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At least 109 records · Page 6

A Prefire Approach for Probabilistic Assessments of Postfire Debris-Flow Inundation

Increases in wildfire activity and rainfall intensification are driving more postfire debris flows (PFDF) in many regions around the world. PFDFs are most common in the first postfire year and may even occur before a fire is fully controlled. This underscores the importance of assessing postfire hazards before a fire starts. Evaluation of PFDF hazards prior to fire can help strategize interventions lessening the negative effects of future fires. However, debris-flow runout and inundation analyses are not routine in PFDF hazard assessments, partially due to time constraints and substantial uncertainties in boundary conditions. Here, we propose a prefire PFDF inundation assessment framework using a debris-flow runout model based on the Herschel-Bulkley (HB) rheology (HEC-RAS v6.1). We constrain model inputs and parameters using Bayesian posterior analysis, rainfall-runoff simulations, and a debris-flow volume model. We use observations from recent PFDF incidents in northern Arizona, USA, to calibrate model components and then apply our prefire inundation assessment framework in a nearby unburned area. Specifically, we (a) identify yield stress as the most influential factor on inundation extent and arrival time in a HB model, (b) establish posterior distributions for model parameters suitable for forward modeling by leveraging uncertainties in field observations, and (c) implement a predictive forward analysis in an area that has not burned recently to evaluate PFDF inundation under several future fire scenarios. This study improves our ability to assess postfire debris-flow hazards before a fire begins and provides guidance for future applications of single-phase rheological models when assessing PFDF hazards.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Targeting Drugs Against Fibroblast Growth Factor(s)-Induced Cell Signaling

Background:: The fibroblast growth factor (FGF) family is comprised of 23 highly regulatedmonomeric proteins that regulate a plethora of developmental and pathophysiological processes,including tissue repair, wound healing, angiogenesis, and embryonic development. Binding ofFGF to fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR), a tyrosine kinase receptor, is facilitated by a glycosaminoglycan,heparin. Activated FGFRs phosphorylate the tyrosine kinase residues that mediateinduction of downstream signaling pathways, such as RAS-MAPK, PI3K-AKT, PLCγ, andSTAT. Dysregulation of the FGF/FGFR signaling occurs frequently in cancer due to gene amplification,FGF activating mutations, chromosomal rearrangements, integration, and oncogenic fusions.Aberrant FGFR signaling also affects organogenesis, embryonic development, tissue homeostasis,and has been associated with cell proliferation, angiogenesis, cancer, and other pathophysiologicalchanges. Objective:: This comprehensive review will discuss the biology, chemistry, and functions of FGFs,and its current applications toward wound healing, diabetes, repair and regeneration of tissues, andfatty liver diseases. In addition, specific aberrations in FGFR signaling and drugs that target FGFRand aid in mitigating various disorders, such as cancer, are also discussed in detail. Conclusion:: Inhibitors of FGFR signaling are promising drugs in the treatment of several types ofcancers. The clinical benefits of FGF/FGFR targeting therapies are impeded due to the activationof other RTK signaling mechanisms or due to the mutations that abolish the drug inhibitory activityon FGFR. Thus, the development of drugs with a different mechanism of action for FGF/FGFRtargeting therapies is the recent focus of several preclinical and clinical studies.

Pharmacology & Pharmacy↗

A new form of the Saint-Venant equations for variable topography

The solution stability of river models using the one-dimensional (1D) Saint-Venant equations can be easily undermined when source terms in the discrete equations do not satisfy the Lipschitz smoothness condition for partial differential equations. Although instability issues have been previously noted, they are typically treated as model implementation issues rather than as underlying problems associated with the form of the governing equations. This study proposes a new reference slope form of the Saint-Venant equations to ensure smooth slope source terms and eliminate one source of potential numerical oscillations. It is shown that a simple algebraic transformation of channel geometry provides a smooth reference slope while preserving the correct cross-section flow area and the total Piezometric pressure gradient that drives the flow. The reference slope method ensures the slope source term in the governing equations is Lipschitz continuous while maintaining all the underlying complexity of the real-world geometry. The validity of the mathematical concept is demonstrated with the open-source Simulation Program for River Networks (SPRNT) model in a series of artificial test cases and a simulation of a small urban creek. Validation comparisons are made with analytical solutions and the Hydrologic Engineering Center's River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) model. The new method reduces numerical oscillations and instabilities without requiring ad hoc smoothing algorithms.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Allosteric activation or inhibition of PI3Kγ mediated through conformational changes in the p110γ helical domain

PI3Kγ is a critical immune signaling enzyme activated downstream of diverse cell surface molecules, including Ras, PKCβ activated by the IgE receptor, and Gβγ subunits released from activated GPCRs. PI3Kγ can form two distinct complexes, with the p110γ catalytic subunit binding to either a p101 or p84 regulatory subunit, with these complexes being differentially activated by upstream stimuli. Here, using a combination of cryo electron microscopy, HDX-MS, and biochemical assays, we have identified novel roles of the helical domain of p110γ in regulating lipid kinase activity of distinct PI3Kγ complexes. We defined the molecular basis for how an allosteric inhibitory nanobody potently inhibits kinase activity through rigidifying the helical domain and regulatory motif of the kinase domain. The nanobody did not block either p110γ membrane recruitment or Ras/Gβγ binding, but instead decreased ATP turnover. We also identified that p110γ can be activated by dual PKCβ helical domain phosphorylation leading to partial unfolding of an N-terminal region of the helical domain. PKCβ phosphorylation is selective for p110γ-p84 compared to p110γ-p101, driven by differential dynamics of the helical domain of these different complexes. Nanobody binding prevented PKCβ-mediated phosphorylation. Overall, this work shows an unexpected allosteric regulatory role of the helical domain of p110γ that is distinct between p110γ-p84 and p110γ-p101 and reveals how this can be modulated by either phosphorylation or allosteric inhibitory binding partners. This opens possibilities of future allosteric inhibitor development for therapeutic intervention.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

PKA regulatory subunit Bcy1 couples growth, lipid metabolism, and fermentation during anaerobic xylose growth in Saccharomyces cerevisiae

Past work from our lab, focused on engineering the budding yeast Saccharomyces cerevisiae for fermentation of the non-native pentose sugar xylose, discovered that hyperactivation of the RAS/Protein Kinase A (PKA) pathway was needed for rapid anaerobic xylose fermentation. Interestingly, the mechanism of PKA hyperactivation has a dramatic impact on growth and metabolism on xylose; deletion of the RAS inhibitor IRA2 permits rapid growth and fermentation, while deletion of the PKA regulatory subunit BCY1 allows for fermentation without growth on xylose. To understand how a single deletion in the PKA pathway can decouple growth and metabolism, we performed transcriptomic analysis of these strains, predicting that altered PKA activity would impact global gene expression and identify pathways important for growth and metabolism coordination.

Gasch, Audrey↗

Bulk Electric System Protection Model Demonstration with 2011 Southwest Blackout in DCAT

Protection equipment modeling is critical to power systems planning and operational studies, it enables more accurate system response when control actions including protection relays and remedial action schemes (RAS) are adequately modeled and assessed. This paper incorporates a generic protection philosophy to the Dynamic Contingency Analysis Tools (DCAT), and demonstrates its effectiveness by modeling 2011 Pacific Southwest Blackout event autonomously.

Bulk Electric System, Protection, Blackout, DCAT↗

Reversible hydrogen storage in multilayer graphane: Lattice dynamics, compressibility, and heat capacity studies

Multilayer graphane (hydride of graphite) is a crystalline hydrocarbon of composition CH, which can be synthesized from graphite and molecular hydrogen at pressures above 2GPa [V.E. Antonov et al. Carbon 100 (2016) 465]. Using X-ray diffraction, this compound was tentatively identified as the “graphane II” phase of 3D-graphane predicted by ab initio calculations [X.-D. Wen et al. PNAS 108 (2011) 6833] and consisting of layers of 2D-graphane in the “chair” conformation. When heated in a vacuum, the compound does not form any intermediate hydrocarbons and reversibly decomposes back into graphite and hydrogen at 770–920 K. In the present work, almost single-phase samples of graphite hydride and deuteride were synthesized at 7.4 GPa and 870 K. Their investigation by inelastic neutron scattering supplemented by ab initio calculations gave spectra g(E) of the phonon density of states with a gap of about 15 meV at approx. 100 meV, which is a unique identifier for the chair form of graphane. The equation of state V(P) of the hydride was studied at room temperature and hydrogen pressures up to 53 GPa by synchrotron X-ray diffraction in a diamond anvil cell. Further, the graphane II phase did not react with the surrounding hydrogen and did not undergo any phase transformations upon the compression and after heating to 1500 K at 53GPa. The high thermal and pressure stability of this exotic phase makes it an important part of the C–H system. The obtained g(E) spectra of graphite hydride and deuteride were used to calculate temperature dependences of their heat capacity. Measurements of the heat capacity at temperatures 120–673 K confirmed the good accuracy of these calculations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Middle and Late-Holocene coastal environments of far Southeastern Russia as inferred from palynological and diatom data

Existing discontinuous palynological records from coastal and river valley exposures, with varying quality of radiocarbon control, suggested that the regional Holocene climate in southern areas of the Russian Far East was characterized by as many as 10 fluctuations in temperature and/or precipitation. In this study, palynological data from Zerkalnoye Lake, located on the western coast of the Sea of Japan, indicate a gradual decline in temperature through the Middle and Late-Holocene with a Holocene thermal maximum between 8800 and 5500 cal yr BP. Three wetter than present intervals, marked by an increase in Pinus koraiensis, occurred c. 3600–3500 cal yr BP, 2340–2050 cal yr BP, and 1830–1800 cal yr BP. The Zerkalnoye record shows the dominance of Quercus-broadleaf forests during the Middle and Early Holocene, although Quercus shows a gradual decrease as climate cooled during this interval. Diatom analysis of the Zerkalnoye sediments documents that the site was a shallow bay or coastal lagoon until c. 3540 cal yr BP. After that time, a freshwater lake was established, which had variable marine influences probably caused by sea level changes following deglaciation. The diatom data indicate a cool water interval between 2900 and 2580 cal yr BP, also noted in other sites in the region. Changes in the basin’s depositional environment do not affect the palynological record, indicating such sites can provide reliable paleovegetational and paleoclimatic records. In conclusion, the discrepancies of the various regional paleoclimatic scenarios indicate the need for the further collection of continuous records from coastal to alpine zones in this region of northeastern Asia.

Environmental sciences↗

A Novel Framework to Project the Permafrost Fate With Explicit Quantification of Soil Property and Future Climate Uncertainties

This study develops a novel general framework to project the permafrost fate with rigorous uncertainty quantification to assess dominant sources. Borehole temperature records from three sites in the Russian western Arctic are used to constrain the uncertainty of a high‐fidelity freeze‐thaw model. Projections from 9 Global Climate Models (GCM) are stochastically downscaled to generate future trajectories of surface ground heat flux. Under the two emission scenarios SSP2‐4.5 and SSP5‐8.5, the projected average thawing depths by 2100 vary from 0.4 to 14.4 m or 2.1 to 17.7 m, and the increase in the top 10 m average temperature from 2015 to 2100 is 1.2–2.7°C or 1.9–3.0°C. The results show that the freeze‐thaw model uncertainty can sometimes dominate over that of GCM outputs, calling for site‐specific information to improve model accuracy. The framework is applicable for understanding permafrost degradation and related uncertainties at larger scales.

Bayesian downscaling↗

Ising spin ladders of orthopyroxene CoGeO 3

Here, we present thermodynamic and spectroscopic measurements for an orthopyroxene CoGeO 3 with magnetic Co 2+ ions that form quasi-one-dimensional ladders. We show that noncollinear magnetic order below 𝑇 𝑁 = 32 K can be stabilized by a strong local easy-axis anisotropy of 𝑗 eff = 1/2 moments, which is induced by ligand octahedra distortions. Extraction of a magnetic Hamiltonian from inelastic neutron scattering measurements supports this interpretation and allows us to establish an effective magnetic model. The resulting exchange Hamiltonian justifies CoGeO 3 as a realization of an Ising spin ladder compound.

Maksimov, Pavel A. [Joint Inst. for Nuclear Resear↗

Effect of a Fine-Scale Layered Structure of the Atmosphere on Infrasound Signals from Fragmenting Meteoroids

We investigate the influence of a fine-scale (FS) layered structure in the atmosphere on the propagation of infrasound signals generated by fragmenting meteoroids. Using a pseudo-differential parabolic equation (PPE) approach, we model broadband acoustic signals from point sources at altitudes of 35–100 km. The presence of FS fluctuations in the stratosphere (37–45 km) and the lower thermosphere (100–120 km) modifies ray trajectories, causing multiple arrivals and prolonged signal durations at ground stations. In particular, meteoroids fragmenting at 80–100 km can produce two distinct thermospheric arrivals beyond 150 km range, while meteoroids descending to 50 km or below yield weak, long-lived arrivals within the acoustic shadow zone via antiguiding propagation and diffraction. Comparison with observed infrasound data confirms that FS-layered inhomogeneities can account for multi-arrival “N-waves,” broadening potential interpretations of meteoroid signals. The results also apply to other atmospheric-entry objects, such as sample return capsules, emphasizing how FS structure impacts shock wave propagation. In conclusion, our findings advance understanding of wavefield evolution in a layered atmosphere and have broad relevance for global infrasound monitoring of diverse phenomena (e.g., re-entry capsules, rocket launches, and large-scale explosions).

Aeroacoustics↗

Multi-arrival infrasound from meteoroids: Fragmentation signatures versus propagation effects in a fine-scale layered atmosphere

Infrasonic signatures of meteoroid fragmentation are frequently ambiguous: do multiple arrivals signify a complex breakup or merely the distorting effects of a layered atmosphere? Resolving this ambiguity is critical for accurate energy estimates and source reconstruction. In this study, we address this challenge by analyzing a unique regional dataset of well-constrained meteoroid events observed by the Southern Ontario Meteor Network and the co-located Elginfield Infrasound Array. We employ pseudo-differential parabolic equation (PPE) simulations to quantify how fine-scale gravity-wave structures in the stratosphere and lower thermosphere modify acoustic waveforms at ranges <300 km. Our modeling reveals that while fine-scale layering can stretch signals and generate diffuse oscillatory tails, it does not produce discrete, high-amplitude pulse splitting at ranges below ∼140 km. By applying these results to the rare multi-arrival event 20060305, we demonstrate that its distinct double arrival at 100 km range is inconsistent with atmospheric multipathing and provides definitive evidence of separate fragmentation episodes. These findings establish new diagnostic criteria for separating source physics from propagation artifacts, improving the reliability of infrasound as a monitoring tool for natural bolides, space debris re-entries, and catastrophic launch failures.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Complex magnetic ground state driving a large rotating magnetocaloric effect in Tb 3 Ni at low temperature

The rotating magnetocaloric effect (RMCE) offers a promising alternative to conventional magnetocaloric configurations by taking advantage of magnetic anisotropy to simplify device architecture and enhance refrigeration efficiency. In this study, the RMCE in a high-quality single crystal of Tb 3 Ni is investigated, a compound previously shown to exhibit significant magnetocaloric behavior along its easy axis of magnetization. By measuring the magnetization and corresponding entropy change along the three principal crystallographic axes using a discontinuous measurement protocol, we verify the anisotropic magnetic properties and derive the RMCE from rotations between hard ( a, b ) and easy ( c ) axes of magnetization. Our results show a maximum value for the rotating entropy change of 19.5 J kg −1 K −1 for µ 0 H = 7 T around 60 K, within the critical temperature window for industrial gas liquefaction applications. Neutron diffraction and magnetic Pair-Distribution Function (mPDF) analysis reveal that the origin of this large anisotropic response lies in a partially ordered incommensurate spin-density wave phase and persistent short-range ferromagnetic (FM) correlations. These complex magnetic states enable the release of a substantial amount of magnetic entropy when the field is applied along the easy c-axis, effectively driving the large RMCE. Comparison with other RMCE materials confirms Tb 3 Ni as one of the most promising candidates in this temperature regime, offering both a large magnetic entropy change and a wide operating window.

Gas liquefaction↗

The BigBite Calorimeter for the Super Bigbite Spectrometer Program at Jefferson Lab

Here, we report features of the design, construction, installation, and performance of the BigBite Calorimeter (BBCal), a lead-glass electromagnetic calorimeter constructed as part of the BigBite Spectrometer (BBS), which served as the electron arm for the Super Bigbite Spectrometer (SBS) program of high-precision neutron electromagnetic form factor measurements in Hall A at Jefferson Lab. As a total-absorption calorimeter, BBCal provided the primary electron trigger for BBS, detecting quasi-elastically scattered electrons in the 1–4 GeV energy range with an energy resolution of approximately 6.2%, position resolution of 1.2 cm, and timing resolution of 0.5 ns.

BBCal↗

Thiohalorhabdus methylotropha sp. nov., an extremely halophilic autotrophic methylotiotroph from hypersaline lakes

So far, there have been no reports of trimethylamine (TMA)-utilizing extremely halophilic microorganisms in hypersaline habitats. Our aerobic enrichments at 4 M total Na + with 5 mM TMA inoculated with surface sediments from hypersaline soda (at pH 9.5) or chloride-sulfate (at pH 7) lakes in southwestern Siberia were successful only for the latter. The initial enrichment included both bacteria and haloarchaea but only the bacterial component was able to grow as a pure culture with TMA. Strain Cl-TMA forms a new-species lineage within the genus Thiohalorhabdus which includes extremely halophilic and obligate lithoautotrophic sulfur-oxidizing gammaproteobacteria. Cl-TMA can grow methyloautotrophically utilizing TMA, dimethylamine (DMA) and methanol (MeOH) as the electron donors or chemolithoautotrophically with thiosulfate. Mixotrophic growth was also observed with the three methyl compounds and thiosulfate. Carbon is assimilated autotrophically via the Calvin-Benson-Basham pathway. Unlike the type species of Thiohalorhabdus, T. denitrificans , Cl-TMA was incapable of anaerobic growth via denitrification. The isolate belongs to extreme halophiles growing between 2.5 and 5 M NaCl with an optimum at 3–3.5 M. Genome analysis identified two gene clusters coding for PQQ-dependent methanol dehydrogenases (MxaFI and XoxF), four homologues of the formaldehyde activating enzymes (Faes), a TMA/DMA oxidation locus, and two cluster of genes encoding an N-methylglutamate dehydrogenase pathway (NMGP) for methylamine oxidation. The first steps of C 1 -subtrate conversions are followed by the tetrahydrofolate (THF)-linked and tetrahydromethanopterin (H4MPT)-linked formaldehyde oxidation pathways and two formate dehydrogenases. All of those signatures of methylotrophy were absent in T. denitrificans . In contrast, genes for two key sulfur oxidation enzymes, thiosulfate dehydrogenase TsdAB and sulfide dehydrogenase FccAB, that are present in the type species are missing in Cl-TMA. Thiosulfate is oxidized to sulfate by a combination of an incomplete Sox cycle and an sHdr system. Strain Cl-TMA T (JCM 35977 = UQM 41915) is proposed to be classified as Thiohalorhabdus methylotrophus sp. nov.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

The ambiguous AT2022rze: changing-look AGN mimicking a supernova in a merging galaxy system

AT2022rze is a luminous, ambiguous transient located south-east of the geometric centre of its host galaxy at redshift $z = 0.08$. The host appears to be formed by a merging galaxy system. The observed characteristics of AT2022rze are reminiscent of active galactic nuclei (AGNs), tidal disruption events, and superluminous supernovae. The transient reached a peak absolute magnitude of $-$20.2 $\pm$ 0.2 mag, showing a sharp rise (t$_{\mathrm{rise,1/e}} = 27.5 \pm 0.6$ d) followed by a slow decline (t$_{\mathrm{dec,1/e}} = 382.9 \pm 0.6$). Its bumpy light curve and narrow Balmer lines indicate the presence of gas (and dust). Its light curve shows rather red colours, indicating that the transient could be affected by significant host extinction. The spectra reveal coronal lines, indicative of high-energy (X-ray/UV) emission. Archival data reveal no prior activity at this location, disfavouring a steady-state AGN, although an optical spectrum obtained prior to the transient is consistent with an AGN classification of the host. Based on this, we conclude that the transient most likely represents a changing-look AGN at the centre of the smallest component of the merging system.

galaxies: active↗

Normalized Solar-Induced Fluorescence Responds Earlier Than Vegetation Indices to the 2019 North China Plain Drought

Recently, solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) from satellites has shown potential for evaluating vegetation status and stress responses. Fluorescence quantum yield ($Φ_F$) is essentially linked to vegetation stress. However, the complex physiological and structural responses of SIF and $Φ_F$ to drought need further study. This study normalized SIF as SIFn to account for angular variations and fluctuations in photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), aiming for more accurate drought monitoring. SIFn anomalies were compared to historical baselines (2019–2021 averages) of vegetation indices (VIs), raw SIF, and $Φ_F$ during a 2019 drought in the North China Plain (NCP). Here, the results show SIFn provides an effective method for drought monitoring, showing the earliest decline compared to raw SIF, VIs, and $Φ_F$. In the first two weeks of drought, SIFn decreased by 8.2%, 7.0%, 12.5%, and 8.2% across the four NCP subdivisions. SIFn outperformed other indicators, proving sensitive to early drought detection. SIFn was also examined for tracking drought alleviation by rainfall. The uncertainty under different viewing geometries was quantified. SIFn anomalies showed a strong correlation with rainfall anomalies (R: 0.45 ~ 0.52) and meteorological factors like PAR (R: 0.80 ~ 0.84) and relative humidity (R:0.52 ~ 0.54). The correlation of near-infrared reflectance (NIRv) and $Φ_F$ anomalies with SIF was weak during drought onset (R: 0.16 ~ 0.32) but strong at the end (R: 0.83 ~ 0.87). These suggest both canopy structure (mainly characterized by NIRv) and vegetation chlorophyll ($Φ_F$) are impacted by drought and influence SIF at different stages.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP)

Anthropogenic climate change is unfolding rapidly, yet its regional manifestation can be obscured by internal variability. A primary goal of climate science is to identify the externally forced climate response from among the noise of internal variability. Separating the forced response from internal variability can be addressed in climate models by using a large ensemble to average over different possible realizations of internal variability. However, with only one realization of the real world, it is a major challenge to isolate the forced response directly in observations. In the Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP), contributors used existing and newly developed statistical and machine learning methods to estimate the forced response over 1950–2022 within individual realizations of the climate system. Participants used neural networks, linear inverse models, fingerprinting methods, and low-frequency component analysis, among other approaches. These methods were trained using large ensembles from multiple climate models and then applied to observations. Here, we evaluate method performance within large ensembles and investigate the estimates of the forced response in observations. Our results show that many different types of methods are skillful for estimating the forced response in climate models, though the relative skill of individual methods varies depending on the variable and evaluation metric. Methods with comparable skill in models can give a wide range of estimates of the forced response pattern in observations, illustrating the epistemic uncertainty in forced response estimates. ForceSMIP gives new insights into the forced response in observations, its uncertainty, and methods for its estimation.

Climate attribution↗