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At least 109 records · Page 6

A data-driven operational model for traffic at the Dallas Fort Worth International Airport

Airports are on the front line of significant innovations, allowing the movement of more people and goods faster, cheaper, and with greater convenience. As air travel continues to grow, airports will face challenges in responding to increasing passenger vehicle traffic, which leads to lower operational efficiency, poor air quality, and security concerns. This paper evaluates methods for traffic demand forecasting combined with traffic microsimulation, which will allow airport operations staff to accurately predict traffic and congestion. Using two years of detailed data describing individual vehicle arrivals and departures, aircraft movements, and weather at Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) International Airport, we evaluate multiple prediction methods including the Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) family of models, traditional machine learning models, and DeepAR, a modern recurrent neural network (RNN). We find that these algorithms are able to capture the diurnal trends in the surface traffic, and all do very well when predicting the next 30 minutes of demand. Longer forecast horizons are moderately effective, demonstrating the challenge of this problem and highlighting promising techniques as well as potential areas for improvement. Traffic demand is not the only factor that contributes to terminal congestion, because temporary changes to the road network, such as a lane closure, can make benign traffic demand highly congested. Combining a demand forecast with a traffic microsimulation framework provides a complete picture of traffic and its consequences. The result is an operational intelligence platform for exploring policy changes, as well as infrastructure expansion and disruption scenarios. To demonstrate the value of this approach, we present results from a case study at DFW Airport assessing the impact of a policy change for vehicle routing in high demand scenarios. This framework can assist airports like DFW as they tackle daily operational challenges, as well as explore the integration of emerging technology and expansion of their services into long term plans.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Home charging for all: Techno-economic and life cycle assessment of multi-unit dwelling electric vehicle charging hubs

Ubiquitous electric vehicle adoption can drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) but will require equitable home charging infrastructure for all residences. Unlike single-family homes, Multi-Unit Dwellings (MUD) currently lack market share and access to nearby charging infrastructure partly due to expensive capital costs for reluctant residential property-owners. Further, this work evaluates the levelized cost of charging (LCOC) for Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) at MUD community charging hubs through a techno-economic analysis (TEA) that leverages real-world charging data and costs. Three different MUD charging types are investigated for a baseline and optimistic case: 1.9-kW Level 1 (L1), 6.6-kW Level 2 (L2), and 50-kW Direct Current Fast Charging (DCFC) stations under three different ownership models: resident, utility, and private company. Results demonstrate L1 and L2 chargers to be less expensive than the gasoline equivalent across the United States. Further, utility and private company ownership models, which avoid initial costs for residential property owners, result in a large LCOC premium for L1 and moderate LCOC premium for L2 relative to the resident ownership model. In contrast, DCFC is shown to be expensive for baseline scenarios but economical for optimistic scenarios especially under private company ownership. This work also performs a cradle to grave (C2G) life cycle assessment (LCA) of an average passenger BEV and gasoline conventional vehicle (CV) using yearly (grid mix & vehicle parameters), hourly (grid mix), and state-level (grid mix) resolution. Results show BEVs to have lower GHG emissions (-86% to-10%) than gasoline CVs in the contiguous U.S. Next, the system boundary of the TEA is extended to the total cost of ownership (TCO) of BEVs. The TCO is then coupled with the C2G GHG emissions to calculate the cost of GHG emissions reduction. Ultimately, the cost of GHG emissions reduction from MUD BEVs relative to gasoline CVs is shown to be negative for every scenario except baseline DCFC, meaning MUD BEV charging infrastructure can be a cost-effective endeavor to reduce GHG emissions.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Realizing "Net-Zero-Carbon" Sustainable Aviation Fuel

The aviation industry needs renewable and fungible jet fuel - commonly referred to as sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) - to minimize emissions and increase efficiencies. SAF can displace the same, if not more, CO2 equivalent emissions (CO2eq), reduce contrail formation, and increase engine-aircraft efficiencies. Flight represents ~10% of transportation greenhouse gas emissions, with the global consumption of ~400 billion liters of fossil jet fuel in 2019 releasing over 900 million tons of CO2eq. Even with impacts from the COVID-19 global pandemic, the aviation sector is projected to grow with passenger miles expected to double by 2050, relative to 2010. As such, there is an urgent need to produce drop-in aviation fuel from renewables with a dramatically lower carbon footprint.

biojet↗

Electric vehicle post-crash Recovery—Stranded energy issues and mitigation strategy

In post-crash situations, passengers, bystanders, and first responders are exposed to the immediate safety risks of stranded energy in electric vehicle (EV) batteries. Stranded energy is the energy remaining inside any undamaged or damaged battery following an accident. A potentially damaged battery with an unknown state of safety might go into thermal runaway in the absence of proper monitoring, diagnostics, controls, and handling—thereby leading to potential loss of life and property damage. Therefore, it is imperative to develop standard guidelines, diagnostic methods, and tools to handle stranded energy appropriately and minimize safety risks from immediately after an EV accident to final disposal or re-entry to the road. This perspective paper identifies the challenges associated with handling stranded energy and proposes some potential solution pathways. Further, we hope to draw attention of the research and development community, original equipment manufacturers, and policymakers for motivating new insights and research needs in mitigating safety implications associated with stranded energy.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

High Elevation Radiation Array (HERA) detectors for airborne thunderstorm investigations

A high-energy atmospheric physics phenomenon, referred to as a terrestrial gamma ray flash (TGF), is associated with lightning and produces large bursts of energetic photon radiation. TGFs will be investigated using a suite of gamma-ray instruments designed and constructed to fly on ten United States Air Force (USAF) WC-130J Hurricane Hunter aircraft as part of an aircrew ionization study led by the Air Force Institute of Technology (AFIT) and the United States Air Force School of Aerospace Medicine (USAFSAM), in cooperation with the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron (WRS). Each instrument consists of one NaI and one plastic detector, a GPS timing device, and an instrument computer that performs data acquisition. High Elevation Radiation Array (HERA) detectors will be employed to maximize the chances of observing TGFs near their source and to gain a better understanding of their origin, mechanism, ubiquity, and to assess potential hazards posed to military and commercial aircrew and passengers. The HERA program, deployed on 10 separate Air Force aircraft over a multi-year campaign, will result in thousands of observational flight hours and be the largest concerted effort to date to observe TGFs in situ through aircraft observations. In this paper, we give an overview of the scientific goals of this campaign and how the HERA instruments have been designed to meet those goals. Here, we include a detailed description of the HERA instrument, along with mass model and signal processing simulations.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Automating ridehailing services would reduce pooling, especially among women

Here, this study investigates how autonomous vehicles (AVs) could transform pooled (shared) ridehailing services, focusing on the impacts of fare reductions, the absence of drivers/staff, and psychological attributes such as trust in other passengers and privacy concerns. We distinguish between the automation of driving tasks and the removal of human driver/staff from the vehicle, providing novel insights into the factors influencing AV ridehailing adoption. Using a national survey with stated preference (SP) choice experiments and psychometric questions, we analyze the complex interactions of ridehailing fare, pooled ridehailing service quality, and latent attitudes on ridehailing choices. Our findings suggest that the elimination of drivers/staff from fully autonomous ridehailing could lead to a shift from pooled to solo rides, particularly among female travelers who may have greater concerns about trust and safety in unstaffed AVs. This study highlights the importance of addressing trust and comfort beyond fare discounts to ensure the inclusivity and widespread adoption of pooled AV ridehailing. These insights underscore the need for ridehailing providers and policymakers to prioritize trust-building measures, user-centered AV design that offers greater privacy, and dynamic pricing strategies, to ensure inclusive and widespread adoption of pooled AV services.

Autonomous vehicle↗

Reducing ridesourcing empty vehicle travel with future travel demand prediction

Ridesourcing services provide alternative mobility options in several cities. Their market share has grown exponentially due to the convenience they provide. The use of such services may be associated with car-light or car-free lifestyles. However, there are growing concerns regarding their impact on urban transportation operations performance due to empty, unproductive miles driven without a passenger (commonly referred to as deadheading). This paper is motivated by the potential to reduce deadhead mileage of ridesourcing trips by providing drivers with information on future ridesourcing trip demand. Future demand information enables the driver to wait in place for the next rider’s request without cruising around and contributing to congestion. A machine learning model is employed to predict hourly and 10-minute future interval travel demand for ridesourcing at a given location. Using future demand information, we propose algorithms to (i) assign drivers to act on received demand information by waiting in place for the next rider, and (ii) match these drivers with riders to minimize deadheading distance. Real-world data from ridesourcing providers in Austin, TX (RideAustin) and Chengdu, China (DiDi Chuxing) are leveraged. Results show that this process achieves 68%–82% and 53%–60% reduction of trip-level deadheading miles for the RideAustin and DiDi Chuxing sample operations respectively, under the assumption of unconstrained availability of short-term parking. Deadheading savings increase slightly as the maximum tolerable waiting time for the driver increases. Further, it is observed that significant deadhead savings per trip are possible, even when a small percent of the ridesourcing driver pool is provided with future ridesourcing demand information.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Estimating Energy Bounds for Adoption of Shared Micromobility

Shared micromobility has garnered widespread popularity in recent years, but limited attention has been given to the energy impacts of trips replaced by micromobility. This paper investigates the energy bounds of shared micromobility adoption. Travel demand data at the national and city level were analyzed to identify trips that can be served through micromobility, and scenarios with varying levels of micromobility adoption were evaluated. Results show that peak adoption of shared micromobility can reduce energy consumption from reported passenger travel by 1% at the national level and 2.6% at the city level, with micromobility-induced transit trips identified as the largest contributor for energy reduction. Sensitivity analysis was carried out to show how the energy impacts would change with various levels of key micromobility-related parameters, and results show distance threshold having a stronger influence on the energy impacts, compared to redistribution energy intensity.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Multi-stage charging and discharging of electric vehicle fleets

Fleets of electric vehicles will likely shift electricity demand, and the effect of upstream charging emissions will come from generation sources that are dispatched in response. This study proposes a multi-stage charging and discharging problem to translate low-cost energy transactions into vehicle dispatch decisions. A day-ahead charging optimization problem minimizes electricity purchases and marginal emissions damages, with energy transactions becoming targets in an optimization-based dispatch strategy for an on-demand shared autonomous electric vehicle (SAEV) fleet. The framework was tested for Austin, Texas, using an agent-based simulator. Fleets can schedule charging to lower daily power costs (averaging 15.5% or $\$0.79$/day/SAEV) while reducing health damages from generation-related pollution (2.8% or $\$0.43$/day/SAEV). Finally, fleet managers can increase profits ($\$8$ per SAEV per day) by adopting a multi-stage charging and discharging strategy that can serve more passengers per day than price-agnostic dispatch strategies.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

MiR-21–3p triggers cardiac fibroblasts pyroptosis in diabetic cardiac fibrosis via inhibiting androgen receptor

Highlights: • HG aggravates CFs pyroptosis and fibrosis. • MiR-21–3p enhances CFs pyroptosis due to AR down regulation. • MiR-21–3p targeting AR in HG triggers CFs pyroptosis and fibrosis. MicroRNA-21 has been implicated in diabetic complication, including diabetic cardiomyopathy. However, there is limited information regarding the biological role of the miR-21 passenger strand (miR-21–3p) in diabetic cardiac fibrosis. The aim of this study was to investigate the role of miR-21–3p and its target androgen receptor in STZ-induced diabetic cardiac fibrosis.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Can Cobalt Be Eliminated from Lithium-Ion Batteries?

Following the discovery of LiCoO 2 (LCO) as a cathode in the 1980s, layered oxides have enabled lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) to power portable electronic devices that sparked the digital revolution of the 21st century. Since then, LiNi x Mn y Co z O 2 (NMC) and LiNi x Co y Al z O 2 (NCA) have emerged as the leading cathodes for LIBs in electric vehicle (EV) application and have become crucial components in the fight against global warming. However, the surging demand for LIBs has led to an extremely tight supply. The EV sector has already dominated the LIB market, even though EV sales were only 2–3% of total passenger vehicle sales in 2020. EV sales are expected to grow 10-fold by the end of this decade, and close to 90% of the total LIB demand will come from the EV sector. As a result, LIB manufacturers must aggressively ramp up cell production to keep pace with the immense growth of the EV market, a quest that brings scrutiny to the cost and sustainability of current LIB manufacturing practices. Here, cathodes are a critical component that largely determines the energy density and 40–50% of the total cell cost in LIBs. Rigorous consideration of the cathode performance and material cost is crucial in sustaining EV adoption. In this Viewpoint, we discuss why using cobalt in cathodes is unsustainable in the long run and highlight the features of cobalt-free cathodes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Light-Duty Vehicle Transportation Policy and Implication on Greenhouse Gas Emissions

The transportation sector accounts for 16% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and is under formidable pressure to decarbonize. With a growing number of countries making commitments to achieve carbon neutrality or “net-zero” emissions within the next few decades, it is imperative for transportation researchers and policymakers to understand the viable pathways towards achieving carbon neutrality for light-duty transport. This chapter discusses the transportation policies and GHG emissions of the three largest markets in the world—the U.S., China, and the European Union. The life cycle GHG emissions of various vehicle technologies are evaluated while highlighting the regional and temporal differences. We then use market penetration and fleet models, developed specifically for each market, to comprehensively assess the light-duty transport energy demand and GHG emissions under various scenarios. The modeling results show that battery electric vehicles (BEVs) will increase in market share, but internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEV) will continue to dominate the passenger vehicle stock in the next 20 years under most scenarios. Improving ICEV efficiency can play a critical role in meeting GHG regulations in the near- and medium-term. BEVs, whose GHG emissions are highly dependent on the source of electricity generation, will play an essential role in the long-term as the electric grid becomes cleaner. In summary, transportation policies should be technology agnostic and consider emissions based on the whole life cycle. Moreover, a holistic approach to reducing transportation GHG emissions is key to achieving global environmental goals.

Ou, Shawn↗

Short–Term Forecasting of Wind Gusts at Airports Across CONUS Using Machine Learning

Short–term forecasting of wind gusts, particularly those of higher intensity, is of great societal importance but is challenging due to the presence of multiple gust generation mechanisms. Wind gust observations from eight high–passenger–volume airports across the continental United States (CONUS) are summarized and used to develop predictive models of wind gust occurrence and magnitude. These short–term (same hour) forecast models are built using multiple logistic and linear regression, as well as artificial neural networks (ANNs) of varying complexity. A suite of 19 upper–air predictors drawn from the ERA5 reanalysis and an autoregressive (AR) term are used. Stepwise procedures instruct predictor selection, and resampling is used to quantify model stability. All models are developed separately for the warm (April–September) and cold (October–March) seasons. Results show that ANNs of 3–5 hidden layers (HLs) generally exhibit higher hit rates than logistic regression models and also improve skill with respect to wind gust magnitudes. However, deeper networks with more HLs increase false alarm rates in occurrence models and mean absolute error in magnitude models due to model overfitting. For model skill, inclusion of the AR term is critical while the majority of the remaining skill derives from wind speeds and lapse rates. A predictive ceiling is also clearly demonstrated, particularly for the strong and damaging gust magnitudes, which appears to be partially due to ERA5 predictor characteristics and the presence of mixed wind climates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Design of diverse, functional mitochondrial targeting sequences across eukaryotic organisms using variational autoencoder

Mitochondria play a key role in energy production and metabolism, making them a promising target for metabolic engineering and disease treatment. However, despite the known influence of passenger proteins on localization efficiency, only a few protein-localization tags have been characterized for mitochondrial targeting. To address this limitation, we leverage a Variational Autoencoder to design novel mitochondrial targeting sequences. In silico analysis reveals that a high fraction of the generated peptides (90.14%) are functional and possess features important for mitochondrial targeting. We characterize artificial peptides in four eukaryotic organisms and, as a proof-of-concept, demonstrate their utility in increasing 3-hydroxypropionic acid titers through pathway compartmentalization and improving 5-aminolevulinate synthase delivery by 1.62-fold and 4.76-fold, respectively. Moreover, we employ latent space interpolation to shed light on the evolutionary origins of dual-targeting sequences. Overall, our work demonstrates the potential of generative artificial intelligence for both fundamental research and practical applications in mitochondrial biology.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

New roads and challenges for fuel cells in heavy-duty transportation

The recent release of hydrogen economy roadmaps for several major countries emphasizes the need for accelerated worldwide investment in research and development activities for hydrogen production, storage, infrastructure and utilization in transportation, industry and the electrical grid. Due to the high gravimetric energy density of hydrogen, the focus of technologies that utilize this fuel has recently shifted from light-duty automotive to heavy-duty vehicle applications. Decades of development of cost-effective and durable polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells must now be leveraged to meet the increased efficiency and durability requirements of the heavy-duty vehicle market. This Review summarizes the latest market outlooks and targets for truck, bus, locomotive and marine applications. Required changes to the fuel-cell system and operating conditions for meeting Class 8 long-haul truck targets are presented. The necessary improvements in fuel-cell materials and integration are also discussed against the benchmark of current passenger fuel-cell electric vehicles.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Providing curb availability information to delivery drivers reduces cruising for parking

Abstract Delivery vehicle drivers are experiencing increasing challenges in finding available curb space to park in urban areas, which increases instances of cruising for parking and parking in unauthorized spaces. Policies traditionally used to reduce cruising for parking for passenger vehicles, such as parking fees and congestion pricing, are not effective at changing delivery drivers’ travel and parking behaviors. Intelligent parking systems that use real-time curb availability information to better route and park vehicles can reduce cruising for parking, but they have never been tested for delivery vehicle drivers. The current study tested whether providing real-time curb availability information to delivery drivers reduces the travel time and distance spent cruising for parking. A curb parking information system deployed in a study area in Seattle, Wash., displayed real-time curb availabilities on a mobile app called OpenPark. A controlled experiment assigned drivers’ deliveries in the study area with and without access to OpenPark. The data collected showed that when curb availability information was provided to drivers, their cruising for parking time significantly decreased by 27.9 percent, and their cruising distance decreased by 12.4 percent. These results demonstrate the potential for implementing intelligent parking systems to improve the efficiency of urban logistics systems.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Evaluating Connected and Automated Vehicles in Co-Simulation Environment of Traffic Microsimulation and Vehicle Dynamics

Connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) have the potential to improve many aspects of the current transportation systems such as safety, mobility, and energy efficiency. In order to evaluate the benefits and impacts of a CAV, the CAV control algorithm is typically implemented on vehicles simulated in a traffic microsimulation environment. However, traffic microsimulation usually lacks detailed vehicle and powertrain dynamics, making it challenging to fully understand how a CAV control algorithm will perform and respond on an actual vehicle. Whether the same benefits measured in the simulation will also be observed in real-world remains an open question. One potential approach to fill in this gap is to conduct a co-simulation of traffic microsimulation with detailed vehicle and powertrain dynamics models, often developed in MATLAB Simulink. However, current microsimulation tools such as VISSIM and SUMO do not have a ready-to-use interface for co-simulation with vehicle dynamics and Simulink. Also, even if such an interface exists, it will be tool-specific, making it challenging to shift from one tool to another or test CAV controls in different tools. There are needs for tool-agnostic co-simulation as different microsimulation tools have their pros and cons, and researchers often need to use different tools based on the purposes of the simulation, project needs, and applications. In this work, Flexible Interface for X-in-the-loop Simulation (FIXS) is developed that can support the co-simulation of microsimulation, CAV control algorithm, and vehicle dynamics model in Simulink. Enabled by the FIXS, the benefit and performance of a CAV control algorithm can be better understood with the consideration of vehicle responses and dynamics. The connection to VISSIM and SUMO is handled internally by the interface, and users can easily switch tools by changing a configuration file. The co-simulation capability is demonstrated for a VISSIM eco-approach and departure CAV scenario and a SUMO cooperative merging scenario for both a passenger CAV and a class 8 heavy-duty connected and automated trucks.

Shao, Yunli↗

O’Hare Airport Short-Term Ground Transportation Modal Demand Forecast Using Gaussian Processes

Here, the principal objective of this study is to analyze the spatial and temporal variation of ground transportation airport demand and provide demand forecast to inform planning capability and explore alternatives for investments to accommodate airport growth. Because of its good adaptability and strong generalization ability for dealing with high-dimensional input, small-sample, and nonlinear spatial data, Gaussian process (GP) regression is used to provide forecast estimates using data from transportation network company (TNC) trips and urban rail passengers at Chicago's O'Hare International Airport. TNC airport trips differ significantly, with three times more distance, more than twice the travel time, and half of the share requests compared with nonairport trips. This highlights the need for separate demand models. Hourly analysis of the rail service indicates that this is likely heavily used by airport workers, whereas TNC services focus on travelers because of variations in the peak demand hours. Heteroscedastic GP regression is implemented because of differences in trip variance between night and day hours. Estimates are given for weekdays and weekend trips, and the 95% confidence intervals are calculated. The introduction of flight schedule information into the models shows marginal improvements in their performance. However, fitting a GP regression becomes computationally expensive with increased sample size and the introduction of spatial components. Transportation planners and policymakers can use the results and methods implemented in this study to optimize transportation assets and provide long-range simulations of the current and future conditions in the area.

42 ENGINEERING↗