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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,099 records · Page 61
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Equation of State for the Thermodynamic Properties of Trans-1,2-dichloroethene [R-1130(E)]

We present an empirical equation of state in terms of the Helmholtz energy for trans-1,2-dichloroethene [R-1130(E)]. The range of validity is from the triple-point temperature, 223.31 K to 525 K with pressures up to 30 MPa. It may be used to calculate all thermodynamic properties in the fluid phase, including liquid, gas, and supercritical regions. Comparisons are given with existing literature data and estimated uncertainties are provided. In addition, checks were made for correct extrapolation behavior so that the equation behaves in a physically realistic manner when used outside of its range of validity, enabling its use in mixture models. The estimated uncertainties (at a k = 2 or 95 % level of confidence) are based on comparisons with critically assessed data and are 0.25 % for vapor pressure for temperatures in the range 300 K < T < 454 K, rising to 1.5 % as the temperature decreases from 300 K to 265 K. For density in the liquid phase the estimated uncertainty is 0.14 % for temperatures 270 K < T < 410 K and for pressures up to 30 MPa. For the vapor phase the estimated uncertainty in density is 3 %. The uncertainty for liquid-phase heat capacity is 1 % at atmospheric pressure over the temperature range 268 K < T < 309 K, and the uncertainty for the speed of sound in the liquid phase is 0.25 % for temperatures 230 K < T < 420 K and for pressures up to 30 MPa. The uncertainties are larger outside of these specified ranges and in the critical region.

1,2-Dichloroethene↗
DOE OSTI2021

AlphaBuilding ResCommunity: A multi-agent virtual testbed for community-level load coordination

Training and validating algorithms in a simulation testbed can accelerate research and applications of optimal control of residential loads to improve energy flexibility and grid resilience. We developed an open-source simulation environment, AlphaBuilding ResCommunity, that can be used to train and validate algorithms to control a single thermostatically controlled load (TCL) or coordinate a group of TCLs. We used reduced-order models to simulate the thermodynamics of TCLs, and the parameter values were determined from the connected smart thermostat data of real households. The environment was built upon the standardized OpenAI Gym interface. Ancillary functions, such as retrieving the parameters and weather forecasts, are provided to facilitate control strategies that require predictive information. Compared with existing efforts, AlphaBuilding ResCommunity has three advantages: (1) more realistic model settings because the parameter values are identified from actual household operating data, and modelling and measurement uncertainty are considered; (2) passive thermal storage control; and (3) ease of use due to a simple software dependency and standardized interface. We demonstrated the applications of the environment by implementing a Kalman Filter and Model Predictive Control on a single TCL and a Priority-Stack-Based Control and Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers to coordinate multiple TCLs for load tracking.

Wang, Z↗
DOE OSTI2025

Bayesian SegNet for Semantic Segmentation with Improved Interpretation of Microstructural Evolution During Irradiation of Materials

Understanding the relationship between the evolution of microstructures of irradiated LiAlO2pellets and tritium diffusion, retention and release could improve predictions of tritium performance. Given expert-labeled segmented images of irradiated and unirradiated pellets, we trained Deep Convolutional Neural Networks to segment images into defect, grain, and boundary classes. Qualitative microstructural information was calculated from these segmented images to facilitate the comparison of unirradiated and irradiated pellets. We tested modifications to improve the sensitivity of the model, including incorporating meta-data into the model and utilizing uncertainty quantification. The predicted segmentation was similar to the expert-labeled segmentation for most methods of microstructural qualification, including pixel proportion, defect area, and defect density. Overall, the high performance metrics for the best models for both irradiated and unirradiated images shows that utilizing neural network models is a viable alternative to expert-labeled images.

Oostrom, Marjolein T.↗
DOE OSTI2025

A high-throughput approach for statistical process optimization in Laser Powder Bed Fusion

Process variability is inherent in metal additive manufacturing (AM). However, it is often overlooked in process optimization frameworks, constraining the understanding of process uncertainties and their influence on parameter selection. To address this, we present an integrated framework that combines high-throughput single-track experiments, GAN-based melt pool geometry extraction, robust statistical and machine learning modeling, and uncertainty-quantified process mapping. Process variability is characterized through single-track melt pool behaviors, and its influence on defect formation is systematically quantified to enable statistically guided process parameter optimization. This approach is demonstrated on Laser Powder Bed Fusion (L-PBF) of stainless steel 316L, effectively capturing the interplay between process parameters, melt pool variability, and defect probability. By integrating uncertainty quantification into process optimization, this study provides a structured methodology for addressing variability challenges in AM quality control, ultimately contributing to enhanced manufacturing reliability.

Laser Powder Bed Fusion↗
DOE OSTI2025

Physics consistent machine learning framework for inverse modeling with applications to ICF capsule implosions

In high energy density physics (HEDP) and inertial confinement fusion (ICF), predictive modeling is complicated by uncertainty in parameters that characterize various aspects of the modeled system, such as those characterizing material properties, equation of state (EOS), opacities, and initial conditions. Typically, however, these parameters are not directly observable. What is observed instead is a time sequence of radiographic projections using X-rays. In this work, we define a set of sparse hydrodynamic features derived from the outgoing shock profile and outer material edge, which can be obtained from radiographic measurements, to directly infer such parameters. Our machine learning (ML)-based methodology involves a pipeline of two architectures, a radiograph-to-features network (R2FNet) and a features-to-parameters network (F2PNet), that are trained independently and later combined to approximate a posterior distribution for the parameters from radiographs. We show that the machine learning architectures are able to accurately infer initial conditions and EOS parameters, and that the estimated parameters can be used in a hydrodynamics code to obtain density fields, shocks, and material interfaces that satisfy thermodynamic and hydrodynamic consistency. Finally, we demonstrate that features resulting from an unknown EOS model can be successfully mapped onto parameters of a chosen analytical EOS model, implying that network predictions are learning physics, with a degree of invariance to the underlying choice of EOS model. To the best of our knowledge, our framework is the first demonstration of recovering both thermodynamic and hydrodynamic consistent density fields from noisy radiographs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Size-resolved particle and black carbon deposition over the cryosphere (Final Report)

Our project focused on providing observational constraints and investigation of aerosol deposition by performing the first unambiguous direct eddy flux covariance measurements of aerosol dry deposition over the cryosphere. The project aimed to make eddy covariance flux measurements of dry deposition and off-line wet deposition measurements of black carbon containing aerosol plus eddy covariance measurements of size-resolved accumulation mode scattering aerosol over the DOE ARM AMF3 Oliktok Point site in Fall 2020. We aimed to compare our measurements to model parameterizations to constrain uncertainties and systematic bias, and improve deposition parameterizations in models. Due to disruptions in field work from COVID-19, our work was delayed and moved to an alternate site on the North Slope of Alaska. This report summarizes the key findings from the project, including data analysis from previous field projects and from the North Slope of Alaska.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Modeling Heat Pipes with Non-Condensable Gases

The report showcases advancements in modeling heat pipes, considering both scenarios with and without non-condensable gases. To achieve this, two distinct modeling approaches are juxtaposed. Firstly, the effective conduction model, implemented in the MOOSE-based code Sockeye, is employed. Secondly, a first-of-a-kind two-phase Euler-Euler Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) model is developed using the STAR-CCM+ code. Both models undergo validation against experimental data, acknowledging the inherent uncertainties associated with each modeling assumption. Interestingly, the non-tuned CFD model surpasses the performance of the calibrated conduction model for heat pipes operating under both conditions: with and without non-condensable gases. It's worth noting, however, that the CFD models entail significantly longer runtimes compared to the conduction models. Nevertheless, the insights garnered from the CFD model shed invaluable light on the intricate operational dynamics of heat pipes. Future work involves broadening the validation scope of these models and continuing their development to enhance their utility as robust tools for heat pipe design and operational support.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Unified model of nucleon elastic form factors and implications for neutrino-oscillation experiments

Precise knowledge of the nucleon’s axial-current form factors is crucial for modeling GeV-scale neutrino-nucleus interactions. Unfortunately, the axial form factor remains insufficiently constrained to meet the precision requirements of upcoming long-baseline neutrino-oscillation experiments. This work studies the nucleon’s axial and vector form factors using the light-front approach to build a quark-diquark model of the nucleon with an explicit pion cloud. The light-front wave functions in both the quark and pion-baryon Fock spaces are first calibrated to existing experimental information on the nucleon’s electromagnetic form factors and then used to predict the axial form factor. The resulting squared charge radius of the axial pseudovector form factor is predicted to be $r$$^{2}_{A}$ = 0.29 ± 0.03 fm 2 , where the small error accounts for the model’s parametric uncertainty. We use our form factor results to explore the (quasi)elastic scattering of neutrinos by (nuclei)nucleons, with the result that the widely implemented dipole ansatz is an inadequate approximation of the full form factor for modeling both processes. Here, the approximation leads to a 5%–10% overestimation of the total cross section, depending on the (anti)neutrino energy. We project overestimations of similar size in the flux-averaged cross sections for the upcoming DUNE long-baseline neutrino-oscillation experiment.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Estimating epistemic uncertainty in soil parameters for nonlinear site response analyses: Introducing the Latin Hypercube Sampling technique

This study quantifies the effects of epistemic uncertainty in soil parameters on nonlinear (NL) site response analysis (SRA) results, validated against the data recorded at a well-instrumented geotechnical downhole array located in Japan. To this end, a one-dimensional soil column model of the Service Hall Array (SHA) near the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa Nuclear Power Plant (KKNPP) is developed using the finite element (FE) program LS-DYNA. The dynamic stress–strain relationship is characterized by a modified two-stage hyperbolic (MTH) NL backbone curve formulation capable of capturing soil behavior at both small- and large-shear strains. The model is then validated against the ground motion recordings to capture the model bias. The uncertainties associated with the shear-wave velocity profile (a small-strain soil property) and soil shear strength (a large-strain soil property) are incorporated in NL SRA to quantify their separate and joint randomization effects on the results. This study proposes using the Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) method as an efficient alternative to commonly used methods, such as Standard Monte Carlo (SMC), to account for uncertainty propagation in such reliability analysis. Both low-intensity and design-level records from the recordings at the SHA are applied to study the contribution of the small- and large-strain NL dynamic soil properties. Results from 46,200 NL FE analyses (23,100 per input motion) are presented. Measured and predicted site response, using recorded ground motions at this downhole array, is compared to assess the significance of soil parameter uncertainty on the observed ground motion dispersions. It is demonstrated that increasing the number of soft realizations and implementing higher level earthquake intensity lead to higher ground motion dispersion. Unlike past studies in randomization of Vs profiles with the SMC method, the LHS method is shown to have no significant effect on the predicted median surface response spectra and amplification factors (AFs) for this case study.

Engineering↗
DOE OSTI2020

Identify the influence of microstructure on mesoscale creep and fatigue damage

This report describes the development of a microstructural model that can quantify the uncertainty in the observed rupture life of Grade 91 steel. The model is microstructural, meaning it relates microstructural characteristics of the material to the resulting material response. As such, one of the uses of this model is to identify the key microstructural parameters controlling the development of damage in Grade 91 operating at elevated temperatures. The report describes two veins of work: improvements to the crystal plasticity model required to run the uncertainty quantification analysis and the results of that UQ analysis. For creep, the model identifies the grain boundary diffusivity as the critical parameter controlling the rupture life of the material. The report demonstrates that a reasonable microstructural distribution of grain boundary diffusivity can account for the observed macroscale variation in rupture life at fixed temperature and load.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Phase Field Sintering Simulations of Tagged UO 2

Isotopic taggants are being considered as an additive for UO 2 manufacturing to improve nuclear security. Before taggants can be adopted, it must be determined whether taggants have any effect on the fuel microstructure or performance. As part of this effort, a grand potential formulation of the phase field method was used to model untagged, Cr-tagged, and Fe-tagged UO 2 . The simulations were compared to determine whether the taggants had any effect on fuel density or grain size. The results suggest that the taggants will not affect the density or grain size, but these findings may not be reliable because of high uncertainty. Causes of the uncertainty were discussed, and future work is proposed to reduce the model uncertainty.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Optimal experimental design for prediction based on push-forward probability measures

Incorporating experimental data is essential for increasing the credibility of simulation-aided decision making and design. This paper presents a method which uses a computational model to guide the optimal acquisition of experimental data to produce data-informed predictions of quantities of interest (QoI). Many strategies for optimal experimental design (OED) select data that maximize some utility that measures the reduction in uncertainty of uncertain model parameters, for example the expected information gain between prior and posterior distributions of these parameters. In this paper, we seek to maximize the expected information gained from the pushforward of an initial (prior) density to the push-forward of the updated (posterior) density through the parameter-to-prediction map. The formulation presented is based upon the solution of a specific class of stochastic inverse problems which seeks a probability density that is consistent with the model and the data in the sense that the push-forward of this density through the parameter-to-observable map matches a target density on the observable data. While this stochastic inverse problem forms the mathematical basis for our approach, we develop a one-step algorithm, focused on push-forward probability measures, that leverages inference-for-prediction to bypass constructing the solution to the stochastic inverse problem. A number of numerical results are presented to demonstrate the utility of this optimal experimental design for prediction and facilitate comparison of our approach with traditional OED.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2026

Criteria for Retention of 3013 S1 Containers Based on Relative Risk and Expert Judgment

An evaluation was performed to assess the suitability of thirty-three 3013 containers proposed for retention. These containers have moisture levels greater than 0.08 wt.% – the S1 population. The remainder of the S1 population stored at SRS will be down blended and disposed of by the end of 2028. Based on field surveillance and shelf-life data available to date as well as informed technical judgment, no container is currently expected to fail in its 50-year storage period. However, corrosion risk varies across the S1 population. Relative risks were evaluated using predicted Consensus Scores and their 95% Upper Prediction Limits (UPLs). The predicted values are based on a statistical model of Consensus Score as a function of moisture, chloride, and whether the packaged material was electrorefining scrap packaged at Hanford. Consensus Score has been shown to be a useful indicator of corrosion potential, and the UPL captures uncertainty in the model predictions, providing a conservative indicator of corrosion potential. Using UPLs to determine relative risks, together with expert review, three containers were identified as not suitable for retention, and the remainder were determined to be suitable.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Considering uncertainties expands the lower tail of maize yield projections

Crop yields are sensitive to extreme weather events. Improving the understanding of the mechanisms and the drivers of the projection uncertainties can help to improve decisions. Previous studies have provided important insights, but often sample only a small subset of potentially important uncertainties. Here we expand on a previous statistical modeling approach by refining the analyses of two uncertainty sources. Specifically, we assess the effects of uncertainties surrounding crop-yield model parameters and climate forcings on projected crop yield. We focus on maize yield projections in the eastern U.S.in this century. We quantify how considering more uncertainties expands the lower tail of yield projections. We characterized the relative importance of each uncertainty source and show that the uncertainty surrounding yield model parameters is the main driver of yield projection uncertainty.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

A point-particle-based hydride shell-shedding model for ejecta particle transport in reactive environments

A shock wave passing over a rough or perturbed metal surface will induce a limiting case of Richtmyer–Meshkov instability and will cause small particles to eject from the surface and transport into the surrounding medium. These particles are known as ejecta and can be either solid or liquid in nature. Recent experiments have shown that liquid cerium ejecta clouds exhibit unexpected non-monotonic acceleration behaviors as well as temperature plateaus after a brief temperature rise if they are transporting in a chemically reactive, hydrogen-based medium while they act as expected in an inert medium. This work details a point-particle model developed for reactive cerium ejecta transport, which attempts to account for these new physics through the behavior of a developing solid hydride shell, which is believed to form as a product of the reaction. The overall model incorporates the effects of the reaction on the particle properties as well as the effects of potential shedding of the shell into sub-micrometer scale flakes and potential phase change of the hydride if the ejecta particles reach the melt point of the hydride layer. The model is tested by performing simulations of the original motivating experiments and comparing quantities, such as ejected mass, velocimetry, and temperature profiles, against the experimental data. While the model is able to capture many general features of the observed anomalies, some inaccuracies still exist. These point to both missing physics in the model (such as a deuterium adsorption mechanism on the hydride layer) as well as a lack of knowledge of certain material properties (such as the strength of cerium hydride to determine dynamic fracture thicknesses) needed to fully reduce the uncertainties in the model by up to an order of magnitude and perform a true attempt at model validation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

The Atacama Cosmology Telescope: DR6 power spectrum foreground model and validation

We discuss the model of astrophysical emission at millimeter wavelengths used to characterize foregrounds in the multi-frequency power spectra of the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) Data Release 6 (DR6), expanding on Louis et al. (2025) (2503.14452). We detail several tests to validate the capability of the DR6 parametric foreground model to describe current observations and complex simulations, and show that cosmological parameter constraints are robust against model extensions and variations. We demonstrate consistency of the model with pre-DR6 ACT data and observations from Planck and the South Pole Telescope. We evaluate the implications of using different foreground templates and extending the model with new components and/or free parameters. In all scenarios, the DR6 ΛCDM and ΛCDM+N eff cosmological parameters shift by less than 0.5σ relative to the baseline constraints. Some foreground parameters shift more; we estimate their systematic uncertainties associated with modeling choices. From our constraint on the kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich power, we obtain a conservative limit on the duration of reionization of Δz rei < 4.4, assuming a reionization midpoint consistent with optical depth measurements and a minimal low-redshift contribution, with varying assumptions for this component leading to tighter limits. Finally, we analyze realistic non-Gaussian, correlated microwave sky simulations containing Galactic and extragalactic foreground fields, built independently of the DR6 parametric foreground model. Processing these simulations through the DR6 power spectrum and likelihood pipeline, we recover the input cosmological parameters of the underlying cosmic microwave background field, a new demonstration for small-scale CMB analysis. These tests validate the robustness of the ACT DR6 foreground model and cosmological parameter constraints.

CMBR experiments↗
DOE OSTI2023

Predictive Capability Maturity Model Demonstration for Cylindrical Cavity Coupling Using Gemma in the Next Generation Workflow

The predictive capability maturity model (PCMM) uses the expert elicitation process to generate credibility evidence for a particular analysis. To ensure Gemma has the capability to efficiently produce this credibility evidence, next generation workflows (NGW) are created for the solution verification, calibration/validation, and input uncertainty quantification portions of the PCMM assessment. These workflows are then used on the Higgins cylinder problem, which is representative of applications involving external-to-internal electromagnetic field coupling through a slot. The uncertainties calculated using these workflows are then used to calculate the validation comparison error and the validation uncertainty for the model following the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) verification and validation (V&V) 20 standard. These workflows will enable analysts to iterate each element of PCMM more efficiently than if completed without using a NGW workflow. An example of this iterative process is shown in Section 7.2.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Dislocation drag and its influence on elastic precursor decay

Plastic deformation is mediated by the creation and movement of dislocations, and at high stress the latter is dominated by dislocation drag from phonon wind. Here, by simulating a 1-D shock impact problem we analyze the importance of accurately modeling dislocation drag and dislocation density evolution in the high stress regime. Dislocation drag is modeled according to a first-principles derivation as a function of stress and dislocation character, and its temperature and density dependence are approximated to the extent currently known. Much less is known about dislocation density evolution, leading to far greater uncertainty in these model parameters. In studying anisotropic fcc metals with character dependent dislocations, the present work generalizes similar earlier studies by other authors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗