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At least 1,099 records · Page 61

Error-Level-Controlled Synthetic Forecasts for Renewable Generation

Renewable energy resources, including solar and wind energy, play a significant role in sustainable energy systems. However, the inherent uncertainty and intermittency of renewable generation pose challenges to the safe and efficient operation of power systems. Recognizing the importance of short-term (hours ahead) renewable generation forecasting in power systems operation, it becomes crucial to address the potential inaccuracies in these forecasts. To systematically evaluate the performance of controllers in the presence of imperfect forecasts, we generate synthetic forecasts using actual renewable generation profiles (one from solar and one from wind). These synthetic forecasts incorporate different levels of statistical error, allowing us to control and manipulate the accuracy of the predictions. The primary objective is to employ synthetic forecasts with controlled yet realistic error levels to systematically investigate how controllers adapt to variations in forecast accuracy, providing valuable insights into their robustness and effectiveness under real-world conditions.

Array↗

Methanol Production Based on Direct-Flow Gas Generator and Nuclear Reactor

A nuclear technological complex for producing liquid fuel (methanol) from synthesis gas, obtained in a direct-flow gas generator from coal obtained from the Borodinskoe deposit, is presented. The thermal energy required for the process is delivered from a nuclear reactor with liquid-metal coolant at temperature 700°C. A water-coal suspension with coal-to-water mass ratio 1:4 is delivered into the gas generator along a spiral coil placed in a ring casing into which the warming coolant from the nuclear reactor is delivered. Material and thermal balance of the gas generator is obtained. The synthesis gas at the exit from the gas generator passes through a purification apparatus. Methanol is obtained on a copper catalyst in a circulation reactor at pressure 3 MPa and temperature 270°C. The power of the nuclear reactor is 100 MW. The capacity of the complex is 248 tons/day of methanol.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Scenario generation for stochastic optimization problems via the sparse grid method

We study the use of sparse grids in the scenario generation (or discretization) problem in stochastic programming problems where the uncertainty is modeled using a continuous multivariate distribution. We show that, under a regularity assumption on the random function involved, the sequence of optimal objective function values of the sparse grid approximations converges to the true optimal objective function values as the number of scenarios increases. The rate of convergence is also established. We treat separately the special case when the underlying distribution is an affine transform of a product of univariate distributions, and show how the sparse grid method can be adapted to the distribution by the use of quadrature formulas tailored to the distribution. We numerically compare the performance of the sparse grid method using different quadrature rules with classic quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods, optimal rank-one lattice rules, and Monte Carlo (MC) scenario generation, using a series of utility maximization problems with up to 160 random variables. The results show that the sparse grid method is very efficient, especially if the integrand is sufficiently smooth. In such problems the sparse grid scenario generation method is found to need several orders of magnitude fewer scenarios than MC and QMC scenario generation to achieve the same accuracy. As a result, it is indicated that the method scales well with the dimension of the distribution--especially when the underlying distribution is an affine transform of a product of univariate distributions, in which case the method appears scalable to thousands of random variables.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Evaluation of the Effectiveness of a New Technology for Extraction of Insoluble Impurities from Nuclear Power Plant Steam Generators with Purge Water

An experimental technology for the removal of insoluble impurities from a horizontal steam generator with purge water during planned shutdowns of the power generating unit is improved through a more representative determination of the concentration of impurities in the purge water ahead of the water cleanup facility and a more precise effective time for the duration of the purge process. Tests with the improved technique at power generating unit No. 1 of the Rostov Nuclear Power Plant show that the efficiency with which insoluble impurities are removed from the steam generator volume was more than two orders of magnitude greater than under the standard regulations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Near-circularly polarized isolated attosecond pulse generation from coherent superposition state by a circularly polarized laser field

We theoretically investigate high-order harmonic generation (HHG) from a coherent superposition state of hydrogen atom in a circularly polarized (CP) laser field. The results show that, driven by the CP field, HHG from the coherent superposition state is enhanced by 4 to 5 orders of magnitude compared to that from the ground state. The enhanced intensity is comparable to that of the ground state in a linearly polarized laser field. Based on the classical and quantum analyses, we demonstrate that HHG in the CP laser field mainly arises from the recombination of electrons ionized at non-zero initial positions. The enhancement of HHG from the coherent superposition state is due to the higher ionization rate and also the larger probability density of electrons located far from the nucleus of the involved excited state. The obtained harmonic spectra support the generation of intense isolated attosecond pulses (IAPs) with the ellipticity as high as 0.93. Moreover, we show that the generation of IAPs with large ellipticity is robust against the variation of the carrier envelope phase (CEP) of the laser field. Our results provide a new route toward generating near-CP IAPs, which will be beneficial for ultrafast detection of chiral-sensitive light-matter interactions.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Small-Size High-Current Generators for X-Ray Backlighting

The paper deals with the soft X-ray backlighting based on the X-pinch as a powerful tool for physical studies of fast processes. Proposed are the unique small-size pulsed power generators operating as a low-inductance capacitor bank. These pulse generators provide the X-pinch-based soft X-ray source (hν = 1–10 keV) of micron size at 2–3 ns pulse duration. The small size and weight of pulse generators allow them to be transported to any laboratory for conducting X-ray backlighting of test objects with micron space resolution and nanosecond exposure time. These generators also allow creating synchronized multi-frame radiographic complexes with frame delay variation in a broad range.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Stable parallel training of Wasserstein conditional generative adversarial neural networks

In this work, we propose a stable, parallel approach to train Wasserstein conditional generative adversarial neural networks (W-CGANs) under the constraint of a fixed computational budget. Differently from previous distributed GANs training techniques, our approach avoids inter-process communications, reduces the risk of mode collapse and enhances scalability by using multiple generators, each one of them concurrently trained on a single data label. The use of the Wasserstein metric also reduces the risk of cycling by stabilizing the training of each generator. We illustrate the approach on the CIFAR10, CIFAR100, and ImageNet1k datasets, three standard benchmark image datasets, maintaining the original resolution of the images for each dataset. Performance is assessed in terms of scalability and final accuracy within a limited fixed computational time and computational resources. To measure accuracy, we use the inception score, the Fréchet inception distance, and image quality. An improvement in inception score and Fréchet inception distance is shown in comparison to previous results obtained by performing the parallel approach on deep convolutional conditional generative adversarial neural networks as well as an improvement of image quality of the new images created by the GANs approach. Weak scaling is attained on both datasets using up to 2000 NVIDIA V100 GPUs on the OLCF supercomputer Summit.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Incorporating high-pressure electroosmotic pump and a nano-flow gradient generator into a miniaturized liquid chromatographic system for peptide analysis

Here we integrate a high-pressure electroosmotic pump (EOP), a nanoflow gradient generator, and a capillary column into a miniaturized liquid chromatographic system that can be directly coupled with a mass spectrometer for proteomic analysis. We have recently developed a low-cost high-pressure EOP capable of generating pressure of tens of thousands psi, ideal for uses in miniaturized HPLC. The pump worked smoothly when it was used for isocratic elutions. When it was used for gradient elutions, generating reproducible gradient profiles was challenging; because the pump rate fluctuated when the pump was used to pump high-content organic solvents. This presents an issue for separating proteins/peptides since high-content organic solvents are often utilized. In this work, we solve this problem by incorporating our high-pressure EOP with a nano-flow gradient generator so that the EOP needs only to pump an aqueous solution. With this combination, we develop a capillary-based nano-HPLC system capable of performing nano-flow gradient elution; the pump rate is stable, and the gradient profiles are reproducible and can be conveniently tuned. Finally, to demonstrate its utility, we couple it with either a UV absorbance detector or a mass spectrometer for peptide separations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Towards inverse microstructure-centered materials design using generative phase-field modeling and deep variational autoencoders

The field of Integrated Computational Materials Engineering (ICME) combines a broad range of methods to study materials’ responses over a spectrum of length scales. A relatively unexplored aspect of microstructure-sensitive materials design is uncertainty propagation and quantification (UP/UQ) of materials’ microstructure, as well as establishing process-structure–property (PSP) relationships for inverse material design. In this study, an efficient UP technique built on the idea of changing probability measures and a deep generative unsupervised representative machine learning method for microstructure-based design of thermal conductivity of materials is proposed. Probability measures are used to represent microstructure space, and Wasserstein metrics are used to test the efficiency of the UP method. By using deep Variational AutoEncoder (VAE), we identify the correlations between the material/process parameters and the thermal conductivity of heterogeneous dual-phase microstructures. Through high-throughput screening, UP, and the deep-generative VAE method, PSP relationships that are too complex can be revealed by exploiting the materials’ design space with an emphasis on microstructures. As a last point, we demonstrate generative machine learning serves as a useful tool for inverse microstructure-centered materials design, and we demonstrate this by examining the inverse design of thermal conductivity in nano-structured materials. Here, the results reveal the effects of morphology, volume fraction, characteristic length scale, and the individual thermal diffusivity of phases on the thermal conductivity of dual-phase alloys. Our findings emphasize the advantages of high-throughput phase-field modeling and generative deep learning for linking PSP and inverse microstructure-centered materials design.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Clustering representative days for power systems generation expansion planning: Capturing the effects of variable renewables and energy storage

Decision makers rely on models to make important regulatory, policy, and investment decisions. For power systems, these models must capture (i) the future challenges introduced by the integration of large quantities of variable renewable energy sources and (ii) the role that energy storage technologies should play. In this paper, we explore several different approaches to selecting representative days for generation expansion planning models, focusing on capturing these dynamics. Further, we propose a new methodology for adjusting the outputs of clustering algorithms that provides three advantages: the targeted level of net demand is captured, the underlying net demand shapes that define ramping challenges are accurately represented, and the relationship between annual energy and peak demand is captured. This weighting methodology reduces the magnitude of the error in the representative day based generation expansion planning models estimation of costs by 61% on average. The results also demonstrate the importance of carefully performing the clustering of representative days for both system costs and technology mix. In most cases improvements to the total cost of different representative day based expansion plans are realised where conventional generation capacity is substituted for energy storage. Based on the energy storage technology selected we conclude this capacity is being used to address ramping challenges as opposed to shifting renewable generation from off to on peak periods, reinforcing the importance of capturing detailed intraday dynamics in the representative day selection process.

Clustering↗

Large-scale production of 88 Y and 88 Zr/ 88 Y generators: A proof of concept study for a 70 MeV H – cyclotron

Here, the large-scale production of 88 Y with proton-induced reactions has been investigated from the perspective of new generation 70 MeV H – cyclotrons. Tandem target configurations are presented for both the direct production of 88 Y as well as for producing 88 Zr/ 88 Y generators. Based on the relevant excitation functions, physical yields have been derived for 88 Y production with Y 2 O 3 /SrCO 3 tandem targets and 88 Zr production with Zr/Y 2 O 3 tandem targets. Yields are presented for optimized targets (i.e. optimum yield) as well as for balanced thermal loads on the individual targets. Liquid 88 Zr/ 88 Y generators have been produced using both natural Zr and Nb target materials, the former for dedicated productions and the latter as a byproduct by processing spent irradiated Nb capsules which normally would constitute radioactive waste. These stock solutions, which contain both the target material and 88 Zr precursor, are retained virtually unchanged after processing except for the removal of 88 Y on AG MP-50 macroporous cation-exchange resin. Methods are presented for the preparation of Nb stock solutions in hydrofluoric acid and Zr stock solutions in sulfuric acid. It is shown that multi-Ci productions of 88 Y are feasible at a 70 MeV cyclotron facility, suitable for the needs of fracking applications. In addition, 88 Zr/ 88 Y generators can provide 88 Y with very high specific activity, suitable for labelling of biomolecules.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

A workflow for automatic generation and efficient refinement of individual pressure-dependent networks

Manual chemical kinetic model construction often requires modelists to at least implicitly guess all possible decay pathways and their relative fluxes for all important species. We present a workflow and associated tool for automatic generation and re finement of pressure-dependent networks that should enable modelists to efficiently and comprehensively identify decay pathways and estimate respective parameters for chemical species. This tool combines the capabilities of the Reaction Mechanism Generator (RMG) software to generate possible reaction paths, determine thermochemistry, approximate rate coefficients and estimate frequencies with the capabilities of the Arkane software to use quantum chemical parameters to compute thermochemistry and pressure dependent rates. A flux-based algorithm is used to decide which isomers to add to the network. Isomers added to the network are reacted to form other channels. When enough of the flux is accounted for by the isomers and bimolecular product channels, the generation process terminates to yield a comprehensive network. Network sensitivity analysis is applied to the network to identify the most important wells and barriers that can be refined using quantum chemistry calculations. Iterative refinement can then be used to achieve accuracy. The comprehensive network can be easily reduced using energy and flux-based algorithms to the most important channels and isomers in the network.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Multistage Stochastic optimization for mid-term integrated generation and maintenance scheduling of cascaded hydroelectric system with renewable energy uncertainty

The uncertainties resulting from the escalating penetration of renewable energy resources pose severe challenges to the efficient operation of modern power systems. Hydroelectricity is characterized by its flexibility, controllability, and reliability, and thus becomes one of the most ideal energy resources to hedge against such uncertainties. This paper studies the mid-term integrated generation and maintenance scheduling of a cascaded hydroelectric system (CHS) consisting of multiple cascaded reservoirs and hydroelectric units. To precisely describe the mid-term water regulation policies, the hydraulic coupling relationship and water-energy nexus of CHS are incorporated into the proposed optimization model. The uncertainties of natural water inflow and the power outputs of wind/solar energy generation are taken into consideration and captured via a stochastic process modeled by a scenario tree. A multistage stochastic optimization (MSO) approach is developed to coordinate the complementary operations of multiple energy resources, by optimizing the mid-term water resource management, generation scheduling, and maintenance scheduling of CHS. The proposed MSO model is formulated as a large-scale mixed-integer linear program that presents significant computational intractability. To address this issue, a tailored Benders decomposition algorithm is developed. Two real-world case studies are conducted to demonstrate the capability and characteristics of the proposed model and algorithm. The computational results show that the proposed MSO model can exploit the flexibility of hydroelectricity to efficiently respond to variable wind and solar power, and reserve water resources for the generation in peak months to reduce the consumption of fossil fuel. Furthermore, the proposed solution approach also exhibits promising computational efficiency when handling large-scale models.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Improving operational flexibility of integrated energy system with uncertain renewable generations considering thermal inertia of buildings

Insufficient flexibility in system operation caused by traditional "heat-set" operating modes of combined heat and power (CHP) units in winter heating periods is a key issue that limits renewable energy consumption. In order to reduce the curtailment of renewable energy resources through improving the operational flexibility, a novel optimal scheduling model based on chance-constrained programming (CCP), aiming at minimizing the lowest generation cost, is proposed for a small-scale integrated energy system (IES) with CHP units, thermal power units, renewable generations and representative auxiliary equipments. In this model, due to the uncertainties of renewable generations including wind turbines and photovoltaic units, the probabilistic spinning reserves are supplied in the form of chance-constrained; from the perspective of user experience, a heating load model is built with consideration of heat comfort and inertia in buildings. To solve the model, a solution approach based on sequence operation theory (SOT) is developed, where the original CCP-based scheduling model is tackled into a solvable mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) formulation by converting a chance constraint into its deterministic equivalence class, and thereby is solved via the CPLEX solver. We report the simulation results on the modified IEEE 30-bus system demonstrate that the presented method manages to improve operational flexibility of the IES with uncertain renewable generations by comprehensively leveraging thermal inertia of buildings and different kinds of auxiliary equipments, which provides a fundamental way for promoting renewable energy consumption.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

High performance protonic ceramic fuel cell systems for distributed power generation

The technology landscape around distributed generation continues to evolve in response to increasing demand for high-efficiency, low-emission, low-cost power generation. While emerging distributed power technologies, such as solid oxide fuel cells (SOFCs), continue to advance, they still face challenges due to their high capital costs, and shorter lifetimes that typically arise from electrochemical stack performance degradation at high operating temperatures (>750 °C). Recent advancements in protonic ceramic fuel cells (PCFCs) offer the potential to mitigate drawbacks of their higher temperature SOFC counterparts by enabling lower operating temperatures (550 °C–600 °C) with acceptable power densities. Here the present work leverages the recent progress in protonic ceramic cell and stack technology development to generate viable system configurations and evaluate the energetic performance potential of PCFC-based systems for stationary power generation. Process system engineering of two water-neutral system concepts, which provide 25 kW of electric power and process hot water, are presented and evaluated through sensitivity studies. Stack design parameters are altered and used to gauge the effect on system performance characteristics, including fuel cell stack and balance-of-plant sizing requirements, and electric and cogeneration efficiencies. The study finds that the potentially high per-pass fuel utilization capability of PCFC stacks could enable unprecedented electric efficiencies approaching 70% without hybridization with other prime movers.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Insights for Canadian electricity generation planning from an integrated assessment model: Should we be more cautious about hydropower cost overruns?

Hydropower accounts for approximately 60% of electricity generation in Canada, with growth expected in the coming decades as part of renewable energy transitions; however, frequent cost overruns threaten the viability of this growth. Here, using the integrated assessment model GCAM, we develop an endogenous representation of hydropower for Canada that accounts for market dynamics, thus permitting analysis of hydropower competition with other electricity generation technologies, both with and without cost overruns. Results show that modelling hydropower resources endogenously increases Canadian hydropower deployment relative to an assumption of fixed hydropower production, from 417 to 495 TWh annually by 2050. In scenarios that apply cost overruns at historical levels, hydropower loses market share to more easily scalable technologies like wind power. When including high cost overrun assumptions, the model determines that hydropower falls from about 73% to 65% of Canadian electricity generation by 2050, while wind power increases from about 8% to 11%. Countries may be better able to achieve electrification and renewable energy targets at lower cost by avoiding large-scale, overrun-prone hydropower and nuclear generation projects. Model results support that cost overruns are important considerations for policy decisions related to electricity sector development in Canada and elsewhere.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Locking oxygen in lattice: A quantifiable comparison of gas generation in polycrystalline and single crystal Ni-rich cathodes

High-energy Ni-rich NMC (LiNi x Mn y Co 1-x-y O 2 , x ≥ 0.6) is a very promising cathode material in Li-ion batteries but the gas generation during cycling is a significant safety concern and becomes the major roadblock of the large-scale commercialization of Ni-rich NMC cathode materials. Micron-sized single crystal Ni-rich NMC has a potential to address the common issues that polycrystals have. However, it is unknown if gassing issue will be mitigated or even eliminated by using single crystals, not mentioning a quantifiable understanding of gas generation from single crystals and polycrystals. This work takes LiNi 0.76 Mn 0.14 Co 0.1 O 2 (NMC76) as a model material to study the mechanism of gas generation from single crystal and polycrystalline NMC by using both coin cells and pouch cells, which provides different conclusions on the generated gases, highlighting the importance of using relevant testing conditions for fundamental diagnostic study on battery materials. Further, the information from single crystal NMC also provides critical insights from material perspective to enhance the safety attributes of Ni-rich NMC cathodes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Operation-adversarial scenario generation

This paper proposes a modified conditional generative adversarial network (cGAN) model to generate net load scenarios for power systems that are statistically credible, conditioned by given labels (e.g., seasons), and, at the same time, “stressful” to the system operations and dispatch decisions. The measure of stress used in this paper is based on the operating cost increases due to net load changes. The proposed operation-adversarial cGAN (OA-cGAN) internalizes a DC optimal power flow model and seeks to maximize the operating cost and achieve a worst-case data generation. The training and testing stages employed in the proposed OA-cGAN use historical day-ahead net load forecast errors and has been implemented for the realistic NYISO 11-zone system. In conclusion, our numerical experiments demonstrate that the generated operation-adversarial forecast errors lead to more cost-effective and reliable dispatch decisions.

42 ENGINEERING↗