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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 109 records · Page 6
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Enhancing scalability and accuracy of quantum poisson solver

The Poisson equation has many applications across the broad areas of science and engineering. Most quantum algorithms for the Poisson solver presented so far either suffer from lack of accuracy and/or are limited to very small sizes of the problem and thus have no practical usage. In this regard, our previous work showed a proof-of-concept demonstration in advancing quantum Poisson solver algorithm and validated preliminary results for a simple case of 3 x 3 problem. In this work, we delve into comprehensive research details, presenting the results on up to 15 x 15 problems that include step-by-step improvements in Poisson equation solutions, scaling performance, and experimental exploration. In particular, we demonstrate the implementation of eigenvalue amplification by a factor of up to 2 8 , achieving a significant improvement in the accuracy of our quantum Poisson solver and comparing that to the exact solution. Additionally, we present success probability results, highlighting the reliability of our quantum Poisson solver. Moreover, we explore the scaling performance of our algorithm against the circuit depth and width, demonstrating how our approach scales with larger problem sizes and thus further solidifies the practicality of easy adaptation of this algorithm in real-world applications. We also discuss a multilevel strategy for how this algorithm might be further improved to explore much larger problems with greater performance. Finally, through our experiments on the IBM quantum hardware, we conclude that though overall results on the existing NISQ hardware are dominated by the error in the CNOT gates, this work opens a path to realizing a multidimensional Poisson solver on near-term quantum hardware.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermo-hydraulic steam pipe models for district heating simulations: Simplifications to balance accuracy and simulation speed

Steam piping networks are essential for optimizing performance in industrial processes and district heating systems. However, dynamic models that balance thermo-hydraulic accuracy with computational efficiency remain limited. In response, this paper presents a new discretized steam pipe model based on the plug flow approach, capturing key thermo-hydraulic behaviors while simplifying steam phase change processes. Implemented in Modelica, the model accurately calculates temperature and pressure distributions along steam pipelines. To improve computational efficiency for district-scale simulations, five model simplifications are introduced: lumped thermo-hydraulic functions, empirical correlations, fluid state approximations, steady-state dynamics and inclusion of flow derivatives. These simplified models achieve 85%-98% accuracy in predicting pressure drop and condensation losses, including dynamic condensate behavior during pipe warm-up—a factor often overlooked in existing models. The models support diverse network configurations, scaling effectively to systems with multiple distribution pipes and connected building loads. Discrete models provide detailed insights but exhibit a cubic increase in simulation time as the network scales by N connected building O(N 2.42 ). In contrast, lumped models simulate 10–28 times faster than discrete, offering quadratic scaling of simulation time O(N 1.73 ). However, they still require 6 times more computation time than a lossless network, highlighting the inherent computational challenges of modeling compressible fluid flow. In conclusion, the steady-state lumped variant, with its near-linear scalability in computational time O(N 1.01 ), emerges as an efficient solution for preliminary design evaluations and extensive parametric studies.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

A new procedure for implementing the modified inherent strain method with improved accuracy in predicting both residual stress and deformation for laser powder bed fusion

As a metal additive manufacturing (AM) process, laser powder bed fusion (L-PBF) has been widely used to produce parts with complex geometries. The large thermal gradient caused by the fast, intense, and repeated laser scanning induces significant residual deformation and stress to the as-built parts, which increase manufacturing difficulty and geometrical inaccuracy as a result. The modified inherent strain (MIS) method exploiting multiscale process simulations was developed to simulate residual deformation accurately and efficiently. However, the existing procedure of implementing the MIS method is found to give inaccurate residual stress prediction. Here in this work, a new implementation procedure for the MIS method is proposed to improve the simulation accuracy of residual stress without degrading the residual deformation prediction. The new procedure concerns the application of inherent strains to the part-scale layer-by-layer finite element model to obtain residual stress and deformation field. While the existing implementation of the part-scale MIS model involves only mechanical properties at ambient temperature, the new procedure adds one more solution step employing mechanical properties at an elevated temperature determined from the inherent strain extraction step. Both numerical and experimental studies are conducted to validate the proposed new implementation procedure. It shows that by using the new procedure, the MIS-based simulation can predict both residual stress and deformation of as-built L-PBF metal parts with good accuracy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Enhancing predictive understanding and accuracy in geological carbon dioxide storage monitoring: Simulation and history matching of tracer transport dynamics

Co-injection of conservative tracers with carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) is a viable tool for monitoring subsurface processes during geological CO 2 storage (GCS). This research investigates the simulation and history-matching of a gas tracer (sulfur hexafluoride, SF 6 ) during CO 2 flooding, employing a core flooding result in Berea sandstone. Four extensively used saturation functions are assessed for their efficacy in history matching of CO 2 /SF 6 injection at the core scale. The history-matching process incorporates particle swarm optimization (PSO) to fine-tune constitutive relationships parameters. Next, employing transport models at the aquifer scale, we interrogate the impact on tracer transport and mixing of saturation function uncertainties, arising from the non-uniqueness of constitutive relationships parameters and saturation function types. To assess the effects of geological heterogeneity on behavior of tracer breakthrough curves (BTCs), we employ two normalized parameters assessing the degree of mixing and SF 6 breakthrough time. The aquifer-scale investigation encompasses both homogeneous and heterogeneous systems with and without capillary heterogeneity effects. Our findings underscore the critical importance of addressing saturation function uncertainties, emphasizing the significance of auxiliary experiments and innovative methodologies to enhance predictive accuracy. The findings highlight significant disparities in arrival times, BTC peaks, tails, and mixing levels, even under optimal conditions. Heterogeneity, with or without capillary heterogeneity, plays a crucial role in shaping BTC variations, resulting in accelerated SF 6 breakthrough times and reduced BTC peaks. Evaluation of monitoring points distant from the injector reveals a dampening effect on the SF6 BTC peak, particularly in heterogeneous systems with capillary heterogeneity, where the peak is halved. These insights underscore the challenges associated with tracer monitoring and the necessity for enhanced methodologies to improve predictive accuracy in subsurface processes during GCS.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Directional finite difference method for directly solving 3D gyrokinetic field equations with enhanced accuracy

The gyrokinetic (GK) field equation is a three-dimensional (3D) elliptic equation, but it is often simplified to a set of two-dimensional (2D) equations by assuming that the field does not vary along a specific direction. However, this simplification can introduce inevitable 0th-order numerical errors, as nonlinear mode coupling in toroidal geometry can produce undesirable harmonic modes that violate the assumption. In this work, we propose a novel directional finite difference method (FDM) with a local coordinate transformation to better resolve the target field of interest. The directional FDM can accurately solve 3D GK field equations without simplifications, which can overcome the limitations of conventional methods. The accuracy and efficiency of different FDMs are analyzed in great detail for a variety of geometries, from simple 2D Cartesian coordinates to realistic 3D curvilinear coordinates. The 0th-order numerical errors of simplified 2D GK equations were found to be more problematic for low-harmonic modes and low aspect ratio geometries such as spherical tokamaks. On the other hand, the directional 3D FDM can accurately resolve a much wider range of harmonic modes aligned to the direction of interest, including the low-harmonic modes. In conclusion, we demonstrate that the directional 3D FDM is a highly effective algorithm for solving the 3D GK field equations, achieving accuracy improvements of 10 to 100 times or more, particularly for low-harmonic modes in spherical tokamaks.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Accuracy of hourly energy predictions for demand flexibility applications

Decarbonization goals in the United States electricity sector are increasing the levels of renewable energy generation in the electricity supply system, and are driving increased attention to building electrification, which will increase the magnitude and shift the timing of the electricity system peak. These changes are motivating new approaches to coordinate building electricity demand with low-carbon renewable generation, elevating the importance of demand flexibility (DF) in buildings and the need to quantify the temporal impacts of DF. In this paper, we first characterize the hourly predictive accuracy of six commonly used baseline models in an application context of quantifying building-level load shift. Our analysis revealed insights such as hours of the day (afternoons), periods of the week (weekends), and seasons (summer) that were predicted with more accuracy than other time periods. In addition, the analysis showed tendencies toward overprediction or underprediction of load. Secondly, we provide the first published investigation of baseline erosion from repeated dispatch of building load shifting. We observed that as the baseline period is pushed back further from the prediction day, the distribution of errors across baseline model predictions increases, with notable inflection points near the three-week erosion point for two of the three models.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

Accuracy and precision of ESI-Orbitrap-IRMS observations of hours to tens of hours via reservoir injection

Here, orbitrap isotope ratio mass spectrometry (Orbitrap-IRMS) has recently been applied to high-precision, natural-abundance isotope ratio measurements of a diverse range of compounds, including amino acids, oxyanions, fatty acids, and metals. These measurements can characterize many isotope ratios simultaneously at high (≈1.0‰) precision. In a successful experiment, observed precision will track the shot-noise limit and be limited by experimental time. Some isotope ratios, for example those involving 17 O in organic compounds or multiply-substituted (‘clumped’) isotopologues, require experimental times of hours to tens of hours to achieve desired precision, while current sample introduction techniques focus on observations on the order of seconds to tens of minutes. In this study, we characterize Orbitrap-IRMS performance for three long duration measurements (individual acquisitions ≥1 h and as long as 24 h) using an automated reservoir injection system coupled to a Q Exactive HF Orbitrap with an electrospray ionization (ESI) source. First, we characterize long-term intra-measurement stability through a 24-h long measurement of acetone. We report the following isotope ratios and precisions (as acquisition errors, errors on the observed ratio within this measurement (σ AE )): 13 C/ 12 C (σ AE = 0.07‰), 17 O/ 16 O (σ AE = 1.1‰), 18 O/ 16 O (σ AE = 0.3‰), and 13 C 13 C/ 12 C (σ AE = 0.65‰). The σ AE of each tracks the shot noise limit throughout and is limited by the challenging conditions (high resolution and low numbers of ions per scan) required for 17 O/ 16 O measurement in the presence of 13 C via Orbitrap. Second, we characterize inter-measurement stability via a sequence of seven 75-min analyses of perchlorate. We observe the following ratios and acquisition errors: 37 Cl/ 35 Cl (σ AE = 0.09‰); 17 O/ 16 O (σ AE = 1.6‰); 18 O/ 16 O (σ AE = 0.7‰), 37 Cl 17 O/ 35 Cl 16 O (σ AE = 2.7‰), and 37 Cl 18 O/ 35 Cl 16 O (σ AE = 1.2‰). However, we find that inter-measurement drift between acquisitions limits our accuracy and precision for standardized measurements (i.e., error on reported δ values) to ≈1‰ for the 37 Cl/ 35 Cl measurement. Hence, the benefits of low σ AE may not be fully realized. Third, we demonstrate accuracy via sample/standard comparisons of a methionine sample with 13 C enrichment of ≈20‰ relative to a known standard. Using a sequence of seven 60-min analyses, we recover the following isotope ratios and standardized precisions (i.e., error on reported δ values, denoted propagated acquisition errors, σ PAE ): 33 S/ 32 S (σ PAE = 1.0‰), 34 S/ 32 S (σ PAE = 0.7‰), 15 N/ 14 N (σ PAE = 2.1‰), 2 H/ 1 H (σ PAE = 3.2‰), 13 C/ 12 C (σ PAE = 0.4‰), 18 O/ 16 O (σ PAE = 1.6‰), & 13 C 13 C/ 12 C (σ PAE = 2.8‰) with confirmation of accurate results for the known 13 C/ 12 C and 13 C 13 C/ 12 C enrichments. Together, our results demonstrate the viability of Orbitrap-IRMS for long duration measurements of diverse sample types via an automated reservoir injection system. Inter-measurement stability remains a challenge; we expect our methods to be most applicable to extended measurements of hard-to-observe properties, such as 17 O in organics and clumped isotopologues.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

An investigation on machine learning predictive accuracy improvement and uncertainty reduction using VAE-based data augmentation

The confluence of ultrafast computers with large memory, rapid progress in Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, and the availability of large datasets place multiple engineering fields at the threshold of dramatic progress. However, a unique challenge in nuclear engineering is data scarcity because experimentation on nuclear systems is usually more expensive and time-consuming than most other disciplines. One potential way to resolve the data scarcity issue is deep generative learning, which uses certain ML models to learn the underlying distribution of existing data and generate synthetic samples that resemble the real data. In this way, one can significantly expand the dataset to train more accurate predictive ML models. In this study, our objective is to evaluate the effectiveness of data augmentation using variational autoencoder (VAE)-based deep generative models. We investigated whether the data augmentation leads to improved accuracy in the predictions of a deep neural network (DNN) model trained using the augmented data. Additionally, the DNN prediction uncertainties are quantified using Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) and conformal prediction (CP) to assess the impact on predictive uncertainty reduction. To test the proposed methodology, we used TRACE simulations of steady-state void fraction data based on the NUPEC Boiling Water Reactor Full-size Fine-mesh Bundle Test (BFBT) benchmark. Here, we found that augmenting the training dataset using VAEs has improved the DNN model’s predictive accuracy, improved the prediction confidence intervals, and reduced the prediction uncertainties.

Bayesian neural network↗
DOE OSTI2021

Comparing numerical accuracy and stability for different horizontal discretizations in MPAS-Ocean

This manuscript investigates the effectiveness of two possible horizontal discretizations for the global ocean model MPAS-Ocean, both applied to Spherical Centroidal Voronoi Tessellations (SCVTs). The first discretization is TRiSK, a C-grid, finite-volume method, that possesses many desirable mimetic properties, but has a low order accuracy. The second discretization was introduced for the first time by Peixoto (2016), and consists of modifications to the TRiSK scheme designed to achieve at least first-order accuracy in the L ∞ norm, with the loss of some of the mimetic properties. Tests on shallow-water and primitive-equation models show that the scheme due to Peixoto is indeed more accurate, but presents stability issues with respect to TRiSK. Here, TRiSK is indeed found to be often more stable in time and more robust with respect to errors in the geometric properties of the grid.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Comprehensive Assessment of the Accuracy of the Ideal Adsorbed Solution Theory for Predicting Binary Adsorption of Gas Mixtures in Porous Materials

Quantifying the adsorption of chemical mixtures in porous adsorbents is critical to developing these materials for useful separation applications. The ideal adsorbed solution theory (IAST) is the most widely applied mixing theory for predicting mixture adsorption using single-component adsorption data, but a perceived lack of experimental data has limited previous efforts to explore the accuracy of IAST in a systematic way. In this paper, we take advantage of a large collection of binary experimental data for gas adsorption that became available recently to tackle this issue. Specifically, we identify more than 400 examples in which binary adsorption data and single-component data are available in the same publication and apply IAST to all these examples. This analysis includes experimental data from 63 gas mixtures of 37 different molecular species and 174 different adsorbents. In addition to being the most systematic evaluation to date of the accuracy of IAST for gas adsorption, these data will be valuable for future efforts to test or develop mixing theories that improve upon IAST.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Comparative Assessment of Pose Prediction Accuracy in RNA–Ligand Docking

Structure-based virtual high-throughput screening is used in early-stage drug discovery. Over the years, docking protocols and scoring functions for protein–ligand complexes have evolved to improve the accuracy in the computation of binding strengths and poses. In the past decade, RNA has also emerged as a target class for new small-molecule drugs. However, most ligand docking programs have been validated and tested for proteins and not RNA. Here, we test the docking power (pose prediction accuracy) of three state-of-the-art docking protocols on 173 RNA–small molecule crystal structures. The programs are AutoDock4 (AD4) and AutoDock Vina (Vina), which were designed for protein targets, and rDock, which was designed for both protein and nucleic acid targets. AD4 performed relatively poorly. For RNA targets for which a crystal structure of a bound ligand used to limit the docking search space is available and for which the goal is to identify new molecules for the same pocket, rDock performs slightly better than Vina, with success rates of 48% and 63%, respectively. However, in the more common type of early-stage drug discovery setting, in which no structure of a ligand–target complex is known and for which a larger search space is defined, rDock performed similarly to Vina, with a low success rate of ~27%. Further, Vina was found to have bias for ligands with certain physicochemical properties, whereas rDock performs similarly for all ligand properties. Thus, for projects where no ligand–protein structure already exists, Vina and rDock are both applicable. However, the relatively poor performance of all methods relative to protein–target docking illustrates a need for further methods refinement.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Atomic Energy Accuracy of Neural Network Potentials: Harnessing Pretraining and Transfer Learning

Machine learning-based interatomic potentials (MLIPs) have transformed the prediction of potential energy surfaces (PESs), achieving accuracy comparable to ab initio calculations. However, atomic energy predictions, often assumed to lack physical meaning, remain underexplored. In this study, we demonstrate that inaccuracies in atomic energy predictions reduce the robustness and transferability of Neural Network Potentials (NNPs) and atomic energy error can be masked in total energy predictions due to error cancellation. Here, we validate this finding using challenging configurations involving deformation and failure under tensile loading. By pretraining atomic energy predictions using empirical potentials and applying transfer learning with density functional theory (DFT) data, we achieve notable improvements in the accuracy of total energy, forces, and stress predictions. Furthermore, this approach enhances the robustness and transferability of NNPs, emphasizing the importance of atomic energy predictions in developing high-quality and reliable MLIPs.

Active Learning↗
DOE OSTI2021

Recent Advances for Improving the Accuracy, Transferability, and Efficiency of Reactive Force Fields

Reactive force fields provide an affordable model for simulating chemical reactions at a fraction of the cost of quantum mechanical approaches. However, classically accounting for chemical reactivity often comes at the expense of accuracy and transferability, while computational cost is still large relative to nonreactive force fields. Here, we summarize recent efforts for improving the performance of reactive force fields in these three areas with a focus on the ReaxFF theoretical model. To improve accuracy, we describe recent reformulations of charge equilibration schemes to overcome unphysical long-range charge transfer, new ReaxFF models that account for explicit electrons, and corrections for energy conservation issues of the ReaxFF model. To enhance transferability we also highlight new advances to include explicit treatment of electrons in the ReaxFF and hybrid nonreactive/reactive simulations that make it possible to model charge transfer, redox chemistry, and large systems such as reverse micelles within the framework of a reactive force field. To address the computational cost, we review recent work in extended Lagrangian schemes and matrix preconditioners for accelerating the charge equilibration method component of ReaxFF and improvements in its software performance in LAMMPS.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Toward DMC Accuracy Across Chemical Space with Scalable Δ-QML

In the past decade, quantum diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) has been demonstrated to successfully predict the energetics and properties of a wide range of molecules and solids by numerically solving the electronic many-body Schrödinger equation. With O(N 3 ) scaling with the number of electrons N, DMC has the potential to be a reference method for larger systems that are not accessible to more traditional methods such as CCSD(T). Assessing the accuracy of DMC for smaller molecules becomes the stepping stone in making the method a reference for larger systems. We show that when coupled with quantum machine learning (QML)-based surrogate methods, the computational burden can be alleviated such that quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) shows clear potential to undergird the formation of high-quality descriptions across chemical space. We discuss three crucial approximations necessary to accomplish this: the fixed-node approximation, universal and accurate references for chemical bond dissociation energies, and scalable minimal amons-set-based QML (AQML) models. Numerical evidence presented includes converged DMC results for over 1000 small organic molecules with up to five heavy atoms used as amons and 50 medium-sized organic molecules with nine heavy atoms to validate the AQML predictions. Finally, numerical evidence collected for Δ-AQML models suggests that already modestly sized QMC training data sets of amons suffice to predict total energies with near chemical accuracy throughout chemical space.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Definitive Assessment of the Accuracy, Variationality, and Convergence of Relativistic Coupled Cluster and Density Matrix Renormalization Group in 100-Orbital Space

Accuracy, variationality, and convergence underpin the reliability of modern electronic structure methods, yet definitive benchmarks in the relativistic regime remain elusive due to the absence of numerically exact full configuration interaction (CI) references. Recent algorithmic advances in the CI framework, enabled by the small-tensor-product (STP) decomposition approach, have dramatically extended the tractable size of the configuration space, making numerically exact CI calculations feasible in large active spaces previously beyond reach. In this paper, we employ the recently developed STP-CI framework to perform large-scale numerically exact CI calculations and directly benchmark relativistic coupled cluster and density matrix renormalization group methods. Definitive benchmarking of approximate relativistic electronic structure methods is ensured through the application of the gap theorem, which provides rigorous error bounds on the CI reference and establishes a controlled standard for assessing accuracy, variationality, and convergence.

Chemical calculations↗
DOE OSTI2020

Ground State Energy Functional with Hartree–Fock Efficiency and Chemical Accuracy

We introduce the deep post Hartree–Fock (DeePHF) method, a machine learning-based scheme for constructing accurate and transferable models for the ground-state energy of electronic structure problems. DeePHF predicts the energy difference between results of highly accurate models such as the coupled cluster method and low accuracy models such as the Hartree–Fock (HF) method, using the ground-state electronic orbitals as the input. It preserves all the symmetries of the original high accuracy model. The added computational cost is less than that of the reference HF or DFT and scales linearly with respect to system size. We examine the performance of DeePHF on organic molecular systems using publicly available data sets and obtain the state-of-art performance, particularly on large data sets.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Benchmarking DFT Accuracy in Predicting O 1s Binding Energies on Metals

X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) is a powerful tool for probing the electronic structure and composition of materials, particularly metals and metal oxides of relevance to solar cells and catalysis. Density functional theory (DFT) is often used to support XPS peak assignments, but its reliability for predicting oxygen species is not well established. Here, we compile a large data set of experimental oxygen binding energies and evaluate corresponding DFT predictions. We find that as the binding energies of metal-bound atomic oxygen species increase, especially above ≈530 eV, there is a general decrease in the accuracy of DFTpredicted values. Thus, high-binding-energy atomic oxygen species, such as those proposed as active for selective Ag-catalyzed epoxidation, are less well represented. The chemical nature of the oxygen species also influences accuracy, with molecularly bound species more reliably captured across the entire range of energies. These findings illustrate the limitations of DFT for interpreting XPS spectra and provide a benchmark for improving computational methods.

Adsorption↗
DOE OSTI2025

Autonomous Synthesis and Inverse Design of Electrochromic Polymers with High Efficiency and Accuracy

Here, the design and synthesis of functional polymers, aimed at targeted properties through specific structures, have long been challenged by their complex and often nonlinear structure–property relationships. Key processes, including knowledge accumulation for predictive design and experimental refinement and validation, are traditionally labor-insensitive and time-consuming, making it difficult to balance accuracy and efficiency. Here, we introduce an accelerated, autonomous system for the on-demand synthesis of electronic polymers that achieves the desired electrochromic functionality with high accuracy and efficiency. Our approach leverages large language model-assisted data mining, a physics-informed copolymer machine learning model, and an AI-driven autonomous robotic workflow in the Polybot lab. Within 72 h, Polybot autonomously synthesized electrochromic polymers (ECPs) with targeted, previously-unreported color values, including green polymers with specific absorption profiles, precisely fine-tuning copolymer structures with a 5% step size in comonomer composition within a three-monomer system. A publicly accessible ECP informatics database has also been created to foster knowledge exchange.

AI-driven Robotic Lab↗