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At least 1,081 records · Page 60
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1974

Adaptive sequential estimation with applications

A sequential estimator is presented and demonstrated which successfully tracks the system state and model errors in the presence of significant and unpredictable system or environmental variations. This adaptive estimation concept is shown to lead to a new and attractive approach to parameter identification problems. Simulation results are presented in an orbit determination problem, where the estimator tracks the orbit and unmodeled accelerations due to errors in the geopotential model. Some results in a re-entry trajectory estimation problem are also summarized.

Jazwinski, A. H.↗
NASA NTRS1974

Single-tone parameter estimation from discrete-time observations

Estimation of the parameters of a single-frequency complex tone from a finite number of noisy discrete-time observations is discussed. The appropriate Cramer-Rao bounds and maximum-likelihood (ML) estimation algorithms are derived. Some properties of the ML estimators are proved. The relationship of ML estimation to the discrete Fourier transform is exploited to obtain practial algorithms. The threshold effect of one algorithm is analyzed and compared to simulation results. Other simulation results verify other aspects of the analysis.

Rife, D. C.↗
NASA NTRS1970

Handbook for Weight Estimating and Forecasting of Manned Space Systems During Conceptual Design. Volume II

Volume I of the Handbook for Weight Estimating and Forecasting of Manned Space Systems during Conceptual Design contains two manual methods of preliminary weight estimation, plus weight growth data and two methods for forecasting weight growth. The two weight estimation methods in Volume I are recommended for rapid use only during the earliest phases of design when mission knowledge and design parameters are at a minimum. Volume II contains a detailed point design method of preliminary weight estimation, to be used by either manual or computer means. This method enables greater in-depth weight assessments of designs when the necessary mission knowledge and design parameters are available. Volume II also contains the description of an associated or independent (user's option) space transportation system sizing program which has the capability of altering a point design configuration, as necessary, to assure vehicle weight, size and performance compatibility.

Source record↗
NASA NTRS1975

Monte Carlo analysis of inaccuracies in estimated aircraft parameters caused by unmodeled flight instrumentation errors

An output error estimation algorithm was used to evaluate the effects of both static and dynamic instrumentation errors on the estimation of aircraft stability and control parameters. A Monte Carlo error analysis, using simulated cruise flight data, was performed for a high-performance military aircraft, a large commercial transport, and a small general aviation aircraft. The results indicate that unmodeled instrumentation errors can cause inaccuracies in the estimated parameters which are comparable to their nominal values. However, the corresponding perturbations to the estimated output response trajectories and characteristics equation pole locations appear to be relatively small. Control input errors and dynamic lags were found to be in the most significant of the error sources evaluated.

Hodge, W. F.↗
NASA NTRS1974

Outer planet probe cost estimates: First impressions

An examination was made of early estimates of outer planetary atmospheric probe cost by comparing the estimates with past planetary projects. Of particular interest is identification of project elements which are likely cost drivers for future probe missions. Data are divided into two parts: first, the description of a cost model developed by SAI for the Planetary Programs Office of NASA, and second, use of this model and its data base to evaluate estimates of probe costs. Several observations are offered in conclusion regarding the credibility of current estimates and specific areas of the outer planet probe concept most vulnerable to cost escalation.

Niehoff, J.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Estimation and Analysis of Nonlinear Stochastic Systems

The algebraic and geometric structures of certain classes of nonlinear stochastic systems were exploited in order to obtain useful stability and estimation results. The class of bilinear stochastic systems (or linear systems with multiplicative noise) was discussed. The stochastic stability of bilinear systems driven by colored noise was considered. Approximate methods for obtaining sufficient conditions for the stochastic stability of bilinear systems evolving on general Lie groups were discussed. Two classes of estimation problems involving bilinear systems were considered. It was proved that, for systems described by certain types of Volterra series expansions or by certain bilinear equations evolving on nilpotent or solvable Lie groups, the optimal conditional mean estimator consists of a finite dimensional nonlinear set of equations. The theory of harmonic analysis was used to derive suboptimal estimators for bilinear systems driven by white noise which evolve on compact Lie groups or homogeneous spaces.

Marcus, S. I.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Cost and size estimates for an electrochemical bulk energy storage concept

Preliminary capital cost and size estimates were made for an electrochemical bulk energy storage concept. The electrochemical system considered was an electrically rechargeable flow cell with a redox couple. On the basis of preliminary capital cost estimates, size estimates, and several other important considerations, the redox-flow-cell system emerges as having great promise as a bulk energy storage system for power load leveling. The size of this system would be less than 2 percent of that of a comparable pumped hydroelectric plant. The capital cost of a 10-megawatt, 60- and 85-megawatt-hour redox system is estimated to be $190 to $330 per kilowatt. The other important features of the redox system contributing to its load leveling application are its low adverse environmental impact, its high efficiency, its apparent absence of electrochemically-related cycle life limitations, and its fast response.

Warshay, M.↗
NASA NTRS1974

Optical range and range rate estimation for teleoperator systems

Range and range rate are crucial parameters which must be available to the operator during remote controlled orbital docking operations. A method was developed for the estimation of both these parameters using an aided television system. An experiment was performed to determine the human operator's capability to measure displayed image size using a fixed reticle or movable cursor as the television aid. The movable cursor was found to yield mean image size estimation errors on the order of 2.3 per cent of the correct value. This error rate was significantly lower than that for the fixed reticle. Performance using the movable cursor was found to be less sensitive to signal-to-noise ratio variation than was that for the fixed reticle. The mean image size estimation errors for the movable cursor correspond to an error of approximately 2.25 per cent in range suggesting that the system has some merit. Determining the accuracy of range rate estimation using a rate controlled cursor will require further experimentation.

Shields, N. L., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1974

Estimation and detection of signals in multiplicative noise

We define a class of detection-estimation problems on matrix Lie groups in which the observation noise is multiplicative in nature. By examining the differential versions of the hypotheses, which are bilinear, we are able to derive the relevant likelihood ratio formula and the associated optimal estimation equations for the signal given the observations and the assumption that the signal is present. These estimation equations are of interest in their own right, in that they represent a finite-dimensional optimal solution to a nonlinear estimation problem and consist of a Kalman-Bucy filter along with the on-line computation of the solution of the associated Riccati equation, which is driven by the observations. The usefulness of these results is illustrated via an example concerning the detection of an actuator failure in a rigid-body rotational control system.

Willsky, A. S.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Time estimates in a long-term time-free environment

Subjects in a time-free environment for 14 days estimated the hour and day several times a day. Half of the subjects were under a heavy exercise regime. During the waking hours, the no-exercise group showed no difference between estimated and real time, whereas the exercise group showed significantly shorter estimated than real time. Neither group showed a difference after the sleeping periods. However, the mean accumulated error for the two groups was 48.73 hours and was strongly related to the displacements of sleep/waking behavior. It is concluded that behavioral cues are the primary determinants of time estimates in time-free environments.

Lavie, P.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Real-time orbit estimation for ATS-6 from redundant attitude sensors

A program installed in the ATSOCC on-line computer operates with attitude sensor data to produce a smoothed real-time orbit estimate. This estimate is obtained from a Kalman filter which enables the estimate to be maintained in the absence of T/M data. The results are described of analytical and numerical investigations into the sensitivity of Control Center output to the position errors resulting from the real-time estimation. The results of the numerical investigation, which used several segments of ATS-6 data gathered during the Sensor Data Acquisition run on August 19, 1974, show that the implemented system can achieve absolute position determination with an error of about 100 km, implying pointing errors of less than 0.2 deg in latitude and longitude. This compares very favorably with ATS-6 specifications of approximately 0.5 deg in latitude-longitude.

Englar, T. S., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Parameter estimating state reconstruction

Parameter estimation is considered for systems whose entire state cannot be measured. Linear observers are designed to recover the unmeasured states to a sufficient accuracy to permit the estimation process. There are three distinct dynamics that must be accommodated in the system design: the dynamics of the plant, the dynamics of the observer, and the system updating of the parameter estimation. The latter two are designed to minimize interaction of the involved systems. These techniques are extended to weakly nonlinear systems. The application to a simulation of a space shuttle POGO system test is of particular interest. A nonlinear simulation of the system is developed, observers designed, and the parameters estimated.

George, E. B.↗
NASA NTRS1976

The numerical evaluation of the maximum-likelihood estimate of a subset of mixture proportions

Necessary and sufficient conditions are given for a maximum likelihood estimate of a subset of mixture proportions. From these conditions, likelihood equations are derived satisfied by the maximum-likelihood estimate and a successive-approximations procedure is discussed as suggested by equations for numerically evaluating the maximum-likelihood estimate. It is shown that, with probability one for large samples, this procedure converges locally to the maximum-likelihood estimate whenever a certain step-size lies between zero and two. Furthermore, optimal rates of local convergence are obtained for a step-size which is bounded below by a number between one and two.

Peters, B. C., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1976

On estimating gravity anomalies: A comparison of least squares collocation with least squares techniques

The least squares collocation algorithm for estimating gravity anomalies from geodetic data is shown to be an application of the well known regression equations which provide the mean and covariance of a random vector (gravity anomalies) given a realization of a correlated random vector (geodetic data). It is also shown that the collocation solution for gravity anomalies is equivalent to the conventional least-squares-Stokes' function solution when the conventional solution utilizes properly weighted zero a priori estimates. The mathematical and physical assumptions underlying the least squares collocation estimator are described, and its numerical properties are compared with the numerical properties of the conventional least squares estimator.

Argentiero, P.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Cropland acreage estimates from temporal, multispectral ERTS-1 data

Temporal, multispectral Earth Resources Technology Satellite (ERTS-1) images as pertinent to cropland acreage estimates are illustrated and discussed. A cropland classifier is described that evaluates approximately registered, temporal, and multispectral digital ERTS-1 data acquired over a 14 section test site in central Iowa during 1973. Satellite-derived acreage estimates are compared with estimates derived from low-level images. Discrepancies between these estimates are discussed. Satellite coverage critically timed with a crop development calendar is noted to improve classifier effectiveness.

Carlson, R. E.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Models and error analyses in urban air quality estimation

Estimation theory has been applied to a wide range of aerospace problems. Application of this expertise outside the aerospace field has been extremely limited, however. This paper describes the use of covariance error analysis techniques in evaluating the accuracy of pollution estimates obtained from a variety of concentration measuring devices. It is shown how existing software developed for aerospace applications can be applied to the estimation of pollution through the processing of measurement types involving a range of spatial and temporal responses. The modeling of pollutant concentration by meandering Gaussian plumes is described in some detail. Time averaged measurements are associated with a model of the average plume, using some of the same state parameters and thus avoiding the problem of state memory. The covariance analysis has been implemented using existing batch estimation software. This usually involves problems in handling dynamic noise; however, the white dynamic noise has been replaced by a band-limited process which can be easily accommodated by the software.

Englar, T., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1977

Initial development of a method of significant waveheight estimation for GEOS-III

The numerical method by which ocean surface significant waveheight estimates are produced from the GEOS-3 radar altimeter data is described. Four parameters characterizing the expected radar mean return waveform are determined from the altimeter's sixteen sample-and-hold waveform samplers through use of an iterative, least squares approach. One of the four parameters is a risetime term which has contributions from both the transmitted radar pulse width and the rms ocean surface height; the estimated significant waveheight is extracted from this risetime. The noise character of the estimation process leads to occasional negative significant waveheight estimates, and the origin of these nonphysical negative results is discussed. Possible modifications and areas for additional investigation are indicated.

Hayne, G. S.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Filtering and smoothing techniques for parameter estimation

In this paper filtering and smoothing criteria for maximum-likelihood parameter estimation are described and compared. It is shown that the parameter estimate using the smoothing criterion may be obtained independently of the smoothed state estimate. Monte Carlo test results are presented comparing the efficiency of the estimation procedures.

Bach, R. E., Jr.↗