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DOE OSTI2025

A distributed voltage inference framework for cyber-physical attacks detection and localization in active distribution grids

The transition to active distribution grids with real-time monitoring and control depends on the proliferation of advanced communication networks and devices. This paradigm shift towards a cyber-physical architecture also introduces new vulnerabilities for adversaries to exploit and launch sophisticated cyber-physical attacks targeting grid observability. Current research highlights the challenges in distinguishing attacks on voltage phasor or nodal injection measurements and isolating multi-source attack locations in a multiphase distribution grid. The attack detection and localization methods in literature face accuracy issues, applications across diverse attack scenarios, or scalability limits. Here, to bridge these gaps, this paper proposes a distributed Voltage Inference framework for real-time detection and localization of cyber-physical attacks, addressing scalability, adaptability, and accuracy challenges in state-of-the-art methods. The proposed methodology leverages the distributed nature of the Voltage Inference framework through a two-step process of prediction and correction, together with a tractable graph partitioning approach, providing a reliable solution to identify compromised measurement sources and facilitate isolation. Extensive testing on IEEE 13 and 123-node distribution feeders underscores the algorithm’s efficacy, enhancing the security and resilience of active distribution grids against evolving cyber threats. Additionally, Hardware-in-the-Loop (HIL) implementation validates the proposed strategy’s practical applicability in real-world scenarios.

active distribution grids↗

DOE OSTI2025

Seasonal Reconfiguration of Electrical Distribution Systems to Mitigate the Impact of Electric Vehicle Charging

Power grids face challenges in their infrastructure related to the integration of electric vehicles (EV). In particular, EV charging stations may induce instability in key system parameters such as substantial voltage drops, active power losses, and transformer overload due to high demand during charging periods. This article presents a seasonal reconfiguration strategy based on the differential evolution (DE) algorithm, aimed at enhancing system performance under highly variable and stochastic load profiles, particularly those driven by EV charging. The DEA algorithm is hybridized with the find-union (FU) algorithm to efficiently ensure network radiality throughout the optimization process. The proposed methodology is validated on a hybrid distribution system composed of the IEEE 33-bus network, a modified IEEE 13-bus system, and a specific 13-bus microgrid. Results have demonstrated that seasonal reconfiguration significantly reduces active power losses and mitigates transformer loading during critical demand hours, thereby quantifiably increasing the system’s performance. As an integral component of the proposed approach, an analysis of CO2 emissions associated with energy losses is included, allowing a contextualized assessment of the environmental benefits of seasonal reconfiguration in various geographical areas.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Active Learning of Microgrid Frequency Dynamics Using Neural Ordinary Differential Equations

Accurate frequency modelling of inverter‐based resource (IBR)‐dominated power systems is crucial for ensuring stable, reliable and resilient operations, particularly given their inherent low‐inertia characteristics and fast dynamics that traditional swing equation‐based models inadequately capture. This paper explores neural ordinary differential equations (Neural ODEs) as a computationally efficient, data‐driven framework for modelling power system frequency dynamics, specifically within microgrids integrating high penetrations of distributed energy resources (DERs). The developed neural ODEs framework incorporates a neural network architecture designed to capture input dynamics. By actively perturbing the system with a known signal, the Python‐based neural ODEs framework was trained using measured system states and inputs, without the need for detailed system information. The framework, tested on a model of the Cordova, AK, microgrid, achieved a goodness of fit ranging from 60% to 99% across different state variables and maintained a mean square error in the 10 -6 p.u. range under square and step excitation signals. The proposed approach demonstrated robustness to measurement noise and initial condition variations while maintaining low computational complexity suitable for real‐time power system control applications. Furthermore, transfer learning enabled the neural ODEs model to adapt to the following changes in system topology or generator dispatch, highlighting its effectiveness for dynamic microgrids with frequently evolving configurations and diverse DERs.

Aryal, Tara [South Dakota State Univ., Brookings, ↗

DOE OSTI2020

P-model v1.0: an optimality-based light use efficiency model for simulating ecosystem gross primary production

Terrestrial photosynthesis is the basis for vegetation growth and drives the land carbon cycle. Accurately simulating gross primary production (GPP, ecosystem-level apparent photosynthesis) is key for satellite monitoring and Earth system model predictions under climate change. While robust models exist for describing leaf-level photosynthesis, predictions diverge due to uncertain photosynthetic traits and parameters which vary on multiple spatial and temporal scales. Here, we describe and evaluate a GPP (photosynthesis per unit ground area) model, the P-model, that combines the Farquhar–von Caemmerer–Berry model for C 3 photosynthesis with an optimality principle for the carbon assimilation–transpiration trade-off, and predicts a multi-day average light use efficiency (LUE) for any climate and C 3 vegetation type. The model builds on the theory developed in Prentice et al. (2014) and Wang et al. (2017a) and is extended to include low temperature effects on the intrinsic quantum yield and an empirical soil moisture stress factor. The model is forced with site-level data of the fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (fAPAR) and meteorological data and is evaluated against GPP estimates from a globally distributed network of ecosystem flux measurements. Although the P-model requires relatively few inputs, the R 2 for predicted versus observed GPP based on the full model setup is 0.75 (8 d mean, 126 sites) – similar to comparable satellite-data-driven GPP models but without predefined vegetation-type-specific parameters. The R 2 is reduced to 0.70 when not accounting for the reduction in quantum yield at low temperatures and effects of low soil moisture on LUE. The R 2 for the P-model-predicted LUE is 0.32 (means by site) and 0.48 (means by vegetation type). Applying this model for global-scale simulations yields a total global GPP of 106–122 Pg C yr –1 (mean of 2001–2011), depending on the fAPAR forcing data. The P-model provides a simple but powerful method for predicting – rather than prescribing – light use efficiency and simulating terrestrial photosynthesis across a wide range of conditions. The model is available as an R package (rpmodel).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Critical Minerals and Materials Matchmaker-CM3

This is the Critical Minerals and Materials Matchmaker (CM3) survey form. CM3 is an online information resource created to help connect users across the critical minerals and materials supply chain. The survey is designed to allow organizations to self-identify their critical minerals and materials-aligned activities and interests, and an interactive map that displays those on-going activities in a dynamic way. To include your critical minerals management activity or activities in CM3, please open and fill out the Critical Minerals and Materials Survey. If your organization has many ongoing or planned activities that would be onerous to enter in the form, or if your activities are difficult to geolocate (such as a transport network), please email the team at edxspatial@netl.doe.gov. This initiative is aligned with the approach of DOE’s H2 Matchmaker and Carbon Matchmaker. Read more information on H2 Matchmaker and Carbon Matchmaker. Below are some questions to help understand if you should fill out the CM3 survey: Does your company work with elements such as lithium, cobalt, copper, graphite, nickel, rare earth minerals, or platinum group metals? Does your organization have research and development activities related to critical materials or their supply chains? Does your company currently work in the critical minerals or materials supply chain? Do you have prospective work in critical minerals or materials in the next 5 years? Does your company mine, process, refine or distribute critical minerals or materials? Do you want to network with other facilities or organizations working in the same areas? Are you curious about the critical mineral and material activity in your surrounding area? Are you interested in aligning your potential needs across the supply chain to different geographic areas within the U.S? For more information, please see the CM3 website (https://www.energy.gov/fecm/articles/critical-minerals-materials-matchmaker-cm3) or email our team at edxspatial@netl.doe.gov.

CM3↗

DOE OSTI2025

High spatial resolution neutron imaging of lithium-ion batteries: Correlating microstructure and lithium transport

Thick electrodes for lithium-ion batteries can increase the overall energy density, but increasing the electrode thickness introduces charge transport limitations. These limitations may be mitigated through proper electrode structuring. Here, high spatial resolution neutron imaging was used to understand the correlation between microstructure and lithium transport in lithium-ion anodes. Batteries with distinct graphite anode microstructures were produced and studied with high spatial resolution in operando neutron radiography to observe the effects of structure on transport. High spatial resolution neutron computed tomography was performed following in operando neutron radiography. X-ray computed tomography and scanning electron microscopy were used to observe the finer scale anode structure to complement neutron imaging. Solvent-free anodes containing a tightly-packed layered structure confined lithium movement close to the separator. This structure limited capacity, but supported better rate capability. Conversely, a more open pore structure in the wet cast anodes yielded higher capacity with reduced rate capability. Together, these results show that lithium distributions can be controlled by the macroscopic structure of the electrodes, the microstructural pore network, and the microscale active areas that support electrochemical reactions. Furthermore, multimodal imaging applying the complementary strengths of neutron and X-ray methods is shown as a tool for advancing battery design.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2021

On the Stochastic Stability of Deep Markov Models

Deep Markov models (DMM) are generative models which are scalable and expressive generalization of Markov models for representation, learning, and inference problems. DMMs using deep neural networks to parametrize the transition of Markov probability distributions have recently been shown to provide more expressiveness in modeling sequential data and dynamical system responses. However, the fundamental stochastic stability guarantees of such models have not been thoroughly investigated. In this paper, we present a rigorous analytical method to prove the necessary and sufficient conditions of DMM's stochastic stability. This task is achieved by spectral analysis of the efficiently computed Jacobians of probabilistic maps modeled by deep neural networks. We make theoretical connections between the eigenvalues of neural network's weights and the different activation function types used on the stability and overall dynamic behavior of DMMs with Gaussian distributions. We empirically substantiate our theoretical results on stochastic stability and eigenvalue spectra via several numerical experiments. Formal stability guarantees of DMMs can substantially improve their robustness and trustworthiness, necessary for reliable use in safety-critical real-world applications.

Drgona, Jan↗

DOE OSTI2024

Enabling Fairness in Distributed PV Curtailment for Voltage Regulation: A Comparative Analysis

The growing adoption of photovoltaic systems in power distribution networks has yielded numerous advantages, but it has also introduced challenges, particularly in managing overvoltage issues. Uncoordinated photovoltaic integration can lead to voltage rise beyond acceptable levels. Curtailing active power is an effective method for addressing overvoltage issues in power distribution systems. Nevertheless, it is essential to distribute the curtailment fairly among the resources to maintain fairness and achieve a well-balanced utilization of renewable energy. This paper presents a comparative study of different fairness schemes for active power curtailment in photovoltaic integration systems. Three different curtailment methods are selected for demonstration: i) proportional, ii) egalitarian, and iii) financial. The study involves evaluating the curtailment schemes based on their ability to distribute the curtailed power among the photovoltaic systems in a justifiable manner, focusing on their formulation and distributed solution. A detailed performance comparison is carried out to highlight the cost of catering for fairness schemes in photovoltaic curtailment using relevant metrics, where simulations are carried out using a modified IEEE 123-bus test case.

Mukherjee, Monish↗

DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty quantification in multivariable regression for material property prediction with Bayesian neural networks

With the increased use of data-driven approaches and machine learning-based methods in material science, the importance of reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) of the predicted variables for informed decision-making cannot be overstated. UQ in material property prediction poses unique challenges, including multi-scale and multi-physics nature of materials, intricate interactions between numerous factors, limited availability of large curated datasets, etc. In this work, we introduce a physics-informed Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) approach for UQ, which integrates knowledge from governing laws in materials to guide the models toward physically consistent predictions. To evaluate the approach, we present case studies for predicting the creep rupture life of steel alloys. Experimental validation with three datasets of creep tests demonstrates that this method produces point predictions and uncertainty estimations that are competitive or exceed the performance of conventional UQ methods such as Gaussian Process Regression. Additionally, we evaluate the suitability of employing UQ in an active learning scenario and report competitive performance. The most promising framework for creep life prediction is BNNs based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo approximation of the posterior distribution of network parameters, as it provided more reliable results in comparison to BNNs based on variational inference approximation or related NNs with probabilistic outputs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Security Enhancement of Network Constraint Grid-Edge Energy Management System

Network constrained grid edge energy management system (EMS) provides economic solution for active and reactive power dispatch of distributed energy resources (DERs) at the grid edge level. Grid edge EMS ensures secure interconnection of a circuit segment to the distribution system by maintaining grid code requirements (e.g. IEEE 1547–2018). Grid edge EMS is dependent on communication to receive load measurement, which brings a risk of unobservable false data injection attacks (FDIAs). To mitigate the risk, this paper proposes a framework to enhance resilient operation of grid edge EMS by detecting the unobservable FDIAs on loads and replacing them with forecasted values. In this work, a two-step detection algorithm is proposed. In first step, conventional residual based algorithm is deployed. Autoencoder (AE) based data driven mechanism is included in second step to detect the presence of unobservable FDIAs. After ensuring the presence of FDIA, its specific location is detected by checking the maximum residue values till the predefined threshold value is reached. Detected false data injected loads are then replaced with forecasted load values following long-short term memory (LSTM) based forecast to ensure resilient performance of grid edge EMS in the presence of attacks. This proposed security enhancement framework for grid edge EMS is evaluated in IEEE 13 bus system with three integrated DERs. Numerical simulation shows the validation of the proposed framework by reducing voltage violation in real operation of grid edge EMS.

cyber attack detection↗

DOE OSTI2023

Data-Driven Affinely Adjustable Robust Volt/VAr Control

Recent years have seen the increasing proliferation of distributed energy resources with intermittent power outputs, posing new challenges to the voltage management in distribution networks. To this end, this paper proposes a data-driven affinely adjustable robust Volt/VAr control (AARVVC) scheme, which modulates the smart inverter’s reactive power in an affine function of its active power, based on the voltage sensitivities with respect to real/reactive power injections. To achieve a fast and accurate estimation of voltage sensitivities, we propose a data-driven method based on deep neural network (DNN), together with a rule-based bus-selection process using the bidirectional search method. Our method only uses the operating statuses of selected buses as inputs to DNN, thus significantly improving the training efficiency and reducing information redundancy. Finally, a distributed consensus-based solution, based on the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM), for the AARVVC is applied to decide the inverter’s reactive power adjustment rule with respect to its active power. Only limited information exchange is required between each local agent and the central agent to obtain the slope of the reactive power adjustment rule, and there is no need for the central agent to solve any (sub)optimization problems. Finally, numerical results on the modified IEEE-123 bus system validate the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed data-driven AARVVC method.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2022

Phase Identification in Real Distribution Networks with High PV Penetration Using Advanced Metering Infrastructure Data

Many distribution network monitoring and control applications - including state estimation, volt/VAR optimization, and network reconfiguration - rely on accurate network models; however, the network models maintained by utilities can become outdated because of restoration activities, network reconfiguration, and missing data. With the widespread deployment of advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), abundant measurement data from low-voltage secondary networks are available. The AMI measurement data can be used for phase identification to improve the network models. Although the existing phase identification techniques work well in passive distribution feeders that do not have photovoltaic (PV) generation, they can fail to accurately identify the phases in the presence of PV. This paper proposes a robust phase identification algorithm based on supervised machine learning that accurately identifies the AMI meter phase connectivity in the presence of significant PV generation. The proposed algorithm does not require network topology information or feeder head measurement data. The algorithm is validated using the AMI measurement data collected in the field and the field-validated phase connectivity database on two real distribution feeders from San Diego Gas & Electric Company that have significant PV generation.

advanced metering infrastructure↗

DOE OSTI2022

Phase Identification in Real Distribution Networks with High PV Penetration Using Advanced Metering Infrastructure Data: Preprint

advanced metering infrastructure↗

DOE OSTI2022

Phase Identification in Real Distribution Networks with High PV Penetration Using Advanced Metering Infrastructure Data

Many distribution network monitoring and control applications - including state estimation, Volt/VAr optimization, and network reconfiguration - rely on accurate network models; however, the network models maintained by utilities can become outdated because of restoration activities, network reconfiguration, and missing data. With the widespread deployment of advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), abundant measurement data from low-voltage secondary networks are available. The AMI measurement data can be used for phase identification to improve the network models. Although the existing phase identification techniques work well in passive distribution feeders that do not have photovoltaic (PV) generation, they can fail to accurately identify the phases in the presence of PV. This paper proposes a robust phase identification algorithm based on supervised machine learning that accurately identifies the AMI meter phase connectivity in the presence of significant PV generation. The proposed algorithm does not require network topology information or feeder-head measurement data. The algorithm is validated using the AMI measurement data collected in the field and the field-validated phase connectivity database on two real distribution feeders from San Diego Gas & Electric Company that have significant PV generation.

advanced metering infrastructure (AMI)↗

DOE OSTI2021

High-Performance All-Polymer Solar Cells and Photodetectors Enabled by a High-Mobility n-Type Polymer and Optimized Bulk-Heterojunction Morphology

All-polymer solar cells (all-PSCs) and all-polymer photodetectors (all-PPDs) are promising for application in flexible electronics, but their performance is greatly limited by the lack of polymer acceptors and the difficulties in morphology control. Herein, we report the use of a high-mobility n-type polymer semiconductor, PNDI-DTBT, for fabricating high-performance all-PSCs and all-PPDs. By pairing PNDI-DTBT with a matched polymer donor, a prominent power conversion efficiency of 8.5% was obtained in all-PSCs, demonstrating the great potential of high-mobility n-type polymers with a conventional donor–acceptor skeleton for photovoltaic application. Moreover, all-PPDs with a low dark current density of 1.32 × 10 –8 A cm –2 at –0.1 V bias and a high specific detectivity of 4.77 × 10 12 Jones were achieved, which belong to the best results of organic photodetectors. Morphology investigations revealed that the formation of a bicontinuous interpenetrating network with optimal phase separation scale, high domain purity, and preferential vertical composition distribution in the bulk-heterojunction active layer contribute to the remarkable device performance. Furthermore, these results suggest that combining high-mobility n-type polymers and morphology optimization is fruitful to achieving high-performance all-PSCs and all-PPDs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

A Mixed integer linear programming‐based distributed energy management for networked microgrids considering network operational objectives and constraints

Abstract Mixed integer linear programming (MILP)–based distributed energy management for networked microgrids embedded modern distribution systems is proposed. Considering the diverse ownership of microgrids, distributed energy resources (DERs) that interface directly with utilities and responsive loads, an alternating direction method of multipliers–based distributed framework was formulated for the scheduling of networked microgrids embedded modern distribution systems by adjusting nodal price signals iteratively. In addition, to make the formulated optimization problems resolvable through more accessible and popular MILP solvers, different linearisation techniques were employed to transform the nonlinear terms into linear or mixed integer linear formats. The proposed MILP‐based distributed method preserves all participants' autonomy (e.g., microgrids, DERs that interface directly with utilities and responsive loads), while incentivising them to actively participate in the distribution system operation with price signals. The proposed method is validated with results of numerical simulation using a modern distribution system consisting of multiple networked microgrids, DERs that interface directly with utilities, as well as responsive loads.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Search for interacting galaxy clusters from SDSS DR-17 employing optimized friends-of-friends algorithm and multimessenger tracers

ABSTRACT In the theoretical framework of hierarchical structure formation, galaxy clusters evolve through continuous accretion and mergers of substructures. Cosmological simulations have revealed the best picture of the universe as a 3D filamentary network of dark-matter distribution called the cosmic web. Galaxy clusters are found to form at the nodes of this network and are the regions of high merging activity. Such mergers being highly energetic, contain a wealth of information about the dynamical evolution of structures in the Universe. Observational validation of this scenario needs a colossal effort to identify numerous events from all-sky surveys. Therefore, such efforts are sparse in literature and tend to focus on individual systems. In this work, we present an improved search algorithm for identifying interacting galaxy clusters and have successfully produced a comprehensive list of systems from SDSS DR-17. By proposing a set of physically motivated criteria, we classified these interacting clusters into two broad classes, ‘merging’ and ‘pre-merging/postmerging’ systems. Interestingly, as predicted by simulations, we found that most cases show cluster interaction along the prominent cosmic filaments of galaxy distribution (i.e. the proxy for dark matter filaments), with the most violent ones at their nodes. Moreover, we traced the imprint of interactions through multiband signatures, such as diffuse cluster emissions in radio or X-rays. Although we could not find direct evidence of diffuse emission from connecting filaments and ridges; our catalogue of interacting clusters will ease locating such faintest emissions as data from sensitive telescopes such as eROSITA or SKA, becomes accessible.

Oak, Tejas↗

DOE OSTI2026

Kinetic model development for single step ethanol to butene rich olefin process over Cu-Y/Beta catalysts

Here, this study presents the first intrinsic kinetic model for the single-step conversion of ethanol to butene-rich olefins over bifunctional Cu-Y/Beta catalysts, addressing a critical gap in the design and scale-up of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) processes. The reaction network comprises ten global steps involving dehydrogenation, aldol condensation, hydrogenation, and dehydration reactions, distributed across Cu and rare-earth (Y) active sites. The model incorporates dual-site functionality (Cu and Y site) and explicitly accounts for key intermediates such as crotonaldehyde and butanal. Reaction rates are formulated using Langmuir–Hinshelwood–Hougen–Watson (LHHW) kinetics. Kinetic parameters are extracted by fitting the model to lab-scale packed-bed reactor data across a wide range of temperatures and space velocities, demonstrating strong agreement in ethanol conversion and product selectivity. The reaction kinetics developed in this work provide a foundational basis for constructing reactor models that enable process optimization and scale-up of ethanol-to-jet fuel technologies.

Cu-Y/Beta catalyst↗