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At least 1,081 records · Page 60

Report to the President: Harnessing Social and Behavioral Science Insights to Enhance Policymaking and Improve the Lives of the American People

The President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST) is the sole body of advisors from outside the federal government charged with making science, technology, and innovation policy recommendations to the President and the White House. Established by Executive Order, it is an independent Federal Advisory Committee comprised of distinguished individuals from industry, academia, and non-profit organizations with a range of perspectives and expertise. On January 15, 2025, PCAST sent a report to the President with recommendations to harness the insights of social and behavioral science research to benefit the American public.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Studies of Helium Behavior in Uranium Hexafluoride

Several issues have arisen from experimental observations and/or theoretical postulation related to the behavior of helium in uranium hexafluoride (UF 6 ) matrices and how it may impact the ability to use this noble gas to quantify the fill date of the cylinder. A series of experiments was conducted to address several such issues, and the results and implications are reported here. Two issues relate to bias in the helium measurement due to ambient air from extraneous sources such as atmospheric air or from potential holdup in a large, activated alumina chemical trap. These issues are really a question of differential retention of helium versus three other inert gas isotopes (representative of other noble gases found in air) used as a calibration for air in leakage. Discernable bias was not detected in either case. Another issue had to do with helium potentially brought into the cylinder by a liquid UF 6 fill and subsequently released as the material solidifies and/or during storage. The solubility of helium in liquid UF 6 was measured to investigate this theory. The experiment quantified the potential magnitude of the initial helium contribution if present. The final issue was that of retention of helium in solid UF 6 . Investigation of this theory necessitated quantifying both the solubility and the diffusivity of helium in UF 6 . In one experiment, the solubility was measured at cryogenic temperature, allowing quantification of helium in solid UF 6 such as would be found in a cold trap. In a second experiment, transport of helium into and through a macroscopic plug of solid UF 6 was examined. The transport was very slight although apparently detectible. Effectively, only an upper limit to the transport could be determined, but that limit implied that helium holdup in solid UF 6 is a real possibility.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Uncertainty Quantification of Fatigue Behavior of Rough AM Surfaces and Microstructures to Enable Hydrogen Gas Turbine

Modifying fossil-fueled industrial gas turbines to utilize low or zero-carbon fuels, such as hydrogen or hydrogen-natural gas blends, is a complex endeavor. The successful implementation of this technology hinges on three key design criteria: (1) developing new fuel injectors capable of efficiently burning alternative fuels, (2) ensuring manufacturability to meet cost and time-to-market goals, and (3) achieving component durability in the demanding environment of an operating gas turbine. Additive manufacturing (AM) accelerates product development, yet concerns persist regarding the durability of parts with rough AM surfaces. A fully experimental approach to quantify the fatigue performance of rough AM microstructures is both costly and labor-intensive. To address this, ORNL and Solar Turbines Incorporated (Solar) employed a crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE) model to identify the factors influencing AM surface fatigue behavior. These CPFE findings, combined with targeted experimental data, were used to develop a computationally efficient surrogate model suitable for assessing the lifespan of gas turbine engine components.

08 HYDROGEN↗

WHA Sphere Impacting RHA Plate: Modeling Brittle Behavior in Metal Alloys

Brittle behavior of metal alloys is often critical to modeling ballistic impact and penetration. The ALEGRA multiphysics finite element software incorporates calibrated models for the equation of state, elasticity, yield stress, plasticity and fracture, but simulations do not always capture expected metal fracture. Here we report concerted efforts to do so for one important case where experiments clearly show shear fractures: a tungsten sphere impacting a steel plate at various angles. Our best simulations show fractures that are qualitatively similar to experiments, but there are significant differences in quantitative metrics. Specifically, velocities of tracers used to quantify simulated plug parameters consistently fall short of measured plug velocities. Also, simulated plugs break apart more than expected from experimental evidence. We attribute these shortfalls to the lack of an explicit shear fracture mechanism in the material models, leading to over-estimated resistance to plug formation and movement.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Diffusion Behavior of Oversized Fission Products in bcc Fe Cladding: A First-Principles Study

Fuel-Cladding Chemical Interaction (FCCI) poses significant challenges in nuclear reactors, where fission products from nuclear fuel interact with Fe-based cladding materials, potentially compromising their structural integrity. This study investigates the diffusion behavior of oversized fission products, Pr, Nd, Ce, and La, within bcc Fe cladding using density functional theory (DFT), nudged elastic band (NEB) method, and self-consistent mean field (SCMF) theory. Our results reveal significant long-range vacancy binding energies, particularly up to the 6th nearest neighbor, with La exhibiting the strongest binding affinity, followed by Nd, Ce, and Pr. The NEB calculations indicate significant high barriers for the dissociation of 1nn vacancy-solute pairs for all fission products. The tracer diffusion coefficients of these fission products was derived in Arrhenius form. The significant trapping effect of vacancies by a very dilute amount of fission products reduces vacancy mobility, leading to an oversaturation of point defects, void nucleation, and swelling. These are critical issues for irradiated cladding materials. The tracer diffusion coefficients indicate that Nd diffuses the fastest, followed by La, Ce, and Pr. This study provides essential insights for developing advanced cladding materials and design strategies to mitigate FCCI, ultimately enhancing nuclear reactor safety and performance.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Uncertainty Quantification of Fatigue Behavior of Rough AM Surfaces and Microstructures to Enable Hydrogen Gas Turbine Combustion

Modification of fossil-fueled industrial gas turbines to accept no/low carbon fuels (Hydrogen, H2/natural gas blends) is a significant undertaking. Successful deployment of this technology sits at the intersection of three design criteria (1) new functional fuel injectors that can burn these fuels, (2) manufacturability to meet cost and time-to-market targets, and (3) durability in the harsh environment of an operating turbine. Additive manufacturing (AM) provides accelerated product development. However, uncertainty remains around the durability of parts with rough AM surfaces. A fully experimental approach towards quantifying fatigue performance of rough AM microstructures is costly and laborious. Instead, Solar Turbines Incorporated (Solar) proposes the use of a crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE) model to quantify the factors that drive AM surface fatigue behavior. Solar will use the CPFE results, along with targeted experimental data, to train a computationally efficient surrogate model that can be incorporated into existing turbine part lifing methods.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Emergent Behaviors and the Limits of Large Language Model Generalization

Over the past couple years, large language models (LLMs) have rapidly grown in size and performance across wide numbers of tasks, leading some to herald them as machine learning models with truly “general” capabilities. We address some of the ways that the language used to describe these models can be both deceptive and a poor framing for making progress towards understanding their capabilities, and also review arguments on to what extent these models can represent and interact with the meaning of language. Emergent behaviors in these highly complex models are unpredictable and research into understanding them is still in early phases, which limits the strength of claims of generality about them. Moreover, while these models demonstrate surprising emergent reasoning capabilities on many tasks, there are still many limitations in generalization that overall high benchmark performance can hide. We review the literature showcasing limitations of LLMs as well as techniques to mitigate or overcome these challenges, while also highlighting how fundamental problems in model evaluation may prevent true claims of generality. We conclude with a practical section on using LLMs on real world problems while appropriately evaluating and validating these tasks to prevent or mitigate the downstream impacts of incorrect results.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Microstructure-Based Understanding of High-Temperature Deformation Behaviors in Laser Powder Bed Fusion (LPBF) 316H Stainless Steel

This report presents the results of high-temperature mechanical property testing and microstructural analysis of laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) 316H stainless steel (SS) conducted during Fiscal Year 2025 (FY25) under the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Nuclear Energy’s Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Technologies (AMMT) program. The study builds upon prior work by expanding the mechanical property test matrix and advancing a microstructure-based mechanistic understanding of LPBF 316H SS performance, with a focus on the solution annealed (SA, 1100°C for 1 hour) materials. High-temperature tension, creep, fatigue, and creep-fatigue tests were performed. Thermal aging studies were conducted. Advanced characterization techniques, including scanning electron microscopy (SEM), scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM), and high-energy synchrotron X-ray diffraction, were employed to investigate the microstructural evolution during thermal aging and mechanical testing. It was discovered that the as-built (AB) LPBF 316H SS exhibited precipitation kinetics during thermal aging that are 10–100 times faster than its wrought counterpart due to the presence of high densities of preferred nucleation sites, while the precipitation kinetics in SA LPBF 316H was under investigation. The accelerated precipitation of embrittling phases such as sigma phase in LPBF 316H SS compared to its wrought counterpart led to significant impacts on creep ductility. The influence of laser printing parameters and build orientations on fatigue and creep-fatigue performance was observed. In assessing the creep-fatigue performance, it was discovered that the SA LPBF 316H samples failed in less than 200 cycles under 595°C, 0.5% (strain amplitude) with a 60-minute hold time. This work establishes a mechanistic framework for predicting the long-term behavior of LPBF 316H SS, supporting its rapid qualification under the ASME BPVC. The findings contribute to the broader goal of enabling the deployment of advanced materials in next-generation nuclear energy systems. An outlook for FY26 work, including continued aging studies, mechanical testing, and microstructural characterization, is provided.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Design and Production for Maximum Structural Efficiency With Respect to Fiber Orientation With Increased Understanding of Hybrid Fiber Flow Behavior

Discontinuous fiber-reinforced thermoplastic composites have gained considerable attention in automotive, aerospace, and other industries, due to their high-rate of production combined with their ability to attain complex and intricate shapes. Among other high-rate thermoplastic manufacturing processes, injection-molding is one of the most common manufacturing methods due to fast production and high surface finishing of complex geometries. Fiber orientation in discontinuous fiber composites plays a pivotal role in determining the mechanical, electrical, and thermomechanical properties, underscoring the necessity to comprehend fiber orientation in injection molded parts. Among different fiber types, glass and carbon fibers are most common in the composite industries. The recent trend of hybrid composites comprising both glass fiber (GF) and carbon fiber (CF) is also gaining importance in the automotive industry. Hybrid fiber options allow designers to optimize the balance between glass and carbon fibers by leveraging the high durability and low cost of GF while the strength and lightweight properties of CF. Consequently, comparing the fiber oriented distribution (FOD) of injection molded composites containing GF, CF, and a hybrid of GF/CF is critical to investigating the local mechanical properties of intricate structures for high-end applications. In Phase I of this project, FOD in injection-molded panels with respect to distance from the gate was analyzed using X-ray computed tomography (X-CT) for GF, CF, and hybrid CF/GF (CGF) reinforced nylon 66. To understand the reason behind the FOD with different fiber types, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) and rheology were performed. Samples were extracted at three locations: near the gate, center, and opposite end. Thickness of the layers of typical skin-shell-core type FOD varies with fiber type and location. GF achieved flow direction alignment (in shell) earlier than viscous CF and CGF near the gate, whereas CF showed the highest flow-direction alignment at the center due to shear induced orientation. At the opposite end, GF experienced more backflow than others indicating faster mold filling owing to its lower viscosity. Hybrid CGF exhibited GF-dominated center and CF-dominated end region. The numerical model used to obtain FOD and rheological predictions for the CF and GF composites served to corroborate the trends observed in the experimental trials. The FOD responses across fiber types and location were reflected in their longitudinal and transverse properties. Only GF showed higher longitudinal modulus over transverse modulus near the gate attributed to rapid alignment, whereas CF and CGF exhibited opposite trend. However, fountain flow enhanced the longitudinal modulus over transverse modulus with the distance for all, particularly for CF. This study offers insights into mold filling behavior of different fibers which are critical in optimizing injection molding conditions for tailored final properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Simulated Behavior of DUNE Near Detectors Using Updated CAFAna Analysis Framework

Simulations are run using the new DUNE CAFAna framework to generate pseudo-data modeling the interactions of neutrinos in the DUNE near detector at truth-level and detector-level. Truth-level analysis of neutrino kinematics reveals strong agreement with expected behavior, validating the kinematic portion of the simulation. Examination of the detector-level reconstructions of coordinates of interaction vertex appear consistent with an interaction density independent of detector position. Track lengths of particles resultant from neutrino interactions are aligned with varied particle identities, but are misaligned with prediction of uniform position density.

Fein, Jarrett [Michigan State U.]↗

High Temperature Mechanical Behavior of Refractory Alloys with Digital Image Correlation

Gas turbine efficiency is typically limited by the maximum allowable temperature for components at the inlet side and in the hot gas flow. Refractory alloys and SiC/SiC ceramic-matrix composites (CMCs) are promising candidates for advancing operating temperatures beyond those of Ni-based alloys (>1200 °C). Refractory alloys are more suitable than SiC/SiC CMCs for dynamic components, due to the latter's low toughness and ductility. However, it is well known that refractory alloys suffer from poor oxidation behavior under service lifetimes and conditions, leading to embrittlement concerns. The ARPA-E ULTIMATE program has set out to combine new alloys with advanced coatings to mitigate oxidation/embrittlement effects, while increasing the mechanical performance benefits of refractory materials. Low oxygen (inert gas) or vacuum systems are needed to assess high temperature mechanical performance of developed alloys. To investigate the environmental sensitivity of candidate alloys and develop high temperature testing capabilities, four argon tensile frames were upgraded as well as a single vacuum system at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Digital image correlation was incorporated into the vacuum frame allowing for surface strain determination and refined insight into thermomechanical response. Creep testing was performed at 1300 °C on two alloys, C-103 and MHC in vacuum and high purity argon environments. The Mo-based alloy showed less sensitivity to oxygen, indicating that testing in well-controlled argon environments may be suitable. The C-103 alloy demonstrated a stronger sensitivity to oxygen in the well-controlled argon environment, illustrating the need for the developed vacuum testing capabilities. “Small” 25 mm and “large” 76 mm MHC specimens showed comparable results in terms of strain rate during creep testing and ultimate tensile strength during tensile testing, suggesting the viability of smaller geometries that use less material of advanced developmental alloys.

Bell, Sam↗

Melting Behavior of Conventional and Hydrogen-Reduced DRI in a Simulated EAF Steel Bath

The melting behavior of carbon-free direct reduced iron (DRI) produced by hydrogen reduction has been investigated in a simulated electric arc furnace (EAF) melting environment. A testing apparatus was created to document the melting rates under various bath conditions in slag and steel. This investigation is specific to pellets melted in a steel bath. A model was developed to simulate the shell growth and melting rate of a non-reactive DRI pellet in molten steel. Data acquired from preliminary experiments are utilized to validate the model. This investigation sheds light on the potential effects of melting hydrogen-reduced DRI in the EAF.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Fluid Behavior in Nanoporous Silica

We investigate dynamics of water (H 2 O) and methanol (CH 3 OH and CH 3 OD) inside mesoporous silica materials with pore diameters of 4.0, 2.5, and 1.5 nm using low-field (LF) nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) relaxometry. Experiments were conducted to test the effects of pore size, pore volume, type of fluid, fluid/solid ratio, and temperature on fluid dynamics. Longitudinal relaxation times (T 1 ) and transverse relaxation times (T 2 ) were obtained for the above systems. We observe an increasing deviation in confined fluid behavior compared to that of bulk fluid with decreasing fluid-to-solid ratio. Our results show that the surface area-to-volume ratio is a critical parameter compared to pore diameter in the relaxation dynamics of confined water. An increase in temperature for the range between 25 and 50°C studied did not influence T 2 times of confined water significantly. However, when the temperature was increased, T 1 times of water confined in both silica-2.5 nm and silica-1.5 nm increased, while those of water in silica-4.0 nm did not change. Reductions in both T 1 and T 2 values as a function of fluid-to-solid ratio were independent of confined fluid species studied here. The parameter T 1 /T 2 indicates that H 2 O interacts more strongly with the pore walls of silica-4.0 nm than CH 3 OH and CH 3 OD.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Capturing plume behavior in complex terrain: an overview of the Nevada National Security Site Meteorological Experiment (METEX21)

METEX21 was an atmospheric tracer release experiment executed at the Department of Energy’s Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) in the southwestern U.S to study terrain-induced wind and thermodynamic conditions that influence local-scale (<5-km) plume transport under varying atmospheric forcing conditions. Meteorological observations were collected using 10-m tall meteorological towers, 2-m tall tripods with 3-d sonic anemometers, a 3-m tall eddy covariance flux tower, Doppler profiling lidars, Doppler scanning lidars, weather-balloon launched radiosondes, and a tethered balloon equipped with wind, temperature, and aerosol sensors at heights up to 800 m. A smoke tracer was released along three transects in the horizontal and vertical directions and observed with video cameras, aerosol sensors and lidars (via aerosol backscatter). The observations showed evidence of large-scale/synoptic transience as well as local-scale upslope and downslope flows, along-axis valley flows, recirculation eddies on leeward slopes, and periods of strong shear and veer aloft. The release days were classified as either synoptically-driven or locally-driven, and a single case day is presented in detail for each. Synoptically-forced days show relatively narrow smoke plumes traveling down the valley from north to south (with the predominant wind direction), with little deviation in transport direction regardless of the elevation or ground locations of the smoke releases, except near the presence of leeside recirculation eddies. Locally-forced days exhibit a wider range of plume behavior due to the combination of thermally-induced valley and slope flows, which are often flowing in different cardinal directions, and wind shear found aloft at higher altitudes and elevations. We saw evidence of smoke lofting on top of the mesas due to strong upslope flows on these days. A major finding of this experiment was the effectiveness of scanning lidars to measure 2-dimensional plume transport out to a 2–3 km distance; much farther than could be visibly observed. METEX21 was the first of three planned tracer experiments at NNSS, and future experiments will incorporate multiple tracers to improve individual plume identification so that finer resolution flow details can be attained from these measurements, as well as deploy a larger suite of meteorological instrumentation, including more temperature profiling data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effect of Moisture and Feedstock Variability on the Rheological Behavior of Corn Stover Particles

Continuous feeding, processing, and handling of biomass powders is pivotal to the economic viability of integrated biorefineries. However, current challenges associated with the operational reliability of bulk solids handling and transport greatly impact the process economics and ultimately the widespread commercialization of integrated biorefineries. In this work, we examine the effect of moisture and feedstock variability on the flow behavior of corn stover biomass particles. The total flow energy, compressibility, shear properties, and wall friction angles were measured for corn stover samples A and B containing 0%, 15%, 25%, 50%, and 75% (mass fraction) moisture contents using a FT4 powder rheometer. In general, the flowability of both A and B was reduced when moisture was present as indicated by the stability and variable flow rate, compressibility, and shear tests. The 15% moisture sample had the highest flow energy, revealing the interplay between the increased surface tension and looser packing both of which were caused by liquid bridging. The 75% moisture sample had the highest compressibility and the lowest flowability factor (ff c ). The trend in wall friction angle was found to be dependent upon the surface hydrophobicity of the wall material. The wall friction angle on the hydrophilic, stainless-steel surface increased with moisture and therefore poses additional handling challenges. On the other hand, the wall friction angle on the hydrophobic polymer surfaces were the lowest for samples with intermediate moisture contents. Sample B had greater bulk density, smaller compressibility, and greater flowability than the sample A , as suggested by the compressibility and shear tests. The wall friction angle of sample B was higher than or equal to that of sample A depending on both the type and the surface roughness of the wall material.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Sound-localization-related activation and functional connectivity of dorsal auditory pathway in relation to demographic, cognitive, and behavioral characteristics in age-related hearing loss

Background Patients with age-related hearing loss (ARHL) often struggle with tracking and locating sound sources, but the neural signature associated with these impairments remains unclear. Materials and methods Using a passive listening task with stimuli from five different horizontal directions in functional magnetic resonance imaging, we defined functional regions of interest (ROIs) of the auditory “where” pathway based on the data of previous literatures and young normal hearing listeners ( n = 20). Then, we investigated associations of the demographic, cognitive, and behavioral features of sound localization with task-based activation and connectivity of the ROIs in ARHL patients ( n = 22). Results We found that the increased high-level region activation, such as the premotor cortex and inferior parietal lobule, was associated with increased localization accuracy and cognitive function. Moreover, increased connectivity between the left planum temporale and left superior frontal gyrus was associated with increased localization accuracy in ARHL. Increased connectivity between right primary auditory cortex and right middle temporal gyrus, right premotor cortex and left anterior cingulate cortex, and right planum temporale and left lingual gyrus in ARHL was associated with decreased localization accuracy. Among the ARHL patients, the task-dependent brain activation and connectivity of certain ROIs were associated with education, hearing loss duration, and cognitive function. Conclusion Consistent with the sensory deprivation hypothesis, in ARHL, sound source identification, which requires advanced processing in the high-level cortex, is impaired, whereas the right–left discrimination, which relies on the primary sensory cortex, is compensated with a tendency to recruit more resources concerning cognition and attention to the auditory sensory cortex. Overall, this study expanded our understanding of the neural mechanisms contributing to sound localization deficits associated with ARHL and may serve as a potential imaging biomarker for investigating and predicting anomalous sound localization.

Wu, Junzhi↗

Fog Intermittency and Critical Behavior

The intermittency of fog occurrence (the switching between fog and no-fog) is a key stochastic feature that plays a role in its duration and the amount of moisture available. Here, fog intermittency is studied by using the visibility time series collected during the month of July 2022 on Sable Island, Canada. In addition to the visibility, time series of air relative humidity and turbulent kinetic energy, putative variables akin to the formation and breakup conditions of fog, respectively, are also analyzed in the same framework to establish links between fog intermittency and the underlying atmospheric variables. Intermittency in the time series is quantified with their binary telegraph approximations to isolate clustering behavior from amplitude variations. It is shown that relative humidity and turbulent kinetic energy bound many stochastic features of visibility, including its spectral exponent, clustering exponent, and the growth of its block entropy slope. Although not diagnostic, the visibility time series displays features consistent with Pomeau–Manneville Type-III intermittency in its quiescent phase duration PDF scaling (−3/2), power spectrum scaling (−1/2), and signal amplitude PDF scaling (−2). The binary fog time series exhibits properties of self-organized criticality in the relation between its power spectrum scaling and quiescent phase duration distribution.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗