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At least 109 records · Page 6

Adaptive Computing for Scale-Up Problems

Adaptive Computing is an application-agnostic outer loop framework to strategically deploy simulations and experiments to guide decision making for scale-up analysis. Resources are allocated over successive batches, which makes the allocation adaptive to some objective such as optimization or model training. The framework enables the characterization and management of uncertainties associated with predictive models of complex systems when scale-up questions lead to significant model extrapolation. A key advancement of this framework is its integration of multi-fidelity surrogate modeling, uncertainty management, and automated orchestration of various computing and experimentation resources into a single integrated software package. This enables efficient multi-fidelity modeling across multiple computing resources by incorporating real-world constraints such as relative queue times and throughput on individual machines into the multi-fidelity sampling decision. We discuss applications of this framework to problems in the renewable energy space, including biofuels production, material synthesis, perovskite crystal growth, and building electrical loads.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Bridging the Gap for Powering Data Centers

The rapid expansion of data centers, primarily driven by artificial intelligence, is outpacing the adaptability of the U.S. electric grid. This report, developed by Idaho National Laboratory (INL) , presents a gap analysis of some of the infrastructure challenges associated with large-scale data center deployment. Drawing from a national workshop hosted by INL in October of 2025, the report synthesizes stakeholder insights, survey data, and technical discussions to identify critical barriers and research needs. Key findings highlight the growing preference for behind-the-meter generation, the perceived inadequacy of legacy interconnection processes, and the urgent need for improved coordination between utilities, regulators, and data center developers. Environmental concerns such as water use and noise pollution, as well as economic constraints like equipment lead times and cost allocation, are also explored. The report outlines national lab capabilities in modeling, simulation, and technical assistance, and proposes targeted R&D priorities to support resilient, scalable, and efficient integration of data centers into the grid.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Statistical mechanical model for crack growth

Analytic relations that describe crack growth are vital for modeling experiments and building a theoretical understanding of fracture. Upon constructing an idealized model system for the crack and applying the principles of statistical thermodynamics, it is possible to formulate the rate of thermally activated crack growth as a function of load, but the result is analytically intractable. In this report an asymptotically correct theory is used to obtain analytic approximations of the crack growth rate from the fundamental theoretical formulation. These crack growth rate relations are compared to those that exist in the literature and are validated with respect to Monte Carlo calculations and experiments. The success of this approach is encouraging for future modeling endeavors that might consider more complicated fracture mechanisms, such as inhomogeneity or a reactive environment.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Toucan: A performance portable, scalable implementation of the DECA algorithm

In the field of additive manufacturing (AM), cellular automata (CA) is extensively used to simulate microstructural evolution during solidification. However, while traditional CA approaches are relatively fast, they still require a substantial number of time steps, are limited to moderate volumes, and are relatively difficult to improve through parallelism due to the highly localized nature of the solidification front. Here, to address these issues of time to solution and load balancing, we introduce Toucan, a parallel, performance-portable, and scalable code written in C++ with the Kokkos library that leverages the discrete event inspired cellular automata (DECA) algorithm to perform parallel-in-time (PinT) grain growth simulations. Toucan effectively mitigates load balancing issues by distributing the computational workload more evenly across processors, enhancing scalability and efficiency. We conduct both strong and weak scaling studies on up to 64 GPUs on the Frontier supercomputer, demonstrating that Toucan significantly outperforms the current state-of-the-art, time-stepped CA code, ExaCA, on both single and multi-GPU simulations. Even in AM-specific weak scaling scenarios, Toucan maintains near-ideal scaling, in contrast to the linear increase observed with ExaCA due to the moving laser raster pattern. This study highlights Toucan’s potential to transform microstructural simulations in AM by radically improving both efficiency and scalability over existing methods.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

EV Charging Infrastructure Energization: An Overview of Approaches for Simplifying Processes and Accelerating Timelines to Processing EV Charging Load Service Requests

The United States has seen significant growth in electric vehicle (EV) adoption, leading to increased demand for EV charging infrastructure and electricity. Growth in electricity demand from EV charging, coupled with growth in other sectors like data centers and electrification of other sectors, is impacting electricity infrastructure and load service request processes after two decades of relatively flat electricity demand. While most electric vehicle charging occurs at home, enroute and depot charging for medium and heavy-duty vehicles, both using high-powered EV charging, are critical to meet electric vehicle operational needs. Over the past decade, EV charging infrastructure site developers, site hosts, and electric distribution utilities have navigated the process to integrate chargers onto the electric grid. Site developers and site hosts have expressed distress that the integration process for high-powered EV charging projects does not meet the needs of the EV market for timeliness or cost. High-powered charging stations typically require a load service request or an agreement with the local utility to connect to the grid. The process of energizing a new high-powered charging site can be complex and time consuming, often taking up to 2 years. This timeline is the result of current utility energization processes having been designed for construction projects that take longer to build (i.e., buildings). The specific challenges stem from various factors, including compartmentalization in application processes, the integration of EV charging process approvals with other distributed energy resources (DERs), and the need to ensure grid reliability. The energization process needs to evolve to meet the growing demand for high-powered EV charging. This white paper compiles information gathered through various conversations with key stakeholders, including utilities, utility regulators, EV charging operators, site developers, and authorities having jurisdiction (AHJ) as well as through an extensive literature review. This document identifies the challenges and provides potential solutions to streamline the process of connecting EV charging infrastructure to the power grid in the United States, serving as a starting point for future conversations around these solutions.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Cost-effective, Thin-film SOFCs for Reliable Power Generation (Final Report)

The project was aimed at developing and demonstrating an advanced solid-oxide fuel cell (SOFC) technology to cost-effectively and reliably generate electricity directly from hydrocarbon fuels (e.g., natural gas and coal-derived syngas) for distributed and central generation applications. The studied technology was built on a planar, porous metal-supported SOFC (MS-SOFC) with a unique thin-film structure having its anode intimately supported on a metal substrate. The porous metal support with graded porosity was fabricated from a low-cost scalable phase-inversion tape casting method. Anode, thin-film electrolyte, and cathode were sequentially deposited on the porous metal substrate using atmospheric plasma spray (APS). In this study, it was shown that the composition of the casting slurry could significantly influence the morphology of the metal support fabricated using the phase-inversion tape-casting method. Increasing the solid loading in the slurry favored the formation and growth of finger-like pores to a point, but the presence of excessive solid loading increased the viscosity of the casting slurry, restraining the growth of finger-like pores. With the increase in the amount of the binder polyethersulfone (PESf) in the slurry, well grown finger-like pores and a thin sponge-like layer were formed. Since the parameters of the APS process have a significant effect on the microstructure of coatings, which in turn affects or determines the SOFC cell performance, a series of metal-supported solid oxide fuel cells with a four-layer cell configuration of 430L/Ni-ScSZ/ScSZ/LSCF have been fabricated by a combination of phase inversion tape casting and APS techniques. Electrochemical testing of the cells fabricated from different deposition APS conditions revealed significant differences in cell performance.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Detecting damage in composites using volume decomposition analysis of tomographic data

Detection of damage in a single tow ceramic matrix composite specimen has been achieved using orthogonal decomposition of volumetric tomographic datasets collected at four tensile loads. This decomposition approach has been applied at two different length scales: (i) individual fibres and (ii) bulk volumes containing fibres and matrix material. Volumes were first decomposed to feature vectors, orders of magnitude smaller than the original volume they describe, and then comparisons between datasets at different load levels were made in feature vector space. The results show quantitative measurements of damage location, damage morphology and the relative growth of this damage with increased load when compared with a dataset with less or no damage. No prior knowledge of the dataset or training of algorithms is required for damage to be detected, it is only necessary that at least two datasets are available for comparison, e.g. from in situ or repeated scanning measurements. Results are generated on significantly shorter timescales when compared with previous automated approaches to tomography data processing. This approach has the potential to be applied to damage detection in a range of materials through comparisons of volumetric datasets from a range of measurement or computational techniques.

Middleton, Ceri A.↗

Early prediction of antigenic transitions for influenza A/H3N2

Influenza A/H3N2 is a rapidly evolving virus which experiences major antigenic transitions every two to eight years. Anticipating the timing and outcome of transitions is critical to developing effective seasonal influenza vaccines. Using a published phylodynamic model of influenza transmission, we identified indicators of future evolutionary success for an emerging antigenic cluster and quantified fundamental trade-offs in our ability to make such predictions. The eventual fate of a new cluster depends on its initial epidemiological growth rate––which is a function of mutational load and population susceptibility to the cluster––along with the variance in growth rate across co-circulating viruses. Logistic regression can predict whether a cluster at 5% relative frequency will eventually succeed with ~80% sensitivity, providing up to eight months advance warning. As a cluster expands, the predictions improve while the lead-time for vaccine development and other interventions decreases. However, attempts to make comparable predictions from 12 years of empirical influenza surveillance data, which are far sparser and more coarse-grained, achieve only 56% sensitivity. By expanding influenza surveillance to obtain more granular estimates of the frequencies of and population-wide susceptibility to emerging viruses, we can better anticipate major antigenic transitions. This provides added incentives for accelerating the vaccine production cycle to reduce the lead time required for strain selection.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Fatigue-crack propagation behavior in a high-carbon chromium SUJ2 bearing steel: Role of microstructure

High-carbon chromium martensite steels are commonly selected for bearing components in the power generation, automotive and aerospace industries where fatigue failure is a major concern. Accordingly, it is of importance to elucidate the structure-property relationships governing the fatigue properties of such bearing steels. Here, the role of microstructure in influencing the fatigue-crack propagation behavior of a high-carbon chromium SUJ2 bearing steel is examined with emphasis on three martensitic structures: (i) a fine-grained (~10 μm) structure with intragranular (but no intergranular) carbides, (ii) a coarser-grained (~25 μm) structure with discontinuous grain-boundary carbides primarily near triple junctions, and (iii) a coarse-grained (~31 μm) structure with continuous grain-boundary carbides. Although growth rates were fairly similar above ~10 -8 m/cycle, significant differences in behavior were observed at lower, near-threshold growth rates; specifically at a load ratio of 0.1, the ΔKth fatigue threshold was increased from 3.8 MPa m ½ in the fine-grained structure to 5.9 to 6.3 MPa m ½ in the two coarser-grained structures. The dominant factor governing such near-threshold behavior was found to be crack-tip shielding from roughness-induced crack closure, which was most pronounced in the coarser-grained structures; additionally, shielding from crack deflection and branching was apparent in these structures as the crack propagated through the network of intersecting martensite lamellae within the coarse grains. Compared to high-strength stainless steels and low-strength carbon steels, the fine-grained SUJ2 steel displays an exceptional combination of high strength and fatigue-crack growth resistance and is considered to be a superior structural alloy for bearing applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Highly Resolved Reference Projections of Building Energy Use for the Contiguous United States: Building Sector Energy Baselines, Projection Methods, and Results

This report describes one methodology of projecting energy consumption of the US residential and commercial building sectors using NREL's ResStock™ and ComStock™ as well as growth rates derived from EIA's Annual Energy Outlook (AEO). The impetus for this work is to provide an intermediate method for compiling demand-side sectoral energy projections that is suitable for grid-scale analysis, such as NREL's Standard Scenarios. ResStock and ComStock are physics-based and statistically representative building stock models of the US residential and commercial sector, respectively. Using the 2012 actual meteorological year (AMY) weather data, the sectoral energy baselines are simulated and then segmented along key dimensions (e.g., geography, dwelling/building type). The segmented results are then scaled using the corresponding annual growth rates derived from the 2021 AEO reference case to produce energy projections out to 2050. The compiled result is a demand-side grid model (dsgrid) data set suitable for use in NREL's large-scale grid models, such as the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS). This simple projection method does not endogenously represent how the building stock could evolve through time. Most notably, it does not reflect large-scale electrification, for example, the conversion of space heating, water heating, clothes drying, and cooking from primary fossil fuels to electricity, as this is not part of AEO's reference case assumptions. Nonetheless this approach is more resolved and potentially extensible compared to the current method used by Standard Scenarios's reference case, which augments a sector's total load based on a single growth rate from AEO.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Interplay of Three-Dimensional Instabilities and Magnetic Reconnection in the Explosive Onset of Magnetospheric Substorms

Magnetospheric substorms are preceded by a slow growth phase of magnetic flux loading and current sheet thinning in the tail. Extensive data sets have provided evidence of the triggering of instabilities at substorm onset, including magnetic reconnection and ballooning instabilities. Using an exact kinetic magnetotail equilibrium we present particle-in-cell simulations which capture the explosive nature of substorms through a disruption of the dipolarization front by the ballooning instability. We use self-consistent particle tracking to determine the nonthermal particle acceleration mechanisms.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Analysis of furnace contamination on superconducting radio frequency niobium using secondary-ion mass spectrometry

Detection of surface contamination on niobium materials used in superconducting radio frequency (SRF) applications is difficult due to quantitative sensitivity and near-atomic depth resolution needed. Inspection of samples known to have experienced surface contamination was found to have inconsistent nitride coverage after high-temperature nitrogen gas exposure (“doping”). Here we compare contaminating species found on samples treated in several different vacuum furnaces, both “exposed” directly in the chamber and “protected” by containment shielding from evaporative sources with “furnace caps.” Typically, furnace caps are used to impede contamination from reaching the interior surface of cavities during the high-temperature vacuum bake that immediately precedes exposure to nitrogen gas. Although, to date, little is known about the effectiveness of these caps, SIMS results showed that they were effective in limiting contamination arising from the furnace environment. Inspection of sample surfaces by SEM showed a lack of nitrides present on contaminated specimens. TEM with energy dispersive spectroscopy performed on these samples revealed that a carbon-rich layer now existed, indicating that a relatively high contaminant load prevents the nucleation and growth of surface nitrides, while thus inhibiting interstitial nitrogen uptake. Except in extreme cases, subsequent removal of the top several micrometers of the surface via electropolishing appears to effectively eliminate any strong influence on the subsequent SRF cavity performance. With the absence of furnace cleaning, carbon contamination was found to be nearly 10× higher for protected nitrogen-doped and electropolished samples, with minimal metallic contamination detected for both processes. SIMS analysis was also performed to compare the cleanliness of samples fully prepared by such nitrogen “doping” with those prepared by a related process, involving the dissolution of niobium surface oxide and diffusion of oxygen into the surface. This oxygen doping or alloying process offers attractive advantages.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Design Methods, Tools, and Data for Ceramic Solar Receivers

This report presents the development of tools and methods for evaluating the reliability and performance of ceramic materials in high temperature solar receivers. As Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) technologies aim for higher operating temperatures to enhance efficiency and meet industrial process heat requirements, current high temperature metallic materials face challenges in maintaining structural integrity. This report explores advanced ceramics as a promising alternative, given their superior high temperature strength and lower thermal expansion, compared to metals. To address the need for effective ceramic receiver design tools, this report integrates statistical failure models of ceramics into the existing srlife tool: an open-source software package designed to estimate the life of high temperature CSP components. These failure models account for the inherent variability and flaw distribution in ceramics, as well as the impact of subcritical crack growth under high temperature cyclic loads. The report also presents experimental data collected for a commercially available ceramic material, SiC, and details the process of estimating reliability model parameters from these data. A comparative design analysis is then performed between ceramic (SiC) and metallic (current nickel-based superalloys A740H and A282) receiver. This comparison demonstrates that SiC receivers can achieve service life exceeding 30 years under high incident heat flux conditions, compared to just a few years for metallic receivers.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The Modified Void Nucleation and Growth Model (MNAG) for Damage Evolution in BCC Ta

A void coalescence term was proposed as an addition to the original void nucleation and growth (NAG) model to accurately describe void evolution under dynamic loading. The new model, termed as modified void nucleation and growth model (MNAG model), incorporated analytic equations to explicitly account for the evolution of the void number density and the void volume fraction (damage) during void nucleation, growth, as well as the coalescence stage. The parameters in the MNAG model were fitted to molecular dynamics (MD) shock data for single-crystal and nanocrystalline Ta, and the corresponding nucleation, growth, and coalescence rates were extracted. The results suggested that void nucleation, growth, and coalescence rates were dependent on the orientation as well as grain size. Compared to other models, such as NAG, Cocks–Ashby, Tepla, and Tonks, which were only able to reproduce early or later stage damage evolution, the MNAG model was able to reproduce all stages associated with nucleation, growth, and coalescence. The MNAG model could provide the basis for hydrodynamic simulations to improve the fidelity of the damage nucleation and evolution in 3-D microstructures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Logistic function as a characteristic of multipactor development

Simulations of multipacting with or without space charge effect bring out a different behavior of particle number growth, namely, the exponential growth of particle number in the simulations without space charge effect and the saturation of particle number (or collision and emission currents) when space charge is considered. That creates a certain confusion in evaluation and comparison of overall danger of multipactor between the approaches. On the other hand, both growth rate and total multipactor current loading at saturation are important for multipactor barriers evaluation. It was noticed and then verified that the logistic function, widely used in chemistry, biology, and ecosystem study, reproduces the particle number growth curves remarkably well. The function contains the parameters, which can be interpreted as particle number growth rate and multipactor current saturation level, so both become correlated and obtained simultaneously in one run. In this work it is shown how the logistic function can be used for characterization of the multipactor barriers and how it can be used for possible reduction of simulation time in the simulations with space charge effect.

Romanov, Gennady↗

Study on Conversion from an Existing Alternating Current Medium-Voltage Line to a Direct Current Line: A Case of Load or Source Expansion

Simultaneous increase of power generation through renewable systems and load due owing to the rapid growth in electrified road transportation systems, leads to new challenges in the design, operation, and protection of distribution-level electrical power systems. This paper addresses challenges related to the integration of new sources or loads to a distribution grid through long alternating current lines. The International Council on Large Electric Systems medium-voltage benchmark model developed for North America was used for simulation studies. Use cases were developed to illuminate the issues related to long alternating current lines and the usefulness of medium-voltage direct current lines in a distribution network.

Jaldanki, Sreenivasa↗

EV Charging Infrastructure Energization An Overview of Approaches for Simplifying and Accelerating Timelines to Processing EV Charging Load Service Requests

The United States has seen significant growth in electric vehicle (EV) adoption, leading to increased demand for EV charging infrastructure. Over the past decade, EV charging infrastructure site developers, site hosts, and electric distribution utilities have navigated the process to integrate chargers onto the electric grid. Site developers and site hosts have raised the alarm that the integration process for high-powered EV charging projects does not meet the needs of the EV market for timeliness or cost. High-powered charging stations typically require a load service request or an agreement with the local utility to connect to the grid. The process of energizing a new high-powered charging site can be complex and time-consuming, often taking up to 2 years. This timeline is the result of current utility energization processes having been designed for construction projects that take longer to build (i.e., buildings). The specific challenges stem from various factors, including compartmentalization in application processes, the integration of EV charging process approvals with other distributed energy resources (DERs), and the need to ensure grid reliability. The energization process needs to evolve to meet the growing demand for high-powered EV charging. This white paper compiles information gathered through various conversations with key stakeholders, including utilities, utility regulators, EV charging operators, site developers, and authorities having jurisdiction (AHJ) as well as through an extensive literature review. This document identifies the challenges and provides potential solutions to streamline the process of connecting EV charging infrastructure to the power grid in the United States, serving as a starting point for future conversations around these solutions. The solutions noted in this white paper require collaborative efforts among utilities, regulators, and EV charging infrastructure developers to streamline the grid connection process for EV charging infrastructure. They are broadly organized into four areas: 1. Increase data access and transparency: Develop automated load service request tools, integrate hosting capacity and load service request analyses, incorporate EV adoption forecasts, and provide transparency on the processing queue. 2. Improve energization processes and timing: Create fast-track options based on prescreening criteria, provide flexibility or phased approvals in the load service request/interconnection process, build internal knowledge within utilities about EV charging technologies, and provide standardized workforce training. 3. Promote economic efficiency: Right size distribution components to accurately reflect the load requirements of EV charging infrastructure, make proactive investments in grid infrastructure based on EV adoption forecasts and growth projections, and consider energy equity and environmental justice factors such as equitable access to EV charging when planning infrastructure. 4. Improve grid reliability and resilience: Use load management/power control systems (PCS) at EV charging stations, adopt and implement harmonized standards for communication protocols and information models between the EV charging and grid control infrastructure, and address cybersecurity considerations by implementing robust security measures and standards for EV charging infrastructure—with particular emphasis on clarifying the security requirements for the interface to the grid. The objective of the solutions proposed in this white paper is to accelerate the timeline and decrease costs associated with connecting EV charging infrastructure to the grid. Electric utilities, utility regulators, EV charging infrastructure developers, and site hosts will first need to understand which solutions are available in their service territory, and if warranted, which combination of solutions would support their specific needs. Through the successful implementations of solutions at scale detailed here, industry will demonstrate a new and innovative ecosystem where timely deployment and energization of EV charging infrastructure with greater grid resiliency and reliability is a reality.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Intensive and extensive margins of the peak load: Measuring adaptation with mixed frequency panel data

In this work we investigate the response of daily electricity peak load to daily maximum temperatures across states in Europe and India. We propose a method that decomposes short- from medium/long-run effects, retains the high frequency nature of the load-weather covariation and treats economic growth as a modulating factor. By simultaneously exploiting variation in unexpected daily weather anomalies and decade-long climatic changes in each location we decompose transitory - intensive margin - adjustments from permanent - extensive margin - adjustments. We find that the shocks over the long-run differ substantially from the short-run dynamics. Furthermore, we find evidence that per capita income modulates the adjustments over the short- and long-run. We project that in response to climate change around 2050 the peak load may increase by up to 20%-30% in Southern Europe and in several states in India, depending on the degree of warming and the evolution of socio-economic conditions. Even with a limited scope to two world regions, we identify that the structure of the economy and differences in future income growth matter in shaping the adaptation to climate change. Our decomposition allows to identify how future weather anomalies can further amplify the relative increase associated to the shift in the climate norm. Assuming that the interannual variability of maximum temperatures follows the distribution observed in the past, we find a doubling of the impacts of climate change during the summer in Europe. Uncertainty around the distribution of future weather anomalies may lead to further unexpected peak load amplifications. Our results have important policy implications for power systems’ generation capacity, transmission and storage, as we show that the challenges to accommodate the peak load in days with extreme temperatures may substantially increase already around mid-century.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗