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DOE OSTI2023

Multi-scale Dynamics of Kinetic Turbulence in Weakly Collisional, High-Beta Plasmas (Final Report for DOE Grant DE-SC0019046)

This grant was a collaborative grant between Prof Matt Kunz (Princeton) and Prof. Eliot Quataert. Quataert was initially a faculty member at UC Berkeley when the grant was funded but moved to Princeton during the timeframe of this grant. Over the course of this grant we made major progress on understanding turbulence and multi-scale dynamics in weakly collisional high-beta plasmas. The most important contributions included: We developed one of the most compelling theoretical explanations for a decades-old puzzle at the heart of our understanding of the origin of the solar wind. The puzzle is that many of the observations of ion temperatures and distribution functions in the solar wind are consistent with cyclotron resonant heating. However, theoretical models of MHD turbulence in the solar wind show that most of the turbulent energy remains at low frequencies below the cyclotron frequency. In Squire et al. (2022), we showed, however, that in imbalanced turbulence (in which there is an asymmetry in the Alfven-wave flux in opposite directions along the magnetic field), which is the norm in the fast solar wind, the turbulent energy reaches a ‘bottleneck’ near the ion Larmor radius, and the amplitude and characteristic frequency of the fluctuations grow until the cyclotron frequency is reached.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Equitable Electrification Analysis for Existing Buildings in Richmond, CA

Over a 12-month period beginning in July 2022, NREL coordinated with a coalition of staff from the City of Richmond and local community organizations to develop and conduct a city-wide building energy use analysis and develop and assess the impacts of various approaches to electrifying and improving energy efficiency of all existing residential and commercial buildings within the city limits. Building on data available through NREL's ResStock™ and ComStock™ analysis tools, the authors looked at potential modeled impacts of building envelope and electrification upgrades on five indicators identified by the community coalition: building energy consumption, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, utility bill charges and cost-effectiveness, employment impacts, and health and safety impacts. This report summarizes the findings of that research and analysis.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Developing and Evaluating a Smart Curtailment Strategy Integrated with a Wind Turbine Manufacturer Platform

The Renewable Energy Wildlife Institute lead a team of scientists, wind developers, and turbine manufacturers in a study to develop and test a “smart curtailment” system intended to help reduce bat collisions with wind turbines. The Vestas Bat Protection System (VBPS) is a newly developed software module within the Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) system of Vestas turbines. The VBPS combines data from commercially available environmental sensors and the turbine’s built-in sensors with the Vestas SCADA system. VBPS is designed to receive environmental data from sensors on the turbine such as temperature, wind speed, wind direction, time of day, and time of year, relays that information to the SCADA system to determine whether to execute turbine curtailments at any given time. The goals of this study were to 1) develop a bat fatality risk model based on bat activity data and environmental data collected in year 1, and to 2) evaluate the VBPS, using the bat fatality risk model to implement curtailment, in comparison to “blanket curtailment” (turbines curtailed when wind speed is below 5.0 meters per second (m/s)) and “control” (normally operating, feathered below 3.0 m/s) turbines in year 2. The field study took place at a wind energy facility in Iowa during the fall bat migration seasons (July – October) in 2021 and 2022. For VBPS to succeed as a viable strategy for the minimization of bat fatalities, it should meet or exceed the performance of blanket curtailment. Specifically, the VBPS should meet the following performance targets to demonstrate whether it an effective, practical risk reduction measure: (1) Turbines operating VBPS should have equal or fewer bat fatalities compared to turbines operating with blanket curtailment, and significantly fewer bat fatalities compared to control turbines; and (2) Turbines operating VBPS should have greater power production compared to turbines operating with blanket curtailment. The study was completed in accordance with the Statement of Project Objectives and within the terms of the Budget Justification. This Final Report describes the progress, challenges, and outcomes of the study.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Simulating excited-state complex ensembles: Fluorescence and solvatochromism in amine-arene exciplexes

Exciplexes are excited-state complexes formed as a result of partial charge transfer from the donor to the acceptor species when one moiety of the donor–acceptor pair is electronically excited. The arene–amine exciplex formed between oligo-(p-phenylene) (OPP) and triethylamine (TEA) is of interest in the catalytic photoreduction of CO2 because it can compete with complete electron transfer to the OPP catalyst. Therefore, formation of the exciplex can hinder the generation of a radical anion OPP·− necessary for subsequent CO2 reduction. We report an implementation of a workflow automating quantum-chemistry calculations that generate and characterize an ensemble of structures to represent this exciplex state. We use FireWorks, Pymatgen, and Custodian Python packages for high-throughput ensemble generation. The workflow includes time-dependent density functional theory optimization, verification of excited-state minima, and exciplex characterization with natural transition orbitals, exciton analysis, excited-state Mulliken charges, and energy decomposition analysis. Fluorescence spectra computed for these ensembles using Boltzmann-weighted contributions of each structure agree better with experiment than our previous calculations based on a single representative exciplex structure [Kron et al., J. Phys. Chem. A 126, 2319–2329 (2022)]. The ensemble description of the exciplex state also reproduces an experimentally observed red shift of the emission spectrum of [OPP-4–TEA]* relative to [OPP-3–TEA]*. The workflow developed here streamlines otherwise labor-intensive calculations that would require significant user involvement and intervention.

Chemistry↗

NASA NTRS2023

Fire in the Arctic: Current Trends and Future Pathways

Wildland fires in the Arctic are expected to become more frequent and more severe. In recent years, extreme fire seasons have been documented across the Pan-Arctic and boreal in five of the last seven years – including large wildfires in Greenland in 2017 and 2019 over tundra and high carbon soil landscapes and an earlier start of extreme fire seasons in 2023. Future Arctic and boreal fire regimes will experience increased fire risk though the end of this century (McCarty et al., 2021, Senande-Rivera et al., 2022). The main factors affecting the severity and frequency of wildland fires are fuels (vegetated biomass and type of biomass) and fuel condition (dryness), fire weather conditions (relative humidity, drought, precipitation), and ignition (human-caused, lightning). Climate change directly influences all of these drivers, and indirectly also some human-caused ignitions.

Fire↗

DOE OSTI2023

CRADA Number NFE-20-08292 with Quantum Lock Technologies LLC (CRADA Final Report)

At Quantum Lock Technologies, our mission is to use future-proof hardware and software to bridge the gap between physical access control and cyber security. Physical security includes access to doors, lockboxes/containers, and machinery/robots. Connecting physical access control to the cloud allows for remote detection, fast ledger updates, and mobile or remote access. However, this also opens physical security up to the world of cyber-attacks. At Quantum Lock, we use quantum random number generation to generate completely random and unpredictable digital keys to be used by connected equipment in a facility. This quantum technology is then paired with end-to-end encryption and a one-time-key communication protocol to ensure the highest level of security. Through the Innovation Crossroads program at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, we have developed benchtop prototypes of our technology, connected with utility boards as our first target customers, and prepared for our first pilot with customers (target end of summer 2022).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Quantum Lock Technologies: Innovation Crossroads Final Report

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

DOE OSTI2023

Quantum Lock Technologies: Innovation Crossroads Final CRADA Report

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Measurement of inclusive and differential cross sections for W + W − production in proton-proton collisions at $\sqrt{s} = 13$ TeV

Measurements at $\sqrt{s} = 13$ TeV of the opposite-sign W boson pair production cross section in proton-proton collisions are presented. The data used in this study were collected with the CMS detector at the CERN LHC in 2022, and correspond to an integrated luminosity of 34.8 fb -1 . Events are selected by requiring one electron and one muon of opposite charge. A maximum likelihood fit is performed on signal- and background-enriched data categories defined by the flavor and charge of the leptons, the number of jets, and number of jets originating from b quarks. The overall sensitivity is significantly better than that of previous results with a similar integrated luminosity. The improvement comes from a more refined control of experimental uncertainties and an improved fit strategy. An inclusive W + W - production cross section of 125.7 ± 5.6 pb is measured, in agreement with standard model predictions. Cross sections are also reported in a fiducial region close to that of the detector acceptance, both inclusively and differentially, as a function of the jet multiplicity in the event. For the first time in proton-proton collisions, WW events with zero, one, and at least two jets are studied simultaneously and compared with recent theoretical predictions.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Raw soil carbon dioxide, moisture, temperature and micrometeorological data in the East River Watershed, Colorado June 2021-June 2024. (DE-SC0021139)

This dataset contains raw data from four tripod stations along an elevation gradient on Snodgrass Mountain in the East River Watershed, CO, USA. Each station contains a datalogger connected to 3 soil Carbon Dioxide CO2 gas probes, 3 soil temperature/moisture sensors and a micrometeorological station. Sensors are scanned every minute, and the 30 minute average is reported. The file snodgrass_soil_ESS.csv contains raw data, a row of column descriptors, and units of measurements. some data processing and QA/QC was done to filter out data from sensors that went bad and extreme outliers. CO2 sensors that went bad were replaced with new sensors as soon as possible. This research was performed to investigate the ecohydrological linkages of belowground carbon processes in the East River watershed forested communities to better understand how these ecosystems will respond to a changing cold-season moisture input. This is the second version of this data set and was modified on 10/01/2024. The primary change in the data was the addition of data from the fall of 2022 to June of 2024. In addition, minor QA/QC was done to filter out data from sensors that went bad and extreme outliers. THe filtered data are now NA's in this data frame and primarily the CO2 sensors. Limited to no QA/QC has been done on the other environmental data. This is now the third version of the data set, and was modified 03/25/2026. The primary change in the data was the addition of data from the June of 2024 to December 2025. Further r QA/QC was done with the new data to filter out bad data from faulty sensors and extreme outliers. The filtered data are now NA's in this data frame and primarily the CO2 sensors. Limited to no QA/QC has been done on the other environmental data. ##This additional data was funded under DE-SC0024218( Responses of Plant and Microbial Respiration Sources to Changing Cold Season Climate Drivers in the East River Watershed)

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Willingness to Receive mHealth Services Among Patients with Diabetes on Chronic Follow-up in Public Hospitals in Eastern Ethiopia: Multicenter Mixed-Method Study

Background: Management of diabetes requires a long-term care strategy, including support for adherence to a healthy lifestyle and treatment. Exploring the willingness of patients with diabetes to receive mHealth services is essential for designing efficient and effective services. This study aimedto determine willingness to receive mHealth services and associated factors, as well as explore the barriers to receive mHealth services among patients with diabetes. Methods: A multicenter mixed-method study was employed from September 1 to November 30, 2022. For the quantitative part, a total of 365 patients with diabetes receiving chronic follow-up at three public hospitals were enrolled. Data were gathered using structured questionnaires administered by interviewers, entered into Epi-data version 4.6, and analyzed using Stata version 17. A binary and multivariable logistic regression model was computed to identify the associated factors. For qualitative, eight key informants and seven in-depth interviews were conducted. After verbatim transcription and translation, the data were thematically analyzed using ATLAS.ti V. 7.5. Results: Overall, 77.3% had access to a mobile phone, and 74.5% of them were willing to receive mHealth services. Higher odds of willingness to receive mHealth services were reported among patients with an age below 35 years [AOR = 4.11 (1.15– 14.71)], attended formal education [AOR = 2.63 (1.19– 5.77)], without comorbidity [AOR = 3.6 (1.54– 8.41)], < 1-hour travel to reach a health facility [AOR = 3.57 (1.03– 12.36)], answered unknown calls [AOR = 2.3 (1.04– 5.13)], and were satisfied with health-care provider service [AOR = 2.44 (1.04– 5.72)]. In the qualitative part, infrastructure, health facilities, socioeconomic factors, and patients’ behavioral factors were major identified barriers to receiving mHealth services. Conclusion: In this study, the willingness to receive mHealth services for those who have access to mobile phones increased. Additionally, the study highlighted common barriers to receiving mHealth services.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Earthquake Relocation in Rock Valley, NV Using Absolute and Differential Times

In this brief report we document algorithmic choices and updates to our code related to the earthquake relocation portion of our tomographic imaging algorithm. We show results of these improvements by relocating over 40,000 events located within 20-30 km of the Rock Valley Direct Comparison (RV/DC) site using both absolute and differential arrival times within the context of two different 3-D Earth models. Accurate hypocentral locations and Earth models are important to the ultimate goals of the RV/DC program, which will co-locate a chemical explosion with a shallow earthquake within Rock Valley, southern Nevada, to investigate differences between the source types and improve our analysis algorithms for both types (Snelson et al., 2022). Our improvements to our relocation algorithms comprise just one step toward achieving these goals

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Linking international technical specifications for acoustic characterization of marine energy converter sounds with environmental compliance criteria

As new ocean energy technologies emerge and are deployed for testing and operations, sound emissions are a potential concern for environmental effects to marine life. Consistent acoustic measurement and data analysis methods can help promote comparisons of technologies and transferability between project sites. In 2022, acoustic emissions from a prototype scale wave energy converter (WEC) were characterized for a range of environmental conditions and power generation states in the coastal waters off southern California using a set of international technical specifications. Results from the international technical specification analyses were applied to United States regulatory threshold criteria for acoustic impacts to marine mammals and examined in the context of European underwater noise monitoring guidelines. Weighted 24 hour cumulative sound exposure levels SEL24h calculated from the highest power generation state WEC sound pressure levels were often more than 20 dB below threshold criteria for temporary threshold shifts in five relevant marine mammal hearing groups. Following European Union recommendations for analyses and reporting, WEC sound characterization in third octave bands centered at 63 Hz and 125 Hz show clear spatial decay of WEC-generated noise, with more pronounced attenuation at 63 Hz, and a less marked but still detectable gradient at 125 Hz, collectively suggesting a relatively confined acoustic footprint under the observed conditions. The value of the international technical specification approach is highlighted by the isolation of WEC sounds from the surrounding soundscape. This allows for a robust characterization of acoustic emissions through a range of device power generation and sea states. Furthermore, in threshold-based regulatory contexts like the U.S., this facilitates direct evaluation of source contributions, while in broader monitoring frameworks used in the E.U. it provides a reproducible foundation for assessing the contribution of emerging ocean energy technologies to the underwater acoustic environment.

Haxel, Joseph H. (ORCID:0000000273864761)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Nuclear Energy Cost Estimates for Net Zero World Initiative

This report provides recommended parameters for incorporating nuclear energy systems into decarbonization modeling scenarios. The values are primarily intended for the Net Zero World (NZW) Initiative but are expected to prove useful to other related efforts. Both costs and operational metrics are provided in the study. Several cost factors, namely overnight capital costs (OCC) and operational costs are taken to be country specific. OCC is defined as the value of building the reactor in one night considering all costs prior to the start of operations including fuel for the initial core load. The value assumes the build is neither a first nor a ‘Nth’ of a kind, but somewhere in between. All costs are escalated to 2022 USD values.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Hydropower Supply Chain Gap Analysis

In 2022, DOE conducted supply chain "deep dives" for renewable energy technologies, including hydropower (Uria-Martinez, Hydropower Industry Supply Chain Deep Dive Assessment 2022). The deep dive identified several challenges in the current hydropower supply chain. In addition, Nguyen et. al (2022) conducted an analogous deep-dive assessment on large (> 100-MW) power transformers (LPTs), a critical component of hydropower installations, and concluded that the LPTs as well as several upstream components and materials also have domestic supply chain challenges. These deep dives were the initial high-level assessments of these supply chains and were focused on identifying the biggest issues. Both recommended further investigation. In the two years since the deep dives were published, the Water Power Technologies Office (WPTO) has focused on improving our understanding of the hydropower supply chain and developing strategies for addressing these challenges. Because the challenges outlined above are most acute for large hydropower systems, most of the report and specifically, this report concentrates on the larger > 100-MW hydropower systems. Early in 2023, DOE's Secretary of Energy asked the Water Power Technologies Office (WPTO) to engage the hydropower community and seek input on strategies to secure and encourage domestic manufacturing. WPTO has established three focus areas for engagement: 1) Define the market for planned rehabilitations and new construction of the domestic fleet, 2) Provide insights for policies, incentives, loan programs, and technology investments to encourage domestic content, and 3) Define the existing and required domestic hydropower manufacturing capabilities and workforce. This report summarizes these efforts and complements the earlier work by further exploring the identified challenges and identifying potential actions to address these challenges. Furthermore, we conducted a detailed gap analysis of the domestic hydropower supply chain, down to the component level. From this analysis, we then make specific, actionable recommendations for closing these gaps. Section 2 of the report summarizes recent (i.e., since 2021) legislation impacting hydropower deployment and/or its supply chain. It then describes the efforts of WPTO to assess and improve the hydropower supply chain since the publication of the deep-dive assessments. In Section 3, the report updates the earlier supply chain and market studies, identifying specific capabilities by company and location. Section 4 outlines the hydropower demand signal for both new builds due to clean energy goals as well as refurbishments and upgrading of the current domestic fleet. Section 5 is a detailed gap analysis while Section 6 provides actionable recommendations for closing the gaps. Section 7 concludes the report by linking the recommendations to the identified gaps and discusses future efforts.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

The Path to Global Discovery: U.S. Leadership and Partnership in Particle Physics

In February 2022, HEPAP, the High Energy Physics Advisory Panel to DOE (Department of Energy) and NSF (National Science Foundation), was charged with forming a subpanel to conduct an international benchmarking study to evaluate U.S. leadership in particle physics in a global context (Appendix D). HEPAP formed an International Benchmarking Subpanel and gathered qualitative and quantitative data from the international particle physics community to 1) determine how the U.S. particle physics program can maintain critical international cooperation in an increasingly competitive environment for both talent and resources, 2) identify key areas where the U.S. has or could aspire to leadership roles, and 3) determine how programs and facilities can be structured to attract and retain talented people. This report also serves as input to P5 (Particle Physics Project Prioritization Panel), a subpanel of HEPAP that defines the strategic scientific direction for the U.S. particle physics program.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2024

One Year In: Tracking the Impacts of NEM 3.0 on California’s Residential Solar Market

On December 15, 2022, the California Public Utilities Commission passed an overhaul of the net metering program for the state’s investor-owned utilities. The changes replaced the long-standing net energy metering (NEM) tariffs with a net billing tariff (NBT) structure—colloquially known as “NEM 3.0”—which significantly reduces the compensation for behind-the-meter solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. The NEM tariffs remained open for new interconnection applications until April 15, 2023, but after that date, all new interconnection applications were submitted under NBT. Now, one year later, we have an opportunity to evaluate how the California solar market has evolved under this new compensation regime. As a precursor to its annual Tracking the Sun report, Berkeley Lab has released a short technical brief describing key trends in the California residential solar market since the roll-out of the new NBT structure. The purpose of this analysis is to provide empirical insights into how the market has evolved over the past year, confirming some expectations while also revealing several striking surprises.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Simulation of dislocation evolution in microparticle impacts over a wide range of impact velocities

We report the dynamic loading environment created by high velocity microparticle impacts is very difficult to model. The extremely high strain rates, large deformations, and high temperatures affect the flow stress of the material in ways that standard flow stress models cannot capture. Plastic deformation and strain hardening in metals is controlled by the motion of dislocations. Dislocations can be nucleated, stored as forest dislocations, or be annihilated as loading progresses. A comprehensive accounting of dislocation density change is needed to accurately describe rate and temperature dependent dislocation glide and evolution across the wide rage of loading conditions present in microparticle impact problems. Therefore, we implement and apply a newly proposed flow stress model (Hunter and Preston, 2015, 2022) that is then coupled with mobile and immobile dislocation density evolution equations. This model is implemented in Los Alamos National Laboratory’s hydrodynamics code, FLAG, to model copper-on-copper microparticle impacts. This new strength model allows for accurate simulation of particle rebound and flattening across a wide range of impact velocities.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗