Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Population Dynamics”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 109 records · Page 6
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Opportunities in multiscale modeling of mosquito-borne flaviviruses

Mosquito-borne flaviviruses, such as Zika, dengue, West Nile, and yellow fever virus, represent a growing public health concern due to their widespread distribution and the severe diseases they cause. These viruses are difficult to control as climate change and urbanization help mosquitoes expand into new areas, increasing the risk of outbreaks. Mathematical models play a key role in understanding their spread, providing insights at every level—from how the virus multiplies inside cells to how it circulates through entire populations. This review examines various approaches used in modeling arboviruses, including microscale models that focus on cellular and molecular dynamics, mesoscale models that address within-host processes, and macroscale models that capture population-level transmission. We briefly summarize the methodology used for models at each scale, which primarily consists of sets of differential equations with parameters that represent physical rates of change for different subprocesses. We particularly highlight how temperature affects virus transmission, which is key to understanding the impact of climate change. We also show how multiscale models can connect viral replication, immune response, and the spread of infection at a larger scale. This is essential for developing better vaccines and treatments, evaluating disease control measures, predicting the impact of climate change, and improving public health responses to outbreaks.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Photometry of Outer Solar System Objects from the Dark Energy Survey. II. A Joint Analysis of Trans-Neptunian Absolute Magnitudes, Colors, Light Curves and Dynamics

For the 696 trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs) with absolute magnitudes 5.5 < H r < 8.2 detected in the Dark Energy Survey, we characterize the relationships between their dynamical state and physical properties—namely H r , indicating size; colors, indicating surface composition; and flux variation semiamplitude A, indicating asphericity and surface inhomogeneity. We seek “birth” physical distributions that can recreate these parameters in every dynamical class. We show that the observed colors of these TNOs are consistent with two Gaussian distributions in griz space, “near-infrared bright” (NIRB) and “near-infrared faint” (NIRF), presumably an inner and outer birth population, respectively. We find a model in which both the NIRB and NIRF H r and A distributions are independent of current dynamical states, supporting their assignment as birth populations. All objects are consistent with a common rolling p(H r ), but NIRF objects are significantly more variable. Cold classicals (CCs) are purely NIRF, while hot classical (HC), scattered, and detached TNOs are consistent with ≈ 70% NIRB and the resonance NIRB fractions show significant variation. The NIRB components of the HCs and of some resonances have broader inclination distributions than the NIRFs, i.e. their current dynamics retains information about birth location. We find evidence for radial stratification within the birth NIRB population, in that HC NIRBs are on average redder than detached or scattered NIRBs; a similar effect distinguishes CCs from other NIRFs. We estimate total object counts and masses of each class within our H r range. These results will strongly constrain models of the outer solar system.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Identifying High Ionic Conductivity Compositions of Ionic Liquid Electrolytes Using Features of the Solvation Environment

Binary mixtures of ionic liquids with molecular solvents are gaining interest in electrochemical applications due to the improvement in their performance over neat ionic liquids. Dilution with suitable molecular solvents can reduce the viscosity and facilitate faster diffusion of ions, thereby yielding substantially higher ionic conductivity than that for a pure ionic liquid. Although viscosity and diffusion coefficients typically behave as monotonic functions of concentration, ionic conductivity often passes through a peak value at an optimum molar ratio of the molecular solvent to the ionic liquid. The ionic conductivity maximum is generally explained in terms of a balance between the ease of charge transport and the concentration of the charge carriers. In this work, fluctuation in the local environment surrounding an ion is invoked as a plausible explanation for the ionic conductivity mechanism with a binary mixture of 1-ethyl-3-methylimidazolium tetrafluoroborate and ethylene glycol as an example. The magnitude of the dynamism in the local environment is captured by measuring the spatial and temporal features of the solvation environment. Standard deviation in the number of ions in the solvation environment serves as a spatial feature, while the cage correlation lifetimes for oppositely charged ions within the first solvation shell serve as a temporal feature. Large standard deviations in the cluster ion population and short cage correlation lifetimes are indicators of highly dynamic ionic environment at the molecular level and consequently yield high ionic conductivity. Such compositions were found to be in good agreement with the optimum ionic liquid mole fractions obtained through experimental measurement. Short cage correlation lifetimes enable the identification of optimum mixture compositions using simulation trajectories significantly shorter than those required to implement the Nernst–Einstein or Einstein formalisms for calculating ionic conductivity. We validated the applicability of this approach across force fields and in six ionic liquid-molecular solvent electrolytes formed with combination of cations, anions, and solvents. We offer a computationally efficient approach of screening ionic liquid-molecular solvent binary mixture electrolytes to identify molar ratios that yield high ionic conductivity.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Microbial Evolution Drives Adaptation of Substrate Degradation on Decadal to Centennial Time Scales Relevant to Global Change

ABSTRACT Understanding microbial adaptation is crucial for predicting how soil carbon dynamics and global biogeochemical cycles will respond to climate change. This study employs the DEMENT model of microbial decomposition, along with empirical mutation and dispersal rates, to explore the roles of mutation and dispersal in the adaptation of soil microbial populations to shifts in litter chemistry, changes that are anticipated with climate‐driven vegetation dynamics. Following a change in litter chemistry, mutation generally allows for a higher rate of litter decomposition than dispersal, especially when dispersal predominantly introduces genotypes already present in the population. These findings challenge the common idea that mutation rates are too low to affect ecosystem processes on ecological timescales. These results demonstrate that evolutionary processes, such as mutation, can help maintain ecosystem functioning as the climate changes.

Abs, Elsa↗
DOE OSTI2025

Charged- and Multi-Exciton Dynamics in Colloidal Quantum Dot Molecules

Multicarrier states in quantum dots are confined to small volumes, resulting in increased nonradiative Auger recombination rates with implications for different optoelectronic applications. Recently, the fusion of two core-shell quantum dots into a dimer has provided a new physical landscape for multiexciton states, since the excitons may share a core (intradot, localized) or occupy different cores (interdot, segregated). Here, in this study, we employ transient absorption spectroscopy to investigate the multiexciton dynamics in coupled quantum dot dimers. We observe that multiexciton populations in the dimers live significantly longer in comparison to the parent monomers, in contrast to the single exciton regime. A kinetic model that accounts for the statistical differences between monomers and dimers reveals that, while intradot multiexcitons show Auger rates similar to the monomers, interdot states have reduced Auger rates. These results pave the way for the rational design of new quantum dot molecules with tailored multiexciton properties.

Auger recombination↗
DOE OSTI2026

Landau–Zener Transition Enhanced Quantum Sensing in Spin Defects of Hexagonal Boron Nitride

Negatively charged boron vacancies (V $^{–}_{B}$ ) in hexagonal boron nitride (hBN) comprise a promising quantum sensing platform, optically addressable at room temperature and transferable onto samples. However, broad hyperfine-split spin transitions of the ensemble pose challenges for quantum sensing with conventional resonant excitation due to limited spectral coverage. While V $^{–}_{B}$ in isotopically enriched hBN using 10 B and 15 N isotopes (h 10 B 15 N) exhibits sharper spectral features, significant inhomogeneous broadening persists. We show that, implemented via frequency modulation on an FPGA, a frequency-ramped microwave pulse achieves around 4-fold greater |0⟩→|−1⟩ spin-state population transfer and thus contrast than resonant microwave excitation and thus 16-fold shorter measurement time for spin relaxation-based quantum sensing. Quantum dynamics simulations reveal that an effective two-state Landau–Zener model captures the complex relationship between population inversion and pulse length with relaxations incorporated. Our approach is robust and valuable for quantum relaxometry with spin defects in hBN, especially in noisy environments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Molecular Dynamical and Quantum Mechanical Exploration of the Site-Specific Dynamics of Cy3 Dimers Internally Linked to dsDNA

Performing spectroscopic measurements on biomolecules labeled with fluorescent probes is a powerful approach to locating the molecular behavior and dynamics of large systems at specific sites within their local environments. The indocarbocyanine dye Cy3 has emerged as one of the most commonly used chromophores. The incorporation of Cy3 dimers into DNA enhances experimental resolution owing to the spectral characteristics influenced by the geometric orientation of excitonically coupled monomeric units. Various theoretical models and simulations have been utilized to aid in the interpretation of the experimental spectra. In this study, we employ all-atom molecular dynamics simulations to study the structural dynamics of Cy3 dimers internally linked to the dsDNA backbone. We used quantum mechanical calculations to derive insights from both the linear absorption spectra and the circular dichroism data. Furthermore, we explore potential limitations within a commonly used force field for cyanine dyes. The molecular dynamics simulations suggest the presence of four possible Cy3 dimeric populations. The spectral simulations on the four populations show one of them to agree better with the experimental signatures, suggesting it to be the dominant population. Furthermore, the relative orientation of Cy3 in this population compares very well with previous predictions from the Holstein–Frenkel Hamiltonian model.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Molecular Design Principles for Photosystem I-Based Biohybrid Solar Fuel Catalysts

Direct solar-to-chemical conversion offers a compelling route to clean, dispatchable energy. Photosystem I (PSI), an evolutionarily optimized light-driven oxidoreductase, can be repurposed for solar-fuel production by coupling its photochemistry to catalytic interfaces. However, the molecular determinants that govern productive electron transfer to abiotic catalysts remain poorly understood. Here, we present molecular structures of active PSI-Pt nanoparticle (PtNP) biohybrids that reveal how protein architecture controls catalyst access, binding geometry, and photocatalytic efficiency. Removal of stromal subunits exposes the electron transfer chain and enables PtNP binding proximal to the F X cluster, demonstrating that steric occlusion limits access to native acceptor regions in PSI. In contrast, in trimeric PSI, PtNPs bind at multiple sites per monomer, but only a subset are positioned within electron transfer distance of terminal cofactors, resulting in a heterogeneous population of productive and nonproductive configurations. Structural analyses and molecular dynamics simulations define the interface topology, electrostatics, and cofactor-to-nanoparticle distances that govern catalyst binding and electron transfer. These results establish that catalytic inefficiency arises not only from intrinsic electron transfer constraints but also from the distribution of binding geometries imposed by the protein scaffold. Together, these findings provide a molecular framework linking protein structure to biohybrid function and define design principles for engineering PSI-based solar fuel systems and protein-nanomaterial interfaces for light-driven catalysis.

biohybrid↗
DOE OSTI2025

High-dynamic-range quantum sensing of magnons and their dynamics using a superconducting qubit

Magnons, the quanta of collective spin excitations in magnetic materials, may enable functionalities, such as nonreciprocity and transduction in hybrid quantum devices. To assess the potential of such applications, it is necessary to understand magnon dynamics beyond the simple harmonic oscillator regime, where theory predicts effects like population-dependent damping and quantum fluctuations in the form of magnon shot noise. Probing these phenomena requires sensors with high sensitivity and the ability to resolve magnon properties across different excitation regimes. Here, we demonstrate accurate and sensitive detection of magnon population and decay over a wide range of occupation numbers. We use a superconducting qubit to probe magnons in a ferrimagnet over approximately 2000 excitations. Using qubit control and parametrically induced qubit-magnon interactions, we demonstrate few-excitation sensitive detection of magnons with a dynamic range of approximately 30 dB, and are able to accurately resolve their decay with few-ns sensitivity. These capabilities offer a powerful and practical technique for probing magnon dynamics in or beyond the linear regime over a wide range of excitations.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

Contact patterns in wild pigs ( Sus scrofa ) from GPS tracking reveal spatial and temporal dynamics of social behaviour

Wild pig ( Sus scrofa Linnaeus, 1758) social behaviour affects disease transmission and landscape-level population management. Recent research has incorporated analysis of social structure to better understand the risk of disease transmission in wild pigs, although the relationship between overall social structure of wild pigs remains unclear. Here, we seek to improve understanding of the spatial and temporal dynamics of wild pig social structure and contact rates to better inform management strategies. Using GPS tracking data, we measured home range overlap, and estimated contact rates of wild pigs at four study sites in the southern USA to identify pairwise social associations (i.e., contacts) based on synchronous movement. Contact rate was strongly associated with home range overlap, but exhibited substantial variation, especially at moderate levels of home range overlap. We found that female–female dyads had higher contact rates and longer duration phases of social association compared to female–male and male–male dyads. We found male–male dyads tended to experience social associations farther from their home range centers than female–female or female–male dyads. Social associations between wild pig dyads are highly dynamic in their spatial and temporal structure. Further, dyads with strong social associations still experience substantial time apart. Our findings highlight the challenges of predicting spatial and social associations in wild pig social pairs due to their dynamic social structure over space and time.

McIlraith, Jack R.↗
DOE OSTI2026

Adiabatic fast passage spin manipulation measurements in solid polarized targets

Adiabatic fast passage (AFP) is a rapid method for reversing nuclear polarization and manipulating spin populations in polarized solid targets, avoiding the long repolarization times associated with dynamic nuclear polarization (DNP). We report AFP measurements in a 5 T, 1 K polarized-target system for irradiated 15 NH 3 , irradiated 14 ND 3 , and butanol-based materials prepared either with TEMPO doping or by irradiation. We also present a joint manipulated-lineshape analysis for spin-1 targets and demonstrate that vector and tensor polarizations can be extracted from AFP-manipulated deuteron NMR spectra even when the populations are not described by a single Boltzmann spin temperature. In conclusion, we report a reproducible polarization- and direction-dependent AFP response in a large irradiated 15 NH 3 sample. These ammonia results are presented as empirical observations under the specific sample–coil conditions of the experiment, with possible circuit-mediated mechanisms such as radiation damping or superradiant behavior discussed but not assigned as a definitive cause.

Adiabatic fast passage↗
DOE OSTI2024

Sub-100-fs energy transfer in coenzyme NADH is a coherent process assisted by a charge-transfer state

Excitation energy transfer (EET) is a key photoinduced process in biological chromophoric assemblies. Here we investigate the factors which can drive EET into efficient ultrafast sub-ps regimes. We demonstrate how a coherent transport of electronic population could facilitate this in water solvated NADH coenzyme and uncover the role of an intermediate dark charge-transfer state. High temporal resolution ultrafast optical spectroscopy gives a 54 ± 11 fs time constant for the EET process. Nonadiabatic quantum dynamical simulations computed through the time-evolution of multidimensional wavepackets suggest that the population transfer is mediated by photoexcited molecular vibrations due to strong coupling between the electronic states. The polar aqueous solvent environment leads to the active participation of a dark charge transfer state, accelerating the vibronically coherent EET process in favorably stacked conformers and solvent cavities. Our work demonstrates how the interplay of structural and environmental factors leads to diverse pathways for the EET process in flexible heterodimers and provides general insights relevant for coherent EET processes in stacked multichromophoric aggregates like DNA strands.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Scalable Multi-Modal Framework for High-Fidelity Distributed Human Mobility Simulations

The development of data-driven models for human mobility in urban settings requires access to substantial and diverse real-world data. However, existing historical data often presents challenges such as limited volume, variety, and veracity, as well as missing data and privacy preservation concerns. Also, urban mobility modeling is inherently time-variant, complex, and multi-modal, encompassing everything from individual walking and running to private road travel and large-scale public transportation. These challenges call for innovative solutions to overcome data limitations and compute needs to model mobility behaviors accurately. To address these challenges, we propose a distributed, co-simulation-based architecture DURMOSim that integrates real-world data with scalable, high-fidelity simulations, demonstrating distributed co-simulation feasibility with existing mobility models. DURMOSim underpins a modular integration that would enable using any available mobility simulators for greater extensibility and scalability in performing various urban scenarios. In this paper, we present the design, implementation, and performance evaluation of DURMOSim, highlighting its capability to model population-scale mobility patterns. Our initial results show its ability to dynamically synchronize multiple simulation models at runtime with negligible computational overhead. We believe DURMOSim could be a robust tool for advancing urban mobility research and intelligent transportation systems.

Yoginath, Srikanth [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000184236050)↗
DOE OSTI2025

Demographic Microsimulator for Integrated Urban Systems: Adapting Panel Survey of Income Dynamics to Capture the Continuum of Life

Agent-based models (ABMs) in transportation modeling simulate activity and travel decisions at the disaggregate level of households and individuals. To do this, ABMs require detailed and realistic information on agents’ socioeconomic and demographic characteristics. Various synthetic population generators have been proposed to address this need. However, most of those currently in practice are cross-sectional in nature and do not account for the dynamics within households and individuals as they progress through life events over time. This is a major shortcoming, as literature has shown that transportation decisions are affected by the transition between and co-occurrence of life cycle events. While some demographic evolution simulators have been proposed to address this issue, they are developed using cross-sectional data and capture only a small set of life cycle events and their interdependence. Addressing these drawbacks, we propose a demographic microsimulator (DEMOS) that captures the “continuum of life” by considering a range of household- and individual-level life cycle events. DEMOS is developed using the Panel Survey of Income Dynamics, one of the world’s longest-running longitudinal surveys. The DEMOS submodels consider key life cycle events that are influenced by agents’ demographic variables. DEMOS is applied to evolve the population of the San Francisco Bay Area over a 9-year horizon. Results demonstrate how DEMOS generates life trajectories and how DEMOS outputs match the observed demographic trends. DEMOS is expected to enable longitudinal analysis in the context of ABMs and expand ABMs analyses relating to dynamic processes such as household-level vehicle transactions.

Demographic evolution↗
DOE OSTI2024

Cavity Controlled Upconversion in CdSe Nanoplatelet Polaritons

Exciton-polaritons provide a versatile platform for investigating quantum electrodynamics effects in chemical systems, such as polariton-altered chemical reactivity. However, using polaritons in chemical contexts will require a better understanding of their photophysical properties under ambient conditions, where chemistry is typically performed. Here, we used cavity quality factor to control strong light–matter interactions and in particular the excited state dynamics of colloidal CdSe nanoplatelets (NPLs) coupled to a Fabry– Pérot optical cavity. With increasing cavity quality factor, we observe significant population of the upper polariton (UP) state, exemplified by the rare observation of substantial UP photoluminescence (PL). Excitation of the lower polariton (LP) states results in upconverted PL emission from the UP branch due to efficient exchange of population between the LP, UP and the reservoir of dark states present in collectively coupled polaritonic systems. In addition, we measure time scales for polariton dynamics ~100 ps, implying great potential for NPL based polariton systems to affect photochemical reaction rates. State-of-the-art quantum dynamical simulations show outstanding quantitative agreement with experiments, and thus provide important insight into polariton photophysical dynamics of collectively coupled nanocrystal-based systems. These findings represent a significant step toward the development of practical polariton photochemistry platforms.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Ultrafast Dynamics of Excitonic Complexes in Electrolyte-Gated Monolayer MoS 2

Understanding and controlling ultrafast excitons and trion dynamics in monolayer transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) is critical for optoelectronic and photonic applications. These dynamics depend strongly on carrier density, but most studies use fluence-dependence to modulate electron-hole populations rather than direct electrostatic gating that is more relevant to optoelectronic devices. We utilize electrolyte gating to tune the ground-state carrier density of monolayer MoS 2 and probe excitonic dynamics using transient absorption spectroscopy, thereby modifying absorption through bandgap renormalization, screening, phase-space filling, and exciton-trion crossover. Spectral deconvolution reveals distinct but coupled exciton and trion dynamics. Excitons form independently of voltage but relax faster with increasing carrier density, consistent with Auger-like processes, while trions decay more rapidly through multiple channels. At higher voltages, trion relaxation shifts from a sub-picosecond cooling to slower trapping-assisted processes. Furthermore, our results provide missing insights into the interplay between excitons and trions in monolayer MoS 2 , relevant for TMD-based optoelectronics.

chalcogenides↗
DOE OSTI2024

Label-Free Anti-Brownian Trapping of Single Nanoparticles in Solution

Today, biomolecular nanoparticles are prevalent as diagnostic tools and molecular delivery carriers, and it is particularly useful to examine individuals within a sample population to quantify the variations between objects and directly observe the molecular dynamics involving these objects. Using interferometric scattering as a highly sensitive label-free detection scheme, we recently developed the interferometric scattering anti-Brownian electrokinetic (ISABEL) trap to hold a single nanoparticle in solution for extended optical observation. In this perspective, we describe how we implemented this trap, how it extends the capabilities of previous ABEL traps, and how we have begun to study individual carboxysomes, a fascinating biological carbon fixation nanocompartment. By monitoring single nanocompartments for seconds to minutes in the ISABEL trap using simultaneous interferometric scattering and fluorescence spectroscopy, we have demonstrated single-compartment mass measurements, cargo-loading trends, and redox sensing inside individual particles. These experiments benefit from rich multiplexed correlative measurements utilizing both scattering and fluorescence with many exciting future capabilities within reach.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Exploring the Genetic Basis of Wild Boar ( Sus scrofa ) and Its Connection to Classical Swine Fever Spread

Classical swine fever (CSF) is the one of the most devastating contagious diseases in domestic swine and wild boar/pigs (Sus scrofa). Population genetics is often used to estimate animal dispersal and can also help evaluate host population connectivity, which is crucial for understanding pathogen dispersal. We surveyed genetic population structure of boars using MIG-seq analysis to clarify the geographic barriers that influence boar dispersal in north-central Japan and to demonstrate the relationship between the spread of CSF infection among boars and their population structure. We obtained 382 single-nucleotide polymorphisms from 348 wild boar samples, and the results of STRUCTURE analysis indicated that the highest ΔK value was at K = 2, followed by K = 4. Based on these results, it is evident that the Abukuma river, a major river within north-central Japan, does not act as a barrier to the gene flow of boars, but rather that human infrastructure hinders their dispersal. Further, according to the time series change in the capture site of CSF-infected wild boar and the sum of the probability of belonging to each of the four clades in individual CSF-infected wild boar, our results indicated that the genetic structure of boar populations was correlated with the outbreak pathway of CSF across our study region. Our study suggests that predictions of disease spread, especially for widely distributed host species, is challenging because of the risk of cryptic breaks and changes in wide range connectivity; however, understanding the genetic population structure of wild boar can be a useful tool for predicting the spread of CSF. We concluded that genetic analysis of host population structure may have the possibility to improve predictions of the future dynamics of disease spread.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗