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At least 1,099 records · Page 61

A crack-closure model for predicting fatigue crack growth under aircraft spectrum loading

The present paper is concerned with the development and application of an analytical model of cyclic crack growth that includes the effects of crack closure. The model was based on a concept like the Dugdale model, but was modified to leave plastically deformed material in the wake of the advancing crack tip. The model was used to correlate crack growth rates under constant-amplitude loading and to predict crack growth under aircraft spectrum loading on 2219-T851 aluminum alloy plate material. The predicted crack growth lives agreed well with experimental data. The ratio of predicted-to-experimental lives ranged from 0.66 to 1.48.

Newman, J. C., Jr.↗

A preliminary correlation of the orbiter stability and control aerodynamics from the first two Space Shuttle flights /STS-1 & 2/ with preflight predictions

A correlation of the stability and control derivatives from flight (STS-1 & 2) with preflight predictions is presented across the Mach range from 0.9 to 25. Flight data obtained from specially designed flight test maneuvers as well as from conventional bank maneuvers generally indicate good agreement with predicted data. However, the vehicle appears to be lateral-directionally more stable than predicted in the transonic regime. Aerodynamic 'reasonableness tests' are employed to test for validity of flight data. The importance of testing multiple models in multiple wind tunnels at the same test conditions is demonstrated.

Underwood, J. M.↗

Real time prediction of marine vessel motions using Kalman filtering techniques

The present investigation is concerned with the prediction of the future behavior of a vessel within some confidence bounds at a specific instant of time, taking into account an interval of a few seconds. The ability to predict accurately the motions of a vessel can reduce significantly the probability of failure of operations in rough seas. The investigation was started as part of an effort to ensure safe landing of aircraft on relatively small vessels. However, the basic principles involved in the study are the same for any offshore operation, such as carbo transfer in the open sea, structure installation, and floating crane operation. The Kalman filter is a powerful tool for achieving the goals of the prediction procedure. Attention is given to a linear optimal predictor, the equations of motion of the vessel, the wave spectrum, rational approximation, the use of Kalman filter and predictor in an application for a ship, and the motions of a semisubmersible.

Triantafyllou, M. S.↗

Finite element models for predicting crack growth characteristics in composite materials

Two dimensional and quasi-three dimensional, linear elastic finite element models for the prediction of crack growth characteristics, including crack growth direction, in laminated composite materials are presented. Mixed mode crack growth in isotropic materials, unidirectional and laminated composites is considered. The modified crack closure method is used to predict the applied load level for crack extension and two failure theories, modifications of the point stress and the Hashin failure criteria, are proposed to predict the direction of crack extension in composites. Comparisons are made with the Tsai-Wu failure criterion and the Sih strain energy density criterion as well as with experimental results. It is shown that the modified versions of point stress and Hashin criteria compare well with experiment.

Buczek, M. B.↗

Evaluation of the synoptic and mesoscale predictive capabilities of a mesoscale atmospheric simulation system

The overall performance characteristics of a limited area, hydrostatic, fine (52 km) mesh, primitive equation, numerical weather prediction model are determined in anticipation of satellite data assimilations with the model. The synoptic and mesoscale predictive capabilities of version 2.0 of this model, the Mesoscale Atmospheric Simulation System (MASS 2.0), were evaluated. The two part study is based on a sample of approximately thirty 12h and 24h forecasts of atmospheric flow patterns during spring and early summer. The synoptic scale evaluation results benchmark the performance of MASS 2.0 against that of an operational, synoptic scale weather prediction model, the Limited area Fine Mesh (LFM). The large sample allows for the calculation of statistically significant measures of forecast accuracy and the determination of systematic model errors. The synoptic scale benchmark is required before unsmoothed mesoscale forecast fields can be seriously considered.

Koch, S. E.↗

Calculations of reliability predictions for the Apollo spacecraft

A new method of reliability prediction for complex systems is defined. Calculation of both upper and lower bounds are involved, and a procedure for combining the two to yield an approximately true prediction value is presented. Both mission success and crew safety predictions can be calculated, and success probabilities can be obtained for individual mission phases or subsystems. Primary consideration is given to evaluating cases involving zero or one failure per subsystem, and the results of these evaluations are then used for analyzing multiple failure cases. Extensive development is provided for the overall mission success and crew safety equations for both the upper and lower bounds.

Amstadter, B. L.↗

Confined swirling flow predictions

The validity of flowfield predictions resulting from the choice of inlet velocity profiles is assessed. Results demonstrate that realistic predictions are forthcoming only from the inclusion of realistic axial, radial and swirl velocity profiles as inlet conditions. Predictions are then exhibited for a range of swirl strengths phi = 0, 38, 45, 60 and 70 degrees using measured inlet axial, radial and swirl velocity profiles in each case. Downstream nozzle effects (two blockage size at two axial locations) are included. The ensuing flowfields are characterized via velocity profiles and streamline patterns, and illustrate the large-scale effects of inlet swirl and outlet nozzles on flowfields.

Abujelala, M. T.↗

On the feasibility of real-time prediction of aircraft carrier motion at sea

Landing aircraft on board carriers is a most delicate phase of flight operations at sea. The ability to predict the aircraft carrier's motion over an interval of several seconds within reasonable error bounds may allow an improvement in touchdown dispersion and reduce the value of the ramp clearance due to a smoother aircraft trajectory. Also, improved information to the landing signal officer should decrease the number of waveoffs substantially. This paper indicates and shows quantitatively that, based upon the power density spectrum data for pitch and heave measured for various ships and sea conditions, the motion can be predicted well, for up to 15 s. Moreover, the zero crossover times for both pitch and heave motions can be predicted with impressive accuracy. The predictor was designed on the basis of Kalman's optimum filtering theory (the discrete time case), being compatible with real-time digital computer operation.

Sidar, M. M.↗

Measurements and predictions of turboprop noise at high cruise speed

Acoustic tests of advanced turboprop (Prop-Fan) models have taken place in or on three facilities: an acoustic wind tunnel, an aerodynamic wind tunnel, and a flight vehicle. Comparisons of data from the three facilities are made for two model designs, the unswept SR-2 and the swept SR-3. The importance of noise propagation through the boundary layer to microphones mounted on the surface of a flight vehicle is discussed and limited comparisons between predictions and measurements are shown. It is concluded that existing methodology is adequate for predictions at high cruise Mach number and that further development is required to improve the methodology for predicting fuselage and wind tunnel boundary layer propagation effects.

Metzger, F. B.↗

Stellar coronae - What can be predicted with minimum flux models?

In order to determine the possible errors of various minimum flux corona (MFC) predictions, MFC models are compared with a grid of detailed coronal models covering a range of two orders of magnitude in coronal heating and damping length values. The MFC concept is totally unreliable in the prediction of mass loss and the relative importance of various kinds of energy losses, and MFC predictions for the mass loss rate and energy losses due to stellar wind can be wrong by many orders of magnitude. It is suggested that for future applications, the unreliable MFC formulas should be replaced by a grid of related models accounting for the coronal dependence on damping length, such as the models underlying the present study.

Hammer, R.↗

Application of a full potential method for predicting supersonic flow fields and aerodynamic characteristics

A nonlinear aerodynamic prediction technique which solves the conservative full potential equation has been applied to the analysis of three waverider configurations. This technique was selected based on its capability to analyze the off-design characteristics of the waveriders. Very good correlations were achieved with surface pressure data for both the Mach 4 elliptic cone waverider and the Mach 6 caret-wing derivative. Off-design Mach number and angle-of-attack pressure correlations were very good for the elliptic cone waverider. The range of correlation with data exceeded that expected based on the theory limitations. A surface pressure integration routine was demonstrated and agreement between predicted aerodynamic forces and experimental force data for the Mach 4 waverider was excellent. Analysis of a nonconical waverider configuration was initiated where a discrete input option is used to achieve the computational gridding. Preliminary analysis of this configuration indicates the correct shock location will be predicted.

Jones, K. M.↗

Satellite drag prediction effects on Shuttle mission planning

Long-term factors, along with Shuttle performance limitations, are considered in order to illustrate the need for more reliable long-term drag (meaning 'solar cycle') prediction techniques. Such techniques would make it possible to confidently plan dual-objective Shuttle flights, which maximize Shuttle cargo loadings and thus reduce costs. In describing the coupled mission concept, it is pointed out that by deploying one payload while retrieving or servicing another, the Space Transportation System can maximize the usefulness of the Shuttle and reduce the cost per customer. It is shown here that the proposed mission coupling LDEF (Long Duration Exposure Facility) with ST (Space Telescope) must be rejected since the Shuttle performance limitations prohibit deployment of the ST at even 315 n mi with a subsequent LDEF retrieval. If, however, it were possible to predict solar cycles, then, depending on the prediction, a mission of this type could be feasible.

Young, K. A.↗

TAS: A Transonic Aircraft/Store flow field prediction code

A numerical procedure has been developed that has the capability to predict the transonic flow field around an aircraft with an arbitrarily located, separated store. The TAS code, the product of a joint General Dynamics/NASA ARC/AFWAL research and development program, will serve as the basis for a comprehensive predictive method for aircraft with arbitrary store loadings. This report described the numerical procedures employed to simulate the flow field around a configuration of this type. The validity of TAS code predictions is established by comparison with existing experimental data. In addition, future areas of development of the code are outlined. A brief description of code utilization is also given in the Appendix. The aircraft/store configuration is simulated using a mesh embedding approach. The computational domain is discretized by three meshes: (1) a planform-oriented wing/body fine mesh, (2) a cylindrical store mesh, and (3) a global Cartesian crude mesh. This embedded mesh scheme enables simulation of stores with fins of arbitrary angular orientation.

Thompson, D. S.↗

Prediction of vortex shedding from circular and noncircular bodies in supersonic flow

An engineering prediction method and associated computer code NOZVTX to predict nose vortex shedding from circular and noncircular bodies in supersonic flow at angles of attack and roll are presented. The body is represented by either a supersonic panel method for noncircular cross sections or line sources and doublets for circular cross sections, and the lee side vortex wake is modeled by discrete vortices in crossflow planes. The three-dimensional steady flow problem is reduced to a two-dimensional, unsteady, separated flow problem for solution. Comparison of measured and predicted surface pressure distributions, flow field surveys, and aerodynamic characteristics is presented for bodies with circular and noncircular cross-sectional shapes.

Mendenhall, M. R.↗

Potential impact of remote sensing data on sea-state analysis and prediction

The severe North Atlantic storm which damaged the ocean liner Queen Elizabeth 2 (QE2) was studied to assess the impact of remotely sensed marine surface wind data obtained by SEASAT-A, on sea state specifications and forecasts. Alternate representations of the surface wind field in the QE2 storm were produced from the SEASAT enhanced data base, and from operational analyses based upon conventional data. The wind fields were used to drive a high resolution spectral ocean surface wave prediction model. Results show that sea state analyses would have been vastly improved during the period of storm formation and explosive development had remote sensing wind data been available in real time. A modest improvement in operational 12 to 24 hour wave forecasts would have followed automatically from the improved initial state specification made possible by the remote sensing data in both numerical and sea state prediction models. Significantly improved 24 to 48 hour wave forecasts require in addition to remote sensing data, refinement in the numerical and physical aspects of weather prediction models.

Cardone, V. J.↗

Evaluation of ride quality prediction methods for helicopter interior noise and vibration environments

The results of a simulator study conducted to compare and validate various ride quality prediction methods for use in assessing passenger/crew ride comfort within helicopters are presented. Included are results quantifying 35 helicopter pilots discomfort responses to helicopter interior noise and vibration typical of routine flights, assessment of various ride quality metrics including the NASA ride comfort model, and examination of possible criteria approaches. Results of the study indicated that crew discomfort results from a complex interaction between vibration and interior noise. Overall measures such as weighted or unweighted root-mean-square acceleration level and A-weighted noise level were not good predictors of discomfort. Accurate prediction required a metric incorporating the interactive effects of both noise and vibration. The best metric for predicting crew comfort to the combined noise and vibration environment was the NASA discomfort index.

Leatherwood, J. D.↗

Predictability experiments using a low order empirically corrected dynamical model

It is generally accepted that day to day weather variations possess a finite range of predictability estimated to be approximately two weeks (e.g., Lorenz, 1965). However, considerable observational evidence points to the existence of a number of low frequency flow regimes which are potentially predictable beyond this limit. These include blocking events and teleconnection patterns such as those described in Wallace and Gutzler (1981). The problem of the predictability of such modes is addressed by employing a highly simplified dynamical model projected onto the modes of interest. These modes are computed from an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of 10-day averaged anomalies (deviations from the mean seasonal cycle) of the 500 mb stream function for the winters of 1967-76. The first three EOF's are associated with an index cycle and some of the teleconnection patterns. The fourth and ninth are related to North Pacific and North Atlantic blocking, respectively.

Schubert, S.↗

Prediction of fatigue crack-growth patterns and lives in three-dimensional cracked bodies

Fatigue crack growth patterns and lives for surface cracks, surface cracks at holes, and corner cracks at holes in three dimensional bodies were predicted using linear-elastic fracture mechanics concepts that were modified to account for crack-closure behavior. The predictions were made by using stress intensity factor equations for these crack configurations and the fatigue crack-growth (delta K against rate) relationship for the material of interest. The crack configurations were subjected to constant-amplitude fatigue loading under either remote tension or bending loads. The predicted crack growth patterns and crack growth lives for aluminum alloys agreed well with test data from the literature.

Newman, J. C., Jr.↗