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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2022

Growing impact of wildfire on western US water supply

Streamflow often increases after fire, but the persistence of this effect and its importance to present and future regional water resources are unclear. This paper addresses these knowledge gaps for the western United States (WUS), where annual forest fire area increased by more than 1,100% during 1984 to 2020. Among 72 forested basins across the WUS that burned between 1984 and 2019, the multibasin mean streamflow was significantly elevated by 0.19 SDs (P < 0.01) for an average of 6 water years postfire, compared to the range of results expected from climate alone. Significance is assessed by comparing prefire and postfire streamflow responses to climate and also to streamflow among 107 control basins that experienced little to no wildfire during the study period. The streamflow response scales with fire extent: among the 29 basins where >20% of forest area burned in a year, streamflow over the first 6 water years postfire increased by a multibasin average of 0.38 SDs, or 30%. Postfire streamflow increases were significant in all four seasons. Historical fire–climate relationships combined with climate model projections suggest that 2021 to 2050 will see repeated years when climate is more fire-conducive than in 2020, the year currently holding the modern record for WUS forest area burned. These findings center on relatively small, minimally managed basins, but our results suggest that burned areas will grow enough over the next 3 decades to enhance streamflow at regional scales. Wildfire is an emerging driver of runoff change that will increasingly alter climate impacts on water supplies and runoff-related risks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bridging the Gap on Data and Analysis for Distribution System Planning: Information That Utilities Can Provide Regulators, State Energy Offices and Other Stakeholders

Electric utilities conduct planning annually to ensure their distribution system meets technical standards, policies, and regulations; addresses forecasted grid conditions; satisfies customer needs; and advances utility priorities. The plan identifies grid deficiencies, analyzes potential solutions, and prioritizes capital investments and other expenditures. About 20 U.S. states and jurisdictions require regulated utilities to file some type of distribution system plan with the public utility commission for review. Requirements for sharing distribution system data and analyses vary widely, from few specific requirements to a detailed list of information that must be provided. While utilities conduct extensive analysis to develop distribution system plans, in most jurisdictions regulators and stakeholders do not know what data are available and how the utility uses the data in planning and investing. This report aims to bridge the gap by increasing understanding of the types of data and analyses utilities employ to develop distribution system plans and how the information affects their decision-making. The report describes information that states and stakeholders can ask for related to 11 data categories: -Forecasting loads and distributed energy resources (DERs) -Scenario analysis -Worst-performing circuits -Asset management strategy -Hosting capacity analysis -Value of DERs -Grid needs assessment -Cost-effectiveness framework for investments -Distribution system investment strategy and implementation -Geotargeted programs -Non-wires alternatives procurements.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Adopting Code Verification Methodology Based on Model Form

Code verification is an essential part of credibility analysis for computational models. It assesses whether the mathematical model is implemented correctly into the code and whether the numerical methods behave consistently, and is done before solution verification and validation. Robust guidance for code verification exists in the literature. However, there is no known, concise guide for selecting the approach based on the model form that also presents an overview of the common elements. This document was written to address this gap as an accessible reference for beginning a code-verification effort.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Adapting Code Verification Methodology to Model Form

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

NASA NTRS2022

Growing Impact of Wildfire on Western US Water Supply

Streamflow often increases after fire, but the persistence of this effect and its importance to present and future regional water resources are unclear. This paper addresses these knowledge gaps for the western United States (WUS), where annual forest fire area increased by more than 1,100% during 1984 to 2020. Among 72 forested basins across the WUS that burned between 1984 and 2019, the multibasin mean streamflow was significantly elevated by 0.19 SDs ( P < 0.01) for an average of 6 water years postfire, compared to the range of results expected from climate alone. Significance is assessed by comparing prefire and postfire streamflow responses to climate and also to streamflow among 107 control basins that experienced little to no wildfire during the study period. The streamflow response scales with fire extent: among the 29 basins where >20% of forest area burned in a year, streamflow over the first 6 water years postfire increased by a multibasin average of 0.38 SDs, or 30%. Postfire streamflow increases were significant in all four seasons. Historical fire–climate relationships combined with climate model projections suggest that 2021 to 2050 will see repeated years when climate is more fire-conducive than in 2020, the year currently holding the modern record for WUS forest area burned. These findings center on relatively small, minimally managed basins, but our results suggest that burned areas will grow enough over the next 3 decades to enhance streamflow at regional scales. Wildfire is an emerging driver of runoff change that will increasingly alter climate impacts on water supplies and runoff-related risks.

wildfire↗

DOE OSTI2023

Environmental and Social Justice Implications of a Circular Plastics Economy

A consideration of environmental justice (EJ) and social justice (SJ) is critical to minimize the impacts of technology deployment on local communities. SJ and EJ impacts occur in specific geographic locations but can cover a wide range of effects (e.g., air pollution, access to clean water, jobs, wages, and education), making it challenging to determine which metrics are appropriate to evaluate and which data are required. Thus, there is currently a gap in the analysis community's ability to provide useful and universal EJ and SJ metrics for emerging technologies. Here, we present a draft framework for evaluating the human health, local environment, and job implications of processes that are at an early or middle technology readiness level (TRL). Using a case study on enzymatic polyethylene terephthalate (PET) recycling (middle TRL), we demonstrate how to qualitatively and quantitatively assess these EJ and SJ metrics for a circular economy context and how to communicate the results in a manner beneficial to both researchers and local communities.

circular economy↗

DOE OSTI2025

Single Primary Heat Extraction and Removal Emulator (SPHERE) Long Duration Testing

For the development of heat-pipe cooled microreactors, it is crucial to thoroughly understand the characteristics and functioning of heat pipes across a wide spectrum of operating conditions. Passive heat removal and its long-term performance stability are critical factors in this context. Enhanced experimental data is vital for evaluating the operational lifespan of alkali metal heat pipes. Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has successfully conducted an extended duration test on a high-performance sodium-filled heat pipe, closely monitoring the axial temperature profile, power supplied by the heaters, and heat removed by a gas-gap calorimeter. The results from this testing provide valuable data that are instrumental in supporting heat pipe validation efforts. Specifically, this data aids in the development and validation of Sockeye, the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) tool under the US-DOE NEAMS program designed for heat pipe modeling. By comparing experimental results with Sockeye’s predictions, the tool's accuracy and reliability can be assessed and improved, thereby enhancing its capability to simulate heat pipe operations under various conditions.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Supporting U.S. National Security Through Cybersecurity Partnerships

At NLR, we're studying energy evolutions and threats to understand the challenges they pose and uncover ways to leverage grid advancements to achieve more secure, defensible, and reliable systems. Our integrated research approach bridges the gap between cyber threats and real-world consequences to deliver actionable solutions that reduce vulnerabilities and help strengthen U.S. national security.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2023

The first field application of a low-cost MPC for grid-interactive K-12 schools: Lessons-learned and savings assessment

K-12 schools are the largest energy consumers in the public sector, with their HVAC energy consumption representing the largest portion of their total energy use. While transitioning these schools to grid-interactive HVAC system operation through advanced controls offers significant financial and environmental benefits, and model predictive control (MPC) has been identified as a promising solution to achieve that, very few MPCs are affordable and have been deployed in K-12 schools. This situation raises concerns about the unclear real-world benefits of MPC technology among facility managers and industries. To address this gap, this paper presents a low-cost MPC solution that requires minimal control infrastructure costs and a unique field demonstration at a K-12 school, conducted for both cooling and heating seasons. This work adopted a previously developed MPC and extended it for use in the school application. The MPC aims to coordinate multiple packaged units to eliminate unnecessary peaks and shift cooling or heating loads in response to grid signals based on load conditions, while maintaining thermostat temperatures within school-defined bounds. Throughout the field tests, the MPC achieved a 24% reduction in peak demand during the cooling season and shifted cooling or heating loads by up to 16% in response to the school's utility tariff, considering load conditions, while also allowing end-users to override thermostat setpoints. Further, the paper also discusses the limitations of this study and future research directions for better performance of the MPC at K-12 schools.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2020

Partner Baseline Assessment Guide: Clean Energy for Low Income Communities

The U.S. Department of Energy Better Buildings Clean Energy for Low Income Communities Accelerator aims to lower energy bills in low to moderate income communities through expanded installation of energy efficiency and distributed renewables. Upon joining the Accelerator, partners committed to developing Action Plans after a year. As shown in the diagram below, baselining is a useful approach to informing your planning efforts, and should involve input from a broad range of stakeholders. The following guide was developed by DOE to assist partners with baselining, and identifying needs and gaps to address in action plans.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2023

Integrated Assessment Modeling of Grid Resilience: GCAM-to-PCM Scoping

Deep decarbonization towards a net-zero emissions future and the associated growth in power demand, renewables, and changes in water availability will require significant evolution in grid planning. Many obstacles threaten the viability of near-term generation capacity build out, including the need for large-scale transmission expansion. Current very-long term planning tools do not adequately model physical representations of economic dispatch and system topology down to inter- and intra-regional transmission and distribution infrastructure. This project attempts to fill that gap.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2023

Mechanisms and Impacts of Earth System Tipping Elements

Tipping elements are components of the Earth system which may respond nonlinearly to anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long-term states upon passing key thresholds or “tipping points.” In some cases, such changes could produce additional greenhouse gas emissions or radiative forcing that could compound global warming. Improved understanding of tipping elements is important for predicting future climate risks and their impacts. Here we review mechanisms, predictions, impacts, and knowledge gaps associated with 10 notable Earth system components proposed to be tipping elements. We evaluate which tipping elements are approaching critical thresholds and whether shifts may manifest rapidly or over longer timescales. Some tipping elements have a higher risk of crossing tipping points under middle-of-the-road emissions pathways and will possibly affect major ecosystems, climate patterns, and/or carbon cycling within the 21st century. However, literature assessing different emissions scenarios indicates a strong potential to reduce impacts associated with many tipping elements through climate change mitigation. The studies synthesized in our review suggest most tipping elements do not possess the potential for abrupt future change within years, and some proposed tipping elements may not exhibit tipping behavior, rather responding more predictably and directly to the magnitude of forcing. Nevertheless, uncertainties remain associated with many tipping elements, highlighting an acute need for further research and modeling to better constrain risks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Thermodynamics of Uranium Tri-Iodide from Density-Functional Theory

Density-functional theory (DFT) is employed to investigate the thermodynamic and ground-state properties of bulk uranium tri-iodide, UI3. The theory is fully relativistic and electron correlations, beyond the DFT and generalized gradient approximation, are addressed with orbital polarization. The electronic structure indicates anti-ferromagnetism, in agreement with neutron diffraction, with band gaps and a non-metallic system. Furthermore, the formation energy, atomic volume, crystal structure, and heat capacity are calculated in reasonable agreement with experiments, whereas for the elastic constants experimental data are unavailable for comparison. The thermodynamical properties are modeled within a quasi-harmonic approximation and the heat capacity and Gibbs free energy as functions of temperature agree with available calculation of phase diagram (CALPHAD) thermodynamic assessment of the experimental data.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

NASA NTRS2008

Focused Assessment of State-of-the-Art CFD Capabilities for Prediction of Subsonic Fixed Wing Aircraft Aerodynamics

Several recent workshops and studies are used to make an assessment of the current status of CFD for subsonic fixed wing aerodynamics. Uncertainty quantification plays a significant role in the assessment, so terms associated with verification and validation are given and some methodology and research areas are highlighted. For high-subsonic-speed cruise through buffet onset, the series of drag prediction workshops and NASA/Boeing buffet onset studies are described. For low-speed flow control for high lift, a circulation control workshop and a synthetic jet flow control workshop are described. Along with a few specific recommendations, gaps and needs identified through the workshops and studies are used to develop a list of broad recommendations to improve CFD capabilities and processes for this discipline in the future.

Rumsey, Christopher L.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Decarbonizing via disparities: Problematizing the relationship between social identity and solar energy transitions in the United States

As solar adoption across the United States continues to grow, so do the gaps between rural and urban communities in how they choose to embrace these technologies, leading to serious questions of social justice and equity by researchers and policymakers alike. While recent studies have examined the racial and social justice elements of solar adoption alongside institutions' role in shaping pro-solar policies, codes, and code enforcement, an opportunity exists to discuss how the place and composition of the body politic in terms of race/ethnicity and rurality exists. This paper establishes a methodology for examining location and body politic composition concerning adopting all types of solar (residential, non-residential, utility-scale), utilizing the State of Georgia as a case study. Results indicate that the approach yields useful and informative findings; namely, there is a significant difference in adopting non-residential and utility-scale solar between rural and urban counties. We conclude by discussing further opportunities to expand on this analysis and the impact of assessing solar adoption in terms of value alignment between a body politic and the policies that shape the adoption of sustainable energy technologies. Finally, combining solar adoption information for the State of Georgia with Census data, this study compares solar adoption trends across counties--grouped by urban/rural classification and racial and ethnic majority.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Heavy boron doping effects on biaxially tensile strained germanium (>1.5%) investigated via structural characterization, effective lifetime assessment and atomistic modeling

Highly tensile strained germanium (ε-Ge) represents an essential material system for emerging electronic and photonics applications. Moreover, adjusting the doping levels to moderate or high concentrations can effectively tailor the properties of ε-Ge for specific applications. This article combines experimental characterization with a theoretical framework to examine the effects of heavy elemental boron (B) doping on pseudomorphic sub-50 nm ε-Ge. High resolution X-ray diffractometry is used to validate tensile strain levels of 1.53% and 1.68% in Ge epilayers, surpassing the indirect-to-direct band gap crossover point at ∼1.5% biaxial tensile strain. Cross-sectional transmission electron microscopy revealed visual evidence of stacking faults and surface roughening in 1.68% ε-Ge, although a coherent and abrupt Ge/III–V heterointerface is observed, devoid of interfacial misfit dislocations. Effective lifetime measurements demonstrated approximately twofold enhancement in 1.53% B-doped ε-Ge (N B ∼7 × 10 19 cm −3 ) compared to its unstrained B-doped counterpart, while no such improvement was observed in 1.68% B-doped ε-Ge. This lack of enhancement is attributed to the presence of stacking faults and surface roughness within the ε-Ge epilayer. Through density functional theory calculations, we independently demonstrate that substitutional B atoms induce local deformation of Ge–Ge bonds in both unstrained Ge and ε-Ge epilayers, resulting in an additive tensile strain. This phenomenon could potentially lead to dynamic reduction and overcoming of the critical layer thickness for the system, facilitating the nucleation and subsequent glide of 90° leading Shockley partial dislocations, thereby generating stacking faults. In essence, these findings establish an upper limit on the B-doping concentration that can be achieved in highly ε-Ge epilayers, and collectively, offer valuable insights into the significance of heavy doping in Ge-based heterostructures. As such, this study delineates a fundamental constraint for integrating heavily doped ε-Ge in high-performance optoelectronic systems, necessitating precise strain-doping co-optimization to avoid performance degradation.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Extending the Brick schema to represent metadata of occupants

Here, energy-related behaviors of occupants constitute a key factor influencing building performance; accordingly, the measured occupant data can support the objective assessment of the indoor environment and energy performance of buildings, which can inform building design and operational decisions. Existing data schemas focus on metadata of sensors, meters, physical equipment, and IoT devices in buildings; however, they are limited in representing the metadata of occupant data, including occupants' presence in spaces, movement between spaces, interactions with building systems or IoT devices, and preference of indoor environmental needs. To address this gap, an extension to the widely adopted metadata schema, Brick, is proposed to represent the contextual, behavioral, and demographic information of occupants. The proposed extension includes four parts: (1) a new “Occupant” class to represent occupants' demography and energy related behavioral patterns, (2) new subclasses under the Equipment class to represent envelope system and personal thermal comfort devices, (3) new subclasses under the Point class to represent occupant sensing and status, and (4) new auxiliary properties for occupant interactable equipment to represent the level of controllability for each piece of equipment by occupants. The extension is implemented in the Brick schema and has been tested using multiple occupant datasets from the ASHRAE Global Occupant Database. The extension enables Brick schema to capture diverse types of occupant sensing data and their metadata for FAIR data research and applications.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2025

Active multi-mode data analysis to improve fault diagnosis in AHUs

Faults in heating, ventilation and air conditioning systems can lead to increased energy consumption, occupant comfort issues, and reduced equipment lifetime. Commercial fault detection and diagnosis (FDD) tools has been increasingly deployed in U.S. commercial buildings. While they are helping to achieve energy efficiency and operational reliability, there remain gaps in their fault diagnostic capabilities. The diagnostic results often contain multiple distinct candidate root causes (CRCs) or offer no insight into CRCs. This study developed a novel active rule-based multi-mode data analysis method to enhance diagnostic resolution by applying proven rule sets and additional new rules to data from multiple known operational modes. The proposed method was demonstrated using enhanced air handling unit performance assessment rule sets and validated with the simulated data of two air handling units. New metrics, namely, reduced number of CRCs and improvement ratio, were developed to quantify the improvement of fault diagnostic resolution. The validation results showed that the proposed method effectively reduced the number of CRCs in contrast to analyzing data solely for a single mode of operation. It achieved a median improvement ratio of 80% in 19 test cases.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗