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At least 1,081 records · Page 60

A Reconstruction of Global Hydroclimate and Dynamical Variables Over the Common Era

Hydroclimate extremes critically affect human and natural systems, but there remain many unanswered questions about their causes and how to interpret their dynamics in the past and in climate change projections. These uncertainties are due, in part, to the lack of long-term, spatially resolved hydroclimate reconstructions and information on the underlying physical drivers for many regions. Here we present the first global reconstructions of hydroclimate and associated climate dynamical variables over the past two thousand years. We use a data assimilation approach tailored to reconstruct hydroclimate that optimally combines 2,978 paleoclimate proxy-data time series with the physical constraints of an atmosphere?ocean climate model. The global reconstructions are annually or seasonally resolved and include two spatiotemporal drought indices, near-surface air temperature, an index of North Atlantic variability, the location of the intertropical convergence zone, and monthly Nino indices. This database, called the Paleo Hydrodynamics Data Assimilation product (PHYDA), will provide a critical new platform for investigating the causes of past climate variability and extremes, while informing interpretations of future hydroclimate projections.

Natural hazards↗

An adaptive synchronous extraction (ASE) method for estimating intensity and footprint of surface urban heat islands: A case study of 254 North American cities

The urban heat island (UHI) effect has attracted great attention due to its potential impacts on rapidly growing urban areas. Using remotely sensed estimates of land surface temperature (LST), a large number of studies have focused on the surface UHI (SUHI) effect, which can be characterized by its two fundamental properties: intensity and footprint. The SUHI intensity reflects the LST difference between the urban area and the background reference area (BRA), and the SUHI footprint indicates the spatial extent influenced by the heat island. Currently, numerous methods have been developed to estimate the SUHI intensity and footprint, but are still greatly challenged by three main issues. Namely, the discrepancy in BRA selection criterion brings great uncertainty to the estimated SUHI intensity, the estimation of SUHI footprint is largely constrained by the predefined models, and the quantification of SUHI effect is potentially influenced by several confounding factors. Here, we proposed an adaptive synchronous extraction (ASE) method, which is capable of adaptively selecting the most optimal BRA while removing the influence of confounding factors, and achieving synchronous estimation of SUHI intensity and footprint. We applied the ASE method to 254 North American cities and conducted an in-depth comparative analysis to discuss its applicability and benefits. The main results include: (1) The ASE method avoids the limitations of existing methods in BRA selection and model presetting, and shows resilience to parameter variations. This makes the ASE method highly applicable to quantify the SUHI intensity and footprint in cities with various thermal characteristics. (2) The ASE method can better highlight the spatial, seasonal and day-night contrasts in the estimated SUHI intensity. This superiority is particularly evident when comparing it to methods based on the equal-area buffer or the simplified urban-extent algorithm. (3) Confounding factors pose non-negligible impacts on the quantification of the SUHI effect. Typically, ignoring the influence of topographic relief or missing LST data can lead to an overall overestimation of the SUHI intensity, while not removing surrounding urban areas will cause some underestimation of the SUHI intensity. In conclusion, overall, the proposed ASE method provides a new generalizable tool for quantifying the SUHI effect, which has great potentials for future studies and urban climate assessments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Spatial Resolution Determination with the Stennis Edge Target and NIIRS

Methodologies for determining the modulation transfer function (MTF) and National Imagery Interpretability Rating Scale (NIIRS) of airborne panchromatic and multispectral digital imaging cameras using the NASA Stennis Space Center (SSC) edge target have been developed. The application of NIIRS for determining the relative utility of data sets against various applications is discussed. Sampling requirements and optimal flightlines for focal plane imagers have been investigated. It is shown that with sufficient flight tilt angle, an adequate number of samples can be obtained to define the edge response accurately. The relationships between the tilt angle, Ground Sample Distance (GSD), and the number of samples are discussed. Sample results using commercially available data and the NASA SSC edge target are presented and compared to theoretical results.

Ryan, Robert↗

A feasibility assessment for co-locating and powering offshore aquaculture with wave energy in the United States

Offshore aquaculture and marine renewable energy (energy from waves, tides, currents, and ocean gradients) are two developing ocean-based industries. Aquaculture, an industry that has typically relied on diesel for power, is expected to grow globally, presenting an opportunity to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by switching to renewable sources as it expands. As the industry moves further offshore and is situated in more energetic environments, the prospect to co-locate offshore aquaculture with wave energy increases. To improve understanding of this potential, a feasibility assessment was completed to estimate the energy needs and wave resource required to power offshore finfish aquaculture operations. The study found it is possible to power offshore aquaculture operations entirely with wave energy. A spatial analysis was then performed to assess the suitability of co-locating offshore finfish aquaculture and wave energy off California and Hawaii. Suitable locations were identified offshore of O’ahu, Hawaii, and northern California. Southern California was also assessed, using a lower wave resource, based on study areas evaluated by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration to identify Aquaculture Opportunity Areas, and while limited there are suitable locations that may warrant further evaluation. This study presents an analysis into the potential to pair wave energy with offshore aquaculture, and how various factors can help determine suitable areas for co-location. The analyses developed in this study will support future identification of potential sites for development and decision-making to optimize the success of co-locating wave energy resources and offshore finfish aquaculture.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Spatial distributions of X CO 2 seasonal cycle amplitude and phase over northern high-latitude regions

Satellite-based observations of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) provide measurements in remote regions, such as the biologically sensitive but undersampled northern high latitudes, and are progressing toward true global data coverage. Recent improvements in satellite retrievals of total column-averaged dry air mole fractions of CO 2 (X CO 2 ) from the NASA Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 (OCO-2) have allowed for unprecedented data coverage of northern high-latitude regions, while maintaining acceptable accuracy and consistency relative to ground-based observations, and finally providing sufficient data in spring and autumn for analysis of satellite-observed X CO 2 seasonal cycles across a majority of terrestrial northern high-latitude regions. Here, we present an analysis of X CO 2 seasonal cycles calculated from OCO-2 data for temperate, boreal, and tundra regions, subdivided into 5° latitude by 20° longitude zones. We quantify the seasonal cycle amplitudes (SCAs) and the annual half drawdown day (HDD). OCO-2 SCAs are in good agreement with ground-based observations at five high-latitude sites, and OCO-2 SCAs show very close agreement with SCAs calculated for model estimates of X CO 2 from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Services (CAMS) global inversion-optimized greenhouse gas flux model v19r1 and the CarbonTracker2019 model (CT2019B). Model estimates of X CO 2 from the GEOS-Chem CO 2 simulation version 12.7.2 with underlying biospheric fluxes from CarbonTracker2019 (GC-CT2019) yield SCAs of larger magnitude and spread over a larger range than those from CAMS, CT2019B, or OCO-2; however, GC-CT2019 SCAs still exhibit a very similar spatial distribution across northern high-latitude regions to that from CAMS, CT2019B, and OCO-2. Zones in the Asian boreal forest were found to have exceptionally large SCA and early HDD, and both OCO-2 data and model estimates yield a distinct longitudinal gradient of increasing SCA from west to east across the Eurasian continent. In northern high-latitude regions, spanning latitudes from 47 to 72° N, longitudinal gradients in both SCA and HDD are at least as pronounced as latitudinal gradients, suggesting a role for global atmospheric transport patterns in defining spatial distributions of X CO2 seasonality across these regions. GEOS-Chem surface contact tracers show that the largest X CO 2 SCAs occur in areas with the greatest contact with land surfaces, integrated over 15–30d. The correlation of X CO 2 SCA with these land surface contact tracers is stronger than the correlation of X CO 2 SCA with the SCA of CO 2 fluxes or the total annual CO 2 flux within each 5° latitude by 20° longitude zone. This indicates that accumulation of terrestrial CO 2 flux during atmospheric transport is a major driver of regional variations in X CO 2 SCA.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Designing a GIS-based supply chain for producing carinata-based sustainable aviation fuel in Georgia, USA

Carinata is a potential crop for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production in the southern USA. However, as a novel crop, the cost-effectiveness and environmental feasibility of carinata feedstock are unknown, and there are questions about the optimal supply chain configuration for carinata-based SAF production. This study aims to design a supply chain model for carinata-based SAF production by optimizing the location of farms and facilities (e.g. storage units, crushing mills, biorefineries) for a minimum transportation cost under a set of supply and demand conditions. An integrated mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model was combined with geographical information system (GIS) analysis to design a spatially explicit supply chain configuration. The GIS-based network analysis considered all of the counties in Georgia to set the candidate locations of carinata farms and facilities, and determined minimum cost and emission routes between those counties and the airport using existing transportation networks and modes (e.g. road, rail and pipeline). The MILP model determined the final selection of the farms and the number of facilities and their locations over those minimum-cost routes. With this supply chain configuration, the minimum price of SAF was $\$$0.92 L –1 , which is $\$$0.44 higher than conventional aviation fuel (CAF). The associated carbon intensity of SAF was estimated at 940.7 g CO 2 e L –1 , a reduction of 66% relative to the carbon intensity of equivalent CAF. The study found that a carbon tax (or subsidy) of $\$$230.48 t CO 2 e –1 would be needed to overcome the cost differential with CAF and promote carinata-based SAF in Georgia.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Nanoscopic cross-grain cation homogenization in perovskite solar cells

Multiscale cation inhomogeneity has been a major hurdle in state-of-the-art formamidinium–caesium (FA–Cs) mixed-cation perovskites for achieving perovskite solar cells with optimal power conversion efficiencies and durability. Although the field has attempted to homogenize the overall distributions of FA–Cs in perovskite films from both plan and cross-sectional views, our understanding of grain-to-grain cation inhomogeneity and ability to tailor it—that is, spatially resolving the FA–Cs compositional difference between individual grains down to the nanoscale—are lacking. Here we reveal that as fundamental building blocks of a perovskite film, individual grains exhibit cationic compositions deviating from the prescribed ideal composition, severely limiting the interfacial optoelectronic properties and perovskite layer durability. This performance-limiting nanoscopic factor is linked to thermodynamic-driven morphological grooving, leading to a segmented surface landscape. At the grain triple junctions, grooves form nanoscale groove traps that hinder the mixing of solid-state cations across grains and thus retard inter-grain FA–Cs mixing. By rationally modulating the heterointerfacial energies, we reduced the depth of these nanoscale groove traps by a factor of three, significantly improving cation homogeneity. Perovskite solar cells with shallower nanoscale groove traps demonstrate enhanced power conversion efficiencies (25.62%) and improved stability under various standardized international protocols. In conclusion, our work highlights the significance of resolving surface nano-morphologies for homogeneous properties of perovskites.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

A framework for discrete optimization of stellarator coils

Designing magnets for three-dimensional plasma confinement is a key task for advancing the stellarator as a fusion reactor concept. Stellarator magnets must produce an accurate field while leaving adequate room for other components and being reasonably simple to construct and assemble. In this paper, a framework for coil design and optimization is introduced that enables the attainment of sparse magnet solutions with arbitrary restrictions on where coils may be located. The solution space is formulated as a 'wireframe' consisting of a mesh of interconnected wire segments enclosing the plasma. Two methods are developed for optimizing the current distribution on a wireframe: Regularized Constrained Least Squares, which uses a linear least-squares approach to optimize the currents in each segment, and Greedy Stellarator Coil Optimization, a fully discrete procedure in which loops of current are added to the mesh one by one to achieve the desired magnetic field on the plasma boundary. Examples are presented of solutions obtainable with each method, some of which achieve high field accuracy while obeying spatial constraints that permit easy assembly.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Quantifying the Impacts of Grain-scale Heterogeneity on Mechanical Response

Driven by the exceedingly high computational demands of simulating mechanical response in complex engineered systems with finely resolved finite element models, there is a critical need to optimally reduce the fidelity of such simulations. The minimum required fidelity is constrained by error tolerances on the simulation results, but error bounds are often impossible to obtain a priori. One such source of error is the variability of material properties within a body due to spatially non-uniform processing conditions and inherent stochasticity in material microstructure. This study seeks to quantify the effects of microstructural heterogeneity on component- and system-scale performance to aid in the choice of an appropriate material model and spatial resolution for finite element analysis.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Integrated Monitoring of Macroalgae Farms Using Acoustics and UUV Sensing

The vision of this project was to develop an integrated system for autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) monitoring of offshore kelp farms using acoustic, environmental, and optical sensors. This project supports the overall MARINER goals of developing an offshore kelp aquaculture industry to produce low-carbon or carbon-neutral biofuels. The project commenced in the spring of 2018 and used laboratory experiments to test the efficacy of acoustic sensors for monitoring kelp farm lines and growing kelp biomass. Sensors were then integrated onto two AUVs as well as an autonomous surface vehicle in order to establish the optimal type, price point, and vehicle to most efficiently monitor kelp farm structures, kelp biomass, and the surrounding environment. Multiple field deployments of these vehicles and sensors in Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Maine confirmed that farm lines and kelp could be visualized and that monitoring the spatial patterns of environmental variables was possible. The COVID-19 pandemic severely limited fieldwork activities and laboratory testing, with deployments around kelp farms not occurring again until January 2021. Time spent away from the field focused on data visualization and the development of a low-cost, vessel-based sensor system. Unfortunately, the low-cost system experienced a disk failure during its first deployment and due to multiple resignations from the project team further engineering and development was not possible. Additionally, final results from acoustic sensor testing in 2021 were also not able to be completed due to the resignation of the postdoc leading the analysis. Despite these setbacks, multiple avenues for further development of optical imagery processing from the 360-degree Kelpcam camera and testing of the low-cost sensor system may be possible.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Generalized Quantum Convolution for Multidimensional Data

The convolution operation plays a vital role in a wide range of critical algorithms across various domains, such as digital image processing, convolutional neural networks, and quantum machine learning. In existing implementations, particularly in quantum neural networks, convolution operations are usually approximated by the application of filters with data strides that are equal to the filter window sizes. One challenge with these implementations is preserving the spatial and temporal localities of the input features, specifically for data with higher dimensions. In addition, the deep circuits required to perform quantum convolution with a unity stride, especially for multidimensional data, increase the risk of violating decoherence constraints. In this work, we propose depth-optimized circuits for performing generalized multidimensional quantum convolution operations with unity stride targeting applications that process data with high dimensions, such as hyperspectral imagery and remote sensing. We experimentally evaluate and demonstrate the applicability of the proposed techniques by using real-world, high-resolution, multidimensional image data on a state-of-the-art quantum simulator from IBM Quantum.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Information density and efficiency of two-dimensional /2-D/ sampled imagery

Information density and efficiency (i.e., the ratio of information density to data density) are used as criteria for assessing the quality of 2-D sampled and quantized imagery as a function of the statistical properties of random radiance fields, the spatial response (PSF or MTF) and sensitivity of imaging systems, and the sampling and quantization intervals. Computational results are intuitively satisfying: they are consistent with experimental and theoretical results obtained by earlier investigators concerned with the performance of TV cameras, and they provide useful guidelines for optimizing the design of line-scan and sensor-array imaging systems, especially if these systems use a digital communication link for transmitting data.

Huck, F. O.↗

Interactive orbital proximity operations planning system instruction and training guide

This guide instructs users in the operation of a Proximity Operations Planning System. This system uses an interactive graphical method for planning fuel-efficient rendezvous trajectories in the multi-spacecraft environment of the space station and allows the operator to compose a multi-burn transfer trajectory between orbit initial chaser and target trajectories. The available task time (window) of the mission is predetermined and the maneuver is subject to various operational constraints, such as departure, arrival, spatial, plume impingement, and en route passage constraints. The maneuvers are described in terms of the relative motion experienced in a space station centered coordinate system. Both in-orbital plane as well as out-of-orbital plane maneuvering is considered. A number of visual optimization aids are used for assisting the operator in reaching fuel-efficient solutions. These optimization aids are based on the Primer Vector theory. The visual feedback of trajectory shapes, operational constraints, and optimization functions, provided by user-transparent and continuously active background computations, allows the operator to make fast, iterative design changes that rapidly converge to fuel-efficient solutions. The planning tool is an example of operator-assisted optimization of nonlinear cost functions.

Grunwald, Arthur J.↗

Development of Multi-Sensor Global Cloud and Radiance Composites for Earth Radiation Budget Monitoring from DSCOVR

The Deep Space Climate Observatory (DSCOVR) enables analysis of the daytime Earth radiation budget via the onboard Earth Polychromatic Imaging Camera (EPIC) and National Institute of Standards and Technology Advanced Radiometer (NISTAR). Radiance observations and cloud property retrievals from low earth orbit and geostationary satellite imagers have to be co-located with EPIC pixels to provide scene identification in order to select anisotropic directional models needed to calculate shortwave and longwave fluxes. A new algorithm is proposed for optimal merging of selected radiances and cloud properties derived from multiple satellite imagers to obtain seamless global hourly composites at 5-kilometer resolution. An aggregated rating is employed to incorporate several factors and to select the best observation at the time nearest to the EPIC measurement. Spatial accuracy is improved using inverse mapping with gradient search during reprojection and bicubic interpolation for pixel resampling. The composite data are subsequently remapped into EPIC-view domain by convolving composite pixels with the EPIC point spread function (PSF) defined with a half-pixel accuracy. PSF-weighted average radiances and cloud properties are computed separately for each cloud phase. The algorithm has demonstrated contiguous global coverage for any requested time of day with a temporal lag of under 2 hours in over 95 percent of the globe.

Khlopenkov, Konstantin↗

Review: Strategies for Using Satellite-Based Products in Modeling PM2.5 and Short-Term Pollution Episodes

Short-term air pollution episodes motivate improved understanding of the association between air pollution and acute morbidity and mortality episodes, and triggers required mitigation plans. A variety of methods have been employed to estimate exposure to air pollution episodes, including GIS-based dispersion models, interpolation between sparse monitoring sites, land-use regression models, optimization models, line- or area-dispersion plume models, and models using information from imaging satellites, often including land-use and meteorological variables. There has been increasing use of satellite-borne aerosol products for assessing short-term air quality events. They provide better spatial coverage, but currently at the price of low temporal coverage and rather crude spatial resolution. This brief review of using satellite data for modeling short-term air quality and pollution events. The review can be pursued as a practical guide for modeling air quality with satellite-based products, as it includes important questions that should be considered in both the study design as well as the model development stages. Progress in this field is detailed and includes published models and their use in environmental and health studies. Both current and future satellite-borne capabilities are covered. It also provides links to access and download relevant datasets and some R code for data processing and modeling.

Meytar Sorek-Hamer↗

Dynamic Learning of Correlation Potentials for a Time-Dependent Kohn-Sham System

We develop methods to learn the correlation potential for a time-dependent Kohn-Sham (TDKS) system in one spatial dimension. We start from a low-dimensional two-electron system for which we can numerically solve the time-dependent Schr¨odinger equation; this yields electron densities suitable for training models of the correlation potential. We frame the learning problem as one of optimizing a least-squares objective subject to the constraint that the dynamics obey the TDKS equation. Applying adjoints, we develop efficient methods to compute gradients and thereby learn models of the correlation potential. Our results show that it is possible to learn values of the correlation potential such that the resulting electron densities match ground truth densities. We also show how to learn correlation potential functionals with memory, demonstrating one such model that yields reasonable results for trajectories outside the training set.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Search for Spatial Correlations of Neutrinos with Ultra-high-energy Cosmic Rays

For several decades, the origin of ultra-high-energy cosmic rays (UHECRs) has been an unsolved question of high-energy astrophysics. One approach for solving this puzzle is to correlate UHECRs with high-energy neutrinos, since neutrinos are a direct probe of hadronic interactions of cosmic rays and are not deflected by magnetic fields. In this paper, we present three different approaches for correlating the arrival directions of neutrinos with the arrival directions of UHECRs. The neutrino data are provided by the IceCube Neutrino Observatory and ANTARES, while the UHECR data with energies above ∼50 EeV are provided by the Pierre Auger Observatory and the Telescope Array. All experiments provide increased statistics and improved reconstructions with respect to our previous results reported in 2015. The first analysis uses a high-statistics neutrino sample optimized for point-source searches to search for excesses of neutrino clustering in the vicinity of UHECR directions. The second analysis searches for an excess of UHECRs in the direction of the highest-energy neutrinos. The third analysis searches for an excess of pairs of UHECRs and highest-energy neutrinos on different angular scales. None of the analyses have found a significant excess, and previously reported overfluctuations are reduced in significance. Based on these results, we further constrain the neutrino flux spatially correlated with UHECRs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Dynamical Downscaling of Earth System Model Data for Energy System Analysis

Assessing energy resources (e.g., solar, wind, and hydro) under future scenarios requires datasets with sufficient spatial and temporal detail to capture variability and extreme events. While global-scale Earth System Model (ESM) projections are widely used, their coarse resolution limits direct application to regional energy system analyses. Dynamical downscaling offers a robust approach to generate physically consistent, fine-scale datasets that better represent local atmospheric processes impacting energy resources. In this work, we present a two-stage approach for producing high-resolution historical and future projections over the contiguous United States (CONUS). First, we optimize the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model configuration for energy-relevant variables - solar irradiance, wind speed, and precipitation - by conducting ERA5-driven simulations at 8-km and 28-km resolution. Multiple physics schemes and model configurations within the WRF are evaluated against observational datasets including the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB), the Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM), and the Stage IV multi-radar/multi-sensor precipitation product for the CONUS domain. Using the best-performing configuration, we dynamically downscale MPI-ESM1-2-HR simulations for 2000-2060 under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios at 4-km spatial and hourly temporal resolution. This presentation will provide a comprehensive analysis of the results from multiple numerical experiments and high-resolution ESM projections. In addition, we will discuss potential applications of our high-resolution datasets within the energy sector and outline future research avenues dedicated to evaluating how extreme weather events influence system performance and resilience.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗