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At least 109 records · Page 6

Effect of impurities on phase transformation and precipitation in a low-carbon steel

Impurity elements have been added to a commercial low carbon steel grade to simulate the levels that could arise as a result of increased scrap recycling during steel production. In this study, continuous cooling transformation (CCT) diagrams were constructed for the steels with varying levels of impurities, and it is shown that impurities suppress the phase transformation across a wide range of cooling rates. It was found that a step was formed in the start temperature curve, separating the reconstructive and displacive transformations. The influence of impurities on both the reconstructive transformation and displacive transformation are discussed. Additionally, Cu precipitates were observed using scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) in the highest impurity-containing steel after slow cooling (0.05°C/s), fast cooling (5°C/s) and interrupted cooling. It was found that the precipitation kinetics is in the following order: cementite within the secondary phase and cementite at secondary phase-ferrite interface> ferrite grain boundaries> ferrite grain matrix. Atom-probe tomography (APT) revealed Cu precipitates formed on the surface of cementite lamellae, but not within it. This work offers insights for the phase transformation control and precipitation regulation during the thermomechanical processing of low carbon steels containing impurity elements due to scrap recycling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Impacts of Precipitation Events on Concentrations of Oxygenated Gas- and Particle-Phase Compounds Observed in the Amazon

Removal of gases and particles by precipitation (wet deposition) is a critical process that significantly influences the transport and chemical transformation of atmospheric compounds. However, there are few studies that directly measure or constrain the rates of this process under real-world conditions. This work quantifies the net change in ambient concentrations during precipitation events (removal rates) of gas- and particle-phase organic compounds at a surface site near Manaus, Brazil, during the GoAmazon2014/5 campaign. Removal rates of identified and unknown compounds that have been previously classified into source-based clusters are measured during rain events and categorized based on estimated properties of compounds and clusters. Highly oxygenated gases, such as isoprene oxidation products, are removed during precipitation events with a median removal rate of 0.09 h –1 and the fastest analyte is removed at a rate of 0.22 h –1 . Removal rates of particle-phase compounds are observed at roughly this median rate, while less soluble gases, such as terpenes, exhibit low removal rates. These results are roughly in agreement with prior theoretical estimates of wet deposition rates for comparable compounds, providing an empirical point of comparison while noting that our metric reflects the net influence of precipitation events rather than wet deposition alone.

atmospheric chemistry↗

Factors Controlling Precipitation Onset and Maintenance: Inferences From Large Eddy Simulations of Two Afternoon Deep Convective Regimes Over Amazon

To investigate the environmental factors controlling the onset and maintenance of afternoon precipitation over tropical rainforests, two contrasting cases are created for large eddy simulations (LES) using GoAmazon observations: one features a single-pulse rain dissipating quickly in earlier afternoon, while the other shows double pulses lasting until evening. For these two specific cases under consideration, LES confirms that early-morning relative humidity dominates afternoon rain patterns. The attributed impacts are distinct: moisture determines the rain onset timing while temperature affects the peak rain intensity. Single-pulse day observes one round of strong precipitation and cold pools, which further suppresses convection. On double-pulse day, the first precipitation peak results from an intermediate development of congestus clouds, whose detrainment leads to a gradual moistening of the lower-to-middle troposphere. This behavior of convection favors a second pulse of stronger precipitation with more convective organization, whose development decouples from surface fluxes and sustains until evening.

Amazon↗

Sequential Precipitation Input Tagging (SPIT) to Estimate Water Transit Times and Hydrologic Tracer Dynamics Within Water‐Tagging Enabled Hydrologic Models

Determining the age distribution of water exiting a catchment is important for understanding groundwater storage and mixing. New water-tagging capabilities within models track precipitation events as they move through simulated storages, yet forward modeling of individual events may not systematically capture the full transit time distribution (TTD). Here, we present a “sequential precipitation input tagging” (SPIT) framework to tag all input precipitation at regular intervals during extended model simulations. Monthly tags over 7 years were applied at six National Ecological Observatory Network sites to calculate TTDs and derive mean virtual tracer age, $\overline{T_{V}}$, fractions of young water, F yw , and hydrologic tracer concentrations (water isotopes δ 18 O and δ 2 H) within a tagging enabled version of the Weather Research and Forecast hydrologic model (WRF-Hydro). Throughout seven simulation years, the fraction of simulated discharge derived from tagged events, F tag , increased each year, with the final year's F tag ranging from 66% to 100% and highlights the need to apply SPIT over many years to understand TTDs. When the F tag was >75%, simulated $\overline{T_{V}}$ ranged 179–923 days and F yw 0.6%–23.9%, with daily values exhibiting a power-law relationship with precipitation, discharge, and groundwater. Through implementation of SPIT, we find this hydrologic model configuration performs poorly in estimation of $\overline{T_{V}}$ and F yw (root mean squared error of 469 days and 14.4% respectively), suggesting it misrepresents subsurface mixing. Thus, the SPIT framework provides a reproducible approach to calculate watershed transit times within tagging enabled models and thereby assess and improve representation of hydrologic processes.

fraction of young water↗

Evaluating Probabilistic Deep Learning Methods for Uncertainty Quantification of Precipitation Bias Correction

Climate models often exhibit biases in their precipitation predictions, particularly underestimating high-intensity events and overestimating low precipitation. Deep learning approaches offer promising solutions, but their epistemic uncertainty associated with a deep learning–based bias correction method has not previously been quantified for reliable downstream climate impact studies. While methods for capturing the epistemic uncertainty in deep learning frameworks exist, there is currently no consensus on the best method. In this work, we compare three uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods—Deep Ensembles (DEns), Monte Carlo Dropout (MCD), and Flipout—by assessing the reliability of their uncertainty estimates using standard measures such as sharpness and calibration. These UQ methods are applied to an existing deep learning precipitation bias correction model known as UFNet: a coupled U-Net and fully connected neural network. The methods utilized to assess the models’ uncertainties are 1) calibration, which ensures that the expected probabilities of the model align with reality and 2) sharpness, which is a measure of the precision of the model’s probabilistic predictions. Of the three UQ methods evaluated, the DEns and MCD methods demonstrated the best-calibrated performance (expected calibration error of 0.36 and 0.35, respectively), compared to Flipout (0.58). In contrast, Flipout had the sharpest predictions and the highest metric performance in bias correcting precipitation—especially for higher-order moments such as kurtosis with a spatial correlation of 72% compared to 32% and 55% spatial correlation for DEns and MCD, respectively. Of the three UQ methods, MCD was found to be the most suitable method for UQ purposes based on its calibration, sharpness, and computational requirements.

Bayesian methods↗

Beyond the Surface: Non-Invasive Low-Field NMR Analysis of Microbially-Induced Calcium Carbonate Precipitation in Shale Fractures

Microbially-induced calcium carbonate precipitation (MICP) is a biological process in which microbially-produced urease enzymes convert urea and calcium into solid calcium carbonate (CaCO 3 ) deposits. MICP has been demonstrated to reduce permeability in shale fractures under elevated pressures, raising the possibility of applying this technology to enhance shale reservoir storage safety. For this and other applications to become a reality, non-invasive tools are needed to determine how effectively MICP seals shale fractures at subsurface temperatures. In this study, two different MICP strategies were tested on 2.54 cm diameter and 5.08 cm long shale cores with a single fracture at 60 °C. Flow-through, pulsed-flow MICP-treatment was repeatedly applied to Marcellus shale fractures with and without sand (“proppant”) until reaching approximately four orders of magnitude reduction in apparent permeability, while a single application of polymer-based “immersion” MICP-treatment was applied to an Eagle Ford shale fracture with proppant. Low-field nuclear magnetic resonance (LF-NMR) and X-Ray computed microtomography (micro-CT) techniques were used to assess the degree of biomineralization. With the flow-through approach, these tools revealed that while CaCO 3 precipitation occurred throughout the fracture, there was preferential precipitation around proppant. Without proppant, the same approach led to premature sealing at the inlet side of the core. In contrast, immersion MICP-treatment sealed off the fracture edges and showed less mineral precipitation overall. This study highlights the use of LF-NMR relaxometry in characterizing fracture sealing and can help guide NMR logging tools in subsurface remediation efforts.

MICP↗

Hardenability and microstructural evolution of a precipitation strengthened Ni 50 Ti 21 Hf 25 Al 4 alloy

NiTi-based quaternary alloys are used in a variety of mechanical components, such as bearings, actuators, and dampers, owing to their good hardenability, wear resistance, and corrosion resistance. Additionally, one of the most notable characteristics of NiTi-based alloys is their shape memory effect and pseudoelastic properties. Connecting the macroscopic processing parameters employed in the design of new intermetallic alloys to the nanoscale structural characteristics dictating their behavior is crucial for improving their mechanical properties and expanding the spectrum of potential applications. Here, in this work, an arc melted Ni 50 Ti 21 Hf 25 Al 4 (at%) alloy was solution treated at 1050 °C followed by quenching and aging at 600 °C to investigate the effect of aging time on the microstructure and mechanical properties. Two types of nano-sized precipitates were observed and determined as face-centered orthorhombic H-phase (TiHf)Ni and L2 1 Heusler precipitates Ni 2 TiAl. The morphology and orientation of the H-phase were investigated using scanning and transmission electron microscopy (SEM and TEM), elucidating the coarsening kinetics and strengthening contribution of that phase to the intermetallic mechanical behavior. Following coarsening, the presence of Heusler nanoprecipitates was detected under overaged conditions through TEM imaging and nanobeam electron diffraction patterns. A peak hardness condition of 756 HV was achieved after 70 h of aging, indicating that the co-precipitation of H-phase and Heusler precipitates through a well-designed aging treatment can lead to optimal mechanical performance, thus elevating the alloy’s potential as a viable material for industrial applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A novel microstructural approach for TRIP/TWIP β-Ti alloys using intermetallic precipitation

Interest in metastable β-Ti has grown, due to the exceptional work hardening caused by TRansformation and TWinning Induced Plasticity (TRIP/TWIP). A current challenge is increasing the yield strength, while maintaining the benefits of TRIP/TWIP. This study presents the first report of TRIP/TWIP in a metastable β-Ti alloy containing intermetallic compounds, specifically Ti silicide precipitates. Silicon (Si) additions enable the formation of silicide particles, which can be precipitated, dissolved, and controlled through tailored heat treatments. In-situ synchrotron x-ray diffraction during tensile testing reveals primary {332}<113> twinning activates first, followed by TRIP, leading to extensive work hardening and uniform elongation in the solutionized state. In conclusion, these findings open a novel microstructural approach to the design of multiphase TRIP/TWIP titanium alloys, relying on intermetallic precipitation rather than allotropes such as α or ω phase, and lay the groundwork for future studies on intermetallic precipitation strengthening.

Materials science↗

Irradiation-induced formation of G-phase precipitates and M 2 X carbides in self-ion irradiated HT-9

Ferritic-martensitic steels with high chromium content are a promising material group for advanced nuclear systems due to their high temperature strength and good irradiation tolerance. HT-9 is an optimized and often-studied alloy in this group, but additional studies are required on its radiation response under extreme conditions to be experienced in various types of nuclear reactors, especially with respect to phase stability under irradiation. Self-ion irradiation of HT-9 by 5 MeV Fe ions was used to simulate neutron-induced behavior reaching peak doses of 100 and 300 dpa at temperatures ranging from 450 to 550 °C. M 23 C 6 carbides that existed prior to irradiation were found to remain stable under all examined irradiation conditions. As irradiation progressed at 450 and 500 °C, however, formation of spherical-like G-phase precipitates and needle-like M 2 X carbides was observed. G-phase precipitates were found to be enriched in Ni, Si, and Mn, and show no interface segregation, whereas needle-like M 2 X carbides were rich in Cr and Mo and clearly displayed interface segregation of Ni and Si. M 2 X carbide formation is believed to be assisted by vacancies, while G-phase precipitation is thought to be assisted by interstitials. Finally, this difference in defect-mediated formation leads to a difference in distribution with depth. M 2 X carbides are distributed over shallower depths than that of G-phase precipitates, consistent with defect imbalance predictions that consider the influence of the injected interstitial effect.

atom probe tomography↗

Correlated 4D-STEM and EDS for the classification of fine Beta-precipitates in aluminum alloy AA 6063-T6

Tuning the properties of aluminum alloys AA 6063-T6 involves artificial aging to induce precipitate formation, particularly β’’ and β’ phases. Previous characterization challenges due to their similar appearance are addressed here by correlating 4D scanning transmission electron microscopy (4DSTEM) and energy-dispersive spectroscopy (EDS) mapping. This approach allows us to analyze the structure and composition of precipitates individually, overcoming limitations of conventional imaging and structural analysis techniques when the precipitates appear simultaneously, as is often the case. We present detailed characterizations of needle-shaped Beta precipitates, revealing distinct diffraction patterns (DPs) and compositional differences. The method's applicability extends beyond aluminum alloys, offering a promising strategy for complex composite material characterization with multimodal scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) techniques.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Recent Upper Colorado River Streamflow Declines Driven by Loss of Spring Precipitation

Abstract Colorado River streamflow has decreased 19% since 2000. Spring (March‐April‐May) weather strongly influences Upper Colorado River streamflow because it controls not only water input but also when snow melts and how much energy is available for evaporation when soils are wettest. Since 2000, spring precipitation decreased by 14% on average across 26 unregulated headwater basins, but this decrease did not fully account for the reduced streamflow. In drier springs, increases in energy from reduced cloud cover, and lowered surface albedo from earlier snow disappearance, coincided with potential evapotranspiration (PET) increases of up to 10%. Combining spring precipitation decreases with PET increases accounted for 67% of the variance in post‐2000 streamflow deficits. Streamflow deficits were most substantial in lower elevation basins (<2,950 m), where snowmelt occurred earliest, and precipitation declines were largest. Refining seasonal spring precipitation forecasts is imperative for future water availability predictions in this snow‐dominated water resource region.

Geology↗

Robust future intensification of winter precipitation over the United States

We investigate 21st-century hydroclimate changes over the United States (US) during winter and the sources of projection uncertainty under three emission scenarios (SSP2–4.5, SSP3–7.0, and SSP5–8.5) using CMIP6 models. Our study reveals a robust intensification of winter precipitation across the US, except in the Southern Great Plains, where changes are very small. By the end of the 21st century, winter precipitation is projected to increase by about 2–5% K -1 over most of the US. The frequency of very wet winters is also expected to increase, with 6–7 out of 30 winters exceeding the very wet threshold under the different scenarios. Our results suggest that the enhancement of future winter precipitation is modulated largely by coupled dynamic and thermodynamic responses, though partly offset by thermodynamic responses. Overall, our results highlight a high likelihood of increasing impacts from winter precipitation due to climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Deciphering the capricious precipitation response: irrigation impact in the North China Plain

Intensive irrigation in the North China Plain (NCP) raises environmental concerns, yet its climate impacts remain inconsistent among current modeling studies. These inconsistencies may arise from deficiencies in existing models. To better capture irrigation impact, we employed a recently improved irrigation model tailored for the NCP, which significantly enhances simulations of crop growth and irrigation application. Results reveal that irrigation exerts competing effects on precipitation: enhancing it in May and June by increasing rainfall frequency and intensity, while suppressing it in July and August by reducing intensity. Spatial precipitation changes correlate with upper-tropospheric humidity, while inter-annual changes link to geopotential height and wind anomalies. This suggests that irrigation-induced surface cooling and moisturizing modulate atmospheric thermodynamic and dynamic structures, influencing convective precipitation unevenly across regions and time, leading to complex precipitation changes. These findings highlight the complexity of irrigation impacts and emphasize the need for improved land representation in climate models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Understanding drivers and uncertainty in projected African precipitation

We investigate the drivers of projected summer precipitation changes and their uncertainties across Africa in the second half of the 21st century under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios using CMIP6 models. Our results reveal distinct regional precipitation changes, particularly under SSP5-8.5, with robust increases of 75%, 24%, and 17% over the Sahara, South Eastern Africa, and South Central Africa, respectively, and a decline of up to 5% over West Southern Africa (WSAF). In most regions, precipitation increases are driven by enhanced vertical thermodynamic processes associated with temperature-induced moisture increases and enhanced moisture convergence. In contrast, the WSAF decrease is associated with vertical dynamic processes driven by a weakening of the Hadley circulation’s ascending branch. Model uncertainty accounts for over 85% of total projection uncertainty across all regions and is largely due to subgrid-scale parameterizations. Overall, this study enhances our understanding of climate change impacts on African precipitation.

Taguela, Thierry N↗

Aluminosilicate colloidal gels: from the early age to the precipitation of zeolites

Aluminosilicate hydrogels are often considered to be precursors for the crystallisation of zeolites carried out under hydrothermal conditions. The preparation of mechanically homogeneous aluminosilicate gels enables the study of these materials through bulk rheology and observation of the aging dynamics until the precipitation of crystalline zeolites. The first part of this study deals with the establishment of ternary state diagrams, in order to identify the range of chemical formulations that enable preparation of single-phase homogeneous gels. Then, by studying the viscoelastic moduli during the gelation reaction, and by yielding the gel under large deformation, we propose an empirical law considering the partial order of reaction on each chemical element, to predict the gelation time according to the chemical formulation. The scaling behavior of the elastic properties of this colloidal gel shows a transition from a strong link behavior to a weak link regime. Long term aging results in the shrinkage of the gel, accompanied by syneresis of interstitial liquid at the surface. Zeolites precipitate through crystallisation by a particle attachment mechanism, when thermodynamic equilibrium is reached. The stoichiometry of the precipitated zeolites is not only consistent with the concentration of the remaining species in the supernatant but, surprisingly, it is also very close to the partial order of the reaction of the chemical elements involved in the determination of the critical gel point. This indicates a strong correlation between the morphology of the soft amorphous gel network that is formed at an early age and those of the final solid precipitated crystals.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Caustic Neutralization and Precipitation of Acidic Dissolved Simulated Stainless Steel–Clad Plutonium and Plutonium/Uranium Nuclear Fuel

Simulated dissolved stainless steel (SS) clad Pu and Pu/U nuclear fuel in HNO 3 was neutralized to a free hydroxide (OH - ) concentration of 0.6 M. A thermal neutron poison, Gd, was added to the simulants at concentrations of either ~3 - 6 g/L or ~37 - 38 g/L. The supernate Pu concentration the day of neutralization ranged from 0.48 to 8.75 mg/L. The supernate Pu concentration of a simplified simulant neutralized to 0.6 M OH - above precipitated solids containing Pu was demonstrated to decrease over 18 days. A significant portion of precipitated Pu was found to be insoluble in 8 M HNO 3 at ambient temperature, but essentially quantitative Pu dissolution was achieved in 11.5 M HNO 3 /0.1 M KF at 100 °C. The difficulty in dissolving the Pu precipitate is believed to be due to the formation of refractory PuO 2 •xH 2 O during the neutralization process. Initial Gd concentrations of ~37 – 38 g/L were found to result in a greater Al precipitation when neutralized to 0.6 M OH - than initial Gd concentrations of ~3 – 6 g/L. Physical properties of the resultant slurries were measured and used to calculate limiting flowrates and slurry velocities by gravity only in transfer piping between the Savannah River Site’s H-Canyon Facility and the Concentration, Storage, and Transfer Facility (CSTF). These results were compared to calculated deposition velocities to predict if solids would settle during the transfer. The Newtonian model was found to be reasonable for each diluted slurry evaluated. Deposition velocities of Pu containing slurries are lower than nuclear fuel slurries primarily composed of U due to the high density of Pu solids. In conclusion, dilution of slurries reduces the margin between the slurry and deposition velocities due to the reduction in viscosity because higher viscous forces on the particles promote maintained suspension.

Actinide Neutralization↗

Improving seasonal precipitation forecasts in the Western United States through statistical downscaling

Abstract Seasonal precipitation forecasts in the western United States are critical resources for water resource management, especially during winter. While current seasonal forecasting systems provide monthly precipitation forecasts operationally, their coarse resolution limits their effectiveness in capturing the localized precipitation patterns and snowpack conditions essential for water resource managers in the mountainous regions. Here, analog statistical downscaling is demonstrated as an effective approach to enhance the spatial resolution of operational seasonal forecasts provided by the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. Downscaling was performed by building an analog ‘library’, in which corresponding model forecasts and observed values during the training period were stored. In the testing period, unseen model forecasts referenced the closest historical forecast from the analog library and applied the corresponding observational value for each point. This analysis indicates that downscaled products can capture localized features more accurately than the original coarse resolution forecasts, reducing forecast error across the western United States. Moreover, downscaling individual ensemble members—rather than downscaling the ensemble mean—further reduces forecasting error for their multi-model ensemble mean products. The greatest error reductions in the downscaled product, measured by root mean squared error (RMSE), were observed at low to mid-elevations (500–2000 meters), with 50%–70% improvement relative to the original forecasts. In the higher elevations (2000 meters and above), changes in RMSE relative to the original forecast were limited to 10%–30% improvements. The improvement is more substantial for forecast systems with 10 ensemble members compared to that with 4 members, but this relationship does not hold for the system with 24 ensemble members. These findings show that analog statistical downscaling can effectively address the spatial limitations of seasonal precipitation forecasts with minimal computational cost, providing a valuable framework for enhancing coarse resolution forecasting products while providing insights into the timing of ensemble mean calculations during the downscaling process.

Vernon, B. (ORCID:0009000891670689)↗

Subtropical Jet Regulates Arabian Winter Precipitation: A Viable Mechanism

The present study explores the mechanism governing wintertime (November–April) precipitation over the Arabian Peninsula (AP) using a 17-yr-long (2002–18) high-resolution WRF simulation. The composite analysis of strong precipitation events suggests that the equatorward extension of the upper-level jet together with the embedded upper-level trough creates a positive (cyclonic) midlevel vorticity and subsequently generates an anomalous lower-level convergence through Ekman pumping. This leads to the development of an anomalous surface low, which is further enhanced in the presence of the existing Red Sea trough over the AP. This surface low weakens the persistent anticyclone over the AP, shifting it further eastward to the Arabian Sea. The eastward shift in the lower-level anticyclone contributes to the transport of warm, moist air from the Arabian Sea and the Red Sea toward the AP. This warm, moist air converges with the cold and dry air advected by the midlatitude jet and creates a moisture convergence zone, leading to the initiation of convection. We test the proposed mechanism through numerical experiments with modified upper-level wind and demonstrate that a strong, southward intrusion of the jet can indeed lead to precipitation over the AP. The above mechanism also explains the interannual variability of precipitation over the AP. During wet years, we notice approximately 3 m s -1 stronger jet core magnitude and about a 2° equatorward shift of the jet compared to dry years. While the equatorward extension of the jet explains about 21% of the interannual variability, the jet magnitude explains around 7% of the variability during wet years.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗