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At least 1,099 records · Page 61

Implementation of a Three-Dimensional Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization in a Coupled Modeling System and Evaluation of "Gray Zone" Simulations of a Wind-Wave Event Off the US California Coast Using Observations

A three-dimensional (3D) planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization was added to the Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Wave Sediment Transport (COAWST) model and the first coupled atmosphere/wave "gray zone" simulations were carried out using the 3D PBL parameterization. A case study of a significant wind-wave event from 4-8 November 2020 off the US west coast was examined, with a focus on the impacts of the event within an approximate 280x280 km central California coastal region covering the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management Morro Bay wind energy lease area. Simulations with both one-dimensional (1D; Yonsei University) and 3D PBL parameterizations were examined in this nest with ..delta..x=400 m. Two-way coupling was active, with near-surface winds feeding back to the wave model and bulk wave statistics feeding back to the atmospheric model. Both simulations compared favorably with buoy observations in capturing the timing and magnitude of wind speed, temperature, dewpoint, and significant wave height, as the front associated with the maritime weather system moved southward across coastal California. However, wind speed errors over land were larger. Time series of the vertical profile of winds below z=250 m from the simulations compared favorably with observations from the US Dept. of Energy Morro Bay Doppler lidar buoy. Differences between the coupled 1D and 3D PBL simulations were minor. The most notable difference was that the simulation using the 3D PBL parameterization had approximately 10 % weaker winds at the peak of the event causing 10 % lower significant wave heights. This difference was shown to be mostly due to differences in the vertical mixing treatment between the parameterizations, in particular the nonlocal downward mixing of higher momentum air in the 1D Yonsei University parameterization in convective conditions. Overall, this work demonstrates that the 3D PBL parameterization can be used in a coupled atmosphere/wave modeling framework with similar behaviors as traditional PBL parameterizations that do not provide horizontal turbulent variances and fluxes.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Objective sea-level pressure analysis for data-sparse areas.

A computer procedure, described in an earlier study, uses the wind speed field near the ocean surface in combination with a small number of observations of pressure and wind velocity to specify the maritime sea-level pressure field. An improved version was used to analyze the pressure distribution over the North Pacific Ocean for eleven synoptic times in February 1967. Independent knowledge of the central pressures of lows is shown to reduce the analysis errors for very sparse data coverage. The application of planned remote sensing of sea-level wind speeds is shown to make a significant contribution to the quality of the analysis especially in the high gradient midlatitudes and for sparse coverage of conventional observations (such as over Southern Hemisphere oceans). Uniform distribution of the available observations of sea-level pressure and wind velocity yields results far superior to those derived from a random distribution.

Druyan, L. M.↗

Low-speed wind-tunnel investigation of the longitudinal characteristics of a large-scale variable wing-sweep fighter model in the high-lift configuration

The low-speed characteristics of a large-scale model of the U. S. Navy/Grumman F-14A aircraft were studied in tests conducted in the Ames Research Center 40- by 80-Foot Wind Tunnel. The primary purpose of the program was the determination of lift and stability levels and landing approach attitude of the aircraft in its high-lift configuration. Tests were conducted at wing angles of attack between minus 2 deg and 30 deg with zero yaw. Data were taken at Reynolds numbers ranging from 3.48 million to 9.64 million based on a wing mean aerodynamic chord of 7.36 ft. The model configuration was changed as required to show the effects of glove slat, wing slat leading-edge radius, cold flow ducting, flap deflection, direct lift control (spoilers), horizontal tail, speed brake, landing gear and missiles.

Eckert, W. T.↗

Comparative Analysis of NOAA REFM and SNB3GEO Tools for the Forecast of the Fluxes of High-Energy Electrons at GEO

Reliable forecasts of relativistic electrons at geostationary orbit (GEO) are important for the mitigation of their hazardous effects on spacecraft at GEO. For a number of years the Space Weather Prediction Center at NOAA has provided advanced online forecasts of the fluence of electrons with energy >2 MeV at GEO using the Relativistic Electron Forecast Model (REFM). The REFM forecasts are based on real-time solar wind speed observations at L1. The high reliability of this forecasting tool serves as a benchmark for the assessment of other forecasting tools. Since 2012 the Sheffield SNB3GEO model has been operating online, providing a 24 h ahead forecast of the same fluxes. In addition to solar wind speed, the SNB3GEO forecasts use solar wind density and interplanetary magnetic field B(sub z) observations at L1. The period of joint operation of both of these forecasts has been used to compare their accuracy. Daily averaged measurements of electron fluxes by GOES 13 have been used to estimate the prediction efficiency of both forecasting tools. To assess the reliability of both models to forecast infrequent events of very high fluxes, the Heidke skill score was employed. The results obtained indicate that SNB3GEO provides a more accurate 1 day ahead forecast when compared to REFM. It is shown that the correction methodology utilized by REFM potentially can improve the SNB3GEO forecast.

Balikhin, M. A.↗

Performance Assessment of a Western Range 915-MHz Doppler Radar Wind Profiler

Please find enclosed the performance assessment for a Western Range 915-MHz Doppler Radar Wind Profiler (DRWP). This assessment was conducted following the installation of the new DRWP systems at the Western and Eastern Ranges. DRWP profiles were compared to Automated Meteorological Profiling System balloons launched from Vandenberg Space Force Base. Balloon data was collected from both normal synoptic and launch operations as well as some releases at the DRWP site. These results will include errors due to the spatial separation of winds. Root Mean Square wind speed deltas between the balloons and DRWP system mainly ranged between 1.0 and 2.3 m/s. Mean wind direction deltas mainly ranged between 10 and 28 degrees for wind speeds greater than or equal to 4 m/s. Data availability at discrete altitudes ranged from 20% to 94% with the least amount of available profiles being in the lower altitude ranges between 100 m and 500 m. The effective vertical resolution was determined to be approximately 250 m. The results from this analysis were requested by the United States Space Force for use of the acceptance of the DRWP system and for internal EV44 reference.

B J Barbre↗

Validation of Community Models: 2. Development of a Baseline, Using the Wang-Sheeley-Arge Model

This paper is the second in a series providing independent validation of community models of the outer corona and inner heliosphere. Here I present a comprehensive validation of the Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model. These results will serve as a baseline against which to compare the next generation of comparable forecasting models. The WSA model is used by a number of agencies to predict Solar wind conditions at Earth up to 4 days into the future. Given its importance to both the research and forecasting communities, it is essential that its performance be measured systematically and independently. I offer just such an independent and systematic validation. I report skill scores for the model's predictions of wind speed and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) polarity for a large set of Carrington rotations. The model was run in all its routinely used configurations. It ingests synoptic line of sight magnetograms. For this study I generated model results for monthly magnetograms from multiple observatories, spanning the Carrington rotation range from 1650 to 2074. I compare the influence of the different magnetogram sources and performance at quiet and active times. I also consider the ability of the WSA model to forecast both sharp transitions in wind speed from slow to fast wind and reversals in the polarity of the radial component of the IMF. These results will serve as a baseline against which to compare future versions of the model as well as the current and future generation of magnetohydrodynamic models under development for forecasting use.

MacNeice, Peter↗

Moist wind relationships

Equations describing the temporal and spatial behavior of the kinematic moisture and heat flux are introduced. In these nonlinear equations, the contribution by diabatic processes to the large-scale flux is composed of two parts. One part is associated with a Rayleigh damping term, while the other arises from temporal and spatial changes in the pressure gradient term. The influence of diabatic processes on the large-scale moisture fluxes depends greatly on the degree of balance between forcing and damping terms in the governing equations. The existence of a near balance requires a reduction in the large-scale horizontal geostrophic wind speed. From a scale analysis of the moisture flux equations it is argued that reductions in the large-scale horizontal wind speed, observed within major cumulus cloud systems, help conserve large-scale moisture fluxes. The deviation of the wind from geostrophic conditions is easily estimated. This wind modification induces secondary vertical circulations that contribute to the convergence, creating or supporting long-lived mesoscale flows. In the tropics the wind modification has an antitriptic relationship. These diagnostic findings suggest possible modifications to the wind field in the application of cumulus parameterization, and may be important in diabatic initialization of numerical weather prediction models.

Raymond, William H.↗

Moist wind relationships

The equations describing the temporal and spatial behavior of the kinematic moisture and heat flux are described. In these nonlinear equations, the contribution by diabatic processes to the large-scale flux is composed of two parts. One part is associated with a Rayleigh damping term while the other arises from temporal and spatial changes in the pressure gradient term. It was found that the influence of diabatic processes on large-scale moisture fluxes depends greatly on the degree of balance between forcing and damping terms in the governing kinematic flux equations. The existence of a near balance requires a reduction in the large-scale horizontal geostrophic wind speed. Based on an examination of the moisture flux equations, it is argued that reductions in the large-scale horizontal wind speed observed within major cumulus cloud systems help conserve large-scale moisture fluxes. The deviation of the wind from geostrophic conditions is easily estimated for a near balanced state. This wind modification induces secondary vertical circulations that contribute to convergence, creating or supporting long-lived mesoscale flows. We believe this process to be a major supporter of the mesoscale circulations observed in severe storms and squall lines. In the tropics the wind modification has an antitriptic relationship. These diagnostic findings suggest possible modifications to the wind field in the application of a cumulus parameterization, and may be important in diabatic initialization of numerical weather prediction models.

Raymond, William H.↗

Simulations suggest offshore wind farms modify low-level jets

Abstract. Offshore wind farms are scheduled to be constructed along the East Coast of the US in the coming years. Low-level jets (LLJs) – layers of relatively fast winds at low altitudes – also occur frequently in this region. Because LLJs provide considerable wind resources, it is important to understand how LLJs might change with turbine construction. LLJs also influence moisture and pollution transport; thus, the effects of wind farms on LLJs could also affect the region’s meteorology. In the absence of observations or significant wind farm construction as yet, we compare 1 year of simulations from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with and without wind farms incorporated, focusing on locations chosen by their proximity to future wind development areas. We develop and present an algorithm to detect LLJs at each hour of the year at each of these locations. We validate the algorithm to the extent possible by comparing LLJs identified by lidar, constrained to the lowest 200 m, to WRF simulations of these very low LLJs (vLLJs). In the NOW-WAKES simulation data set, we find offshore LLJs in this region occur about 25 % of the time, most frequently at night, in the spring and summer months, in stably stratified conditions, and when a southwesterly wind is blowing. LLJ wind speed maxima range from 10 m s−1 to over 40 m s−1. The altitude of maximum wind speed, or the jet “nose”, is typically 300 m above the surface, above the height of most profiling lidars, although several hours of vLLJs occur in each month in the data set. The diurnal cycle for vLLJs is less pronounced than for all LLJs. Wind farms erode LLJs, as LLJs occur less frequently (19 %–20 % of hours) in the wind farm simulations than in the no-wind-farm (NWF) simulation (25 % of hours). When LLJs do occur in the simulation with wind farms, their noses are higher than in the NWF simulation: the LLJ nose has a mean altitude near 300 m for the NWF jets, but that nose height moves higher in the presence of wind farms, to a mean altitude near 400 m. Rotor region (30–250 m) wind veer is reduced across almost all months of the year in the wind farm simulations, while rotor region wind shear is similar in both simulations.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Tools Assessing Performance (FY2022 Quarter 4 Report)

We were finally successful in acquiring TTU’s 200-meter tower data for the duration of the Isolated Building Wake Experiment (IBWE). This data will provide an independent measurement of the undisturbed wind profile including heights far above those that are typical of meteorological sensor networks. These measurements will characterize the mean and turbulence throughout the atmospheric surface layer, which will be particularly useful for validation of highfidelity computational fluid dynamics models. This dataset can be shared freely among the TAP team but not outside of it as TTU sells this data to the wind power industry. The journal article overview has been submitted to LANL’s publication review and will be submitted to the Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics once the review is complete. We are nearing completion on another two articles. The first discusses analyses of the evolution of the measurements of mean wind speed along the centerline of the building as a function of atmospheric stability. Rather than using individual time steps, all of the wind speed measurements are normalized using the upwind measurement at 2 building heights (H) and filtered by wind direction and atmospheric stability. The second discusses the development of the diffusive wake model and uses the averaged profiles from the first article to validate the behavior of the model. The portion of the section below on the diffusive wake model discussing comparisons with the averaged profiles, will be included in the validation section of this paper.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Determination of wind from NIMBUS 6 satellite sounding data

Objective methods of computing upper level and surface wind fields from NIMBUS 6 satellite sounding data are developed. These methods are evaluated by comparing satellite derived and rawinsonde wind fields on gridded constant pressure charts in four geographical regions. Satellite-derived and hourly observed surface wind fields are compared. Results indicate that the best satellite-derived wind on constant pressure charts is a geostrophic wind derived from highly smoothed fields of geopotential height. Satellite-derived winds computed in this manner and rawinsonde winds show similar circulation patterns except in areas of small height gradients. Magnitudes of the standard deviation of the differences between satellite derived and rawinsonde wind speeds range from approximately 3 to 12 m/sec on constant pressure charts and peak at the jet stream level. Fields of satellite-derived surface wind computed with the logarithmic wind law agree well with fields of observed surface wind in most regions. Magnitudes of the standard deviation of the differences in surface wind speed range from approximately 2 to 4 m/sec, and satellite derived surface winds are able to depict flow across a cold front and around a low pressure center.

Carle, W. E.↗

Viscous pumping and the spin-down of thermospheric gyres and jets

Strong gyres and jets can be generated at auroral latitudes in the thermosphere by enhanced electric fields during geomagnetic substorms. Typical height profiles of ion density suggest that the ion drag force should generate large curvature in the vertical profile of the winds in the highly viscous region of the thermosphere above about 200 km. It is proposed that the poststorm spin-down of these gyres and jets proceeds via Ekman circulations driven by the curvatures in the height profiles of the winds. Analytic and numerical calculations of the ageostrophic winds forced by curvature in model geostrophic wind profiles show that the ageostrophic wind speeds and directions depend mainly on the kinematic viscosity in the region of curvature and the total change in shear in the geostrophic wind. Ageostrophic wind speeds for typical thermospheric jets can exceed 200 m/s (about 50 percent of the jet winds). Spin-down times of thermospheric jets and cyclonic gyres by the Ekman pumping mechanism are estimated at less than about 6 hours.

Walterscheid, R. L.↗

Low-speed wind-tunnel investigation of the flight dynamic characteristics of an advanced turboprop business/commuter aircraft configuration

An investigation was conducted to determine the low-speed flight dynamic behavior of a representative advanced turboprop business/commuter aircraft concept. Free-flight tests were conducted in the NASA Langley Research Center's 30- by 60-Foot Tunnel. In support of the free-flight tests, conventional static, dynamic, and free-to-roll oscillation tests were performed. Tests were intended to explore normal operating and post stall flight conditions, and conditions simulating the loss of power in one engine.

Coe, Paul L., Jr.↗

Observations of the properties of the water surface roughness structure under the action of wind and waves

The statistical properties of a water surface roughness structure subjected to wind and waves are analyzed in a laboratory wind wave channel. The surface slope is derived using elevation measurements and the pitot tube is employed to measure wind speed. The transient responses of the surface slope to a calm condition and low, medium, and high wind conditions are studied. Two methods for determining a critical wind speed range are described.

Long, Steven R.↗

Satellite observations of polar lows by SSM/I, Geosat and TOVS

Satellite observations in high-latitude regions were used to detect polar lows and track their propagation and evolution. The Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) provided estimates of surface wind speed, integrated cloud liquid water, and water vapor contents over ocean; the Geosat radar altimeter measured surface wind speed and significant wave height; the TIROS-N Operational Vertical Sounder (TOVS) allowed the determination of temperature and humidity profiles in the atmosphere, as well as cloud information (cloud top pressure and temperature). The detection of polar lows at a very early stage, and their development, propagation, and decay is presented for a specific case occurring in the Norwegian Sea on 23-24 January 1988, using a combination of these three instruments, namely a passive and an active microwave sensor, and a vertical sounder (19 infrared, 1 visible, and 4 microwave channels). Advantage is taken of the time and coverage differences between these three satellite sensors for the observation of polar lows. A discussion of the results is given.

Claud, C.↗

National-scale impacts on wind energy production under curtailment scenarios to reduce bat fatalities

Wind energy often plays a major role in meeting renewable energy policy objectives; however, increased deployment can raise concerns regarding the impacts of wind plants on certain wildlife. Particularly, estimates suggest hundreds of thousands of bat fatalities occur annually at wind plants across North America, with potential implications for the viability of several bat species. One approach to reducing bat fatalities is shutting down (or curtailing) turbines when bats are most at risk, such as at night during relatively low wind speed periods throughout summer and early autumn. While curtailment has consistently been shown to reduce bat fatalities, the lost power production reduces revenues for wind plants. This study conducted simulations with a range of curtailment scenarios across the contiguous United States to examine sensitivities of annual energy production (AEP) loss and potential impacts on economic metrics for future wind energy deployment. We found that AEP reduction can vary across the country from less than 1% to more than 10% for different curtailment scenarios. From an estimated 2891 gigawatts (GW) of simulated economically viable wind capacity (measured by a positive net present value), we found the mid curtailment scenario (6.0 m/s wind speed cut-in from July 1 through October 31) reduced the quantity of economic wind capacity by 274 GW or 9.5%. Our results indicate that high levels of curtailment could substantially reduce the future footprint of financially viable wind energy. In this context, future work that illuminates cost-effective strategies to minimize curtailment while reducing bat fatalities would be of value.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Equatorial Winds on Saturn and the Stratospheric Oscillation

The zonal jets on the giant planets are generally thought to be stable with time. Recently, there are still some debates about the general thought. Here, we report a significant temporal variation of the equatorial jet at high-altitude on Saturn. Long-term (2004-2009) observations by Cassini reveal that wind speed at the 60-mbar level increased from 270 m/s in 2004 to 290 m/s in 2008, while the wind speed has been mostly constant over time at the 500-mbar level in the southern equatorial region. The Cassini observations further reveal that the equatorial jet intensified approximately 60 m/s in the stratosphere (1-5 mbar) from 2005 to 2008. The fact that the wind acceleration is weaker at the 60-mbar level (approximately 20 m/s) than at the 1-mbar level (approximately 60 m/s) demonstrates that the equatorial oscillation is damped when it propagates downwards to the tropopause around 60 mbar. The direct measurement of the varying equatorial jet around the tropopause also serves as a key boundary condition when deriving the thermal wind fields in the stratosphere.

Li, Liming↗

Coordinated Studies of Magnetospheric/Ionospheric Coupling and Dynamics in the Diffuse Aurora

The results of the studies carried out under the grant are described in detail in the following publications: Atmospheric Response in Aurora experiment: Observations of E and F region neutral winds in a region of postmidnight diffuse aurora; Walterscheid, Modified geostrophy in the thermosphere, ARIA II neutral flywheel-driven field-aligned currents in the postmidnight sector of the auroral oval: A case study; Observations of unstable atmospheric shear layers in the lower E region in the post-midnight auroral oval; and Depletion of oxygen in aurora: Evidence for a local mechanism. The objective of the Atmospheric Response in Aurora (ARIA) experiment was to measure the response of the E-region neutral flow to substorm activity in the post-midnight sector of the auroral oval. To this end, neutral wind profiles were obtained from a series of four sets of rocket flights using the chemical release technique. The measurements covered conditions ranging from quiet to disturbed. A consistent feature of the observed winds in disturbed conditions is the presence of an E-region jet located between approximately 110 and 120 km altitude. The profiles presented here show that the neutral wind speeds near 110-120 km altitude increase and the hodographs become more elongated or linear in response to higher magnetic activity levels. The wind speeds decrease and the hodographs become more circular as the activity level decreases. The presence of a wind maximum implies shears both above and below. The observations consistently show larger shears below the peak and smaller shears above. In fact, the bottom-side shears during disturbed conditions have Richardson numbers close to or below the critical value of 0.25 suggesting that the flow is highly unstable in that height range. The instability is expected to produce waves, turbulence, and enhanced diffusivity.

Larsen, M. F.↗