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DOE OSTI2022

Return of the templates: Revisiting the Galactic Center excess with multimessenger observations

The Galactic center excess (GCE) remains one of the most intriguing discoveries from the Fermi Large Area Telescope (LAT) observations. We revisit the characteristics of the GCE by first producing a new set of high-resolution galactic diffuse gamma-ray emission templates. This diffuse emission, which accounts for the bulk of the observed gamma rays, is ultimately due to cosmic-ray interactions with the interstellar medium. Using recent high-precision cosmic-ray observations, in addition to the continuing Fermi-LAT observations and observations from lower energy photons, we constrain the properties of the galactic diffuse emission. We describe a large set of diffuse gamma-ray emission templates which account for a very wide range of initial assumptions on the physical conditions in the inner galaxy. The broad properties of the GCE that we find in this work are qualitatively unchanged despite the introduction of this new set of templates, though its quantitative features appear mildly different than those obtained in previous analyses. In particular, we find a high-energy tail at higher significance than previously reported. This tail is very prominent in the northern hemisphere, and less so in the southern hemisphere. This strongly affects one prominent interpretation of the excess: known millisecond pulsars are incapable of producing this high-energy emission, even in the relatively softer southern hemisphere, and are therefore disfavored as the sole explanation of the GCE. The annihilation of dark matter particles of mass 40 - 7 + 10 GeV (95% CL) to b quarks with a cross-section of ⟨ σ A v ⟩ = 1. 4 - 0.3 + 0.6 × 10 - 26 cm 3 s − 1 provides a good fit to the excess especially in the relatively cleaner southern sky. Dark matter of the same mass range annihilating to b quarks or heavier dark matter particles annihilating to heavier Standard Model bosons can combine with millisecond pulsars to provide a good fit to the southern hemisphere emission as well, as can a broken power-law spectrum which would be related to recent cosmic-ray burst activity. As part of this paper, we make publicly available all of our templates and the data covariance matrix we have generated to account for systematic uncertainties.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Montane forest productivity across a semiarid climatic gradient

Abstract High‐elevation montane forests are disproportionately important to carbon sequestration in semiarid climates where low elevations are dry and characterized by low carbon density ecosystems. However, these ecosystems are increasingly threatened by climate change with seasonal implications for photosynthesis and forest growth. As a result, we leveraged eddy covariance data from six evergreen conifer forest sites in the semiarid western United States to extrapolate the status of carbon sequestration within a framework of projected warming and drying. At colder locations, the seasonal evolution of gross primary productivity (GPP) was characterized by a single broad maximum during the summer that corresponded to snow melt‐derived moisture and a transition from winter dormancy to spring activity. Conversely, winter dormancy was transient at warmer locations, and GPP was responsive to both winter and summer precipitation such that two distinct GPP maxima were separated by a period of foresummer drought. This resulted in a predictable sequence of primary limiting factors to GPP beginning with air temperature in winter and proceeding to moisture and leaf area during the summer. Due to counteracting winter (positive) and summer (negative) GPP responses to warming, leaf area index and moisture availability were the best predictors of annual GPP differences across sites. Overall, mean annual GPP was greatest at the warmest site due to persistent vegetation photosynthetic activity throughout the winter. These results indicate that the trajectory of this region's carbon sequestration will be sensitive to reduced or delayed summer precipitation, especially if coupled to snow drought and earlier soil moisture recession, but summer precipitation changes remain highly uncertain. Given the demonstrated potential for seasonally offsetting responses to warming, we project that decadal semiarid montane forest carbon sequestration will remain relatively stable in the absence of severe disturbance.

Knowles, John F.↗

DOE OSTI2022

An ecological niche model to predict the geographic distribution of Haemagogus janthinomys, Dyar, 1921 a yellow fever and Mayaro virus vector, in South America

Yellow fever virus (YFV) has a long history of impacting human health in South America. Mayaro virus (MAYV) is an emerging arbovirus of public health concern in the Neotropics and its full impact is yet unknown. Both YFV and MAYV are primarily maintained via a sylvatic transmission cycle but can be opportunistically transmitted to humans by the bites of infected forest dwelling Haemagogus janthinomys Dyar, 1921. To better understand the potential risk of YFV and MAYV transmission to humans, a more detailed understanding of this vector species’ distribution is critical. This study compiled a comprehensive database of 177 unique Hg . janthinomys collection sites retrieved from the published literature, digitized museum specimens and publicly accessible mosquito surveillance data. Covariate analysis was performed to optimize a selection of environmental (topographic and bioclimatic) variables associated with predicting habitat suitability, and species distributions modelled across South America using a maximum entropy (MaxEnt) approach. Our results indicate that suitable habitat for Hg . janthinomys can be found across forested regions of South America including the Atlantic forests and interior Amazon.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Modernization efforts for the R-Matrix code SAMMY [Slides]

This presentation details modernization efforts for the R-Matrix code SAMMY. It provides an overview of SAMMY, modernization and maintenance goals, modernization accomplishments, covariance data, SAMMY API development, as well as future plans.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Crossing the Streams – Sampler and the TemplateEngine [Slides]

This presentation discusses Sampler, which is a versatile UQ and parametric study tool that can be applied to any SCALE Sequence. Sampler can perturb any quantity in any SCALE input. Recent work at ORNL has developed new types of covariance data that allow Sampler UQ to be applied to nearly all SCALE applications, including reactor depletion, UNF fuel characterization, source term analysis, and decay heat calculation. In SCALE 6.2 releases, CE data in transport cannot be perturbed. Sampler was originally designed for stochastic sampling with any sequence within SCALE and Parametric capability added in SCALE 6.2.2. Sampler can be used for uncertainty quantification, including sample data in static or depletion calculations and sample inputs for uncertainties in compositions and dimensions. The SCALE TemplateEngine allows for expanding templates to full inputs and the combination provides a powerful UQ tool.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Impact of Thermal Scattering Law on Similarity Assessment in Light-Water or Polyethylene-Moderated Systems [Slides]

This presentation found validation efforts revealed noticeable differences in c k for light-water and polyethylene moderated systems when compared to PST-002-001. Additionally, although 1 H-H 2 O and 1 H-poly use the same cross section and covariance data, the treatment of TSLs in SCALE lead to no contribution to ck between polyethylene application and benchmark experiment. When H 2 O contribution were removed the difference in c k appears to come from 239 Pu chi. Sensitivity profiles and data-induced uncertainty confirmed that the polyethylene application was more closely resembling the benchmark experiment. Specific differences between similar systems can be accounted for and examined to help understand differences in similarity (c k ) between systems was a conclusion reached by this presentation.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Lost and Found Opportunities Around the Chlorine Worth Study [Slides]

This presentation begins with an Introduction and models and sensitivity results. Included within this lecture is a chlorine gap assessment discussion. referenced is an opportunity to test covariance data. This presentation wraps up with some conclusions and thoughts.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Investigating Similarity Differences for Light-Water-Moderated and Polyethylene-Moderated Systems [Slides]

Validation efforts revealed noticeable differences in c k for light-water and polyethylene moderated systems when compared to experimental systems. Although 1 H-H 2 O and 1 H-poly use some of the same cross section and identical covariance data, the treatment of TSLs in SCALE lead to no contribution to c k between polyethylene application and benchmark experiment. When H 2 O contribution is removed the difference in c k appears to come from 239 Pu chi. Sensitivity profiles and data-induced uncertainty confirm that the polyethylene application more closely resembles the benchmark experiment. Interrogation techniques were used to observe how TSLs and nuclide IDs affect c k . Specific differences between similar systems can be accounted for and examined to help understand differences in similarity (c k ) between systems

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Implementation of Perturbation Theory and Sensitivity Capabilities in Griffin

Griffin is a Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) based reactor Multiphysics analysis application, jointly developed by Argonne and Idaho National Laboratories under the DOE-NE NEAMS program. This fiscal year, capabilities for reactivity and sensitivity evaluation using perturbation methods were implemented and verified. The First Order Perturbation Method (FOPT) was employed to compute reactivity worth resulting from small perturbations in input parameters, while the Generalized Perturbation Theory (GPT) was used to evaluate sensitivities of a range of response types, including reaction rate ratio, k-eigenvalue, neutron generation time, and effective delayed neutron fraction. These perturbation methods enable users to quantify how response quantities change due to a perturbation in a input parameter without explicitly performing an additional transport simulation for each perturbed state. In particular, the GPT formulation accounts for indirect effects arising from flux changes by solving generalized inhomogeneous equations, for which a Neumann series-based iterative solution method was developed and implemented in Griffin. The implemented reactivity and sensitivity evaluation capabilities were verified using two test problems: an infinite homogeneous system and a two-dimensional hexagonal core. The results showed excellent agreement with reference solutions obtained by a direct method based on finite difference approximation as well as GPT-based results from the PERSENT code, confirming the accuracy of both reactivity and sensitivity evaluations. Additionally, preliminary uncertainty quantification (UQ) results were obtained by combining the sensitivity values computed using GPT and external covariance data, demonstrating that the implemented sensitivity results can be reliably used for uncertainty calculations. To further demonstrate the generality and practical strength of the implementation, the sensitivity evaluation capability was successfully applied to the Empire microreactor with a geometrically complex design that poses significant modeling challenges. The results confirm that Griffin enables sensitivity evaluations even for irregular and highly heterogeneous reactor configurations, thereby establishing a foundation for UQ applications in advanced reactor designs and analyses.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

NASA NTRS1981

On the OLP prediction of the unstable modes of the flat plate turbulent boundary layer

The Orr et al. (OLP) stability analysis is reformulated to yield profiles from hot-wire velocity covariance data in the boundary layer of a flow over a flat plate. The proper orthogonal decomposition theorem (PODT) is used to maximize the mean square of the inner product of the velocity vector with a deterministic candidate vector function in Hilbert space. The OLP formulation couples the PODT for the eddy viscosity with a global extremum principle for the disturbance kinetic energy. Derivation of the governing equations is described analytically, as are the extraction of the mean velocity profile and the eddy viscosity. Finally, techniques for characterizing the dominant mode of the velocity field are introduced and applied to three-dimensional flow over a flat plate. Good agreement is found between the predictions, using laboratory data, and the measured energy and three-dimensional structures of the dominant eddies.

Wadia, A. R.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Inversion for the driving forces of plate tectonics

Inverse modeling techniques have been applied to the problem of determining the roles of various forces that may drive and resist plate tectonic motions. Separate linear inverse problems have been solved to find the best fitting pole of rotation for finite element grid point velocities and to find the best combination of force models to fit the observed relative plate velocities for the earth's twelve major plates using the generalized inverse operator. Variance-covariance data on plate motion have also been included. Results emphasize the relative importance of ridge push forces in the driving mechanism. Convergent margin forces are smaller by at least a factor of two, and perhaps by as much as a factor of twenty. Slab pull, apparently, is poorly transmitted to the surface plate as a driving force. Drag forces at the base of the plate are smaller than ridge push forces, although the sign of the force remains in question.

Richardson, R. M.↗

NASA NTRS1991

Pneumatic distortion compensation for aircraft surface pressure sensing devices

In this paper a technique of compensating for pneumatic distortion in aircraft surface pressure sensing devices is developed. The compensation allows conventional pressure sensing technology to obtain improved unsteady pressure measurements. Pressure distortion caused by frictional attenuation and pneumatic resonance within the sensing system makes obtaining unsteady pressure measurements by conventional sensors difficult. Typically, most of the distortion occurs within the pneumatic tubing used to transmit pressure impulses from the surface of the aircraft to the measurement transducer. This paper develops a second-order distortion model that accurately describes the behavior of the primary wave harmonic of the pneumatic tubing. The model is expressed in state-variable form and is coupled with standard results from minimum-variance estimation theory to develop an algorithm to compensate for the effects of pneumatic distortion. Both postflight and real-time algorithms are developed and evaluated using simulated and flight data. Covariance selection and filter-tuning examples are presented. Results presented verify that, given appropriate covariance magnitudes, the algorithms accurately reconstruct surface pressure values from remotely sensed pressure measurements.

Whitmore, Stephen A.↗

NASA NTRS2007

Detection of Orbital Debris Collision Risks for the Automated Transfer Vehicle

In this paper, we present a general collision risk assessment method, which has been applied through numerical simulations to the Automated Transfer Vehicle (ATV) case. During ATV ascent towards the International Space Station, close approaches between the ATV and objects of the USSTRACOM catalog will be monitored through collision rosk assessment. Usually, collision risk assessment relies on an exclusion volume or a probability threshold method. Probability methods are more effective than exclusion volumes but require accurate covariance data. In this work, we propose to use a criterion defined by an adaptive exclusion area. This criterion does not require any probability calculation but is more effective than exclusion volume methods as demonstrated by our numerical experiments. The results of these studies, when confirmed and finalized, will be used for the ATV operations.

Peret, L.↗

DOE OSTI2025

$\mathcal{R}$ -matrix analysis of η + nat Cl reactions relevant to molten-salt reactor designs [Abstract]

Performed with support from the U.S. Nuclear Criticality Safety Program in an effort to provide improved chlorine cross section and corresponding covariance data, the R-matrix analysis of neutron induced reactions for two stable chlorine isotopes, 35,37 Cl, was performed in the energy range of thermal up to 1.2 MeV. Starting from the repository of the ENDF/B-VIII.0 library and following recent measurement campaigns, this work represents a significant improvement in the evaluation of the ( η , p ) reaction channel. The evaluation methodology uses the $\mathcal{R}$ -matrix code SAMMY to generate a set of Reich-Moore resonance parameters. As predicted by recently measured 35 Cl( η , p ) data, the presented evaluation features a dramatic increase in the magnitude of the ( η , p ) reaction channel over the ENDF/B-VIII.0 and previous nuclear data ENDF/B released libraries. Together with details of the evaluation procedure, the impact of the updates in the outgoing proton emissions on reactivity coefficients for different molten-salt reactor designs is presented and discussed.

charged-particle↗

NASA NTRS1991

Unsupervised segmentation of polarimetric SAR data using the covariance matrix

An unsupervised selection of polarimetric features useful for the segmentation and analysis of polarimetric synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data is presented. The technique is based on multidimensional clustering of the parameters composing the polarimetric covariance matrix of the data. Clustering is performed on the logarithm of these quantities. Once the polarimetric cluster centers have been determined, segmentation of the polarimetric data into regions is performed using a maximum likelihood polarimetric classifier. Segmentation maps are further improved using a Markov random field to describe the statistics of the regions and computing the maximum of the product of the local conditional densities. Examples with real polarimetric SAR imagery are given to illustrate the potential of this method.

Rignot, Eric↗

NASA NTRS1992

Unsupervised segmentation of polarimetric SAR data using the covariance matrix

A method for unsupervised segmentation of polarimetric synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data into classes of homogeneous microwave polarimetric backscatter characteristics is presented. Classes of polarimetric backscatter are selected on the basis of a multidimensional fuzzy clustering of the logarithm of the parameters composing the polarimetric covariance matrix. The clustering procedure uses both polarimetric amplitude and phase information, is adapted to the presence of image speckle, and does not require an arbitrary weighting of the different polarimetric channels; it also provides a partitioning of each data sample used for clustering into multiple clusters. Given the classes of polarimetric backscatter, the entire image is classified using a maximum a posteriori polarimetric classifier. Four-look polarimetric SAR complex data of lava flows and of sea ice acquired by the NASA/JPL airborne polarimetric radar (AIRSAR) are segmented using this technique. The results are discussed and compared with those obtained using supervised techniques.

Rignot, Eric J. M.↗

NASA NTRS2002

Sensitivity of Lower Stratospheric Assimilated Ozone on Error Covariance Modeling and Data Selection

Assimilated ozone is produced at the NASA/Goddard Data Assimilation Office by blending ozone retrieved from the Solar Backscatter UltraViolet/2 (SBUV/2) instrument and the Earth Probe Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (EP TOMS) measurements into an off-line transport model. The current system tends to overestimate the amount of lower stratospheric ozone. This is a region where ozone plays a key role in the forcing of climate. A biased ozone field in this region will adversely impact calculations of the stratosphere-troposphere exchange and, when used as a first guess in retrievals, the values determined from satellite observations. Since these are all important applications of assimilated ozone products, effort is being directed towards reducing this bias. The SBUV ozone data have a coarse vertical resolution with increased uncertainty below the ozone maximum, and TOMS provides only total ozone columns. Thus, the assimilated ozone in the lower stratosphere, and its vertical distribution in particular, are only weakly constrained by the incoming SBUV and TOMS data. Consequently, the assimilated ozone distribution should be sensitive to changes in inputs to the statistical analysis scheme. Accordingly, the sensitivity of the assimilated lower stratospheric ozone fields to changes in the TOMS error-covariance modeling and the SBUV data selection has been investigated. The use of a spatially correlated TOMS error covariance model led to improvements in the product. However, withholding the SBUV/2 data for the layer between 63 and 126 hPa typically degraded the product, a result which vindicates the use of this layer ozone product, despite its known errors. These efforts to improve the lower stratospheric distribution will be extended to include a more advanced forecast error covariance model, and by assimilating ozone products from new instruments on Envisat and EOS Aura.

Stajner, Ivanka↗

DOE OSTI2024

Assessing Spatial Representativeness of Global Flux Tower Eddy-Covariance Measurements Using Data from FLUXNET2015

Large datasets of carbon dioxide, energy, and water fluxes were measured with the eddy-covariance (EC) technique, such as FLUXNET2015. These datasets are widely used to validate remote-sensing products and benchmark models. One of the major challenges in utilizing EC-flux data is determining the spatial extent to which measurements taken at individual EC towers reflect model-grid or remote sensing pixels. To minimize the potential biases caused by the footprint-to-target area mismatch, it is important to use flux datasets with awareness of the footprint. This study analyze the spatial representativeness of global EC measurements based on the open-source FLUXNET2015 data, using the published flux footprint model (SAFE-f). The calculated annual cumulative footprint climatology (ACFC) was overlaid on land cover and vegetation index maps to create a spatial representativeness dataset of global flux towers. The dataset includes the following components: (1) the ACFC contour (ACFCC) data and areas representing 50%, 60%, 70%, and 80% ACFCC of each site, (2) the proportion of each land cover type weighted by the 80% ACFC (ACFCW), (3) the semivariogram calculated using Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) considering the 80% ACFCW, and (4) the sensor location bias (SLB) between the 80% ACFCW and designated areas (e.g. 80% ACFCC and window sizes) proxied by NDVI. Finally, we conducted a comprehensive evaluation of the representativeness of each site from three aspects: (1) the underlying surface cover, (2) the semivariogram, and (3) the SLB between 80% ACFCW and 80% ACFCC, and categorized them into 3 levels. The goal of creating this dataset is to provide data quality guidance for international researchers to effectively utilize the FLUXNET2015 dataset in the future.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗