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At least 1,099 records · Page 61

Thermal-shock experiments for separate-effects validation of UO 2 fuel fracture models

Because of the important role that fracture plays in the behavior of ceramic UO2 fuel in a nuclear reactor environment, fracture models are a major component of fuel performance codes. As with any aspect of fuel performance, it is crucial to validate these fracture models against experimental data; however, obtaining well-controlled data for conditions representative of a reactor environment is difficult. Quenching is proposed here as a relatively simple approach for using a laboratory environment to achieve conditions that approximate those of a reactor environment. In this paper, an experimental apparatus containing a single instrumented fuel pellet in a sealed section of copper tubing is developed. It is then applied to a series of seven experiments in which the apparatus is first heated to a high temperature (580-680°C) by immersion in a molten salt bath, then quenched in a cold bath (-10-4 °C). Development of these experiments was guided by numerical simulations, and post-test simulations were performed to aid in understanding the experimental behavior and assessing the accuracy of the predictions of fracture initiation and propagation. In addition, similar experiments were performed on solid copper rods to provide temperature-dependent heat transfer coefficients for use in simulations of these experiments. Here, this study demonstrates that quenching is a viable approach for generating thermal gradients representative of those in prototypical light-water reactor conditions at powers of about 5–10 kW/m. Fracture is expected to begin at these power levels, and moderate amounts of radial and axial cracking was observed in these quenching tests.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Favorable Redox Thermodynamics of SrTi 0.5 Mn 0.5 O 3–δ in Solar Thermochemical Water Splitting

Two-step, solar thermochemical splitting of water using nonstoichiometric redox-active metal oxides has emerged as an intriguing approach for large-scale hydrogen production. Perovskites have been proposed as alternatives to state-of-the-art fluorite CeO 2–δ because of their potential for lowering reduction temperature while maintaining high fuel productivity. Guided by computational insights, we explore the thermodynamic properties and water splitting efficacy of the cubic perovskite SrTi 0.5 Mn 0.5 O 3–δ (STM55). Thermogravimetric analysis is performed under controlled oxygen partial pressures (pO 2 ) and temperatures up to 1500 °C, from which both the enthalpy and entropy of reduction as a function of oxygen nonstoichiometry are determined. STM55 provides an attractive combination of moderate enthalpy, 200–250 kJ (mol-O) –1 , and high entropy, with unusual δ dependence. Using a water splitting cycle in which the material is thermally reduced at 1350 °C (pO 2 , ~10 –5 atm) and subsequently exposed to steam at 1100 °C (steam partial pressure of pH 2 O = 0.4 atm), we demonstrate a hydrogen yield of 7.4 mL g –1 . Through both half-cycles, the material remains largely in quasi-equilibrium with the gas phase, as reflected in the agreement of the measured data with predicted profiles based on the thermodynamic data. This behavior indicates rapid surface and bulk diffusion kinetics. Cyclic operation showed the material to be free of degradation and always resulted in a 2:1 yield of H 2 /O 2 . Altogether, STM55 provides outstanding performance characteristics for thermochemical hydrogen production.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Impact of ion fluxes across thylakoid membranes on photosynthetic electron transport and photoprotection

In photosynthetic thylakoid membranes the proton motive force (pmf) not only drives ATP synthesis, in addition it is central to controlling and regulating energy conversion. As a consequence, dynamic fine-tuning of the two pmf components, electrical (Δψ) and chemical (ΔpH), is an essential element for adjusting photosynthetic light reactions to changing environmental conditions. Good evidence exists that the Δψ/ΔpH partitioning is controlled by thylakoid potassium and chloride ion transporters and channels. However, a detailed mechanistic understanding of how these thylakoid ion transporter/channels control pmf partitioning is lacking. In this work, we combined functional measurements on potassium and chloride ion transporter and channel loss-of-function mutants with extended mathematical simulations of photosynthetic light reactions in thylakoid membranes to obtain detailed kinetic insights into the complex interrelationship between membrane energization and ion fluxes across thylakoid membranes. The data reveal that potassium and chloride fluxes in the thylakoid lumen determined by the K + /H + antiporter KEA3 and the voltage-gated Cl – channel VCCN1/Best1 have distinct kinetic responses that lead to characteristic and light-intensity-dependent Δψ/ΔpH oscillations. These oscillations fine-tune photoprotective mechanisms and electron transport which are particularly important during the first minutes of illumination and under fluctuating light conditions. By employing the predictive power of the model, we unravelled the functional consequences of changes in KEA3 and VCCN1 abundance and regulatory/enzymatic parameters on membrane energization and photoprotection.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

RNAseq analysis of Cellvibrio japonicus during starch utilization differentiates between genes encoding carbohydrate active enzymes controlled by substrate detection or growth rate

ABSTRACT Bacterial utilization of starch is increasingly of interest as the importance and contributions of animal gut microbiomes become more defined. Consequently, identifying and characterizing the bacterial enzymes responsible for the degradation, transport, and metabolism of starch will enable developments in pharmaceutical, biotechnological, and culinary industries searching for novel prebiotics, carrier molecules, and low glycemic index sweeteners. The current challenge is that bacteria proficient at starch utilization often have hundreds of carbohydrate active enzymes, and it is unclear which are essential for starch utilization using only homology-based bioinformatics or computational methods. Complementary experimental data are also needed, especially to understand the regulation of bacterial starch utilization. We have completed an RNAseq analysis of the Gram-negative bacterium Cellvibrio japonicus and found that it has sophisticated regulation that includes substrate sensing and growth rate components for genes that encode starch-degrading enzymes. Among the 22 genes predicted to encode starch-active enzymes, C. japonicus has 10 alpha-amylases, 4 alpha-glucosidases, 2 pullulnases, and 2 cyclomaltodextrin glucanotransferases, 15 of which were up-regulated during exponential growth on starch and 8 up-regulated in stationary phase. Growth analyses with an enzyme secretion deficient mutant of C. japonicus suggested that secreted amylases are essential for this bacterium to degrade starch. Our approach of coupling a physiological growth assay with transcriptomic data provides a platform to identify targets for further genetic or biochemical analysis that can be broadly applied to other starch-utilizing bacteria. IMPORTANCE Understanding the bacterial metabolism of starch is important as this polysaccharide is a ubiquitous ingredient in foods, supplements, and medicines, all of which influence gut microbiome composition and health. Our RNAseq and growth data set provides a valuable resource to those who want to better understand the regulation of starch utilization in Gram-negative bacteria. These data are also useful as they provide an example of how to approach studying a starch-utilizing bacterium that has many putative amylases by coupling transcriptomic data with growth assays to overcome the potential challenges of functional redundancy. The RNAseq data can also be used as a part of larger meta-analyses to compare how C. japonicus regulates carbohydrate active enzymes, or how this bacterium compares to gut microbiome constituents in terms of starch utilization potential.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Surrogate Model of Flexible Research Platform EnergyPlus Models to Enable Sensitivity Analysis

This letter report describes the surrogate models developed from the EnergyPlus model of Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s Flexible Research Platform. Two data-driven black-box models were developed, and the outputs of the surrogate models were compared with the EnergyPlus model. The two models developed are a multilayer perceptron deep learning model, and a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model. The three factors for selecting the black-box models are scalability, computation time, and accuracy. A total of 107 input variables were the dominant variables in determining the outputs of building energy consumptions and thermal comfort. A total of 54 output variables were identified as the prediction targets, including the system- and zone-level outputs. The large set of the simulation cases were generated by integrating sensor errors into an emulator based on EnergyPlus and Python EMS, which includes advanced control sequences from ASHRAE Guideline 36-2018: High-Performance Sequences of Operation. The surrogate models were developed based on a set of large-scale simulation runs (i.e., 4,000 runs) on a cloud platform. The comparison analysis shows that the two black-box models had good accuracy for predicting new outputs for sensitivity analysis using the root mean square error metric. As a next step, the developed surrogate models will be used to perform sensitivity analysis for different sensor impacts (e.g., sensor types, sensor locations).

42 ENGINEERING↗

Vegetation Warming Experiment: Plant Physiology, Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska, 2021

Leaf gas exchange measurements on Carex aquatilis Wahlenb. following a single season warming treatment. Data were collected in 2021 from 5 treatment warming chambers and paired control plots located on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO), Utqiagvik, Alaska. Data include CO2 response (ACi) curves, light response (AQ) curves, and dark-adapted respiration (Rdark) logged data measured at controlled leaf temperatures from 5–25 °C. The data package includes 4 data files in .csv format, 10 metadata files and the complete instrument output for all measurements. These data were collected as part of an experiment using Zero Power Warming (ZPW) chambers that delivered a single season warming treatment of ~4 °C above ambient air temperature. Four different plant species were targeted over four experimental years from 2017–2021. See related data packages for processed gas exchange data, leaf trait data (leaf mass per area, leaf nitrogen concentration), ambient and chamber environmental conditions, phenocamera images, thaw depth and GPS locations of chambers. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a 15-year research effort (2012-2027) to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Vegetation Warming Experiment: Plant Physiology, Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska, 2017

Leaf gas exchange measurements on Petasites frigidus (L.) Fr. following a single season warming treatment. Data were collected in 2017 from 5 treatment warming chambers and paired control plots located on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO), Utqiagvik, Alaska. Data include CO2 response (ACi) curves, light response (AQ) curves, and dark-adapted respiration (Rdark) logged data measured at controlled leaf temperatures from 5-25 °C. The data package includes 4 data files in .csv format, 10 metadata files and the complete instrument output for all measurements. These data were collected as part of an experiment using Zero Power Warming (ZPW) chambers that delivered a single season warming treatment of ~4 °C above ambient air temperature. Four different plant species were targeted over four experimental years from 2017-2021. See related data packages for processed gas exchange data, leaf trait data (leaf mass per area, leaf nitrogen concentration), ambient and chamber environmental conditions, phenocamera images, thaw depth and GPS locations of chambers. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a 15-year research effort (2012-2027) to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Vegetation Warming Experiment: Plant Physiology, Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska, 2018

Leaf gas exchange measurements on Arctagrostis latifolia (R. Br.) Griseb. following a single season warming treatment. Data were collected in 2018 from 5 treatment warming chambers and paired control plots located on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO), Utqiagvik, Alaska. Data include CO2 response (ACi) curves, light response (AQ) curves, and dark-adapted respiration (Rdark) logged data measured at controlled leaf temperatures from 5–25 °C. The data package includes 4 data files in .csv format, 10 metadata files and the complete instrument output for all measurements. These data were collected as part of an experiment using Zero Power Warming (ZPW) chambers that delivered a single season warming treatment of ~4 °C above ambient air temperature. Four different plant species were targeted over four experimental years from 2017–2021. See related data packages for processed gas exchange data, leaf trait data (leaf mass per area, leaf nitrogen concentration), ambient and chamber environmental conditions, phenocamera images, thaw depth and GPS locations of chambers. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a 15-year research effort (2012-2027) to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Illuminating the pathways to carbon liberation: a systems approach to characterizing the consequential unknowns of carbon transformation and loss from thawing permafrost peatlands (Final Report)

The IsoGenie3 Project delivered new systems-level insights into carbon cycling in thawing permafrost landscapes, with an emphasis on methane and carbon dioxide emissions. From >200 samples from the site collected over a decade, co-analyzed for geochemistry and microbiology, the team recovered ~1,500 assembled microbial genomes and ~1,900 viral population genomes, revealing appreciable genetic novelty - from a new highly abundant bacterial phylum, to novel methane consumers and their activities, to rampant viral novelty. IsoGenie3 linked these organisms to carbon compound transformations (which define the cycling of organic matter in soils, and the loss of the greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane), and saw that the microbes at each stage of permafrost thaw had different genetic potential to degrade categories of compounds, expressed that genetic potential differently, and actually transformed carbon compounds into greenhouse gases in different ways. IsoGenie 3 identified that some of the thaw-stage differences were due to plant-microbiome relationships; the plant species across the thaw gradient contributed different carbon compounds into the soil, and hosted distinct microbiota (differing among parts of plants as well as species). Lastly, microbes in the saturated post-thaw conditions appeared likely to contribute to the mobilization and toxification of mercury released during thaw. In parallel with ongoing field sampling and analysis, hypotheses arising from field observations were tested via lab incubation experiments. When communities are taken out of their native habitats, they behave differently, and the team first rigorously quantified the magnitude of this effect on microbiome composition and functional capacity, organic matter composition, and gas production; overall the main system processes were maintained in the lab incubations under the conditions tested. Further, the microbial data could inform geochemical reaction network models of those processes. Then, the team ran experiments with additions of compounds, varying temperature, and “live” vs. “dead” peat (the latter having been gamma irradiated, with a few additional variants to control for methodological artifacts). From these, we (a) determined the importance of plant-derived soluble phenolic compounds in bogs’ extraordinary recalcitrance of organic matter, and carbon gas emissions skewed to carbon dioxide; (b) proposed an abiotic ‘tanning’ mechanism, which could contribute to Sphagnum’s inhibitory effect on anaerobic decomposition through alteration of N availability. IsoGenie3 illuminated longer-term and landscape-scale interactions of permafrost thaw and carbon cycling, advancing knowledge of the drivers of methane dynamics not only across in the permafrost-associated peatland (where hydrology and plant communities dictate microbiomes) but also their interconnected lakes (where sediment carbon quality and resident microbiota are determined by position within lake, and lake features). By leveraging observations of site methane dynamics extending well before this project, the team was able to construct a 44-year portrait of the interplay of permafrost thaw, hydrology, vegetation dynamics, and carbon gas emissions, and the doubling of the fully-thawed fens over this time. From the detailed study of this focal site, IsoGenie3 also aimed to improve model representation of these kinds of sites and processes. To improve predictions of methane transformations, we incorporated acetate and isotope dynamics into the ‘DNDC’ biogeochemistry model. In addition, recovered genomes were grouped into ‘functional groups’, i.e. the genomes that perform a specific function of interest, then used to parameterize maximum growth rate and optimum growth temperature (via signatures in their sequence composition) for the BioCrunch model. The BioCrunch model was then in turn used to test the impact of increasing functional resolution of the microbes, on the carbon gas emissions. Lastly for modeling, the ecosys model was parameterized from the microbial and other data, and used to evaluate drivers of e.g. change in methane emissions. Finally, this project also led to the development of a range of new methods and tools, a new metric of organic matter decomposability, as well as a graph-database solution to multidisciplinary data storage and querying. This project’s ongoing analyses at our focal site also contributed to broader advancements in understanding elements of genetic plasticity and methane metabolism, climate change microbiology and community assembly, global peatland geochemistry and Arctic lakes’ roles in climate feedbacks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

1H-NMR characterization of soil dissolved organic matter from soil samples in control and warming plots in Blodgett Forest, CA (2014 and 2018)

The pathways of carbon transport and loss through and from soils—soil organic matter (SOM) depolymerization to dissolved organic carbon and mineralization to carbon dioxide (CO2)—are fundamentally driven by microbial activity, which is strongly regulated by environmental conditions. As part of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Terrestrial Ecosystem Science Belowground Biogeochemistry Science Focus Area (SFA), we have established a novel whole-soil long-term warming experiment at the University of California (UC) Blodgett Forest Research Station (Sierra Nevada) in 2014, where we study the role of biogeochemical, microbial and geochemical process interactions in SOM (soil organic matter) decomposition and stabilization. This package contains metabolite data obtained through 1H nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy on water-extracted soils. Soil samples were collected in 2014/06/03 and 2018/06/04 from 3 replicated paired plots that had been subjected to experimental warming since June 2014 to simulate a predicted climate change scenario for northern California. The following files are included: (1) nmr_h2o_data_raw.csv: raw data, (2) nmr_h2o_data_processed.csv: computed compound concentrations and metadata, (3) nmr_h2o_compound_metadata.csv: compound metadata, (4) nmr_h2o_sample_metadata.csv: sample metadata

1H-NMR (nucleic magnetic resonance) spectroscopy↗

Pressurizer dynamic model and emulated programmable logic controllers for nuclear power plants cybersecurity investigations

This work demonstrates the functionality of the pressurizer using a fast-running three regions, non-equilibrium model and control programs of emulated PLCs. The state variables from an integrated model of primary loop in a representative PWR plant are communicated to the pressurizer’s emulated PLCs using a synchronized data transfer function. In turn, the PLCs communicate back instructions to the pressurizer model to adjust the pressure and water level to remain within preprogramed setpoints. Pressurizer model simultaneously solves the coupled mass and energy conservation equations in the saturated vapor and saturated and subcooled liquid regions using fixed step solver. Results demonstrate the response of the pressurizer model linked to an emulated pressure and water level PLCs in a simulated transient involving surge-in and surge-out events. The 50 ms response delay time for the emulated PLC insignificantly affects operation and predictions of the pressurizer model.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Priority-enabled Load Balancing for Dispersed Computing

Opportunistic managed access to local in-network compute resources can improve the performance of distributed applications and reduce the dependence on shared network resources. Instead of backhauling application data to a centralized cloud data center for processing, networked services may be adaptively and continuously dispersed into shared compute resources that are closer to the source of need. While this approach has several benefits, support for mission-aware access to computation is often an afterthought, and is implemented as a brittle extension over traditional load-balancer solutions.In this work, we investigate the design of two priority-aware resource allocation strategies and two load-balancing dispatching strategies as first class citizens in an open-source dispersed computing middleware. We present a control theoretic analysis of these load-balancing primitives to identify weaknesses and strengths in our design, and recommend future directions. In parallel, we prototype two priority-aware allocation algorithms to validate our priority predictions. In initial experiments our prototype shows substantial gains in processing prioritized load. Finally, we make our source-code and experimental configurations open source.

Paulos, Aaron↗

Prime Time for Model-Predictive Control? Assessing the Technical and Market Readiness of Advanced Controls in Buildings

Despite three decades of extensive research and field testing that have consistently validated the benefits of Model Predictive Control (MPC) in building applications, the technology has seen limited market adoption. This paper evaluates the readiness of MPC for widespread deployment, showcases recent demonstrations and field tests across diverse building types, including residential, small commercial, large commercial, and campus settings. Our results demonstrate that MPC can optimize system operations to achieve load shifting, minimize curtailment of on-site generation, and reduce energy costs by up to 80 %, while maintaining or improving occupant comfort. We also show that MPC can effectively control large assets, such as MW-sized thermal storage systems, and respond to dynamic pricing signals. However, achieving scale remains difficult due to labor-intensive workflows, reliance on a “PhD-in-the-loop” for MPC design and maintenance, susceptibility to fragile data infrastructure, and persistent workforce education and acceptance barriers. To bridge this gap, we outline a transition from bespoke, labor intensive prototypes toward streamlined, segment-targeted deployment strategies that leverage model templates, semantic tools, and generative AI. By automating control configuration and reducing engineering effort, these recommendations provide a pathway for transforming successful research demonstrations into scalable, market ready solutions for MPC-based controls.

Pritoni, Marco↗

Shifting groundwater fluxes in bedrock fractures: Evidence from stream water radon and water isotopes

Geologic features (e.g., fractures and alluvial fans) can play an important role in the locations and volumes of groundwater discharge and degree of groundwater-surface water (GW-SW) interactions. However, the role of these features in controlling GW-SW dynamics and streamflow generation processes are not well constrained. GW-SW interactions and streamflow generation processes are further complicated by variability in precipitation inputs from summer and fall monsoon rains, as well as declines in snowpack and changing melt dynamics driven by warming temperatures. Using high spatial and temporal resolution radon and water stable isotope sampling and a 1D groundwater flux model, we evaluated how groundwater contributions and GW-SW interactions varied along a stream reach impacted by fractures (fractured-zone) and below the fractured hillslope (non-fractured zone) in Coal Creek, a Colorado River headwater stream affected by summer monsoons. During early summer, groundwater contributions from the fractured zone dominated, but declined throughout the summer. Groundwater contributions from the non-fractured zone were constant throughout the summer and became proportionally more important later in the summer. We hypothesize that groundwater in the non-fractured zone is dominantly sourced from a high-storage alluvial fan at the base of a tributary that is connected to Coal Creek throughout the summer and provides consistent groundwater influx. Water isotope data revealed that Coal Creek responds quickly to incoming precipitation early in the summer, and summer precipitation becomes more important for streamflow generation later in the summer. We quantified the change in catchment dynamic storage and found it negatively related to stream water isotope values, and positively related to modeled groundwater discharge and the ratio of fractured zone to non-fractured zone groundwater. Importantly, we interpret these relationships as declining hydrologic connectivity throughout the summer leading to late summer streamflow supported predominantly by shallow flow paths, with variable response to drying from geologic features based on their storage. As groundwater becomes more important for sustaining summer flows, quantifying local geologic controls on groundwater inputs and their response to variable moisture conditions may become critical for accurate predictions of streamflow.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Statistical Uncertainty in Paleoclimate Proxy Reconstructions

A quantitative analysis of any environment older than the instrumental record relies on proxies. Uncertainties associated with proxy reconstructions are often underestimated, which can lead to artificial conflict between different proxies, and between data and models. In this paper, using ordinary least squares linear regression as a common example, we describe a simple, robust and generalizable method for quantifying uncertainty in proxy reconstructions. We highlight the primary controls on the magnitude of uncertainty, and compare this simple estimate to equivalent estimates from Bayesian, nonparametric and fiducial statistical frameworks. We discuss when it may be possible to reduce uncertainties, and conclude that the unexplained variance in the calibration must always feature in the uncertainty in the reconstruction. This directs future research toward explaining as much of the variance in the calibration data as possible. We also advocate for a “data-forward” approach, that clearly decouples the presentation of proxy data from plausible environmental inferences.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Impact of Inherited Morphology on Sandbar Migration During Mild Wave Seasons

Sandbars are ubiquitous morphologic features found in the nearshore environment throughout the world, yet predictive capabilities of their evolution remain limited. In order to provide new insights on the relevant processes controlling sandbar morphodynamics, this study uses a 41-year record of 637 monthly cross-shore profiles from Duck, North Carolina, USA, to derive complex empirical orthogonal functions representative of the two dominant modes of sandbar migrations: offshore and onshore propagation. Interference of these two modes produces commonly observed sandbar states. While mild wave energies are traditionally assumed to drive onshore sandbar migration, the offshore mode is repeatedly seen to dominate sandbar migration in mild wave seasons following anomalously high late-winter wave energy and when the inherited morphology is composed of a single bar or terrace, as opposed to a more common two-bar state. A data-derived conceptual model is presented synthesizing the effect of antecedent morphology and wave climate chronology on interannual trends in net offshore sandbar migration.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Dynamic enhancer landscapes in human craniofacial development

The genetic basis of human facial variation and craniofacial birth defects remains poorly understood. Distant-acting transcriptional enhancers control the fine-tuned spatiotemporal expression of genes during critical stages of craniofacial development. However, a lack of accurate maps of the genomic locations and cell type-resolved activities of craniofacial enhancers prevents their systematic exploration in human genetics studies. Here, we combine histone modification, chromatin accessibility, and gene expression profiling of human craniofacial development with single-cell analyses of the developing mouse face to define the regulatory landscape of facial development at tissue- and single cell-resolution. We provide temporal activity profiles for 14,000 human developmental craniofacial enhancers. We find that 56% of human craniofacial enhancers share chromatin accessibility in the mouse and we provide cell population- and embryonic stage-resolved predictions of their in vivo activity. Taken together, our data provide an expansive resource for genetic and developmental studies of human craniofacial development.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

A General Spatiotemporal Imputation Framework for Missing Sensor Data

Many applications from precision agriculture, environmental monitoring and transportation networks rely on data collected across space and time over a large geographic area. Missing data poses a significant challenge for any data-driven inference and control tasks. Data imputation or the estimation of missing data can help fill these gaps by utilizing inherent spatial relationships and temporal patterns. A variety of spatiotemporal imputation models have been developed to address missing data in spatiotemporal datasets. However, these classical methods rely on the assumption that the underlying data follows a smooth trend and fail to provide accurate estimates when there is a large number of missing points in the data. Even though there are machine learning driven tensor completion approaches such as convolutional neural network based tensor completion (CoSTCo) that capture the non-linear relationships in the dataset, the transductive nature makes the algorithm less scalable. Thus, existing approaches for estimating the missing information do not effectively capture all dimensions of the spatiotemporal data structure, resulting in erroneous predictions and poor performance. The main contributions of this paper are: (1) We propose a novel inductive framework (G-LSTM) for missing data imputation that integrates a graph neural network with LSTMs to effectively capture both spatial and temporal dependencies. (2) Experimental results on a traffic dataset demonstrate that the proposed GNN integrated with an LSTM framework achieves improved imputation and maintains steady performance even when there are extreme missing conditions in comparison with the state-of-the-art imputation framework (i.e, CoSTCo). (3) The simulation results on a traffic network show up to 69% reduction in mean absolute error and 61% reduction in root mean square error when compared to CoSTCo.

Tharzeen, Aabila↗