2024 SETO Peer Review: PVPMC Blind Modeling Comparison lightning talk
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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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I'm just giving necessary information to introduce a presentation at Z Fundamental Science Workshop Laboratory-Astrophysics Breakout session. All information are either non-technical or previously published.
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Work performed during the project period July 1, 1990 to June 30, 1992 on the statistical analysis of stratospheric temperature data, rawinsonde temperature data, and ozone profile data for the detection of trends is described. Our principal topics of research are trend analysis of NOAA stratospheric temperature data over the period 1978-1989; trend analysis of rawinsonde temperature data for the period 1964-1988; trend analysis of Umkehr ozone profile data for the period 1977-1991; and comparison of observed ozone and temperature trends in the lower stratosphere. Analysis of NOAA stratospheric temperature data indicates the existence of large negative trends at 0.4 mb level, with magnitudes increasing with latitudes away from the equator. Trend analysis of rawinsonde temperature data over 184 stations shows significant positive trends about 0.2 C per decade at surface to 500 mb range, decreasing to negative trends about -0.3 C at 100 to 50 mb range, and increasing slightly at 30 mb level. There is little evidence of seasonal variation in trends. Analysis of Umkehr ozone data for 12 northern hemispheric stations shows significant negative trends about -.5 percent per year in Umkehr layers 7-9 and layer 3, but somewhat less negative trends in layers 4-6. There is no pronounced seasonal variation in trends, especially in layers 4-9. A comparison was made of empirical temperature trends from rawinsonde data in the lower stratosphere with temperature changes determined from a one-dimensional radiative transfer calculation that prescribed a given ozone change over the altitude region, surface to 50 km, obtained from trend analysis of ozonsonde and Umkehr profile data. The empirical and calculated temperature trends are found in substantive agreement in profile shape and magnitude.
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Presented at the DOE-NETL 2020 Virtual Meeting - SMART Initiative Annual Review Meeting November 2-3, 2020, 11/2
In recent years several analytical models were developed to predict microwave scattering by trees and forest canopies. These models contribute to the understanding of radar backscatter over forested regions to the extent that they capture the basic interactions between microwave radiation and tree canopies, understories, and ground layers as functions of incidence angle, wavelength, and polarization. The Santa Barbara microwave model backscatter model for woodland (i.e. with discontinuous tree canopies) combines a single-tree backscatter model and a gap probability model. Comparison of model predictions with synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data and L-band (lambda = 0.235 m) is promising, but much work is still needed to test the validity of model predictions at other wavelengths. The validity of the model predictions at P-band (lambda = 0.68 m) for woodland stands at our Mt. Shasta test site was tested.
Comparisons are made between transport and semikinetic models in a study of the time evolution of plasma density perturbations in the polar wind. The situations modeled include plasma expansion into a low-density region and time evolution of localized density enhancements and cavities. The results show that the semikinetic model generally yields smoother profiles in density, drift velocity, and ion temperature than the transport model, principally because of ion velocity dispersion. While shocks frequently develop in the results of the transport model, they do not occur in the semikinetic results. In addition, in the semikinetic results, two ion streams, or double-humped distributions, frequently develop. In the transport model results the bulk parameters, at a given time, often have a one-to-one correspondence in the locations of their local minima or maxima. This is a consequence of the coupling of the fluid equations. There is, however, no such relationship among the moments produced by the semikinetic model where the local moment maxima and minima are often shifted in altitude. In general, incorporation of enhanced heat fluxes in the transport model leads to somewhat improved agreement with the semikinetic results.
Earth hydrogen geocorona models comparison with solar Lyman alpha spectrographic data from Aerobee rocket flight measurements
The rapidly expanding field of polaritonic chemistry requires accurate theoretical simulations to understand new phenomena at the atomic scale. Computing the optoelectronic properties of molecules using established electronic structure methods is a careful balance of accuracy and computational expense, and expanding these methods to quantum electrodynamics to describe coupled cavity-molecule systems is an active topic of development. Key to these methods are the Hamiltonian operators representing the photon cavity modes. The recently introduced quantum electrodynamics time-dependent configuration interaction (QED-TDCI) method allows for the combination of electron dynamics simulations with quantum electrodynamics, enabling the simulation of time-dependent optoelectronic properties of cavity-molecule systems. Using this method, a comparison of two many-state QED Hamiltonians—the Pauli-Fierz and quantum Rabi model Hamiltonians—is presented, with a particular focus on time-dependent properties in applied electric fields.
The 2022 Hunga volcanic eruption injected a significant amount of water vapor and a moderate amount of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, causing observable responses in the climate system. We have developed a model–observation comparison project to investigate the evolution of volcanic water and aerosols and their impacts on atmospheric dynamics, chemistry, and climate, using several state-of-the-art chemistry climate models. The project goals are (1) to evaluate the current chemistry–climate models to quantify their performance in comparison to observations and (2) to understand atmospheric responses in the Earth system after this exceptional event and investigate the potential impacts in the projected future. To achieve these goals, we designed specific experiments for direct comparisons to observations, for example from balloons and the Microwave Limb Sounder satellite instrument. Experiment 1 consists of two sets of free-running ensemble experiments from 2022 to 2031: one with fixed sea-surface temperatures and sea ice and one with coupled ocean. These experiments will help to understand the long-term evolution of water vapor and aerosols; quantify HTHH effects on stratospheric and mesospheric temperatures, dynamics, and transport; understand the impact of dynamic changes on ozone chemistry; quantify the net radiative forcings; and evaluate any surface climate impact. Experiment 2 is a nudged-run experiment from 2022 to 2023 using observed meteorology. To allow participation of more climate models with varying complexities of aerosol simulation, we include two sets of simulations in Experiment 2: Experiment 2a is designed for models with internally generated aerosol, while Experiment 2b is designed for models using prescribed aerosol surface area density. This experiment will help to analyze H 2 O and aerosol evolution, quantify the net radiative forcings, understand the impacts on mid-latitude and polar O 3 chemistry, and allow close comparisons with observations.
A viewgraph presentation on centrifuge rotor models with a comparison using Euler-Lagrange and bond graph methods is shown. The topics include: 1) Objectives; 2) MOdeling Approach Comparisons; 3) Model Structures; and 4) Application.
Surface temperature calculations for Venus based on two Greenhouse atmospheric model comparisons