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At least 1,081 records · Page 60

Near‐Surface Hydrology and Soil Properties Drive Heterogeneity in Permafrost Distribution, Vegetation Dynamics, and Carbon Cycling in a Sub‐Arctic Watershed

Abstract Discontinuous permafrost environments exhibit strong spatial heterogeneity at scales too small to be driven by weather forcing or captured by Earth System Models. Here we analyze effects of observed spatial heterogeneity in soil and vegetation properties, hydrology, and thermal dynamics on ecosystem carbon dynamics in a watershed on the Seward Peninsula in Alaska. We apply a Morris global sensitivity analysis to a process‐rich, successfully tested terrestrial ecosystem model (TEM), ecosys , varying soil properties, boundary conditions, and weather forcing. We show that landscape heterogeneity strongly impacts soil temperatures and vegetation composition. Snow depth, O‐horizon thickness, and near‐surface water content, which vary at scales of O(m), control the soil thermal regime more than an air temperature gradient corresponding to a 140 km north–south distance. High shrub productivity is simulated only in talik (perennially unfrozen) soils with high nitrogen availability. Through these effects on plant and permafrost dynamics, landscape heterogeneity impacts ecosystem productivity. Simulations with near‐surface taliks have higher microbial respiration (by 78.0 gC m −2 yr −1 ) and higher net primary productivity (by 104.9 gC m −2 yr −1 ) compared to runs with near‐surface permafrost, and simulations with high shrub productivity have outlying values of net carbon uptake. We explored the prediction uncertainty associated with ignoring observed landscape heterogeneity, and found that watershed net carbon uptake is 60% larger when heterogeneity is accounted for. Our results highlight the complexity inherent in discontinuous permafrost environments and demonstrate that missing representation of subgrid heterogeneity in TEMs could bias predictions of high‐latitude carbon budget.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Autocorrelation and Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analyses Reveal Superdiffusive Mass Transport in Solvent-Filled Nanoporous Media

Fluorescence fluctuation spectroscopy experiments were conducted to better understand the complex mass transport dynamics of organic molecules in liquid-filled nanoporous media. Anodic aluminum oxide (AAO) membranes incorporating 10 and 20 nm diameter cylindrical pores were employed as model materials. Nile red (NR) dye was used as a fluorescent tracer. The dye was dissolved separately in ethanol and toluene at a concentration of 20 nM and used to fill the membrane nanopores. Confocal fluorescence microscopy was employed to capture photon intensity time series data reflecting apparent diffusion of the dye within the pores. Autocorrelation of these data revealed that NR diffusion within the membranes occurred over a broad range of time scales. The autocorrelation decays were fit to a model for one-dimensional diffusion incorporating both fast and slow components having apparent diffusion coefficients, D f and D s , differing by a factor of ∼100. The fast mechanism was attributed to hindered bulk-like diffusion in the central pore cavity, while slow diffusion likely involved absorption of the dye to the pore surfaces. Unfortunately, important evidence of diffusion anomalies is lost in the broad autocorrelation decays obtained. The method of multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) was applied to the same data as a means to overcome this limitation. MF-DFA revealed that time series acquired from within the nanopores were multifractal and exhibited evidence of anomalous superdiffusion, likely resulting from the participation of a desorption-mediated diffusion mechanism. Monte Carlo simulations of time series modeling desorption-mediated diffusion in cylindrical nanopores provided support for this assignment. Here, the new knowledge gained affords an improved understanding of hydrocarbon dynamics within nanoporous oil and gas shales.

Diffusion↗

Multistage nucleation pathway in LiF molten salt mirrors the crystal–melt interface structure

Despite over a century of studies, fundamental questions remain about the processes governing crystal nucleation from melts or solutions. Research over the past three decades has presented mounting evidence for kinetic pathways of crystal nucleation that are more complex than envisioned by the simplest forms of classical theory. Such observations have been presented for colloidal and elemental systems with covalent and metallic bonding. Despite the technological and geochemical importance of molten salts, similar studies for these ionically bonded systems are currently lacking. Here we develop a machine learning interatomic potential for a model ionic system: LiF. The potential features quantum-level accuracy for both liquid and multiple solid polymorphs over wide temperature and pressure ranges and accurately reproduces experimentally measured properties. Thanks to the efficiency of the potential, which enables microsecond-scale molecular dynamics simulations, induction times for nucleation of LiF solids from their melts are computed over a range of undercoolings. With the aid of a set of robust local order parameters established here, the simulations reveal that homogeneous crystal nucleation in undercooled melts preferentially initiates from liquid regions showing slow dynamics and high bond orientational order simultaneously, and the second-shell order of both precritical nuclei and the surface of postcritical nuclei is dominated by hexagonal close packing and body-centered cubic local structure, even though the nucleus core is dominated by face-centered cubic structure corresponding to the stable rocksalt crystal structure. Finally, we establish a connection between the crystallization pathway and the equilibrium crystal-melt interface structure.

Applied Physical Sciences↗

RAVEN User Manual

RAVEN is a generic software framework to perform parametric and probabilistic analysis based on the response of complex system codes. The initial development was aimed to provide dynamic risk analysis capabilities to the Thermo-Hydraulic code RELAP-7, currently under development at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL). Although the initial goal has been fully accomplished, RAVEN is now a multi-purpose probabilistic and uncertainty quantification platform, capable to agnostically communicate with any system code. This agnosticism includes providing Application Programming Interfaces (APIs). These APIs are used to allow RAVEN to interact with any code as long as all the parameters that need to be perturbed are accessible by inputs files or via python interfaces. RAVEN is capable of investigating the system response, and investigating the input space using Monte Carlo, Grid, or Latin Hyper Cube sampling schemes, but its strength is focused to- ward system feature discovery, such as limit surfaces, separating regions of the input space leading to system failure, using dynamic supervised learning techniques. The development of RAVEN has started in 2012, when, within the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program, the need to provide a modern risk evaluation framework became stronger. RAVEN principal assignment is to provide the necessary software and algorithms in order to employ the concept developed by the Risk Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) program. RISMC is one of the pathways defined within the Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) program. In the RISMC approach, the goal is not just the individuation of the frequency of an event potentially leading to a system failure, but the closeness (or not) to key safety-related events. Hence, the approach is interested in identifying and increasing the safety margins related to those events. A safety margin is a numerical value quantifying the probability that a safety metric (e.g. for an important process such as peak pressure in a pipe) is exceeded under certain conditions. The initial development of RAVEN has been focused on providing dynamic risk assessment capability to RELAP-7, currently under development at the INL and, likely, future replacement of the RELAP5-3D code. Most the capabilities that have been implemented having RELAP-7 as principal focus are easily deployable for other system codes. For this reason, several side activates are currently ongoing for coupling RAVEN with soft- ware such as RELAP5-3D, etc. The aim of this document is the explanation of the input requirements, focalizing on the input structure.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Thermodynamic Consistent Neural Networks for Learning Material Interfacial Mechanics

For multilayer materials in thin substrate systems, interfacial failure is one of the most challenges. The traction-separation relations (TSR) quantitatively describe the mechanical behavior of a material interface undergoing openings, which is critical to understand and predict interfacial failures under complex loadings. However, existing theoretical models have limitations on enough complexity and flexibility to well learn the real-world TSR from experimental observations. A neural network can fit well along with the loading paths but often fails to obey the laws of physics, due to a lack of experimental data and understanding of the hidden physical mechanism. In this paper, we propose a thermodynamic consistent neural network (TCNN) approach to build a data-driven model of the TSR with sparse experimental data. The TCNN leverages recent advances in physics-informed neural networks (PINN) that encode prior physical information into the loss function and efficiently train the neural networks using automatic differentiation. We investigate three thermodynamic consistent principles, i.e., positive energy dissipation, steepest energy dissipation gradient, and energy conservative loading path. All of them are mathematically formulated and embedded into a neural network model with a novel defined loss function. A real-world experiment demonstrates the superior performance of TCNN, and we find that TCNN provides an accurate prediction of the whole TSR surface and significantly reduces the violated prediction against the laws of physics.

Zhang, Jiaxin↗

Development of Corrosion- and Erosion-Resistant Coatings for Advanced Ultra-Supercritical Materials

This final report summarized the research efforts and major findings of the Phase I Project “Development of Corrosion- and Erosion-Resistant Coatings for Advanced Ultra-Supercritical Materials”, for the period of October 1, 2019 – Sept. 30, 2021. This project is a collaborative endeavor between Tennessee Tech University, Purdue University, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Siemens Corporation, and Eastern Plating, LLC, aiming at improving the durability and lifetime of high-pressure (HP) steam turbine blades in advanced ultra-supercritical (A-USC) coal-fired power plants through the development of corrosion/erosion-resistant coatings manufactured via a low-cost electrolytic codeposition process. While Tribaloy alloy T-400C was identified by the U.S. A-USC Materials Consortium as a promising coating composition, further composition optimization is needed to enhance its corrosion and erosion resistance for protecting the A-USC Ni-base turbine components. An integrated computational and experimental approach was employed to optimize coating composition/microstructure and processing parameters. In order to identify candidate coating compositions that could offer balanced properties, thermodynamic calculations were performed to explore the γ+Laves composition space in the Co-Ni-Cr-Mo-Si system with different alloying additions at 600-800 °C. Guided by the calculation results, experimental assessment of selected alloys led to the development of a new generation of Tribaloy compositions with the optimal levels of Cr, Mo and Si, reactive element (e.g., 0.4-0.6 wt.% Y) and other alloying additions. The low-cost and non-line-of-sight electro-codeposition process was employed to deposit a Ni(Co)-CrMoSiY composite coating on commercial Haynes 282 (H282) Ni-base alloy. A diffusion treatment was subsequently applied to convert the composite to the Tribaloy-type coating. Both the codeposition parameters and heat treatment conditions were varied to achieve the desired coating composition, microstructure and phase constituents. In addition, since additive manufacturing (AM) may be an alternative cost-saving option for potential A-USC turbine repair, laser direct deposition was explored to fabricate the H282 alloy with minimal defects. The electro-codeposited Tribaloy coating was also applied to the AM H282 substrate to demonstrate the viability of the coating process in improving the surface finish of AM alloys. Both high-temperature oxidation performance and solid particle erosion (SPE) resistance of model alloys and electro-codeposited coatings were evaluated. About 25 model alloys with various Cr/Mo ratios and reactive element levels, as well as partial substitution of Mo with Nb were evaluated with regard to their oxidation resistance in both air and pure steam at 760-800°C. Compositions based on Ni(Co)-20Cr-18Mo-2.6Si-0.6Y (wt.%) showed significantly improved oxidation resistance over the baseline T400-C. Based on the alloy development results, three generations of new Tribaloy coatings (Gen-1, Gen-2, and Gen-3) with various Mo/Cr contents and Y levels were prepared via electro-codeposition and their microstructure/performance were evaluated. Outstanding air and steam oxidation resistance was achieved for the Gen-2 and Gen-3 coatings. Furthermore, while the SPE resistance of the coatings depended on many factors such as temperature, environment, erodent, velocity and impact angle, the coated samples exhibited similar or better SPE resistance compared to the H282 substrate when magnetite was used as erodent (which is a realistic erodent in A-USC steam turbines). The new Tribaloy coatings also had good long-term compatibility with the H282 alloy substrate. The two large-sized rotating barrels were designed, constructed, and employed to coat dummy HP blades. Uniform coating thickness and microstructure were achieved at various blade locations. Also, a preliminary techno-economic analysis of the proposed coating process was conducted to quantify the cost-effectiveness and to assess the commercial viability of the corrosion- and erosion-resistant coatings. It is estimated that a cost reduction of ~30% could be achieved with the electro-codeposition coating process over the state-of-the-art high velocity oxygen fuel (HVOF) thermal spray. Compared to the leading Tribaloy coating technologies such as HVOF and plasma transfer alloying, electro-codeposition based process has advantages such as low-cost process equipment, uniform deposition even for complex shapes, low levels of contaminants/porosities, reduction of powder waste, and potentially better surface finish and longer turbine service life. The Phase 1 study has demonstrated that it is feasible to develop an electro-codeposited Tribaloy coating with balanced corrosion and erosion properties, even though additional research efforts such as further coating process scale-up and longer-term performance evaluation under realistic A-USC conditions are clearly needed.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Long-Range Fit: A Software Package for the Representation and Study of Long-Range Molecular Interactions

Describing intermolecular forces is fundamental to modeling and predicting the behavior of molecular systems. In particular, long-range molecular interactions─with electrostatic, induction, and dispersion as the main components─play a critical role, especially for low-temperature and low-density regimes. Long-range interactions are often described through perturbation theory, representing the electronic charge distribution via a multipolar series of the moments and polarizability tensors corresponding to each molecule. However, while the theory is well established, obtaining the resulting analytical expressions (and their practical implementation) constitutes a highly complex and system-dependent task. To address this challenge, we developed long-range-fit (LRF), an interactive and user-friendly software package designed to automate the generation and fitting of long-range interaction terms for arbitrary molecules in nondegenerate (ground or excited) electronic states. We have derived and implemented all terms up to 15th order, without approximations, via a spherical tensor representation, with symmetry adaptation to all molecular point-group symmetries. The resulting potential energy surface is compatible with most representations of the close interaction region.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Phenomena Identification and Ranking Table (PIRT) for Heat Pipes

This Phenomena Identification and Ranking Table (PIRT) report provides an evaluation of key phenomena affecting the performance and operational regimes of heat pipes, particularly in the context of heat pipe microreactors (HPMRs). Heat pipes are advanced passive thermal management devices that utilize phase change and capillary action to achieve efficient heat transfer. However, due to the complexity of the phenomena coupled in the heat pipe, including phase change, turbulent transition, and compressibility effects, among others, there is high uncertainty in identifying and ranking the important phenomena affecting the operation of heat pipes and the current knowledge for their modeling and simulation and experimental measurements and instrumentation. This PIRT exercise, conducted as a collaborative effort involving the Department of Energy (DOE) Microreactor Program (MRP), the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), and university partners systematically identifies, reviews, and prioritizes critical phenomena affecting the operation of heat pipes based on their importance and knowledge levels. The report analyzes phenomena with high importance and low knowledge, such as wick de-wetting, critical heat flux, contact angles, and pressure dynamics, discussing challenges and future research directions for improving their modeling and simulation and experimental measurements. Additionally, the report addresses phenomena with low knowledge that could impact heat pipe operation during non-normal or transient operation, including frozen startup, laminar to turbulent transition, geysering, wick priming, underfilling conditions, surface roughness of the wick, NCGs trapped in the wick, and the timescales of startup and shutdown. This comprehensive evaluation serves as a valuable resource for guiding future research and development efforts, supporting the successful integration of heat pipes into critical applications such as nuclear reactors, and contributing to the advancement of heat pipe technologies in safety-critical industries.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

ElectroCat: Platinum-Group-Metal-Free Engineered Framework Nano-Structure Catalyst (Final Technical Report)

Traditional synthesis methodologies that produce durable, highly active PGM-free electrocatalysts typically consist of a top-down approach utilizing a nitrogen-coordinating precursor, a metal precursor, and a support material. Nitrogen-coordinated transition metal complexes typically are absorbed onto a support material, which is then activated via high-temperature pyrolysis. Selection of the support and the nitrogen coordinating precursor has long been the focal point of efforts to maximize the number of accessible, catalytically active sites. In this project, GWE in collaboration with SRNL and NU will develop durable, highly active, low-cost, PGM-free electrocatalysts for polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells designed and synthesized using a unique, bottom-up, rationally designed approach. Electrocatalysts are produced via polymerization reaction followed by a high-temperature pyrolysis step. Additionally, this project focuses on catalyst site and ORR mechanistic modeling to better understand the structure-property relationship.

08 HYDROGEN↗

An algorithm for physics informed scan path optimization in additive manufacturing

Site specific microstructure control is a critical research area within the field of additive manufacturing due to its potential to revolutionize part performance. One way to achieve site specific microstructure control is through control of the solidification conditions via the construction of intricate scan paths; however, the search space for such a problem is large. Previous attempts only considered the solidification conditions at the top surface while also requiring either lots of manual-fine tuning or large amounts of computational resources. This paper introduces a general method for scan path optimization which considers the solidification conditions in the bulk of the material without an increase in computational expense. This method consists of three core components:1. A heat transfer model for simulating the temperature field at a given time.2. A surrogate model which takes scan pattern information and temperature data and predicts the solidification conditions of the bulk as well as the meltpool depths for a spot melt.3. A decision algorithm to decide which spot melt should be printed next based on the outputs of the surrogate model.Each of these components can be changed without changing the overall method. Within this work, this method is applied in the creation of an algorithm containing a semi-analytic heat transfer model to simulate the temperature field, a fully convolutional neural network (FCNN) as the surrogate model, and a greedy decision algorithm. The resulting algorithm produced complex scan patterns which gave strong results for simulated microstructure control.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Quantifying Site Effects and Their Influence on Earthquake Source Parameter Estimations Using a Dense Array in Oklahoma

We investigate the effects of site response on source parameter estimates using earthquakes recorded by the LArge-n Seismic Survey in Oklahoma (LASSO). While it is well known that near-surface unconsolidated sediments can cause an apparent breakdown of earthquake self-similarity, the influence of laterally varying site conditions remains unclear. We analyze site conditions across the 1825-station array on a river plain within an area of 40 km by 23 km using vertical ground motions from 14 regional earthquakes. While the source radiation pattern controls P-wave ground motions below 8 Hz, the surface geology correlates with P-wave ground motions above 8 Hz and S-wave ground motions at 2–21 Hz. Stations installed in alluvial sediments have vertical ground motions that can exceed three times the array median. We use the variation of ground motion of regional earthquakes across the array as a proxy for site effects. The corner frequencies and stress drops of local earthquakes ( M L = 0.01–3) estimated using a standard single-spectra approach show negative correlations with the site-effect proxy, while the seismic moments show positive correlations. In contrast, the spectral-ratio approach effectively shows no correlation. The overall bias is small as expected for this relatively homogeneous structure; accurate estimation of site-related biases requires at least 30 stations. Correcting for site-related biases reduces the standard deviations of the source parameters by less than 13% of the total variations. Remaining variations are partially associated with source directivity and model misfits— as small earthquakes can have complex ruptures.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Effect of resistivity on poloidal asymmetries in electron density in the edge and scrape off layer in 3D full-F gyro-fluid simulations with FELTOR

In this contribution, we analyze the poloidal asymmetries in electron density in the edge and scrape-off layer (SOL) in a COMPASS-sized, diverted tokamak with the 3D full-F, isothermal, electromagnetic, and gyro-fluid model FELTOR. The study is performed for different simulations that span over 2 orders of magnitude in resistivity. The poloidal asymmetries of density are evaluated in the edge and the SOL relative to the outer midplane (OMP), where the highest densities are usually found. In the closed magnetic surfaces, the relative poloidal asymmetry with respect to the OMP is not larger than 20% independently of the plasma resistivity. For the open field lines in the SOL, the relative density asymmetry can range from 55% for the highest resistivity to around 40% for the lowest. The lowest densities inside the separatrix are found between the inner midplane and the top of the magnetic configuration, away from the X-point. In the SOL it is usually close to the X-point in the high field side. The observations in the closed field lines are consistent with ballooning transport but in the SOL oppose experimental evidence for high-density plasmas. In conclusion, this indicates the necessity for more complex physics to reproduce the experimental observations in the SOL for higher density plasmas, such as neutral-plasma dynamics and realistic divertor conditions.

3D full-f gyrofluid↗

Deep-learning-derived planetary boundary layer height from conventional meteorological measurements

Abstract. The planetary boundary layer (PBL) height (PBLH) is an important parameter for various meteorological and climate studies. This study presents a multi-structure deep neural network (DNN) model, which can estimate PBLH by integrating the morning temperature profiles and surface meteorological observations. The DNN model is developed by leveraging a rich dataset of PBLH derived from long-standing radiosonde records augmented with high-resolution micro-pulse lidar and Doppler lidar observations. We access the performance of the DNN with an ensemble of 10 members, each featuring distinct hidden-layer structures, which collectively yield a robust 27-year PBLH dataset over the southern Great Plains from 1994 to 2020. The influence of various meteorological factors on PBLH is rigorously analyzed through the importance test. Moreover, the DNN model's accuracy is evaluated against radiosonde observations and juxtaposed with conventional remote sensing methodologies, including Doppler lidar, ceilometer, Raman lidar, and micro-pulse lidar. The DNN model exhibits reliable performance across diverse conditions and demonstrates lower biases relative to remote sensing methods. In addition, the DNN model, originally trained over a plain region, demonstrates remarkable adaptability when applied to the heterogeneous terrains and climates encountered during the GoAmazon (Green Ocean Amazon; tropical rainforest) and CACTI (Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions; middle-latitude mountain) campaigns. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of deep learning models in estimating PBLH, enhancing our understanding of boundary layer processes with implications for improving the representation of PBL in weather forecasting and climate modeling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Non-destructive simulation of node defects in additively manufactured lattice structures

Additive Manufacturing (AM), commonly referred to as 3D printing, offers the ability to not only fabricate geometrically complex lattice structures but parts in which lattice topologies in-fill volumes bounded by complex surface geometries. However, current AM processes produce defects on the strut and node elements which make up the lattice structure. This creates an inherent difference between the as-designed and as-fabricated geometries, which negatively affects predictions (via numerical simulation) of the lattice’s mechanical performance. Although experimental and numerical analysis of an AM lattice’s bulk structure, unit cell and struts have been performed, there exists almost no research data on the mechanical response of the individual as-manufactured lattice node elements. Here we propose a methodology that, for the first time, allows non-destructive quantification of the mechanical response of node elements within an as-manufactured lattice structure. A custom-developed tool is used to extract and classify each individual node geometry from micro-computed tomography scans of an AM fabricated lattice. Voxel-based finite element meshes are generated for numerical simulation and the mechanical response distribution is compared to that of the idealised computer-aided design model. The method demonstrates compatibility with Uncertainty Quantification methods that provide opportunities for efficient prediction of a population of nodal responses from sampled data. Overall, the non-destructive and automated nature of the node extraction and response evaluation is promising for its application in qualification and certification of additively manufactured lattice structures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Binding and Translocation of Substrate Allosterically Promotes Functional Interactions Within the AlkB–AlkG Electron Transfer Complex

The alkane monooxygenase AlkB and rubredoxin AlkG form an electron transfer complex that hydroxylates terminal alkanes to produce alcohols. The recent cryoEM study of Fontimonas thermophila AlkB-AlkG complex revealed its architecture, including a dodecane (D12) substrate at the active site. However, FtAlkBG molecular mechanism of action of remains unknown. Here, in this study, we examined its dynamics and interactions by multiscale computations, including molecular dynamics simulations, elastic network models, and QM/MM of the oxygen activation mechanism at the AlkB catalytic site. D12 maintained stable interactions within the catalytic site during two MD runs, coordinated by hydrophobic residues L263-L264, I267, I133. A third extended run revealed that D12 could translocate to a membrane-exposed site near S49/F46 along a hydrophobic channel gated by I54. During this translocation, D12 was temporarily stabilized at intermediate sites IS1 (lined by I27/L30-G31/G50/L53-I54/P59/S124/A127-V128) and IS2 (I33-G34/L37/L45-F46/S49) before nearly exiting the protein, and diffused back to the active site, assisted by L30. Substrate binding and translocation across those intermediate sites affects the coupling between the iron centers in AlkBG, and interfacial interactions between AlkB-AlkG. The channel was further connected to the cytosol, near two surface-exposed arginines, potentially allowing for O 2 passage. The allosteric effects between D12 putative entry site, catalytic site and AlkB-AlkG interface were analyzed by ENM-based methods which confirmed the cooperative perturbation-responses and strongly correlated movements of residues belonging to those distal regions. Our study provides new mechanistic insights into key sites and their interactions that could be targeted for developing AlkB-variants with desirable alkane conversion functions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Nanopore networks in colloidal silica assemblies characterized by XCT for confined fluid flow modeling

Fluid flow through nanopore structures has exhibited different behavior than that described by Darcy's law, derived from pore networks of micrometer scale. Here, pressure assemblies of colloidal silica spheres of specified diameters from 94 to 620 nanometers were prepared as model nano-porous media. The smaller silica spheres tended to form random packing, but some substantial ordering was found in the packing of the larger silica spheres. X-ray computed tomography (XCT), with a voxel resolution of 16 nm, was used to characterize the nanopore networks. The porosity of the Nano-XCT pore network (34%) was less than the total porosity of the assemblies as determined by X-ray attenuation (52%), possibly due to the limits of voxel resolution during segmentation. Fluid flow in the nanopore networks was simulated using the single-phase Lattice Boltzmann Method, and the simulated permeability was compared with the empirical and experimental values. Based on our characterization, although a well-ordered packing of silica spheres was not achieved, it was found that the nanopore networks in the colloidal silica assemblies had pore size distributions corresponding to the particle sizes. The simulated permeability was less than the experimental measurement for water flow, but the complex packing of silica spheres and surface chemistry issues need to be considered in future research.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Seeing the Disturbed Forest for the Trees: Remote Sensing Is Underutilized to Quantify Critical Zone Response to Unprecedented Disturbance

Understanding the severity and extent of near surface critical zone (CZ) disturbances and their ecosystem response is a pressing concern in the face of increasing human and natural disturbances. Predicting disturbance severity and recovery in a changing climate requires comprehensive understanding of ecosystem feedbacks among vegetation and the surrounding environment, including climate, hydrology, geomorphology, and biogeochemistry. Field surveys and satellite remote sensing have limited ability to effectively capture the spatial and temporal variability of disturbance and CZ properties. Technological advances in remote sensing using new sensors and new platforms have improved observations of changes in vegetation canopy structure and productivity; however, integrating measures of forest disturbance from various sensing platforms is complex. By connecting the potential for remote sensing technologies to observe different CZ disturbance vectors, we show that lower severity disturbance and slower vegetation recovery are more difficult to quantify. Case studies in montane forests from the western United States highlight new opportunities, including evaluating post-disturbance forest recovery at multiple scales, shedding light on understory vegetation regrowth, detecting specific physiological responses, and refining ecohydrological modeling. Learning from regional CZ disturbance case studies, we propose future directions to synthesize fragmented findings with (a) new data analysis using new or existing sensors, (b) data fusion across multiple sensors and platforms, (c) increasing the value of ground-based observations, (d) disturbance modeling, and (e) synthesis to improve understanding of disturbance.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Explainable deep learning for insights in El Niño and river flows

The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a semi-periodic fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) over the tropical central and eastern Pacific Ocean that influences interannual variability in regional hydrology across the world through long-range dependence or teleconnections. Recent research has demonstrated the value of Deep Learning (DL) methods for improving ENSO prediction as well as Complex Networks (CN) for understanding teleconnections. However, gaps in predictive understanding of ENSO-driven river flows include the black box nature of DL, the use of simple ENSO indices to describe a complex phenomenon and translating DL-based ENSO predictions to river flow predictions. Here we show that eXplainable DL (XDL) methods, based on saliency maps, can extract interpretable predictive information contained in global SST and discover SST information regions and dependence structures relevant for river flows which, in tandem with climate network constructions, enable improved predictive understanding. Our results reveal additional information content in global SST beyond ENSO indices, develop understanding of how SSTs influence river flows, and generate improved river flow prediction, including uncertainty estimation. Observations, reanalysis data, and earth system model simulations are used to demonstrate the value of the XDL-CN based methods for future interannual and decadal scale climate projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗