Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Cyclone”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,099 records · Page 61
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2019

Analysis and Applications of Water Vapor-Derived Multispectral Composites for Geostationary Satellites

Analysis of multispectral (red-green-blue, RGB) satellite image composites can be used to improve understanding of thermodynamic and / or dynamic features associated with the development of significant weather events (cyclones, hurricanes, intense convection, turbulence, etc.) The enhanced water vapor imaging capabilities of the Advanced Baseline Imager on GOES-16 and GOES-17 satellites provide a unique opportunity to demonstrate this capability through a comparison of the Air Mass (AM) and Differential Water Vapor (DWV) RGB image products for several case studies.

Berndt, Emily↗
NASA NTRS2016

Synoptic Traveling Weather Systems on Mars: Effects of Radiatively-Active Water Ice Clouds

Atmospheric aerosols on Mars are critical in determining the nature of its thermal structure, its large-scale circulation, and hence the overall climate of the planet. We conduct multi-annual simulations with the latest version of the NASA Ames Mars global climate model (GCM), gcm2.3+, that includes a modernized radiative-transfer package and complex water-ice cloud microphysics package which permit radiative effects and interactions of suspended atmospheric aerosols (e.g., water ice clouds, water vapor, dust, and mutual interactions) to influence the net diabatic heating. Results indicate that radiatively active water ice clouds profoundly affect the seasonal and annual mean climate. The mean thermal structure and balanced circulation patterns are strongly modified near the surface and aloft. Warming of the subtropical atmosphere at altitude and cooling of the high latitude atmosphere at low levels takes place, which increases the mean pole-to-equator temperature contrast (i.e., "baroclinicity"). With radiatively active water ice clouds (RAC) compared to radiatively inert water ice clouds (nonRAC), significant changes in the intensity of the mean state and forced stationary Rossby modes occur, both of which affect the vigor and intensity of traveling, synoptic period weather systems. Such weather systems not only act as key agents in the transport of heat and momentum beyond the extent of the Hadley circulation, but also the transport of trace species such as water vapor, water ice-clouds, dust and others. The northern hemisphere (NH) forced Rossby waves and resultant wave train are augmented in the RAC case: the modes are more intense and the wave train is shifted equatorward. Significant changes also occur within the subtropics and tropics. The Rossby wave train sets up, combined with the traveling synoptic-period weather systems (i.e., cyclones and anticyclones), the geographic extent of storm zones (or storm tracks) within the NH. A variety of circulation features will be presented which indicate contrasts between the RAC and nonRAC cases, and which highlight key effects radiatively-active clouds have on physical and dynamical processes active in the current climate of Mars.

NASA Ames Mars global climate model (GCM)↗
NASA NTRS2019

Impact of Assimilating AIRS Cloud Cleared Radiances on the Analysis and Forecast of Polar Lows

Previous work by this team (Reale et al. 2018) has found that the current assimilation of AIRS (Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder) radiances on a regularly spaced thinning grid is suboptimal, probably because of horizontal error correlation over meteorologically inactive areas. Moreover, cloud-cleared radiances appear to be a better product than clear-sky radiances, but need to be assimilated at a much lower density globally, because of the higher information content. Specifically: 1. Assimilation of AIRS cloud-cleared radiances at a density of about one quarter of the clear-sky radiances improves global forecast skill; 2. An adaptive thinning strategy assimilating cloud-cleared radiances at reduced density globally except around tropical cyclones (TCs), leads to substantial improvement in the structure and intensity forecast of TCs without damaging global skill.

Polar Low↗
NASA NTRS2019

The Roles of Climate Change and Climate Variability in the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season

The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season was extremely active with six major hurricanes, the third most on record. The sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) over the eastern Main Development Region (EMDR), where many tropical cyclones (TCs) developed during active months of August/September, were ~0.96°C above the 1901-2017 average (warmest on record): about ~0.42°C from a long-term upward trend and the rest (~80%) attributed to the Atlantic Meridional Mode (AMM). The contribution to the SST from the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) over the EMDR was a weak warming, while that from El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) was negligible. Nevertheless, ENSO, the NAO, and the AMM all contributed to favorable wind shear conditions, while the AMM also produced enhanced atmospheric instability. Compared with the strong hurricane years of 2005/2010, the ocean heat content (OHC) during 2017 was larger across the tropics, with higher SST anomalies over the EMDR and Caribbean Sea. On the other hand, the dynamical/thermodynamical atmospheric conditions, while favorable for enhanced TC activity, were less prominent than in 2005/2010 across the tropics. The results suggest that unusually warm SST in the EMDR together with the long fetch of the resulting storms in the presence of record-breaking OHC may be key factors in driving the strong TC activity in 2017.

Lim, Young-Kwon↗
NASA NTRS2019

Jupiter's Turbulent Power Spectra from Hubble Space Telescope

Turbulence in Jupiter's atmosphere was investigated with archival and ongoing observations from the Hubble Space Telescope. Data sets that include one full rotation (360° longitude coverage) were used to produce complete maps of the planet's upper cloud layer. The global maps were analyzed to generate the passive tracer power spectrum of cloud features for single rotation observations, while successive rotations produced pairs of maps such that zonal winds were calculated. An atmosphere's dimensionality and dynamics are reflected in the slopes of such turbulent power spectra. Many of the retrieved passive tracer power spectra have a shallow spectral index over wave numbers k∼1 − 30 and transition to the well‐known Kolmogorov k(exp −5/3) relation at smaller scales between wave numbers k∼30 − 1,000. The transition scale is similar to the number of jets in Jupiter's zonal wind profile and is related to the Rhines scale and the beta effect induced anisotropy scale. We also report on differences found in anticyclonic and cyclonic shear region power spectra and how they correlate to latitudinal changes in the zonal wind profile. We found that properties of Jupiter's power spectra are consistent with quasi‐geostrophic turbulence for shallow fluids.

Richard G. Cosentino↗
NASA NTRS2019

Comparing ASCAT and CYGNSS Winds near Tropical Convection

Gradient Features identified in ASCAT (Advanced Scatterometer) data correspond well to observed CYGNSS (Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System) wind shifts: Comparing ASCAT and CYGNSS winds near tropical convection. Gradient wind magnitude in ASCAT observations has been recently shown to be a useful proxy for the presence of tropical convection cold pools. To help confirm this in the vicinity of precipitation we perform a comparison with the L-band CYGNSS wind dataset. Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (Global Precipitation Measurement)) IMERG.

Convection↗
NASA NTRS2019

Analysis of the 2019 Midwest US Flooding Using NASA Data

In the wake of Winter Storm Ulmer, an intense "bomb cyclone" that set preliminary low-pressure records, historic flooding occurred in 41 locations across the Midwest United States, causing many streams and rivers - including the Platte, Missouri, and Elkhorn Rivers - to rise to all-time record flood levels in Nebraska. Warm and dry conditions, along with 4-8 inches of snowfall, and over 1" of rain caused over 3-5" of storm water runoff from rapid melting.A rare confluence of circumstances produced the flooding, including extreme cold earlier in the winter that preserved a significant amount of snowfall, a thick layer of ice on waterways, and the large downpour of rain from Winter Storm Ulmer. Unusually warm air caused the snow and ice to rapidly melt, producing record amounts of runoff within a short period of time. This poster presents several data sets from NASA and the USGS (our partner agency) that can be used in analyzing floods and flood areas, including soil moisture, snowfall, floodwater areas, vicinity of urban areas and impervious surfaces, and proximity of strategic or critical infrastructure.

DAAC↗
NASA NTRS2019

The Impact of Stable Layers on Downdrafts in Tropical Convection

While the idea that downdraft vertical velocity is influenced by thermodynamic stability may seem obvious, there remains a gap in the scientific literature surrounding the interaction between downdrafts and stable layers. A number of questions remain unanswered. Can a stable layer stop the downward progression of a downdraft or merely slow its velocity? Related to this, can a stable layer stop the injection of low entropy air into the boundary layer? Do downdrafts modify the environment in a way that removes pre-existing stable layers (limiting the influence of the stable layer)? Is it possible for evaporative cooling to generate and maintain a stable layer that is sufficiently strong to stop the downward progression of downdrafts?The present study aims to answer these questions using a combination of high-altitude airborne radar and dropsonde observations, both collected within four tropical cyclones (Gaston, Hermine, Karl, and Matthew) during the 2016 NOAA SHOUT field campaign, as well as idealized simulations of tropical deep convection. This presentation will focus on the potential for a stable layer to halt the downward progression of a downdraft (and the associated low entropy air) with particular attention given to conditions and processes that might enhance or mitigate the influence of the stable layer.

Helms, Charles N.↗
NASA NTRS2019

The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): A Multi-Model Subseasonal Prediction Experiment

SubX is a multi-model subseasonal prediction experiment designed around operational requirements with the goal of improving subseasonal forecasts. Seven global models have produced seventeen years of retrospective (re-) forecasts and more than a year of weekly real-time forecasts. The re-forecasts and forecasts are archived at the Data Library of the International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, providing a comprehensive database for research on subseasonal to seasonal predictability and predictions. The SubX models show skill for temperature and precipitation three weeks ahead of time in specific regions. The SubX multi-model ensemble mean is more skillful than any individual model overall. Skill in simulating the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), two sources of subseasonal predictability, is also evaluated with skillful predictions of the MJO four weeks in advance and of the NAO 2 weeks in advance. SubX is also able to make useful contributions to operational forecast guidance at the Climate Prediction Center. Additionally, SubX provides information on the potential for extreme precipitation associated with tropical cyclones which can help emergency management and aid organizations to plan for disasters. (Capsule Summary) A research to operations project in service of developing better operational subseasonal forecasts.

Precipitation↗
NASA NTRS2019

Assimilation of Microwave Cloudy Observations over the Rainband of Hurricanes Using a Novel Bayesian Monte Carlo Technique

We propose a novel Bayesian Monte Carlo Integration (BMCI) technique to retrieve the profiles of temperature, water vapor, and cloud liquid/ice water content from microwave cloudy measurements in the rainbands of tropical cyclones (TC). These retrievals then can either be directly used by meteorologists to analyze the structure of TCs or be assimilated into numerical models to provide accurate initial conditions for the NWP models. The BMCI technique is applied to the data from the Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) onboard Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) and Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Microwave Imager (GMI).

Moradi, Isaac↗
NASA NTRS2019

The Missing Economic Risks in Assessments of Climate Change Impacts

Economic assessments of the potential future risks of climate change have been omitting or grossly underestimating many of the most serious consequences for lives and livelihoods because these risks are difficult to quantify precisely and lie outside of human experience. Political and business leaders need to understand the scale of these ‘missing risks’ because they could have drastic and potentially catastrophic impacts on citizens, communities and companies. Scientists are growing in confidence about the evidence for the largest potential impacts of climate change and the rising probability that major thresholds in the Earth’s climate system will be breached as global mean surface temperature rises, particularly if warming exceeds 2°C above the pre-industrial level. These impacts include: (1) Destabilisation of ice sheets and glaciers and consequent sea level rise. (2) Stronger tropical cyclones. (3) Extreme heat impacts. (4) More frequent and intense floods and droughts. (5) Disruptions to oceanic and atmospheric circulation. (6) Destruction of biodiversity and collapse of ecosystems. Many of these impacts will grow and occur concurrently across the world as global temperature climbs. Some of these impacts involve thresholds in the climate system beyond which major impacts accelerate, or become irreversible and unstoppable. When a threshold is breached, it might cause one or more other thresholds to be exceeded as well, leading to a cascade of impacts. Many of these impacts could exceed the capacity of human populations to adapt, and would significantly affect and disrupt the lives and livelihoods of hundreds of millions, if not billions, of people worldwide. These impacts would also undermine economic growth and development, exacerbate poverty and destabilise communities. Economic assessments fail to take account of the potential for large concurrent impacts across the world that would cause mass migration, displacement and conflict, with huge loss of life. Economic assessments that are expressed solely in terms of effects on output (e.g. gross domestic product), or that only extrapolate from past experience, or that use inappropriate discounting, do not provide a clear indication of the potential risks to lives and livelihoods. It is likely that there are additional risks that we are not yet anticipating simply because scientists have not yet detected their possibility, as we have entered a period of climate change that is unprecedented in human history. Some advances are being made in improving economic assessments of climate change impacts but much more progress is required if assessments are to offer reliable guidance for political and business leaders on the biggest risks. The lack of firm quantifications is not a reason to ignore these risks, and when the missing risks are taken into account, the case for strong and urgent action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions becomes even more compelling.

DeFries, Ruth↗
NASA NTRS2019

Validation of Satellite-Based Wind Observations During PISTON

PISTON cruises provide a useful and unique suite of measurements relevant to validating satellite-based ocean wind datasets near tropical convection. In this talk, we will focus on opportunities for using PISTON observations to validate two different scatterometer datasets: (1) Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS) (2) Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT).

Lang, Timothy↗
NASA NTRS2020

Representation of Tropical Storms by the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications Version 2

This study examines the veracity of the tropical cyclone (TC) statistics estimated from the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) global atmospheric reanalysis, focusing on the climatological-mean genesis regions, tracks and their lifetime maximum intensity, as well as the interannual and intraseasonal variations in TC activity. The results are validated against the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) data for 1980-2016. MERRA-2 represents the spatial distribution of the TC genesis location and the tracks realistically well over all main development regions (MDRs), but with notable discrepancies including too weak TC activity over the Arabian Sea and the South China Sea and too strong activity over the North Indian Ocean. Over the western North Pacific and the North Atlantic, MERRA-2 underestimates recurving TCs steered by background westerlies in the mid-latitudes and thereby exaggerates northwestward moving TCs, resulting in an overestimate of the landfall probability in East Asia and North America. Excessive development of TCs over the Bay of Bengal also tends to exaggerate the landfall probability in India. In spite of the discrepancies in the annual TC number, the seasonal variation of TC genesis is realistic in MERRA-2. MERRA-2 also captures the TC intensity relationship between the minimum pressure and the maximum surface wind speed at the mature stage, although the maximum intensity is weaker than in the observations. While MERRA-2 tends to reproduce the interannual variations of the observed TC number and the power dissipation index (PDI), the level of accuracy depends on the region. MERRA-2 describes the changes in the TC genesis region and tracks realistically according to the different phases of El Nino and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), although it is less realistic over the North Indian Ocean.

International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewa↗
NASA NTRS2019

DYAMOND: The DYnamics of the Atmospheric General Circulation Modeled on Non-Hydrostatic Domains

A review of the experimental protocol and motivation for DYAMOND, the first intercomparison project of global storm-resolving models, is presented. Nine models submitted simulation output for a 40-day (1 August–10 September 2016) intercomparison period. Eight of these employed a tiling of the sphere that was uniformly less than 5 km. By resolving the transient dynamics of convective storms in the tropics, global storm-resolving models remove the need to parameterize tropical deep convection, providing a fundamentally more sound representation of the climate system and a more natural link to commensurately high-resolution data from satellite-borne sensors. The models and some basic characteristics of their output are described in more detail, as is the availability and planned use of this output for future scientific study. Tropically and zonally averaged energy budgets, precipitable water distributions, and precipitation from the model ensemble are evaluated, as is their representation of tropical cyclones and the predictability of column water vapor, the latter being important for tropical weather.

Bjorn Stevens↗
NASA NTRS2020

Comparison of Surface Fluxes Derived from CYGNSS and Simulated by WRF Model: An MJO Case Study

This study focuses on ocean surface fluxes, mainly the latent heat flux, and their impact on MJO propagation and associated precipitation structures over the Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent. The Coupled-Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) model is used to simulate two MJO events during the 2017-2018 season: the December 10 - January 20, 2017 case, which maintained its strong precipitation signal over the Maritime Continent, and the March 1 - 20, 2018 case, which was weaker and did not propagate through the Maritime Continent. Both simulated MJO events show positive biases in surface rainfall compared with GPM IMERG data. During the MJO suppressed phase, the simulations rain more often than the observations. During the active phase, the westward propagating precipitation structures are more organized and much stronger compared with the observations, sometimes forming westward propagating cyclones that weakened the eastward precipitation signals. Two aspects of the surface flux interactions are investigated: the impact of the domain mean surface fluxes, and the impact of storm scale circulations and their interactions with local surface fluxes. Both aspects affect water vapor budget, atmosphere instability and mean flow, through which convection initiation, organization, and propagation are influenced. Model sensitivity tests with different radiation, microphysics, PBL schemes and nudging schemes indicate that in the control simulations, higher SST and surface fluxes, especially during the suppressed period, are the main reason of rainfall overestimation compared with IMERG data. The strong westward propagating signals are caused by both increased atmosphere instability and reduced mean wind shear. Unfortunately, the small differences in mean SST and surface fluxes between different model sensitivity tests are all within the satellite observation error margin, and cannot be directly corroborated by observations. One of the advantages of CYGNSS satellites is that they observe ocean surface wind and heat fluxes underneath strong rainfall events such as the convective systems associated with MJO active phases. Currently we are comparing CYGNSS level 2 surface fluxes retrievals and the model simulations in order to better understand the second aspect of the MJO and surface fluxes interactions, and how this affects MJO strengths and propagations. The interactive atmosphere-ocean-wave model also provides cases that directly comparing satellite observables (the bistatic radar cross section) and the model simulations (through CYGNSS satellite simulator). These discrepancies are more prominent in coupled ocean simulations, mainly due to higher SST and enhanced surface fluxes.

Li, Xiaowen↗
NASA NTRS2020

Evolution of an Atmospheric Kármán Vortex Street From High‐Resolution Satellite Winds: Guadalupe Island Case Study

Vortex streets formed in the stratocumulus‐capped wake of mountainous islands are the atmospheric analogues of the classic Kármán vortex street observed in laboratory flows past bluff bodies. The quantitative analysis of these mesoscale unsteady atmospheric flows has been hampered by the lack of satellite wind retrievals of sufficiently high spatial and temporal resolution. Taking advantage of the cutting‐edge Advanced Baseline Imager, we derived kilometer‐scale cloud‐motion winds at 5‐min frequency for a vortex street in the lee of Guadalupe Island imaged by Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite‐16. Combined with Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer data, the geostationary imagery also provided accurate stereo cloud‐top heights. The time series of geostationary winds, supplemented with snapshots of ocean surface winds from the Advanced Scatterometer, allowed us to capture the wake oscillations and measure vortex shedding dynamics. The retrievals revealed a markedly asymmetric vortex decay, with cyclonic eddies having larger peak vorticities than anticyclonic eddies at the same downstream location. Drawing on the vast knowledge accumulated about laboratory bluff body flows, we argue that the asymmetric island wake arises from the combined effects of Earth's rotation and Guadalupe's nonaxisymmetric shape resembling an inclined flat plate at low angle of attack. However, numerical simulations will need to establish whether or not the selective destabilization of the shallow atmospheric anticyclonic eddies is caused by the same mechanisms that destabilize the deep columnar anticyclones of laboratory flows, such as three‐dimensional vertical perturbations due to centrifugal or elliptical instabilities.

Horváth, Á.↗
NASA NTRS2019

MARCI-observed clouds in the Hellas Basin during northern hemisphere summer on Mars: Interpretation with the NASA/Ames Legacy Mars Global Climate Model

We present a study that is motivated by a population of water ice clouds in the Hellas Basin that has been observed by the MARs Color Imager (MARCI) instrument on the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) to persist throughout the majority of Northern Hemisphere (NH) summer. Although water ice clouds are present in Hellas at very low opacities throughout NH spring, they noticeably thicken after L(sub s) 60° and continue to do so until their peak optical thickness is attained at L(sub s) ~120°. They dissipate rapidly from L(sub s) 120° to 150°, and by L(sub s) 150°, the only clouds in Hellas are on the southern side of the basin and are indistinguishable from the polar hood clouds. We use the NASA/Ames Legacy Mars Global Climate Model (GCM), which is supported by the Agency’s Mars Climate Modeling Center, to investigate the dynamical and microphysical mechanisms that control the formation and evolution of Hellas water ice clouds. We show that water is transported from the North Polar Residual Cap (NPRC) southward across the equator and into the Hellas region. Water vapor is confined down low by cloud formation in the aphelion cloud belt, thus limiting the effectiveness of transport by the zonal mean overturning circulation (i.e., the Hadley cell). Thus, contrary to the commonly held conceptual understanding that the Hadley cell controls cross-equatorial water transport during this season, we show that the southward transport of water is done primarily in the vapor phase by stationary eddies at nearly all latitudes, including across the equator. Clouds form near the surface in the basin as moist air mixes with cold polar air on the western side of Hellas and are subsequently transported clockwise around the north side of the basin by the low-level cyclonic circulation. The simulated Hellas clouds have small particle sizes (~3–5 μm), are very low, and exist as long as the NPRC is exposed.

M. A. Kahre↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

TPSAS-NF1676L-21193-DND

Researchers at NASA Langley Research Center have been developing an automated pattern recognition algorithm to identify overshooting convective cloud tops (OTs) in support of the GOES-R satellite program. This algorithm identify regions of overshooting at the individual 1-4 km geostationary satellite pixel scale using visible (during daytime only) and infrared channel imagery and numerical weather analysis data. The algorithm has been developed based upon analysis of 0.25-1 km spatial resolution Aqua MODIS imagery, using a database of over 2000 manually identified OT features throughout the world in storms with varying intensity and morphology. The OT database includes storms ranging from small, warm topped cells in Alaska and Mongolia, tornadic supercells over the U.S. Central Plains and Europe, large tropical mesoscale convective systems, and overshooting in the eyewalls and spiral bands of category 5 tropical cyclones. This database is available for use by the research community. The algorithm is designed to operate on data from any current and historical satellite imager, allowing for development of a highly accurate global OT detection climatology that extends back into the 1990's at up to a 15-30 min temporal resolution throughout the diurnal cycle. As members of the McIDAS Users Group, NASA LaRC has immediate access to the full global archive of geostationary imager data which would allows rapid development of OT climatologies and short-term databases. This type of capability has never been available within the weather and climate research community. Regional geostationary OT databases have been already developed over CONUS during SEAC4RS, for 18-years over the Eastern U.S., and for 5-10 years over Australia, Europe, Southeast Asia, and East Africa among many other regions. Some of these datasets are being used by climate researchers and private industry to examine UTLS-penetrating storm spatial distributions and their temporal variability, in addition to weather hazards associated with these storms at unprecedented spatial detail. This presentation will describe the OT pattern recognition algorithm and highlight recent product applications.

Kristopher Bedka↗