polymers are studied at the atomistic scale. An improved proximity-based molecular dynamics (MD) technique for modeling the crosslinking of thermoset polymers is carefully established, enabling realistic curing simulations through its ability to dynamically and probabilistically perform complex topology transformations. The proximity-based MD curing methodology is then used to explore damage initiation and the local anisotropic evolution of mechanical properties in thermoset polymers under uniaxial tension with an emphasis on changes in stiffness through a series of tensile loading, unloading, and reloading experiments. Aluminum alloys in aerospace applications often require a fatigue life of over 109 cycles, which is well over ii the number of cycles that can be practically tested using conventional fatigue testing equipment. In order to study these high-life regimes, a detailed ultrasonic cycle fatigue study is presented for AA7075-T6 under fully reversed tension-compression loading. The geometric sensitivity, frequency effects, size effects, surface roughness effects, and the corresponding failure mechanisms for ultrasonic fatigue across different fatigue regimes are investigated. Finally, because CMCs are utilized in extreme environments, oxidation plays an important role in their degradation. A multiphysics modeling methodology is thus developed to address the complex coupling between oxidation, mechanical stress, and oxygen diffusion in heterogeneous carbon fiber-reinforced CMC microstructures.

Schichtel, Jacob J.↗

Calculating adsorption isotherms using the two-phase thermodynamic method and molecular dynamics simulations

We describe the calculation of adsorption isotherms from molecular dynamics simulations based on the two-phase thermodynamic (2PT) model. The 2PT model developed for bulk fluid phases treats the gas-like components as hard spheres (HSs), which correctly recovers the limiting behaviors of unconfined fluids. We showed that this treatment, however, does not always lead to the correct zero-loading behavior in strongly confining systems. For methane adsorption into zeolite MFI, the HS reference state underestimates entropy by up to 20% at low loadings and leads to an order-of-magnitude increase in the adsorption onset pressure. To fix these issues, we propose the use of ideal adsorbed gas (IAG) as the gas reference model, the properties of which can be computed using the Widom insertion method on an empty adsorbent. We further describe three routes to compute adsorption isotherms from the Helmholtz free energy at different loadings. Comparing against established Monte Carlo (MC) methods, we found that the adsorption isotherms obtained using the IAG reference state agrees to within 40%, which corresponds to deviations of <5% in adsorption free energy. The isotherms calculated using the HS reference state underestimate the adsorption uptake at low to medium loadings in strongly confining systems, but its accuracy improves at higher loadings and as the pore size increases relative to the sorbate diameter. The methods described here provide an alternative approach for computing adsorption isotherms when MC simulations in an open ensemble are undesirable and enable a direct comparison of computed adsorption thermodynamics with experiments.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Proton dynamics in water confined at the interface of the graphene–MXene heterostructure

Heterostructures of 2D materials offer a fertile ground to study ion transport and charge storage. Here, we use ab initio molecular dynamics to examine the proton-transfer/diffusion and redox behavior in a water layer confined in the graphene-Ti 3 C 2 O 2 heterostructure. We find that in comparison with the similar interface of water confined between Ti 3 C 2 O 2 layers, the proton redox rate in the dissimilar interface of graphene-Ti 3 C 2 O 2 is much higher, owing to the very different interfacial structure as well as the interfacial electric field induced by an electron transfer in the latter. Water molecules in the dissimilar interface of the graphene-Ti 3 C 2 O 2 heterostructure form a denser hydrogen-bond network with a preferred orientation of water molecules, leading to an increase in proton mobility with proton concentration in the graphene-Ti 3 C 2 O 2 interface. As the proton concentration further increases, proton mobility decreases due to increasingly more frequent surface redox events that slow down proton mobility due to binding with surface O atoms. Our work provides important insights into how the dissimilar interface and their associated interfacial structure and properties impact proton transfer and redox in the confined space.

2D materials↗

2D-EFICACY: Control of Metastable 2D Carbide[1]Chalcogenide Heterolayers: Strain and Moire Engineering

The experimental isolation of graphene led to the discovery of an entirely new world of two-dimensional (2D) materials in which the 2D nature often leads to emergent behaviors not seen in bulk systems. 2D transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) exhibit physico-chemical properties that depend on the transition metal, polymorph, thickness, and presence and type of defects. Recently, a group of thin (10-100nm) transition metal carbides (TMCs), such as Mo2C, has been synthesized that exhibit a thickness-dependent superconducting critical temperature (Tc). These thin TMCs are different from MXenes, another class of 2D materials consisting of few layers of nitrides or carbides (<5nm) produced by chemical etching and delamination. The goal of this renewal proposal is to combine experiment and computation to synthesize and elucidate the guiding principles that control the growth, orientation and strain of heterostacks of thin TMCs and TMDs composed with Nb, Ti and W. We expect to stabilize metastable hybrid phases of TMCs sandwiched between TMDs (H-TMD/Cs) with unprecedented physico-chemical properties. As part of previous DOE-funded work by the Terrones/Sinnott groups, thin (10-100 nm thick) Mo2C flakes were successfully synthesized by chemical vapor deposition (CVD). By subsequently exposing Mo2C to H2S, partial chalcogenization was achieved, resulting in heterostacks of MoCx phases and MoS2. The formation of MoS2 led to a deficiency of Mo atoms in the underlying Mo2C, resulting in an inhomogeneous phase change from α-Mo2C to γ’-MoCx and then to γ-MoC. The γ’-MoCx is a strained metastable phase and the heterostack of all three phases demonstrated an increased Tc relative to that of α-Mo2C, from 4 to 6K; its interleaved layered structure consisting of superconducting and semiconducting phases is ideal for future studies of Josephson junction series arrays. Moiré patterns in these heterostacked systems could result in new phenomena, as moiré patterns in bilayer graphene showed unconventional superconductivity and moiré excitons have been observed in twisted TMD heterobilayers. The scientific hypothesis of the proposed synergistic computational and experimental research is that orientation and strain control within confined thin metastable TMCs, sandwiched by stable phases of TMCs and layered TMDs, will depend on kinetic and thermodynamic “knobs” that include fast temperature changes, chalcogen diffusion through preferred crystallographic planes, reaction times, pressure, reactive atmosphere, precursors, and surfactants, which will also tailor properties such as superconductivity, magnetism, ferroelectricity, piezoelectricity, and catalytic performance. We will develop the guiding principles for the synthesis and stabilization of metastable H-TMD/Cs based on Nb, Ti and W. In order to validate the hypothesis, four tasks are proposed: The first task will synthesize ultra-thin TMCs based on Nb, W and Ti, by: 1) adapting the CVD method used for Mo2C, 2) plasma assisted CVD, 3) defect-mediated CVD processes, and 4) cryo-milling of carbide powders. The second task will accomplish the synthesis and basic physico-chemical characterizations of H-TMD/Cs by chalcogenization of the materials synthesized in task one, and by carbonization of TMDs. H-TMD/Cs will also be investigated for their suitability in energy conversion applications such as supercapacitors, Li and multivalent ion batteries, and electrocatalysts, topics of interest to DoE. These tasks will be carried out in close conjunction with density functional theory (DFT) calculations with insights into energetics, lattice parameters, stability, phase diagrams, band structures, and density of states of H-TMD/Cs. The third task will characterize and evaluate strain and moiré patterns at the interfaces of different H-TMD/Cs by high-resolution scanning transmission electron microscopy (HR-STEM), scanning tunneling microscopy (STM), and conductive tip atomic force microscopy. Nudged elastic band calculations with DFT will be performed to understand the chalcogen diffusion process, which will provide insights into the interfaces between different phases of TMCs and TMDs. The fourth task aims at quantifying the stability and dynamics of H-TMD/Cs by in-situ TEM and Raman studies under heating, strain, and electrical biasing. Phonon calculations using DFT will provide a basis for interpreting Raman spectra. This coherent framework involving synthesis, characterization, and computation will result in a broad scientific impact for energy related applications. The ability to develop new H-TMD/Cs will enhance a range of applications that include batteries, catalysts, switches, sensors, quantum computing components and smart coatings.

2-Dimensional materials↗

An Analytic Formula for Entraining CAPE in Midlatitude Storm Environments

Abstract This article introduces an analytic formula for entraining convective available potential energy (ECAPE) with an entrainment rate that is determined directly from an environmental sounding, rather than prescribed by the formula user. Entrainment is connected to the background environment using an eddy diffusivity approximation for lateral mixing, updraft geometry assumptions, and mass continuity. These approximations result in a direct correspondence between the storm-relative flow and the updraft radius and an inverse scaling between the updraft radius squared and entrainment rate. The aforementioned concepts, combined with the assumption of adiabatic conservation of moist static energy, yield an explicit analytic equation for ECAPE that depends entirely on state variables in an atmospheric profile and a few constant parameters with values that are established in past literature. Using a simplified Bernoulli-like equation, the ECAPE formula is modified to account for updraft enhancement via kinetic energy extracted from the cloud’s background environment. CAPE and ECAPE can be viewed as predictors of the maximum vertical velocity w max in an updraft. Hence, these formulas are evaluated using w max from past numerical modeling studies. Both of the new formulas improve predictions of w max substantially over commonly used diagnostic parameters, including undiluted CAPE and ECAPE with a constant prescribed entrainment rate. The formula that incorporates environmental kinetic energy contribution to the updraft correctly predicts instances of exceedance of by w max , and provides a conceptual explanation for why such exceedance is rare among past simulations. These formulas are potentially useful in nowcasting and forecasting thunderstorms and as thunderstorm proxies in climate change studies. Significance Statement Substantial mixing occurs between the upward-moving air currents in thunderstorms (updrafts) and the surrounding comparatively dry environmental air, through a process called entrainment. Entrainment controls thunderstorm intensity via its diluting effect on the buoyancy of air within updrafts. A challenge to representing entrainment in forecasting and predictions of the intensity of updrafts in future climates is to determine how much entrainment will occur in a given thunderstorm environment without a computationally expensive high-resolution simulation. To address this gap, this article derives a new formula that computes entrainment from the properties of a single environmental profile. This formula is shown to predict updraft vertical velocity more accurately than past diagnostics, and can be used in forecasting and climate prediction to improve predictions of thunderstorm behavior and impacts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

2D-EFICACY: Control of Metastable 2D Carbide Chalcogenide Heterolayers: Strain and Moire Engineering

The experimental isolation of graphene led to the discovery of an entirely new world of two-dimensional (2D) materials in which the 2D nature often leads to emergent behaviors not seen in bulk systems. 2D transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) exhibit physico-chemical properties that depend on the transition metal, polymorph, thickness, and presence and type of defects. Recently, a group of thin (10-100nm) transition metal carbides (TMCs), such as Mo 2 C, has been synthesized that exhibit a thickness-dependent superconducting critical temperature (Tc). These thin TMCs are different from MXenes, another class of 2D materials consisting of few layers of nitrides or carbides (<5nm) produced by chemical etching and delamination. The goal of this renewal proposal is to combine experiment and computation to synthesize and elucidate the guiding principles that control the growth, orientation and strain of heterostacks of thin TMCs and TMDs composed with Nb, Ti and W. We expect to stabilize metastable hybrid phases of TMCs sandwiched between TMDs (H-TMD/Cs) with unprecedented physico-chemical properties. As part of previous DOE-funded work by the Terrones/Sinnott groups, thin (10-100 nm thick) Mo 2 C flakes were successfully synthesized by chemical vapor deposition (CVD). By subsequently exposing Mo 2 C to H 2 S, partial chalcogenization was achieved, resulting in heterostacks of MoCx phases and MoS 2 . The formation of MoS 2 led to a deficiency of Mo atoms in the underlying Mo 2 C, resulting in an inhomogeneous phase change from α-Mo 2 C to γ’-MoCx and then to γ-MoC. The γ’-MoCx is a strained metastable phase and the heterostack of all three phases demonstrated an increased Tc relative to that of α-Mo 2 C, from 4 to 6K; its interleaved layered structure consisting of superconducting and semiconducting phases is ideal for future studies of Josephson junction series arrays. Moiré patterns in these heterostacked systems could result in new phenomena, as moiré patterns in bilayer graphene showed unconventional superconductivity and moiré excitons have been observed in twisted TMD heterobilayers. The scientific hypothesis of the proposed synergistic computational and experimental research is that orientation and strain control within confined thin metastable TMCs, sandwiched by stable phases of TMCs and layered TMDs, will depend on kinetic and thermodynamic “knobs” that include fast temperature changes, chalcogen diffusion through preferred crystallographic planes, reaction times, pressure, reactive atmosphere, precursors, and surfactants, which will also tailor properties such as superconductivity, magnetism, ferroelectricity, piezoelectricity, and catalytic performance. We will develop the guiding principles for the synthesis and stabilization of metastable H-TMD/Cs based on Nb, Ti and W. In order to validate the hypothesis, four tasks are proposed: The first task will synthesize ultra-thin TMCs based on Nb, W and Ti, by: 1) adapting the CVD method used for Mo 2 C, 2) plasma assisted CVD, 3) defect-mediated CVD processes, and 4) cryo-milling of carbide powders. The second task will accomplish the synthesis and basic physico-chemical characterizations of H-TMD/Cs by chalcogenization of the materials synthesized in task one, and by carbonization of TMDs. H-TMD/Cs will also be investigated for their suitability in energy conversion applications such as supercapacitors, Li and multivalent ion batteries, and electrocatalysts, topics of interest to DoE. These tasks will be carried out in close conjunction with density functional theory (DFT) calculations with insights into energetics, lattice parameters, stability, phase diagrams, band structures, and density of states of H-TMD/Cs. The third task will characterize and evaluate strain and moiré patterns at the interfaces of different H-TMD/Cs by high-resolution scanning transmission electron microscopy (HR-STEM), scanning tunneling microscopy (STM), and conductive tip atomic force microscopy. Nudged elastic band calculations with DFT will be performed to understand the chalcogen diffusion process, which will provide insights into the interfaces between different phases of TMCs and TMDs. The fourth task aims at quantifying the stability and dynamics of H-TMD/Cs by in-situ TEM and Raman studies under heating, strain, and electrical biasing. Phonon calculations using DFT will provide a basis for interpreting Raman spectra. This coherent framework involving synthesis, characterization, and computation will result in a broad scientific impact for energy related applications. The ability to develop new H-TMD/Cs will enhance a range of applications that include batteries, catalysts, switches, sensors, quantum computing components and smart coatings.

2-Dimensional Materials↗

Molecular-dynamics study of diffusional creep in uranium mononitride

Uranium mononitride (UN) is a promising advanced nuclear fuel due to its high thermal conductivity and high fissile density. Yet, many aspects of its mechanical behavior and microstructural features are currently unknown. In this paper, molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are used to study UN's diffusional creep. Nanometer-sized polycrystals are used to simulate diffusional creep and to calculate an effective GB width. It is found that Nabarro-Herring creep is not dominant in the temperature range of 1700–2000 K and that the dominant diffusional creep mechanism is Coble creep with an activation energy of 2.28 ± 0.09 eV. A method is proposed to calculate the diffusional GB width and its temperature dependence in polycrystals. The effective GB width of UN is calculated as 2.69 ± 0.08 nm. This value fits very well with the prefactor of the phenomenological Coble creep formula. It is demonstrated that the most comprehensive thermal creep model for UN can be represented as the combination of our Coble creep model and the dislocation creep model proposed by Hayes et al.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Applications of Nickelate perovskites for neuromorphic computing from electronic structure and Machine Learning

While the limit of Moore's law is presently being reached with current microelectronic technologies, we need to develop new paradigms that overcome this limitation. In that respect, neuromorphic computing is a concept that emulates the neural behavior and response of the human brain, and it has been recognized as a promising alternative approach. In this research project, we will perform multi-fidelity scale bridging to explore the potential use of materials with metal to insulator transition for neuromorphic applications. In particular, rare earth nickelates are promising for such purposes, as the transition in these materials is quite sensitive to a broad set of different external stimuli. Our multi-fidelity approach will bridge the high-fidelity electronic structure calculations with classical potentials. We will bridge dynamical mean field theory with a classical atomistic representation via a deep learning force field. The neural network is trained with energies, charges, and forces obtained by accurate electronic structure theories based on Dynamical Mean Field Theory. The configurational space is generated from known crystal phases, ab initio molecular dynamics with exchange-correlation functionals corrected with the Hubbard model, disordered phases with different concentrations of oxygen vacancies, and nonsymmetrical positions and induced strain by grain interfaces or contact with a substrate. Strategies to train the model with a reduced number of training examples are obtained from active learning methods, and new structures for improving the learning process are generated by using machine learning autoencoders. This classical potential will be validated through a diversity of electronic structure methods and represents an important step to combine the flexibility and accuracy of first-principles with the speed of classical potentials. The generated multi-fidelity surrogate model will be used to understand the role of strain, oxygen vacancies, proton doping, the variation of the crystal phase, substrate effects, vibrational effects as the octahedral rotation, grain boundaries and defect effects on the response of a Metal to Insulator Transition (MIT) in correlated materials. Long time and large-scale simulations will help understand the role of different stimuli to control the hysteresis of the MIT, as it has been experimentally suggested. Selected configurations will be analyzed with higher-level theories to provide an accurate electronic description and to study how the orbitals and charges are rearranged under different conditions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Minimal Information Set To Enable Verifiable Theoretical Battery Research

Batteries are an enabling technology for addressing sustainability through the electrification of various forms of transportation (1) and grid storage. (2) Batteries are truly multi-scale, multi-physics devices, and accordingly various theoretical descriptions exist to understand their behavior (3-5) ranging from atomistic details to techno-economic trends. As we explore advanced battery chemistries (6,7) or previously inaccessible aspects of existing ones, (8-10) new theories are required to drive decisions. (11-13) The decisions are influenced by the limitations of the underlying theory. Advanced theories used to understand battery phenomena are complicated and require substantial effort to reproduce. However, such constraints should not limit the insights from these theories. We can strive to make the theoretical research verifiable such that any battery stakeholder can assess the veracity of new theories, sophisticated simulations or elaborate analyses. We distinguish verifiability, which amounts to “Can I trust the results, conclusions and insights and identify the context where they are relevant?”, from reproducibility, which ensures “Would I get the same results if I followed the same steps?” With this motivation, we propose a checklist to guide future reports of theoretical battery research in Table 1. We hereafter discuss our thoughts leading to this and how it helps to consistently document necessary details while allowing complete freedom for creativity of individual researchers. Given the differences between experimental and theoretical studies, the proposed checklist differs from its experimental counterparts. (14,15) This checklist covers all flavors of theoretical battery research, ranging from atomic/molecular calculations (16-19) to mesoscale (20,21) and continuum-scale interactions, (9,22) and techno-economic analysis. (23,24) Finally, as more and more experimental studies analyze raw data, (25) we feel this checklist would be broadly relevant.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗