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At least 109 records · Page 6

Semiconductor technology program. Progress briefs

The current status of NBS work on measurement technology for semiconductor materials, process control, and devices is reported. Results of both in-house and contract research are covered. Highlighted activities include modeling of diffusion processes, analysis of model spreading resistance data, and studies of resonance ionization spectroscopy, resistivity-dopant density relationships in p-type silicon, deep level measurements, photoresist sensitometry, random fault measurements, power MOSFET thermal characteristics, power transistor switching characteristics, and gross leak testing. New and selected on-going projects are described. Compilations of recent publications and publications in press are included.

Bullis, W. M.↗

Ice-lubricated gravity spreading of the Olympus Mons aureole deposits

The huge aureole deposits and the perimeter scarp of Olympus Mons in the Tharsis region of Mars were first observed by Mariner 9. It is pointed out that no other Martian volcano approaches the size of Olympus. Hypotheses of aureole formation are discussed and evaluated. It is concluded that gravity-sliding and gravity-spreading models for the Olympus Mons aureoles can account qualitatively for the observations regarding surface morphology, structure, and size. The presence of the basal scarp can also be understood. However, the proposed models require detachment between the aureoles and the substrate. In the present investigation, the proposal is made that widespread detachment may have occurred within a basal layer containing approximately 10 percent by volume of interstitial or interbedded ice.

Tanaka, K. L.↗

Electron beam dispersion measurements in nitrogen using two-dimensional imaging of N2(+) fluorescence

Experimental results are presented related to the radial spread of fluorescence excited by 10 and 20 KeV electron beams passing through nonflowing rarefied nitrogen at 293 K. An imaging technique for obtaining species distributions from measured beam-excited fluorescence is described, based on a signal inversion scheme mathematically equivalent to the inversion of the Abel integral equation. From fluorescence image data, measurements of beam radius, integrated signal intensity, and spatially resolved distributions of N2(+) first-negative-band fluorescence-emitting species have been made. Data are compared with earlier measurements and with an heuristic beam spread model.

Clapp, L. H.↗

Using Satellite Observations of Cloud Vertical Distribution to Improve Global Model Estimates of Cloud Radiative Effect on Key Tropospheric Oxidants

Radiative effect of clouds is one of the major factors that affect tropospheric OH. Large differences in cloud distributions among current (chemistry-climate or chemical transport) models could contribute significantly to the wide model spread of tropospheric OH, which was reported by the ACCMIP activity (Voulgarakis et al., ACP 2013). CCCM, a 3-D cloud data product developed at NASA Langley and merged from multiple A-Train satellite observations, provides unprecedentedly strong constraints on the vertical distribution of clouds and therefore simulated effects of clouds on key tropospheric oxidants.

Liu, Hongyu↗

On the Nature of the Arctic’s Positive Lapse-rate Feedback: Cause or Symptom of Arctic Amplification

Radiative energy fluxes exiting the atmosphere towards the surface and to space are sensitive to the vertical structure of temperature. Under anthropogenic forcing, this sensitivity gives rise to the lapse-rate feedback. Shown to be negative in the tropics and positive in the Arctic, studies argue that the lapse-rate feedback is the primary cause of Arctic Amplification. While mechanistically the negative tropical lapse-rate feedback is understood, the mechanics of the positive Arctic lapse-rate feedback are less clear. Previous arguments state that the Arctic’s stable stratification is the origin of its positive lapse-rate feedback. We present results using CMIP5 and CMIP6 model output that arguing that the magnitude, spatial variability, seasonality, and inter-model spread in the Arctic lapse-rate feedback is controlled by surface properties and atmosphere-ocean-sea ice energy exchanges, not the degree of stable stratification. We argue that the Arctic’s positive lapse-rate feedback is a seasonal and regional phenomenon that manifests from local surface characteristics and surface albedo, ice insulation, and thermal inertia feedbacks that cause surface warming to outpace atmospheric warming in sea ice-retreat regions. We view the Arctic’s positive lapse-rate feedback as a symptom rather than the primary cause of Arctic Amplification.

Patrick Charles Taylor↗

On the Nature of the Arctic’s Positive Lapse Rate Feedback Cause or Symptom of Arctic Amplification

Radiative energy fluxes exiting the atmosphere towards the surface and to space are sensitive to the vertical structure of temperature. Under anthropogenic forcing, this sensitivity gives rise to the lapse-rate feedback. Shown to be negative in the tropics and positive in the Arctic, studies argue that the lapse-rate feedback is the primary cause of Arctic Amplification. While mechanistically the negative tropical lapse-rate feedback is understood, the mechanics of the positive Arctic lapse-rate feedback are less clear. Previous arguments state that the Arctic’s stable stratification is the origin of its positive lapse-rate feedback. We present results using CMIP5 and CMIP6 model output that arguing that the magnitude, spatial variability, seasonality, and inter-model spread in the Arctic lapse-rate feedback is controlled by surface properties and atmosphere-ocean-sea ice energy exchanges, not the degree of stable stratification. We argue that the Arctic’s positive lapse-rate feedback is a seasonal and regional phenomenon that manifests from local surface characteristics and surface albedo, ice insulation, and thermal inertia feedbacks that cause surface warming to outpace atmospheric warming in sea ice-retreat regions. We view the Arctic’s positive lapse-rate feedback as a symptom rather than the primary cause of Arctic Amplification.

Patrick C Taylor↗

Process-Oriented Analysis of Dominant Sources of Uncertainty in the Land Carbon Sink

The observed global net land carbon sink is captured by current land models. All models agree that atmospheric CO 2 and nitrogen deposition driven gains in carbon stocks are partially offset by climate and land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) losses. However, there is a lack of consensus in the partitioning of the sink between vegetation and soil, where models do not even agree on the direction of change in carbon stocks over the past 60 years. This uncertainty is driven by plant productivity, allocation, and turnover response to atmospheric CO 2 (and to a smaller extent to LULCC), and the response of soil to LULCC (and to a lesser extent climate). Overall, differences in turnover explain ~70% of model spread in both vegetation and soil carbon changes. Further analysis of internal plant and soil (individual pools) cycling is needed to reduce uncertainty in the controlling processes behind the global land carbon sink.

Attribution↗

A LaGrangian Perspective of the Surface Energy Budget Contributions to Sea Ice Evolution in the ‘New Arctic’

Recent Arctic warming outpaces global warming and is characterized by dramatic changes in sea ice (record sea ice loss, thinner and more seasonal ice cover), warming SSTs, and a lengthening melt season. These changes impact the surface energy budget and the sensitivity of sea ice to radiative forcing, namely an increased sensitivity of thinner ice to local radiative forcings and a weaker buffering of surface-atmosphere exchanges of heat and moisture. However, these processes are a large source of uncertainty in global climate models with prior studies finding that poor representations of downwelling longwave radiation and sea ice albedo lead to model spread in sea ice conditions. A limitation of prior work is examining sea ice-atmosphere interactions through an Eulerian framework. This study utilizes a sea ice parcel dataset in a LaGrangian framework, allowing for tracking of surface energy budget-sea ice interactions over the lifespan of individual sea ice parcels; this framework also allows for the quantification of the sea ice response to episodic weather events along with seasonal drivers, including the drivers of rapid growth and melt events. First, lag-lead relationships between relevant surface energy budget terms and sea ice thickness changes are explored to understand the atmospheric conditions preceding rapid growth and melt. The impact of episodic events- moisture intrusion, warm air outbreaks, cyclones- on sea ice growth are also investigated by stratifying first-year parcels by sea ice thickness at the end of the growth season and analyzing the effect of atmospheric variability (number and intensity of episodic events) on parcel thickness change. Lastly, parcel growth and melt and the associated radiative anomalies are compared to snowfall events/snow thickness to determine how snowfall modifies the interaction between the local surface energy budget and sea ice mass balance.

Patrick Taylor↗

Reducing Spread in Climate Model Projections of a September Ice-Free Arctic

This paper addresses the specter of a September ice-free Arctic in the 21st century using newly available simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). We find that large spread in the projected timing of the September ice-free Arctic in 30 CMIP5 models is associated at least as much with different atmospheric model components as with initial conditions. Here we reduce the spread in the timing of an ice-free state using two different approaches for the 30 CMIP5 models: (i) model selection based on the ability to reproduce the observed sea ice climatology and variability since 1979 and (ii) constrained estimation based on the strong and persistent relationship between present and future sea ice conditions. Results from the two approaches show good agreement. Under a high-emission scenario both approaches project that September ice extent will drop to approx. 1.7 million sq km in the mid 2040s and reach the ice-free state (defined as 1 million sq km) in 2054-2058. Under a medium-mitigation scenario, both approaches project a decrease to approx.1.7 million sq km in the early 2060s, followed by a leveling off in the ice extent.

simulation↗

Numerical Model of Flame Spread Over Solids in Microgravity: A Supplementary Tool for Designing a Space Experiment

The recently developed numerical model of concurrent-flow flame spread over thin solids has been used as a simulation tool to help the designs of a space experiment. The two-dimensional and three-dimensional, steady form of the compressible Navier-Stokes equations with chemical reactions are solved. With the coupled multi-dimensional solver of the radiative heat transfer, the model is capable of answering a number of questions regarding the experiment concept and the hardware designs. In this paper, the capabilities of the numerical model are demonstrated by providing the guidance for several experimental designing issues. The test matrix and operating conditions of the experiment are estimated through the modeling results. The three-dimensional calculations are made to simulate the flame-spreading experiment with realistic hardware configuration. The computed detailed flame structures provide the insight to the data collection. In addition, the heating load and the requirements of the product exhaust cleanup for the flow tunnel are estimated with the model. We anticipate that using this simulation tool will enable a more efficient and successful space experiment to be conducted.

Shih, Hsin-Yi↗

Using active matter to introduce spatial heterogeneity to the susceptible infected recovered model of epidemic spreading

Abstract The widely used susceptible-infected-recovered (S-I-R) epidemic model assumes a uniform, well-mixed population, and incorporation of spatial heterogeneities remains a major challenge. Understanding failures of the mixing assumption is important for designing effective disease mitigation approaches. We combine a run-and-tumble self-propelled active matter system with an S-I-R model to capture the effects of spatial disorder. Working in the motility-induced phase separation regime both with and without quenched disorder, we find two epidemic regimes. For low transmissibility, quenched disorder lowers the frequency of epidemics and increases their average duration. For high transmissibility, the epidemic spreads as a front and the epidemic curves are less sensitive to quenched disorder; however, within this regime it is possible for quenched disorder to enhance the contagion by creating regions of higher particle densities. We discuss how this system could be realized using artificial swimmers with mobile optical traps operated on a feedback loop.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Modeling Molten Salt Spreading and Heat Transfer using MELTSPREAD – An Uncertainty Analysis

This report summarizes spreading and heat transfer results for molten salt pouring onto a flat stainless steel substrate that were calculated using MELTSPREAD to gain insight into bulk salt behavior during a molten salt spill accident. MELTSPREAD was developed at Argonne to model the one-dimensional flow and freezing behavior of molten corium and is being applied to model molten salts for the first time as part of this work. An uncertainty analysis of thermophysical properties and spill conditions was performed using MELTSPREAD to determine which properties and conditions have the greatest impact on model outcome. The model was run with and without the inclusion of decay heat. Eutectic FLiNaK was used as the salt composition because it is well-characterized and appropriate for model development. Small salt volumes were used for the initial model runs described in this report so that the model results can be compared to the results from ongoing experiments on molten salt spreading and heat transfer currently being conducted at Argonne at a benchtop scale. The spreading of a small volume of FLiNaK (50 mL) was found to be limited by the balance between the molten salt surface tension and gravity and not by freezing for the pour conditions and assumed mechanisms of heat transfer in the model. Heat transfer from the salt was highly inefficient to due to its low thermal conductivity, high heat capacity, and high heat of fusion and varying these properties had no effect on the spreading behavior. Changing the viscosity and density of the salt slightly affected the spreading behavior. Setting the salt surface tension to approximately zero to simulate the salt wetting the substrate had the greatest effect on the spreading behavior and this increased both the spreading velocity and overall spreading area. Including decay heat in the model had a significant effect on the long-term cooling behavior of the salt but had no effect on the overall spreading behavior. Future effort should involve modeling a larger volume of molten salt to represent a reactor case spill scenario because the spreading behavior of large volumes of salt may differ from the small volumes that were the focus of this document.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Large-Scale Transport into the Arctic: The Roles of the Midlatitude Jet and the Hadley Cell

Transport from the Northern Hemisphere (NH) midlatitudes to the Arctic plays a crucial role in determining the abundance of trace gases and aerosols that are important to Arctic climate via impacts on radiation and chemistry. Here we examine this transport using an idealized tracer with a fixed lifetime and predominantly midlatitude land-based sources in models participating in the Chemistry Climate Model Initiative (CCMI). We show that there is a 25%-45% difference in the Arctic concentrations of this tracer among the models. This spread is correlated with the spread in the location of the Pacific jet, as well as the spread in the location of the Hadley Cell (HC) edge, which varies consistently with jet latitude. Our results suggest that it is likely that the HC-related zonal-mean meridional transport rather than the jet-related eddy mixing is the major contributor to the inter-model spread in the transport of land-based tracers into the Arctic. Specifically, in models with a more northern jet, the HC generally extends further north and the tracer source region is mostly covered by surface southward flow associated with the lower branch of the HC, resulting in less efficient transport poleward to the Arctic. During boreal summer, there are poleward biases in jet location in free-running models, and these models likely underestimate the rate of transport into the Arctic. Models using specified dynamics do not have biases in the jet location, but do have biases in the surface meridional flow, which may result in differences in transport into the Arctic. In addition to the land-based tracer, the midlatitude-to-Arctic transport is further examined by another idealized tracer with zonally uniform sources. With equal sources from both land and ocean, the inter-model spread of this zonally uniform tracer is more related to variations in parameterized convection over oceans rather than variations in HC extent, particularly during boreal winter. This suggests that transport of land-based and oceanic tracers or aerosols towards the Arctic differs in pathways and therefore their corresponding inter-model variabilities result from different physical processes.

chemistry climate models↗

Inter-Model Warming Projection Spread: Inherited Traits from Control Climate Diversity

Since Chaney’s report, the range of global warming projections in response to a doubling of CO2—from 1.5 °C to 4.5 °C or greater—remains largely unscathed by the onslaught of new scientific insights. Conventional thinking regards inter-model differences in climate feedbacks as the sole cause of the warming projection spread (WPS). Our findings shed new light on this issue indicating that climate feedbacks inherit diversity from the model control climate, besides the models’ intrinsic climate feedback diversity that is independent of the control climate state. Regulated by the control climate ice coverage, models with greater (lesser) ice coverage generally possess a colder (warmer) and drier (moister) climate, exhibit a stronger (weaker) ice-albedo feedback, and experience greater (weaker) warming. The water vapor feedback also inherits diversity from the control climate but in an opposite way: a colder (warmer) climate generally possesses a weaker (stronger) water vapor feedback, yielding a weaker (stronger) warming. These inherited traits influence the warming response in opposing manners, resulting in a weaker correlation between the WPS and control climate diversity. Our study indicates that a better understanding of the diversity amongst climate model mean states may help to narrow down the range of global warming projections.

Climate feedbacks↗

Constraints on crustal rheology and age of deformation from models of gravitational spreading in Ishtar Terra, Venus

Gravitational spreading is expected to lead to rapid relaxation of high relief due to the high surface temperature and associated weak crust on Venus. In this study, we use new Magellan radar and altimetry data to determine the extent of gravitational relaxation in Ishtar Terra, which contains the highest relief on Venus as well as areas of extremely high topographic slope. Within Ishtar Terra the only mountain belts found on Venus, Akna, Danu, Freyja, and Maxwell Montes, nearly encircle the smooth, high (3-4 km) plateau of Lakshmi Planum. Finite-element models of this process give expected timescales for relaxation of relief and failure at the surface. From these modeling results we attempt to constrain the strength of the crust and timescales of deformation in Ishtar Terra. Below we discuss observational evidence for gravitational spreading in Ishtar Terra, results from the finite-element modeling, independent age constraints, and implications for the rheology and timing of deformation.

Smrekar, Suzanne E.↗

Microplate and shear zone models for oceanic spreading center reorganizations

The kinematics of rift propagation and the resulting goemetries of various tectonic elements for two plates is reviewed with no overlap zone. The formation and evolution of overlap regions using schematic models is discussed. The models are scaled in space and time to approximate the Easter plate, but are simplified to emphasize key elements. The tectonic evolution of overlap regions which act as rigid microplates and shear zones is discussed, and the use of relative motion and structural data to discriminate between the two types of models is investigated. The effect of propagation rate and rise time on the size, shape, and deformation of the overlap region is demonstrated.

Engeln, Joseph F.↗

Muted extratropical low cloud seasonal cycle is closely linked to underestimated climate sensitivity in models

Abstract A large spread in model estimates of the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), defined as the global mean near-surface air-temperature increase following a doubling of atmospheric CO 2 concentration, leaves us greatly disadvantaged in guiding policy-making for climate change adaptation and mitigation. In this study, we show that the projected ECS in the latest generation of climate models is highly related to seasonal variations of extratropical low-cloud fraction (LCF) in historical simulations. Marked reduction of extratropical LCF from winter to summer is found in models with ECS > 4.75 K, in accordance with the significant reduction of extratropical LCF under a warming climate in these models. In contrast, a pronounced seasonal cycle of extratropical LCF, as supported by satellite observations, is largely absent in models with ECS < 3.3 K. The distinct seasonality in extratropical LCF in climate models is ascribed to their different prevailing cloud regimes governing the extratropical LCF variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗