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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 109 records · Page 6

Oceanic heat content variability in the Tropical Pacific during the 1982-1983 El Nino

A linear, multimode model forced by observed winds is used to investigate anomolous heat transport and storage during the 1982-1983 El Nino. The study compliments the work of Wyrtki (1985) and of Zebiak and Cane (1987) and contains the ocean dynamics invoked by both these studies to explain heat content anomalies. Model hindcasts are compared with observational evidence derived from the island sea level network. The meridional distribution of heat storage and the components of heat transport are considered. It is found that the mechanisms contributing to heat transport out of bands of latitude symmetric about the equator are isolated and related to the wind anomalies and wave dynamics usually associated with ENSO events. It is noted that although the spatial and temporal distribution of oceanic heat anomalies necessary to initiate an ENSO event can be determined only by studying coupled ocean-atmosphere models, an examination of the oceanic component alone is useful in determining constraints imposed by ocean dynamics.

Springer, Scott R.↗

Multiangle Imaging Spectroradiometer (MISR) Global Aerosol Optical Depth Validation Based on 2 Years of Coincident Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) Observations

Performance of the Multiangle Imaging Spectroradiometer (MISR) early postlaunch aerosol optical thickness (AOT) retrieval algorithm is assessed quantitatively over land and ocean by comparison with a 2-year measurement record of globally distributed AERONET Sun photometers. There are sufficient coincident observations to stratify the data set by season and expected aerosol type. In addition to reporting uncertainty envelopes, we identify trends and outliers, and investigate their likely causes, with the aim of refining algorithm performance. Overall, about 2/3 of the MISR-retrieved AOT values fall within [0.05 or 20% x AOT] of Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET). More than a third are within [0.03 or 10% x AOT]. Correlation coefficients are highest for maritime stations (approx.0.9), and lowest for dusty sites (more than approx.0.7). Retrieved spectral slopes closely match Sun photometer values for Biomass burning and continental aerosol types. Detailed comparisons suggest that adding to the algorithm climatology more absorbing spherical particles, more realistic dust analogs, and a richer selection of multimodal aerosol mixtures would reduce the remaining discrepancies for MISR retrievals over land; in addition, refining instrument low-light-level calibration could reduce or eliminate a small but systematic offset in maritime AOT values. On the basis of cases for which current particle models are representative, a second-generation MISR aerosol retrieval algorithm incorporating these improvements could provide AOT accuracy unprecedented for a spaceborne technique.

global meaurement↗

Multimodal Data Representation with Deep Learning for Extracting Cancer Characteristics from Clinical Text

This paper presents a multimodal data representation to improve the performance of deep learning models for extracting cancer key characteristics from unstructured text in pathology reports. Specifically, in addition to using the text as the input to deep learning models, we use concept unique identifiers (CUIs) as another source of information to the models. We analyze the performance of different text and CUI data representations, including word embeddings and bag of embeddings (BOE), with a convolutional neural network (CNN) and a fully connected multilayer perceptron neural network (MLP-NN). The high level document embeddings from text and CUI inputs are combined by concatenating them and then applying a classifier. The model is used for extracting cancer subsite and histology from pathology reports. These two classification tasks have a large number of labels, i.e. 317 for subsite and 556 for histology, with extreme class imbalance. We compare the performance of the developed DL models across the two tasks based on micro- and macro-F1 scores. The evaluation shows that a multi-channel DL model that utilizes text represented by word embeddings and CUIs represented by BOE outperforms other DL models. Also, this approach significantly improves the model performance on low prevalence classes.

Alawad, Mohammed↗

A Multifidelity and Multimodal Machine Learning Approach for Extracting Bonding Environments of Impurities and Dopants from X-ray Spectroscopies

Extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) spectroscopy is crucial for determining the coordination environment of impurities and dopants; however, it requires difficult measurements. X-ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) spectroscopy and X-ray emission spectroscopy (XES) can be obtained easily but cannot be converted to determine structures. In this work we develop tools to map measured XANES to the EXAFS signal through machine learning, thereby facilitating the use of EXAFS structural-determination analyses on XANES data. Through the use of Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets), we are able to accurately predict the EXAFS spectrum between 6 and 14 Å -1 from the first 6 Å -1 (~100 eV) of the absorption spectrum of Cu 2+ substitutional defects in the Fe 3+ mineral hematite (a-Fe 2 O 3 ). This surprising finding implies that theoretical analyses of X-ray absorption spectra could be implemented that extract the same conclusions as high-quality EXAFS studies from spectra collected over a much smaller range of photon energies. To encourage similar efforts, the simulated x-ray spectra, machine learning, and fitting code is made publicly available.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Micromobility Integrated Transit and Infrastructure for Efficiency (MITIE)

Nearly omnipresent in many cities of all sizes across the United States, micromobility vehicles-e-scooters, manual bicycles, e-bicycles, and larger seated electric scooters-are notably missing from SMART Mobility research. This project aims to expand the spectrum of modes currently being researched within SMART Mobility by exploring micromobility as an important tool toward meeting energy-efficient mobility goals. It expands on findings from SMART Mobility 1.0 that revealed preferences to reduce transportation-related expenses through use of a network of mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) and other shared mobility options, and builds on findings from a 2019 Vehicle Technology Analysis Program (VTAP) funded micromobility project conducted by our team. We will explore multiple facets of micromobility, including behavior and decision-making, the integration of micromobility within transportation infrastructure, energy estimates, and operations. Guiding research questions include: (1) What are the potential energy savings from low, medium, and high market penetration of micromobility (in passenger, multimodal, and freight domains)? (2) Which scenarios for micromobility use and related enablement of increased public transit use should be modeled/considered in the SMART 2.0 Workflow? (3) To what degree can micromobility supplement/complement transit system operations? (4) What are people's preferences towards micromobility? How do preferences vary across various sociodemographic segments? How can this knowledge inform operations? (5) What are optimal strategies to attain high user adoption and shift users toward more energy-efficient mode choices in terms of micromobility operation? How do these strategies affect energy savings, person-miles traveled, lifecycle energy use, and adoption rates? These questions will be addressed through applied research in five project emphasis areas: (1) Energy estimates of micromobility for Workflow scenarios: Expand and refine previous micromobility work to augment the Workflow approaches to modeling urban travel. (2) Multimodal connection with transit: Utilizing Mobility-Energy Productivity (MEP) tools to evaluate multimodal travel patterns enabled by micromobility, including assessing how to reduce barriers of inequity of access to mobility options and destinations. (3) Mode choice, induced demand, and infrastructure: Understanding the mode shift induced through micromobility to inform energy impact analysis. (4) Energy optimization of micromobility operations: Identification of micromobility operations parameters and development of operations scenarios to better understand present-day micromobility operations for integration into the Workflow, in partnership with BEAM and POLARIS modeling teams. (5) Micro-freight: Characterize the current state of micro-freight activities, including energy effects and geospatial analyses, to inform Workflow.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,POWER TRANSMISSION AND↗

Micromobility Integrated Transit and Infrastructure for Efficiency (MITIE)

Nearly omnipresent in many cities of all sizes across the United States, micromobility vehicles-e-scooters, manual bicycles, e-bicycles, and larger seated electric scooters-are notably missing from SMART Mobility research. This project aims to expand the spectrum of modes currently being researched within SMART Mobility by exploring micromobility as an important tool toward meeting energy-efficient mobility goals. It expands on findings from SMART Mobility 1.0 that revealed preferences to reduce transportation-related expenses through use of a network of mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) and other shared mobility options, and builds on findings from a 2019 Vehicle Technology Analysis Program (VTAP) funded micromobility project conducted by our team. We will explore multiple facets of micromobility, including behavior and decision-making, the integration of micromobility within transportation infrastructure, energy estimates, and operations. Guiding research questions include: 1) what are the potential energy savings from low, medium, and high market penetration of micromobility (in passenger, multimodal, and freight domains)? 2) which scenarios for micromobility use and related enablement of increased public transit use should be modeled/considered in the SMART 2.0 Workflow? 3) to what degree can micromobility supplement/complement transit system operations? 4) what are people's preferences towards micromobility? How do preferences vary across various sociodemographic segments? How can this knowledge inform operations? 5) what are optimal strategies to attain high user adoption and shift users toward more energy-efficient mode choices in terms of micromobility operation? How do these strategies affect energy savings, person-miles traveled, lifecycle energy use, and adoption rates? These questions will be addressed through applied research in five project emphasis areas: 1) energy estimates of micromobility for Workflow scenarios: Expand and refine previous micromobility work to augment the Workflow approaches to modeling urban travel; 2) multimodal connection with transit: Utilizing Mobility-Energy Productivity (MEP) tools to evaluate multimodal travel patterns enabled by micromobility, including assessing how to reduce barriers of inequity of access to mobility options and destinations; 3) mode choice, induced demand, and infrastructure: Understanding the mode shift induced through micromobility to inform energy impact analysis; 4) energy optimization of micromobility operations: Identification of micromobility operations parameters and development of operations scenarios to better understand present-day micromobility operations for integration into the Workflow, in partnership with BEAM and POLARIS modeling teams; 5) micro-freight: Characterize the current state of micro-freight activities, including energy effects and geospatial analyses, to inform Workflow.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Multimodal fission from self-consistent calculations

When multiple fission modes coexist in a given nucleus, distinct fragment yield distributions appear. Multimodal fission has been observed in a number of fissioning nuclei spanning the nuclear chart, and this phenomenon is expected to affect the nuclear abundances synthesized during the rapid neutron-capture process (𝑟-process). In this study, we generalize the previously proposed hybrid model for fission-fragment yield distributions to predict competing fission modes and estimate the resulting yield distributions. Here, our framework allows for a comprehensive large-scale calculation of fission-fragment yields suited for 𝑟-process nuclear network studies. Nuclear density functional theory is employed to obtain the potential energy and collective inertia tensor on a multidimensional collective space defined by mass multipole moments. Fission pathways and their relative probabilities are determined using the nudged elastic band method. Based on this information, mass and charge fission yields are predicted using the recently developed hybrid model. Fission properties of fermium isotopes are calculated in the axial quadrupole-octupole collective space for three energy density functionals (EDFs). Disagreement between the EDFs appears when multiple fission modes are present. Within our framework, the UNEDF⁢1 HFB EDF agrees best with experimental data. Calculations in the axial quadrupole-octupole-hexadecapole collective space improve the agreement with the experiment for SkM*. We also discuss the sensitivity of fission predictions on the choice of EDF for several superheavy nuclei. Fission-fragment yield predictions for nuclei with multiple fission modes are sensitive to the underlying EDF. For large-scale calculations in which a minimal number of collective coordinates is considered, UNEDF⁢1 HFB provides the best description of experimental data, though the sensitivity motivates robust quantification of the uncertainties of the theoretical model.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Deep learning with plasma plume image sequences for anomaly detection and prediction of growth kinetics during pulsed laser deposition

Abstract Materials synthesis platforms that are designed for autonomous experimentation are capable of collecting multimodal diagnostic data that can be utilized for feedback to optimize material properties. Pulsed laser deposition (PLD) is emerging as a viable autonomous synthesis tool, and so the need arises to develop machine learning (ML) techniques that are capable of extracting information from in situ diagnostics. Here, we demonstrate that intensified-CCD image sequences of the plasma plume generated during PLD can be used for anomaly detection and the prediction of thin film growth kinetics. We develop multi-output (2 + 1)D convolutional neural network regression models that extract deep features from plume dynamics that not only correlate with the measured chamber pressure and incident laser energy, but more importantly, predict parameters of an auto-catalytic film growth model derived from in situ laser reflectivity experiments. Our results demonstrate how ML with in situ plume diagnostics data in PLD can be utilized to maintain deposition conditions in an optimal regime. Further, the predictive capabilities of plume dynamics on the kinetics of film growth or other film properties prior to deposition provides a means for rapid pre-screening of growth conditions for the non-expert, which promises to accelerate materials optimization with PLD.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Machine Learning for Joint Quality Control

The use of lightweight material combinations has been highly demanded in manufacturing automotive structures. However, making robust dissimilar material joints of such lightweight materials is still challenging. A significant barrier to achieving high-quality and repeatable joint performance is a deficient understanding of the relationship between the welding process, joint attributes, and joint performance. In this context, welding factors refer to material, equipment, environment, and process parameters, while joint features comprise specific microstructural attributes of the weld such as nugget size, heat affected zone (HAZ) topology, intermetallic layer thickness, and sheet thickness reduction. Joint performance is quantified in terms of strength (e.g., tensile shear, coach peel, cross-tension), weld size, and hardness, among other factors. While there have been many attempts to establish this process-structure-property relationship by developing a model derived from the associated physics and first principles, the complexity of the joining processes compounded by the complex interactions with different materials in an automotive assembly line environment, has hindered the usefulness of such attempts. The complexity is further exacerbated using different stacking materials, especially comprising dissimilar material combinations. In practice, the common approach has been the laborious process of creating welds, characterizing them, and then physically testing them through experimentation. With the emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) methods, an alternative pathway to eliciting the desired process-structure-property relationship at an accelerated pace is to use a data-driven approach by employing machine-learning (ML) techniques. This approach is benefitted by the availability of large streams of data, generated through years of research and testing by original equipment manufacturers, in the form of material, process, environmental, equipment, microstructural, and bulk-scale performance information from multimodal, multiscale sensors making measurements from laboratory-scale to production-scale processes. During Phase I efforts, which ended in fiscal year (FY) 2021, the Oak Ridge National Laboratory and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (ORNL/PNNL) team demonstrated the effectiveness of different ML/AI frameworks in modeling complex relationships between resistance spot welding (RSW) process parameters, weld attributes, and joint properties using a subset of data from General Motors (GM). In FY 2022, the project team further refined and expanded their respective ML models to analyze additional welds with new weld stack-ups and materials to enhance the ML model predictive capability. ORNL extended its unified deep neural networks (DNN) ML training and prediction framework with new data streams of process parameters, and PNNL extended its model describing RSW process parameters’ associations with weld attributes. In FY 2023, the project team completed the development of the AI/ML architecture for analyzing aluminum/steel joints manufactured by GM via RSW and transitioned into the inline welding quality monitoring task for steel/steel RSW joints provided by GM.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Decoding diffraction and spectroscopy data with machine learning: A tutorial

This Tutorial provides a step-by-step guide on how to apply supervised machine-learning techniques to analyze diffraction and spectroscopy data. This Tutorial details four models—a reconstruction-focused model, a regression-focused model, a hybrid reconstruction/regression model, and a multimodal model—that use x-ray diffraction profiles and vibrational density of states spectra to predict various microstructural descriptors. In this Tutorial, we cover data pre-processing steps, constructions of the models via dimensionality reduction and regression, training, and analysis of these models. Comparisons of the model’s performance are provided, highlighting the strength and weakness of the various approaches utilized.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Graphene Electric Field Sensor Enables Single Shot Label-Free Imaging of Bioelectric Potentials

The measurement of electrical activity across systems of excitable cells underlies current progress in neuroscience, cardiac pharmacology, and neurotechnology. However, bioelectricity spans orders of magnitude in intensity, space, and time, posing substantial technological challenges. The development of methods permitting network-scale recordings with high spatial resolution remains key to studies of electrogenic cells, emergent networks, and bioelectric computation. Here, for this work, we demonstrate single-shot and label-free imaging of extracellular potentials with high resolution across a wide field-of-view. The critically coupled waveguide-amplified graphene electric field (CAGE) sensor leverages the field-sensitive optical transitions in graphene to convert electric potentials into the optical regime. As a proof-of-concept, we use the CAGE sensor to detect native electrical activity from cardiac action potentials with tens-of-microns resolution, simultaneously map the propagation of these potentials at tissue-scale, and monitor their modification by pharmacological agents. This platform is robust, scalable, and compatible with existing microscopy techniques for multimodal correlative imaging.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Prediction of carbon nanostructure mechanical properties and the role of defects using machine learning

Graphene-based nanostructures hold immense potential as strong and lightweight materials, however, their mechanical properties such as modulus and strength are difficult to fully exploit due to challenges in atomic-scale engineering. This study presents a database of over 2,000 pristine and defective nanoscale CNT bundles and other graphitic assemblies, inspired by microscopy, with associated stress–strain curves from reactive molecular dynamics (MD) simulations using the reactive INTERFACE force field (IFF-R). These 3D structures, containing up to 80,000 atoms, enable detailed analyses of structure-stiffness-failure relationships. By leveraging the database and physics- and chemistry-informed machine learning (ML), accurate predictions of elastic moduli and tensile strength are demonstrated at speeds 1,000 to 10,000 times faster than efficient MD simulations. Hierarchical Graph Neural Networks with Spatial Information (HS-GNNs) are introduced, which integrate chemistry knowledge. HS-GNNs as well as extreme gradient boosted trees (XGBoost) achieve forecasts of mechanical properties of arbitrary carbon nanostructures with only 3 to 6% mean relative error. The reliability equals experimental accuracy and is up to 20 times higher than other ML methods. Predictions maintain 8 to 18% accuracy for large CNT bundles, CNT junctions, and carbon fiber cross-sections outside the training distribution. The physics- and chemistry-informed HS-GNN works remarkably well for data outside the training range while XGBoost works well with limited training data inside the training range. The carbon nanostructure database is designed for integration with multimodal experimental and simulation data, scalable beyond 100 nm size, and extendable to chemically similar compounds and broader property ranges. The ML approaches have potential for applications in structural materials, nanoelectronics, and carbon-based catalysts.

Winetrout, Jordan J.↗

Multimodality instrument for tissue characterization

A system with multimodality instrument for tissue identification includes a computer-controlled motor driven heuristic probe with a multisensory tip. For neurosurgical applications, the instrument is mounted on a stereotactic frame for the probe to penetrate the brain in a precisely controlled fashion. The resistance of the brain tissue being penetrated is continually monitored by a miniaturized strain gauge attached to the probe tip. Other modality sensors may be mounted near the probe tip to provide real-time tissue characterizations and the ability to detect the proximity of blood vessels, thus eliminating errors normally associated with registration of pre-operative scans, tissue swelling, elastic tissue deformation, human judgement, etc., and rendering surgical procedures safer, more accurate, and efficient. A neural network program adaptively learns the information on resistance and other characteristic features of normal brain tissue during the surgery and provides near real-time modeling. A fuzzy logic interface to the neural network program incorporates expert medical knowledge in the learning process. Identification of abnormal brain tissue is determined by the detection of change and comparison with previously learned models of abnormal brain tissues. The operation of the instrument is controlled through a user friendly graphical interface. Patient data is presented in a 3D stereographics display. Acoustic feedback of selected information may optionally be provided. Upon detection of the close proximity to blood vessels or abnormal brain tissue, the computer-controlled motor immediately stops probe penetration. The use of this system will make surgical procedures safer, more accurate, and more efficient. Other applications of this system include the detection, prognosis and treatment of breast cancer, prostate cancer, spinal diseases, and use in general exploratory surgery.

Mah, Robert W.↗

Multimodality Instrument for Tissue Characterization

A system with multimodality instrument for tissue identification includes a computer-controlled motor driven heuristic probe with a multisensory tip is discussed. For neurosurgical applications, the instrument is mounted on a stereotactic frame for the probe to penetrate the brain in a precisely controlled fashion. The resistance of the brain tissue being penetrated is continually monitored by a miniaturized strain gauge attached to the probe tip. Other modality sensors may be mounted near the probe tip to provide real-time tissue characterizations and the ability to detect the proximity of blood vessels, thus eliminating errors normally associated with registration of pre-operative scans, tissue swelling, elastic tissue deformation, human judgement, etc., and rendering surgical procedures safer, more accurate, and efficient. A neural network, program adaptively learns the information on resistance and other characteristic features of normal brain tissue during the surgery and provides near real-time modeling. A fuzzy logic interface to the neural network program incorporates expert medical knowledge in the learning process. Identification of abnormal brain tissue is determined by the detection of change and comparison with previously learned models of abnormal brain tissues. The operation of the instrument is controlled through a user friendly graphical interface. Patient data is presented in a 3D stereographics display. Acoustic feedback of selected information may optionally be provided. Upon detection of the close proximity to blood vessels or abnormal brain tissue, the computer-controlled motor immediately stops probe penetration.

Mah, Robert W.↗

Exploring Ridesharing in Passenger Urban Air Mobility: A Comparative Analysis

There is growing interest in urban air mobility (UAM) as an alternative for passenger and cargo transport around metropolitan areas in a multimodal transportation system that leverages small, electric aircraft. Ridesharing has been proposed as a means of making UAM passenger trips more affordable and environmentally friendly. We present a UAM ridesharing model integrated into an existing computational framework for analyzing daily work commute trips within a metropolitan area. We leverage this model to estimate the potential demand for ridesharing-enabled UAM trips within six metropolitan areas across the United States: Chicago, IL; Cleveland, OH; Dallas, TX; Denver, CO; New York City, NY; and Orlando, FL. We compare results for each metropolitan area with and without ridesharing. Results indicate that ridesharing enables at least an order of magnitude more UAM-preferring passengers than without ridesharing, though specifics vary across metropolitan areas and network sizes. Enabling ridesharing in UAM also considerably lowers the mean and mode value of time for passengers that select the UAM mode, indicating that ridesharing can help make UAM more economically accessible to a larger set of the population. An important caveat is that the UAM ridesharing model does not account for operational constraints, such as aerodrome capacity and aircraft availability, and relies on a perfect knowledge of passenger movements and mode preferences. This leads to high UAM ridesharing volumes that are unlikely to reflect real-world UAM operations and thus serves as an upper bound estimate.

advanced air mobility↗

Exploring Ridesharing in Passenger Urban Air Mobility: A Comparative Analysis

There is growing interest in urban air mobility (UAM) as an alternative for passenger and cargo transport around metropolitan areas in a multimodal transportation system that leverages small, electric aircraft. Ridesharing has been proposed as a means of making UAM passenger trips more affordable and environmentally friendly. We present a UAM ridesharing model integrated into an existing computational framework for analyzing daily work commute trips within a metropolitan area. We leverage this model to estimate the potential demand for ridesharing-enabled UAM trips within six metropolitan areas across the United States: Chicago, IL; Cleveland, OH; Dallas, TX; Denver, CO; New York City, NY; and Orlando, FL. We compare results for each metropolitan area with and without ridesharing. Results indicate that ridesharing enables at least an order of magnitude more UAM-preferring passengers than without ridesharing, though specifics vary across metropolitan areas and network sizes. Enabling ridesharing in UAM also considerably lowers the mean and mode value of time for passengers that select the UAM mode, indicating that ridesharing can help make UAM more economically accessible to a larger set of the population. An important caveat is that the UAM ridesharing model does not account for operational constraints, such as aerodrome capacity and aircraft availability, and relies on a perfect knowledge of passenger movements and mode preferences. This leads to high UAM ridesharing volumes that are unlikely to reflect real-world UAM operations and thus serves as an upper bound estimate.

advanced air mobility↗

Uncovering Hidden Entanglement in Twin Beams

Proper characterization of quantum correlations in multimode optical quantum states is critical for applications in quantum information science. However, standard entanglement measurements can lead to incomplete state reconstruction and characterization. Here, we implement a resonator-based detection system that reveals entanglement between sideband modes of twin beams, achieving full tomography and retrieving often ignored quantum correlations. Unlike standard spectral measurements such as homodyne detection, resonator detection can independently address the sidebands of each beam, thereby accessing these hidden correlations. Additionally, we show how phase shifts between the carrier and the sideband modes of the involved fields redistribute information and modify the observation of entanglement for different witnesses. The ability of the resonant detection to independently address sideband modes of entangled states can contribute to enhancing the capacity for secure communication and quantum networking protocols.

Rincon Celis, Raul [University of Sao Paulo, Brazi↗

Proactive Wildfire Management: A Remote Sensing and Multimodal CNN-MLP Architecture for Ignition Risk Forecasting

As the frequency and intensity of wildfires increase, with fire seasons now starting earlier and ending later than they have over the past decades, current monitoring systems, such as lookout towers and satellites, are hindered by cloud cover, low-resolution imagery, and static data gaps that fail to track vegetation moisture levels fast enough to catch rapid pre-ignition changes. This report proposes a Machine Learning-enabled Wildfire Ignition Prediction framework that combines satellite monitoring with dynamic and high-resolution remote sensing from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) swarms. The method would use multispectral and thermal data from the Landsat program to create a baseline for vegetation health, calculating a two-band Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI2) and the moisture content of the vegetation. These inputs will later be fused with microscale UAV weather data, including thermal hotspots found through thick canopies, hyperspectral chemical signatures of pre-visual combustion, and local weather streams. The multispectral satellite, multispectral Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR), and thermal data would then be processed through a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), alongside a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) for the micro-weather telemetry. The outputs of these networks would be fused into a single feature representation and passed through a final prediction network to generate real-time ignition risk scores and hotspot alerts. Model performance would be assessed using standard classification metrics, including a Receiver Operating Characteristic - Area Under the Curve (ROC AUC) and F1 score. This system would allow first responders to identify high-risk zones and intervene before ignition occurs, improving emergency response time compared to current approaches.

machine learning↗