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At least 1,117 records · Page 62

Temperature and Water Levels Collectively Regulate Methane Emissions From Subtropical Freshwater Wetlands

Abstract Wetlands are the largest and most climate‐sensitive natural sources of methane. Accurately estimating wetland methane emissions involves reconciling inversion (“top‐down”) and process‐based (“bottom‐up”) models within the global methane budget. However, estimates from these two model types are inherently interdependent and often reveal substantial discrepancies. To enhance the reliability of both approaches, we need a comprehensive understanding of wetland methane emissions and an independent high‐resolution long‐term flux data set. Here, we employed a data‐driven random forest approach to identify key variables influencing methane emissions from subtropical freshwater wetlands in the Southeastern United States. The model‐estimated monthly mean methane fluxes fit well with measured methane fluxes ( R 2 = 0.67) at four representative FLUXNET‐CH4 wetland sites across the region. Variable importance analysis highlighted the sensitivity of subtropical freshwater wetland methane emissions to variations in both temperature and water levels. High temperatures facilitate methanogenesis by enhancing microbial activities, while elevated water levels maintain anaerobic conditions necessary for methane production. Notably, the response of methane emissions to water level fluctuations is contingent on temperature conditions, and vice versa. Moreover, we constructed the first high‐spatial‐resolution (∼1 km × 1 km) and long‐term (1982–2010) gridded regional wetland methane flux product for the Southeastern United States, estimating annual methane emissions from subtropical freshwater wetlands in the region at 4.93 ± 0.11 Tg CH 4 yr −1 for 1982–2010. This new benchmark product holds promise for validating and parameterizing uncertain wetland methane emission processes in bottom‐up models and provides improved prior information for top‐down models.

He, Keqi [Earth and Climate Sciences Nicholas Scho↗

Quantum state reduction: Generalized bipartitions from algebras of observables

Reduced density matrices are a powerful tool in the analysis of entanglement structure, approximate or coarse-grained dynamics, decoherence, and the emergence of classicality. It is straightforward to produce a reduced density matrix with the partial-trace map by tracing out part of the quantum state, but in many natural situations this reduction may not be achievable. We investigate the general problem of identifying how the quantum state is reduced given a restriction on the observables. For example, in an experimental setting, the set of observables that can actually be measured is usually modest (compared to the set of all possible observables) and their resolution is limited. In such situations, the appropriate state-reduction map can be defined via a generalized bipartition, which is associated with the structure of irreducible representations of the algebra generated by the restricted set of observables. One of our main technical results is a general, not inherently numeric, algorithm for finding irreducible representations of matrix algebras. In our work, we demonstrate the viability of this approach with two examples of limited-resolution observables. The definition of quantum state reductions can also be extended beyond algebras of observables. To accomplish this task we introduce a more flexible notion of bipartition, the partial bipartition, which describes coarse grainings preserving information about a limited set (not necessarily algebra) of observables. We describe a variational method to choose the coarse grainings most compatible with a specified Hamiltonian, which exhibit emergent classicality in the reduced state space. We apply this construction to the concrete example of the one-dimensional Ising model. Our results have relevance for quantum information, bulk reconstruction in holography, and quantum gravity.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Modular Design of Receiver Side Power Electronics for 200 kW High Power Dynamic Wireless Charging System

Dynamic wireless power transfer (DWPT) can provide energy to EVs in motion and extend the drive range. By upscaling the charging power to 200 kW (High Power DWPT), the percentage of electrified roadway reduces and the solution becomes cost-effective. However, coil coupling-coefficient variation during vehicle movement fluctuates the transferred power which is unfavorable for vehicle battery. Secondary regulation design can smooth the power but the converter design becomes very challenging due to requirement in high power, high efficiency, fast control, as well as high power density since the unit will be onboard. This paper provides the modular design approach of a 200 kW secondary side unit to achieve high performance and scalability. The DC/DC converter using SiC devices demonstrated 98.3% efficiency.

Xue, Lincoln↗

Grid Services Load Shift Baseline Degradation Analysis Methodology v1

As demand flexibility becomes more common, the mix and frequency of a range of demand flexibility strategies will introduce potential biases into baselines, i.e., the time period immediately prior to a LS event may include other LS or DF events. Baseline degradation assessment provides an approach to quantify how these biases begin to compromise predictive accuracy. Heatmaps, based on each month of the year provides a granular view of a given model's predictive capability. However, for comparing multiple algorithms, separately for weekdays and weekends, aggregating results to seasons provides a simpler means of comparison while still allowing for review of variations by time of day and time of year

Fernandes, Samuel↗

Analysis of the Challenges in Developing Sample-Based Multi-fidelity Estimators for Non-deterministic Models

Multifidelity (MF) uncertainty quantification (UQ) seeks to leverage and fuse information from a collection of models to achieve greater statistical accuracy with respect to a single-fidelity counterpart, while maintaining an efficient use of computational resources. Despite many recent advancements in MF UQ, several challenges remain and these often limit its practical impact in certain application areas. In this manuscript, we focus on the challenges introduced by nondeterministic models to sampling MF UQ estimators. Nondeterministic models produce different responses for the same inputs, which means their outputs are effectively noisy. MF UQ is complicated by this noise since many state-of-the-art approaches rely on statistics, e.g., the correlation among models, to optimally fuse information and allocate computational resources. Here, we demonstrate how the statistics of the quantities of interest, which impact the design, effectiveness, and use of existing MF UQ techniques, change as functions of the noise. With this in hand, we extend the unifying approximate control variate framework to account for nondeterminism, providing for the first time a rigorous means of comparing the effect of nondeterminism on different multifidelity estimators and analyzing their performance with respect to one another. Numerical examples are presented throughout the manuscript to illustrate and discuss the consequences of the presented theoretical results.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Using Strain in the Vadose Zone During Sinusoidal-Rate Well Tests to Characterize an Aquifer

Well tests with sinusoidal variation in pumping rate are appealing because of the ability to filter competing signals and they also can be set up with no net removal of water, which is an advantage at contaminated sites. Current methods of interpreting sinusoidal-rate well tests analyze the phase lag and amplitude of pressure signals in the aquifer. This approach is restricted by the availability of monitoring wells. An alternative approach could be to measure the stain in the vadose zone instead of pressure in the aquifer. The goal of this research is to evaluate the feasibility of using signals from in-situ sensors in the vadose zone to characterize sinusoidal-rate well tests. Well tests with a variety of periods and amplitudes were performed using a well completed in an unconfined saprolite aquifer with a water table at 9m depth at our test site near Clemson, South Carolina. Vertical strain was measured every meter between 1 to 7 m using a distributed optical fiber sensing technique called coherence length gated microwave photonics interferometry (CMPI). A novel packaging system was designed to couple the optical fiber to the saprolite. The results show that strain measured in the vadose zone during sinusoidal-rate pumping varies periodically with amplitudes from 0.1 to 3 microstrain, depending on the amplitude of the sinusoidal pumping rate. Hydraulic heads at similar radial distances were also periodic with changing amplitudes ranging up to ±0.2 meters. The strain in the vadose zone responds to pressure in the underlying aquifer—the strain is tensile when the pressure is falling, and compressive when the pressure is rising. The phase lag between the pumping rate and the strain was 3 min with a pumping period of 15 minutes, and this gives a hydraulic diffusivity of 0.06 m2/s. This is the same diffusivity obtained by analyzing a constant rate pumping test, and it is slightly larger than the diffusivity (0.044 m2/s) obtained by analyzing the phase lag of the pressure in a nearby monitoring well. Strain measurements in the vadose zone could be made with much less cost and effort than installing a deep monitoring well. These results suggest that strain measurements in the vadose zone could be used to supplement monitoring wells, thereby increasing the resolution, and reducing costs of analyzing well tests.

well test, sinusoidal, periodic pumping, strain↗

Method for simultaneous characterization and expansion of reference libraries for small molecule identification

A variational autoencoder (VAE) has been developed to learn a continuous numerical, or latent, representation of molecular structure to expand reference libraries for small molecule identification. The VAE has been extended to include a chemical property decoder, trained as a multitask network, to shape the latent representation such that it assembles according to desired chemical properties. The approach is unique in its application to metabolomics and small molecule identification, focused on properties that are obtained from experimental measurements (m/z, CCS) paired with its training paradigm, which involves a cascade of transfer learning iterations. First, molecular representation is learned from a large dataset of structures with m/z labels. Next, in silico property values are used to continue training. Finally, the network is further refined by being trained with the experimental data. The trained network is used to predict chemical properties directly from structure and generate candidate structures with desired chemical properties. The network is extensible to other training data and molecular representations, and for use with other analytical platforms, for both chemical property and feature prediction as well as molecular structure generation.

Colby, Sean M.↗

Accelerating Biomimetic Solar - Energy Harvesting: Mapping the Interaction Landscape of Plasmonic-Excitonic Hybrid Nanosystems (Final Report)

In general, excitonic and plasmonic nanoscale materials in close proximity show high potential for significant breakthroughs in energy related materials research. The interactions between these two kinds of materials result in coupled optical transitions (plexcitons), distinct from those of both the individual exciton and plasmon as well as from those of the sum of their constituents (synergistic effects). By linking together materials-research and physical-research approaches, this project contributes to a concerted approach on nanomaterials energy research. The project’s overall goal is to accelerate the development of well-defined plexcitonic model systems consisting of carefully engineered plasmonic and excitonic nanomaterial— essential for both gaining a fundamental understanding of plexcitonic nanomaterials and the development of novel design principles for biomimetic solar energy harvesting. During the 3-year project period and the terminal renewal with limited support for a 12-month period, we successfully synthesized and characterized (1) a robust excitonic nanomaterial and (2) a library of plasmonic nanoparticles as well as developed (3) a microfluidic platform for homogenous nanosynthesis as summarized below: (1) Robust Excitonic Nanomaterial. Supramolecular assemblies are Nature’s most successful material system for solar energy harvesting. However, photovoltaic devices based on artificial supramolecular assemblies continue to be stymied by disappointing efficiencies and poor stability. The conceptual failure may lie in current solar cell architectures, which rely on solidifying supramolecular assemblies as an ensemble into a solid matrix, neglecting the intrinsic fragility of the assemblies’ internal structure, thus disrupting or even destroying their delicate optoelectronic properties, that is, delicate Frenkel excitonic properties. Supramolecular assemblies may finally serve as usable light harvesting material systems for solar energy conversion technologies, only if they meet the following criteria: (a) Stability, that is, the fragile structure including its delicate Frenkel excitonic character needs to be stable, (b) Robustness, that is, resistant against elevated and fluctuating temperatures, and (c) Viability for device integration, that is, capable of being immobilized onto solid substrates. Here, by developing a nanocomposite via a tunable, cage-like scaffold design, we successfully provided stable supramolecular nanocomposites, that inhabit robust Frenkel excitons despite harming environmental conditions such as extreme heat stress. (2) Library of Plasmonic Nanoparticles. Naturally, current models describing plasmonic hybrid quantum states—plasmonic hybridizations—parallel those developed for molecular orbitals, equating individual plasmonic nanostructures with “atoms” and the plasmonic nanoassemblies with “molecules.” In analogy to organic synthesis, a suitably robust fabrication method would allow for “atom-like” manipulation of “molecule-like” plasmonic nanoassemblies; of high value for next-generation energy nanotechnologies. Despite this frequent comparison, current plasmonic nanoassembly fabrication methods favor top-down templating over wet-chemical synthesis, however, achieving precise control over nanostructure’s geometry and surface characteristics remain an art and a scientific challenge. The conceptual failure may lie in the current wet-chemical synthesis paradigm, as it relies on the accessibility of a multi-dimensional synthesis parameter space through limited, rather one-dimensional synthesis procedures by employing step-by-step approaches. Solution-based nanoarchitectonics for rational design of precisely built plasmonic nanoassemblies via solution-based fabrication may finally be possible only if multi-dimensional syntheses approaches are available that allow for comprehensive control over the plasmonic nanomaterials’ (a) Structural Properties and (b) Surface Properties. Here, by developing an innovative multidimensional 1,3-propanediol based polyol synthesis, we successfully provided control over the plasmonic building-block’s geometry (size and shape) together with its surface characteristics. Our results present a critical step toward the vision of a “periodic table-like” system for plasmonic materials based on straightforward wet-chemical syntheses for energy nanotechnologies. Developing deliberate modifications on this synthesis, we generated a library of plasmonic nanostructures covering the vast parameter space—opening the door for fundamental investigation of plexcitonic model systems. (3) Microfluidic Platform for Homogenous Nanosynthesis. Control over structural properties of plexcitonic nanocomposites remains a challenge due to current limitations in nanosynthesis techniques. Slight variations in nanostructure’s geometry impact their optoelectronic properties, demanding precise synthesis beyond the capabilities of solution-based (batch) synthesis processes. In contrast, the small, confined liquid volumes used in microfluidics—a reaction technique where the manipulation of fluids takes place in channels with dimensions of tens of micrometers—allows for homogenous synthesis conditions, providing excellent control of the reaction and, as a result, of the materials’ geopmetry and composition. However, thus far, the majority of plexcitonic systems has been developed via batch synthesis. Here, by successfully developing a two-channel microreactor, our microfluidic-supported synthesis approach combines the advantages of both microfluidics and batch platforms, allowing for precise spatio-temporal control over all synthesis parameters opening the possibility for homogenous nanosythnesis of well-defined plexcitonic model systems.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Command of active and responsive elastomers by topological defects and patterns

The project resulted in the development of stimuli-responsive elastomer coatings formed by photopolymerized liquid crystal molecules. The molecular orientation of the liquid crystal elastomers is coupled to rubber-like elasticity. The project developed an approach to produce complex patterns of molecular orientation in elastomers by employing photopatterning technique based on plasmonic metamasks that convert unpolarized incoming light into a transmitted light beam with spatially-varying linear polarization. The polarization-modulated light beam aligns the film of azodye molecules, which serves as the substrate for liquid crystal elastomer coating. The alignment of the azodye molecules follows the polarization pattern with a phase shift of the alignment direction by 90 degrees. The azodye substrate imposes orientation of molecules in the adjacent liquid crystal layer which is preserved after the monomers are polymerized into a liquid crystal elastomer. By using differently aligned substrates one could produce various patterns of molecular orientation in the elastomer, which dictate the mechanical properties of the elastomers and their response to external stimuli such as temperature, humidity, and ultraviolet irradiation. In particular, the predesigned molecular orientation produces deterministically defined topography response of the liquid crystal coatings, in which their free surface changes from flat to either locally elevated or locally compressed, depending on whether the pre-inscribed molecular orientation is predesigned with a splay or bend deformation. The research established that the mechanism of this deterministic relation between the dynamic topography and pre-inscribed molecular orientation is rooted in the change of the tensorial order parameter that characterizes the degree of orientational order, and in the contraction/expansion of polymer molecules in response to the order parameter changes. In particular, lowering the order causes contraction of polymer globules. The work demonstrated that the dynamic topography of elastomer coatings with three-dimensional pattern of orientational order includes up and down motion of the material (along the normal to the coating) and also shifts in lateral directions. We demonstrate that the deterministic relationship between the orientational patterns and variations of coatings’ profile is caused by forces that are mathematically equivalent to active forces in the system of “pullers” or “pushers” in active matter, demonstrating universality of the out-of-equilibrium behavior. The project resulted in theoretical models that predictively describe the dynamic response of coatings. The topography of liquid crystal elastomers is sensitive to stimuli such as temperature, ultraviolet irradiation, and humidity. The applicability of the patterned approach to produce dynamic coatings was expanded from nematic elastomers to their smectic counterparts. The project combined a battery of imaging techniques to unveil the dynamic properties of the coatings, ranging from the state-of-the-art dynamic holographic microscopy to fluorescent confocal polarizing microscopy and polscope microscopy. The research uncovered potential applications of dynamic elastomer coatings, such as control placement of colloidal particles, engineering of living tissues with alignment patterns of cells that follow the orientational order of elastomer coatings. The approach developed in the project can be used to design programmable dynamic coatings with functionalities that mimic biological tissues such as skin.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Integrating vehicle trajectory planning and arterial traffic management to facilitate eco-approach and departure deployment

Eco-approach and departure (EAD) enable continuous vehicle motion in urban signalized corridors. Since such a motion can extend to the EAD vehicles’ followers, it makes EAD a promising technology to benefit the traffic flow where automated vehicles and conventional vehicles coexist. Most existing EAD studies envision an ideal setting that neglects real-world operational conditions such as lane changes, multi-movement intersection configuration, partially automated fleet, and/or limited traffic state awareness. This study aims to fill the gap by designing an EAD algorithm considering real-world traffic operation constraints. The proposed algorithm uses a model predictive controller to minimize vehicle speed reduction and variation based on the real-time traffic signal control plan and measured queues at the intersection. The required inputs are readily available at many modern intersections. We observed that the proposed controller’s performance might degrade because of lane-changing maneuvers and lead-left turn traffic signals. These observations motivated our development of a lane change management strategy and a signal control implementation strategy to facilitate the EAD implementation. The lane change management strategies separate the EAD operations and lane-changing maneuvers in time and space. The signal control implementation strategy applies lag-left turn signals to enable EAD operation for both the through and left-turn vehicles. Compared to the non-EAD case, our EAD approach produces 2.5% to 7.8% energy savings while keeping similar intersection mobility. Notably, this approach brings about 2.5% to 3.6% energy savings in a 2% CAV case. This result demonstrates the feasibility of deploying EAD at low connected automated vehicle penetration rates.

Arterial corridor management↗

Chemometrics and visible diffuse reflectance spectroscopy to classify plutonium dioxide

Diffuse reflectance (DR) spectra in the Vis-NIR (∼380–1050 nm) region were acquired for a series of PuO 2 samples with a spot size of about 10 × 10 μm. Two batches of six PuO 2 samples, synthesized approximately 7.5 months apart, were prepared using both Pu(III) and Pu(IV) oxalate precursors at three distinct calcination temperatures (450, 650, and 950 °C). This yielded a total of 12 PuO 2 samples and 433 DR spectra. The DR spectrum of PuO 2 contained numerous peaks in the visible region, and characteristic features were identified with respect to calcination temperature and chemistry. A distinct peak multiplet near 615 nm was observed for samples prepared at low calcination temperatures, and a peak near 660 nm was observed for higher calcination temperatures. A multivariate classification strategy based on principal component analysis (PCA) was developed to distinguish PuO 2 calcination temperatures of 450, 650, and 950 °C with 100 % accuracy. Classification results also indicate the potential to distinguish chemical processing history (i.e., Pu(III) or Pu(IV)) based on the spectra with 72 % accuracy based on k-nearest neighbors applied to the PCA scores. Partial least squares discriminant analysis was used to identify variation among batches with 88 % accuracy and found that peaks near 669, 681, 811, and 970 nm were the most useful for predicting the batch identity. Here, this work demonstrates how micro-diffuse reflectance spectroscopy and chemometrics can be used to classify PuO 2 processing history based on Vis-NIR spectral features. Combining the chemometric approach with mapping sequences could provide a rapid, nondestructive approach to classify Pu oxide materials for environmental, forensics, and nonproliferation applications.

Actinide↗

Large Ensemble Particle Filter for Spatial Climate Reconstructions Using a Linear Inverse Model

Proxy records that document the last 2000 years of climate provide evidence for the wide range of the natural climate variability from inter-annual to secular timescales not captured by the short window of recent direct observations. Assessing climate models ability to reproduce such natural variations is crucial to understand climate sensitivity and impacts of future climate change. Paleoclimate data assimilation (PDA) offers a powerful way to extend the short instrumental period by optimally combining the physics described by General Circulation Climate Models (GCMs) with information from available proxy records while taking into account their uncertainties. Here we present a new PDA approach based on a sequential importance resampling (SIR) Particle filter (PF) that uses Linear Inverse Modeling (LIM) as an emulator of several CMIP-class GCMs. We examine in a perfect-model framework the skill of the various LIMs to forecast the dynamics of the surface temperatures and provide spatial field reconstructions over the last millennium in a SIR PF. Our results show that the LIMs allow for skillful ensemble forecasts at 1-year lead-time based on GCMs dynamical knowledge with best prediction in the tropics and the North Atlantic. The PDA further provides a set of physically consistent spatial fields allowing robust uncertainty quantification related to climate models biases and proxy spatial sampling. Our results indicate that the LIM yields dynamical memory improving climate variability reconstructions and support the use of the LIM as a GCM-emulator in real reconstruction to propagate large ensembles of particles at low cost in SIR PF.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

classLog: Logistic regression for the classification of genetic sequences

Introduction Sequencing and phylogenetic classification have become a common task in human and animal diagnostic laboratories. It is routine to sequence pathogens to identify genetic variations of diagnostic significance and to use these data in realtime genomic contact tracing and surveillance. Under this paradigm, unprecedented volumes of data are generated that require rapid analysis to provide meaningful inference. Methods We present a machine learning logistic regression pipeline that can assign classifications to genetic sequence data. The pipeline implements an intuitive and customizable approach to developing a trained prediction model that runs in linear time complexity, generating accurate output rapidly, even with incomplete data. Our approach was benchmarked against porcine respiratory and reproductive syndrome virus (PRRSv) and swine H1 influenza A virus (IAV) datasets. Trained classifiers were tested against sequences and simulated datasets that artificially degraded sequence quality at 0, 10, 20, 30, and 40%. Results When applied to a poor-quality sequence data, the classifier achieved between >85% to 95% accuracy for the PRRSv and the swine H1 IAV HA dataset and this increased to near perfect accuracy when using the full dataset. The model also identifies amino acid positions used to determine genetic clade identity through a feature selection ranking within the model. These positions can be mapped onto a maximum-likelihood phylogenetic tree, allowing for the inference of clade defining mutations. Discussion Our approach is implemented as a python package with code available at https://github.com/flu-crew/classLog .

Zeller, Michael A.↗

Key Design Trades for a Near-term Lunar Fission Surface Power System

NASA and DOE have been developing concepts for lunar and Mars Fission Surface Power (FSP) systems for decades and have considered many different technologies and system variations. In 2023, three contractor teams completed Phase 1 conceptual design studies on a 40 kWe lunar FSP system in response to a modest set of NASA requirements and goals. A government team consisting of NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC), Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), and Idaho National Laboratory (INL) was formed to develop an independent design approach that adhered to the same requirements and goals posed to the contractor teams. GRC provided expertise, analysis, and design decisions for the power conversion, heat rejection, power management & distribution (PMAD), and mission integration. LANL and INL provided expertise, analysis, and design decisions for the reactor and shielding. The goal of the government study was to develop representative concepts that could be used in NASA architecture studies, guide government technology investments, and inform Phase 2 requirements definition. This paper provides a summary of the key technology options, system-level trades, and mission-level concept-of-operations.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Graph Neural Networks for Parameterized Quantum Circuits Expressibility Estimation (Rev.1)

Parameterized quantum circuits (PQCs) are fundamental to quantum machine learning (QML), quantum optimization, and variational quantum algorithms (VQAs). The expressibility of PQCs is a measure that determines their capability to harness the full potential of the quantum state space. It is thus a crucial guidepost to know when selecting a particular PQC ansatz. However, the existing technique for expressibility computation through statistical estimation requires a large number of samples, which poses significant challenges due to time and computational resource constraints. This paper introduces a novel approach for expressibility estimation of PQCs using Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). We demonstrate the predictive power of our GNN model with a dataset consisting of 25,000 samples from the noiseless IBM QASM Simulator and 12,000 samples from three distinct noisy quantum backends. The model accurately estimates expressibility, with root mean square errors (RMSE) of 0.05 and 0.06 for the noiseless and noisy backends, respectively. We compare our model’s predictions with reference circuits from Sim et al. and IBM Qiskit’s hardwareefficient ansatz sets to further evaluate our model’s performance. Our experimental evaluation in noiseless and noisy scenarios reveals a close alignment with ground truth expressibility values, highlighting the model’s efficacy. Moreover, our model exhibits promising extrapolation capabilities, predicting expressibility values with low RMSE for out-of-range qubit circuits trained solely on only up to 5-qubit circuit sets. This work thus provides a reliable means of efficiently evaluating the expressibility of diverse PQCs on noiseless simulators and hardware.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Explicitly antisymmetrized neural network layers for variational Monte Carlo simulation

The combination of neural networks and quantum Monte Carlo methods has arisen as a promising path forward for highly accurate electronic structure calculations. Previous proposals have combined equivariant neural network layers with a final antisymmetric layer in order to satisfy the antisymmetry requirements of the electronic wavefunction. However, to date it is unclear if one can represent antisymmetric functions of physical interest, and it is difficult to precisely measure the expressiveness of the antisymmetric layer. Here, this work attempts to address this problem by introducing explicitly antisymmetrized universal neural network layers. This approach has a computational cost which increases factorially with respect to the system size, but we are nonetheless able to apply it to small systems to better understand how the structure of the antisymmetric layer affects its performance. We first introduce a generic antisymmetric (GA) neural network layer, which we use to replace the entire antisymmetric layer of the highly accurate ansatz known as the FermiNet. We demonstrate that the resulting FermiNet-GA architecture can yield effectively the exact ground state energy for small atoms and molecules. We then consider a factorized antisymmetric (FA) layer which more directly generalizes the FermiNet by replacing the products of determinants with products of antisymmetrized neural networks. We find, interestingly, that the resulting FermiNet-FA architecture does not significantly outperform the FermiNet. This strongly suggests that the sum of products of antisymmetries is a key limiting aspect of the FermiNet architecture. To explore this further, we investigate a slight modification of the FermiNet, called the full determinant mode, which replaces each product of determinants with a single combined determinant. We find that the full single-determinant FermiNet closes a large part of the gap between the standard single-determinant FermiNet and FermiNet-GA on small atomic and molecular problems. Surprisingly, on the nitrogen molecule at a dissociating bond length of 4.0 Bohr, the full single-determinant FermiNet can outperform the largest standard FermiNet calculation with 64 determinants.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The Area Localized Coupled Model for Analytical Mean Flow Prediction in Arbitrary Wind Farm Geometries

This work introduces the area localized coupled (ALC) model, which extends the applicability of approaches that couple classical wake superposition models and atmospheric boundary layer models to wind farms with arbitrary layouts. Coupling wake and top–down boundary layer models is particularly challenging since the latter requires averaging over planform areas associated with turbine-specific regions of the flow that need to be specified. The ALC model uses Voronoi tessellation to define this local area around each turbine. A top–down description of a developing internal boundary layer is then applied over Voronoi cells upstream of each turbine to estimate the local mean velocity profile. Coupling between the velocity at hub-height based on this localized top–down model and a wake model is achieved by enforcing a minimum least-square-error in mean velocity in each cell. The wake model in the present implementation takes into account variations in wind farm inflow velocity and represents the wake profile behind each turbine as a super-Gaussian function that smoothly transitions between a top-hat shape in the region immediately following the turbine to a Gaussian profile downstream. Detailed comparisons to large-eddy simulation (LES) data from two different wind farms demonstrate the efficacy of the model in accurately predicting both wind farm power output and local turbine hub-height velocity for different wind farm geometries. These validations using data generated from two different LES codes demonstrate the model's versatility with respect to capturing results from different simulation setups and wind farm configurations.

49 EE - Wind and Water Power Program - Wind (EE-4W↗

Energy and Emission Prediction for Mixed-Vehicle Transit Fleets Using Multi-task and Inductive Transfer Learning

Public transit agencies are focused on making their fixed-line bus systems more energy efficient by introducing electric (EV) and hybrid (HV) vehicles to their fleets. However, because of the high upfront cost of these vehicles, most agencies are tasked with managing a mixed-fleet of internal combustion vehicles (ICEVs), EVs, and HVs. In managing mixed-fleets, agencies require accurate predictions of energy use for optimizing the assignment of vehicles to transit routes, scheduling charging, and ensuring that emission standards are met. The current state-of-the-art is to develop separate neural network models to predict energy consumption for each vehicle class. Although different vehicle classes’ energy consumption depends on a varied set of covariates, we hypothesize that there are broader generalizable patterns that govern energy consumption and emissions. In this paper, we seek to extract these patterns to aid learning to address two problems faced by transit agencies. First, in the case of a transit agency which operates many ICEVs, HVs, and EVs, we use multi-task learning (MTL) to improve accuracy of forecasting energy consumption. Second, in the case where there is a significant variation in vehicles in each category, we use inductive transfer learning (ITL) to improve predictive accuracy for vehicle class models with insufficient data. As this work is to be deployed by our partner agency, we also provide an online pipeline for joining the various sensor streams for fixed-line transit energy prediction. Here, we find that our approach outperforms vehicle-specific baselines in both the MTL and ITL settings.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗