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At least 1,117 records · Page 62

Impact experiments in low-temperature ice

Cubic and cylindrical water ice targets at 257 and 81 K have been subjected to impact velocities between 0.1 and 0.64 km/sec and impact energies of 10 to the 9th-10 to the 10th ergs, yielding craters that are 2-3 times larger than those obtained through equal energy impacts in basaltic targets. On the basis of a similarity analysis, general scaling laws are derived for strength-controlled crater formation and applied in a consideration of crater formation on the icy Galilean and Saturnian satellites. Surface ages are predicted by the analysis to appear greater than those for a silicate crust experiencing the same impact history, on the basis of icy crust impact crater statistics.

Lange, Manfred A.↗

MULTIFRACTAL STRUCTURES DETECTED BY VOYAGER 1 AT THE HELIOSPHERIC BOUNDARIES

To better understand the dynamics of turbulent systems, we have proposed a phenomenological model based on a generalized Cantor set with two rescaling and one weight parameters. In this Letter, using recent Voyager 1 magnetic field data, we extend our two-scale multifractal analysis further in the heliosheath beyond the heliospheric termination shock, and even now near the heliopause, when entering the interstellar medium for the first time in human history. We have identified the scaling inertial region for magnetized heliospheric plasma between the termination shock and the heliopause. We also show that the degree of multifractality decreases with the heliocentric distance and is still modulated by the phases of the solar cycle in the entire heliosphere including the heliosheath. Moreover, we observe the change of scaling toward a nonintermittent (nonmultifractal) behavior in the nearby interstellar medium, just beyond the heliopause. We argue that this loss of multifractal behavior could be a signature of the expected crossing of the heliopause by Voyager 2 in the near future. The results obtained demonstrate that our phenomenological multifractal model exhibits some properties of intermittent turbulence in the solar system plasmas, and we hope that it could shed light on universal characteristics of turbulence.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Dissipation of Turbulence in the Solar Wind

I will describe the first three-dimensional (3-D) dispersion relations and wavenumber spectra of magnetic turbulence in the solar wind at sub-proton scales. The analysis takes advantage of the short separations of the Cluster spacecraft (d/sim approx.200 km) to apply the {it k}-filtering technique to the frequency range where the transition to sub-proton scales occurs. The dispersion diagrams show unambiguously that the cascade is carried by highly oblique Kinetic Alfven Wave with \omega\leq 0.1\omega_{ci} in the plasma rest frame down to k_\perp\rho_i \sim 2. The wavenumber spectra in the direction perpendicular to the mean magnetic field consists of two ranges of scales separated by a breakpoint in the interval [0.4,1] k_\perp \rho_i. Above the breakpoint, the spectra follow the Kolmogorov scaling k_\perp^{-1.7}, consistent with existing theoretical predictions. Below the breakpoint, the spectra steepen to \sim k_\perp^{-4.5}. We conjecture that the turbulence undergoes a {\it transition-range}, where part of energy is dissipated into proton heating via Landau damping, and the remaining energy cascades down to electron scales where electron Landau damping may predominate.

Goldstein, Melvyn L.↗

Automated Analysis of a Large-Scale Sky Survey: The SKICAT System

We describe the application of decision tree based classification techniques to the development of an automated tool for the reduction of a large scientific data set. The primary benefits of the SKICAT approach are increased data reduction throughput, repeatability, and consistency of classification.

data analysis image databases↗

Advanced surrogate model for electron-scale turbulence in tokamak pedestals

We derive an advanced surrogate model for predicting turbulent transport at the edge of tokamaks driven by electron temperature gradient (ETG) modes. Our derivation is based on a recently developed sensitivity-driven sparse grid interpolation approach for uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis at scale, which informs the set of parameters that define the surrogate model as a scaling law. Our model reveals that ETG-driven electron heat flux is influenced by the safety factor q, electron beta β e and normalized electron Debye length λ D , in addition to well-established parameters such as the electron temperature and density gradients. To assess the trustworthiness of our model's predictions beyond training, we compute prediction intervals using bootstrapping. The surrogate model's predictive power is tested across a wide range of parameter values, including within-distribution testing parameters (to verify our model) as well as out-of-bounds and out-of-distribution testing (to validate the proposed model). Overall, validation efforts show that our model competes well with, or can even outperform, existing scaling laws in predicting ETG-driven transport.

fusion plasma↗

Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for sub-national impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability studies

The exploration of alternative socioeconomic futures is an important aspect of understanding the potential consequences of climate change. While socioeconomic scenarios are common and, at times essential, tools for the impact, adaptation and vulnerability and integrated assessment modeling research communities, their approaches to scenario development have historically been quite distinct. However, increasing convergence of impact, adaptation and vulnerability and integrated assessment modeling research in terms of scales of analysis suggests there may be value in the development of a common framework for socioeconomic scenarios. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways represents an opportunity for the development of such a common framework. However, the scales at which these global storylines have been developed are largely incommensurate with the sub-national scales at which impact, adaptation and vulnerability, and increasingly integrated assessment modeling, studies are conducted. Our objective for this study was to develop sub-national and sectoral extensions of the global SSP storylines in order to identify future socioeconomic challenges for adaptation for the U.S. Southeast. A set of nested qualitative socioeconomic storyline elements, integrated storylines, and accompanying quantitative indicators were developed through an application of the Factor-Actor-Sector framework. Finally, in addition to revealing challenges and opportunities associated with the use of the SSPs as a basis for more refined scenario development, this study generated sub-national storyline elements and storylines that can subsequently be used to explore the implications of alternative subnational socioeconomic futures for the assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Optimized Carbon Fiber Intermediate Development to Enable High-Volume Manufacturing of Lightweight Automotive Composites

The ongoing pursuit of improved fuel economy and reduced greenhouse gas emissions has resulted in sustained interest for lightweight materials technologies. In this context, carbon fiber composites have captured the imagination of automotive engineers due to the potential to achieve substantial mass reduction when compared to traditional steel construction. That stated, the use of carbon fiber composites in automotive has been limited for the most part to premium supercars and other derivative platforms. In these cases, manufacturing costs are less of an obstacle to implementation, and the performance benefits of carbon fiber have enabled production of structures offering more than 50% weight savings. In practice, translating these low-volume demonstrations onto high-volume vehicle platforms has remained challenging. This can be attributed to several factors, with the absence of suitable high throughput production methodologies being a key impediment. To date, structural, crash critical components have relied upon manufacturing techniques born out of the aerospace industry. This has created a disconnect between automotive production systems that are accustomed to manufacturing multiple parts per minute and the aerospace technologies that have cycle times in the order of hours. Consequently, the focus of this project is the development of manufacturing process technology for carbon fiber composites that can support a mainstream vehicle program at an assumed throughput of 100,000 vehicles per year. In practice, this translates to a part-to-part cycle time of less than 3 minutes. Project participation included contributions from a broad range of academic, industrial and national lab partners. The primary scope of work, being the development of new carbon fiber epoxy compounds that are stable at room temperature and suited to high throughput automated processing. For project management, the work streams were divided into six key areas, with the lead organization in parentheses. • Carbon fiber/epoxy materials formulation development and scale up (Dow) • Simulation of discontinuous near isotropic meso-structure intermediates (Purdue) • Simulation of mechanical performance of compression molded components (Purdue) • Meso-Scale morphological analysis and correlation with structural performance (UTK) • Paint and adhesion durability analysis (MSU) • Demonstrator part design, prototype production, and validation testing (Ford). The primary goal at the commencement of the project was development of a chopped carbon fiber sheet molding compound (SMC) that offered a three times improvement in tensile modulus over a comparable glass-based SMC. In addition to meeting mechanical performance targets, the resin kinetics were modified to achieve a processing cycle time of less than 3 minutes. Other critical-to-quality (CTQ) specifications were also stipulated to account for a broad range of materials and processing characteristics. To achieve the above, staff scientists at Dow Chemical created an extensive series of new epoxy blends for testing and validation. Throughout this development, a key challenge was attaining material performance goals without impacting processing behavior and paintability of finished components. The latter required a new internal mold release system being developed by Dow that was designed to complement the kinetics of the rapid cure epoxy. As a complement to work studies at the industrial partners, the teams from academia executed a series of analytical and experimental studies to investigate potential factors influencing CF-SMC performance. Unit cell models were developed to capture the meso-scale representations of the fiber matrix architecture. Results of this analysis and subsequent morphological investigations led to the design of a novel composite derivative comprising carbon fiber platelets embedded in an epoxy matrix; the platelet size and aspect ratio playing significant role in final composite properties. This approach was a departure from previous research in CF-SMC development whereby bulk filamentization or disassembly of the carbon fiber rovings had been considered the most effective means of achieving both fiber wet through and wet-out. As the course of the academia studies progressed, the aspect ratio of the fiber constituents was further optimized before finalizing material attributes and processing conditions. For the purposes of technology validation, the Ford team led a work stream devoted to the design, fabrication and testing of demonstration components. The carbon fiber SMC material has the potential to displace numerous stampings and castings on an automotive structure but ultimately vehicle closure applications were selected to showcase the abilities of the CF-SMC to achieve both mass reduction and business case for large complex structures. Using target properties established by the Dow staff scientists, the complete closure system for a full-size sedan decklid and a mid-size wagon liftgate were engineered. Prototypes for both applications were fabricated using production representative processing methods to allow for physical testing and performance validation of the CF-SMC structures. Following completion of a testing program that concluded with a FMVSS301 55 mph offset rear crash, the CF-SMC formulation was declared by the Ford team to have met all engineering requirements. To summarize, the joint development activities during this project led to significant technical breakthroughs and achievement of all milestones. The result was the development of a novel, tack-free carbon fiber molding compound that is suited to automated processing. This combined room temperature stability, fast cure kinetics, and internal mold release system facilitates cycle times that are conducive to high-volume production. The VORAFUSE M6400 successfully passed technology validation at Ford and is now eligible for consideration on future production commercial vehicle programs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Mitigation of Syngas Cooler Plugging and Fouling

This Final Report summarizes research performed to develop a technology to mitigate the plugging and fouling that occurs in the syngas cooler used in many Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC) plants. The syngas cooler is a firetube heat exchanger located downstream of the gasifier. It offers high thermal efficiency, but its’ reliability has generally been lower than other process equipment in the gasification island. The buildup of ash deposits that form on the fireside surfaces in the syngas cooler (i.e., fouling) lead to reduced equipment life and increased maintenance costs. Our approach to address this problem is that fouling of the syngas cooler cannot be eliminated, but it can be better managed. The research program was funded by DOE using two budget periods: Budget Period 1 (BP1) and Budget Period 2 (BP2). The project used a combination of laboratory scale experiments, analysis of syngas cooler deposits, modeling and guidance from industry to develop a better understanding of fouling mechanisms and to develop and evaluate strategies to mitigate syngas cooler fouling and thereby improve syngas cooler performance. The work effort in BP 1 and BP 2 focused on developing a better understanding of the mechanisms that lead to syngas cooler plugging and fouling and investigating promising concepts to mitigate syngas cooler plugging and fouling. The work effort focused on the following: • analysis of syngas cooler deposits and fuels provided by an IGCC plant collaborating with this project; • performing Jet cleaning tests in the University of Utah Laminar Entrained Flow Reactor to determine the bond strength between an ash deposit to a metal plate, as well as implementing planned equipment modifications to the University of Utah Laminar Entrained Flow Reactor and the one ton per day, pressurized Pilot Scale Gasifier; • performing Computational Fluid Dynamic modeling of industrially relevant syngas cooler configurations to develop a better understanding of deposit formation mechanisms; • performing Techno-Economic-Analysis for a representative IGCC plant to investigate the impact on plant economics, in particular the impacts on the Cost of Electricity (COE), due to plant shutdowns caused by syngas cooler plugging and fouling and potential benefits to plant economics of developing strategies to mitigate syngas cooler fouling; and • performing modeling and pilot scale tests to investigate the potential benefits of using a sorbent (fuel additive) to capture the vaporized metals that result in syngas cooler fouling. All project milestones for BP 1 and BP 2 were achieved. DOE was provided a briefing on our accomplishments in BP1 and BP2 and our proposed plans for Budget Period 3 (BP 3). Based on our research the mitigation technology selected to investigate in BP 3 was the use of a sorbent that can be injected into the gasifier with the fuel slurry to capture vaporized metals that lead to the deposit formation in the syngas cooler. The work effort proposed for BP 3 would have focused on addressing concerns raised by gasification industry personnel for the impacts on gasifier performance of sorbent injection, so that at the end of BP 3 the use of sorbent injection would be at “pre-commercial” stage and ready for use in a Field Demonstration that could be funded by industry or DOE. A Budget Continuation Application (BCA) was submitted to obtain funding for BP3 DOE but DOE chose to not fund the proposed BP3 effort.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

A general framework for quantifying uncertainty at scale

Abstract In many fields of science, comprehensive and realistic computational models are available nowadays. Often, the respective numerical calculations call for the use of powerful supercomputers, and therefore only a limited number of cases can be investigated explicitly. This prevents straightforward approaches to important tasks like uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis. This challenge can be overcome via our recently developed sensitivity-driven dimension-adaptive sparse grid interpolation strategy. The method exploits, via adaptivity, the structure of the underlying model (such as lower intrinsic dimensionality and anisotropic coupling of the uncertain inputs) to enable efficient and accurate uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis at scale. Here, we demonstrate the efficiency of this adaptive approach in the context of fusion research, in a realistic, computationally expensive scenario of turbulent transport in a magnetic confinement tokamak device with eight uncertain parameters, reducing the effort by at least two orders of magnitude. In addition, we show that this refinement method intrinsically provides an accurate surrogate model that is nine orders of magnitude cheaper than the high-fidelity model.

Farcaş, Ionuţ-Gabriel (ORCID:0000000238841580)↗

Scalable Yet Rigorous Floating-Point Error Analysis

Automated techniques for rigorous floating-point round-off error analysis are a prerequisite to placing important activities in HPC such as precision allocation, verification and code optimization on a formal footing. Yet existing techniques cannot provide tight bounds for expressions beyond a few dozen operators; barely enough for HPC. In this work, we offer an approach embedded in a new tool called SATIRE that scales error analysis by four orders of magnitude compared to today’s best-of-class tools. We explain how three key ideas underlying SATIRE help it attain such scale: path strength reduction, bound optimization and abstraction. SATIRE provides tight bounds and rigorous guarantees on significantly larger expressions with well over a hundred thousand operators, covering important examples including FFT, matrix multiplication and PDE stencils.

Das, Arnab↗

Bacterial Community Shift and Coexisting/Coexcluding Patterns Revealed by Network Analysis in a Uranium-Contaminated Site after Bioreduction Followed by Reoxidation

A site in Oak Ridge, TN, USA, has sediments that contain >3% iron oxides and is contaminated with uranium (U). The U(VI) was bioreduced to U(IV) and immobilized in situ through intermittent injections of ethanol. It then was allowed to reoxidize via the invasion of low-pH (3.6 to 4.0), high-nitrate (up to 200 mM) groundwater back into the reduced zone for 1,383 days. To examine the biogeochemical response, high-throughput sequencing and network analysis were applied to characterize bacterial population shifts, as well as cooccurrence and coexclusion patterns among microbial communities. A paired t test indicated no significant changes of α-diversity for the bioactive wells. However, both nonmetric multidimensional scaling and analysis of similarity confirmed a significant distinction in the overall composition of the bacterial communities between the bioreduced and the reoxidized sediments. The top 20 major genera accounted for >70% of the cumulative contribution to the dissimilarity in the bacterial communities before and after the groundwater invasion. Castellaniella had the largest dissimilarity contribution (17.7%). For the bioactive wells, the abundance of the U(VI)-reducing genera Geothrix, Desulfovibrio, Ferribacterium, and Geobacter decreased significantly, whereas the denitrifying Acidovorax abundance increased significantly after groundwater invasion. Additionally, seven genera, i.e., Castellaniella, Ignavibacterium, Simplicispira, Rhizomicrobium, Acidobacteria Gp1, Acidobacteria Gp14, and Acidobacteria Gp23, were significant indicators of bioactive wells in the reoxidation stage. Canonical correspondence analysis indicated that nitrate, manganese, and pH affected mostly the U(VI)-reducing genera and indicator genera. Cooccurrence patterns among microbial taxa suggested the presence of taxa sharing similar ecological niches or mutualism/commensalism/synergism interactions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Multi-Scale Modeling Framework for Mercury Biogeochemistry

Multi-Scale modeling of mercury (Hg) geochemical speciation and reactions has been performed by integrating atomistic quantum chemical calculations with continuum scale speciation models. Major progress has been made in the improvement of quantum chemical models to calculate critical thermodynamic data for Hg complexes in aquatic environments. Rapid and reliable quantum chemical approaches have been developed for calculating acid dissociation constants (pK a ) and stability constants (log K), with calculated mean unsigned errors of 0.5 and 1.5 log units, respectively for ligand molecules and Hg complexes. At the continuum scale, systematic analysis of uncertainty propagation in mercury (Hg) speciation modeling has been conducted and was used to identify environmental conditions under which thermodynamic constant uncertainties are significant and recommended to be accounted for. The integrated framework for multi-scale modeling of mercury geochemistry is open to the research community through the web-based multiscale modeling aqueous speciation resource, AQUA-MER. The improved quantum chemical approaches for thermodynamic constant calculations are accessible through AQUA-MER and can be used to provide the missing constants in the continuum scale speciation calculations. In addition to low molecular mass Hg complex speciation, modeling natural aquatic environments also involve the transport of high molecular weight dissolved organic matter (DOM) in reactive flows simultaneously with equilibrium and kinetic reactions. To this end, atomistic MD simulations were performed to capture the details of aggregation, mechanisms and distribution of functional groups in DOM at the molecular level. The elemental composition and calculated bulk properties of the DOM models are in close agreement with experimental measurements. A travel-time based reactive transport model in the hyporheic zone of stream corridors was established for the multicomponent Hg-DOM-S system and implemented through PFLOTRAN.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Contingency Analysis Based on Partitioned and Parallel Holomorphic Embedding

In the steady-state contingency analysis, the traditional Newton-Raphson method suffers from non-convergence issues when solving post-outage power flow problems, which hinders the integrity and accuracy of security assessment. In this paper, we propose a novel robust contingency analysis approach based on holomorphic embedding (HE). Here, the HE-based simulator provides theoretical convergence guarantee, which is desirable because it avoids the influence of numerical issues and provides a credible security assessment conclusion. In addition, based on the multi-area characteristics of real-world power systems, a partitioned HE (PHE) method is proposed with an interfacebased partitioning of HE formulation. The PHE method does not undermine the numerical robustness of HE and significantly reduces the computation burden in large-scale contingency analysis. The PHE method is further enhanced by parallel or distributed computation to become parallel PHE (P2HE). Tests on a 458-bus system, a synthetic 419-bus system and a large-scale 21447-bus system demonstrate the advantages of the proposed methods in robustness and efficiency.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Analysis of High Plains Resource Risk and Economic Impacts

The importance of the High Plains Aquifer is broadly recognized as is its vulnerability to continued overuse. T his study e xplore s how continued depletions of the High Plains Aquifer might impact both critical infrastructure and the economy at the local, r egional , and national scale. This analysis is conducted at the county level over a broad geographic region within the states of Kansas and Nebraska. In total , 140 counties that overlie the High Plains Aquifer in these two states are analyzed. The analysis utilizes future climate projections to estimate crop production. Current water use and management practices are projected into the future to explore their related impact on the High Plains Aquifer , barring any changes in water management practices, regulat ion, or policy. Finally, the impact of declining water levels and even exhaustion of groundwater resources are projected for specific sectors of the economy as well as particular elements of the region's critical infrastructure.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Molecular concentration field design using closed-form steady-state solutions

Control over spatial concentration fields represents a fundamental challenge in designing synthetic biological systems and programmable soft materials. While nature creates morphogen gradients that orchestrate complex developmental processes, synthetic approaches have largely relied on empirical optimization and computationally intensive simulations. Here, we present an analytical framework for steady-state concentration fields generated by finite-sized localized sources in diffusion–degradation systems and derive closed-form solutions for one-, two-, and three-dimensional geometries. By expressing these solutions in dimensionless form, we show that gradient steepness and spatial structure are organized by the Thiele modulus, which captures the competition between diffusion and degradation length scales. The analysis reveals distinct design regimes: in degradation-dominated systems, gradient shape is governed by exponential decay and becomes dimension-independent, whereas in diffusion-dominated systems, gradient magnitude and extent follow dimension-dependent power-law scaling. Building on these results, we introduce a quantitative design strategy that uses threshold-based criteria to program concentration ranges by tuning physically accessible parameters, most directly the production rate, while holding transport and degradation properties fixed. Comparisons with numerical solutions and reported experimental systems demonstrate consistency with the predicted scaling behavior. Together, this work provides a generalizable and physically transparent framework for designing steady-state concentration fields in synthetic biological and soft matter systems, enabling predictive control of gradient-mediated organization without reliance on extensive numerical optimization.

Kim, Dong Woo [Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore↗

Adaptive Computing for Scale-Up Problems

Adaptive Computing is an application-agnostic outer loop framework to strategically deploy simulations and experiments to guide decision making for scale-up analysis. Resources are allocated over successive batches, which makes the allocation adaptive to some objective such as optimization or model training. The framework enables the characterization and management of uncertainties associated with predictive models of complex systems when scale-up questions lead to significant model extrapolation. A key advancement of this framework is its integration of multi-fidelity surrogate modeling, uncertainty management, and automated orchestration of various computing and experimentation resources into a single integrated software package. This enables efficient multi-fidelity modeling across multiple computing resources by incorporating real-world constraints such as relative queue times and throughput on individual machines into the multi-fidelity sampling decision. We discuss applications of this framework to problems in the renewable energy space, including biofuels production, material synthesis, perovskite crystal growth, and building electrical loads.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Dimensionality Reduction Library v 0.2

Dimensionality Reduction Library is a C++ library for dimensionality reduction. In the context of this library, dimensionality reduction is considered to consist of 1)estimation of the intrinsic dimensionality using sampled data, 2) Finding maps that reduce the dimensionality of data (forward map) or increase the dimensionality of data (reverse map) and 3) mapping arbitray coordinates to high and low dimensionalities. The library is intended to provide a consistent interface to multiple dimensionality reduction algorithms with an efficient C++ interface that runs efficiently on multicore architectures. A few routines have been optimized with an option for GPU acceleration or distributed computation. Currently the library offers intrinsic dimensionality estimation using point-PCA reconstruction error and/ residual variance. The following dimensionality reduction methods have been implemented: Principal Component Analysis Multidimensional Scaling Locally Linear Embedding IsoMap Autoencoder Neutral Networks An executable is also supplied that can be built to allow for command-line access to the library routines. A description for an application of the library for molecular structure analysis has been published.

BROWN, WILLIAM↗