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DOE OSTI2024

Reactive Modified Epoxy Resin and Its Miscible Blends Based on Recycled Oligomers from Solvolysis

Chemical depolymerization of fully cured epoxy resin with 20% reactive modifier was successfully performed via a solvent-assisted solvolysis process into low molecular weight recyclable oligomers (RO) at 240 °C in a pressure vessel at 650 psi for 4 h. The thermoset epoxy resin was depolymerized into transparent brown viscous fluid with a higher viscosity than the uncured epoxy resin with approximately 93% yield. Different concentrations of the RO were homogeneously mixed with the pure epoxy resin, and their curing kinetics, viscosity, FTIR, mechanical properties, DMA, and cross-link density were investigated. The curing kinetics of the pure reactive modified epoxy resin (baseline) and its mixtures with RO of different concentrations were investigated under both isothermal and nonisothermal conditions using small amplitude oscillatory shear flow. The elastic and viscous moduli (G′ and G″), complex viscosity (η*), and tan δ values were evaluated at different curing times and temperatures. The G′, G″, and η* increased dramatically, while tan δ decreased strongly by several orders of magnitude at the gel point. The zero-shear viscosity (η 0 ) was determined from the angular frequency dependent on η* based on the Cross model for different blend compositions in the liquid state before curing. The composition dependence of η 0 showed a positive deviation from the linear mixing rule and was well described by the Lecyar model. Here, the apparent activation energy of curing (E a ) was also evaluated according to the Arrhenius equation and was found to be 46 ± 2 kJ/mol regardless of the different contents of RO. For all blends up to 40 wt % RO, only one tan δ peak systematically shifting to lower temperatures with increasing content of RO was observed in the DMA measurements, indicating that the epoxy resin and the RO are miscible with up to 40 wt % RO.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Conceptual design of inverted core lead bismuth eutectic fast reactor for marine applications

The development of an inverted core fast reactor aims to generate 60 MWth for about 30 Effective Full Power Years without refueling. The reactor design is a transportable reactor using UO{sub 2} fuel and lead-bismuth-eutectic cooled designed for marine applications and is intended to improve the reactor performances compared to the normal core design: better condition for passive cooling system capability by lower core pressure drop, taking advantage of potential power uprate from the lower maximum fuel temperature. Systematic design processes are presented in this work: fuel pin geometry selection, fuel assembly (FA) design, and core design. A relationship between pressure drops, coolant velocity, maximum fuel temperature, coolant channel diameter, and fuel volume fraction was introduced in a single graph used as a tool to select fuel pin geometry. Fuel fabrication capability also took place in consideration of FA design which led to 7 holes per FA, and two-dimensional temperature distribution studies were also carried out. Core design processes including radial zoning, axial zoning, and core optimization were conducted using Monte Carlo code MCS, which is UNIST CORE laboratory in-house code. The current core design uses 3 fuel enrichment levels and 3 FA types to control the local power distribution and power shift during its lifetime. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Outflowing photoionized plasma in Circinus X-1 using the high-resolution X-ray spectrometer Resolve onboard XRISM and the radiative transfer code cloudy

High-resolution X-ray spectroscopy is a key to understanding the mass inflow and outflow of compact objects. Spectral lines carry information about the ionization, density, and velocity structures through their intensity ratios and profiles. They are formed in non-local thermodynamic equilibrium conditions under the intense radiation field from the compact objects; thus radiative transfer (RT) calculation is a requisite for proper interpretations. We present such a study for a low-mass X-ray binary, Circinus X-1, from which the P Cygni profile was discovered using the X-ray grating spectrometer onboard Chandra. We observed the source using the X-ray microcalorimeter onboard XRISM at an orbital phase of 0.93–0.97 and revealed many spectral features unidentified before: the higher series transitions ($n{\rightarrow }1$; $n>2$) of highly ionized (H- and He-like) S, Ca, Ar, and Fe in emission and absorption, the Fe K$\alpha$ and K$\beta$ inner-shell excitation absorption of mildly ionized (O- to Li-like) Fe, and resolved fine-structure level transitions in the Fe Ly$\alpha$ and He$\alpha$ complexes. They blend with each other at different velocity shifts on top of apparently variable continuum emission that changed its flux by an order of magnitude within a 70 ks telescope time. Despite such complexity in the observed spectra, most of them can be explained by a simple model consisting of the photoionized plasma outflowing at $\sim$300 km s$^{-1}$ and the variable blocking material in the line of sight of the incident continuum emission from the accretion disk. We demonstrate this with the aid of the RT code cloudy for the line ratio diagnostics and spectral fitting. We further constrain the physical parameters of the outflow and argue that the outflow is launched close to the outer edge of the accretion disk and can be driven radiatively by being assisted by the line force calculated using the RT simulation.

X-rays: binaries↗

DOE OSTI2024

The structural OFF and ON states of myosin can be decoupled from the biochemical super- and disordered-relaxed states

Abstract There is a growing awareness that both thick-filament and classical thin-filament regulations play central roles in modulating muscle contraction. Myosin ATPase assays have demonstrated that under relaxed conditions, myosin may reside either in a high-energy-consuming disordered-relaxed (DRX) state available for binding actin to generate force or in an energy-sparing super-relaxed (SRX) state unavailable for actin binding. X-ray diffraction studies have shown that the majority of myosin heads are in a quasi-helically ordered OFF state in a resting muscle and that this helical ordering is lost when myosin heads are turned ON for contraction. It has been assumed that myosin heads in SRX and DRX states are equivalent to the OFF and ON states, respectively, and the terms have been used interchangeably. In this study, we use X-ray diffraction and ATP turnover assays to track the structural and biochemical transitions of myosin heads, respectively, induced with either omecamtiv mecarbil (OM) or piperine in relaxed porcine myocardium. We find that while OM and piperine induce dramatic shifts of myosin heads from the OFF to the ON state, there are no appreciable changes in the population of myosin heads in the SRX and DRX states in both unloaded and loaded preparations. Our results show that biochemically defined SRX and DRX can be decoupled from structurally defined OFF and ON states. In summary, while SRX/DRX and OFF/ON transitions can be correlated in some cases, these two phenomena are measured using different approaches, reflect different properties of the thick filament, and should be investigated and interpreted separately.

Jani, Vivek P. (ORCID:0000000238114973)↗

DOE OSTI2022

Predicting tungsten erosion and leakage properties for the new V-shaped small angle slot divertor in DIII-D

Impurity transport modeling of the new tungsten (W)-coated, V-shaped small angle slot (SAS) divertor in the DIII-D tokamak was conducted using the SOLPS-ITER plasma edge code package and the DIVIMP impurity tracking code. The inboard baffle of the current SAS divertor will be shifted closer to the outboard baffle, creating a V-corner at the slot vertex. In addition, the outboard baffle will be coated with 10–15 μm of W for experiments studying high-Z sourcing and leakage in a closed divertor. Modeling of the 'SAS-VW' divertor predicts that these changes to the inner baffle will reduce W gross erosion by 40× relative to the existing SAS divertor when the outer strike point (OSP) is at the V-corner and the ion B × ∇B drift is towards the divertor, driven primarily by significant cooling near the slot vertex. Most W erosion in SAS-VW is expected to occur near the slot entrance, which may pose a higher risk to core contamination than W eroded deeper in the slot. Furthermore, adding a new sheath-based prompt redeposition model increases the sensitivity of redeposition estimates to near-target plasma conditions and may provide more accurate predictions of net erosion. Moving the OSP outboard from the slot vertex ~4 cm onto the W-coated region yields a 40× increase in the gross erosion rate and a 50% decrease in the core leakage fraction. Thus slight variations in strike point location may counteract the potential benefits of the tightly-baffled V slot on minimizing erosion. This impurity transport modeling provides useful guidance for future experiments on the SAS-VW divertor focused on high-Z erosion/redeposition, scrape-off layer transport, and core leakage.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Ensemble Manufacturing Techniques for Steam Turbine Components Across Length Scales

Faster design to manufacturing requirements were sought for steam turbine components to meet the changing demands of today’s power grid of improved efficiency through operating temperature increases and enhanced operational flexibility from baseload to cyclic operations. Advances in multiple advanced manufacturing (AM) process enabled redesign of turbine components for extreme environments with the potential to reduce cost. AM is of particular interest to improve component functionality, higher temperature capability, and superior durability in large scale steam turbine applications. AM methods have an immense potential to open-up the design space by working directly with the 3D model to produce near-net shapes, enable fast design-manufacturing iterations, thereby significantly reducing product cost and lead-time up to 25 % from current baseline. However, these benefits cannot be fully realized due to the potential for unknown AM processing defects and their resultant effect upon component performance in service. Siemens is partnering with Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), and Connecticut Center for Advanced Technology (CCAT) to advance the knowledge of complex process-material interactions for desired microstructures and properties that are closely interlinked to component geometries across different length scales. The proposed program utilized an ensemble of multidisciplinary technologies to accelerate the development of materials, high-throughput experiments for their qualification, and design flexibility/topology optimization for repair/redesign of components to address critical failure mechanisms for improved performance and increased reliability of existing power plant components. The proposed activities, if successfully demonstrated for identified components, will enable paradigm shift in customized manufacturing and accelerated qualification/certification towards increased steam turbine component durability, increased turbine efficiency, and reduced CO 2 emissions in load-following environments compared to today’s technology. Technology maturation is built into the project as successful research will include customized process-component down-selection enabling AM methodologies to be incorporated directly into the existing supply chain. The specific activities of the proposed effort are: 1. Topology optimization of down-selected steam turbine parts that are amenable to additive and hybrid manufacturing for cost/performance improvement. 2. Process-structure-property relationships for five AM processes for steam turbine materials of interest to compare with conventional materials. 3. Perform part/assembly build process using advanced additive/hybrid machine tools followed by quality inspection of the built components for insight into qualification for production scale-up. Steam turbine rig testing of printed components under targeted, well monitored and characterized environmental conditions of for performance comparison of baseline and redesigned components.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Field-Scale Testing of a High-Efficiency Membrane Reactor (MR)—Adsorptive Reactor (AR) Process for H2 Generation and Pre-Combustion CO2 Capture

The study objective was to field-validate the technical feasibility of a membrane- and adsorption-enhanced water gas shift reaction process employing a carbon molecular sieve membrane (CMSM)-based membrane reactor (MR) followed by an adsorptive reactor (AR) for pre-combustion CO2 capture. The project was carried out in two different phases. In Phase I, the field-scale experimental MR-AR system was designed and constructed, the membranes, and adsorbents were prepared, and the unit was tested with simulated syngas to validate functionality. In Phase II, the unit was installed at the test site, field-tested using real syngas, and a technoeconomic analysis (TEA) of the technology was completed. All project milestones were met. Specifically, (i) high-performance CMSMs were prepared meeting the target H2 permeance (>1 m3/(m2.hbar) and H2/CO selectivity of >80 at temperatures of up to 300 °C and pressures of up to 25 bar with a <10% performance decline over the testing period; (ii) pelletized adsorbents were prepared for use in relevant conditions (250 °C < T < 450 °C, pressures up to 25 bar) with a working capacity of >2.5 wt.% and an attrition rate of <0.2; (iii) TEA showed that the MR-AR technology met the CO2 capture goals of 95% CO2 purity at a cost of electricity (COE) 30% less than baseline approaches.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Development of a hardware-in-the-loop testbed for laboratory performance verification of flexible building equipment in typical commercial buildings

The goals of reducing energy costs, shifting electricity peaks, increasing the use of renewable energy, and enhancing the stability of the electric grid can be met in part by fully exploiting the energy flexibility potential of buildings and building equipment. The development of strategies that exploit these flexibilities could be facilitated by publicly available high-resolution datasets illustrating how control of HVAC systems in commercial buildings can be used in different climate zones to shape the energy use profile of a building for grid needs. This article presents the development and integration of a Hardware-In-the-Loop Flexible load Testbed (HILFT) that integrates physical HVAC systems with a simulated building model and simulated occupants with the goal of generating datasets to verify load flexibility of typical commercial buildings. Compared to simulation-only experiments, the hardware-in-the-loop approach captures the dynamics of the physical systems while also allowing efficient testing of various boundary conditions. The HILFT integration in this article is achieved through the co-simulation among various software environments including LabVIEW, MATLAB, and EnergyPlus. Although theoretically viable, such integration has encountered many real-world challenges, such as: 1) how to design the overall data infrastructure to ensure effective, robust, and efficient integration; 2) how to avoid closed-loop hunting between simulated and emulated variables; 3) how to quantify system response times and minimize system delays; and 4) how to assess the overall integration quality. Lessons-learned using the examples of an AHU-VAV system, an air-source heat pump system, and a water-source heat pump system are presented.

Chen, zhelun↗

DOE OSTI2024

Preliminary Design of Nuclear Reactor Heat Delivery Systems: Integration with Reference Oil Refinery, Methanol Synthesis, and Hydrogen Production

The Department of Energy’s (DOE) Integrated Energy Systems (IES) program is generating comprehensive analyses validating the opportunity for using nuclear energy in a variety of applications including future clean grids, providing heat for direct use, and providing heat to help reduce emissions in chemical commodities. This work focuses on the preliminary designs of thermal delivery systems that can integrate heat produced from a nuclear core to industrial processes. The key research question that needs to be answered is: what is the prospective method for integrating nuclear generated heat energy into non-electric applications that can facilitate combined heat and power operations by advanced nuclear reactor systems? This research is a composition of case studies showing preliminary conceptual designs for thermal delivery systems integrating advanced nuclear systems with a few industrial systems including high temperature steam electrolysis, a reference oil refinery, and potential future methanol systems that supplant some natural gas use with nuclear energy. Piping and instrumentation diagrams have been developed to show the conceptual integration of nuclear systems with representative industrial systems. Different features of the configurations are dependent on the specific integration requirements including energy source conditions, demand quantity, and require energy application conditions. Design concepts are validated using thermodynamic balance calculations to verify system performance including calculating system losses during transport. Key components: pumps and compressors, heat exchangers, and network piping are reported with key design information and sizing.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

PANDEMIC: Occupancy driven predictive ventilation control to minimize energy consumption and infection risk

During the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic, governments around the world have formulated policies requiring ventilation systems to operate at a higher outdoor fresh air flow rate for a sufficient time, which has led to a sharp increase in building energy consumption. Therefore, it is necessary to identify an energy-efficient ventilation strategy to reduce the risk of infection. In this study, we developed an occupant-number-based model predictive control (OBMPC) algorithm for building ventilation systems. First, we collected the occupancy and Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning system (HVAC) data from March to July 2021. Then, four different models (Auto regression moving average-based multilayer perceptron (ARMA_MLP), Recurrent neural networks (RNN), Long short-term memory networks (LSTM), and Nonhomogeneous Markov with change points detection (NH_Markov)) were used to predict the number of room occupants from 15 min to 24 h ahead with an interval output. We found that each model could predict the number of occupants with 85% accuracy using a one-person offset. Furthermore, the accuracy of 15 min of the ahead prediction could reach 95% with a one-person offset, but none of them could track abrupt changes. The occupancy prediction results were used to calculate the ventilation demand using the Wells-Riley equation, and the upper bound can maintain an infection risk lower than 2% for 93% of the day. This OBMPC model could reduce the coil load by 52.44% and shift the peak load by 3 h up to 5 kW compared with 24 × 7 h full outdoor air (OA) system when people wear masks in the space. The occupancy prediction uncertainty could cause a 9% to 26% difference in demand ventilation, a 0.3°C to 2.4°C difference in zone temperature, a 28.5% to 44.5% difference in outdoor airflow rate, and a 10.7% to 28.2% difference in coil load.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Directed Gas-Phase Formation of The Propargyl Family of Resonance-Stabilized Radicals in The Reactions of Ground-State Carbon Atoms (C; 3 P j ) with Butene Isomers (C 4 H 8 ): Dimethylpropargyl and Ethylpropargyl

The propargyl radical (C 3 H 3 ) is the simplest resonance-stabilized free radical (RSFR), but how does stepwise methyl substitution in the alkene reactant affect its dynamics of their formation? We report a crossed molecular beam study of the reactions of atomic carbon (C, 3 P j ) with four butene isomers (C 4 H 8 ) under single collision conditions at a collision energy of 28 ± 2 kJ mol −1 . Barrierless addition of atomic carbon to the alkene C=C bond triggers ring opening to triplet substituted allenes—a de facto insertion mechanism—followed by unimolecular decomposition via atomic hydrogen (H), methyl (CH 3 ) or ethyl (C 2 H 5 ) loss, yielding a family of propargyl‑type RSFRs. RRKM calculations reveal that the branching ratios are highly sensitive to the alkene structure. While the methyl loss channel, affording 1‑methylpropargyl, dominates for 2 butenes (80–90%), the predicted hydrogen atom loss channel (≈10%) leading to 1,3 dimethylpropargyl is identified in the experiment by comparison with theoretical energetics. For isobutene, a near‑equal competition is seen, with the reaction producing 3‑methylpropargyl (≈50%) and 1,1‑dimethylpropargyl (≈40%), along with 2‑vinylallyl (≈5%), whose formation is supported by the experimental data. Most notably, the reaction with 1 butene uniquely favors an enthalpically driven hydrogen shift, eventually producing 1 vinylallyl (≈38%), which is assigned based on the excellent agreement between the measured and calculated reaction exothermicity. Rapid entropically favored fragmentation channels yield ≈40% of propargyl type species (propargyl, 1- and 3-ethylpropargyls), slightly outcompeting the allyl type product. Furthermore, these results establish a systematic progression from C 2 H 4 to C 4 H 8 , where the increasing alkyl substitution unlocks new fragmentation channels, providing a versatile gas phase route to alkylated RSFRs—key intermediates in the growth of methylated and ethylated PAHs and aliphatic chains in combustion and cold interstellar environments (molecular clouds).

Alkyls↗

DOE OSTI2026

Synthesizing land use and demographic change in Southeast Asia’s smaller urbanized areas from 2000–2015

The majority of the human population now reside in urban areas today. The United Nations estimates that nearly half of all urban dwellers currently live in cities smaller than 500 000 persons and the majority of future urban growth will take place in Asia and Africa, likely in these smaller urban areas, not mega cities. Thus, understanding the factors that influence urban demographic trajectories in small urban areas is critical to address sustainable and equitable policy initiatives related to food security, changing climate hazard exposure, and economic opportunities. Here we focus on Southeast Asia—a region historically characterized by lower urban population proportions, yet with a rapidly shifting dynamic demographic—to examine correlates of demographic change among smaller cities. We combine two open-source satellite-informed datasets: GHS urban center database (2015) and age-sex gridded data from WorldPop to calculate socio-demographic characteristics to model drivers of change in annualized urban population growth from 2000–2015 for 505 urbanized places. We find a general pattern of decreasing dependency ratios as city-size increases for most urban areas in Southeast Asia. Higher rates of growth and more variation is observed for smaller cities—those with fewer than 300 000 persons, the lowest population limit for UN data on urbanization. When examining covariates of urban population growth, we find significant statistical associations of population change in smaller urbanized areas with climatic, economic, and land cover/land use variables, but with country-specific variations. Characterizing a continuum of urban population development in the context of changing environmental, economic and climate conditions has been an important sustainable development and equity issue for decades, but newer analysis of city-level drivers allows for systematic inquiry thus moving beyond total population counts for policy-relevant insight.

Southeast Asia synthesis↗

DOE OSTI2022

Nonequilibrium effects and transverse spherocity in ultrarelativistic proton-nucleus collisions

We investigate the effects of nonequilibrium dynamics in small colliding systems by comparing a nonequilibrium transport approach, Parton-Hadron-String Dynamics (PHSD), with a (2+1)-dimensional viscous hydrodynamic model, VISHNew. Focusing on p + Pb collisions at energies available at the Large Hadron Collider, we extract the initial conditions for the hydrodynamic model from PHSD, in order to reduce the impact of the early out-of-equilibrium dynamics and focus on the traces of nonequilibrium in the ensuing medium evolution. We find that in the transport approach quantities like energy density and bulk viscous pressure are highly inhomogeneous on the transverse plane during the whole evolution, whereas the hydrodynamic simulations dissolve more efficiently the initial spatial irregularities, still keeping a high degree of inhomogeneity due to the smaller size and lifetime of the medium produced in p + Pb collisions with respect to heavy-ion reactions. As a first step that will help to identify the impact of these nonequilibrium effects on final observables in proton-nucleus collisions, we perform an analysis of the transverse spherocity, an event-shape observable able to distinguish between jetty and isotropic configurations of transverse momenta. We found that the spherocity distribution in PHSD is slightly shifted towards the isotropic limit with respect to the hydrodynamic result. Even though this dissimilarity is partially due to the difference in the final charged particle production, it mainly comes from the different description within the two frameworks of the medium produced in small colliding systems. This finding supports the idea that multidifferential measurements, such as those based on event categorization according to multiplicity and spherocity, are useful to study final-state observables in ultrarelativistic proton-nucleus collisions.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Conceptual Fuel Element Design Candidates for Conversion of High Flux Isotope Reactor with Low-Enriched Uranium Silicide Dispersion Fuel

Engineering design studies are underway to assess the feasibility of converting the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) to operate with low-enriched uranium (LEU) silicide dispersion (U3Si2-Al) fuel. These studies are supported by the U.S. Department of Energy National Nuclear Security Administration’s Office of Material Management and Minimization. A systematic approach employing neutronic and thermal-hydraulic analyses have been performed with the ORNL Shift and HFIR Steady State Heat Transfer Code tools, respectively, to predict reactor performance and thermal safety margins for proposed LEU3Si2-Al fuel designs. The design process was initiated by generating an optimized design with fabrication features identified from previous studies that result in excellent performance and safety metrics. The approach continued by substituting a single fabrication feature anticipated to be difficult to manufacture with another feature expected to perform an analogous function to that of the removed feature. Four conceptual fuel element design candidates, with various fabrication features, for conversion of HFIR with 4.8 gU/cm3 LEU3Si2-Al fuel have been generated and shown to meet pre-defined performance and safety metrics. Results to date indicate that HFIR could convert with the subject fuel system and meet performance and safety requirements if, among other considerations, fabrication of the specific design features are demonstrated and qualification of the fuel is complete under HFIR-specific conditions.

Chandler, David↗

DOE OSTI2025

A machine learning approach to quantify degradation of nuclear fuels and the effects of fission products

Nuclear fuel performance is critically dependent on understanding the evolution of fuel properties under operational conditions, a complex challenge driven by chemical changes and substantial radiation damage during fission. Traditionally, property evolution has been determined via empirical data collected following irradiation. However, these empirical correlations are limited in their applicability beyond the specific conditions in which they were obtained. This study explores a novel approach to address this challenge by applying materials informatics to develop a machine learning random forest (ML-RF) model that captures the effects of fission products on fuel compounds. The model predicts formation enthalpy (ΔH f ) by leveraging extensive quantum materials property data and correlating it with material descriptors such as composition, atomic and site features, and crystal lattice properties. This ML-RF model enables rapid interpolation across the compositional and structural spaces covered by the training data, thus supporting high-throughput screening and energetic ranking of candidate phases. The model demonstrates the ability to predict ΔH f with a mean absolute error (MAE) of approximately 0.1 to 0.2 eV/atom across a wide range of compounds, including key nuclear fuel systems (U-O, U-N, U-C, U-Si, and U-Mo). For example, it was used to assess shifts in stoichiometry for UO 2 (O/M) and UN (N/M) fuels, revealing their distinct tendencies in chemical potential variation and enabling preliminary convex hull analyses. Furthermore, the model provides insights into how individual fission products affect fuel properties. Results indicate that larger fission products (e.g., Nd, Pu, Ce) have a more pronounced impact on UO 2 , while lighter ones (e.g., Zr) strongly influence UN. Here, the model developed in this work can be used to support the Accelerated Fuel Qualification approach by facilitating preliminary evaluations prior to extensive materials modeling and experimentation. To this end, the trained model has been made available to the fuel community to support ongoing fuel development efforts.

Accelerated fuel qualification↗

DOE OSTI2026

Future Projection of Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Troughs and Implications for Tropical Cyclone Activity

Summertime tropical upper-tropospheric troughs (TUTTs) provide a unified framework to better understand how extratropical and tropical forcings jointly modulate basin-scale tropical cyclone (TC) activity. In this study, we examine future changes in TUTTs and their implications for TC activity. Multimodel ensemble-mean projections from 45 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models suggest a contraction of the Pacific TUTT and an expansion of the Atlantic TUTT as the climate warms. Consistently, future changes in environment-based TC indices indicate that the large-scale conditions will become more favorable for TC genesis and intensification over the central North Pacific but less favorable over the tropical North Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico. Utilizing a TC-permitting large-ensemble dataset [i.e., the Database for Policy Decision-Making for Future Climate Change (d4PDF)] that adequately captures the observed interannual TUTT–TC relationships, we further confirm the impacts of projected TUTT changes on the TC activity in a warmer climate. In contrast, the TUTT–TC relationship is poorly represented in most CMIP6 High-Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP) models; such deficiencies call for caution when assessing future TC risk based on explicitly tracked TCs in these models. Additionally, CMIP6 projections show large intermodel spread in TUTT changes, implying uncertainty in projected TC activity, especially over the central-to-eastern Pacific and the North Atlantic. This intermodel spread is associated with interhemispheric sea surface temperature warming asymmetry, which leads to a meridional shift of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) and the simultaneous weakening or strengthening of TUTTs in the North Pacific and North Atlantic. The potential contributions of anthropogenic aerosol forcing and oceanic circulation to this interhemispheric warming asymmetry are briefly examined.

Climate Change↗

DOE OSTI2022

Soil pore network response to freeze-thaw cycles in permafrost aggregates

This dataset contains data used for the paper "Pore network response to freeze-thaw cycles in permafrost aggregates". The Related References field will be updated with a full citation when available.Climate change in Arctic landscapes may increase freeze-thaw frequency within the active layer as well as newly thawed permafrost. A highly disruptive process, freeze-thaw can deform soil pores and alter the architecture of the soil pore network with varied impacts to water transport and retention, redox conditions, and microbial activity. Our objective was to investigate how freeze-thaw cycles impacted the pore network of newly thawed permafrost aggregates to improve understanding of what type of transformations can be expected from warming Arctic landscapes. We measured the impact of freeze-thaw on pore morphology, pore throat diameter distribution, and pore connectivity with X-ray computed tomography (XCT) using six permafrost aggregates with sizes of 2.5 cm3 from a mineral soil horizon (Bw; 28-50 cm depths) in Toolik, Alaska. Freeze-thaw cycles were performed using a laboratory incubation consisting of five freeze-thaw cycles (-10˚C to 20˚C) over five weeks. Our findings indicated decreasing spatial connectivity of the pore network across all aggregates with higher frequencies of singly connected pores following freeze-thaw. Water-filled pores that were connected to the pore network decreased in volume while the overall connected pore volumetric fraction was not affected. Shifts in the pore throat diameter distribution were mostly observed in pore throats ranges of 100 microns or less with no corresponding changes to the pore shape factor of pore throats. Responses of the pore network to freeze-thaw varied with aggregate, suggesting that initial pore morphology may play a role in driving freeze-thaw response. Our research suggests that freeze-thaw alters the microenvironment of permafrost aggregates during the incipient stage of deformation following permafrost thaw, impacting soil properties and function in Arctic landscapes undergoing transition. This dataset contains a compressed (.zip) archive of the data and R scripts used for this manuscript. The dataset includes files in .csv format, which can be accessed and processed using MS Excel or R. This archive can also be accessed on GitHub at https://github.com/Erin-Rooney/XCT-freezethaw (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.5816355).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Higher-order space-charge stability in anisotropic beams: Vlasov-Poisson derivation, refined dispersion relations, and stability charts

The Hofmann stability chart is used to screen working points in space-charge-dominated linacs. We identify two errors in its published higher-order dispersion relations: missing $(1\mp2\hatη^2/α)$ factors in the third-order $S^4$ coupling residues, and a sign error in the stated isotropic reduction of the fourth-order relation. Both corrections follow from Hofmann's Vlasov-Poisson equations without fitted parameters. They reproduce coherent tune-shift coefficients in the author's later monograph that the printed forms miss by 24% and 127%. Mode-resolved figures from a published application agree with the corrected relations and reject the printed forms, indicating an inconsistency between the 1998 equations and the calculations underlying those tested figures. We quantify the effect on the non-oscillatory stability chart. Inside the adopted $S^2\le10$ comparison domain, printed and corrected forms disagree on 0.73-2.11% of cells, with no preferred direction. Among excluded cells, disagreement reaches 22%, and the printed relation over-predicts instability at every sampled anisotropy. This concentration may help explain why the errors persisted, although it does not establish their historical cause. For PIP-II, the corrected chart flags four of thirty-two evaluable periods, including one on a third-order odd branch missed by a second-order screen. This count covers non-oscillatory modes only and remains conditional on an unresolved factor-five disagreement between two codes on transverse emittance growth.

Pathak, Abhishek [Fermilab] (ORCID:000000021704208↗