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At least 109 records · Page 6

Illinois Basin Carbon Ore, Rare Earth, and Critical Minerals (IB-CORE-CM) Initiative (Final Report (Redacted)(Public))

Final Report; Illinois Basin - Carbon Ore, Rare Earth and Critical Mineral (IB-CORE-CM) project team has conducted a comprehensive basin-wide assessment of CORE-CM presence in coal, coal-based, and waste stream resources, as well as a thorough examination of mining practices, separation technologies, and the local infrastructure necessary for producing and providing the needed CORE-CM resources for U.S. industry. This final report details the research, methods, and results of the project.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Enhancing Fluid Flow Pressure and Saturation Prediction Accuracy and Reducing Uncertainty with Committee Machine – Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP) as a Case Study

Presentation at the 17th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies GHGT-17 held in Calgary, Canada, October 20-24, 2024. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is a way to play a critical role in the global transition to a low-emission economy. Current progress is hampered by a number of factors, among which the lack of risk-informed design tools and decision support frameworks is seen as a major roadblock. Significant interest exists in using artificial intelligence to accelerate CCS site feasibility studies, as well as to facilitate the permit application process. Existing works commonly train a single deep learning model. This work investigates the feasibility of using a conventional ensemble learning (committee machine) technique to further improve prediction accuracy. Ensemble-based algorithms generally improve over individual base learners in terms of robustness and accuracy. Deep ensembles, however, are time-consuming to create and train. A pragmatic question is whether small-sized ensembles may lead to prediction improvement. Here we evaluated the efficacy of an ensemble learning technique using the latent spectral model (LSM), an efficient deep neural operator algorithm, as base learners. Preliminary results, obtained using the Illinois Basin-Decatur Project (IBDP) carbon sequestration data/model, show that small-sized ensembles can improve prediction over the base learners, achieving prediction accuracy of ~1.6 psi root mean square error (RMSE) on pressure (relative the average reservoir pressure of 3150 psi), and less than 1.3% for saturation.

Sun, Alexander↗

CO2 Plume Imaging with Accelerated Deep Learning-based Data Assimilation Considering Multiple Realizations: Application to the Illinois Basin-Decatur Carbon Sequestration Project

We propose a fast and efficient deep learning workflow for near real-time data assimilation, forecasting and visualization of CO2 plume evolution in saline aquifer and demonstrate its application at a field site. Unlike the previous work, this study incorporates the impact of spatial heterogeneity using multiple realizations. In the proposed workflow, a neural network model utilizes available monitoring data such as downhole pressure measurements as input and predicts the propagating pressure ‘front’ using the diffusive time of flight (DTOF) map which is considered as representative reservoir image of the flow field. The DTOF is the arrival time of pressure front propagation, which can be computed by the Fast Marching Method rapidly without flow simulations. Reservoir model calibration can be implemented by selecting the training data samples that describe the predicted DTOF map based on observed data. The power and efficacy of our workflow is demonstrated by application to the Illinois Basin-Decatur Project.

CO2 plume imaging↗

Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL) – Illinois Rare Earth Novel Extraction and Supply (IRENES)

This report presents the physical and chemical characterization of breaker and sorter reject materials sourced from the Prairie State Generation facility, as part of the Illinois Rare Earth Novel Extraction and Supply (IRENES) project. Key analyses include particle size distribution, density, angle of repose, proximate and ultimate composition, mineralogy, and elemental content. Breaker reject material was found to be coarser and higher in ash content (~80%) with lower calorific value, while sorter reject showed finer distribution, lower ash (~68%), and higher carbon and energy content. XRD and XRF analyses confirmed the presence of REE-bearing minerals and relevant oxides, supporting process design and beneficiation strategy development for critical mineral recovery.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Machine Learning-Driven Quantification of CO2 Plume Dynamics at Illinois Basin Decatur Project Sites Using Microseismic Data

This study utilizes machine learning to quantify CO2 plume extents by analyzing microseismic data from the Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP). Leveraging a unique dataset of well logs, microseismic records, and CO2 injection metrics, this work aims to predict the temporal evolution of subsurface CO2 saturation plumes. The findings illustrate that machine learning can predict plume dynamics, revealing vertical clustering of microseismic events over distinct time periods within certain proximities to the injection well, consistent with an invasion percolation model. The buoyant CO2 plume partially trapped within sandstone intervals periodically breaches localized barriers or baffles, which act as leaky seals and impede vertical migration until buoyancy overcomes gravity and capillary forces, leading to breakthroughs along vertical zones of weakness. Between different unsupervised clustering techniques, K-Means and DBSCAN were applied and analyzed in detail, where K-means outperformed DBSCAN in this specific study by indicating the combination of the highest Silhouette Score and the lowest Davies–Bouldin Index. The predictive capability of machine learning models in quantifying CO2 saturation plume extension is significant for real-time monitoring and management of CO2 sequestration sites. The models exhibit high accuracy, validated against physical models and injection data from the IBDP, reinforcing the viability of CO2 geological sequestration as a climate change mitigation strategy and enhancing advanced tools for safe management of these operations.

Iyegbekedo, Ikponmwosa↗

Bird Species Use of Bioenergy Croplands in Illinois, USA—Can Advanced Switchgrass Cultivars Provide Suitable Habitats for Breeding Grassland Birds?

Grassland birds have sustained significant population declines in the United States through habitat loss, and replacing lost grasslands with bioenergy production areas could benefit these species and the ecological services they provide. Point count surveys and autonomous acoustic monitoring were used at two field sites in Illinois, USA, to determine if an advanced switchgrass cultivar that is being used for bioenergy feedstock production could provide suitable habitats for grassland and other bird species. At the Brighton site, the bird use of switchgrass plots was compared to that of corn plots during the breeding seasons of 2020–2022. At the Urbana site, the bird use of restored prairie, switchgrass, and Miscanthus × giganteus was studied in the 2022 breeding season. At Brighton, Common Yellowthroat, Dickcissel, Grasshopper Sparrow, and Sedge Wren occurred on switchgrass plots more often than on corn; Common Yellowthroat and Dickcissel increased on experimental plots as the perennial switchgrass increased in height and density over the study period; and the other two species declined over the same period. At Urbana, Dickcissel was most frequent in prairie and switchgrass; Common Yellowthroat was most frequent in miscanthus and switchgrass. These findings suggest that advanced switchgrass cultivars could provide suitable habitats for grassland birds, replace lost habitats, and contribute to the recovery of these vulnerable species.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Illinois's Clean Energy Jobs Potential Through 2030

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, Illinois had 8,307,951 people in its working population (15 to 64 years of age) in 2019. The graphs below show solar photovoltaic (PV), land-based wind, battery energy storage (BES), and energy efficiency job estimates in 2020, 2025, and 2030. These job estimates do not represent net job creation. Rather, they represent the size of the workforce required to achieve projected national deployment levels of each technology for 2025 and 2030 if the state captures the same proportion of jobs in the sector as it did in 2020.

clean energy↗

Enhancing Fluid Flow Pressure and Saturation Prediction Accuracy and Reducing Uncertainty with Committee Machine – Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP) as a Case Study

This is the conference paper accompanying an oral presentation at the 17th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies GHGT-17 held in Calgary, Canada, October 20-24, 2024. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is a way to play a critical role in the global transition to a low-emission economy. Current progress is hampered by a number of factors, among which the lack of risk-informed design tools and decision support frameworks is seen as a major roadblock. Significant interest exists in using artificial intelligence to accelerate CCS site feasibility studies, as well as to facilitate the permit application process. Existing works commonly train a single deep learning model. This work investigates the feasibility of using a conventional ensemble learning (committee machine) technique to further improve prediction accuracy. Ensemble-based algorithms generally improve over individual base learners in terms of robustness and accuracy. Deep ensembles, however, are time-consuming to create and train. A pragmatic question is whether small-sized ensembles may lead to prediction improvement. Here we evaluated the efficacy of an ensemble learning technique using the latent spectral model (LSM), an efficient deep neural operator algorithm, as base learners. Preliminary results, obtained using the Illinois Basin-Decatur Project (IBDP) carbon sequestration data/model, show that small-sized ensembles can improve prediction over the base learners, achieving prediction accuracy of ~1.6 psi root mean square error (RMSE) on pressure (relative the average reservoir pressure of 3150 psi), and less than 1.3% for saturation.

Sun, Alexander↗

Accelerated CO2 Storage Optimization Using Multi-Resolution Fourier Neural Operator at the Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP)

This paper presents a deep learning-based approach for optimizing CO2 injection in carbon capture and storage (CCS) operations. We developed a multi-resolution machine learning model to significantly reduce data generation costs. Utilizing this proxy model, we implemented a multi-objective genetic algorithm to optimize well control during the CO2 injection process. The proposed approach was applied to the Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP), successfully optimizing the CO2 injection schedule based on three key objectives: maximizing the amount of CO2 stored, maximizing sweep efficiency, and minimizing pressure increase. The use of the proxy model accelerated the optimization workflow by two orders of magnitude, while the cost of data generation for the proxy model was reduced by 90% by utilizing a coarse-scale model.

accelerated CO2 storage optimization↗

Digitizing Oil & Gas Well Regulatory Records from Illinois with the CATALOG OGRRE Tool

This effort demonstrates the functionality of the CATALOG Oil and Gas Regulatory Record digitizEr—OGRRE. OGRRE is being developed for automated mapping of fields on scanned oil and gas paper records to a uniform tabular format using advances in machine learning and optical character recognition.

Shay, Jacob [NETL Site Support Contractor, Nationa↗

Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL) – Illinois Rare Earth Novel Extraction and Supply (IRENES) - Report on Technology Down Select No. 1 - Acid Baking vs. Heap Leaching

An essential step for recovering rare earth and critical minerals from coal mine waste is one that achieves adequate dissolution of the target elements into a pregnant leachate solution. The simplest technical approach was thought to be heap-leaching that could proceed using mild acid dosing or naturally generated acid from biological activity. For this reason, the University of Kentucky at Lexington (UKY) undertook two efforts to evaluate feasibility, including a laboratory column leaching evaluation and a pilot heap-leaching demonstration. Later, the UK evaluated a pyrometallurgical approach using roasting combined with acid baking and tank leaching at elevated temperatures to improve extraction efficiencies. This report surveys the previously reported leaching yields and calculates the gross value of rare earth oxides as a basket in the pregnant leachate solution.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

CROCUS Dual Polarization Ceilometer Data at Northeastern Illinois University Rooftop

This dataset is from the Department of Energy Office of Science funded project, CROCUS Urban Integrated Field Laboratory (https://crocus-urban.org/). The dual-polarization ceilometer (Vaisala CL61) is an autonomous lidar system operating at 910 nm wavelength, providing valuable measurements for understanding atmospheric boundary layer evolution, air quality, and cloud-aerosol interactions. The CL61 measures the backscattered signal intensity alternating between parallel- and cross-polarization signals. The unique depolarization measurement capability improves discrimination between different particle types, such as liquid droplets, ice crystals, and aerosols. The depolarization is highly dependent on the scatterer shape and orientation (spherical vs non-spherical particles), with the linear depolarization ratio providing a measure of dominant backscatter signal component from atmospheric particles at various heights, essentially allowing discrimination between liquid and solid particles. With its efficient optical system, CL61’s improved signal-to-noise ratio compared to traditional ceilometers allows studying detailed vertical profiles of aerosols and clouds up to 15 km height.Datasets are stored in a netCDF data format, and we we encourage users to make use of the associated toolkits available from Unidata (https://www.unidata.ucar.edu/software/netcdf/), Project Pythia (https://foundations.projectpythia.org/core/data-formats/netcdf-cf.html), and our “Instrument Cookbooks” (https://crocus-urban.github.io/instrument-cookbooks) for more information on how to process the metadata-rich datasets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Miscanthus × giganteus Responses to Nitrogen Fertilization and Harvest Timing in Illinois, USA

Renewable energy continues to be of interest in the USA due to concerns about the long-termed availability and the environmental impact of fossil fuels. Miscanthus × giganteus is a warm-season perennial bioenergy feedstock grass that has a long growing season, is high yielding, requires limited inputs, and will likely become an important renewable energy crop in the USA. This research studied the effects of N application rates and harvest timings on yields and biomass quality of a 4-year-old stand of M. × giganteus in Urbana, IL, USA. Plots received 0, 56, 112, 156, or 224 kg N ha –1 , and harvests were conducted at five dates between August and March in the 2009, 2010, and 2011 growing seasons. Miscanthus × giganteus production increased with N applications up to 112 kg ha –1 . Harvesting biomass before senescence, August through November, produced significantly more biomass compared to harvesting biomass after senescence. However, early harvest reduced biomass yields in the following years. Here, nitrogen fertilization compensated for the yield losses, but the yield gap between early and late harvest continually increased. Harvesting M. × giganteus after senescence optimized long-term productivity, reduced the need for N fertilization, and increased carbon and ash content in the harvested biomass, while harvesting before senescence not only removes N from the plant but also reduces remobilization of other nutrients and carbohydrates in autumn.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Impact of changes in protective behaviors and out-of-household activities by age on COVID-19 transmission and hospitalization in Chicago, Illinois

Even with an efficacious vaccine, protective behaviors (social distancing, masking) are essential for preventing COVID-19 transmission and could become even more important if current or future variants evade immunity from vaccines or prior infection. Here we created an agent-based model representing the Chicago population and conducted experiments to determine the effects of varying adult out-of-household activities (OOHA), school reopening, and protective behaviors across age groups on COVID-19 transmission and hospitalizations. From September-November 2020, decreasing adult protective behaviors and increasing adult OOHA both substantially impacted COVID-19 outcomes; school reopening had relatively little impact when adult protective behaviors and OOHA were maintained. As of November 1, 2020, a 50% reduction in young adult (age 18-40) protective behaviors resulted in increased latent infection prevalence per 100,000 from 15.93 (IQR 6.18, 36.23) to 40.06 (IQR 14.65, 85.21)and 19.87 (IQR 6.83, 46.83) to 47.74 (IQR 18.89, 118.77) with 15% and 45% school reopening. Increasing adult (age ≥18) OOHA from 65% to 80% of pre-pandemic levels resulted in increased latent infection prevalence per 100,000 from 35.18 (IQR 13.59, 75.00) to 69.84 (IQR 33.27, 145.89) and 38.17 (IQR 15.84, 91.16) to 80.02 (IQR 30.91, 186.63) with 15% and 45% school reopening. Similar patterns were observed for hospitalizations. In areas without widespread vaccination coverage, interventions to maintain adherence to protective behaviors, particularly among younger adults and in out-of-household settings, remain a priority for preventing COVID-19 transmission.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗