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At least 109 records · Page 6

Analytical model of high pressure burning rates in a transient environment

A transient ballistics and combustion model is derived to represent the closed vessel experiment that is widely used to characterize the high pressure burning rates of solid propellants. The model is applied to explain why burning rates deduced from the closed vessel are in basic agreement with those measured from an equilibrium strand burner in the case of homogeneous propellants, but differ significantly in the case of nitramine composite propellants. Thermal profile time lag effects become small at high pressure because the burning rates become high. However, the development of the burning surface structure of those nitramine propellants which exhibit shifts in pressure exponent causes the mass burning rate to lag and then exceed the equilibrium value. It is necessary to consider this mechanism in applications dealing with high pressures and pressurization rates.

Cohen, N. S.↗

Ensemble PM2.5 Forecasting during the 2018 Camp Fire Event Using the HYSPLIT Transport and Dispersion Model

Biomass burning releases a vast amount of aerosols into the atmosphere, often leading to severe air quality and health problems. Prediction of the air quality effects from biomass burning emissions is challenging due to uncertainties in fire emission, plume rise calculation, and other model inputs/processes. Ensemble forecasting is increasingly used to represent model uncertainties. In this paper, an ensemble forecast was conducted to predict surface PM2.5 during the 2018 California Camp Fire event using the NOAA HYSPLIT dispersion model at 0.1- degree horizontal resolution. Different combinations of four satellite-based fire emission datasets (FEER, FLAMBE, GBBEPx and GFAS), two plume rise schemes (Briggs and Sofiev), various meteorology inputs and model setup options were used to create the forecast ensemble, for a total of 112 experiments. The performance of each ensemble member and the ensemble mean were evaluated using ground-based observations, with four statistical metrics and an overall rank. The ensemble spread of the 112 members reached 1000 μg/m3, highlighting the large uncertainty in wildfire forecast. The ensemble mean displayed the best performance. Each fire emission product contributed to one or more members among the top ten performers, revealing the forecasting dependence on both the quality of fire emissions data and model representation of emission, transport and removal processes. In addition, an ensemble size reduction technique was introduced. With the help of this technique, the ensemble size was reduced from 112 to 28 members and still produced an ensemble mean that yielded comparable or even better performance to that of the full ensemble.

Biomass Burning↗

Response of the global climate to changes in atmospheric chemical composition due to fossil fuel burning

Recent modeling of atmospheric chemical processes (Logan et al, 1978; Hameed et al, 1979) suggests that tropospheric ozone and methane might significantly increase in the future as the result of increasing anthropogenic emissions of CO, NO(x), and CH4 due to fossil fuel burning. Since O3 and CH4 are both greenhouse gases, increases in their concentrations could augment global warming due to larger future amounts of atmospheric CO2. To test the possible climatic impact of changes in tropospheric chemical composition, a zonal energy-balance climate model has been combined with a vertically averaged tropospheric chemical model. The latter model includes all relevant chemical reactions which affect species derived from H2O, O2, CH4, and NO(x). The climate model correspondingly incorporates changes in the infrared heating of the surface-troposphere system resulting from chemically induced changes in tropospheric ozone and methane. This coupled climate-chemical model indicates that global climate is sensitive to changes in emissions of CO, NO(x) and CH4, and that future increases in these emissions could augment global warming due to increasing atmospheric CO2.

Hameed, S.↗

Interpreting machine learning prediction of fire emissions and comparison with FireMIP process-based models

Annual burned areas in the United States have increased 2-fold during the past decades. With more large fires resulting in more emissions of fine particulate matter, an accurate prediction of fire emissions is critical for quantifying the impacts of fires on air quality, human health, and climate. This study aims to construct a machine learning (ML) model with game-theory interpretation to predict monthly fire emissions over the contiguous US (CONUS) and to understand the controlling factors of fire emissions. The optimized ML model is used to diagnose the process-based models in the Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP) to inform future development. Results show promising performance for the ML model, Community Land Model (CLM), and Joint UK Land Environment Simulator-Interactive Fire And Emission Algorithm For Natural Environments (JULES-INFERNO) in reproducing the spatial distributions, seasonality, and interannual variability of fire emissions over the CONUS. Regional analysis shows that only the ML model and CLM simulate the realistic interannual variability of fire emissions for most of the subregions (r >0.95 for ML and r =0.14~0.70 for CLM), except for Mediterranean California, where all the models perform poorly (r =0.74 for ML and r <0.30 for the FireMIP models). Regarding seasonality, most models capture the peak emission in July over the western US. However, all models except for the ML model fail to reproduce the bimodal peaks in July and October over Mediterranean California, which may be explained by the smaller wind speeds of the atmospheric forcing data during Santa Ana wind events and limitations in model parameterizations for capturing the effects of Santa Ana winds on fire activity. Furthermore, most models struggle to capture the spring peak in emissions in the southeastern US, probably due to underrepresentation of human effects and the influences of winter dryness on fires in the models. As for extreme events, both the ML model and CLM successfully reproduce the frequency map of extreme emission occurrence but overestimate the number of months with extremely large fire emissions. Comparing the fire PM 2.5 emissions from the ML model with process-based fire models highlights their strengths and uncertainties for regional analysis and prediction and provides useful insights into future directions for model improvements.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Fault Diagnostics and Prognostics for Large Segmented SRMs

We report progress in development of the fault diagnostic and prognostic (FD&P) system for large segmented solid rocket motors (SRMs). The model includes the following main components: (i) 1D dynamical model of internal ballistics of SRMs; (ii) surface regression model for the propellant taking into account erosive burning; (iii) model of the propellant geometry; (iv) model of the nozzle ablation; (v) model of a hole burning through in the SRM steel case. The model is verified by comparison of the spatially resolved time traces of the flow parameters obtained in simulations with the results of the simulations obtained using high-fidelity 2D FLUENT model (developed by the third party). To develop FD&P system of a case breach fault for a large segmented rocket we notice [1] that the stationary zero-dimensional approximation for the nozzle stagnation pressure is surprisingly accurate even when stagnation pressure varies significantly in time during burning tail-off. This was also found to be true for the case breach fault [2]. These results allow us to use the FD&P developed in our earlier research [3]-[6] by substituting head stagnation pressure with nozzle stagnation pressure. The axial corrections to the value of the side thrust due to the mass addition are taken into account by solving a system of ODEs in spatial dimension.

Luchinsky, Dmitry↗

Experimental and Kinetic Modeling Study of Laminar Burning Velocities of Cyclopentanone and Its Binary Mixtures with Ethanol and n-Propanol

Cyclopentanone is a promising biofuel that can enable more efficient engine operation and increase the fuel economy of the light duty fleet over current and planned technology developments. While the ignition of cyclopentanone has been investigated in detail, more studies on the laminar burning velocities of cyclopentanone are called for. In this work, the laminar burning velocities of cyclopentanone (C 5 H 8 O) have been measured using the heat flux and spherical flame methods at 1 atm, equivalence ratios from 0.7 to 1.6, and initial temperatures of 328, 353, and 428 K. To further investigate the relationship between the molecular structure and laminar burning velocity, identical experiments were also performed for binary mixtures of cyclopentanone with ethanol and n-propanol at 1:1 (mol). The consistency between the experimental data sets obtained in this work and literature data sets has been evaluated. Here, a recently published mechanism of cyclopentanone was used for simulation after adopting the submechanism of n-propanol. Good agreement has been seen between experimental and simulated results for all flames. To qualitatively explain the characteristics of the laminar burning velocity of cyclopentanone and the differences with those of ethanol and n-propanol, sensitivity analysis and reaction pathway analysis have been performed to compare the chemistry of the fuels under flame conditions, which revealed how the molecular structure of cyclopentanone could affect its laminar burning velocity. Compared to ethanol and n-propanol, cyclopentanone does not have primary carbon atoms in its molecule, leading to lower production of methyl radicals. Meanwhile, the carbonyl group in the cyclopentanone molecule is mostly released as CO in the decomposition of multiple intermediates accompanied by the production of unsaturated C 2 and C 4 species, especially C 2 H 4 and C 2 H 3 . Both features contribute to the high laminar burning velocity of cyclopentanone.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Langley facility for tests at Mach 7 of subscale, hydrogen-burning, airframe-integratable, scramjet models

Modifications to a 20-megawatt arc-heated facility for testing a hydrogen-burning, airframe-integratable, subscale, scramjet model are described. Arc-heated flow is mixed with unheated air to furnish a test flow duplicating Mach 7 flight. (Stagnation temperature is 2220 K.) Modifications to the commercially available heater to improve survivability and smoothness are described. Pitot profiles show uniform flow and a slightly thinner nozzle boundary layer than predicted. Comparison of the tunnel boundary layer, which will be ingested by the engine model, with the boundary layer that a flight engine might ingest from its vehicle forebody shows a difference in the density distribution through the boundary layer. Calculations of wall heating and transient wall temperatures of the engine model show that for a 30-sec burn, the heat sink model requires cooling at selected locations to avoid thermal-stress, cycle-life problems. Model performance predictions show that fuel equivalence ratio and nozzle exit area both have large effects on thrust. Average inlet entrance Mach number (as affected by boundary-layer ingestion) has little effect on thrust.

Boatright, W. B.↗

A Terminal Area Analysis of Continuous Ascent Departure Fuel Use at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport

Aircraft departing from the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (DFW) encounter vertical restrictions that prevent continuous ascent operations. The result of these restrictions are temporary level-offs at 10,000 feet. A combination of flow direction, specific Area Navigation (RNAV) route geometry, and arrival streams have been found to be the biggest factors in the duration and frequency of a temporary level-offs. In total, 20% of DFW departures are affected by these level-offs, which have an average duration of just over 100 seconds. The use of continuous descent approaches at DFW are shown to lessen the impact arrivals have on the departures and allow more continuous ascents. The fuel used in a continuous ascent and an ascent with a temporary level-off have been calculated using a fuel burn rate model created from a combination of actual aircraft track data, aircraft manufacturer flight operations manuals, and Eurocontrol's Base of Aircraft Data (BADA) simulation tool. This model represents the average aggregate burn rates for the current fleet mix at DFW. Continuous ascents would save approximately seven gallons of fuel out of 450 gallons used to climb to a cruise altitude of 31,000ft per departure.

Roach, Keenan↗

Control-oriented core-SOL-divertor model to address integrated burn and divertor control challenges in ITER

The real-time regulation of a burning plasma’s temperature and density, or burn control, will be necessary to produce high fusion power in future tokamaks like ITER. This is made more challenging due to the plasma’s nonlinear characteristics and the interdependence between the core-plasma and edge-plasma regions. For example, a raising plasma temperature leads to increasing reactivity and therefore to more alpha-particle heating, which further increases temperature. Furthermore, a raise of the fusion power increases the heat flow through the scrape-off-layer (SOL), which can compromise the integrity of the divertor without proper safeguards. For control design, a model-based approach is attractive because it can directly incorporate the nonlinear, coupled, burning-plasma dynamics into the design. To facilitate this design approach, a control-oriented core-SOL-divertor (CSD) model is presented in this work. In this CSD model, a core-plasma model captures the nonlinear dynamics of the core’s density and temperature, and a SOL-divertor model defines the plasma conditions at the separatrix and divertor including the heat load on the target plates. The core-plasma and SOL-divertor models are coupled through the exchange of various variables. In particular, the SOL-divertor model yields the separatrix temperature and the influx of recycled particles into the core-plasma. Further, these variables influence the power and particle balances captured by the core-plasma model. In return, the core-plasma model determines the intensity of the heat and particles fluxes across the separatrix, and this outflow strongly impacts the SOL-divertor model. Therefore, the power and density of the core-plasma, which can be readily modulated through external heating systems and pellet injection, can be viewed as control knobs for the SOL-divertor region in addition to the gas puffing. In simulations of the CSD model, it is demonstrated how external actuation can be utilized to meet burn control and divertor control objectives simultaneously.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The impact of simultaneous inoculation of Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Staphylococcus aureus , and Candida albicans on rodent burn wounds

Burn wound infection often involves a diverse combination of bacterial and fungal pathogens. In this study, we characterize the mixed species burn wound infection by inoculating the burn surface with 1 × 10 3/4/5 CFU of Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Staphylococcus aureus, and Candida albicans in a 1:1:1 ratio. Using the revised Walker–Mason scald burn rat model, 168 male Sprague-Dawley rats (350–450 g) subject to ~10% TBSA burn injury, with or without inoculation, were evaluated for 11 days after burn. In the wound, P. aeruginosa and S. aureus formed robust biofilms as determined by the bacterial tissue load, ~1 × 10 9 CFU/g, and expression of key biofilm genes. Interestingly, within 3 days C. albicans achieved tissue loads of ~1 × 10 6 CFU/g, but its numbers were significantly reduced beyond the limit of detection in the burn wound by day 7 in partial-thickness injuries and by day 11 in full-thickness injuries. The pathogenic biofilms contributed to burn depth progression, increased release of HMGB-1 into circulation from injured tissue, and significantly elevated the numbers of circulating innate immune cells (Neutrophils, Monocytes, and Basophils). This robust model of multi-species burn wound infection will serve as the basis for the development of new antimicrobials for combating biofilm-based wound infections.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Biomass burning aerosols in most climate models are too absorbing

Uncertainty in the representation of biomass burning (BB) aerosol composition and optical properties in climate models contributes to a range in modeled aerosol effects on incoming solar radiation. Depending on the model, the top-of-the-atmosphere BB aerosol effect can range from cooling to warming. By relating aerosol absorption relative to extinction and carbonaceous aerosol composition from 12 observational datasets to nine state-of-the-art Earth system models/chemical transport models, we identify varying degrees of overestimation in BB aerosol absorptivity by these models. Modifications to BB aerosol refractive index, size, and mixing state improve the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5) agreement with observations, leading to a global change in BB direct radiative effect of -0.07 W m -2 , and regional changes of -2 W m -2 (Africa) and -0.5 W m -2 (South America/Temperate). Our findings suggest that current modeled BB contributes less to warming than previously thought, largely due to treatments of aerosol mixing state.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Predicted and measured effects of pressure and crossflow velocity on composite propellant burning rate

A theoretical model for prediction of burning rates of composite (ammonium perchlorate oxidizer) solid propellants as a function of pressure and crossflow velocity was developed. Included in this model is the capability for treatment of multimodal oxidizer particle sizes and metalized formulations. In addition, an experimental device for measuring the effects of crossflow velocity on propellant burning rate was developed and used to characterize a series of AP/HTPB propellants with systematically varied formulation parameters. Model predictions of zero-crossflow burning rate versus pressure characteristics were found to be in agreement with data, while the agreement between erosive burning predictions and data is, in general, good. The experimental data indicate that the dominant factor influencing the sensitivity of composite propellant burning rate to crossflow is the base (no-crossflow) burning rate versus pressure characteristics of the propellant (lower base burning rate leading to increased crossflow sensitivity). Finally, the model was used to examine the effects of motor scaling on erosive burning: erosive burning is predicted to diminish with increasing motor size, in agreement with experience.

King, M. K.↗

Numerical Modeling of Transport of Biomass Burning Emissions on South America

Our research efforts have addressed theoretical and numerical modeling of sources emissions and transport processes of trace gases and aerosols emitted by biomass burning on the central of Brazil and Amazon basin. For this effort we coupled all Eulerian transport model with the mesoscale atmospheric model RAMS (Regional Atmospheric Modeling System).

RibeirodeFreitas, Saulo↗

Experimental and Modeling Study of the Burning of an Ethanol Droplet in Microgravity

The microgravity ethanol droplet combustion experiments were performed aboard the STS-94/MSL-1 Shuttle mission within the Fiber-Supported Droplet Combustion-2 (FSDC-2) program. The burning histories and flame standoffs for pure ethanol and ethanol/water droplets were obtained from the images recorded with two 8 mm videocameras. The obtained results show that average gasification rate is related to the initial droplet size in a manner similar to n-alkanes and methanol and consistent with the results of Hara and Kumagai and the data taken recently in the NASA-Lewis 2.2 s droptower. A transient, moving finite-element chemically reacting flow model applied previously to sphero-symmetric combustion of methanol, methanol/water, n-alkane, and n-alkane binary mixture droplets was adopted for the problem of ethanol droplet combustion. The model includes detailed description of gas-phase reaction chemistry and transport, a simplified description of liquid phase transport, and non-luminous radiative heat transfer. Gas-phase chemistry was described with the detailed reaction mechanism of Norton and Dryer, which consists of 142 reversible elementary reactions of 33 species. Another recently published reaction mechanism of high-temperature ethanol oxidation was also considered. The model predictions were found to compare favorably with the experimental data. The model analysis also indicates that water condensation in the case of ethanol has smaller effect on average droplet gasification rate as compared with previously studied methanol cases. This effect is explained by non-ideal (azeotropic) behavior of binary ethanol-water mixtures. Further analysis of computational results and ethanol droplet radiative extinction behavior will be discussed.

Kazakov, Andrei↗

Convection links biomass burning to increased tropical ozone - However, models will tend to overpredict O3

Biomass burning throughout the inhabited portions of the tropics generates precursors which lead to significant local atmospheric ozone pollution. Several simulations show how this smog could be only an easily observed, local manifestation of a much broader increase in tropospheric ozone. The basic processes are illustrated with a one-dimensional time-dependent model that is closer to true meteorological motions than commonly used eddy diffusion models. Its application to a representative region of South America gives reasonable simulations of the local pollutants measured there. Three illustrative simulations indicate the importance of dilution, principally due to vertical transport, in increasing the efficiency of ozone production, possibly enough for high ozone to be apparent on a very large, intercontinental scale.

Chatfield, Robert B.↗

Rationalizing Burned Carbon with Carbon Monoxide Exported from South America

We present several estimates cross-checking the fluxes of carbon to the atmosphere from burning, comparing models that are based on simple land-surface parameterizations and atmospheric transport dynamics. Both estimates made by NASA Ames and USP modeling techniques are quite high compared to some detailed satellite/land-use studies of emissions. The flux of carbon liberated to the atmosphere via biomass burning is important for several reasons. This flux is a fundamental statistic for the parameterization of the large-scale flux of gases controlling the reactive greenhouse gases methane and ozone. Similarly, it is central to the estimation of the translocation of nitrogen and pyrodenitrification in the tropics. Thirdly, CO2 emitted from rainforest clearing contributes directly to carbon lost from the rainforest system as it contributes to greenhouse gas forcing. While CO2 from pasturage, agriculture, etc, is considered to be reabsorbed seasonally, and so "off budget" for the carbon cycle, it must also be accounted. CO2 anomalies related to daily weather and interannual climatic variation are strong enough to perturb our scientific perception of long-term carbon storage trends. We compare fluxes deduced from land-use statistics (originally, W.M. Hao) and from satellite hot pixels (A. Setzer) with atmospheric fluxes determined by the mesoscale/continental scale models RAMS and MM5, and point to some new work with highly resolved global models (the NASA Data Assimilation Office's GEOS4). Our simulations are tied to events, so that measured tracers like CO tie the models directly to the burning and meteorology of a specific period. We point out a particular sensitivity in estimates based on CO, and indicate how analysis of CO2 along with other biomass-burning tracers may lead to an improved multi-species estimator of carbon burned.

Chatfield, R.↗