Modeling investment decisions from heterogeneous firms under imperfect information and risk in wholesale electricity markets
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The intermittency of carbon-free renewables and the demand changes associated with the widespread push for electrifying the transportation and building sectors provides an opportunity for buildings to go beyond energy efficiency and push towards providing demand flexibility to the electricity grid. The duality of energy efficiency and demand flexibility is necessary for success in a sustainable and reliable energy transition. Current building energy benchmarking models are limited in their ability to integrate concepts of demand flexibility and/or utilize granular smart meter data. Thus, current benchmarking methods are focused annual energy usage and fail to incorporate how the time of use of energy consumption impacts emissions in a quickly changing energy grid. Without a more comprehensive view of energy usage and associated real-time emissions, current benchmarking methods are unlikely to realize the full decarbonization potential of buildings. New emerging data streams provide an opportunity to develop a new generation of benchmarking energy models that embed dimensions of energy efficiency, grid interactivity, and demand flexibility into their analysis. In this paper, we propose a four-step method for embedding grid interactivity and demand flexibility into building benchmarking models that utilizes emerging building and time-series electricity data streams. We first engineer features to produce a mix-type dataset that encompasses many attributes of grid-interactive and efficient buildings, and then we apply K-medoids using Gower's Distance to produce peer-group clusters. We apply the method to a case study of 306 primary and secondary schools in southern California, USA. The results show that the method effectively clusters buildings by attributes of demand flexibility and energy efficiency. The clustering results reveal patterns in inefficient building operations and demand inflexibility at the building peer group level. In conclusion, the interpretation of clusters can serve as an integrated energy efficiency and demand flexibility benchmarking model and inform performance-specific policy targeting for buildings that go beyond traditional efficiency measures.
Concerns over the land use changes impacts of solar photovoltaic (PV) development are increasing as PV energy development expands. Co-locating utility-scale solar energy with vegetation may maintain or rehabilitate the land's ability to provide ecosystem services. Previous studies have shown that vegetation under and around the panels may improve the performance of the co-located PV and that PV may create a favorable environment for the growth of vegetation. While there have been some pilot-scale experiments, the existence and magnitude of these benefits of vegetation has not been confirmed in a utility-scale PV facility over multiple years. In this study we use power output data coupled with microclimatic measurements in temperate climates to assess these potential benefits. Here this study combines multi-year microclimatic measurements to analyze the physical interactions between PV arrays and the underlying soil-vegetation system in three utility-scale PV facilities in Minnesota, USA. No significant cooling of PV panels or increased power production was observed in PV arrays with underlying vegetation. Fine soil particle fraction was the highest in soils within PV arrays with the vegetation which was attributable to the lowest wind speeds from the compounding suppression of wind by vegetation and PV arrays. Soil moisture and soil nutrient response to re-vegetation varied between PV facilities, which could be attributed to differing soil texture. No statistically significant vegetation-driven panel cooling was observed in this climate. This finding prompts a need for site-specific studies to identify contributing factors for environmental co-benefits in co-located systems.
We developed a cation exchange chromatography method employing sulfonated polysterene cation resin (DOWEX AG50-X8) in order to separate rare-earth elements (REEs) from uranium-rich materials. The chemical separation scheme is designed to reduce matrix effects and consequently yield enhanced ionization efficiencies for concentration determinations of REEs without significant fractionation using solution mode-inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) analysis. This method was then applied to determine REE abundances in four uraninite (ideally UO 2 ) samples and their associated U(VI) alteration minerals. In three of the samples analyzed, the concentration of REEs for primary uraninite are higher than those for their corresponding secondary uranium alteration phases. The results for U(VI) alteration minerals of two samples indicate enrichment of the light REEs (LREEs) over the heavy REEs (HREEs). This differential mobilization is attributed to differences in the mineralogical composition of the U(VI) alteration. There is a lack of fractionation of the LREEs in the uraninite alteration rind that is composed of U(VI) minerals containing Ca 2+ as the interlayer cation (uranophane and bequerelite); contrarily, U(VI) alteration minerals containing K + and Pb 2+ as interlayer cations (fourmarierite, dumontite) indicate fractionation (enrichment) of the LREEs. Our results have implications for nuclear forensic analyses since a comparison is reported between the REE abundances for the CUP-2 (processed uranium ore) certified reference material and previously determined values for uranium ore concentrate (UOC) produced from the same U deposit (Blind River/Elliott Lake, Canada). UOCs represent the most common form of interdicted nuclear material and consequently is material frequently targeted for forensic analysis. The comparison reveals similar chondrite normalized REE signatures but variable absolute abundances. Based on the results reported here, the latter may be attributed to the differing REE abundances between primary ore and associated alteration phases, and/or is related to varying fabrication processes adopted during production of UOC.
The customized production of complex components by 3D printing has been hailed as a potentially transformative tool in manufacturing with important applications in health care, automotive and aerospace industries. However, after about a quarter of a century of research and development, only a handful of commercial alloys can be printed and the market value of all 3D printed products now amounts to a negligible portion of the manufacturing economy. This difficulty is attributable to a remarkable diversity in structure and properties of the printed components and susceptibility to defects. In addition, the current practice of qualifying components by prolonged trial and error with expensive printing equipment and feed stock material confine the printed products to a niche market where the high product cost and the delay in the qualification are not critical factors. In this report we explain how a digital twin or a digital replica of the printing machine will reduce the number of trial and error tests to obtain desired product attributes and reduce the time required for part qualification to make the printed components cost effective. It is shown that a comprehensive digital twin of 3D printing machine consisting of mechanistic, control and statistical models of 3D printing, machine learning and big data can reduce the volume of trial and error testing, reduce defects and shorten time between the design and production.
There exist substantial differences in top-of-atmosphere direct radiative forcing of aerosols due to a region's economic production (RFp) and consumption (RFc), in the context of economic globalization, trade and globalizing air pollution. Yet an explicit systematic analysis of all socioeconomic and atmospheric factors determining the RF difference is lacking. Here, we evaluate five socioeconomic (population, per capita output, emission intensity) and atmospheric (chemical efficiency and radiative efficiency) factors that determine a region's RFp, RFc and their difference. We consider the RF of secondary inorganic aerosols, primary organic aerosols and black carbon by 10 regions worldwide in 2007. The population size varies by a factor of nine across the regions, and per capita output by 40 times from both production- and consumption-based perspectives. The cross-regional spread reaches a factor of 181 (species dependent) for production-based emission intensity and a factor of 96 for consumption-based intensity. From one region to another, production-based chemical efficiency changes within a factor of 5 and consumption-based efficiency within a factor of 3.5. Radiative efficiency varies slightly across the regions (within 2) from both production- and consumption-based perspectives. Although socioeconomic factors are often a greater driver for the difference between a source region's RFp and RFc, the atmospheric factors are also important for many source regions and species. Our results contribute to regional attribution of climate change and establishment of effective international collaborative mitigation strategies.
We report agent-based modeling is an advanced computational technique capable of representing complex and dynamic processes of human behavior in building performance simulation. Though the agent-based approach supports diverse applications concerning human behavior modeling within the built environment, there is no consensus on the optimal amount of information or level of granularity needed for occupant information representation. This paper attempts to formalize the level of details (LoD) needed for occupant behavior representation in agent-based environments. A novel framework, grounded on the concept of LoD, is proposed to select the required details in representing occupants in agent-based models. Ten attributes related to occupants' presence, movement, behavioral processes, and repertoire are considered to define the LoD. The framework identifies use case parameters as the guiding principle and allows a hybrid approach for selecting varying degrees of occupant attributes to serve the purpose of simulation. A discussion on the pertinence of different occupant behavior LoDs in relation to the desired objective and simulation context is also presented. The study intends to support the occupant behavior research by advancing agent-based occupant modeling in building performance simulation.
Highlights: Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer We predicted buffering capacity of yeast proteome from protein abundance data. Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer We measured total buffering capacity of yeast cytoplasm. Black-Right-Pointing-Pointer We showed that proteins contribute insignificantly to buffering capacity. -- Abstract: Intracellular pH is maintained by a combination of the passive buffering of cytoplasmic dissociable compounds and several active systems. Over the years, a large portion of and possibly most of the cell's intrinsic (i.e., passive non-bicarbonate) buffering effect was attributed to proteins, both in higher organisms and in yeast. This attribution was not surprising, given that the concentration of proteins with multiple protonable/deprotonable groups in the cell exceeds the concentration of free protons by a few orders of magnitude. Using data from both high-throughput experiments and in vitro laboratory experiments, we tested this concept. We assessed the buffering capacity of the yeast proteome using protein abundance data and compared it to our own titration of yeast cytoplasm. We showed that the protein contribution is less than 1% of the total intracellular buffering capacity. As confirmed with NMR measurements, inorganic phosphates play a crucial role in the process. These findings also shed a new light on the role of proteomes in maintaining intracellular pH. The contribution of proteins to the intrinsic buffering capacity is negligible, and proteins might act only as a recipient of signals for changes in pH.
Highlights: • δ-Tocotrienol (δ-T3) and ferulic acid (FA) synergistically inhibit cancer cell growth. • The combination of δ-T3 and FA induces G1 arrest by up-regulating p21. • The synergy is attributed to an increase in the cellular concentration of δ-T3 by FA. - Abstract: Rice bran consists of many functional compounds and thus much attention has been focused on the health benefits of its components. Here, we investigated the synergistic inhibitory effects of its components, particularly δ-tocotrienol (δ-T3) and ferulic acid (FA), against the proliferation of an array of cancer cells, including DU-145 (prostate cancer), MCF-7 (breast cancer), and PANC-1 (pancreatic cancer) cells. The combination of δ-T3 and FA markedly reduced cell proliferation relative to δ-T3 alone, and FA had no effect when used alone. Although δ-T3 induced G1 arrest by up-regulating p21 in PANC-1 cells, more cells accumulated in G1 phase with the combination of δ-T3 and FA. This synergistic effect was attributed to an increase in the cellular concentration of δ-T3 by FA. Our results suggest that the combination of δ-T3 and FA may present a new strategy for cancer prevention and therapy.
Soluble N-ethylmaleimide-sensitive factor attachment protein receptor (SNARE) proteins mediate intracellular membrane fusion by forming a ternary SNARE complex. A minimalist approach utilizing proteoliposomes with reconstituted SNARE proteins yielded a wealth of information pinpointing the molecular mechanism of SNARE-mediated fusion and its regulation by accessory proteins. Two important attributes of a membrane fusion are lipid-mixing and the formation of an aqueous passage between apposing membranes. These two attributes are typically observed by using various fluorescent dyes. Currently available in vitro assay systems for observing fusion pore opening have several weaknesses such as cargo-bleeding, incomplete removal of unencapsulated dyes, and inadequate information regarding the size of the fusion pore, limiting measurements of the final stage of membrane fusion. In the present study, we used a biotinylated green fluorescence protein and streptavidin conjugated with Dylight 594 (DyStrp) as a Föster resonance energy transfer (FRET) donor and acceptor, respectively. This FRET pair encapsulated in each v-vesicle containing synaptobrevin and t-vesicle containing a binary acceptor complex of syntaxin 1a and synaptosomal-associated protein 25 revealed the opening of a large fusion pore of more than 5 nm, without the unwanted signals from unencapsulated dyes or leakage. This system enabled determination of the stoichiometry of the merging vesicles because the FRET efficiency of the FRET pair depended on the molar ratio between dyes. Here, we report a robust and informative assay for SNARE-mediated fusion pore opening. - Highlights: • SNARE proteins drive membrane fusion and open a pore for cargo release. • Biotinylated GFP and DyStrp was used as the reporter pair of fusion pore opening. • Procedure for efficient SNARE reconstitution and reporter encapsulation was established. • The FRET pair reported opening of a large fusion pore bigger than 5 nm. • The assay was robust and provided information of stoichiometry of vesicle fusion.
Highlights: • Hyperhomocysteinemia attenuates PI3K-AKT & WNT signalling and manifests PCOS-like phenotypes in rats. • Hyperhomocysteinemia promotes StAR and atenuates Aromatase expression, and thereby leads to hyperandrogenemia. • Hyperandrogenemia and hyperhomocysteinemia share PCSK9-LDLR pathway and independently induce atherogenic dyslipidemia. • Because of hyperandrogenemia, PCOS patients are inherently at increased risk of cardiovascular disease. • Association of HHcy further aggravates the cardiovascular risk in PCOS. Women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) are at increased risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD); however, the independent role of PCOS in the incident CVD remains unknown. There are reports that hyperhomocysteinemia (HHcy), a potential cause of CVD, is frequently associated with PCOS. The present study investigates the independent attributes of hyperandrogenemia (HA), the integral associate of PCOS, and HHcy in causing atherogenic dyslipidemia. Twenty-five-day old rats were treated with homocysteine (Hcy) at 50 mg/kg/day dose level for 12 weeks. The HepG2 cell lines transfected with siRNA directed to PCSK9 were challenged with Hcy, homocysteine thiolactone (HTL), testosterone, 5α-dihydroxytestosterone (5α-DHT), or estradiol for 24 h. Rats administered with Hcy developed HHcy and displayed PCOS-like phenotypes with adversely altered lipid homeostasis and attenuated PI3K-AKT and Wnt signalling cascade. Overexpression of steroidogenic acute regulatory protein (StAR) and down-regulated expression of Aromatase together with elevated testosterone level marked the state of HA. In culture, the HepG2 cells responded independently to Hcy, HTL, testosterone, and 5α-DHT by an overt expression of PCSK9 and down-regulated expression of LDLR. The effect was magnified under the combined influence of Hcy and androgen(s). Estradiol, by contrast, exhibited the reverse effect. The findings suggest that HA may independently attribute to an increased cardiovascular risk in PCOS; however, the coexistence of HHcy catalyzes the risk further.
Highlights: • The Nlrp3 inflammasome is activated by ROS during lung ischemia-reperfusion. • Mcc950 blocks Nlrp3 inflammasome activation and protects against lung ischemia-reperfusion injury. • The mechanism of Mcc950 is partially attributed to inhibition of the interaction between Nlrp3 and Nek7. Lung ischemia-reperfusion (IR) occurs in many circumstances and leads to impaired lung function. The NACHT, LRR and PYD domains-containing protein 3 (Nlrp3) inflammasome is reportedly activated during lung IR. Mcc950 is a recently developed Nlrp3 inhibitor. The aim of our study was to test the efficacy of Mcc950 on lung IR injury and to investigate the role of reactive oxygen species (ROS) in Nlrp3 inflammasome activation using a murine lung IR model. The results of the current study confirmed that Nlrp3 was upregulated and activated during lung IR, and inhibiting oxidative stress by the ROS scavenger edaravone attenuated Nlrp3 inflammasome activation. Mcc950 pretreatment significantly alleviated IR-induced lung injury by reducing production of the proinflammatory cytokines Il-1β and Il-18 and inhibiting neutrophil infiltration and cell apoptosis. Protein coimmunoprecipitation revealed that Mcc950 partially blocked the interaction between Nlrp3 and Nek7 (NimA-related protein kinase 7). Therefore, we conclude that ROS-dependent activation of the Nlrp3 inflammasome contributed to lung IR injury. Mcc950 significantly reduced lung IR injury by blocking Nlrp3 inflammasome activation, and the mechanism was partially attributed to inhibition of the interaction between Nlrp3 and Nek7. Thus, Mcc950 is a promising treatment for the prevention of lung IR injury.
A discrete element method (DEM) based approach is used to study the relationships between material attributes (MAs), processing parameters (PPs), and quality attributes (QAs) for the knife milling of maize stalks. An approximate DEM shape model was conceptualized based on real maize stalks and calibrated based on experimental bending test data for flexural properties (elastic bending stiffness, elastic bending angle limit, elastoplastic ratio, etc.). DEM simulations of maize stalk comminution in a Jordan Reduction Solutions (“JRS”) knife mill were performed to investigate the relationships between the MAs (maize stalk size and breakage stress limit), PPs (impeller rotational speed), and QAs (mass throughput and output particle size distribution (PSD)). The DEM results suggest that stalk length has little influence on mass throughput and PSD, whilst stalks with larger cross sections tend to generate larger sizes of milled particles given the same breakage stress limit. Both the DEM and experimental results show that faster impeller rotation (or higher power) does not necessarily generate higher throughput or smaller output PSD, especially for maize stalks of higher breakage stress limit. The correlations between these MAs, PPs and QAs are found highly stochastic, though breakage stress limit dictates mass throughput, regardless of stalk size. The DEM-predicted output particle size tended to match the experimental data with coarse PSDs based on sieve size but showed weakened fidelity with finer material, indicating the potential for further model improvement.
Cooking is one of the most important sources of airborne pollutants in the indoor environments of residential buildings. Elevated concentrations of NO 2 due to cooking have been reported widely (Garret et al. 1998; Garrett et al. 1999; Mullen et al. 2016; Ryan et al. 1988; Schwab et al. 1994; J. Spengler et al. 1994; J. D. Spengler et al. 1983; Wilson et al. 1995). Many researchers have attributed elevated particulate concentrations to cooking, and some have attributed extremely high short-term concentrations of fine particles (>300 μg/m3) and ultrafine particles (>105 μg/m3) to cooking events (Abdullahi et al. 2013; Abt et al. 2000; Afshari et al. 2005; Buonanno et al. 2009; He et al. 2004; Kearney et al. 2011; Lance A. Wallace et al. 2004; See and Balasubramanian 2008; Stieb et al. 2008; Wallace and Ott 2011; Wheeler et al. 2011; Zhang et al. 2010). Cooking is also a source of other gas-phase pollutants including carbon monoxide, formaldehyde, acrolein, and other volatile organic compounds (Garret et al. 1998; Garrett et al. 1999; Logue et al. 2013; Mullen et al. 2016; Ryan et al. 1988; Schwab et al. 1994; J. Spengler et al. 1994; J. D. Spengler et al. 1983; V. Seaman et al. 2007; Wilson et al. 1995). Lastly, cooking can be a significant source of water vapor, and the water vapor produced from cooking can eventually lead to moisture-related problems (Parrott and Emmel 2003)
The kinetics for O 2 oxidation of individual graphite and graphene platelet nanoparticles (NPs) were studied as a function of temperature (1200 to 2200 K) at varying oxygen partial pressures, using a single nanoparticle mass spectrometry method. NP temperature (TNP) was measured by measuring the NP thermal emission spectra during the kinetics studies. The initial oxidation efficiency is found to peak in the 1200 to 1500 K range, dropping by an order of magnitude as TNP was increased above 2000 K. There were large NP-to-NP variations in the oxidation rates, attributed to variations in the NP surface structure. In addition, the oxidation efficiencies evolved, non-monotonically, as the NPs reacted, decreasing by factors of between 10 and 300. This evolution of reactivity is attributed to changes in the NP surface structure due to the combination of oxidation and annealing. In conclusion, the optical properties, including wavelength dependence of the emissivity and the absorption cross section for the 532 nm heating laser, also tended to evolve as the NPs oxidized, but differently for each individual NP, presumably reflecting differences in the initial structures and their evolution.
Designing materials with low thermal conductivity is a crucial objective for applications in thermal insulation and thermoelectrics. Traditional methods such as doping, mechanical strain and introducing defects in perfect crystals have been widely explored to impede the flow of heat. Here, this work introduces dimensional constriction and cationic disorder as novel avenues to manipulate lattice thermal conductivity (LTC). High entropy materials characterized by random distribution of multiple elements, creates a suitable environment for thermal insulation due to its configurational disorder and local lattice distortions. On the other hand, MXenes, derived from MAX-phase, have garnered considerable attention due to their unique structural attributes, leading to potential applications in catalysis and energy storage. Ti 2 AlC MAX-phase is examined to understand the impact of dimensional constriction on phonon transport of Ti 2 C with cationic disorder, i.e., (Ti 0.25 Nb 0.25 Cr 0.25 Ta 0.25 ) 2 C. The exponential reduction in LTC of HE-MXene is attributed to disorder scattering that significantly limits phonon mean free path (MFP) and relaxation time. The spread of mode-resolved LTC with MFP highlights the influence of disorder on phonon scattering. This work provides a systematic approach to engineer LTC through dimensional constriction and cationic disorder, laying the foundation for tailored materials with desired thermal properties.
Effective design of heterogeneous catalytic systems requires careful coordination of physiochemical phenomena that span orders or magnitude in length and time scales. Multiscale modelling and simulation tools can provide useful insight for understanding and improving the performance of such systems. Mesoporous silica catalyst support materials present a versatile platform wherein support attributes may be tuned to control transport phenomena throughout the system. In this study we develop an integrated multiscale modelling approach for the conversion of ethanol to butadiene over a SBA-16 mesoporous silica supported catalyst. We use molecular dynamics simulations to calculate domain specific diffusivities of reactants and products in the various domains of SBA-16's nanostructure. This is used to calculate a resultant effective diffusivity through its microstructure using finite element method (FEM) models of the tessellated unit cell. The resultant intraparticle effective diffusivity enables the development of a reduced-order reactor level FEM model that is able to implicitly account for the SBA-16's transport effects without the explicit consideration of its detailed geometry. Experimental bench-scale conversion data for the ethanol to butadiene process over SBA-16 is used to extract intrinsic kinetic rate constants for a simplified reaction mechanism using this reduced order bench-scale reactor FEM model. The model is able to reproduce experimental trends in conversion and activity lifetimes. The impact of varying key support attributes such as pore-size and particle size on catalytic activity lifetimes is then explored. We demonstrate the utility of this multi-scale modelling strategy in guiding catalyst design for the development of rational strategies to improve the performance of heterogeneous supported catalytic systems.
This research evaluates the effect of sodium and potassium hydroxide on the structure and nano-mechanical properties of Calcium Silicate Hydrate (C-S-H) formed from the hydration of pure alite. Monoclinic (MIII) alite was synthesized and hydrated, using water-to-alite ratios of 0.5 and 0.6 and additions of 10% NaOH and KOH by weight of alite. Based on results of X-ray diffraction, isothermal calorimetry, thermogravimetric analysis, Nuclear Magnetic Resonance and nanoindentation, two different effects of the alkaline hydroxides on the hydration reaction of alite, both at early and later ages, can be identified: (i) a differentiated hydration process, attributed to an enhancement in calcium hydroxide (CH) precipitation and a stimulation of the C-S-H nuclei; and (ii) an increase in the elastic modulus of the C-S-H aggregations, attributed to an electrostatic attraction between positive charges from the alkaline cations and negative charges from the C-S-H structure.