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At least 109 records · Page 6

First‐Order Empirical Interpolation Method for Real‐Time Solution of Parametric Time‐Dependent Nonlinear PDEs

ABSTRACT We present a model reduction approach for the real‐time solution of time‐dependent nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) with parametric dependencies. A major challenge in constructing efficient and accurate reduced‐order models for nonlinear PDEs is the efficient treatment of nonlinear terms. We address this by unifying the implementation of hyperreduction methods to deal with nonlinear terms. Furthermore, we introduce a first‐order empirical interpolation method (EIM) to provide an efficient approximation of the nonlinear terms in time‐dependent PDEs. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on the Allen–Cahn equation, which models phase separation, and the Buckley–Leverett equation, which describes two‐phase fluid flow in porous media. Numerical results highlight the accuracy, efficiency, and stability of the proposed method compared with both the Galerkin–Newton approach and hyper‐reduced models using the standard EIM.

Nguyen, Ngoc Cuong [Center for Computational Engin↗

Evaluating Grid Strength under Uncertain Renewable Generation

The increasing displacement of synchronous generators with renewable resources such as wind and solar via power electronic interfaces causes a reduction in short-circuit strength and weak grid issues. The variation and uncertainty of renewable energy increase challenges for identifying weak grid conditions. This paper proposes an efficient method to analyze the impact of uncertain renewable energy on grid strength. The proposed method uses the probabilistic collocation method (PCM) to approximate the results of grid strength assessment under uncertain renewable generation, in order to reduce computational burden without compromising result accuracy when compared with traditional Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). To improve the accuracy of the approximation results, the proposed method integrates the K-means clustering technique with PCM to select the approximation samples of input variables. The efficacy of the proposed method is demonstrated by comparison with MCS on the modified IEEE 9-bus system and modified IEEE 39-bus system with multiple renewable generators.

grid strength↗

Local Lagrangian reduced-order modeling for the Rayleigh-Taylor instability by solution manifold decomposition

The Rayleigh-Taylor instability is a classical hydrodynamic instability of great interest in various disciplines of science and engineering, including astrophysics, atmospheric sciences and climate, geophysics, and fusion energy. Analytical methods cannot be applied to explain the long-time behavior of the Rayleigh-Taylor instability, and therefore, numerical simulation of the full problem is required. However, in order to capture the growth of amplitude of perturbations accurately, both the spatial and temporal discretizations need to be extremely fine for traditional numerical methods, and long-time simulation may become prohibitively expensive. In this paper, we propose efficient reduced order model techniques to accelerate the simulation of the Rayleigh-Taylor instability in compressible gas dynamics. Here, we introduce a general framework for decomposing the solution manifold to construct the temporal domain partition and temporally-local reduced order model construction with varying Atwood number. We propose two practical approaches in this framework, namely decomposition by physical time and by penetration distance. Numerical results are presented to examine the performance of the proposed approaches.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Method for controlling fiber growth in a laser heated pedestal growth system by controlling a laser power output, a pedestal feedstock rate of motion, and a draw rate

One or more embodiments relate to a method for controlling fiber growth and fiber diameter in a laser heated pedestal growth (LHPG) system so as to provide long, continuous single-crystal optical fibers of uniform diameter. The method generally provides three independent parameter feedback controls to control the molten zone height, laser power, and fiber drawing rates simultaneously in order to reduce the mismatch between instantaneous diameter changes and current diameter. The method permits the growth of fibers with non-uniform diameters along the fiber's length. The method also provides the capability to stop the LHPG system, remove the exhausted pedestal feedstock with a second pedestal feedstock, and restart the LHPG system to provide a continuous fiber.

Buric, Michael P.↗

Optical-pump–terahertz-probe spectroscopy in high magnetic fields with kHz single-shot detection

We demonstrate optical pump–THz probe (OPTP) spectroscopy with a variable external magnetic field (0–9 T), in which the time-dependent THz signal is measured by echelon-based single-shot detection at a repetition rate of 1 kHz. The method reduces data acquisition times by more than an order of magnitude compared to conventional electro-optic sampling using a scanning delay stage. The approach illustrates the wide applicability of the single-shot measurement approach to non-equilibrium systems that are studied through OPTP spectroscopy, especially in cases where parameters such as magnetic field strength (B) or other experimental parameters are varied. We demonstrate the capabilities of our measurement by performing cyclotron resonance experiments in bulk silicon, where we observe B-field-dependent carrier relaxation and distinct relaxation rates for different carrier types. We use a pair of economical linear array detectors to measure 500 time points on each shot, offering an equivalent performance to camera-based detection with possibilities for higher repetition rates.

Instruments & Instrumentation↗

Vertical instability forecasting and controllability assessment of multi-device tokamak plasmas in DECAF with data-driven optimization

Abstract Reliable vertical position control will be an essential element of any future tokamak-based fusion power plant in order to reduce disruptions and maximize performance. We investigate methods to improve vertical controllability boundary determination in plasma operational space and demonstrate a data-driven approach based on direct pseudoinversion of operational space data that is rigorously quantitative, applicable in real-time plasma control systems, and physically intuitive to interpret. Applied to historical shot data from entire run campaigns on the MAST-U, KSTAR, and NSTX tokamaks, this approach, implemented in DECAF, improves vertical displacement event identification accuracy to 98.9%–100%. Further, we explore the application of a physics-based vertical stability metric as an early warning forecaster for vertical displacement events. The development of a linear surrogate model for the plasma current density profile, with a coefficient of determination of 0.992 on the training dataset, enables potential employment of this forecaster in real-time. The application of this approach on historical data from the MAST-U MU02 campaign yields a forecaster with 62.6% accuracy, indicating promise for this method when further refined and potentially coupled with other stability metrics.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Exploring the keV-scale physics potential of CUORE

We present the analysis techniques developed to explore the keV-scale energy region of the Cryogenic Underground Observatory for Rare Events (CUORE) experiment, based on more than 2 metric ton yr of data collected over five years. By prioritizing a stricter selection over a larger exposure, we are able to optimize data selection for thresholds at 10 keV and 3 keV with 691 kg yr and 11 kg yr of data, respectively. We study how the performance varies among the 988-detector array with different detector characteristics and data-taking conditions. We achieve an average baseline resolution of 2.54 ±0.14 keV FWHM and 1.18 ±0.02 keV FWHM for the data selection at 10 keV and 3 keV, respectively. The analysis methods employed reduce the overall background by about an order of magnitude, reaching 2.06±0.05 counts/(keV kg days) and 16±2 counts/(keV kg days) at the thresholds of 10 keV and 3 keV. We evaluate for the first time the near-threshold reconstruction efficiencies of the CUORE experiment, and find these to be 50 ±2% and 26 ±4% at 10 keV and 3 keV, respectively. This analysis provides crucial insights into rare decay studies, new physics searches, and keV-scale background modeling with CUORE. We demonstrate that ton-scale cryogenic calorimeters can operate across a wide energy range, from keV to MeV, establishing their scalability as versatile detectors for rare event and dark matter physics. These findings also inform the optimization of future large mass cryogenic calorimeters to enhance the sensitivity to low-energy phenomena.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Machine Learning Predictions of Transition Probabilities in Atomic Spectra

Forward modeling of optical spectra with absolute radiometric intensities requires knowledge of the individual transition probabilities for every transition in the spectrum. In many cases, these transition probabilities, or Einstein A-coefficients, quickly become practically impossible to obtain through either theoretical or experimental methods. Complicated electronic orbitals with higher order effects will reduce the accuracy of theoretical models. Experimental measurements can be prohibitively expensive and are rarely comprehensive due to physical constraints and sheer volume of required measurements. Due to these limitations, spectral predictions for many element transitions are not attainable. In this work, we investigate the efficacy of using machine learning models, specifically fully connected neural networks (FCNN), to predict Einstein A-coefficients using data from the NIST Atomic Spectra Database. For simple elements where closed form quantum calculations are possible, the data-driven modeling workflow performs well but can still have lower precision than theoretical calculations. For more complicated nuclei, deep learning emerged more comparable to theoretical predictions, such as Hartree–Fock. Unlike experiment or theory, the deep learning approach scales favorably with the number of transitions in a spectrum, especially if the transition probabilities are distributed across a wide range of values. It is also capable of being trained on both theoretical and experimental values simultaneously. In addition, the model performance improves when training on multiple elements prior to testing. The scalability of the machine learning approach makes it a potentially promising technique for estimating transition probabilities in previously inaccessible regions of the spectral and thermal domains on a significantly reduced timeline.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

When to vaccinate for seasonal influenza: check the peak forecast

Background Seasonal influenza infects 5-20% of people every year in the United States, resulting in hospitalizations, deaths, and adverse economic impacts. To mitigate these impacts, influenza vaccines are developed and distributed annually; however, growing evidence suggests that vaccine effectiveness (VE) wanes over the course of a flu season. Delaying influenza vaccination for older adults has attracted attention as a potential public health strategy. However, given the uncertainties in seasonal peak, vaccine effectiveness, and waning rates, postponing vaccination could also lead to increased morbidity, motivating an evaluation of a range of potential scenarios. The aim of this study was to investigate favorable age group-specific vaccination schedules that could lead to the greatest disease burden reduction. Methods We systematically investigated a broad range of vaccination start times for five age groups under six combinations of initial effectiveness and waning rates, based on influenza cases and vaccine uptake data from 10 influenza seasons. We defined the most favorable vaccination schedule as the one that resulted in the greatest reduction in disease burden. Results In scenarios with fast waning, all age groups benefit from delaying vaccination regardless of initial VE and peak timing. In scenarios with slower waning, results are mixed. For the ≥65 group, high initial VE and slow waning suggests that in early-peaking seasons, early vaccination most effectively reduces disease burden, while in late-peaking seasons delaying vaccination is most effective. For the ≥65 group in medium and low initial VE, and slow waning scenarios, delaying vaccination appears to prevent the greatest number of cases, regardless of whether the season peaks early or late. Conclusion The most favorable vaccination schedule is sensitive to changes in initial VE, waning rate, and peak timing. Given estimates of these quantities from statistical and immunological models and observations, our methods can inform vaccination recommendations in order to most effectively reduce the annual disease burden caused by seasonal influenza. Specifically, accurate peak timing forecasts for the upcoming season have the potential to guide decisions on when to vaccinate.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Reduced scaling formulation of CASPT2 analytical gradients using the supporting subspace method

We present a reduced scaling and exact reformulation of state specific complete active space second-order perturbation (CASPT2) analytical gradients in terms of the MP2 and Fock derivatives using the supporting subspace method. This work follows naturally from the supporting subspace formulation of the CASPT2 energy in terms of the MP2 energy using dressed orbitals and Fock builds. For a given active space configuration, the terms corresponding to the MP2-gradient can be evaluated with O(N5) operations, while the rest of the calculations can be computed with O(N3) operations using Fock builds, Fock gradients, and linear algebra. When tensor-hyper-contraction is applied simultaneously, the computational cost can be further reduced to O(N4) for a fixed active space size. The new formulation enables efficient implementation of CASPT2 analytical gradients by leveraging the existing graphical processing unit (GPU)-based MP2 and Fock routines. We present benchmark results that demonstrate the accuracy and performance of the new method. Example applications of the new method in ab initio molecular dynamics simulation and constrained geometry optimization are given.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Neural network ensembles and uncertainty estimation for predictions of inelastic mechanical deformation using a finite element method-neural network approach

The finite element method (FEM) is widely used to simulate a variety of physics phenomena. Approaches that integrate FEM with neural networks (NNs) are typically leveraged as an alternative to conducting expensive FEM simulations in order to reduce the computational cost without significantly sacrificing accuracy. However, these methods can produce biased predictions that deviate from those obtained with FEM, since these hybrid FEM-NN approaches rely on approximations trained using physically relevant quantities. In this work, an uncertainty estimation framework is introduced that leverages ensembles of Bayesian neural networks to produce diverse sets of predictions using a hybrid FEM-NN approach that approximates internal forces on a deforming solid body. The uncertainty estimator developed herein reliably infers upper bounds of bias/variance in the predictions for a wide range of interpolation and extrapolation cases using a three-element FEM-NN model of a bar undergoing plastic deformation. This proposed framework offers a powerful tool for assessing the reliability of physics-based surrogate models by establishing uncertainty estimates for predictions spanning a wide range of possible load cases.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Preliminary Monte Carlo and Thermal Hydraulic Analysis using a Hybrid ETF-Corrected-Diffusion Prediction Block

This paper builds upon previous work to accelerate the Picard iteration (PI) method typically applied for coupled Monte Carlo-Thermal hydraulic (MC-TH) solutions. Previously, the use of the generalized transfer functions (GTFs) to predict variation in macroscopic cross sections following a perturbation in TH properties was demonstrated for a subset of simple 3D problems. In addition, the reduced-order transport prediction block relied on the first order perturbation (FOP) method, which was shown to have computational overheads. Recent work replaced the FOP block with a 1-group nodal diffusion solver to eliminate these overheads. While the use of diffusion is desirable for large-scale problems, the new solver introduces significant homogenization error. This work aims to address this issue by using the Jacobian-Free Newton Krylov (JFNK) method to generate a set of super homogenization (SPH) factors to improve the accuracy of the diffusion solution. The SPH factors will be used in conjunction with an improved cross section prediction method – the expanded transfer function (ETF) method – to produce a highly accurate flux prediction for an axial 1D boiling water reactor (BWR) pincell following a large perturbation in moderator density. The ETF-corrected diffusion (ETF-CD) block is shown to be highly accurate for the 1D test case. Future work will investigate the accuracy of the method for a realistic 3D pressurized water reactor core.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Advancing density functional tight-binding method for large organic molecules through equivariant neural networks

Semi-empirical quantum-mechanical (QM) methods have become valuable tools for studying complex (bio)molecular systems due to their balance between computational efficiency and accuracy. A key aspect of these methods is their parameterization, which not only governs the reliability of the results but also provides an opportunity to enhance their overall performance. In our previous work [J. Phys. Chem. Lett., 2021, 11, 16], we advanced the third-order semi-empirical density functional tight-binding (DFTB3) method for computing multiple properties of small molecules by developing the machine learning (ML) potential NN rep to bridge the gap between DFTB3 electronic components and those of the hybrid DFT-PBE0 functional. To overcome the limitations of NN rep , we introduce the EquiDTB framework, which leverages physics-inspired equivariant neural networks (NN) to parameterize scalable and transferable many-body Δ TB potentials, replacing the standard pairwise DFTB repulsive potential. This advancement extends the applicability of our ML-corrected DFTB approach to larger molecules and non-covalent systems (including only C, N, O, and H atoms), going beyond the chemical space represented in the training QM datasets. The enhanced performance of EquiDTB over the standard TB methods is demonstrated by the accurate computation of the atomic forces of S66x8 molecular dimers, as well as their interaction energies. Moreover, EquiDTB can be effectively employed to explore the potential energy surfaces of large and flexible drug-like molecules—for example, to determine the minimum energy path between isomers, analyze structural transitions during dynamical simulations, compute vibrational modes, and investigate energetic rankings. The performance for single molecules slightly decreases when the DFTB electronic energy is reduced to first-order but remains superior to standard TB methods. Our work thus demonstrates that an optimal integration of an equivariant NN with QM datasets can advance the DFTB method while maintaining high efficiency, paving the way for reliable (bio)molecular simulations.

Medrano Sandonas, Leonardo [Technische Universität↗

Model Reduction by Generalized Falk Method for Efficient Field-Circuit Simulations

The Generalized Falk Method (GFM) for coordinate transformation, together with two model-reduction strategies based on this method, are presented for efficient coupled field-circuit simulations. Each model-reduction strategy is based on a decision to retain specific linearly-independent vectors, called trial vectors, to construct a vector basis for coordinate transformation. The reduced-order models are guaranteed to be stable and passive since the GFM is a congruence transformation of originally symmetric positive definite systems. We also show that, unlike the Pad´e-via-Lanczos (PVL) method, the GFM does not generate unstable positive poles while reducing the order of circuit problems. Further, the proposed GFM is also faster when compared to methods of the type Lanczos (or Krylov) that are already widely used in circuit simulations for electrothermal and electromagnetic problems. The concept of response participation factors is introduced for the selection of the trial vectors in the proposed model-reduction methods. Further, we present methods to develop simple equivalent circuit networks for the field component of the overall field-circuit system. The implementation of these equivalent circuit networks in circuit simulators is discussed. With the proposed model-reduction strategies, significant improvement on the efficiency of the generalized Falk method is illustrated for coupled field-circuit problems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Comparison of spherical harmonics method and discrete ordinates method for radiative transfer in a turbulent jet flame

Here, in this study, we systematically compared the accuracy and computational cost of two popular solution methods for the radiative transfer equation (RTE): the spherical harmonics method (P N ) and the discrete ordinates method (DOM). We first investigated convergence characteristics of different orders of P N and DOM in a series of 1D homogeneous configurations with varying optical thicknesses. Both solvers perform better for optically thicker cases. The accuracy of P N methods increases with its order, , but the gain in accuracy reduces with the increase in , i.e., improvement of P 7 over P 5 is less than that of P 3 over P 1 . This decreasing trend becomes more prominent as the optical thickness decreases. On the other hand, DOM’s accuracy increases almost linearly with the increase in the number of ordinates (or polar angles in this study) in all cases. While comparing the directional profile of radiative intensity, both solvers perform better when the radiative intensity is more isotropic. These solvers were then connected with a full spectrum k-distribution (FSK) spectral model and used to perform radiation-coupled simulations of a turbulent jet flame in an axi-symmetric cylindrical domain. Results obtained from P 1 to P 7 approximations for P N , and 2 x 4, 4 x 4, 4 x 8, 8 x 8 finite angles for DOM are compared with that from an optically thin model, and a reference solution from line-by-line (LBL) photon Monte Carlo (PMC) method. The choice of radiation solver shows a noticeable impact on the temperature distribution of the flame. The P N solvers lead to slightly higher radiant fractions and the DOM solvers lead to slightly lower radiant fractions than the PMC benchmark solution. Finally, the computational costs of each of these solvers are also reported and an intermittent evaluation / time blending scheme to improve the computational efficiency of radiation solvers in radiation-coupled simulations are also demonstrated.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Space–time reduced order model for large-scale linear dynamical systems with application to Boltzmann transport problems

A classical reduced order model for dynamical problems involves spatial reduction of the problem size. However, temporal reduction accompanied by the spatial reduction can further reduce the problem size without losing much accuracy, which results in a considerably more speed-up than the spatial reduction only. Recently, a novel space–time reduced order model for dynamical problems has been developed [17], where the space–time reduced order model shows an order of a hundred speed-up with a relative error of 10 –4 for small academic problems. However, in order for the method to be applicable to a large-scale problem, an efficient space–time reduced basis construction algorithm needs to be developed. Here we present the incremental space–time reduced basis construction algorithm. The incremental algorithm is fully parallel and scalable. Additionally, the block structure in the space–time reduced basis is exploited, which enables the avoidance of constructing the reduced space–time basis. These novel techniques are applied to a large-scale particle transport simulation with million and billion degrees of freedom. The numerical example shows that the algorithm is scalable and practical. Also, it achieves a tremendous speed-up, maintaining a good accuracy. Finally, error bounds for space-only and space–time reduced order models are derived.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Assessing parallel path cooling tower performance via artificial neural networks

Real-time monitoring of a research nuclear reactor, a system in which all generated power is dissipated to the environment, can be performed via analysis of the heat rejection from the cooling system. Given an inlet water temperature and flow rate, the reactor power can be well-approximated from the outlet water temperature; however, the instrumentation to measure outlet conditions may not be robust or accurate. If we know how a cooling tower performs from historical data, but cannot measure the outlet temperature, a mathematical representation of the system can be inverted to obtain the outlet water temperature that describes the cooling capacity. Unfortunately, model inversion processes are computationally expensive. To address this, an artificial neural network (ANN) is implemented to assess the performance of a multi-cell cooling tower for a nuclear reactor. This approach leverages the Merkel model to obtain an extensive data set describing performance of the cooling tower cells throughout a wide array of potential operating conditions. The Merkel model is expressed as a function of four parameters: the inlet and outlet water temperatures, inlet air wet bulb temperature, and ratio of liquid-to-gas mass flow rates (L/G), which together provide a non-dimensional number indicative of cooling tower performance, called the Merkel integral. Computing a 4-dimensional data structure that describes finite combinations of the Merkel integral, an inverse model is then generated using an ANN to determine the cell outlet water temperature from the other three model parameters along with the computed Merkel integral. Compared to traditional model inversion methods, the ANN reduces the computational time by approximately 4 orders of magnitude, with effectively no sacrifice to solution accuracy, and could be applied for different cooling towers in the event the performance curve is known. Finally, three use cases of the ANN are then reviewed: (1) determining the cell outlet water temperatures when gas flow at rated conditions (GFRC) is known, (2) performing the prior case without knowledge of the GRFC, and (3) assessing performance differences between the individual tower cells.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Super Resolution for Renewable Energy Resource Data With Wind From Reanalysis Data (Sup3rWind) and Application to Ukraine [Slides]

In this work we present a novel deep learning-based downscaling method, using generative adversarial networks (GANs), for generating high-resolution wind resource data from ECMWF Reanalysis v5 data (ERA5). We show that by training a GAN model on ERA5, as opposed to coarsened high-resolution data, we achieve results that are competitive with conventional dynamical downscaling. This GAN-based downscaling method additionally reduces computational costs over dynamical downscaling by two orders of magnitude. All GANs are trained on data sampled from CONUS, selected to provide a diverse sampling of terrain conditions, and validated on observational data along with data held out from training. This cross-validation shows low error and high correlations with observations and excellent agreement with hold out data across physical distributions. Our approach is finally used to downscale 30km hourly ERA5 to 2-km 5-minute wind data, for January 2000 through December 2023, at multiple hub heights, over Ukraine, Moldova, and part of Romania. Comparisons against observational data from Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) and multiple wind farms show the same level of performance as for CONUS validation. This 24 year data record is the first member of the "super resolution for renewable energy resource data with wind from reanalysis data" dataset (Sup3rWind).

17 WIND ENERGY↗