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Global teleconnections influencing large-scale drought in the United States using SVDI

Understanding recent large-scale drought patterns and the mechanisms producing extreme drought events is vital for future drought forecasts and understanding future drought risks. Increasingly, vapor pressure deficit (VPD) has been used as an important measure of evaporative demand and proxy for drought detection. In this study, VPD is used to calculate the new Standardized VPD Drought Index (SVDI) with NASA North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) data. Previous studies have shown that SVDI accurately identifies the timing and magnitude short-term droughts in the United States (U.S). In the present study, SVDI is now used to identify large-scale drought patterns between 1980 and 2021 and drought variability driven by selected global teleconnections originating in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. Spatial drought characteristics were extracted from SVDI using empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. Then a k-means clustering algorithm was applied to both EOF principal components and primary teleconnections, including the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) to identify drought events driven by the Pacific Ocean. Results show that the SVDI is useful in evaluating large-scale drought variability in the U.S. related to global teleconnections, and that mechanisms influencing summer drought patterns in the Western and Southwestern U.S. are driven by a tropical-extratropical interactions originating in the equatorial Pacific Ocean related to ENSO dynamics with interdecadal variability modulated by PDO. The large-scale droughts in the Central and Southern U.S., like those in 2011 and 2012, on the other hand, are driven by the North Pacific Ocean warm pool during a strong negative PDO, which subsequently influenced variability in the Bermuda-Azores High in the Atlantic Ocean. In summer 2011, the Bermuda-Azores High weakened, reducing the onshore winds and moisture transport along the eastern Gulf of Mexico and contributing to ongoing drought in the region. The Northern Pacific and Atlantic Ocean sea surface temperatures (SSTs) have increased between 1980 and 2021. In conclusion, as SSTs continue to rise in the Northern Pacific Ocean, one consequence of the coupled North Pacific warm pool and atmospheric dynamics, is to increase summer drought variability over a large region in the southern and midwestern U.S. under global warming.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluating ecosystem water use efficiency under drought stress: a case study of the Helan Mountain region, northwest China

Context Water use efficiency (WUE) is a fundamental ecological indicator links carbon assimilation and water loss in terrestrial ecosystems. Understanding its responses to drought stress is essential for adaptive ecosystem management, particularly in climate-sensitive mountain landscapes. Objectives This study aimed to investigate drought-driven variations in WUE across major vegetation types in the Helan Mountain region of Northwest China. Specifically, we sought to identify dominant ecological drivers of WUE variability and to disentangle their relative importance and causal pathways. Methods We quantified WUE using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) products and the Drought Severity Index (DSI) data from 2001 to 2020. To examine WUE – drought relationships across contrasting vegetation types, we employed a spatially explicit analytical framework integrating Random Forest (RF) modeling, partial correlation analysis, and structural equation modeling (SEM). Results Regional WUE exhibited relatively stable interannual dynamics, yet pronounced spatial heterogeneity that was strongly modulated by drought conditions. Vegetation properties, particularly Leaf Area Index (LAI) and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), emerged as the dominant determinants of WUE, with NDVI alone explaining over 20% of its spatial variance in forest and grassland during non-drought periods. SEM analyses revealed that climate forcing influenced WUE mainly through indirect pathways mediated by soil moisture availability and vegetation structural dynamics, rather than through direct climatic controls. Among all regulating factors, LAI acted as the central control node governing ecosystem carbon–water coupling. In contrast, short-term climatic stress, especially atmospheric demand and drought duration, exerted weak or negative direct effects on WUE. Ecosystem-specific responses were observed, with croplands mainly regulated by soil water availability, whereas forests and grasslands showed more sensitive to atmospheric drought stress. Together, these results reveal a hierarchical control framework where soil–vegetation interactions mediate climate impacts on WUE, driving strong spatial heterogeneity in drought responses across mountain landscapes. Conclusions Our findings highlight the pivotal role of indirect drought effects mediated by vegetation and soil processes in shaping ecosystem WUE. The identified soil–vegetation–climate regulatory hierarchy provides mechanistic insight into landscape–scale drought sensitivity and supports integrated modeling approaches for evaluating ecosystem resilience and sustainable management in arid mountain regions.

China↗

Metal concentration and leaf spatial distribution assessed by synchrotron µXRF in Brazilian nickel hyperaccumulators

Background and Aims: The limited number of known hyperaccumulator species in tropical regions, including Brazil, has hampered the development of nickel (Ni) agromining. In addition, the mechanisms underlying metal accumulation and distribution in these species remain poorly understood, despite their pivotal role in identifying species with economic potential. Furthermore, this study assessed the accumulation potential and foliar spatial distribution of metals in three Brazilian hyperaccumulator species (Pfaffia sarcophylla, Justicia lanstyakii, and Lippia lupulina) growing in one of the world’s largest mafic–ultramafic complexes. Methods Concentrations of Ni and other metals in leaves were determined using portable X-ray fluorescence (pXRF) and inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectroscopy (ICP-OES). Synchrotron-based X-ray microfluorescence (SR-µXRF) was employed to map the spatial distribution of metals across intact leaves. Results: The results revealed leaf Ni concentrations ranging from 320 to 1,950 mg kg⁻ 1 in P. sarcophylla, 1,640 to 6,810 mg kg⁻ 1 in L. lupulina, and 1,990 to 4,900 mg kg⁻ 1 in J. lanstyakii. Nickel, Mn, and Co exhibited similar distribution patterns, concentrating mainly in the leaf margins and veins across all species, while Ca, K, and Mg co-localization suggests regulatory mechanisms for adaptation. Conclusion: Although these plants exhibited Ni hyperaccumulation, our findings suggest limited commercial potential for agromining. Further research on genetic variability and nutrient assimilation, particularly in P. sarcophylla, is recommended to elucidate the mechanisms underlying Ni accumulation and intraspecific variability.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Chlamydomonas cells transition through distinct Fe nutrition stages within 48 h of transfer to Fe-free medium

Low iron (Fe) bioavailability can limit the biosynthesis of Fe-containing proteins, which are especially abundant in photosynthetic organisms, thus negatively affecting global primary productivity. Understanding cellular coping mechanisms under Fe limitation is therefore of great interest. For this paper, we surveyed the temporal responses of Chlamydomonas ( Chlamydomonas reinhardtii ) cells transitioning from an Fe-rich to an Fe-free medium to document their short and long-term adjustments. While slower growth, chlorosis and lower photosynthetic parameters are evident only after one or more days in Fe-free medium, the abundance of some transcripts, such as those for genes encoding transporters and enzymes involved in Fe assimilation, change within minutes, before changes in intracellular Fe content are noticeable, suggestive of a sensitive mechanism for sensing Fe. Promoter reporter constructs indicate a transcriptional component to this immediate primary response. With acetate provided as a source of reduced carbon, transcripts encoding respiratory components are maintained relative to transcripts encoding components of photosynthesis and tetrapyrrole biosynthesis, indicating metabolic prioritization of respiration over photosynthesis. In contrast to the loss of chlorophyll, carotenoid content is maintained under Fe limitation despite a decrease in the transcripts for carotenoid biosynthesis genes, indicating carotenoid stability. These changes occur more slowly, only after the intracellular Fe quota responds, indicating a phased response in Chlamydomonas, involving both primary and secondary responses during acclimation to poor Fe nutrition.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Refining water and carbon fluxes modeling in terrestrial ecosystems via plant hydraulics integration

Plant hydraulics substantially affects terrestrial water and carbon cycles by modulating water transport and carbon assimilation. Despite improved drought simulations in certain ecosystems through their integration into land surface models (LSMs), the broader application of plant hydraulics in diverse ecosystems and hydroclimates is still underexplored. Here, in this study, we implemented the recently developed Noah-Multiparameterization Land Surface Model (Noah-MP LSM) equipped with a plant hydraulics scheme (Noah-MP-PHS) across 40 FLUXNET sites globally. Employing the Shuffled Complex Evolution-University of Arizona (SCE-UA) auto-calibration algorithm, we optimized key plant hydraulics parameters for these sites spanning eight vegetation types in both arid and humid climates. Noah-MP-PHS significantly improves the simulation of evapotranspiration (ET) and gross primary production (GPP) by better representing atmospheric and soil water stress compared to traditional soil hydraulic schemes (SHSs, such as Noah and CLM). The augmented Noah-MP-PHS models reduce surface flux overestimation and underestimation, exhibiting an average increase of 0.14 and 0.15 in Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) compared to Noah and CLM, respectively. The explicit consideration of plant capacitance in PHS reveals substantial deep-layer and nocturnal root water uptake especially under dry conditions. We employed eXplainable Machine learning (XML) to quantify the model’s relative sensitivity to newly introduced leaf-, stem and root-related parameters in PHS. The sensitivity analysis reveals a rise in root parameter importance and a decline in leaf and stem parameters as conditions shift from humid to arid. These findings indicate that as aridity states vary, the most influential parameters affecting surface fluxes variation may change in parameter calibration for PHS applications. Our findings underscore the importance of incorporating plant hydraulics into LSMs to enhance simulations of terrestrial water and carbon dynamics. These findings are crucial for understanding ecosystem responses to global climate changes and guide the broader application of PHS at larger scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluating ecosystem water use efficiency and recovery dynamics during flash droughts: insights from observations and model simulations

Flash droughts (FD), rapidly emerging in a warming future, disrupt ecosystems, agriculture, and water security. Ecosystem water use efficiency (WUE), the ratio of gross primary production (GPP) to actual evapotranspiration (AET), balances carbon assimilation and water loss. FD rapidly disrupts this balance, making WUE critical for assessing plant stress and recovery. Here, this study investigates the dynamics of landscape-scale WUE, and the components of GPP and AET under FD utilizing both observed data from the Missouri Ozark AmeriFlux site (US-MOz) and version 2 of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Earth, Energy, Exascale System Model (E3SM) Land Model (ELMv2). Observations and simulations reveal GPP as dominant for WUE during earlier FD events (2005, 2007, 2012), shifting to AET in recent events (2014, 2018). This agreement indicates that the ELM can capture the shifting dynamics of GPP and AET in regulating WUE under FD conditions. However, the ELM systematically underestimates both GPP and AET and does so in a manner that does not preserve their ratio. As a result, WUE is also underestimated, suggesting that GPP is more strongly underestimated than AET. Furthermore, the ELM also underestimates the speed of GPP recovery, producing an artificially prolonged GPP recovery time following FD events. Observed environmental drivers such as vapor pressure deficit (VPD), soil moisture (SM), and predawn leaf water potential (PLWP) effectively predict WUE, but ELM primarily highlights SM, underestimating VPD’s role. This study demonstrates that relying solely on soil moisture fails to capture the rapid hydraulic recovery observed in PLWP, underscoring the necessity of integrating plant hydraulics into land surface models to improve flash drought predictability.

Evapotranspiration↗

Description of a novel extremophile green algae, Chlamydomonas pacifica , and its potential as a biotechnology host

We present the comprehensive characterization of a newly identified microalga, Chlamydomonas pacifica , originally isolated from a soil sample in San Diego, CA, USA. This species showcases remarkable biological versatility, including a broad pH range tolerance (6–11.5), high thermal tolerance (up to 42 °C), and salinity resilience (up to 2 % NaCl). Its amenability to genetic manipulation and sexual reproduction via mating, particularly between the two opposing strains CC-5697 & CC-5699, now publicly available through the Chlamydomonas Resource Center, underscores its potential as a biotechnological chassis. The biological assessment of C. pacifica revealed versatile metabolic capabilities, including diverse nitrogen assimilation capability, motility and phototaxis. Genomic and transcriptomic analyses identified 17,829 genes within a 121 Mb genome, featuring a GC content of 61 %. The codon usage of C. pacifica closely mirrors that of C. reinhardtii , indicating a conserved genetic architecture that supports a trend in codon preference with minor variations. Phylogenetic analyses position C. pacifica within the core-Reinhardtinia clade yet distinct from known Volvocales species. The lipidomic data revealed an abundance of triacylglycerols (TAGs), promising for biofuel applications and lipids for health-related benefits. Our investigation lays the groundwork for exploiting C. pacifica in biotechnological applications, from biofuel generation to synthesizing biodegradable plastics, positioning it as a versatile host for future bioengineering endeavors.

Alkali tolerant↗

Comparing the interactions between particulate matter and cloud properties over two populated cities in Texas using WRF-Chem fine-resolution modeling

Accurate modeling of aerosol-cloud interactions is essential for reliable weather and air quality simulations, given their significant impact on precipitation patterns, cloud dynamics, and aerosol distributions. This study employed the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) to examine the impact of enhanced meteorological simulations, achieved through advanced microphysics parameterization supported by data assimilation techniques, on air quality across Texas on August 19 and 20, 2022. We tested four distinct configurations: (1) the Morrison two-moment bulk microphysics scheme, (2) Morrison's with observation nudging, (3) the Spectral Bin Microphysics (SBM), and (4) SBM with observation nudging. While the SBM scheme is known for its detailed representation of aerosol-cloud interactions, our focus was on how improvements in meteorological accuracy translate to more precise air quality simulations. Our findings demonstrated a progressive improvement in simulation accuracy, starting with the Morrison's scheme and further enhanced by adopting the SBM scheme, complemented by incorporating observation nudging. Specifically, the combination of the SBM scheme and the nudging substantially enhanced the model's ability to capture convective precipitation events, as shown by better alignment with NEXRAD radar reflectivity, with R increasing from –0.21 to 0.82, IOA from 0.10 to 0.87, and NMB decreasing from 99% to 34% in Houston. The enhanced meteorology translated into more accurate PM 2.5 concentration simulations, particularly through the more accurate representation of aerosol washout during precipitation events. In Houston, the SBM scheme with nudging improved the model's PM 2.5 simulations significantly, with NMB decreasing from –20% to 5% and IOA improving from 0.43 to 0.61. In San Antonio, improvements were also notable, with NMB improved from –27% to –22%, R increased from 0.48 to 0.82, and IOA increased from 0.66 to 0.86. Furthermore, our results underscore the crucial role of accurate meteorological simulations in refining our understanding of aerosol behaviors in relation to precipitation patterns, directly enhancing the reliability and effectiveness of air quality modeling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantitative assessment of methane bioconversion based on kinetics and bioenergetics

The biological conversion of methane under ambient conditions can be performed by methanotrophs that utilize methane as both a sole source of energy and a carbon source. However, compared to the established microbial chassis used for general fermentation with sugar as a feedstock, the productivity of methanotrophs is low. The fundamental knowledge of their metabolic or cellular bottlenecks is limited. In this review, the industrial-scale potential of methane bioconversion was evaluated. In particular, the enzyme kinetics associated with the oxidation and assimilation of methane were investigated to evaluate the potential of methane fermentation. Furthermore, the kinetics of enzymes involved in methane metabolism were compared with those used in the metabolic processes of traditional fermentation (glycolysis). Through this analysis, the current limitations of methane metabolism were identified. Methods for increasing the efficiency of methane bioconversion and directions for the industrial application of methane-based fermentation were discussed.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Microbial valorization of lignin to malic acid by Aspergillus niger

Lignin is the largest renewable source of aromatic carbon, yet its heterogeneity and recalcitrance limit its use in higher-value bioconversion processes. In this study, Aspergillus niger was engineered to enable the bioconversion of lignin-derived aromatics and base-catalyzed depolymerized (BCD) lignin streams into malic acid, a value-added C4 dicarboxylic acid with broad industrial relevance. Overexpression of the C4 dicarboxylate transporter C4T318 from Aspergillus oryzae enhanced malic acid secretion, while medium optimization under buffered conditions further improved the production. The engineered strain efficiently assimilated representative lignin-derived aromatics, including 4-hydroxybenzoic acid and p-coumaric acid, producing up to 3.9 g/L malic acid. Conversion of BCD lignin liquors from poplar and sorghum demonstrated effective utilization of heterogeneous aromatic mixtures, generating up to 0.82 g/L malic acid. This work demonstrates direct fungal conversion of real lignin streams into malic acid and establishes A. niger as a promising platform for sustainable lignin valorization.

Aromatic bioconversion↗

Host analysis-guided selection and targeted engineering (HASTE) of Lipomyces tetrasporus for the conversion of CO2-derived feedstocks

Efficient and cost-competitive bioproduction calls for utilizing CO2-derived feedstocks, such as products from electro-reduction of CO2 and hydrolysate from lignocellulosic biomass. However, efficiently using all their carbon components, including acetate, glucose, and xylose, remains a challenge. Here, we characterize Lipomyces tetrasporus, a novel, robust yeast strain capable of effectively assimilating these carbon sources. We used an integrated systems biology approach combining ¹³C metabolic flux analysis, dynamic labeling experiments, and RNA sequencing. We conducted the first metabolic flux analysis for glucose, xylose, and acetate catabolism in this species. Dynamic labeling revealed a highly active TCA cycle during acetate metabolism, evidenced by rapid citrate and malate accumulation. The strain demonstrated strong NADH/NADPH production and acetyl-CoA synthase activity. Using insights and gene targets from this analysis, we engineered L. tetrasporus for malate production. The engineered strain produced 7.5 g/L malic acid (0.25 g/g yield) in shake flasks with glucose-acetate media and 28.8 g/L malic acid at a yield of 0.20 g/g in fed-batch mode with corn-stover hydrolysate. Together, these insights and rational strain engineering establish L. tetrasporus as a versatile, Crabtree-negative platform that is an energy-CO2-bioproduction nexus for channeling CO2 carbon into value-added bioproducts.

Xiao, Zhengyang↗

Acetate-based biological platforms: Bridging carbon dioxide utilization and high-value bioproduct production in oleaginous yeasts

Acetate is emerging as a promising two-carbon substrate in the circular bioeconomy, bridging the gap between single-carbon sources and high-value biofuels and bioproducts. This review examines the key pathways for acetate production, including the electrochemical reduction of carbon dioxide, syngas fermentation, and biological acetogenesis. It focuses on acetate metabolism in oleaginous yeasts, such as Yarrowia lipolytica and Rhodotorula toruloides, which efficiently convert acetate-derived acetyl-CoA units into diverse bioproducts such as lipids, fatty alcohols, triacetic acid lactone, and carotenoids. Recent advances in metabolic engineering, transcriptomics, and metabolic flux analysis have improved the understanding of acetate assimilation in these organisms, thereby increasing their potential for industrial applications. In addition, the feasibility of a biological gas-to-liquid platform that utilizes acetate as a central intermediate for scalable biomanufacturing is discussed. Integrating acetate utilization with sustainable production strategies offers a promising path to advance the bio-based economy. Using acetate as a versatile metabolic intermediate enables the conversion of industrial emissions into biofuels and bioproducts while avoiding the energetic and toxicity constraints associated with direct fermentation of gaseous substrates.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Personalized and uncertainty-aware coronary hemodynamics simulations: From Bayesian estimation to improved multi-fidelity uncertainty quantification

Non-invasive simulations of coronary hemodynamics have improved clinical risk stratification and treatment outcomes for coronary artery disease, compared to relying on anatomical imaging alone. However, simulations typically use empirical approaches to distribute total coronary flow amongst the arteries in the coronary tree, which ignores patient variability, the presence of disease, and other clinical factors. Further, uncertainty in the clinical data often remains unaccounted for in the modeling pipeline. We present an end-to-end uncertainty-aware pipeline to (1) personalize coronary flow simulations by incorporating vessel-specific coronary flows as well as cardiac function; and (2) predict clinical and biomechanical quantities of interest with improved precision, while accounting for uncertainty in the clinical data. We assimilate patient-specific measurements of myocardial blood flow from clinical CT myocardial perfusion imaging to estimate branch-specific coronary artery flows. Simulated noise in the clinical data is used to estimate the joint posterior distributions of the model parameters using adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. Additionally, the posterior predictive distribution for the relevant quantities of interest is determined using a new approach combining multi-fidelity Monte Carlo estimation with non-linear, data-driven dimensionality reduction. This leads to improved correlations between high- and low-fidelity model outputs. Our framework accurately recapitulates clinically measured cardiac function as well as branch-specific coronary flows under measurement noise uncertainty. We observe substantial reductions in confidence intervals for estimated quantities of interest compared to single-fidelity Monte Carlo estimation and state-of-the-art multi-fidelity Monte Carlo methods. This holds especially true for quantities of interest that showed limited correlation between the low- and high-fidelity model predictions. In addition, the proposed multi-fidelity Monte Carlo estimators are significantly cheaper to compute than traditional estimators, under a specified confidence level or variance. The proposed pipeline for personalized and uncertainty-aware predictions of coronary hemodynamics is based on routine clinical measurements and recently developed techniques for CT myocardial perfusion imaging. The proposed pipeline offers significant improvements in precision and reduction in computational cost.

Bayesian parameter estimation↗

Optimizing Cupriavidus necator H16 as a host for aerobic C1 conversion

Biological systems capable of converting CO 2 or CO 2 -derived, single-carbon (C1) compounds can be used to reduce or reverse carbon emissions while establishing a circular bioeconomy to provide sustainable sources of the fuels, foods, and materials humanity relies on. A robust bioeconomy will rely upon a variety of microorganisms capable of assimilating C1 compounds and converting them to valuable products at industrial scale. While anaerobic microbes are ideal hosts for production of short-chain acids and alcohols, microbes capable of aerobic respiration are well suited for biosynthesis of higher molecular weight products. One such organism is the gram-negative soil bacterium Cupriavidus necator, which has been utilized in commercial production of biopolymers for decades. More recently, its capability of robust, aerobic growth on CO 2 has inspired research efforts that have advanced it toward becoming one of the leading bacterial hosts for C1-based biomanufacturing. This review highlights those efforts in the context of the characteristics that have historically made C. necator an excellent host for industrial bioconversion processes: its metabolic versatility, ability to grow rapidly to high cell densities, and genetic amenability.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Linking groundwater variability to ecosystem carbon and water use efficiencies across India

Carbon use efficiency (CUE) and water use efficiency (WUE) are important indicators of ecosystem health, reflecting the balance between carbon uptake and allocation, and the relationship between carbon assimilation and water loss. Although India shows large spatiotemporal variation in water table depth (WTD), and increasing groundwater stress, the influence of WTD on ecosystem functioning remains underexplored. This study uses satellite-based, modeled, and in-situ datasets to (1) quantify variations in CUE and WUE under shallow (SWTD) and deep (DWTD) WTD conditions across six homogeneous meteorological regions (HMRs), (2) evaluate temporal roles of gross primary productivity (GPP), net primary productivity (NPP), and evapotranspiration (ET) in driving these efficiencies, and (3) examine temporal responses to WTD shifts. SWTD regions generally showed 12 to 18 % higher GPP, 10 to 15 % higher NPP, and 10 to 20 % higher ET than DWTD zones, especially in semi-arid croplands and forests, leading to 8 to 12 % higher CUE and WUE. However, in humid and heavily irrigated regions such as northeastern and hilly India, CUE was up to 10 % higher in DWTD zones, possibly due to reduced respiration and better soil aeration compared to SWTD areas affected by waterlogging. During the Kharif (wet) season, DWTD croplands in humid zones had higher efficiencies, while in the Rabi (dry) season, SWTD croplands in northern India benefited from irrigation and cooler temperatures. These results highlight strong influence of WTD on carbon and water use processes and support the need for region-specific groundwater strategies.

Carbon use efficiency↗

Wastewater hydrogen nexus (WwHeN): Greening the wastewater industry via integration with the hydrogen economy

As industries rally toward achieving net zero emissions, hydrogen and hydrogen-based fuels are emerging as key players in decarbonization efforts. Although the primary technology for producing renewable natural gas has been well implemented in the wastewater industry, the “decarbonization based goal setting” is trailing. This perspective assimilates existing literature presented in other contexts to highlight the need for framing the decarbonization dialog by using green hydrogen as a potential pathway for the wastewater industry. Specifically, we note the importance of (a) developing the decarbonization or net zero focus in the wastewater industry, and (b) colocating the wastewater industry with hydrogen production facilities. Finally, we also delve into technological, cost, and operational considerations to understand the readiness level of key stakeholders to identify future research and development opportunities for the wastewater hydrogen nexus.

08 HYDROGEN↗

A hybrid CNN-LSTM surrogate model for hyper-resolution spatiotemporal flood forecasting in Norfolk, Virginia

Study region: Norfolk, Virginia, United States Study focus: Accurate and timely flood forecasting is essential for enhancing resilience in coastal urban areas in the context of increasing frequency and intensity of rainfall, sea level rise and urbanization. This study presents a hybrid deep learning-based surrogate model that integrates Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to enable real-time spatiotemporal flood forecasting. The model leverages CNN to capture spatial features from inputs such as elevation and Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), while LSTM processes time-series inputs of rainfall and tide data to capture temporal features. New hydrologic insights for the region: The hybrid CNN-LSTM model was trained using the physics-based hydrodynamic model simulations obtained from the Two-dimensional Unsteady FLOW (TUFLOW) model for Norfolk, Virginia, and achieved high predictive accuracy across diverse flood-prone areas. The reduced computational time from four to six hours using TUFLOW to 3.2 min per event using CNN-LSTM enables rapid flood inundation mapping and early warning applications. The model effectively captured both spatial flood extents and their temporal evolution across different flooding scenarios, providing forecasts at a 2.5-m spatial resolution and 15-min temporal resolution and a one-hour-ahead prediction horizon. While challenges remain in terms of transferability to new regions and real-time data assimilation, this approach demonstrates strong potential for supporting operational flood risk management in coastal urban environments.

Coastal urban flooding↗

Functional diversification within the heme-binding split-barrel family

Due to neofunctionalization, a single fold can be identified in multiple proteins that have distinct molecular functions. Depending on the time that has passed since gene duplication and the number of mutations, the sequence similarity between functionally divergent proteins can be relatively high, eroding the value of sequence similarity as the sole tool for accurately annotating the function of uncharacterized homologs. Here, we combine bioinformatic approaches with targeted experimentation to reveal a large multifunctional family of putative enzymatic and nonenzymatic proteins involved in heme metabolism. This family (homolog of HugZ (HOZ)) is embedded in the “FMN-binding split barrel” superfamily and contains separate groups of proteins from prokaryotes, plants, and algae, which bind heme and either catalyze its degradation or function as nonenzymatic heme sensors. In prokaryotes these proteins are often involved in iron assimilation, whereas several plant and algal homologs are predicted to degrade heme in the plastid or regulate heme biosynthesis. In the plant Arabidopsis thaliana, which contains two HOZ subfamilies that can degrade heme in vitro (HOZ1 and HOZ2), disruption of AtHOZ1 (AT3G03890) or AtHOZ2A (AT1G51560) causes developmental delays, pointing to important biological roles in the plastid. In the tree Populus trichocarpa, a recent duplication event of a HOZ1 ancestor has resulted in localization of a paralog to the cytosol. Structural characterization of this cytosolic paralog and comparison to published homologous structures suggests conservation of heme-binding sites. This study unifies our understanding of the sequence-structure-function relationships within this multilineage family of heme-binding proteins and presents new molecular players in plant and bacterial heme metabolism.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗