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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Robustness of the Ensemble Score Filter to the Type of Assimilated Observation Networks

Recent advances in data assimilation (DA) have focused on developing more flexible approaches that can better accommodate nonlinearities in models and observations. However, it remains unclear how the performance of these advanced methods depends on the observation network characteristics. In this study, we present initial experiments with the surface quasi‐geostrophic model, in which we compare a recently developed ensemble filter using score‐based diffusion models with the standard Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF). Our results show that the analysis solutions respond differently to the number, spatial distribution, and nonlinear fraction of assimilated observations. We also find notable changes in the multiscale characteristics of the analysis errors. Given that standard DA techniques will eventually be replaced by more advanced methods, we hope this study sets the ground for future efforts to reassess the value of Earth observing systems in the context of newly emerging algorithms.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Nowcasting Earthquakes: Imaging the Earthquake Cycle in California With Machine Learning

We propose a new machine learning-based method for nowcasting earthquakes to image the time-dependent earthquake cycle. The result is a timeseries that may correspond to the process of stress accumulation and release. The timeseries are constructed by using principal component analysis of regional seismicity. The patterns are found as eigenvectors of the cross-correlation matrix of a collection of seismicity timeseries in a coarse grained regional spatial grid (pattern recognition via unsupervised machine learning). The eigenvalues of this matrix represent the relative importance of the various eigenpatterns. Using the eigenvectors and eigenvalues, we compute the weighted correlation timeseries of the regional seismicity. This timeseries has the property that the weighted correlation generally decreases prior to major earthquakes in the region, and increases suddenly just after a major earthquake occurs. As in a previous paper, we find that this method produces a nowcasting timeseries that resembles the hypothesized regional stress accumulation and release process characterizing the earthquake cycle. We then address the problem of whether the timeseries contain information regarding future large earthquakes. For this, we compute a receiver operating characteristic and determine the decision thresholds for several future time periods of interest (optimization via supervised machine learning). We find that signals can be detected that can be used to characterize the information content of the timeseries. These signals may be useful in assessing present and near-future seismic hazards.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Excitonic density wave and spin-valley superfluid in bilayer transition metal dichalcogenide

Artificial moiré superlattices in 2 d van der Waals heterostructures are a new venue for realizing and controlling correlated electronic phenomena. Recently, twisted bilayer WSe 2 emerged as a new robust moiré system hosting a correlated insulator at moiré half-filling over a range of twist angle. In this work, we present a theory of this insulating state as an excitonic density wave due to intervalley electron–hole pairing. We show that exciton condensation is strongly enhanced by a van Hove singularity near the Fermi level. Our theory explains the remarkable sensitivity of the insulating gap to the vertical electric field. In contrast, the gap is weakly reduced by a perpendicular magnetic field, with quadratic dependence at low field. The different responses to electric and magnetic field can be understood in terms of pair-breaking versus non-pair-breaking effects in a BCS analog of the system. We further predict superfluid spin transport in this electrical insulator, which can be detected by optical spin injection and spatial-temporal imaging.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2022

Nano-spectroscopy of excitons in atomically thin transition metal dichalcogenides

Abstract Excitons play a dominant role in the optoelectronic properties of atomically thin van der Waals (vdW) semiconductors. These excitons are amenable to on-demand engineering with diverse control knobs, including dielectric screening, interlayer hybridization, and moiré potentials. However, external stimuli frequently yield heterogeneous excitonic responses at the nano- and meso-scales, making their spatial characterization with conventional diffraction-limited optics a formidable task. Here, we use a scattering-type scanning near-field optical microscope (s-SNOM) to acquire exciton spectra in atomically thin transition metal dichalcogenide microcrystals with previously unattainable 20 nm resolution. Our nano-optical data revealed material- and stacking-dependent exciton spectra of MoSe 2 , WSe 2 , and their heterostructures. Furthermore, we extracted the complex dielectric function of these prototypical vdW semiconductors. s-SNOM hyperspectral images uncovered how the dielectric screening modifies excitons at length scales as short as few nanometers. This work paves the way towards understanding and manipulation of excitons in atomically thin layers at the nanoscale.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2022

Projected U.S. drought extremes through the twenty-first century with vapor pressure deficit

Global warming is expected to enhance drought extremes in the United States throughout the twenty-first century. Projecting these changes can be complex in regions with large variability in atmospheric and soil moisture on small spatial scales. Vapor Pressure Deficit (VPD) is a valuable measure of evaporative demand as moisture moves from the surface into the atmosphere and a dynamic measure of drought. Here, VPD is used to identify short-term drought with the Standardized VPD Drought Index (SVDI); and used to characterize future extreme droughts using grid dependent stationary and non-stationary generalized extreme value (GEV) models, and a random sampling technique is developed to quantify multimodel uncertainties. The GEV analysis was performed with projections using the Weather Research and Forecasting model, downscaled from three Global Climate Models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 for present, mid-century and late-century. Results show the VPD based index (SVDI) accurately identifies the timing and magnitude short-term droughts, and extreme VPD is increasing across the United States and by the end of the twenty-first century. The number of days VPD is above 9 kPa increases by 10 days along California’s coastline, 30–40 days in the northwest and Midwest, and 100 days in California’s Central Valley.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

In situ plant materials hyperspectral imaging by multimodal scattering near-field optical microscopy

Plant cells are elaborate three-dimensional polymer nano-constructs with complex chemistry. The bulk response of plants to light, in the far-field, is ultimately encoded by optical scattering from these nano-constructs. Their chemical and physical properties may be acquired through their interaction with a modulated nano-tip using scattering scanning near-field optical microscopy. Here, using this technique, we present 20 nm spatial resolution mechanical, spectral and optical mappings of plant cell walls. We first address the problem of plant polymers tracking through pretreatment and processing. Specifically, cellulose and lignin footprints are traced within a set of delignified specimen, establishing the factors hindering complete removal of lignin, an important industrial polymer. Furthermore, we determine the frequency dependent dielectric function ${\epsilon }(\omega)={(n+ik)}^{2}$ of plant material in the range 28 ≤ ω ≤ 58 THz, and show how the environmental chemical variation is imprinted in the nanoscale variability of n and k . This nanometrology is a promise for further progress in the development of plant-based (meta-)materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Understanding, quantifying, and controlling the molecular ordering of semiconducting polymers: from novices to experts and amorphous to perfect crystals

Molecular packing and texture of semiconducting polymers are often critical to the performance of devices using these materials. Although frameworks exist to quantify the ordering, interpretations are often just qualitative, resulting in imprecise use of terminology. Here, we reemphasize the significance of quantifying molecular ordering in terms of degree of crystallinity (volume fractions that are ordered) and quality of ordering and their relation to the size scale of an ordered region. We are motivated in part by our own imprecise and inconsistent use of terminology in the past, as well as the need to have a primer or tutorial reference to teach new group members. We strive to develop and use consistent terminology with regards to crystallinity, semicrystallinity, paracrystallinity, and related characteristics. To account for vastly different quality of ordering along different directions, we classify paracrystals into 2D and 3D paracrystals and use paracrystallite to describe the spatial extent of molecular ordering in 1–10 nm. We show that a deeper understanding of molecular ordering can be achieved by combining grazing-incidence wide-angle X-ray scattering and differential scanning calorimetry, even though not all aspects of these measurements are consistent, and some classification appears to be method dependent. We classify a broad range of representative polymers under common processing conditions into five categories based on the quantitative analysis of the paracrystalline disorder parameter (g) and thermal transitions. A small database is presented for 13 representative conjugated and insulating polymers ranging from amorphous to semi-paracrystalline. Lastly, we outline the challenges to rationally design more perfect polymer crystals and propose a new molecular design approach that envisions conceptual molecular grafting that is akin to strained and unstrained hetero-epitaxy in classic (compound) semiconductors thin film growth.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Molecular concentration field design using closed-form steady-state solutions

Control over spatial concentration fields represents a fundamental challenge in designing synthetic biological systems and programmable soft materials. While nature creates morphogen gradients that orchestrate complex developmental processes, synthetic approaches have largely relied on empirical optimization and computationally intensive simulations. Here, we present an analytical framework for steady-state concentration fields generated by finite-sized localized sources in diffusion–degradation systems and derive closed-form solutions for one-, two-, and three-dimensional geometries. By expressing these solutions in dimensionless form, we show that gradient steepness and spatial structure are organized by the Thiele modulus, which captures the competition between diffusion and degradation length scales. The analysis reveals distinct design regimes: in degradation-dominated systems, gradient shape is governed by exponential decay and becomes dimension-independent, whereas in diffusion-dominated systems, gradient magnitude and extent follow dimension-dependent power-law scaling. Building on these results, we introduce a quantitative design strategy that uses threshold-based criteria to program concentration ranges by tuning physically accessible parameters, most directly the production rate, while holding transport and degradation properties fixed. Comparisons with numerical solutions and reported experimental systems demonstrate consistency with the predicted scaling behavior. Together, this work provides a generalizable and physically transparent framework for designing steady-state concentration fields in synthetic biological and soft matter systems, enabling predictive control of gradient-mediated organization without reliance on extensive numerical optimization.

Kim, Dong Woo [Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore↗
DOE OSTI2021

Photometric cross-calibration of the SDSS Stripe 82 Standard Stars catalogue with Gaia EDR3, and comparison with Pan-STARRS1, DES, CFIS, and GALEX catalogues

ABSTRACT We extend the SDSS Stripe 82 Standard Stars catalogue with post-2007 SDSS imaging data. This improved version lists averaged SDSS ugriz photometry for nearly a million stars brighter than r ∼ 22 mag. With 2–3 times more measurements per star, random errors are 1.4–1.7 times smaller than in the original catalogue, and about three times smaller than for individual SDSS runs. Random errors in the new catalogue are $\lesssim$0.01 mag for stars brighter than 20.0, 21.0, 21.0, 20.5, and 19.0 mag in u, g, r, i, and z-bands, respectively. We achieve this error threshold by using the Gaia Early Data Release 3 (EDR3) Gmag photometry to derive grey photometric zeropoint corrections, as functions of RA and Declination, for the SDSS catalogue, and use the Gaia BP–RP colour to derive corrections in the ugiz bands, relative to the r-band. The quality of the recalibrated photometry, tested against Pan-STARRS1, DES, CFIS, and GALEX surveys, indicates spatial variations of photometric zeropoints ≦ 0.01 mag (rms), with typical values of 3–7 millimag in the RA, and 1–2 millimag in the Declination directions, except for $\lesssim$6 millimag scatter in the u-band. We also report a few minor photometric problems with other surveys considered here, including a magnitude-dependent ∼0.01 mag bias between 16 ≤ GGaia ≤ 20 in the Gaia EDR3. Our new, publicly available catalogue offers robust calibration of ugriz photometry below 1 per cent level, and will be helpful during the commissioning of the Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2020

Resistivity phase diagram of cuprates revisited

The phase diagram of the cuprate superconductors has posed a formidable scientific challenge for more than three decades. This challenge is perhaps best exemplified by the need to understand the normal-state charge transport as the system evolves from Mott insulator to Fermi- liquid metal with doping. Here in this paper, we report a detailed analysis of the temperature (T) and doping (p) dependence of the planar resistivity of simple-tetragonal HgBa 2 CuO 4+δ (Hg1201), the single- CuO 2 -layer cuprate with the highest optimal superconducting transition temperature, T c . The data allow us to test a recently proposed phenomenological model for the cuprate phase diagram that combines a universal transport scattering rate with spatially inhomogeneous (de)localization of the Mott-localized hole. We find that the model provides a good description of the data. We then extend this analysis to prior transport results for several other cuprates, including the Hall number in the overdoped part of the phase diagram, and find little compound-to-compound variation in (de)localization gap scale. The results point to a robust, universal structural origin of the inherent gap inhomogeneity that is unrelated to doping-related disorder. They are inconsistent with the notion that much of the phase diagram is controlled by a quantum critical point, and instead indicate that the unusual electronic properties exhibited by the cuprates are fundamentally related to strong nonlinearities associated with subtle nanoscale inhomogeneity.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2024

Heart Shape to Fracture Distance: Characterizing Hydraulic Fracture Propagation before Hits

Estimating the distance from the hydraulic fracture tip to the monitor well can be useful for fracture characterization, well spacing optimization, and preventing parent-child well interference. A heart-shaped signal is referred to as the extensional precursor of a fracture hit recorded by crosswell strain measurements and can serve as a vital tool for such estimation. This study incorporates the 3D displacement discontinuity method (DDM) to understand the impact of fracture geometry and monitor well offset on the heart-shaped signal’s characteristics. Results from numerical simulation and analytical solutions reveal a strong linear correlation between the spatial extent of the heart-shaped signal and the fracture tip distance. This relationship was further developed to predict tip distance using field data from the Hydraulic Fracture Test Site 2 (HFTS2). A reasonable approximation result from field data further validates the methodology. In addition, it is worth noting that the estimation accuracy depends on the ratio between fracture dimension and tip distance. The findings of this study offer a novel approach for real-time monitoring and characterizing hydraulic fracture propagation, which can be further used for well spacing optimization in unconventional and enhanced geothermal system reservoir development, as well as caprock integrity monitoring for carbon sequestration projects.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Time-Resolved Spectroscopy of Insulator-Metal Transitions: Exploring Low-Energy Dynamics in Strongly Correlated Systems. Final Report

Transition metal oxides (TMOs) have attracted much attention in recent years. The strong coupling between charge, spin, and orbital degrees of freedom creates novel functional properties. The research at the interplay between ferromagnetism, ferroelectricity and conductivity provides a promising way to the development of future spintronic devices. The interface characterization of multifunctional oxide heterostructures is crucial to understand deeply the magnetic response, spin injection and spin transport. In year one, we characterized optically the magnetic property with the method of magnetization-induced second-harmonic generation (MSHG), which is a sensitive technique to selectively probe the interface where the spatial inversion symmetry is broken. The interface of n-type BaTiO 3 (BTO)/La 0.67 Sr 0.33 MnO 3 (LSMO) forms a Schottky barrier and displays a good diode effect. By applying an external electric field across the sample, we observe the magnetoelectric (ME) coupling effect to modulate the interface magnetization. The voltage dependent magnetic contrast sharply vanishes at positive voltage (applied to LSMO contact) and reveals a ferromagnetic (FM)-to- antiferromagnetic (AFM) transition occurring at the interface, while the magneto-optic Kerr effect (MOKE) indicates that the bulk property is not affected. The strain mediated mechanism and ferroelectric (FE) polarization induced charge medicated mechanism are both discussed, but they do not play an important role in the observed magnetization transition. A new mechanism is proposed - the injected minority spins through strong Hund's interaction with the local magnetic moments at positive voltage weaken the double-exchange interaction of nearby Mn e g electrons, thereby reducing the ferromagnetic (FM) ordering. The dominant superexchange interaction of localized t 2g electrons finally leads to the AFM configuration. By reducing the electron carrier concentration of BTO, a positive voltage shift of the transition is observed. The oxygen richer sample with lower carrier concentration requires a higher voltage to increase the hole doping level of LSMO to induce the interfacial AFM phase. By inserting a thin (1nm) La 0.5 Ca 0.5 MnO 3 layer between BTO and LSMO, the interface magnetic response from LSMO is enhanced. In year two, a non-multiferroic heterostructure SrTiO 3 (STO)/ La 0.5 Ca 0.5 MnO 3 (LCMO)/La 0.67 Sr 0.33 MnO 3 (LSMO) was studied. In this system, the interface FM-AFM transition is observed at negative voltage. The STO layer may act as a hole-donating layer, which induces the hole transfer to LSMO making it overdoped, while the LCMO interlayer at the 0.5 hole doping level displays complicated CE type AFM phase. Thus the AFM phase is dominant at the interface and electron accumulation is required to induce the FM phase by applying a negative voltage. For oxygen rich sample, the magnetic MSHG loop reappears at high positive voltage (around +2.5 V). At high doping level (x > 0.5), LSMO exhibits A-type AFM order, consisting of AFM superexchange coupling between adjacent layers and intralayer FM double-exchange coupling. The less tensile strain of STO and LSMO due to a smaller lattice mismatch as compared to BTO would result in a weaker interlayer coupling . Thus, interfacial A-type AFM order can occur in STO/LCMO/LSMO heterostructure at high hole doping concentration. The study of ME coupling of multifunctional oxide heterostructures is definitely important to the development and performance of future spintronic devices. The results presented here regarding the interfacial magnetic transition controlled by an external electric field offer some new perspective to study the spin transport of magnetic tunnel junctions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Multiscale and Multivariate Transportation System Visualization for Shopping District Traffic and Regional Traffic

In this paper, we present a suite of visualization techniques for sensor-based transportation system data at different scales to facilitate the exploration of interconnected traffic dynamics at intersections and highways. Additionally, these techniques are designed for analyzing multivariate traffic data from radar-based highway sensors and camera-based intersection sensors recording turn movements and vehicle speed, in the Chattanooga Metropolitan Area, with the capability of (a) revealing multiscale mobility patterns using different levels of data aggregation (e.g., individual sensor for microscale, multiple sensors along a corridor for mesoscale, and a larger number of sensors across the region for macroscale visualization) at different intervals (e.g., 5-min intervals, time of day, full day, and day-of-the-week), and (b) exploring the spatial variation of multiple traffic-related variables (e.g., volumes, speeds, turn movements, and traffic light colors) provided by the sensors. We close with a case study to demonstrate the effectiveness of our multiscale and multivariate visualization techniques. At microscale, we focused on intersection data from a shopping district around Shallowford Road in East Chattanooga. For mesoscale visualization, we studied the Shallowford Road corridor and an adjacent stretch of I-75. At macroscale, we included highway data from the Chattanooga Metropolitan Area. All visualizations were integrated into a web-based situational awareness tool to promote user access and interaction. At a minimum, each visualization provides the option for selecting dates for real-time (depending on sensor availability) and historical data, and additional information on hovering, though most provide more detailed information, including different views of the selected data, or interactive highlights.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Electrode and Microstructure Dependence of Oxygen Diffusion in Ferroelectric Hafnium Zirconium Oxide Thin Films

Hafnia-based ferroelectrics hold promise to reduce energy demand for computing by enabling compute-in-memory and as non-volatile memories. The ferroelectric phase in this material system is, in part, stabilized by oxygen vacancies. While oxygen vacancies may be a necessity for phase stability, they limit device endurance through diffusion and accumulation into conducting channels. Herein, it is shown that oxygen diffusion is spatially variable within individual grains of ferroelectric hafnium zirconium oxide (HZO). Using 18 O tracers and finite difference modeling, it is shown that grain boundaries and regions near electrode interfaces allow for relatively rapid oxygen diffusion, with values as much as 10 4 larger than the grain cores. Further, the selection of electrode material affects the diffusion coefficients across all microstructural regions. HZO films in contact with TiN electrodes result in more oxygen-deficient HZO films and higher oxygen diffusion coefficients. Tungsten electrodes result in fewer vacancies and lower diffusion coefficients. Diffusion activation energy differences between the HZO with the two electrodes is reconciled by differing populations of charged and uncharged oxygen vacancies. This insight into the local vacancy populations and diffusion pathways provides a platform for designing hafnia-based films, deposition processes, and integration strategies to reduce vacancy gradients and improve performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Large-d phase transitions in holographic mutual information

In the AdS/CFT correspondence, the entanglement entropy of subregions in the boundary CFT is conjectured to be dual to the area of a bulk extremal surface at leading order in G N in the holographic limit. Under this dictionary, distantly separated regions in the CFT vacuum state have zero mutual information at leading order, and only attain nonzero mutual information at this order when they lie close enough to develop significant classical and quantum correlations. Previously, the separation at which this phase transition occurs for equal-size ball-shaped regions centered at antipodal points on the boundary was known analytically only in 3 spacetime dimensions. Inspired by recent explorations of general relativity at large- d , we compute the separation at which the phase transition occurs analytically in the limit of infinitely many spacetime dimensions, and find that distant regions cannot develop large correlations without collectively occupying the entire volume of the boundary theory. We interpret this result as illustrating the spatial decoupling of holographic correlations in the large- d limit, and provide intuition for this phenomenon using results from quantum information theory. We also compute the phase transition separation numerically for a range of bulk spacetime dimensions from 4 to 21, where analytic results are intractable but numerical results provide insight into the dimension-dependence of holographic correlations. For bulk dimensions above 5, our exact numerical results are well approximated analytically by working to next-to-leading order in the large- d expansion.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Generalized parton distributions from symbolic regression

AI/ML informed Symbolic Regression is the next stage of scientific modeling. We utilize a highly customizable symbolic regression package “PySR” to model the x and t dependence of the flavor isovector combination Hu-d(x, t, ) at = 0. These PySR models were trained on GPD results provided by both Lattice QCD and phenomenological sources GGL, GK, and VGG. We demonstrate, for the first time, the consistency and systematic convergence of Symbolic Regression by quantifying the disparate models through their Taylor expansion coefficients. In addition to PySR penalizing models with higher complexity and mean-squared error, we implement schemes that test specific physics hypotheses, including force-factorized x and t dependence and Regge behavior in PySR GPDs. We show that PySR can identify factorizing GPD sources based on their response to the Force-Factorized model. Here, knowing the precise behavior of the GPDs, and their uncertainties in a wide range in x and t, crucially impacts our ability to concretely and quantitatively predict hadronic spatial distributions and their derived quantities.

Dotson, Andrew [New Mexico State University, Las C↗
DOE OSTI2023

Correlating Rate-Dependent Transition Metal Dissolution between Structure Degradation in Li-Rich Layered Oxides

Understanding the mechanism of the rate-dependent electrochemical performance degradation in cathodes is crucial to developing fast charging/discharging cathodes for Li-ion batteries. Here, in this work, taking Li-rich layered oxide Li 1.2 Ni 0.13 Co 0.13 Mn 0.54 O 2 as the model cathode, the mechanisms of performance degradation at low and high rates are comparatively investigated from two aspects, the transition metal (TM) dissolution and the structure change. Quantitative analyses combining spatial-resolved synchrotron X-ray fluorescence (XRF) imaging, synchrotron X–ray diffraction (XRD) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) techniques reveal that low-rate cycling leads to gradient TM dissolution and severe bulk structure degradation within the individual secondary particles, and especially the latter causes lots of microcracks within secondary particles, and becomes the main reason for the fast capacity and voltage decay. In contrast, high-rate cycling leads to more TM dissolution than low-rate cycling, which concentrates at the particle surface and directly induces the more severe surface structure degradation to the electrochemically inactive rock-salt phase, eventually causing a faster capacity and voltage decay than low-rate cycling. These findings highlight the protection of the surface structure for developing fast charging/discharging cathodes for Li-ion batteries.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗