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At least 109 records · Page 6

Model predictive control for demand flexibility: Real-world operation of a commercial building with photovoltaic and battery systems

Hundreds of studies have investigated Model Predictive Control (MPC) for the optimal operation of building energy systems in the past two decades. However, MPC field tests are still uncommon, especially for small- and medium-sized commercial buildings and for buildings integrated with onsite renewables. This paper describes the implementation and the long-term performance evaluation of an MPC controller in a small commercial building equipped with behind-the-meter photovoltaics and electrochemical batteries. MPC controls space conditioning, commercial refrigeration, and the battery system. We tested two types of demand flexibility applications in the field: electricity bill minimization under time-of-use tariffs and responses to grid flexibility events. Results show that the proposed controller achieves 12% of annual electricity cost savings and 34% peak demand reduction against the baseline, while respecting thermal comfort and food safety. The field tests also demonstrate the ability of the MPC controller to provide a multitude of grid services including real-time pricing, demand limiting, load shedding, load shifting, and load tracking, using the same optimization framework.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Emerging Flexible Designs for Geospatial Multimodal Foundation Models

Foundation models are rapidly transforming Earth observation by enabling scalable pretraining across diverse unlabeled geospatial modalities. However, their architectural diversity—ranging from encoder-only to encoder-decoder and masked autoencoding paradigms—makes it challenging to assess performance trade-offs in a consistent manner. In this work, we present an apples-to-apples comparison of leading FM architectures designed for geospatial multimodal reasoning, with a particular focus on flexibility across varied spectral band configurations. We standardize pretraining using identical self-supervised learning objectives and training datasets, and evaluate all models under consistent parameterization on the GEOBench benchmark across classification and segmentation tasks. Our results offer new insights into the design trade-offs between model flexibility, modality alignment, and downstream task performance. By highlighting architectural strengths and limitations under controlled conditions, this study provides practical guidance for building next-generation geospatial foundation models capable of robust multimodal reasoning.

Ambrozio Dias, Philipe [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000194277↗

Tri-Level Scheduling Model Considering Residential Demand Flexibility of Aggregated HVACs and EVs Under Distribution LMP

Residential loads, especially heating, ventilation and air conditioners (HVACs) and electric vehicles (EVs), have great potentials to provide demand flexibility which is an attribute of grid-interactive efficient buildings (GEB). Under this new paradigm, first, EV and HVAC aggregator models are developed in this paper to represent the fleet of GEBs, in which the aggregated parameters are obtained based on a new approach of data generation and least squares parameter estimation (DG-LSPE), which can deal with heterogeneous HVACs. Then, a tri-level bidding and dispatching framework is established based on competitive distribution operation with distribution locational marginal price (DLMP). Furthermore, the first two levels form a bilevel model to optimize the aggregators’ payment and to represent the interdependency between load aggregators and the distribution system operator (DSO) using DLMP, and the third level is to dispatch the optimal load aggregation to all residents by the proposed priority list-based demand dispatching algorithm. Finally, case studies on a modified IEEE 33-Bus system illustrate three main technical reasons of payment reduction due to demand flexibility: load shift, DLMP step changes, and power losses. They can be used as general guidelines for better decision-making for future planning and operation of demand response programs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Review of Lattice-Boltzmann Models Coupled with Geochemical Modeling Applied for Simulation of Advanced Waterflooding and Enhanced Oil Recovery Processes

To maintain economic profit and improve the oil production efficiency after the primary and secondary production phase, advanced waterflooding techniques such as low salinity waterflooding in carbonate reservoirs have been investigated in numerical simulations, laboratory experiments, and field pilot tests. Multiple underlying mechanisms have been proposed based on these studies, and they are still under debate. Various numerical modeling approaches are introduced, but there exists a lack of a pore-scale comprehensive modeling scheme to fully understand the processes. Lattice-Boltzmann method (LBM) is a type of numerical fluid flow modeling technique that shows capabilities and flexibilities in modeling pore-scale fluid flow to integrate physical–chemical processes within complex structures. The intrinsic feature of LBM makes it a promising framework for simulating advanced waterflooding due to its flexibility, accuracy, and parallel efficiency. LBM works either by itself for solving reactive transport problems or by coupling with a third-party reaction solver. This review mainly introduces the LBM fluid flow and reactive transport capabilities and the concept and modeling approaches to simulate advanced waterflooding techniques. Meanwhile, an evaluation of the coupled LBM models for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) simulations is discussed with future research challenges and directions concluded.

02 PETROLEUM↗

C3F: Collaborative Container-based Model Coupling Framework

Solving complex real-world grand challenge problems requires in-depth collaboration of researchers from multiple disciplines. Such collaboration often involves harnessing multiscale and multi-dimensional data and combining models from different fields to simulate systems. However, the progress on this front has been limited mainly due to significant gaps in domain knowledge and tools that are typically employed in silos of the domains. Researchers from different fields face considerable barriers to understanding and reusing each other’s data/models in order to collaborate effectively. For example, in solving the global sustainability problems, researchers from hydrology, climate science, agriculture, and economics need to run their respective models to study different components of the global and local food, energy and water systems while, at the same time, need to interact with other researchers and integrate the results of one model with another. Developing this kind of model coupling workflow calls for (1) a large amount of data being processed and exchanged across domains and organizations, (2) identifying and processing the output of one model to make it ready for integration into another model, (3) controlling the workflow dynamically so that it runs until a certain convergence condition or other criteria is met, and (4) close collaboration among the modelers to explore, tune, and test the configuration and data transformation needed to link the models. We have developed C3F, a flexible collaborative model coupling framework to help researchers accelerate their model integration and linking efforts by leveraging advanced cyberinfrastructure such as high-performance computing and virtual containers. In this paper, we describe our experience and lessons learned in developing this cyberinfrastructure solution to support the linking of Water Balance Model (WBM) and SIMPLE-G agricultural economic model in an NSF funded INFEWS project and a DOE-funded Program on Coupled Human and Earth Systems (PCHES) to study the implications of groundwater scarcity for food-energy-water systems. The C3F model coupling framework can be extended to facilitate other model linkages as well.

containerization↗

TChem-atm (v2.0.0): scalable performance-portable multiphase atmospheric chemistry

We present TChem-atm, a performance-portable approach that enables efficient simulation of chemically detailed and multiphase atmospheric chemistry on modern heterogeneous computing architectures. Unlike previous efforts that rely on architecture-specific code or focus exclusively on gas-phase chemistry, TChem-atm supports fully coupled gas–aerosol systems with execution across CPUs, NVIDIA GPUs, and AMD GPUs through the Kokkos programming model. It integrates the flexible multiphase capabilities of the Community Atmospheric Model Chemistry Package (CAMP) with the high-performance kinetic routines of TChem, and includes automatic Jacobian construction with support for a range of stiff ODE solvers. In a proof-of-concept integration with the particle-resolved model PartMC, TChem-atm reproduces the existing PartMC–CAMP implementation within solver tolerances and delivers substantial GPU speedups, especially for large particle populations. Performance benchmarks reveal substantial speedups on GPU platforms, particularly for large particle populations, with consistent results across hardware backends. TChem-atm enables performance-portable execution across CPUs and GPUs, though optimal efficiency may require modest architecture-specific tuning (e.g., team and vector sizes), with up to a twofold improvement on the NVIDIA H100. It directly supports sectional and particle-resolved host models, while modal aerosol schemes require minor adaptation to provide particle-scale quantities such as representative diameters. By enabling chemically detailed, multiphase simulations with performance portability and host-model flexibility, TChem-atm facilitates the incorporation of advanced chemistry into atmospheric models.

Díaz-Ibarra, Oscar Homero [Sandia National Laborat↗

Toward the Prediction and Control of Glass Transition Temperature for Donor–Acceptor Polymers

Semiconducting donor–acceptor (D–A) polymers have attracted considerable attention toward the application of organic electronic and optoelectronic devices. However, a rational design rule for making semiconducting polymers with desired thermal and mechanical properties is currently lacking, which greatly limits the development of new polymers for advanced applications. Here, polydiketopyrrolopyrrole (PDPP)-based D–A polymers with varied alkyl side-chain lengths and backbone moieties are systematically designed, followed by investigating their thermal and thin film mechanical responses. The experimental results show a reduction in both elastic modulus and glass transition temperature (Tg) with increasing side-chain length, which is further verified through coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations. Informed from experimental results, a mass-per-flexible bond model is developed to capture such observation through a linear correlation between Tg and polymer chain flexibility. Using this model, a wide range of backbone Tg over 80 °C and elastic modulus over 400 MPa can be predicted for PDPP-based polymers. This study highlights the important role of side-chain structure in influencing the thermomechanical performance of conjugated polymers, and provides an effective strategy to design and predict Tg and elastic modulus of future new D–A polymers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multi-Scale Thermal Analysis for Design of SiC-Based Medium Voltage Motor Drive: Preprint

This paper describes a multi-scale thermal analysis approach for the design of an air-cooled 1.7-kV SiC MOSFET-based medium-voltage variable-speed motor drive. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory supported the project objectives by providing thermal management design support to the project partner The Ohio State University (OSU). The scope of the models and limited resources required efficient and flexible thermal models to be developed. Two modeling techniques are described that significantly reduced model run time and enabled more complex models to be run faster while retaining needed accuracy. The first technique uses the effectiveness-NTU method to extract convection boundary conditions from a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model that can be applied to a fast-running finite element analysis model. The second is a porous media technique that enables system-level CFD simulations that incorporate effects from heat exchangers (e.g., pin fin heat sinks) that run in a fraction of the time required for fully resolved CFD simulations. The multi-scale approach to the thermal analysis enabled fast and accurate simulation for the converter design ranging from the die level up to the full system with 36 submodules. The modeling results were validated against experimental data from system tests performed by OSU.

DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Moving Beyond Direct Load Control: A Maturity Model for Realizing the Promise of Demand Flexibility

This report discusses a new maturity model that regulators and utilities can use to guide and expand demand flexibility programs and enable the resources to provide more grid services. The model has six demand flexibility categories: planning and design; customer engagement; program operations; evaluation, measurement and verification; distributed energy resource orchestration; and data infrastructure. Within each category, capabilities are identified and described on a maturity scale that ranges from performing below expectations to improving on best practices.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Modeling the Impact of Flexible CHP on the Future Electric Grid In California

Combined heat and power (CHP) systems provide electricity and process heat at more than 4,400 industrial and commercial facilities across the United States. Typically fueled with natural gas, a CHP system combines a prime mover (such as a reciprocating engine) with a generator and heat recovery equipment, allowing operation at very high efficiencies (65–85%). Traditionally, CHP systems have been configured to serve local electrical and thermal loads at the sites where they are deployed. Units are sized to ensure a high capacity factor for the equipment, and the electricity generated tends to be used on site. CHP units in the United States already generate over 12% of the nation’s electricity. However, CHP’s potential benefits could be much greater if power generated could be used beyond the site, because the analysis was performed under the assumption that sites could use all the thermal output. Analysis of a few key sectors confirmed that this assumption is valid (for more information, see Appendix E). Those benefits could include improved grid reliability and resilience, as well as lower-cost options for providing energy and other grid services. The potential benefits also align well with grid modernization objectives, as shown in Combined heat and power (CHP) systems provide electricity and process heat at more than 4,400 industrial and commercial facilities across the United States., and greater electrification of loads, driven by carbon reduction priorities.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

PopGNN: Graph Neural Network-Based Flexible Future Population Forecasting Model

Accurate population forecasts is important to plan critical infrastructure and services, from housing and education to healthcare and transport. However, traditional population prediction studies have only employed traditional machine learning models limited to capture complex spatial interdependencies and patterns. Althogh recently computer vision-based framework was introduced with with promising accuracy, it has critical limitations for real-world planning applications: it function only at fixed spatial resolutions, restricting their use in diverse boundaries such as census tracts, neighborhoods, or administrative zones. Therefore, this study suggests a Graph Neural Network (GNN)-based population prediction framework, called PopGNN. This model recorded remarkable performance compared with state-of-the-art models and traditional baseline models in the grid and administrative boundaries. Furthermore, our framework achieved comparable predictive accuracy to a computer vision-based model in both the South Korea and Tennessee case studies. Consequently, this study is valuable in that a single model can provide accurate population forecasts that address diverse planning demands, ranging from granular grid-level estimates for precise service allocation and facility location planning to aggregate administrative-level forecasts for macro-scale regional policy and resource distribution.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Octofitter: Fast, Flexible, and Accurate Orbit Modeling to Detect Exoplanets

As next-generation imaging instruments and interferometers search for planets closer to their stars, they must contend with increasing orbital motion and longer integration times. These compounding effects make it difficult to detect faint planets but also present an opportunity. Increased orbital motion makes it possible to move the search for planets into the orbital domain, where direct images can be freely combined with the radial velocity and proper motion anomaly, even without a confirmed detection in any single epoch. In this paper, we present a fast and differentiable multimethod orbit-modeling and planet detection code called Octofitter. This code is designed to be highly modular and allows users to easily adjust priors, change parameterizations, and specify arbitrary function relations between the parameters of one or more planets. Octofitter further supplies tools for examining model outputs including prior and posterior predictive checks and simulation-based calibration. We demonstrate the capabilities of Octofitter on real and simulated data from different instruments and methods, including HD 91312, simulated JWST/NIRISS aperture masking interferometry observations, radial velocity curves, and grids of images from the Gemini Planet Imager. We show that Octofitter can reliably recover faint planets in long sequences of images with arbitrary orbital motion. This publicly available tool will enable the broad application of multiepoch and multimethod exoplanet detection, which could improve how future targeted ground- and space-based surveys are performed. Finally, its rapid convergence makes it a useful addition to the existing ecosystem of tools for modeling the orbits of directly imaged planets.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

OCHRE™ (Object-Oriented Controllable High-Resolution Residential Energy Model) [SWR-19-71]

OCHRE™: Object-Oriented Controllable High-Resolution Residential Energy Model A high-fidelity, high-resolution residential building model with behind-the-meter DERs and flexible load models that integrates with controllers and distribution models in building-to-grid co-simulation platforms. The full documentation for OCHRE can be found at https://ochre-docs-final.readthedocs.io/en/latest/

Maguire, Jeffrey↗

Gravitational waves from binary neutron star mergers with a spectral equation of state

In numerical simulations of binary neutron star systems, the equation of state of the dense neutron star matter is an important factor in determining both the physical realism and the numerical accuracy of the simulations. Some equations of state used in simulations are C 2 or smoother in the pressure/density relationship function, such as a polytropic equation of state, but may not have the flexibility to model stars or remnants of different masses while keeping their radii within known astrophysical constraints. Other equations of state, such as tabular or piece-wise polytropic, may be flexible enough to model additional physics and multiple stars' masses and radii within known constraints, but are not as smooth, resulting in additional numerical error. We will study in this paper a recently developed family of equation of state, using a spectral expansion with sufficient free parameters to allow for a larger flexibility than current polytropic equations of state, and with sufficient smoothness to reduce numerical errors compared to tabulated or piece-wise polytropic equations of state. We perform simulations at three mass ratios with a common chirp mass, using two distinct spectral equations of state, and at multiple numerical resolutions. We evaluate the gravitational waves produced from these simulations, comparing the phase error between resolutions and equations of state, as well as with respect to analytical models. From our simulations we estimate that the phase difference at merger for binaries with a dimensionless weighted tidal deformability difference greater than Δ$\tilde{Λ}$=55 can be captured by the SpEC code for these equations of state.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Predicting Melt Curves of Energetic Materials Using Molecular Models

Here, in this work, the solid–liquid coexistence curves of classical fully flexible atomistic models of α-RDX and β-HMX were calculated using thermodynamically rigorous methodologies that identify where the free energy difference between the phases is zero. The free energy difference between each phase at a given state point was computed using the pseudosupercritical path (PSCP) method, and Gibbs–Helmholtz integration was used to evaluate the solid–liquid free energy difference as a function of temperature. This procedure was repeated for several pressures to determine points along the coexistence curve, which were then fit to the Simon–Glatzel functional form. While effective, this method is computationally expensive. An alternative approach is to compute the melting point at a single pressure via the PSCP method, and then use the Gibbs–Duhem integration technique to trace out the coexistence curve in a more computationally economical manner. Both approaches were used to determine the coexistence curve of α-RDX. The Gibbs–Duhem integration method was shown to generate a melt curve that is in good agreement with the PSCP-derived melt curve, while only costing ~10 % of the computational resources used for the PSCP method. For α-RDX, the predicted melting temperature increases significantly more for a given increase in pressure when compared to available experimental data.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

NRC Multiphysics Analysis Capability Deployment (FY2020--Part 3)

This report details progress and activities of Idaho National Laboratory (INL) on the NRC project ”Development and Modeling Support for Advanced Non-Light Water Reactors.” The tasks completed for this report are as follows: First, Task 2c: Explicit modeling of pebble transient temperature response. In this simulation, the PBMR-400 reactor experiences a 20 second power ramp from 100% to 150% power. This is followed by a similar reduction in the power back to 100%. Several multiscale pebble coupling approaches are tested with one pebble per mesh element in the active core region. The results show good conservation behavior and the stability of the coupling. Next, Extended scope part 1: An assessment of the computational efficiency of the DFEM heat transfer solver shows good scalability. The DFEM solver is a factor of 4 more expensive in solution time than the FEM solver for heat transfer problems due to the increased number of degrees of freedom. Nonetheless, the DFEM approach provides the user with the flexibility to model gap heat transfer problems. Then Extended scope part 2: the GapHeatTransferInterfaceMaterial was improved to give the user increased flexibility with the modeling of heat transfer through gaps with the DFEM solver. A number of gap parameters can now be coupled both through functions and variables. Finally, Extended scope part 3: demonstration of how the gap width between hexagonal fuel cells can be calculated during a heat up transient and used in the GapHeat- TransferInterface model. A full domain DFEM model with gap expansion is coupled to a SubApp that models the thermal expansion of the base plate. The results show the expected physical behavior, although have not been fully bench- marked at this point in time.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

NRC Multiphysics Analysis Capability Deployment FY2020: Part 3

This report details progress and activities of Idaho National Laboratory (INL) on the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) project “Development and Modeling Sup- port for Advanced Non-Light Water Reactors.” The tasks completed for this report are: Task2c: Explicit modeling of pebble transient temperature response. In this simulation, the 400 MWth Pebble-Bed Modular Reactor (PBMR) design, PBMR- 400, experiences a 20-second power ramp from 100% to 150% power. This is followed by a similar reduction in the power back to 100%. Several multiscale pebble coupling approaches are tested with one pebble per mesh element in the active core region. The results show good conservation behavior and the stability of the coupling.; Extended scope part 1: An assessment of the computational efficiency of the Discontinuous Finite Element Method (DFEM) heat transfer solver shows good scalability. The DFEM solver is a factor of 4 more expensive in solution time than the Finite Element Method (FEM) solver for heat transfer problems due to the increased number of degrees of freedom. Nonetheless, the DFEM approach provides the user with the flexibility to model gap heat transfer problems.; Extended scope part 2: The GapHeatTransferInterfaceMaterial was improved to give the user increased flexibility with the modeling of heat transfer through gaps with the DFEM solver. A number of gap parameters can now be coupled both through functions and variables.; Extended scope part 3: Demonstration of how the gap width between hexagonal fuel cells can be calculated during a heat-up transient and used in the GapHeatTransferInterface model. A full-domain DFEM model with gap expansion is coupled to a SubApp that models the thermal expansion of the base plate. The results show the expected physical behavior, although have not been fully bench-marked at this point in time.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Implementation of the Glued Sphere Discrete Element Model for Non-Spherical Particles in MFiX Software

To enhance solver capabilities, simulation flexibility and model validation within the MFiX software, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is funding efforts to develop and integrate the glued-sphere discrete element method into the latest version of MFiX as a dedicated computational module. The glued-sphere discrete element method is a numerical technique to depict the behavior of non-spherical particles in granular flows or particulate systems by representing them as a collection of component spheres. These spheres are bonded together to approximate the shape and mechanical/chemical properties of a more complex particle. The method effectively reuses the existing sphere-sphere collision algorithm, interphase momentum and heat transfer calculations utilized in the traditional discrete element method, extending these capabilities to non-spherical particles. Additionally, this method explicitly resolves intra-particle temperature and species distributions. The MFiX glued-sphere computational module includes tools for generating glued sphere configurations, a dedicated solver, and visualization capabilities in post-processing. More specifically within the computational module, collision detection and calculations were first performed on component spheres and then mapped onto non-spherical particles. The linear spring-dashpot model was utilized to simulate the sphere-sphere interactions.

Ke, Renjie↗