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DOE OSTI2023

U.S. Solar Photovoltaic System and Energy Storage Cost Benchmarks, With Minimum Sustainable Price Analysis: Q1 2023

The U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) aims to accelerate the advancement and deployment of solar technology in support of an equitable transition to a decarbonized economy no later than 2050, starting with a decarbonized power sector by 2035. Its approach to achieving this goal includes driving innovations in technology, hardware, and soft cost reductions to make solar affordable and accessible for all. As part of this effort, SETO must track solar cost trends so it can focus its research and development (R&D) on the highest-impact activities. The benchmarks in this report are bottom-up cost estimates of all major inputs to PV and energy storage system installations. Bottom-up costs are based on national averages and do not necessarily represent typical costs in all local markets. Like last year's report, this year's report includes two distinct sets of benchmarks: minimum sustainable price (MSP) benchmarks and modeled market price (MMP) benchmarks. MSP benchmarks can be interpreted as the minimum price a company needs to charge to remain financially solvent in the long term based on the minimum sustainable prices of all inputs including minimum sustainable profit margins. MMP benchmarks can be interpreted as the actual cash sales price a company charges in the given benchmark period. These simplified estimates are useful for tracking technological progress, but they do not reflect all experiences. In fact, no individual estimate under any approach can reflect the diversity of the PV and storage manufacturing and installation industries. Our residential MMP benchmark ($2.90 per watt direct current [Wdc]) is 24% higher than the MSP benchmark ($2.34/Wdc) and 9% lower than our MMP benchmark ($3.18/Wdc) from Q1 2022 in 2022 U.S. dollars (USD). For community solar, our MMP benchmark ($1.75/Wdc) is 18% higher than our MSP benchmark ($1.49/Wdc). Our Q1 2022 benchmark report has no community solar system for comparison. For utility-scale systems with one-axis tracking, our MMP benchmark ($1.17/Wdc) is 22% higher than our MSP benchmark ($0.96/Wdc) and 10% higher than its counterpart ($1.07/Wdc) in Q1 2022 in 2022 USD.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Modeling hydrogen markets: Energy system model development status and decarbonization scenario results

Hydrogen can be used as an energy carrier and chemical feedstock to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, especially in difficult-to-decarbonize markets such as medium- and heavy-duty vehicles, aviation and maritime, iron and steel, and the production of fuels and chemicals. Significant literature has been accumulated on engineering-based assessments of various hydrogen technologies, and real-world projects are validating technology performance at larger scales and for low-carbon supply chains. While energy system models continue to be updated to track this progress, many are currently limited in their representation of hydrogen, and as a group they tend to generate highly variable results under decarbonization constraints. Here, the present work provides insights into the development status and decarbonization scenario results of 15 energy system models participating in study 37 of the Stanford Energy Modeling Forum (EMF37), focusing on the U.S. energy system. The models and scenario results vary widely in multiple respects: hydrogen technology representation, scope and type of hydrogen end-use markets, relative optimism of hydrogen technology input assumptions, and market uptake results reported for 2050 under various decarbonization assumptions. Most models report hydrogen market uptake increasing with decarbonization constraints, though some models report high carbon prices being required to achieve these increases and some find hydrogen does not compete well when assuming optimistic assumptions for all advanced decarbonization technologies. Across various scenarios, hydrogen market success tends to have an inverse relationship to success with direct air capture (DAC) and carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies. While most model-scenario combinations predict modest hydrogen uptake by 2050 – <10 million metric tons (MMT) – aggregating the top 10 % of market uptake results across sectors suggests an upper range demand potential of 42–223 MMT. The high degree of variability across both modeling methods and market uptake results suggests that increased harmonization of both input assumptions and subsector competition scope would lead to more consistent results across energy system models. The wide variability in results indicates strongly divergent conclusions on the role of hydrogen in a decarbonized energy future.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2016

Uranium Isotopic Fractionation Induced by U(VI) Adsorption onto Common Aquifer Minerals

Uranium groundwater contamination due to U mining and processing affects numerous sites globally. Bioreduction of soluble, mobile U(VI) to U(IV)-bearing solids is potentially a very effective remediation strategy. Uranium isotopes ( 238 U/ 235 U) have been utilized to track the progress of microbial reduction, with laboratory and field studies finding a ~1‰ isotopic fractionation, with the U(IV) product enriched in 238 U. However, the isotopic fractionation produced by adsorption may complicate the use of 238 U/ 235 U to trace microbial reduction. A previous study found that adsorption of U(VI) onto Mn oxides produced a -0.2‰ fractionation with the adsorbed U(VI) depleted in 238 U. In this paper, adsorption to quartz, goethite, birnessite, illite, and aquifer sediments induced an average isotopic fractionation of -0.15‰ with the adsorbed U(VI) isotopically lighter than coexisting aqueous U(VI). In bicarbonate-bearing matrices, the fractionation depended little on the nature of the sorbent, with only birnessite producing an atypically large fractionation. In the case of solutions with ionic strengths much lower than those of typical groundwater, less isotopic fractionation was produced than U(VI) solutions with greater ionic strength. Finally, studies using U isotope data to assess U(VI) reduction must consider adsorption as a lesser, but significant isotope fractionation process.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

California wildfire spread derived using VIIRS satellite observations and an object-based tracking system

Changing wildfire regimes in the western US and other fire-prone regions pose considerable risks to human health and ecosystem function. However, our understanding of wildfire behavior is still limited by a lack of data products that systematically quantify fire spread, behavior and impacts. Here we develop a novel object-based system for tracking the progression of individual fires using 375 m Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite active fire detections. At each half-daily time step, fire pixels are clustered according to their spatial proximity, and are either appended to an existing active fire object or are assigned to a new object. This automatic system allows us to update the attributes of each fire event, delineate the fire perimeter, and identify the active fire front shortly after satellite data acquisition. Using this system, we mapped the history of California fires during 2012–2020. Our approach and data stream may be useful for calibration and evaluation of fire spread models, estimation of near-real-time wildfire emissions, and as means for prescribing initial conditions in fire forecast models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Revealing nanoscale dynamics during an epoxy curing reaction with x-ray photon correlation spectroscopy

In this work the evolution of nanoscale properties is measured during the thermally triggered curing of an industrial epoxy adhesive. We use x-ray photon correlation spectroscopy (XPCS) to track the progression of the curing reaction through the local dynamics of filler particles that reflect the formation of a thermoset network. Out-of-equilibrium dynamics are resolved through identification and analysis of the intensity– intensity autocorrelation functions obtained from XPCS. The characteristic time scale and local velocity of the filler is calculated as functions of time and temperature. We find that the dynamics speed up when approaching the curing temperature (T cure ), and decay rapidly once T cure is reached. We compare the results from XPCS to conventional macroscale characterization by differential scanning calorimetry (DSC). The demonstration and implementation of nanoscale characterization of curing reactions by XPCS proves useful for future development and optimization of epoxy thermoset materials and other industrial adhesive systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Spin-glass dynamics: Experiment, theory, and simulation

This review updates the field of spin glasses with broad application to a large variety of physical systems. In particular, this review tracks the progress of experiment, theory, and large scale simulations. It highlights the importance of their synergy, from the inception of the field to the present day, and includes future opportunities for research.

Dahlberg, E. D. [Univ. of Minnesota, Minneapolis, ↗

DOE OSTI2022

Total Internal Reflection of Two Lasers in a Single Planar Optical Waveguide

Multiplex biomarker quantitation is ideal for tracking the progression of a disease, but sensitive, specific, and quantitative multiplex biosensing remains challenging. We achieved total internal reflection with two lasers in a single planar optical waveguide by coupling 532 nm laser light into the diffraction grating of a waveguide and 635 nm laser light directly into the thin film of the same waveguide. We confirmed that the evanescent fields generated in the waveguide can excite two fluorescent dyes (Alexa Fluor 532 and Alexa Fluor 647) held to the surface of the waveguide through biotin-streptavidin chemistry. This sensing concept holds significant potential as a platform for multiplex biomarker detection.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2021

DIVA/DeviceEditor (DIVA) v5.1

Lane, Stephen↗

DOE OSTI2022

DIVA/DeviceEditor (DIVA) v6.0.0

The DIVA software interfaces a process in which researchers design their DNA with a web-based graphical user interface (DeviceEditor), submit their designs to a central queue, and a few weeks later receive their sequence-verified clonal constructs. Each researcher independently designs the DNA to be constructed with a web-based BioCAD tool, and presses a button to submit their designs to a central queue. Researchers have web-based access to their DNA design queues, and can track the progress of their submitted designs as they progress from "evaluation", to "waiting for reagents", to "in progress", to "complete". Researchers access their completed constructs through the central DNA repository. Along the way, all DNA construction success/failure rates are captured in a central database. Once a design has been submitted to the queue, a small number of dedicated staff evaluate the design for feasibility and provide feedback to the responsible researcher if the design is either unreasonable (e.g., encompasses a combinatorial library of a billion constructs) or small design changes could significantly facilitate the downstream implementation process. The dedicated staff then use DNA assembly design automation software to optimize the DNA construction process for the design, leveraging existing parts from the DNA repository where possible and ordering synthetic DNA where necessary. Once all requisite process inputs are available, the design progresses from "waiting for reagents" to "in progress" in the design queue. Human-readable and machine-parseable DNA construction protocols output by the DNA assembly design automation software are then executed by the dedicated staff exploiting lab automation devices wherever possible. Since the all employed DNA construction methods are sequence-agnostic, standardized (utilize the same enzymatic master mixes and reaction conditions), completely independent DNA construction tasks can be aggregated into the same multi-well plates and pursued in parallel. The resulting sets of cloned constructs can then be screened by high-throughput next-gen sequencing platforms for sequence correctness. A combination of long read-length (e.g., PacBio) and paired-end read platforms (e.g., Illumina) would be exploited depending the particular task at hand (e.g., PacBio might be sufficient to screen a set of pooled constructs with significant gene divergence). Post sequence verification, designs for which at least one correct clone was identified will progress to a "complete" status, while designs for which no correct clones were identified will progress to a "failure" status. Depending on the failure mode (e.g., no transformants), and how many prior attempts/variations of assembly protocol have been already made for a given design, subsequent attempts may be made or the design can progress to a "permanent failure" state. All success and failure rate information will be captured during the process, including at which stage a given clonal construction procedure failed (e.g., no PCR product) and what the exact failure was (e.g. assembly piece 2 missing). This success/failure rate data can be leveraged to refine the DNA assembly design process.

Plahar, Hector↗

DOE OSTI2017

Scalable data management, analysis and visualization (SDAV) Institute. Final Scientific/Technical Report

The purpose of the SDAV institute is to provide tools and expertise in scientific data management, analysis, and visualization to DOE’s application scientists. Our goal is to actively work with application teams to assist them in achieving breakthrough science, and to provide technical solutions in the data management, analysis, and visualization regimes that are broadly used by the computational science community. Over the last 5 years members of our institute worked directly with application scientists and DOE leadership-class facilities to assist them by applying the best tools and technologies at our disposal. We also enhanced our tools based on input from scientists on their needs. Many of the applications we have been working with are based on connections with scientists established in previous years. However, we contacted additional scientists though our outreach activities, as well as engaging application teams running on leading DOE computing systems. Our approach is to employ an evolutionary development and deployment process: first considering the application of existing tools, followed by the customization necessary for each particular application, and then the deployment in real frameworks and infrastructures. The institute is organized into three areas, each with area leaders, who keep track of progress, engagement of application scientists, and results. The areas are: (1) Data Management, (2) Data Analysis, and (3) Visualization. Kitware has been involved in the Visualization area. This report covers Kitware’s contributions over the last 5 years (February 2012 – February 2017). For details on the work performed by the SDAV institute as a whole, please see the SDAV final report.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2017

VERA-CS User Support Activities for PoR 14

The purpose of this milestone is to document the user support activities that took place between 10/1/2016 and 3/31/2017 (PoR 14). In the normal PHI workflow, that also extends to several activities within RTM, a Kanban process is followed. This involves creating tickets for specific work items and track the progress to complete these specific work items.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2017

Scalable Data Management, Analysis, and Visualization (SDAV) Institute (Final Report)

The purpose of the SDAV institute is to provide tools and expertise in scientific data management, analysis, and visualization to application scientists on leadership-class computing facilities. Our goal is to actively work with application teams to assist them in achieving breakthrough science, and to provide technical solutions in the data management, analysis, and visualization regimes that are broadly used by the computational science community. Over the last 5 years members of our institute worked directly with application scientists to assist them by applying the best tools and technologies at our disposal. We also enhanced our tools based on input from scientists on their needs. Many of the applications we have been working with are based on connections with scientists established in previous years. However, we contacted additional scientists though our outreach activities, as well as engaging application teams running on leading DOE computing systems. Our approach is to employ an evolutionary development and deployment process: first considering the application of existing tools, followed by the customization necessary for each particular application, and then the deployment in real frameworks and infrastructures. The institute is organized into three areas, each with area leaders, who keep track of progress, engagement of application scientists, and results. The areas are: (1) Data Management, (2) Data Analysis, and (3) Visualization. This report is organized along these areas. However, often there are multiple technologies from these areas that are applied to a single application need. These are described on a case-by-case basis in the appropriate sections. This final report for the SDAV Institute covers the 5-year period from February 2012 to February 2017. This report covers activities in all SDAV institutions listed next. Laboratories: Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Los Alamos National Laboratory (LLNL), Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Sandia National Laboratory (SNL). Universities: Georgia Institute of Technology, North Carolina State University, Northwestern University, Ohio State University, Oregon State University, Rutgers University, University of California at Davis, University of Utah. Industry: Kitware.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2018

A Guide for Incorporating Energy Efficiency in State Energy Plans

State energy planning offers an opportunity for states to develop a vision of their energy future. States that include energy efficiency policies and programs in their energy plans are well-positioned to develop programs that support energy policies that increase energy affordability, reliability, and resiliency. The two most cited goals of the forty states with active energy plans as of 2017 are to: (1) ensure a reliable supply of energy and (2) manage costs so energy is affordable for businesses and residents. Energy efficiency is an important strategy for achieving both goals. To explore these areas fully, states may also wish to update or build on their existing state energy plans. States may want to consider the use of enhanced stakeholder engagement experts and/or modeling approaches described in this guide. Energy planning teams–often led by state energy offices–should also consider the use of metrics or other approaches to track implementation progress over time. States may wish to use the examples, plans, and resources referenced as they develop their own unique energy plans.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Task 12 PV Sustainability - Status of PV Module Recycling in Selected IEA PVPS Task 12 Countries

Photovoltaic (PV) deployment has accelerated in recent years compared to projections in the early 2010s. This means that PV end of life (EOL) waste streams will also increase at a higher pace than anticipated. To meet and optimise PV EOL management, appropriate regulatory and technological approaches must be implemented in the near term, ensuring that available options are adapted to the conditions of each country or region. This report aims to review the current regulatory and industrial landscape for selected countries belonging to the International Energy Agency's PV Power Systems technology collaboration programme, to assess status of PV EOL management, allow for comparison and cross-fertilization, and establish a foundation for future tracking of progress. Although volumes of EOL PV modules are still small, EOL PV is treated and recycled in a proper manner in the countries and regions that have EOL regulations in place. However, the current low volumes, limited available recycling technologies, logistics challenges, and undeveloped markets for recovered materials result in a high-cost, low-revenue scenario for PV module recycling globally. Nevertheless, the implementation of PV EOL regulations in more countries and R&D investment in PV recycling is expected to accelerate further improvements to meet future demand and to achieve high-value, low-cost recycling. We hope this report contributes to understanding the global status of PV recycling and to accelerating its development as a promising option for the proper EOL management of PV modules in the coming decades.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Enhanced H 2 production from subsurface through organic acids stimulation Report

Geologic hydrogen (H 2 ) generation through serpentinization of ultramafic rocks presents a promising alternative to conventional hydrogen production, utilizing Earth's abundant magnesium- and iron-rich minerals. This study explores the use of short-chain organic acids (specifically malic acid, MA; and citric acid, CA) to enhance hydrogen yields by stimulating mineral dissolution and iron oxidation from ultramafic rock samples. Batch experiments were conducted with crushed peridotite samples from the Tamarack Complex (Minnesota) and Del Puerto Ophiolite (California). Experiments employed 0.05 M and 0.1 M solutions of MA or CA, under 500 psi (35 bar) nitrogen pressure, at temperatures up to 150 °C. Real-time gas monitoring, aqueous chemistry and solid-phase analyses were performed to track reaction progress and hydrogen production.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2025

Enhanced H 2 production from subsurface through organic acids stimulation

Geologic hydrogen (H₂) generation through serpentinization of ultramafic rocks presents a promising alternative to conventional hydrogen production, utilizing Earth's abundant magnesium- and iron-rich minerals. This study explores the use of short-chain organic acids (specifically malic acid, MA; and citric acid, CA) to enhance hydrogen yields by stimulating mineral dissolution and iron oxidation from ultramafic rock samples. Batch experiments were conducted with crushed peridotite samples from the Tamarack Complex (Minnesota) and Del Puerto Ophiolite (California). Experiments employed 0.05 M and 0.1 M solutions of MA or CA, under 500 psi (35 bar) nitrogen pressure, at temperatures up to 150 °C. Real-time gas monitoring, aqueous chemistry and solid-phase analyses were performed to track reaction progress and hydrogen production.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2025

Performance and Durability Investigation of Thin, Low Crossover Proton Exchange Membranes for Water Electrolyzers

The goal of this project was to fabricate and study the performance and durability implications of thin, mechanically reinforced membranes containing gas recombination catalysts (GRCs) for advanced proton exchange membrane water electrolysis (PEMWE) systems. The thinner membranes, optimized for a PEMWE environment, dramatically reduced the proton transport resistance across the membrane, improving the overall efficiency of the PEMWE system. At the same time, the GRC technology was deployed to recombine crossover hydrogen from the cathode with oxygen from the anode to form water within the membrane. This reaction mitigated the buildup of hydrogen in the oxygen stream, ensuring safe operation of the PEMWE system. Capabilities to measure the gas crossover in both an ex-situ screening cell and in operando application testing were developed over the course of the project to track membrane progress and quantify deliverables. State of the art roll to roll manufacturing technologies were leveraged to fabricate the membranes on a commercial scale, where the membrane structure was precisely tuned and GRC distributed within the membrane structure.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2017

VERA-CS User Support Activities for PoR 15

The purpose of this milestone is to document the user support activities that took place between 4/1/2017 and 9/29/2017 (PoR 15). In the normal PHI workflow, that also extends to several activities within RTM, a Kanban process is followed. This involves creating tickets for specific work items and track the progress to complete these specific work items.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗