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At least 1,081 records · Page 60

Detecting technological maturity from bibliometric patterns

We report the capability to identify emergent technologies based upon easily accessed open-source indicators, such as publications, is important for decision-makers in industry and government. The scientific contribution of this work is the proposition of a machine learning approach to the detection of the maturity of emerging technologies based on publication counts. Time-series of publication counts have universal features that distinguish emerging and growing technologies. We train an artificial neural network classifier, a supervised machine learning algorithm, upon these features to predict the maturity (emergent vs. growth) of an arbitrary technology. With a training set comprised of 22 technologies we obtain a classification accuracy ranging from 58.3% to 100% with an average accuracy of 84.6% for six test technologies. To enhance classifier performance, we augmented the training corpus with synthetic time-series technology life cycle curves, formed by calculating weighted averages of curves in the original training set. Training the classifier on the synthetic data set resulted in improved accuracy, ranging from 83.3% to 100% with an average accuracy of 90.4% for the test technologies. The performance of our classifier exceeds that of competing machine learning approaches in the literature, which report an average classification accuracy of only 85.7% at maximum. Moreover, in contrast to current methods our approach does not require subject matter expertise to generate training labels, and it can be automated and scaled.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A systematic method for selecting molecular descriptors as features when training models for predicting physiochemical properties

Machine learning has proven to be a powerful tool for accelerating biofuel development. Although numerous models are available to predict a range of properties using chemical descriptors, there is a trade-off between interpretability and performance. Neural networks provide predictive models with high accuracy at the expense of some interpretability, while simpler models such as linear regression often lack in accuracy. In addition to model architecture, feature selection is also critical for developing interpretable and accurate predictive models. We present a method for systematically selecting molecular descriptor features and developing interpretable machine learning models without sacrificing accuracy. Our method simplifies the process of selecting features by reducing feature multicollinearity and enables discoveries of new relationships between global properties and molecular descriptors. To demonstrate our approach, we developed models for predicting melting point, boiling point, flash point, yield sooting index, and net heat of combustion with the help of the Tree-based Pipeline Optimization Tool (TPOT). For training, we used publicly available experimental data for up to 8351 molecules. Our models accurately predict various molecular properties for organic molecules (mean absolute percent error (MAPE) ranges from 3.3% to 10.5%) and provide a set of features that are well-correlated to the property. This method enables researchers to explore sets of features that significantly contribute to the prediction of the property, offering new scientific insights. To help accelerate early stage biofuel research and development, we also integrated the data and models into a open-source, interactive web tool.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Quantitative investigation of sooting dynamics in droplet combustion using an automated image analysis algorithm

This paper reports an image analysis approach using a newly-developed open-source program to extract quantitative measurements of soot volume fraction (SVF) from digital video images of burning n-heptane droplets. The automated program developed in this work can analyze images of fixed and untethered droplets to quantify sooting dynamics. The images analyzed in the program were taken from experiments carried out in the Multi-user Droplet Combustion Apparatus (MDCA) onboard the International Space Station (ISS). In these experiments, video imaging of burning droplets was obtained using backlighting by a laser diode with a wavelength of 653 nm. Here, the light was collimated before it passed through the droplet and soot-containing region, after which the light was then attenuated and projected onto the camera’s sensors. This technique facilitates the measurements of SVF based on the principles of the full field light extinction method (FFLEM). The measurements provide quantitative data that reveal the sooting dynamics of liquid fuels during droplet combustion processes. The analyses of a soot-attenuating image (ISS n-heptane, untethered droplet) at an instant during the burning show that the SVF distribution has a peak at the soot shell location. It then decreases due to soot oxidation when the location is further away from the burning droplet. Regarding temporal effects on the maximum SVF (SVF max ), results show that SVF max first increases after the burning is initiated until a peak value is reached, after which SVF max decreases. The SVF max values identified in this study for n-heptane are quantitatively consistent with previously reported values for fiber-supported droplets and are reached relatively early in the burning history. n-Heptane images are also analyzed to show the effects of initial droplet sizes on the maximum soot volume fraction. Results show that SVF max decreases with increasing initial droplet size, which is consistent with visual observations of less soot formed and dimmer flame brightness as Do increases.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Toward a high-fidelity tritium transport modeling for retention and permeation experiments

We report Tritium Migration Analysis Program version 8 (TMAP8), the latest version of TMAP, was developed within the framework of the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE). Created at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), MOOSE is an open-source, dimension-agnostic, fully coupled, and fully implicit multiphysics platform featuring massively parallel computation capabilities. Using TMAP8, tritium transport in a divertor monoblock was analyzed to elucidate the effects of pulsed operation (up to fifty 1,600 s plasma discharge and cool-down cycles) on the tritium in-vessel inventory source term and ex-vessel release term (i.e., tritium retention and permeation) for safety analysis. With its built-in Message Passing Interface capability, TMAP8 can, in under 2 h, simulate tritium transport in three different layered materials (i.e., tungsten, copper, and copper-chromium-zirconium alloy) in 2D geometry, using a single device/computer with 10 cores. The MOOSE-based TMAP8 code can leverage other MOOSE tools developed under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program to perform tritium and thermal transport in complex geometries and multiphysics environments. And via its massively parallel computation, MOOSE will enable the fusion pilot plant designers to conduct high-fidelity multiphysics modeling for the design of the divertor and blanket systems as well as for the safety analysis.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Moving small files in a networked environment

Globally distributed computing infrastructures, such as clouds and supercomputers, are currently used to manage data that is generated with an unprecedented speed from a variety of resources. Coping with this trend, the volume of data exchanged across distant sites increases substantially. To accelerate data transfer, high-speed networks are provided to connect remote sites. Most existing data movement solutions are optimized for moving large files. However, it is still challenging to transfer a large number of small files across networks. This disadvantage not only lowers data transfer performance, but also decreases overall system utilization. Here, we identify that moving small files is mainly constrained by degraded file system throughput, not just network performance as might be suspected. We have built a data transfer pipeline model to analyze the impact of small network I/O and storage I/O on data movement. Extending one of the widely used open source data movement solutions, GridFTP, we demonstrate several appropriate engineering approaches that mitigate the bottleneck and increase data transfer efficiency. We show optimizations that improve data transfer performance more than 5 times. In comparison to existing solutions, our approaches can save a significant amount of system resources for moving lots of small files.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Software stewardship and advancement of a high-performance computing scientific application: QMCPACK

Here, we provide an overview of the software engineering efforts and their impact in QMCPACK, a production-level ab-initio Quantum Monte Carlo open-source code targeting high-performance computing (HPC) systems. Aspects included are: (i) strategic expansion of continuous integration (CI) targeting CPUs, using GitHub Actions own runners, and NVIDIA and AMD GPUs used in pre-exascale systems, (ii) incremental reduction of memory leaks using sanitizers, (iii) incorporation of Docker containers for CI and reproducibility, and (iv) refactoring efforts to improve maintainability, testing coverage, and memory lifetime management. We quantify the value of these improvements by providing metrics to illustrate the shift towards a predictive, rather than reactive, maintenance approach. Our goal, in documenting the impact of these efforts on QMCPACK, is to contribute to the body of knowledge on the importance of research software engineering (RSE) for the stewardship and advancement of community HPC codes to enable scientific discovery at scale.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Roadmap and Benchmarking: Privacy in Federated Load Forecasting

Data-driven techniques for energy demand forecasting continue to emerge with promising impacts on distribution grid planning. However, the development of robust and generalizable machine learning models requires that representative high quality training data are available. Distributed energy resources have begun to embed intelligence, gathering large amounts of data on customer demand, behavior, and household devices that are connected to the grid. Though utilities aggregate meter-level demand data for load shaping, demand response, outage management, reliability planning, and billing applications, there lies an inherent privacy concern in sharing consumption data that may identify individual consumer behavioral patterns. Hence, while sharing the data is crucial, the private sensitive customer data must be safeguarded from being exposed or manipulated. In this study, we propose a roadmap for implementing a based privacy preserving framework to support the advancement of data-driven analytics in data-sensitive distributed energy resources environments. The roadmap incorporates federated learning–a distributed training framework, differential privacy–a statistical framework that provides guarantees to safeguard the leakage of sensitive data, secure multiparty computation and homomorphic encryption– techniques for encrypting model gradients and applying secure aggregation on the server. Moreover, we perform baseline experiments on the federated short-term load forecasting (STLF) task using open-source residential load profile datasets, offering insights into the challenges of integrating differential privacy into federated learning.

Abebe, Waqwoya [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORN↗

DTLMod: A simulation framework for in situ workflow optimization

In situ processing workflows have become essential for coping with the explosion in data volume and velocity in large-scale scientific computing, providing domain scientists with early insights at runtime. Multiple frameworks implement this paradigm through a data transport layer (DTL), offering different data access modes and deployment schemes, but researchers currently lack the appropriate tools to assess design and deployment options before committing to costly real experiments. We introduce DTLMod, an open-source simulated DTL that enables performance evaluation of in situ workflow configurations at scale. Built on SimGrid, it links into any SimGrid-based simulator and is available in C++ and Python. We evaluate DTLMod along four axes: scalability (tens of thousands of simulated processes across interconnected clusters in seconds, with linear memory scaling), versatility (three implementation variants trading fidelity for speed), accuracy (simulated times faithfully reflecting real behavior), and practical utility (two use cases demonstrating evidence-based workflow design decisions).

Suter, Fred [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000319021955)↗

Comparison of automated chemical-guided segmentation and human annotation of soil organic matter in X-ray microcomputed tomography imaging in contrasted soil types

Soil organic matter (OM) formation and persistence is strongly influenced by the spatial distribution of organic substrates and microscale soil heterogeneity by dictating OM accessibility to microorganisms. However, traditional size and/or density fractionation techniques disrupt aggregate architecture, eliminating spatial information needed to fully understand intra-aggregate OM distribution. To quantify three-dimensional OM spatial distribution and automate segmentation in X-ray microcomputed tomography (µCT) imaging without human annotation bias, we developed an iodine gas vapor (I2) based staining workflow that eliminates labor-intensive manual annotation while maintaining segmentation accuracy, using aggregates from four taxonomically diverse soils (Xerofluvent, Haploxeroll Sphagnofibrist, Palehumult) with an 8-fold range of soil organic carbon. Human annotation of 10 µCT slices by the experienced and inexperienced annotators resulted in variations up to 3% in the Dice similarity coefficient (DSC), reflecting a degree of inherent subjectivity of manual labeling. Such inconsistencies are expected to compound as the number of manually annotated slices increases. Dual-energy µCT imaging at 33.1 keV (below the iodine (I) K-edge) and 33.2 keV (above the I K-edge) was used to resolve aggregate microstructure following I2 staining. The automated image subtraction pipeline identified OM regions by the I Kedge induced brightness increases, achieving DSC values of 0.58–0.83 relative to an experienced annotator. Sensitivity analyses revealed that the reconstruction alpha value—optimized via the open-source tool TomocuPy—and the 3D registration slice count were the primary determinants of accuracy, providing a novel benchmark for dual-energy soil imaging. The pipeline without GPU acceleration achieved 9.6 to 43.2 times faster than manual annotation. Using GPU-accelerated image post-processing and affine transformation matrices, the pipeline successfully segmented OM elements for large-scale datasets (3232×3232 pixel, 2048 slices) within ~5200 s from raw file acquisition to segmented output. The high-throughput approach enables the quantification of OM spatial distribution across diverse and heterogeneous soil.

Soil microbial biomass↗

Validation of Phasor-Domain Transmission and Distribution Co-simulation Against Electromagnetic Transient Simulation

The rapid deployment of renewable energy resources has led to the widespread use of power electronics in modern power systems. As these systems transition from being dominated by large synchronous machines to increasingly incorporating inverter-based resources (IBRs), traditional methods are becoming inadequate. Addressing this challenge, this paper introduces a scalable phasor-domain T\&D co-simulation framework based on open-source software. It focuses on the framework's validation against the PSCAD Electromagnetic Transient (EMT) analysis tool. The validation results demonstrate the framework's high-fidelity and a computational time speed-up of 60 to 100 times, marking a pioneering validation effort in T\&D co-simulation research.

Inverter-based resources, co-simulation, Electroma↗

Basin-scale analysis of Mokelumne River Formation for multi-well CO 2 injection

Large-scale carbon sequestration will likely require multiple projects injecting CO 2 into the same subsurface formation, raising concerns about safe operation and efficient use of storage capacity. This study evaluates the long-term response of the Mokelumne River Formation in California’s Sacramento Basin to multi-megaton CO 2 injection using three geologic models of the formation and the open-source simulator GEOS. The analysis focuses on three aspects of reservoir performance: (1) average pressure increase and dissolved CO 2 mass after 30 years for varying well counts and injection rates, (2) pressure interference in a multi-well configuration, and (3) dynamic storage capacity with identification of overpressure-prone regions. The results show that average formation pressure increases linearly with injected mass, while CO 2 dissolution exhibits mixed scaling: approximately linear with the number of wells but sublinear with injection rate, indicating that distributing injection across more wells enhances dissolution more effectively than increasing per-well rates. Pressure-interference effects are significant, with lower-permeability conditions delaying their onset but amplifying their magnitude at later times. Dynamic capacity, defined by the first occurrence of pressure exceeding the local overburden-based limit anywhere in the formation, varies across geologic models and assumed overburden pressure gradients. A lower fidelity geologic model predicts nearly twice the storage capacity of the two higher fidelity models, which consistently estimate approximately 1 Gt under the upper-bound overburden pressure gradient considered for the Sacramento Basin. In all model scenarios, overpressure develops away from injection wells, particularly in higher-elevation regions, highlighting the importance of basin-scale modelling for identifying risks beyond the immediate well vicinity.

Basin-scale↗

CFD-DEM and PR-DNS studies of low-temperature densely packed beds

Over the past few decades, granular media is gaining attention as a viable option for heat transfer fluids (HTFs). Several research efforts are studying the use of particle-based heat transfer fluids in a wide variety of applications. With this motivation, the current work focusses on analyzing the different heat transfer mechanisms in low-temperature mono-sized densely packed granular media. To study the heat transfer behavior of granular media at different scales, the current work employs a two-way coupled computational strategy. The motion of particles is solved using the Discrete Element Method (DEM) and the interstitial air is solved using a Finite-Volume (CFD) approach. The Open-Source library CFDEM Coupling® is used in the current study to join the Finite Volume PISO solver of OpenFOAM® and the DEM solver of LIGGGHTS®. Typically, particle-particle contact conduction and particle-air convection are the most popular closure models. But recent research identified a different heat transfer phenomenon in packed beds that cannot be identified by conduction or convection models. While closure models were developed to implement this on a CFD-DEM framework, they did not capture the effect of intra-particulate thermal gradients on this phenomenon. Hence the current work also employs Particle-Resolved Direct Numerical Simulations (PR-DNS) to gain valuable insights allowing for the modification of existing models. A new closure model is then proposed here and is implemented in the CFD-DEM framework. This model provides key insights into the different heat transfer mechanism of packed beds.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Economic assessment of seismic monitoring for underground hydrogen storage

Underground hydrogen storage (UHS) plays a key role in the energy landscape. However, like other subsurface engineering technologies, UHS may cause leakage into the groundwater or atmosphere and possibly induce local seismicity. To reduce these risks, seismic monitoring could be a viable technique to track the UHS plume, detect leakages, and locate induced seismicity events. Seismic monitoring has been proposed to safely monitor UHS, but research in this area is still new and requires field studies. Lab and theoretical studies have demonstrated the validity of seismic monitoring for UHS. Therefore, it is imperative to analyze the economic feasibility of seismic monitoring for UHS. Hence, we develop a cost model and open-source Python code for seismic monitoring that considers types of seismometers, comprehensive operational scenarios, detection thresholds, and long-term leakage monitoring. A case study is further provided to validate the cost model on reservoir simulations of UHS. We find that the levelized cost for a 10-year operating UHS site will range on the order of ∼0.003 $\$$/kg. The methods developed in this study could also be applied to the monitoring of groundwater, gas, and/or wastewater injection.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Elucidating hydrogen isotope transport mechanisms in proton-conducting ceramics with trapping effects using TMAP8

Hydrogen isotopes play an central role in many science and engineering applications such as fuel cells, hydrogen production, and fusion energy. For these applications, hydrogen separation and extraction applications are pivotal aspects of hydrogen transports, where proton-conducting ceramics (PCCs) have shown great potential. In this study, we propose a new model for hydrogen isotope transport in PCC materials, BaZr 0.9 Y 0.1 O 2.95 (BZY) in particular, which captures behavior in both dry and wet environments. The model expands previous efforts and considers diffusion, trapping, and surface reactions (i.e., dissociation and recombination). We then validate and calibrate the model using deuterium transport measurements from experiments in both dry and wet environments. This study highlights the key role of trapping, often neglected, on hydrogen isotope transport in BZY and other PCC materials. It also explains how the commonly observed discrepancy between dry and wet behavior can be attributed to more active surface reactions and saturated traps due to the increased hydrogen presence under the wet environment. These results provide insights to optimize PCC manufacturing and usage as a hydrogen separation and extraction technology in various fields, emphasizing that lowering the trapping can reduce hydrogen isotope retention. These modeling and calibration efforts are performed using the tritium migration analysis program, version 8 (TMAP8), an open-source application designed for hydrogen isotope transport.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multiscale modeling of twinning and detwinning behavior of HCP polycrystals

A multiscale scheme is presented here to capture the twinning and detwinning mechanisms during cyclic loading of HCP polycrystals. In the current framework, the crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE) method is employed at the microstructural scale. The response of twinned regions at a material point is calculated using a novel homogenization scheme via a Taylor-type model. The homogenized behavior is then used in the CPFE to obtain the response of a polycrystal. An efficient rate-independent crystal plasticity model that has been incorporated into the open source PRISMS-Plasticity software is introduced here to capture the response of the twinned region. Accordingly, the corresponding algorithmic tangent modulus is derived. Finally, this multiscale scheme is validated against data available for the cyclic response of Mg alloy ZK60A. The results show that the multiscale model can capture the key elements of the sample response observed during the experiment.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Training material models using gradient descent algorithms

High temperature design requires accurate constitutive models to describe material inelastic deformation and failure behavior. Oftentimes, calibrating accurate models devolves into the problem of fitting the model parameters against experimental test data. Here, we present the pyopmat package, an open source framework for calibrating constitutive models against experiment data subjected to various loading conditions using machine learning techniques. The package calculates the exact gradient of the model response with respect to the parameters using a combination of automatic differentiation and the adjoint method. Given this exact gradient, we compare the performance of several gradient-based optimization techniques in fitting realistic constitutive models against data. Here, we demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of our package through example problems using both synthetic data, generated using known parameter sets, under monotonic and cyclic loading conditions and also with an example applying the techniques developed here to actual high temperature creep-fatigue test data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling inter- and intra-granular dislocation transport using crystal plasticity

Here, this work presents the development of a crystal plasticity material model that incorporates both dislocation transport within grains and dislocation transfer across grain boundaries. This model has been implemented in the open-source finite element code MOOSE. In addition, a novel geometry-based criterion is developed to determine the direction of dislocation transfer across grain boundaries. The transfer criterion incorporates the geometric features of the grain boundary, such as the grain boundary plane normal, and its misorientation, which is accounted for through the orientation of the incoming and outgoing slip systems. The model is tested with several cases, including a copper single crystal, bi-crystal, and polycrystal. The development of the transfer criterion, implementation of the model, and its application to these test cases are discussed in detail.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Approximation of refrigerant thermophysical properties using neural networks to speed up transient thermofluid simulations

Accurate and efficient evaluations of refrigerant thermophysical properties and their partial derivatives are essential for transient simulations of thermofluid systems, where several computations need to be executed at each integration time step. Since the utilization of an Equation of State for retrieving properties based on a pair of independent inputs typically involves numerical iterations in solution procedures, when the input variables differ from the refrigerant state variables employed in dynamic models, a variety of approaches including lookup table interpolation and curve fitting have been developed to explicitly approximate these properties based on the state variables, and consequently eliminate internal iterations. This paper presents an alternative method that exploits derivative-informed neural networks to model refrigerant properties explicitly from inputs of pressure and enthalpy, while ensuring consistent partial derivatives generated by differentiating the neural networks. Computational speed and accuracy of the proposed approach are demonstrated via transient simulations of a discretized heat exchanger model in Modelica, and comparisons against other property evaluation routines. Simulation results indicate that the proposed approach can realize a significant speedup with negligible discrepancies in predicted transients. The method is implemented in an open-source Modelica library.

Ma, Jiacheng↗