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At least 109 records · Page 6

North Atlantic Oscillation response in GeoMIP experiments G6solar and G6sulfur: why detailed modelling is needed for understanding regional implications of solar radiation management

The realization of the difficulty of limiting global-mean temperatures to within 1.5 or 2.0°C above pre-industrial levels stipulated by the 21st Conference of Parties in Paris has led to increased interest in solar radiation management (SRM) techniques. Proposed SRM schemes aim to increase planetary albedo to reflect more sunlight back to space and induce a cooling that acts to partially offset global warming. Under the auspices of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project, we have performed model experiments whereby global temperature under the high-forcing SSP5-8.5 scenario is reduced to follow that of the medium-forcing SSP2-4.5 scenario. Two different mechanisms to achieve this are employed: the first via a reduction in the solar constant (experiment G6solar) and the second via modelling injections of sulfur dioxide (experiment G6sulfur) which forms sulfate aerosol in the stratosphere. Results from two state-of-the-art coupled Earth system models (UKESM1 and CESM2-WACCM6) both show an impact on the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in G6sulfur but not in G6solar. Both models show a persistent positive anomaly in the NAO during the Northern Hemisphere winter season in G6sulfur, suggesting an increase in zonal flow and an increase in North Atlantic storm track activity impacting the Eurasian continent and leading to high-latitude warming over Europe and Asia. These results are broadly consistent with previous findings which show similar impacts from stratospheric volcanic aerosol on the NAO and emphasize that detailed modelling of geoengineering processes is required if accurate impacts of SRM effects are to be simulated. Differences remain between the two models in predicting regional changes over the continental USA and Africa, suggesting that more models need to perform such simulations before attempting to draw any conclusions regarding potential continental-scale climate change under SRM.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Improving Experience Beyond the Ride: Joint Assignment and Repositioning for Rideshare

In this study, a novel joint assignment and repositioning strategy is designed, implemented, and tested in a simulated traffic environment. The strategy addresses limitations of previously constructed rideshare repositioning algorithms by integrating the consideration of rider pooling into the optimization. By considering pooling, the strategy can minimize excess vehicle movement and increase riders' use of pooled services over a zonal-flow-based repositioning strategy and a fleet operating with no repositioning at all. The new strategy can increase pooling by up to 2.3% compared to no repositioning in a large region, and up to 0.1% in a small region, without compromising overall fleet revenue. Additionally, compared to a baseline, flow-based repositioning strategy, the new strategy can reduce empty vehicle travel by up to 30% in the larger region, and 2.1% in the smaller simulated area.

Paul, Joseph↗

Bounds on edge shear layer persistence while approaching the density limit

This paper details the theory of edge shear layer collapse as the density approaches the Greenwald density limit. It significantly extends earlier work, which was restricted in applicability. The zonal shear flow screening length is calculated for banana, plateau and Pfirsch–Schluter regimes. Poloidal field scaling persists in the plateau regime. Neoclassical screening and drift wave–zonal flow dynamics are combined in a theory, which is then reduced to a predator–prey model. Zonal noise, due to incoherent mode coupling, is retained. The threshold condition for edge shear layer collapse is computed, and linked to a critical value of the dimensionless parameter ${\rho }_{\mathrm{s}}/\sqrt{{\rho }_{\mathrm{s}\mathrm{c}}{L}_{n}}$. Here ${\rho }_{s}$ is the ion sound radius, ${\rho }_{sc}$ is the zonal flow screening length and ${L}_{n}$ is the equilibrium density scale length. The limiting initial edge density for shear layer collapse is derived and shown to scale favorably with the plasma current. Here, the results are discussed in light of the density limit and Ohmic phenomenology.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Air quality and comfort constrained energy efficient operation of multi-zone buildings

Maintaining indoor air quality (IAQ) through effective ventilation is essential for the well-being and productivity of building occupants. Control strategies aimed at improving the efficiency of heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems must jointly determine ventilation and heating and cooling processes. Here, in this paper, we study the problem of minimizing the energy consumption of the HVAC system in a multi-zone building, while meeting thermal comfort and IAQ requirements. We first perform a steady state analysis of the zonal carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) concentration and the temperature dynamics. The resulting expressions are convex in the zonal mass flow rates and zonal temperatures. Guided by the steady state solutions for meeting the thermal comfort constraints, we develop two control policies for improving the energy efficiency of building HVAC systems while jointly satisfying indoor temperature and IAQ constraints. We compare the performance of our proposed approaches with those of multiple baseline approaches which implement separate regimes for controlling zonal temperature and IAQ for a typical work-day in a multi-zone campus building. We have evaluated the performance of our proposed approaches under varying levels of flexibility in zonal temperatures. We have shown that zonal temperature flexibility can result in energy savings up to 32% (for the same control strategies) as compared to the case where no such flexibility is permitted. Our proposed approaches were seen to offer potential savings of nearly 29% compared to the baseline.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Detecting shearless phase-space transport barriers in global gyrokinetic turbulence simulations with test particle map models

In magnetically confined fusion plasmas, the role played by zonal 𝐸 x 𝐵 flow shear layers in the suppression of turbulent transport is relatively well understood. However, less is understood about the role played by the weak shear regions that arise in the non-monotonic radial electric field profiles often associated with these shear layers. In electrostatic simulations from the global total-𝑓 gyrokinetic particle-in-cell code XGC, we demonstrate how shearless regions with non-zero flow curvature form zonal ‘jets’ that, in conjunction with neighbouring regions of shear, can act as robust barriers to particle transport and turbulence spreading. By isolating quasi-coherent fluctuations radially localised to the zonal jets, we construct a map model for the Lagrangian dynamics of gyrokinetic test particles in the presence of drift waves. We identify the presence of shearless invariant tori in this model and verify that these tori act as partial phase-space transport barriers in the simulations. We also demonstrate how avalanches impinging on these shearless tori cause eddy detachment events that form ‘cold/warm core ring’ structures analogous to those found in oceanic jets, facilitating transport across the barriers without destroying them completely. We discuss how shearless tori may generically arise from tertiary instabilities or other types of discrete eigenmodes, suggesting their potential relevance to broader classes of turbulent fluctuations.

fusion plasma↗

Redesigning large-scale multimodal transit networks with shared autonomous mobility services

Here, this study addresses a large-scale multimodal transit network design problem, with Shared Autonomous Mobility Services (SAMS) as both transit feeders and an origin-to-destination mode. The framework captures spatial demand and modal characteristics, considers intermodal transfers and express services, determines transit infrastructure investment and path flows, and generates transit routes. A system-optimal multimodal transit network is designed with minimum total door-to-door generalized costs of users and operators, satisfying transit origin-destination demand within a pre-set infrastructure budget. Firstly, the geography, demand, and modes in each zone are characterized with continuous approximation. The decisions of network link investment and multimodal path flows in zonal connection optimization are formulated as a minimum-cost multi-commodity network flow (MCNF) problem and solved efficiently with a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) solver. Subsequently, the route generation problem is solved by expanding the MCNF formulation to minimize intramodal transfers. The model is illustrated through a set of experiments with the Chicago network comprised of 50 zones and seven modes, under three scenarios. The computational results present savings in traveler journey time and operator cost demonstrating the potential benefits of collaboration between multimodal transit systems and SAMS.

Autonomous vehicles↗

Effect of the neutral beam injector operational regime on the Alfven eigenmode saturation phase in DIII-D plasma

The aim of this study is to analyze the effect of the neutral beam injector (NBI) operation regime on the saturation phase of the Alfven Eigenmodes (AEs) in DIII-D plasma. Here, the analysis is done using the linear and nonlinear versions of the gyro-fluid code FAR3d. A set of parametric analyses are performed modifying the nonlinear simulation EP $β$ (NBI injection power), EP energy (NBI voltage) and the radial location of the EP density profile gradient (NBI radial deposition). The analysis indicates a transition from the soft (local plasma relaxation) to the hard MHD (global plasma relaxation) limit if the simulation EP $β$ $\unicode{x2A7E}$ $0.02$, leading to bursting MHD activity caused by radial AEs overlapping. MHD bursts cause an enhancement of the EP transport showing ballistic-like features as avalanche-like events. Simulations in the soft MHD limit show an increment of the EP density gradient as the EP $β$ increases. On the other hand, there is a gradient upper limit in the hard MHD limit, consistent with the critical-gradient behavior. AEs induce shear flows and zonal current leading to the deformation of the flux surfaces and the safety factor profile, respectively, particularly strong for the simulation in the hard MHD limit. Simulations in the hard MHD regime show a decrease of the AE frequency in the saturation phase; this is caused by the destabilization of a transitional mode between a $9/3-10/3$ TAE and a $9/3$ RSAE that may explain the AE frequency down-sweeping observed in some DIII-D discharges. Reducing the EP energy in the nonlinear simulations leads to a weakening of the plasma perturbation. On the other hand, increasing the EP energy causes the opposite effect. Nonlinear simulations of off-axis NBI profiles indicate a lower plasma perturbation as the EP density gradient is located further away from the magnetic axis.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Simulation of the TAEs’ saturation phase in the Large Helical Device: MHD burst

Here, the aim of the present study is to analyze the saturation regime of the toroidal Alfven eigenmodes (TAE) in the Large Helical Device plasma, particularly the MHD burst. The linear and nonlinear evolution of the TAEs are simulated by the FAR3d code that uses a reduced MHD model for the thermal plasma coupled with a gyrofluid model for the energetic particle (EP) species. The linear simulations indicate the overlapping of 1/2–1/1, 2/3–2/4 and 3/5–3/6 TAEs in the inner-middle plasma region and frequency range of 45–75 kHz, triggered by EPs with an energy of T f = 45 keV and EP β = 0.022. The nonlinear simulations show that 2/3–2/4 and 3/4–3/5 TAEs are further destabilized due to the energy transfer from the 1/1–1/2 TAE, leading to broad TAE radial overlapping and triggering of the MHD burst. The energy of the 1/1–1/2 TAE is also nonlinearly transferred to the thermal plasma destabilizing the 0/0 and 0/1 modes, inducing the generation of shear flows and zonal currents, as well as large deformations in the thermal pressure and EP density radial profiles. The nonlinear simulation reproduces the same succession of instabilities and the same frequency range with respect to the experiment. The instability propagates outward during the bursting phase, showing a large decrease of the EP density profile between the middle-outer plasma, indicating the loss of part of the EP population that explains the decrease in the plasma heating efficiency observed during the MHD burst.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

How does negative triangularity mitigate ITG turbulence and transport?

Improved confinement in negative triangularity (NT) experiments is attributed to reduced fluxes driven by micro-turbulence. The physical mechanism of why thermal confinement improves in NT relative to PT is unknown. This study employs gyrokinetic flux tube simulations using the GENE code with local Miller equilibrium to elucidate the physical mechanisms behind the beneficial effects of NT flux surface shapes. The focus is on collisionless ion temperature gradient (ITG) driven turbulence with adiabatic electrons. The kinetic profiles are held fixed across a scan of triangularity values, thus enabling comparisons on a level playing field. The reduced linear growth rates for NT is shown to be due to a reduced eigenmode averaged magnetic drift frequency and a wider, stronger negative local magnetic shear region about the outboard mid-plane. The nonlinear heat flux is lower for NT than that for PT, due to reduced radial correlation length and increased correlation time (τ c ) of fluctuations. These, in turn, are due to a comparatively higher level of self-generated zero-frequency E × B zonal shearing rate ω E in NT as compared to PT. Though the linear zonal potential residual is lower for NT, the nonlinearly generated E × B zonal shearing rate is higher for NT than for PT. This outcome is linked to the distinctive features of the radial wavenumber spectra of the zonal potential and the zonal shearing rate. The dimensionless parameter ω E τ c is suggested as a figure of merit. This is higher for NT than for PT. Thus, the reduced heat diffusivity for NT is linked to increased ω E τ c . Self-generated temperature corrugations (i.e. zonal temperature gradients) are much weaker than the background mean temperature gradient. Nevertheless, temperature corrugations are more pronounced in NT than in PT.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Uniform momentum and temperature zones in unstably stratified turbulent flows

Wall-bounded turbulent flows exhibit a zonal arrangement, in which streamwise velocity organizes into uniform momentum zones (UMZs), separated by thin layers of elevated interfacial shear. While significant research efforts have focused on these structural features in neutrally stratified flows, the effects of unstable thermal stratification on UMZs and on analogous uniform temperature zones (UTZs) have not been considered previously. In this article, statistical properties of UMZs and UTZs are investigated using a suite of large eddy simulations of unstably stratified turbulent channel flow spanning weakly to highly convective conditions. When normalized by the friction velocity and stability-dependent mixing length, the mean velocity gradient based on UMZ interfacial velocity jumps and the vorticity thickness exhibits good collapse for all stabilities, establishing a link between UMZ properties and scaling predictions from Monin–Obukhov similarity theory. A similar relationship is found between UTZ properties and surface-layer scaling of the mean temperature gradient. In the mixed layer, mean UMZ depth is quasi-constant with wall-normal distance, while the deepest UTZs are found in the centre of the boundary layer. These instantaneous structures are found to be linked to the well-mixed velocity and temperature profiles in the convective mixed layer. Conditional averaging indicates that both UMZ and UTZ interfaces are associated with ejections of momentum and warm updrafts below the interface and sweeps of momentum and cool downdrafts above the interface. These results demonstrate a tangible connection between instantaneous structural features, mean properties and scaling laws in unstably stratified flows.

Mechanics↗

Tail Dependence as a Measure of Teleconnected Warm and Cold Extremes of North American Wintertime Temperatures

Current models for spatial extremes are concerned with the joint upper (or lower) tail of the distribution at two or more locations. Such models cannot account for teleconnection patterns of 2-m surface air temperature ( T 2m ) in North America, where very low temperatures in the contiguous United States may coincide with very high temperatures in Alaska in the wintertime. This dependence between warm and cold extremes motivates the need for a model with opposite-tail dependence in spatial extremes. This work develops a statistical modeling framework that has flexible behavior in all four pairings of high and low extremes at pairs of locations. In particular, we use a mixture of rotations of common Archimedean copulas to capture various combinations of four-corner tail dependence. We study teleconnected T 2m extremes using ERA5 of daily average 2-m temperature during the boreal winter. Further, the estimated mixture model quantifies the strength of opposite-tail dependence between warm temperatures in Alaska and cold temperatures in the midlatitudes of North America, as well as the reverse pattern. These dependence patterns are shown to correspond to blocked and zonal patterns of midtropospheric flow. This analysis extends the classical notion of correlation-based teleconnections to considering dependence in higher quantiles.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Westward-Propagating Moisture Mode Over the Tropical Western Hemisphere

A westward-propagating Rossby-like wave signal is found to explain a large fraction of the intraseasonal variance in cloud brightness over the Western Hemisphere. A series of diagnostic criteria suggest that this wave is a moisture mode: its moisture anomalies dominate the distribution of moist static energy (MSE) and are in phase with the precipitation anomalies; and the thermodynamic equation obeys the weak temperature gradient approximation. Further, the wave propagates westward due to zonal moisture advection by the mean flow and is maintained by radiative heating and meridional moisture advection. These properties compare favorably with the westward propagating Rossby mode in an equatorial beta-plane model with prognostic moisture, mean meridional moisture gradient, and mean zonal wind. These results underscore the importance of water vapor in the dynamics of slowly evolving tropical systems, and the limitations of dry shallow water theory that rely on a “reduced equivalent depth” to represent moist dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Analysis of the linear and nonlinear stability of Alfven eigenmodes and fish-bones in JET DT discharges: mode identification and shear flows generation

The plasma in future nuclear fusion reactors will be heated by neutral beam injectors (NBIs) and high frequency electromagnetic waves as well as fusion born alpha particles. Energetic particles (EPs), with energies up to two orders of magnitude larger than the thermal plasma, can trigger EP driven modes and induce harmful EP losses, reducing the plasma heating efficiency and the economical viability of the reactor. The present study is dedicated to analyze the Alfven Eigenmode (AE) activity in JET D–T discharges, the closest experiment to reactor-like operation performed until now. There, EP driven modes are induced by the combined effect of tangential NBIs and ion cyclotron resonance heating (ICRH) driven EP. Linear and nonlinear simulations are performed with the gyro-fluid FAR3d code to analyze the AE activity observed in the discharge 99896. The linear simulations reproduce the unstable n = 3 to 5 toroidal AEs (TAE) at the inner plasma region observed in the experiment, triggered by highly energetic passing deuterium populations injected by the tangential NBIs, further accelerated by the effect of the ICRH up to 1 MeV. In addition, fish-bones triggered by energetic trapped hydrogen induced by the ICRH are also reproduced. On the other hand, the alpha particles density is too small to destabilize AEs in the experiment. Nonetheless, increasing artificially the alpha density by one order of magnitude, an n = 1 beta induced AE can be destabilized in the inner plasma region. Nonlinear simulations indicate the generation of zonal structures during the AE/fish-bone saturation phase. TAE and fish-bones causes a rather weak increase of the passing D and trapped H EP (around 2%), respectively. Shear flows and zonal currents are generated during the saturation of TAE and fish-bones. Nonlinear simulations performed for D–T and pure deuterium thermal plasma indicate AE/fish-bone activity is weaker and shear flows are less intense in the pure deuterium case, trends consistent with the experimental observations that also indicates a deterioration of the thermal plasma confinement. Therefore, both numerical studies and experimental evidence indicate the generation of shear flows by AE/fish-bones could be connected with an improvement of the thermal plasma confinement.

AE↗

Gap Flows Along the Columbia River Observed During the WFIP2 Field Campaign

Data collected in the Columbia River Gorge and Basin Area during the second Wind Forecasting Improvement Project (WFIP2) was used to study gap flow events in the region. In particular, the relationship between 200 m zonal wind speed and the zonal mesoscale pressure gradient at Troutdale (West of the gorge), Wasco (east of the gorge), and Boardman (farther east of the gorge) sites was examined. An objective criterion was used to identify 169 (Troutdale), 161 (Wasco), and 113 (Boardman) gap flow days that had weak synoptic forcing. The 200 m zonal wind speed exhibited a linear relationship with the zonal pressure gradient at Wasco during both easterly and westerly gap flow days at daily timescales. Such a relationship was only observed during easterly gap flow days at Troutdale and was not observed at Boardman. The zonal wind speed exhibited a diurnal cycle at Wasco and Boardman, with greater changes in the nighttime winds than the daytime winds due to changes in pressure gradient. The root mean square differences (RMSDs) between the observed pressure gradient at Wasco and that simulated by the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model in 3 km (HRRR-3km) and 750 m (HRRR-750m) horizontal resolution were 3.14 hPa and 0.57 hPa, respectively. However, the RMSDs for the 200 m zonal wind speed were 1.40 m s -1 for HRRR-3km and 1.20 m s -1 for HRRR- 750m. Improvement in simulating the zonal pressure gradient accompanied by negligible changes in simulating zonal wind speed due to higher horizontal resolution points to a complex interplay between different components of the model physics when simulating the meteorology. The HRRR-750m resolution model accurately mimicked the observed covariability (phase diagram) between the zonal pressure gradient and the 200 m zonal wind speed during the nighttime, but not during the daytime, suggesting model errors might be related to the representation of boundary layer processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A General Method for Estimating Zonal Transmission Interface Limits from Nodal Network Data: Preprint

Capacity expansion models for the electric power system often employ zonal (rather than nodal) resolution, necessitating estimates of aggregate power transfer limits across the interfaces between model zones. Interface limits between planning areas are sometimes published, but they are not generalizable to arbitrary zone shapes. There is thus a need for a reproducible method for estimating interface transfer limits (ITLs) between user-defined zones directly from nodal transmission system data. Here, we present a simple method for estimating ITLs using a DC power flow approximation via the power transfer distribution factor (PTDF) matrix. Linear optimization is performed to identify the distribution of power flows that maximizes the total flow on interface-crossing lines, subject to individual line ratings, limits on bus injection/withdrawal, and the relationships among flows, injections, and withdrawals imposed by the PTDF matrix. We demonstrate the application of the method on a 134-zone ~65000-bus system, and we explore the influence of flow direction, contingency level, and zone size on the estimated ITLs. There is significant heterogeneity in the ratio of the ITL to the sum of interface-crossing line ratings, which highlights the importance of accounting for the physical constraints on power flows imposed by Kirchhoff's laws when estimating zonal ITLs.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Transmission Capacity Allocation in Zonal Electricity Markets

In this work, we propose a novel framework for modeling zonal electricity markets, based on projecting the constraints of the nodal network onto the space of the zonal aggregation of the network. The framework avoids circular definitions and discretionary parameters, which are recurrent in the implementation and study of zonal markets. Using this framework, we model and analyze two zonal market designs currently present in Europe: flow-based market coupling (FBMC) and available-transfer-capacity market coupling (ATCMC). We develop cutting-plane algorithms for simulating FBMC and ATCMC while accounting for the robustness of imports/exports to single element failures, and we conduct numerical simulations of FBMC and ATCMC on a realistic instance of the Central Western European system under the equivalent of 100 years of operating conditions. We find that FBMC and ATCMC are unable to anticipate the congestion of branches interconnecting zones and branches within zones and that both zonal designs achieve similar overall cost efficiencies (0.01% difference), whereas a nodal market design largely outperforms both of them (5.09% better than FBMC). These findings raise the question of whether it is worth it for more European countries to switch from ATCMC to FBMC, instead of advancing directly toward a nodal market design.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Hybrid RANS-LES of the Atmospheric Boundary Layer for Wind Farm Simulations: Preprint

Wind farm simulations often do not accurately represent wake-atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) interactions, blade boundary layer (BL) dynamics, and turbine-turbine interactions. In this work, we use Active Model Split (AMS), a new hybrid Reynolds-Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS)-large eddy simulation (LES) model, which is well suited to capture these effects because the model can (i) accurately simulate the ABL with the Coriolis effect, (ii) is accurate in adverse pressure gradients such as those near wind turbine blades, and (iii) has sufficiently low computational cost to simulate multiple turbines while resolving the blade BL. For simplicity and consistency we develop AMS to be used throughout the domain rather than in a zonal method. We implement our work in the massively parallel flow solver, Nalu-Wind, so that our model can access the compute resources needed for blade-resolved simulations of multiple wind turbines. To accomplish these aims, we modify the baseline AMS by changing the RANS contribution to SST k - omega with a length scale limiter, adding the Coriolis effect, and developing an appropriate wall treatment. We show that AMS of the ABL with the Coriolis effect matches LES reference results better than those obtained with RANS. We describe our plans to add buoyancy effects and wind turbines to our AMS simulations.

atmospheric boundary layer↗

Utah FORGE 10-3726: Geothermal Multiset Straddle for High Temperature Applications - 2024 Annual Workshop Presentation

This is a presentation on the Geothermal Multiset Straddle (GMS) for High Temperature Applications by Welltec, presented by Ricardo Vasques. This video slide presentation discusses the development of (1) an annular multiset isolation system; (2) a stimulation straddle isolation system; and (3) a multi open-close flow system, for geothermal environments. This is to enable effective zonal isolation and stimulation with multiset capabilities, to implement downhole controlled EGS in any location, and to extend the productive life of the well. This presentation was featured in the Utah FORGE R&D Annual Workshop on August 15, 2024.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗