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At least 109 records · Page 6

Si–Cl 2 –Ar + Atomic Layer Etching Window: A Fundamental Study Using Molecular Dynamics Simulations and a Reduced Order Model

Silicon (Si) atomic layer etching (ALE) by alternating exposure to chlorine gas (Cl 2 ) and argon ions (Ar + ) is studied by using molecular dynamics (MD) simulations and a reduced order model (ROM). Here, the purpose of this study is to elucidate the properties of the ALE window, a range of ion energies where the amount of Si etched over a series of cycles is nonzero and nearly independent of ion energy. Experimental studies of the Si–Cl 2 –Ar + ALE system report contradictory results related to the ALE window’s ion energy range. Both MD simulations and the ROM show that there is an ALE window present from approximately 15 to 20 eV for normal incidence argon ions. The Si–Cl 2 –Ar + system, therefore, exhibits a narrow ALE window. The amount of Si etched per cycle is less than one atomic layer because of the higher etch yield of Cl atoms relative to atomic Si and silicon chlorides. A modified version of the ROM with an artificially increased Si physical sputtering threshold energy expands the ALE window, illustrating the importance of the difference in chemical and physical sputtering threshold energies in the ALE window energy range. The ROM is also used to examine the dependence of the EPC on the Ar + ion fluence.

energy↗

Data-driven recovery of hidden physics in reduced order modeling of fluid flows

In this article, we introduce a modular hybrid analysis and modeling (HAM) approach to account for hidden physics in reduced order modeling (ROM) of parameterized systems relevant to fluid dynamics. The hybrid ROM framework is based on using first principles to model the known physics in conjunction with utilizing the data-driven machine learning tools to model the remaining residual that is hidden in data. This framework employs proper orthogonal decomposition as a compression tool to construct orthonormal bases and Galerkin projection (GP) as a model to build the dynamical core of the system. Our proposed methodology hence compensates structural or epistemic uncertainties in models and utilizes the observed data snapshots to compute true modal coefficients spanned by these bases. The GP model is then corrected at every time step with a data-driven rectification using a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network architecture to incorporate hidden physics. A Grassmannian manifold approach is also adopted for interpolating basis functions to unseen parametric conditions. The control parameter governing the system's behavior is thus implicitly considered through true modal coefficients as input features to the LSTM network. The effectiveness of the HAM approach is then discussed through illustrative examples that are generated synthetically to take hidden physics into account. Furthermore, our approach thus provides insights addressing a fundamental limitation of the physics-based models when the governing equations are incomplete to represent underlying physical processes.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Extended dynamic mode decomposition for model reduction in fluid dynamics simulations

High computational cost and storage/memory requirements of fluid dynamics simulations constrain their usefulness as a predictive tool. Reduced-order models (ROMs) provide a viable solution to this challenge by extracting the key underlying dynamics of a complex system directly from data. We investigate the efficacy and robustness of an extended dynamic mode decomposition (xDMD) algorithm in constructing ROMs of three-dimensional cardiovascular computations. Focusing on the ROMs' accuracy in representation and interpolation, we relate these metrics to the truncation rank of singular value decomposition, which underpins xDMD and other approaches to ROM construction. Our key innovation is to relate the truncation rank to the singular values of the original flow problem. This result establishes a priori guidelines for the xDMD deployment and its likely success as a means of data compression and reconstruction of the system's dynamics from dominant spatiotemporal structures present in the data.

Mechanics↗

Tritium Breeding Ratio Evaluation of Solid Breeder Concepts for the FESS-FNSF

This paper presents a parametric study of the Fusion Energy System Studies-Fusion Nuclear Science Facility’s (FNSF’s) tritium breeding performance for several solid breeder concepts, neutron multiplying materials, and blanket materials, assuming volume fractions based on the most recent FNSF design as a realistically representative fusion facility. In this study, we initially surveyed the tritium breeding ratio (TBR) of several solid breeder concepts by employing a simplified but efficient one-dimensional (1-D) infinite cylinder reduced-order model (ROM). Parametric studies were performed with the ROMs for the full range of breeder-to-multiplier ratios to identify the optimum mixture compositions for each breeder type that would lead to a maximum TBR. These optimized breeder-multiplier combinations were then homogenized with FNSF blanket component materials to estimate their impacts on the TBR. Subsequently, as a validation step for the optimal designs, TBR calculations were performed using a more realistic modified 1-D ROM with inner and outer breeding regions, as well as with a fully detailed 22.5-deg three-dimensional (3-D) sector of the FNSF to assess the impact of geometry details on the TBR. The differences between the two 1-D models were negligible, while the ROMs were able to correctly predict trends and identify the maximum and minimum TBR cases, as well as show consistent biases relative to the results produced by the full 3-D, 22.5-deg sector for specific breeder/multiplier combinations. Solid breeder concepts such as Li 2 O, Li 4 SiO 4 , and Li 8 ZrO 6 outperformed all others in this study in terms of TBR performance when combined with all the neutron multiplier materials selected. Here, an underlying goal of this study was to develop and improve rapid and reliable ROMs to aid designers during parametric optimizations of highly complex and computationally expensive fusion models.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Active learning emulators for nuclear two-body scattering in momentum space

In this work we extend the active learning emulators for two-body scattering in coordinate space with error estimation, recently developed by Maldonado et al. [Phys. Rev. C 112, 024002], to coupled-channel scattering in momentum space. Our full-order model (FOM) solver is based on the Lippmann-Schwinger integral equation for the scattering t-matrix as opposed to the radial Schrödinger equation. We use (Petrov-)Galerkin projections and high-fidelity calculations at a few snapshots across the parameter space of the interaction to construct efficient reduced-order models (ROMs), trained by a greedy algorithm for locally optimal snapshot selection. Both the FOM solver and the corresponding ROMs are implemented efficiently in Python using Google's JAX library. We present results for emulating scattering phase shifts in coupled and uncoupled channels and cross sections, and assess the accuracy of the developed ROMs and their computational speedup factors. We also develop emulator error estimation for both the t-matrix and the total cross section. The software framework for reproducing and extending our results is publicly available. Together with our recent advances in developing active-learning emulators for three-body scattering, these emulator frameworks set the stage for full Bayesian calibrations of chiral nuclear interactions and optical models against scattering data with quantified emulator errors.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Singular Perturbation-Based Large-Signal Order Reduction of Microgrids for Stability and Accuracy Synthesis With Control

The increasing penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) highlights the growing importance of microgrids (MGs) in enhancing power system reliability. Employing electromagnetic transient (EMT) analysis in MGs becomes crucial for controlling the rapid transients. However, this requires an accurate but high-order model of power electronics and their underlying control loops, complexifying the stability analysis from the viewpoint of a higher control level. To overcome these challenges, this paper proposes a large-signal order reduction (LSOR) method for MGs with considerations of external control inputs and the detailed dynamics of underlying control levels based on singular perturbation theory (SPT). Specially, we innovatively proposed and strictly proved a general stability and accuracy assessment theorem that allows us to analyze the dynamic stability of a full-order nonlinear system by only leveraging our derived reduced-order model (ROM) and boundary layer model (BLM). Furthermore, this theorem furnishes a set of conditions that determine the accuracy of the developed ROM. Lastly, by embedding such a theorem into the SPT, we propose a novel LSOR approach with guaranteed accuracy and stability analysis equivalence. Case studies are conducted on MG systems to show the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Scalable Reduced Order Model with Discontinuous Galerkin Domain Decomposition

scaleupROM is a scalable, physics-constrained reduced order model (ROM). It aims to provide robust, accelerated physics predictions at extrapolated scales, based on the small, component-level data. This is implemented by combining projection-based ROM with discontinuous Galerkin domain decomposition, in the framework of MFEM and libROM. It currently supports the Poisson equation and Stokes flow equation, and more work is in progress toward general, nonlinear physics systems.

Chung, Seung Whan↗

Multifidelity computing for coupling full and reduced order models

Hybrid physics-machine learning models are increasingly being used in simulations of transport processes. Many complex multiphysics systems relevant to scientific and engineering applications include multiple spatiotemporal scales and comprise a multifidelity problem sharing an interface between various formulations or heterogeneous computational entities. To this end, we present a robust hybrid analysis and modeling approach combining a physics-based full order model (FOM) and a data-driven reduced order model (ROM) to form the building blocks of an integrated approach among mixed fidelity descriptions toward predictive digital twin technologies. At the interface, we introduce a long short-term memory network to bridge these high and low-fidelity models in various forms of interfacial error correction or prolongation. The proposed interface learning approaches are tested as a new way to address ROM-FOM coupling problems solving nonlinear advection-diffusion flow situations with a bifidelity setup that captures the essence of a broad class of transport processes.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Rapid Analyses of Sparse Seismoacoustic Data Reveals the Timing and Size of the Accurate Energetic Systems Explosion

On 10 October 2025 an explosion occurred at a facility operated by Accurate Energetic Systems in Humphreys County, Tennessee. The incident resulted in 16 fatalities and created a debris field over several square kilometers. To address remaining questions about explosion timing and size, we collected about 20 seismic and 19 acoustic records of the blast from sensors up to hundreds of kilometers away. We then deployed 10 distinct physics-based, reduced order models (ROMs) that used validated geological structure and atmospheric conditions from the time of the event, along with observations of body- and surface-wave energy, as well as acoustic overpressure and phase duration. Each ROM predicted either timing, yield estimates, or both. We binned these estimates and their uncertainties according to each ROMs’ assumptions about confinement (aboveground, buried fully coupled, and buried partially coupled) and combined these estimates with other forensic data to conclude that the event occurred as a single, aboveground explosion on 10 December 2025 12:47:50.8 ±0.1 s with a yield equivalent to 11.8 [2.3,16.5] tons of Trinitrotoluene. Our estimates align with the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives inventory reports of 11–13 tons. This multimethod approach demonstrates the use of remotely observed geophysical data to rapidly aid conventional forensic investigations of accidental explosions.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Survey of Dynamic Mode Decomposition Methods

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a data-driven reduced order modeling (ROM) technique used for dynamic systems. The widely adopted algorithm was first introduced and demonstrated on fluid flow data by Schmid. In recent years, various other fields, such as nuclear engineering, have begun to adopt this method. For example, DMD has been used for estimating α-eigenvalues, as an ROM for pulsed neutron problems, for predicting isotopic composition in burnup calculations, as acceleration techniques for iterative methods, and in capturing dynamic behaviors in molten salt reactor transients. This report seeks to demonstrate the capabilities and limits of the standard DMD algorithm, and identify problem spaces where variants may be better suited. The primary variant this report considers is Multi-Resolution DMD (mrDMD). Because this serves as a survey, synthetically produced data is used in lieu of simulation results. The remainder of this report will go into detail on the DMD theory, outline the standard DMD and mrDMD algorithms, present test cases highlighting the applicability of each, and finally present a discussion on how to determine the best suited algorithm for a given problem. All calculations performed in this report are carried out using the open source DMD library, PyDMD.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Multiscale Reduced Order Modeling and Parameter Estimation for Climate Sciences

Several problems in earth system modeling are dependent on highly multiscale phenomena, such as turbulence, where computational modeling is challenging and expensive. This issue is exacerbated in atmospheric and oceanic domains, due to inherent high-dimensionality of the problem. One approach to this problem has been reduced order modeling (ROM); which aims to represent the key physics of the phenomena as a low-dimensional system. AI methods have huge potential in building accurate, stable ROMs and parameter estimation for these ROMs, as it requires extracting nonlinearities and patterns from simulation and/or observational data. Developing physics-based AI approaches specialized for the complexities of multiscale data, along with strategies to account for uncertainties, will revolutionize rapid modeling, analysis and decision making for earth system problems of practical interest.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Development of Efficient Process for Manufacturing of Thermoplastic Composites with Tailored Properties (CRADA 511)

This is a collaborative effort between Battelle Memorial Institute as manager and operator of Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) and ESI North America Inc. (“ESI” or “Participant”) to apply computation and data analytics to the challenge of light weighting with a focus on the battery enclosures of electric vehicles (EVs). EVs use heavy batteries to increase range and power. A complex-shaped battery enclosure is required to meet a host of challenging performance requirements. The ability to virtually develop composite parts such as battery enclosure with tailored properties to meet required performance will be highly valuable to the automotive industry. However, efficient simulation of composite-manufacturing processes remains a challenging issue since simulation involves multiscale models in space and time, highly non-linear and anisotropic behavior, strongly coupled multi-physics, and complex geometries. This work will advance the state of the art by reducing the computational burden of composite optimization by using simulation data from a limited number of configurations off-line and then developing a reduced order model (ROM) using data analytics and machine learning (ML). Develop a data driven approach to link features of the material and manufacturing processes to the mechanical properties of thermoplastic composite parts.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Space-Time Reduced-Order Modeling for Uncertainty Quantification

This work focuses on the space-time reduced-order modeling (ROM) method for solving large-scale uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems with multiple random coefficients. In contrast with the traditional space ROM approach, which performs dimension reduction in the spatial dimension, the space-time ROM approach performs dimension reduction on both the spatial and temporal domains, and thus enables accurate approximate solutions at a low cost. We incorporate the space-time ROM strategy with various classical stochastic UQ propagation methods such as stochastic Galerkin and Monte Carlo. Numerical results demonstrate that our methodology has significant computational advantages compared to state-of-the-art ROM approaches. By testing the approximation errors, we show that there is no obvious loss of simulation accuracy for space-time ROM given its high computational efficiency.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

NRAP-Open-IAM Analytical Reservoir Model: Development and Testing

Geological carbon sequestration (GCS) is a key technology for reducing global carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions. Over the last decade, the U.S. Department of Energy has invested in understanding the science base, developing practical implementation methods, and demonstrating secure GCS technologies to mitigate the environmental impacts associated with the atmospheric release of CO 2 . As part of the National Risk Assessment Partnership, a systems-level risk assessment tool, called the NRAP-Open-IAM, has been developed to conduct risk assessment and enable safe operations at a GCS site. The current NRAP-Open-IAM contains a simple reservoir model component that calculates the evolution of CO 2 saturation and fluid pressure in a storage reservoir during CO 2 injection operations. This report presents the development and testing of a new analytical reservoir reduced-order model (ROM), which is extended from an existing semi-analytical model for estimation of CO 2 and brine leakage along legacy wells, and enhances the capability of the NRAP-Open-IAM to simulate more types of reservoir conditions. The developed model is validated against three reference studies, and the results indicate that the new ROM predicts the behavior of the two-phase fluids (brine and injected CO 2 ) well and is applicable to different reservoir simulation boundary conditions (i.e., constant pressure boundary and infinite-acting boundary) without a priori user specification of the boundary type. Sensitivity analysis for a set of model parameters is performed using 4,000 synthetic cases prepared via a fully automated process and using machine-learning-based feature selection. The stochastic analysis identifies gravitational number (i.e., ratio of gravitational forces to viscous force) and distance between the injection well and observation location as the most impactful parameters for matching the pressure and CO 2 saturation, respectively, between the numerical simulations and the ROM. This report details the possible ROM uncertainties and serves as a guide for users to understand the use and limitations of this ROM. The code implementation of the model will be released as a module within the NRAP-Open-IAM.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An Open-Source Framework for the Computational Analysis and Design of Autothermal Chemical Processes

The main project object was to develop software tools for simulating non-equilibrium autothermal processes, improving the prospects for identifying and designing such systems. The project demonstrates the use of these tools to simulate autothermal pyrolysis, a process recently developed at the pilot-plant scale at Iowa State University. In such process, instead of externally heating a reactor to pro-vide the enthalpy of pyrolysis, sufficient oxygen in the form of air is introduced into the reactor to support partial oxidation of reactants and products with the exothermic energy released supporting endothermic pyrolysis reactions. A fluidized bed is used to assure good mixing of biomass and oxidant and provide an isothermal reaction environment. The amount of oxygen required depends upon the kind of biomass being pyrolyzed and parasitic heat losses from the reactor. For example, for woody biomass pyrolyzed under conditions that simulate adiabatic operation, equivalence ratios can be as low as 0.06, compared to 0.20 or higher for autothermal gasifiers. By removing the heat transfer bottleneck of conventional pyrolysis, operation in autothermal mode allowed a significant increase in reactor throughput process, approaching five times the throughput of the conventionally operated pyrolyzer. Different simulation strategies were considered and developed: a zero-dimensional chemistry model was used to verify the applicability of kinetic schemes to predict biomass fast pyrolysis in autothermal conditions. Conventional chemical reactor models such as the plug flow reactor and the partially stirred reactor were used to investigate the role of mixing in the fluidized bed pyrolyzer and to establish the impact of mixing time on the gas-phase reactions. A comprehensive multiphase computational fluid dynamics (mCFD) framework, including polydisperse granular phase modeling and detailed chemical kinetics was formulated and used to model the experimental setup for autothermal biomass fast pyrolysis at ISU. Multiphase CFD was also used to investigate the role of biomass feed positioning on the mixing of biomass in the pyrolizer. Finally, a reduced order model (ROM), suitable to be implemented in process simulators was obtained. Both the mCFD and the ROM were validated against experiments.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Benefit Analysis of CO 2 Delivery Options for Offshore Storage or Enhanced Oil Recovery

The analysis presented in this report evaluates the benefits of CO₂ offshore transport via pipeline or ship within the GOM. It takes a top-down framework to estimate the costs. First, this analysis designed a reduced-order model (ROM) based on the cash flows in the FECM/NETL CO₂ Transport Cost Model (also known as CO2_T_COM). The ROM takes capital expenses (CAPEX) and operating expenses (OPEX) to calculate the CO₂ breakeven price based on the cash flows. Second, this analysis developed regression models utilizing published data from other analyses to estimate CAPEX and OPEX. Since the ROM is a simplified cash flow calculation, it is easy to exchange the core regression models to estimate various costs. The ROM and regression models provided a framework that can be easily used by other researchers, decision-makers, operators, and regulators. The objective of this analysis is to assess the CO₂ breakeven cost range for pipeline and ship transport of captured CO₂ given the CO₂ source and storage reservoir located in the GOM.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The Schwarz Alternating Method for the Seamless Coupling of Nonlinear Reduced Order Models and Full Order Models

Projection-based model order reduction allows for the parsimonious representation of full order models (FOMs), typically obtained through the discretization of a set of partial differential equations (PDEs) using conventional techniques (e.g., finite element, finite volume, finite difference methods) where the discretization may contain a very large number of degrees of freedom. As a result of this more compact representation, the resulting projection-based reduced order models (ROMs) can achieve considerable computational speedups, which are especially useful in real-time or multi-query analyses. One known deficiency of projection-based ROMs is that they can suffer from a lack of robustness, stability and accuracy, especially in the predictive regime, which ultimately limits their useful application. Another research gap that has prevented the widespread adoption of ROMs within the modeling and simulation community is the lack of theoretical and algorithmic foundations necessary for the “plug-and-play” integration of these models into existing multi-scale and multi-physics frameworks. This paper describes a new methodology that has the potential to address both of the aforementioned deficiencies by coupling projection-based ROMs with each other as well as with conventional FOMs by means of the Schwarz alternating method [41]. Leveraging recent work that adapted the Schwarz alternating method to enable consistent and concurrent multiscale coupling of finite element FOMs in solid mechanics [35, 36], we present a new extension of the Schwarz framework that enables FOM-ROM and ROM-ROM coupling, following a domain decomposition of the physical geometry on which a PDE is posed. In order to maintain efficiency and achieve computation speed-ups, we employ hyper-reduction via the Energy-Conserving Sampling and Weighting (ECSW) approach [13]. We evaluate the proposed coupling approach in the reproductive as well as in the predictive regime on a canonical test case that involves the dynamic propagation of a traveling wave in a nonlinear hyper-elastic material.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Real-Time Optimization Workflow Status Update

Economically optimal and safe operation of integrated energy systems (IES) requires optimization at many different time scales. A real-time optimization (RTO) workflow will attempt to maximize revenue and minimize operational costs on a time scale of minutes to hours. Such a workflow requires the use of a digital twin (DT), which is a virtual representation of a physical system. The DT is updated using real-time data from the physical system, and serves as a model in an optimization framework. The optimization results are then sent back to the physical system to complete the loop. This report details the progress made in developing building blocks for a DT/RTO framework. The Risk Analysis Virtual Environment (RAVEN) platform within the Framework for Optimization of Resources and Economics (FORCE) tool suite can perform many of the tasks required for building a DT and performing RTO. The first item of this report details RAVEN enhancements that enable RAVEN workflows to be run in various environments. Data communication between the physical system and its DT is essential for successful RTO. This includes preprocessing real-time data, loading data into a data warehouse, and querying the stored data. The second section of this report describes the progress made in implementing an adapter in Python in order for Deep Lynx to handle the data communication. Typical dispatch optimization frameworks are built on linear programming (LP). The prototype RTO workflow developed in this report uses an LP problem as a part of a receding-horizon- or economic model predictive control (EMPC) based optimization. The third section of this report details the framework of an RTO workflow in which the system consists of a simple electrical storage device. A DT can be built from a reduced-order model (ROM). Integrating a ROM into a typical LP optimization framework has been challenging because most optimization packages require the user to write algebraic expressions for the system model. The final section of this report shows how an externally built RAVEN ROM can be integrated in an RTO framework by using the Python package Pyomo. This demonstrates the RTO workflow capability from a software-only perspective and is an important step in demonstrating the capability to implement an RTO workflow for a physical system.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗