Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “vapor”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 109 records · Page 6
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Engineering Assembly Kinetics and Line Roughness in Solvent Vapor-Annealed Block Copolymer/Homopolymer Blends

Block copolymer (BCP) directed self-assembly (DSA) is a promising route to enhance lithography resolution by multiplying nanopattern density and reducing feature roughness. Eliminating kinetically trapped self-assembly defects requires fast self-assembly. However, acceleration strategies like solvent vapor annealing or homopolymer blending broaden domain interfaces, implying a trade-off in increased feature roughness. In this work, we experimentally investigate this apparent dilemma between self-assembly kinetics and line roughness for solvent vapor-annealed thin films of a lamellar poly(styrene-block-2-vinylpyridine) (PS-b-P2VP) BCP blended with PS and P2VP homopolymers. Binary blends with PS or P2VP homopolymers and ternary blends incorporating both in equal weight fractions were solvent vapor annealed using acetone, a near-neutral solvent for PS and P2VP, followed by P2VP-selective vapor-phase infiltration with alumina (AlOx) and polymer etching. Binary blends with P2VP exhibit a modest kinetic enhancement but also higher line-edge and -width roughness due to the increased frequency of P2VP protrusions and bridge defects in the alumina line patterns. In contrast, binary blends with PS self-assemble noticeably faster, while domain asymmetry from the added PS homopolymer reduces roughness by curbing the number of alumina protrusions and bridge defects. Ternary blends maintain DSA line patterns across a wider composition window and, at higher homopolymer loadings, reduce roughness at length scales near the lamellar period, consistent with a reduced impact of intradomain compositional fluctuations. These findings provide important insights for codesigning blend compositions and process flows to achieve high-resolution, defect free patterns with minimal roughness through BCP DSA.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Demonstrating the Critical Role of Solvation in Supported Ti and Nb Epoxidation Catalysts via Vapor-Phase Kinetics

Catalytic oxidation of hydrocarbons with hydrogen peroxide (H 2 O 2 ) has been of the utmost importance for several decades. The vast majority of studies have been performed in the condensed phase, even though condensed phases introduce complex solvent effects and can promote the leaching of active sites. In response, we have built a custom reactor system to understand H 2 O 2 activation and selective oxidation in the vapor-phase. In this report, we study the epoxidation of cyclohexene with H 2 O 2 over four Lewis-acidic metal oxide catalysts: Ti and Nb grafted on SiO 2 and on the Zr based metal–organic framework, NU-1000. The M–SiO2 materials are highly selective to the formation of epoxides and diols, as they can be in the condensed phase, while the NU-1000 based materials are far more prone to overoxidation to CO 2 , which appears to be connected to their strong reactant adsorption. Apparent activation energies are calculated for all materials when operating in the same kinetic regime, and the heats of cyclohexene adsorption into their pores are then used to directly compare intrinsic enthalpies of activation in the vapor vs condensed phase for the M–SiO 2 catalysts. Nb–SiO 2 catalysts exhibit similar intrinsic enthalpies of activation in the vapor and condensed phases, whereas the condensed phase transition state in Ti–SiO 2 is 24 kJ/mol lower in energy than that of the same material in the vapor phase. These experiments establish another methodology for understanding the various roles of solvent in selective oxidation reactions and studying these reactions under conditions that differ significantly from the thousands of prior studies in the condensed phase.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Sensitivity of Atmospheric River Vapor Transport and Precipitation to Uniform Sea Surface Temperature Increases

Abstract Filaments of intense vapor transport called atmospheric rivers (ARs) are responsible for the majority of poleward vapor transport in the midlatitudes. Despite their importance to the hydrologic cycle, there remain many unanswered questions about changes to ARs in a warming climate. In this study we perform a series of escalating uniform SST increases (+2, +4, and +6K, respectively) in the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 in an aquaplanet configuration to evaluate the thermodynamic and dynamical response of AR vapor content, transport, and precipitation to warming SSTs. We find that AR column integrated water vapor (IWV) is especially sensitive to SST and increases by 6.3–9.7% per degree warming despite decreasing relative humidity through much of the column. Further analysis provides a more nuanced view of AR IWV changes: Since SST warming is modest compared to that in the midtroposphere, computing fractional changes in IWV with respect to SST results in finding spuriously large increases. Meanwhile, results here show that AR IWV transport increases relatively uniformly with temperature and at consistently lower rates than IWV, as modulated by systematically decreasing low‐level wind speeds. Similarly, changes in AR precipitation are related to a compensatory relationship between enhanced near‐surface moisture and damped vertical motions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Structural and electronic switching of a single crystal 2D metal-organic framework prepared by chemical vapor deposition

The incorporation of metal-organic frameworks into advanced devices remains a desirable goal, but progress is hindered by difficulties in preparing large crystalline metal-organic framework films with suitable electronic performance. We demonstrate the direct growth of large-area, high quality, and phase pure single metal-organic framework crystals through chemical vapor deposition of a dimolybdenum paddlewheel precursor, Mo 2 (INA) 4 . These exceptionally uniform, high quality crystals cover areas up to 8600 µm 2 and can be grown down to thicknesses of 30 nm. Moreover, scanning tunneling microscopy indicates that the Mo 2 (INA) 4 clusters assemble into a two-dimensional, single-layer framework. Devices are readily fabricated from single vapor-phase grown crystals and exhibit reversible 8-fold changes in conductivity upon illumination at modest powers. Moreover, we identify vapor-induced single crystal transitions that are reversible and responsible for 30-fold changes in conductivity of the metal-organic framework as monitored by in situ device measurements. Gas-phase methods, including chemical vapor deposition, show broader promise for the preparation of high-quality molecular frameworks, and may enable their integration into devices, including detectors and actuators.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Differences in water and vapor transport through angstrom-scale pores in atomically thin membranes

Abstract The transport of water through nanoscale capillaries/pores plays a prominent role in biology, ionic/molecular separations, water treatment and protective applications. However, the mechanisms of water and vapor transport through nanoscale confinements remain to be fully understood. Angstrom-scale pores (~2.8–6.6 Å) introduced into the atomically thin graphene lattice represent ideal model systems to probe water transport at the molecular-length scale with short pores (aspect ratio ~1–1.9) i.e., pore diameters approach the pore length (~3.4 Å) at the theoretical limit of material thickness. Here, we report on orders of magnitude differences (~80×) between transport of water vapor (~44.2–52.4 g m −2 day −1 Pa −1 ) and liquid water (0.6–2 g m −2 day −1 Pa −1 ) through nanopores (~2.8–6.6 Å in diameter) in monolayer graphene and rationalize this difference via a flow resistance model in which liquid water permeation occurs near the continuum regime whereas water vapor transport occurs in the free molecular flow regime. We demonstrate centimeter-scale atomically thin graphene membranes with up to an order of magnitude higher water vapor transport rate (~5.4–6.1 × 10 4 g m −2 day −1 ) than most commercially available ultra-breathable protective materials while effectively blocking even sub-nanometer (>0.66 nm) model ions/molecules.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Real-time observation of dynamic structure of liquid-vapor interface at nanometer resolution in electron irradiated sodium chloride crystals

The dynamics and structure of the liquid and vapor interface has remained elusive for decades due to the lack of an effective tool for directly visualization beyond micrometer resolution. Here, we designed a simple liquid-cell for encapsulating the liquid state of sodium for transmission electron microscopic (TEM) observation. The real-time dynamic structure of the liquid-vapor interface was imaged and videoed by TEM on the sample of electron irradiated sodium chloride (NaCl) crystals, a well-studied sample with low melting temperature and quantum super-shells of clusters. The nanometer resolution images exhibit the fine structures of the capillary waves, composed of first-time observed three zones of structures and features, i.e. flexible nanoscale fibers, nanoparticles/clusters, and a low-pressure area that sucks the nanoparticles from the liquid to the interface. Although the phenomenons were observed based on irradiated NaCl crystals, the similarities of the phenomenons to predictions suggest our real-time ovserved dynamic structure might be useful in validating long-debated theoretical models of the liquid-vapor interface, and enhancing our knowledge in understanding the non-equilibrium thermodynamics of the liquid-vapor interface to benefit future engineering designs in microfluidics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Pitfalls in parameters: practical process development in chemical vapor processing of SiC

Vapor processing of high-value materials, such as silicon carbide (SiC), is of interest for many industries, including aerospace and energy production. Chemical vapor infiltration (CVI) of additively manufactured components is an especially attractive manufacturing process currently in development. Here, a novel development workflow is demonstrated with the H 2 –CH 3 SiCl 3 gas system for SiC to accelerate the process optimization of CVI SiC. A combination of calculated thermodynamics and high-throughput experimental chemical vapor deposition (CVD) coatings substantially reduced the experiments required with slow CVI processes. The computational results accurately predicted changes in the thermodynamic conditions tested, while CVD coatings – characterized by Raman spectroscopy – addressed changes in kinetic parameters. This workflow is also applicable to other vapor-processing systems, such as pyrolytic carbon, ZrC, or Si 3 N 4 .

Lamm, Benjamin W. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (↗
DOE OSTI2020

Molecular simulation of liquid–vapor coexistence for NaCl: Full-charge vs scaled-charge interaction models

Scaled-charge models have been recently introduced for molecular simulations of electrolyte solutions and molten salts to attempt to implicitly represent polarizability. Although these models have been found to accurately predict electrolyte solution dynamic properties, they have not been tested for coexistence properties, such as the vapor pressure of the melt. In this work, we evaluate the vapor pressure of a scaled-charge sodium chloride (NaCl) force field and compare the results against experiments and a non-polarizable full-charge force field. The scaled-charge force field predicts a higher vapor pressure than found in experiments, due to its overprediction of the liquid-phase chemical potential. Reanalyzing the trajectories generated from the scaled-charge model with full charges improves the estimation of the liquid-phase chemical potential but not the vapor pressure.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Transferability of data-driven, many-body models for CO 2 simulations in the vapor and liquid phases

Here, extending on the previous work by Riera et al. [J. Chem. Theory Comput. 16, 2246–2257 (2020)], we introduce a second generation family of data-driven many-body MB-nrg models for CO 2 and systematically assess how the strength and anisotropy of the CO 2 –CO 2 interactions affect the models’ ability to predict vapor, liquid, and vapor–liquid equilibrium properties. Building upon the many-body expansion formalism, we construct a series of MB-nrg models by fitting one-body and two-body reference energies calculated at the coupled cluster level of theory for large monomer and dimer training sets. Advancing from the first generation models, we employ the charge model 5 scheme to determine the atomic charges and systematically scale the two-body energies to obtain more accurate descriptions of vapor, liquid, and vapor–liquid equilibrium properties. Challenges in model construction arise due to the anisotropic nature and small magnitude of the interaction energies in CO 2 , calling for the necessity of highly accurate descriptions of the multidimensional energy landscape of liquid CO 2 . These findings emphasize the key role played by the training set quality in the development of transferable, data-driven models, which, accurately representing high-dimensional many-body effects, can enable predictive computer simulations of molecular fluids across the entire phase diagram.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

High-precision vapor pressure measurement apparatus with facile and inexpensive construction

This study describes an apparatus for high-precision variable temperature measurement of liquid vapor pressure. The apparatus can be used to measure the vapor pressure using only 0.5 ml of the liquid sample. To evaluate the accuracy of the device measurement, water and 2-propanol are utilized as standard liquids, and their vapor pressure is measured with a maximum uncertainty of ~1%. This apparatus can be replicated using inexpensive and commonly used laboratory fittings and fixtures, making it an indispensable tool for synthetic chemists and chemical engineers involved in the iterative synthesis of compounds, targeting different vapor–liquid equilibrium regimes.

Engineering↗
DOE OSTI2021

Effect of water vapor and thermal history on nuclear waste feed conversion to glass

Water affects the glass melting process by interacting with the foam layer at the glass melt surface and by influencing the batch conversion reactions. Water vapor from the nuclear waste slurry feed maintains a high water vapor pressure in the melter atmosphere. To investigate to what extent water vapor affects the vitrification of nuclear waste in joule-heated, cold-top melters, a series of feed expansion experiments were performed under humid and dry atmospheres using samples of low-activity waste (LAW) melter feed simulants. Melting of feed pellets in the presence of water vapor slightly decreased the temperature of primary foam onset, but did not significantly affect the feed volume expansion by foaming or the foam-collapse temperature. Sets of feed expansion experiments and evolved gas analyses were also performed to check the effect of thermal history on LAW feed samples tested as direct slurry, loose powder, and slow- and fast-dried pellets.

Marcial, Jose↗
DOE OSTI2026

Alkali Vapor Corrosion of Spinel (MgAl 2 O 4 ) and Gahnite (ZnAl 2 O 4 ) Refractories—A Comparative Study

Alkali vapor corrosion is critical for refractories used in the kilns and furnaces of diverse high-temperature processing and manufacturing sectors such as gasifiers, cement production, and glass making. Gahnite (ZnAl 2 O 4 ) is being investigated as a potential chrome-free refractory because of its similarity with the structure and properties of magnesium aluminate (MgAl 2 O 4 ) spinel. The alkali vapor corrosion of ZnAl 2 O 4 , MgAl 2 O 4 , and Mg 0.5 Zn 0.5 Al 2 O 4 was studied, according to ASTM C987-10, at 1371°C for 24 h using sodium carbonate (Na 2 CO 3 ). The surface and the polished cross-sections of the corroded ZnAl 2 O 4 , MgAl 2 O 4 , and Mg 0.5 Zn 0.5 Al 2 O 4 specimens were analyzed using x-ray diffraction (XRD), microscopy, and energy-dispersive spectroscopy (EDS) techniques. MgO in MgAl 2 O 4 , ZnO in ZnAl 2 O 4 , Mg 0.77 Zn 0.23 O, and NaAlO 2 were detected as the corrosion products for these specimens. The extent of corrosion substantially varied among the specimens despite the similarity in the corrosion products. The corrosion resistance increased in the following order: Mg 0.5 Zn 0.5 Al 2 O 4 > MgAl 2 O 4 > ZnAl 2 O 4 . The formation of a dense MgO and Mg 0.77 Zn 0.23 O layer for MgAl 2 O 4 and Mg 0.5 Zn 0.5 Al 2 O 4 , respectively, contributed to their superior resistance to alkali vapor corrosion. The underlying corrosion mechanisms are discussed based on experimental observations supported by thermodynamic analysis. Additionally, the results suggest that a partial Zn 2+ substitution for Mg 2+ in MgAl 2 O 4 can enhance the resistance to alkali vapor corrosion.

alkali corrosion↗
DOE OSTI2020

The lightness of water vapor helps to stabilize tropical climate

Moist air is lighter than dry air at the same temperature, pressure, and volume because the molecular weight of water is less than that of dry air. We call this the vapor buoyancy effect. Although this effect is well documented, its impact on Earth’s climate has been overlooked. Here, we show that the lightness of water vapor helps to stabilize tropical climate by increasing the outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). In the tropical atmosphere, buoyancy is horizontally uniform. Then, the vapor buoyancy in the moist regions must be balanced by warmer temperatures in the dry regions of the tropical atmosphere. These higher temperatures increase tropical OLR. This radiative effect increases with warming, leading to a negative climate feedback. At a near present-day surface temperature, vapor buoyancy is responsible for a radiative effect of 1 W/m 2 and a negative climate feedback of about 0.15 W/m 2 per kelvin.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Dependence of Mean Climate State on Shortwave Absorption by Water Vapor

Abstract State-of-the-art climate models exhibit significant spread in the climatological value of atmospheric shortwave absorption (SWA). This study investigates both the possible causes and climatic impacts of this SWA intermodel spread. The intermodel spread of global-mean SWA largely originates from the intermodel difference in water vapor shortwave absorptivity. Hence, we alter the water vapor shortwave absorptivity in the Community Earth System Model, version 1, with the Community Atmosphere Model, version 4 (CESM1-CAM4). Increasing the water vapor shortwave absorptivity leads to a reduction in global-mean precipitation and a La Niña–like cooling over the tropical Pacific. The global-mean atmospheric energy budget suggests that the precipitation is suppressed as a way to compensate for the increased SWA. The precipitation reduction is driven by the weakened surface winds, stabilized planetary boundary layer, and surface cooling. The La Niña–like cooling over the tropical Pacific is attributed to the zonal asymmetry of climatological evaporative damping efficiency and the low cloud enhancement over the eastern basin. Complementary fixed SSTs simulations suggest that the latter is more fundamental and that it primarily arises from atmospheric processes. Consistent with our experiments, the CMIP5/6 models with a higher global-mean SWA tend to produce tropical Pacific toward a more La Niña–like mean state, highlighting the possible role of water vapor shortwave absorptivity for shaping the mean-state climate patterns.

Kim, Hanjun↗
DOE OSTI2024

Influence of Local Water Vapor Analysis Uncertainty on Ensemble Forecasts of Tropical Cyclogenesis Using Hurricane Irma (2017) as a Testbed

Abstract Tropical cyclone formation is known to require abundant water vapor in the lower to middle troposphere within the incipient disturbance. In this study, we assess the impacts of local water vapor analysis uncertainty on the predictability of the formation of Hurricane Irma (2017). To this end, we reduce the magnitude of the incipient disturbance’s water vapor perturbations obtained from an ensemble-based data assimilation system that constrained moisture by assimilating all-sky infrared and microwave radiances. Five-day ensemble forecasts are initialized two days before genesis using each set of modified analysis perturbations. Growth of convective differences and intensity uncertainty are evaluated for each ensemble forecast. We observe that when initializing an ensemble forecast with only moisture uncertainty within the incipient disturbance, the resulting intensity uncertainty at every lead time exceeds half that of an ensemble containing initial perturbations to all variables throughout the domain. Although ensembles with different initial moisture uncertainty amplitudes reveal a similar pathway to genesis, uncertainty in genesis timing varies substantially across ensembles since moister members exhibit earlier spinup of the low-level vortex. These differences in genesis timing are traced back to the first 6–12 h of integration, when differences in the position and intensity of mesoscale convective systems across ensemble members develop more quickly with greater initial moisture uncertainty. In addition, the rapid growth of intensity uncertainty may be greatly modulated by the diurnal cycle. Ultimately, this study underscores the importance of targeting the incipient disturbance with high spatiotemporal water vapor observations for ingestion into data assimilation systems. Significance Statement Hurricanes form from clusters of thunderstorms that organize into a coherent system. One of the key ingredients for the formation process is an abundance of moisture. In this study, we test the sensitivity of hurricane formation to the initial moisture content in the vicinity of the cluster of thunderstorms that would become Hurricane Irma (2017). To do so, we initialize sets of forecasts each having a different variability of initial moisture content within the embryonic disturbance. Our results show that the predictability of hurricane formation is highly dependent on the uncertainty of the moisture content within the initial disturbance. Consequently, more high-quality observations of the moisture within the precursor disturbances to hurricanes are expected to improve forecasts of their formation.

Hartman, Christopher M.↗
DOE OSTI2025

The Development of Catalysts for Upgrading of Pyrolysis Vapor for Refinery Feedstocks and Intermediates (CRADA Final Report)

Catalytic fast pyrolysis (CFP) is a versatile technology platform to convert biomass into fungible hydrocarbon transportation fuels and chemical co-products. Key technical barriers to reaching this goal include increasing the product yields and achieving the desired fuel properties for gasoline, diesel, and jet range fuels or blendstocks that would be suitable for introduction into existing refinery unit operations. Overcoming these barriers will require durable catalysts that are effective at upgrading and stabilizing biomass pyrolysis vapors. Towards these goals, this CRADA leveraged NREL experience as a leader in biomass pyrolysis research and Johnson Matthey's (JM) experience as a leader in the production of advanced catalytic materials. The scope spanned CFP catalyst development, characterization, multi-scale reaction testing, and computational modeling. CRADA benefits to DOE, Participant, and U.S. Taxpayer: Assists laboratory in achieving programmatic scope, Uses the laboratory’s core competencies. The purpose of this CRADA was to develop and deploy catalysts for biomass CFP to help achieve cost-competitive biofuels and bio-based products. This was accomplished through a close collaboration between biomass conversion researchers at NREL and catalyst development researchers at JM. Summary of Research Results: Focus Area 1. Foundational research on catalytic conversion and deactivation: Key interactions between pyrolysis vapors and heterogeneous catalysts were probed through catalyst characterization, model compound reaction testing, and atomistic-scale computational modeling. Catalyst development focused on multifunctional materials, which include zeolites, oxides, carbides, and nitrides. Computational modeling identified reaction mechanisms and elucidated surface chemistry to test hypotheses regarding mechanisms of deoxygenation, coupling, cracking, dehydration, coke formation, hydrogen transfer, and aromatic ring reactions. This information was used to design multifunctional catalysts to increase product yields, control product selectivity, and reduce deactivation during CFP and downstream processing steps. The results served to increase fundamental understanding of key catalyst attributes and durability features for the upgrading of biomass pyrolysis vapors. Model compound experiments confirmed the importance of metal-acid bifunctionality for the deoxygenation of lignin-derived phenolic species under hydrodeoxygenation conditions. This insight led to the development of catalysts such as Pt/TiO2 and Mo2C, which were confirmed as high-performing materials during subsequent bench-scale experiments using biomass-derived pyrolysis vapors. This focus area also led to the identification of important catalyst deactivation mechanisms associated with the deposition of inorganic contaminants such as potassium. The molecular-level insight from model compound experiments and computational modeling, shown in Figure 1, informed the development of regeneration procedures that have been shown to be effective for restoration of > 90% of initial catalyst activity. This understanding has subsequently been translated to other catalyst systems, including zeolite materials that can be operated without requirements for co-fed hydrogen.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Planetesimal Impact Vapor Plumes and Nebular Shocks Form Chondritic Mixtures

The origin of chondrules and the chondritic sedimentary rocks that dominate the meteoritic record is a long-standing problem in planetary science. Here, we develop a physical model for the formation of chondritic mixtures as an outcome of vaporizing collisions between planetesimals that were dynamically excited by the growth and migration of planets. We present calculations of nebular shock waves generated by impact vapor plumes and focus on aspects of the plume interaction with the nebular gas and dust that have been neglected in previous studies of impact ejecta. We find that when water dominates the vapor, the plumes are relatively cool. However, the plume expansion is supersonic and can drive strong shock waves in the dusty nebular gas. Portions of these nebular shock fronts initially melt nebular dust, forming chondrules that are coupled to the moving front. As the shock front expands and cools, the chondrules solidify, while the shock front entrains additional dust. Eventually, the plume expansion stalls and then hydrodynamically collapses, turbulently mixing variably processed dust and size-sorted chondrules. For probable impact parameters and nebular conditions during giant planet growth and migration, the impact-generated mixtures have characteristics that span the range observed in chondritic meteorites, providing an environment for rapid formation of chondritic assemblages after chondrule formation. Our impact vapor and nebular shocks model, named the IVANS model, links chondrule formation to the overall context of planet formation and provides a framework for interpreting the detailed chronological and geochemical record contained in chondritic meteorites.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Multi-model analysis of the impact of water vapor on the radiative forcing of volcanic aerosols after the 2022 Hunga Eruption

On 15 January 2022, the Hunga volcano eruption released unprecedented amounts of water vapor into the atmosphere alongside a modest amount of SO 2 . In this work we analyse results from multiple Earth system models as part of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Volcano Impact Model Observation Comparison Project. Our results show a good model agreement over the climatic outcomes of the eruption, overall indicating a significant negative radiative forcing from the Hunga eruption. The multi-model mean of global instantaneous radiative forcing averaged over 2022–2023 is estimated at −0.19 ± 0.06 W m −2 at the top-of-atmosphere (TOA), and −0.16 ± 0.06 W m −2 at the surface. Simulations with free-running meteorology and climatological sea surface temperatures and sea ice yield a global mean TOA forcing of −0.14 ± 0.10 W m −2 across two models for the first 2 years, decreasing to −0.09 ± 0.10 W m −2 on average between 2022 and 2027. However, these global values may be underestimated by about 50 %, considering that recent SO 2 injection retrievals suggest nearly twice the amount than the 0.5 Tg-SO 2 used in the protocol. We also find that the contribution from added stratospheric water vapor is minimal and that the injected SO 2 and the resulting formation of stratospheric sulfate dominate the radiative forcing. However, water vapor played a key role in the initial aerosol growth, leading to a stronger negative radiative forcing during the first 6 months after the eruption compared to simulations without water vapor co-injection.

Geosciences↗