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At least 109 records · Page 6

Machine Learning Application to Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling

Atmospheric chemistry is a high-dimensionality, large-data problem and thus may be suited to machine-learning algorithms. We show here the potential of a random forest regression algorithm to replace the gas-phase chemistry solver in the GEOS-Chem chemistry model. In this proof-of-concept study, we used one month of model output to train random forest regression models to predict the concentrations of each long-lived chemical species after integration based upon the physical and chemical conditions before the chemical integration. The choice of prediction type has a strong impact on the skill of the regression model. We find best results from predicting the change in concentration for very long-lived species and the absolute concentration for shorter lived species. The skill of the machine learning algorithm is further improved by using a family approach for NO and NO2 rather than treating them independently.By replacing the numerical integrator with the random forest algorithm and running this model for one month, we find that the model is able to reproduce many of the features of the reference chemistry simulation. Replacing the integration methodology with a machine learning algorithm has the potential to be substantially faster. There are a wide range of applications for such an approach, e.g. to generate boundary conditions, for use in air quality forecasts or chemical data assimilation systems, etc.

Keller, Christoph A.

SAGIPS: a physics-inspired scalable asynchronous generative inverse-problem solver

Abstract Solving large-scale inverse problems using deep-learning algorithms have become an essential part of modern research and industrial applications. The complexity of the underlying inverse problem may require the utilization of high performance computing systems which poses a challenge on the algorithmic design of the inverse problem solver. Most deep learning algorithms require, due to their design, custom parallelization techniques in order to be resource efficient while showing a reasonable convergence. In this paper we introduce a S calable A synchronous G enerative I nverse P roblem S olver (SAGIPS) on high-performance computing systems. We present a workflow that utilizes an asynchronous ring-allreduce algorithm to transfer the gradients of the generator network across multiple GPUs. Experiments with a scientific proxy application demonstrate that SAGIPS shows near linear weak scaling, together with a convergence quality that is comparable to traditional methods. The approach presented here allows leveraging Generative Adverserial Network across multiple GPUs, promising advancements in solving complex inverse problems at scale.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Active Learning with Irrelevant Examples

Active learning algorithms attempt to accelerate the learning process by requesting labels for the most informative items first. In real-world problems, however, there may exist unlabeled items that are irrelevant to the user's classification goals. Queries about these points slow down learning because they provide no information about the problem of interest. We have observed that when irrelevant items are present, active learning can perform worse than random selection, requiring more time (queries) to achieve the same level of accuracy. Therefore, we propose a novel approach, Relevance Bias, in which the active learner combines its default selection heuristic with the output of a simultaneously trained relevance classifier to favor items that are likely to be both informative and relevant. In our experiments on a real-world problem and two benchmark datasets, the Relevance Bias approach significantly improved the learning rate of three different active learning approaches.

machine learning

Transient Optimization of a Gas Turbine Engine

Gas turbine engines are the primary power plants for modern commercial aircraft. Transients prompted by significant changes in thrust or power demand are common and unavoidable. Extreme transient scenarios such as those associated with a go-around during a landing attempt are possible and must be accounted for in the design of the engine and its controller. Engine transients tend to cause a reduction in compressor operability margin, which must be addressed by the engine control system and accounted for in the engine design to prevent events such as compressor stall/surge and combustor blow out. Transient operability concerns typically lead to compromises in the engine design that sacrifice efficiency and/or limit responsiveness. Transient operability is typically managed by logic that limits the fuel flow command. If this logic is not optimized, then the potential for valuable performance could be lost. This study presents a strategy for optimizing the transient limit logic and proposes a strategy for updating the control logic over the lifespan of the engine. The results demonstrate significant improvements in transient operability. For example, of the results at sea level static conditions demonstrated a 31% reduction in the usage of the high pressure compressor operability stack during a snap acceleration transient. Furthermore, a reinforcement learning algorithm is demonstrated to modify the transient logic as the engine degrades to minimize response time while respecting a prescribed compressor operability margin limit. A simple demonstration of the reinforcement learning algorithm resulted in a thrust response time reduction of ~11.8%.

transient

Transient Optimization of a Gas Turbine Engine

Gas turbine engines are the primary power plants for modern commercial aircraft. Transients prompted by significant changes in thrust or power demand are common and unavoidable. Extreme transient scenarios such as those associated with a go-around during a landing attempt are possible and must be accounted for in the design of the engine and its controller. Engine transients tend to cause a reduction in compressor operability margin, which must be addressed by the engine control system and accounted for in the engine design to prevent events such as compressor stall/surge and combustor blow out. Transient operability concerns typically lead to compromises in the engine design that sacrifice efficiency and/or limit responsiveness. Transient operability is typically managed by logic that limits the fuel flow command. If this logic is not optimized, then the potential for valuable performance could be lost. This study presents a strategy for optimizing the transient limit logic and proposes a strategy for updating the control logic over the lifespan of the engine. The results demonstrate significant improvements in transient operability. For example, of the results at sea level static conditions demonstrated a 31% reduction in the usage of the high pressure compressor operability stack during a snap acceleration transient. Furthermore, a reinforcement learning algorithm is demonstrated to modify the transient logic as the engine degrades to minimize response time while respecting a prescribed compressor operability margin limit. A simple demonstration of the reinforcement learning algorithm resulted in a thrust response time reduction of ~11.8%.

transient

Transient Optimization of a Gas Turbine Engine

Gas turbine engines are the primary power plants for modern commercial aircraft. Transients prompted by significant changes in thrust or power demand are common and unavoidable. Extreme transient scenarios such as those associated with a go-around during a landing attempt are possible and must be accounted for in the design of the engine and its controller. Engine transients tend to cause a reduction in compressor operability margin, which must be addressed by the engine control system and accounted for in the engine design to prevent events such as compressor stall/surge and combustor blow out. Transient operability concerns typically lead to compromises in the engine design that sacrifice efficiency and/or limit responsiveness. Transient operability is typically managed by logic that limits the fuel flow command. If this logic is not optimized, then the potential for valuable performance could be lost. This study presents a strategy for optimizing the transient limit logic and proposes a strategy for updating the control logic over the lifespan of the engine. The results demonstrate significant improvements in transient operability. For example, of the results at sea level static conditions demonstrated a 31% reduction in the usage of the high pressure compressor operability stack during a snap acceleration transient. Furthermore, a reinforcement learning algorithm is demonstrated to modify the transient logic as the engine degrades to minimize response time while respecting a prescribed compressor operability margin limit. A simple demonstration of the reinforcement learning algorithm resulted in a thrust response time reduction of ~11.8%.

transient

Sparse Solutions for Single Class SVMs: A Bi-Criterion Approach

In this paper we propose an innovative learning algorithm - a variation of One-class nu Support Vector Machines (SVMs) learning algorithm to produce sparser solutions with much reduced computational complexities. The proposed technique returns an approximate solution, nearly as good as the solution set obtained by the classical approach, by minimizing the original risk function along with a regularization term. We introduce a bi-criterion optimization that helps guide the search towards the optimal set in much reduced time. The outcome of the proposed learning technique was compared with the benchmark one-class Support Vector machines algorithm which more often leads to solutions with redundant support vectors. Through out the analysis, the problem size for both optimization routines was kept consistent. We have tested the proposed algorithm on a variety of data sources under different conditions to demonstrate the effectiveness. In all cases the proposed algorithm closely preserves the accuracy of standard one-class nu SVMs while reducing both training time and test time by several factors.

Das, Santanu

Bridging Hydrological Ensemble Simulation and Learning Using Deep Neural Operators

Ensemble-based simulation and learning (ESnL) has long been used in hydrology for parameter inference, but computational demands of process-based ESnL can be quite high. To address this issue, we propose a deep neural operator learning approach. Neural operators are generic machine learning algorithms that can learn functional mappings between infinite-dimensional spaces, providing a highly flexible tool for scientific machine learning. Our approach is built upon DeepONet, a specific deep neural operator, and is designed to address several common problems in hydrology, namely, model parameter estimation, prediction at ungaged locations, and uncertainty quantification. Here we demonstrate the effectiveness of our DeepONet-based workflow using an existing large model ensemble created for an eastern U.S. watershed that is instrumented with 10 streamflow gages. Results suggest DeepONet achieves high efficiency in learning an ML surrogate model from the model ensemble, with the modified Kling-Gupta Efficiency exceeding 0.9 on holdout test sets. Parameter inference, carried out using the trained DeepONet surrogate model and genetic algorithm, also yields robust results. Additionally, we formulate and train a separate DeepONet model for physics-informed, seq-to-seq streamflow forecasting, which further reduces biases in the pre-trained DeepONet surrogate model. While this study focuses primarily on a single watershed, our approach is general and may be extended to enable learning from model ensembles across multiple basins or models. Thus, this research represents a significant contribution to the application of hybrid machine learning in hydrology.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Research Data Alliance: Understanding Big Data Analytics Applications in Earth Science

The Research Data Alliance (RDA) enables data to be shared across barriers through focused working groups and interest groups, formed of experts from around the world - from academia, industry and government. Its Big Data Analytics (BDA) interest groups seeks to develop community based recommendations on feasible data analytics approaches to address scientific community needs of utilizing large quantities of data. BDA seeks to analyze different scientific domain applications (e.g. earth science use cases) and their potential use of various big data analytics techniques. These techniques reach from hardware deployment models up to various different algorithms (e.g. machine learning algorithms such as support vector machines for classification). A systematic classification of feasible combinations of analysis algorithms, analytical tools, data and resource characteristics and scientific queries will be covered in these recommendations. This contribution will outline initial parts of such a classification and recommendations in the specific context of the field of Earth Sciences. Given lessons learned and experiences are based on a survey of use cases and also providing insights in a few use cases in detail.

Riedel, Morris

Ensemble Federated Machine Learning‐Based Cybersecurity Situational Awareness in Microgrid Network

Cyber-physical microgrids are vulnerable to stealthy cybersecurity threats that disguise their actions through the exploitation of system knowledge. Such actions can severely impacts microgrids deployed in defense bases, slowing the response time of military forces during national emergencies. Several machine-learning algorithms have been proposed to detect intrusions in the grid networks; however, these traditional machine-learning algorithms lack data privacy and are subject to several adversarial machine-learning threats. This paper proposes a novel federated machine learning (FML)-based three-model framework to detect and identify stealthy data-integrity attacks while ensuring data privacy in microgrid networks. The proposed architecture uses a variational mode decomposition technique to extract derived features from incoming measurement and control datasets. The extraction of these derived features allows FML models to learn minute variations in data patterns that allow them to perform significantly better than the models trained with generic datasets consisting of raw features. Our experimental results show the efficient performance of the proposed methodology against different types of data integrity attacks while considering primary and secondary controllers in microgrids. Further, the applied FML-integrated random forest ensemble algorithm outperforms the existing generic FML algorithms during noisy and noise-free datasets with prediction latencies of only 91–134 µs per sample within the 0.1 s sampling interval and requires communication bandwidth of around ∼8.25 KB/s at the control center and ∼2.7 KB/s per edge client for communication.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION

Myths and legends in learning classification rules

A discussion is presented of machine learning theory on empirically learning classification rules. Six myths are proposed in the machine learning community that address issues of bias, learning as search, computational learning theory, Occam's razor, universal learning algorithms, and interactive learning. Some of the problems raised are also addressed from a Bayesian perspective. Questions are suggested that machine learning researchers should be addressing both theoretically and experimentally.

Buntine, Wray

Myths and legends in learning classification rules

This paper is a discussion of machine learning theory on empirically learning classification rules. The paper proposes six myths in the machine learning community that address issues of bias, learning as search, computational learning theory, Occam's razor, 'universal' learning algorithms, and interactive learnings. Some of the problems raised are also addressed from a Bayesian perspective. The paper concludes by suggesting questions that machine learning researchers should be addressing both theoretically and experimentally.

Buntine, Wray

Learning Extended Finite State Machines

We present an active learning algorithm for inferring extended finite state machines (EFSM)s, combining data flow and control behavior. Key to our learning technique is a novel learning model based on so-called tree queries. The learning algorithm uses the tree queries to infer symbolic data constraints on parameters, e.g., sequence numbers, time stamps, identifiers, or even simple arithmetic. We describe sufficient conditions for the properties that the symbolic constraints provided by a tree query in general must have to be usable in our learning model. We have evaluated our algorithm in a black-box scenario, where tree queries are realized through (black-box) testing. Our case studies include connection establishment in TCP and a priority queue from the Java Class Library.

Register Automata

Efficient Autonomous Learning for Statistical Pattern Recognition

We describe a neural network learning algorithm that implements differential learning in a generalized backpropagation framework. The algorithm regulates model complexity during the learning procedure, generating the best low-complexity approximation to the Bayer-optimal classifier allowed by the training sample.

Pattern

Learning and optimization with cascaded VLSI neural network building-block chips

To demonstrate the versatility of the building-block approach, two neural network applications were implemented on cascaded analog VLSI chips. Weights were implemented using 7-b multiplying digital-to-analog converter (MDAC) synapse circuits, with 31 x 32 and 32 x 32 synapses per chip. A novel learning algorithm compatible with analog VLSI was applied to the two-input parity problem. The algorithm combines dynamically evolving architecture with limited gradient-descent backpropagation for efficient and versatile supervised learning. To implement the learning algorithm in hardware, synapse circuits were paralleled for additional quantization levels. The hardware-in-the-loop learning system allocated 2-5 hidden neurons for parity problems. Also, a 7 x 7 assignment problem was mapped onto a cascaded 64-neuron fully connected feedback network. In 100 randomly selected problems, the network found optimal or good solutions in most cases, with settling times in the range of 7-100 microseconds.

Duong, T.

Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Using Deep Convolutional Neural Networks

Estimating tropical cyclone intensity by just using satellite image is a challenging problem. With successful application of the Dvorak technique for more than 30 years along with some modifications and improvements, it is still used worldwide for tropical cyclone intensity estimation. A number of semi-automated techniques have been derived using the original Dvorak technique. However, these techniques suffer from subjective bias as evident from the most recent estimations on October 10, 2017 at 1500 UTC for Tropical Storm Ophelia: The Dvorak intensity estimates ranged from T2.3/33 kt (Tropical Cyclone Number 2.3/33 knots) from UW-CIMSS (University of Wisconsin-Madison - Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies) to T3.0/45 kt from TAFB (the National Hurricane Center's Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch) to T4.0/65 kt from SAB (NOAA/NESDIS Satellite Analysis Branch). In this particular case, two human experts at TAFB and SAB differed by 20 knots in their Dvorak analyses, and the automated version at the University of Wisconsin was 12 knots lower than either of them. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) estimates about 10-20 percent uncertainty in its post analysis when only satellite based estimates are available. The success of the Dvorak technique proves that spatial patterns in infrared (IR) imagery strongly relate to tropical cyclone intensity. This study aims to utilize deep learning, the current state of the art in pattern recognition and image recognition, to address the need for an automated and objective tropical cyclone intensity estimation. Deep learning is a multi-layer neural network consisting of several layers of simple computational units. It learns discriminative features without relying on a human expert to identify which features are important. Our study mainly focuses on convolutional neural network (CNN), a deep learning algorithm, to develop an objective tropical cyclone intensity estimation. CNN is a supervised learning algorithm requiring a large number of training data. Since the archives of intensity data and tropical cyclone centric satellite images is openly available for use, the training data is easily created by combining the two. Results, case studies, prototypes, and advantages of this approach will be discussed.

tropical cyclone intensity

Neural learning of constrained nonlinear transformations

Two issues that are fundamental to developing autonomous intelligent robots, namely, rudimentary learning capability and dexterous manipulation, are examined. A powerful neural learning formalism is introduced for addressing a large class of nonlinear mapping problems, including redundant manipulator inverse kinematics, commonly encountered during the design of real-time adaptive control mechanisms. Artificial neural networks with terminal attractor dynamics are used. The rapid network convergence resulting from the infinite local stability of these attractors allows the development of fast neural learning algorithms. Approaches to manipulator inverse kinematics are reviewed, the neurodynamics model is discussed, and the neural learning algorithm is presented.

Barhen, Jacob

Development of Increasingly Autonomous Traffic Data Manager Using Pilot Relevancy and Ranking Data

NASA's Safe Autonomous Systems Operations (SASO) project goal is to define and safely enable all future airspace operations by justifiable and optimal autonomy for advanced air, ground, and connected capabilities. This work showcases how Increasingly Autonomous Systems (IAS) could create operational transformations beneficial to the enhancement of civil aviation safety and efficiency. One such IAS under development is the Traffic Data Manager (TDM). This concept is a prototype 'intelligent party-line' system that would declutter and parse out non-relevant air traffic, displaying only relevant air traffic to the aircrew in a digital data communications (Data Comm) environment. As an initial step, over 22,000 data points were gathered from 31 Airline Transport Pilots to train the machine learning algorithms designed to mimic human experts and expertise. The test collection used an analog of the Navigation Display. Pilots were asked to rate the relevancy of the displayed traffic using an interactive tablet application. Pilots were also asked to rank the order of importance of the information given, to better weight the variables within the algorithm. They were also asked if the information given was enough data, and more importantly the "right" data to best inform the algorithm. The paper will describe the findings and their impact to the further development of the algorithm for TDM and, in general, address the issue of how can we train supervised machine learning algorithms, critical to increasingly autonomous systems, with the knowledge and expertise of expert human pilots.

Le Vie, Lisa R.