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DOE OSTI2021

Substitution Reactions in the Pyrolysis of Acetone Revealed through a Modeling, Experiment, Theory Paradigm

The development of high-fidelity mechanisms for chemically reactive systems is a challenging process that requires the compilation of rate descriptions for a large and somewhat ill-defined set of reactions. The present unified combination of modeling, experiment, and theory provides a paradigm for improving such mechanism development efforts. Here we combine broadband rotational spectroscopy with detailed chemical modeling based on rate constants obtained from automated ab initio transition state theory-based master equation calculations and high-level thermochemical parametrizations. Broadband rotational spectroscopy offers quantitative and isomer-specific detection by which branching ratios of polar reaction products may be obtained. Using this technique, we observe and characterize products arising from H atom substitution reactions in the flash pyrolysis of acetone (CH 3 C(O)CH 3 ) at a nominal temperature of 1800 K. The major product observed is ketene (CH 2 CO). Minor products identified include acetaldehyde (CH 3 CHO), propyne (CH 3 CCH), propene (CH 2 CHCH 3 ), and water (HDO). Literature mechanisms for the pyrolysis of acetone do not adequately describe the minor products. The inclusion of a variety of substitution reactions, with rate constants and thermochemistry obtained from automated ab initio kinetics predictions and Active Thermochemical Tables analyses, demonstrates an important role for such processes. Furthermore, the pathway to acetaldehyde is shown to be a direct result of substitution of acetone's methyl group by a free H atom, while propene formation arises from OH substitution in the enol form of acetone by a free H atom.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

Object-oriented analysis as a foundation for building climate storylines of compounding short-term drought and crop heat stress

Introduction: Crops are vulnerable to precipitation and heat extremes during late spring through summer. Methods: We analyzed for a north-central U.S. region short-term drought and agricultural heat stress during April-May-June-July. We used the 4-km Parameter Elevation Regression on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM) for observations, aggregated to a 25-km grid, and two 25-km Regional Climate Model version 4 (RegCM4) simulns used either GFDL- or MPI-GCM boundary conditions. We chose 1981-2000 as our contemporary time period, and 2041- 2060 as our scenario time period, which used the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 emissions scenario. We used object-oriented analysis to identify events of interest in observations and simulations by identifying objects in a space-time domain that meet specified criteria, such as exceeding a heat-stress temperature threshold. The event diagnosis allowed analysis of compound events, occurring when temperature and drought objects overlap. Results: Identified objects yielded events that can undermine agricultural productivity and which are thus relevant to decision makers, making them building blocks for possible climate storylines. The observations and simulations showed similar spatial distributions of event frequencies across the analysis region. However, the simulations attained this distribution by having fewer events that tend to cover larger areas compared to observed events, suggesting that the effective resolution of the simulations was coarser than their 25-km grids. Short-term drought frequency increased and heat-stress frequency decreased in transitioning to the scenario climate. When compounding occurred heat-stress events generally preceded the short-term drought events. The overlapping, compound events tended to be more extreme compared to non-overlapping events of either type. Discussion: The information yielded projected changes in these agriculturally motivated events. One prominent conditional behavior emerging from the work was that a heat-stress event should be a warning to watch for potential drought, as both could compound each other to more intense levels.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Applying a Multisector Scenario Framework to Evaluate Past and Future Public Surface Water Supply Infrastructure Strategies in Texas

Datasets supporting the index model and scenario analysis used in evaluating surface water supply strategies across different water system types in Texas. These data underpin the scenario development and application of five key indicators: Water Availability Index (WAI), Water Quality Index (WQI), Energy Requirement Index (ERI), Water Treatment Cost (WTC), and Water Infrastructure Cost (WIC). The datasets are organized by system type—stream reaches (flowlines), waterbodies, and reservoirs—and include both raw and standardized index values. The integrated datasets also provide scenario classifications (original and adjusted) based on infrastructure and planning priorities, enabling comparison across Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Additional strategy-level data are included to support evaluation of state-level new reservoir projects in relation to cost and availability tradeoffs. Please refer to the README file provided in Files for more details. Descriptions of the datasets are provided below. Dataset(s) Descriptions Folder: Index_model_database.zip Subfolder: Stream_reach.zip Fl_wf.csv, Fl_wq.csv, Fl_er.csv, Fl_wf_wtcUV.csv, Fl_wf_wtcnoUV.csv, Fl_allfac_wic1.csv, Fl_allfac_wic2.csvDatasets for computing WAI, WQI, ERI, WTC, and WIC for surface water systems classified as stream reaches (flowlines). Subfolder: Waterbody.zip Wb_wf.csv, Wb_wq.csv, Wb_er.csv, Wb_wf_wtcUV.csv, Wb_wf_wtcnoUV.csv, Wb_allfac_wic1.csv, Wb_allfac_wic2.csvEquivalent index model datasets for waterbodies, reflecting hydrologic and infrastructure attributes specific to impounded natural systems. Subfolder: Reservoir.zip Rs_wf.csv, Rs_wq.csv, Rs_er.csv, Rs_wf_wtcUV.csv, Rs_wf_wtcnoUV.csv, Rs_allfac_wic1.csv, Rs_allfac_wic2.csvIndex model datasets specific to regulated reservoir systems, incorporating both resource indicators and cost parameters. Folder: Integrated data.zip combined_merged_data.csv, combined_merged_data_scenario.csvDatasets integrating index model indicators (both raw and scaled) with scenario classifications, including adjustments reflecting SSP-aligned transitions and planning shifts. Folder: Additional data.zip wai_supplystrat_wic_merged.csvCurated dataset capturing proposed major reservoir-based municipal water supply strategies in Texas. Integrates site-level planning data with estimated capital infrastructure costs and water availability scores for comparative assessment.

geospatial↗

DOE OSTI2022

Experimental and Theoretical Study of Oxolan-3-one Thermal Decomposition

The thermal decomposition of oxolan-3-one, a common component of the bio-oil formed during biomass pyrolysis, has been studied using ab initio calculations and experiments employing pulsed gas-phase pyrolysis with matrix isolation FTIR product detection. Four pathways for unimolecular decomposition were predicted using computational methods. The dominant reaction channel led to carbon monoxide, formaldehyde, and ethylene, all of which were observed experimentally. Here, the other channels led to an assortment of products including ketene, water, propyne, and acetylene, which were all confirmed in the matrix-isolation FTIR spectra. There is also evidence for the production of substituted ketenes in pyrolysis, most likely hydroxyketene and methylketene.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Structural magnetic glassiness in the spin ice Dy 2 Ti 2 O 7

The origin and nature of glassy dynamics presents one of the central enigmas of condensed-matter physics across a broad range of systems ranging from window glass to spin glasses. The spin-ice compound Dy 2 Ti 2 O 7 , which is perhaps best known as hosting a three-dimensional Coulomb spin liquid with magnetically charged monopole excitations, also falls out of equilibrium at low temperature. How and why it does so remains an open question. Based on an analysis of low-temperature diffuse neutron-scattering experiments employing different cooling protocols alongside recent magnetic noise studies, combined with extensive numerical modeling, we argue that upon cooling, the spins freeze into what may be termed a “structural magnetic glass,” without an a priori need for chemical or structural disorder. Specifically, our model indicates the presence of frustration on two levels, first producing a near-degenerate constrained manifold inside which phase ordering kinetics is in turn frustrated. A remarkable feature is that monopoles act as sole annealers of the spin network and their pathways and history encode the development of glass dynamics, allowing the glass formation to be visualized. Our results suggest that spin ice Dy 2 Ti 2 O 7 provides one prototype of magnetic glass formation specifically and a setting for the study of kinetically constrained systems more generally.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

NASA NTRS2019

A Global Climatology of Extratropical Transition Part I: Characteristics Across Basins

The authors present a global climatology of tropical cyclones (TCs) that undergo extratropical transition (ET). ET is objectively defined based on a TC's trajectory through the cyclone phase space (CPS), which is calculated using storm tracks from 1979-2017 best-track data and geopotential height fields from reanalysis datasets. Two reanalyses are used and compared for this purpose, the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis and the ECMWF Interim Reanalysis. The results are used to study the seasonal and geographical distributions of storms undergoing ET and inter-basin differences in the statistics of ET occurrence. About 50% of all TCs in the North Atlantic and the Western North Pacific undergo ET. In the southern hemisphere, ET fractions range from about 20% in the South Indian Ocean and the Australian region to 45% in the South Pacific. In the majority of ETs, TCs become thermally asymmetric before forming a cold core. However, a substantial fraction of TCs takes the reverse pathway, developing a cold core before becoming thermally asymmetric. This pathway is most common in the Eastern North Pacific and the North Atlantic. Different ET pathways can be linked to different geographical trajectories and environmental settings. In ETs over warmer sea-surface temperatures, TCs tend to lose their thermal symmetry while still maintaining a warm core. Landfalls by TCs undergoing ET occur 3-4 times per year in the North Atlantic and 7-10 times per year in the Western North Pacific, while coastal regions in the Australian region are affected once every 1-2 years.

Melanie Bieli↗

NASA NTRS2015

On-Demand Mobility (ODM) Technical Pathway: Enabling Ease of Use and Safety

On-demand mobility (ODM) through aviation refers to the ability to quickly and easily move people or equivalent cargo without delays introduced by lack of, or infrequently, scheduled service. A necessary attribute of ODM is that it be easy to use, requiring a minimum of special training, skills, or workload. Fully-autonomous vehicles would provide the ultimate in ease-of-use (EU) but are currently unproven for safety-critical applications outside of a few, situationally constrained applications (e.g. automated trains operating in segregated systems). Applied to aviation, the current and near-future state of the art of full-autonomy, may entail undesirable trade-offs such as very conservative operational margins resulting in reduced trip reliability and transportation utility. Furthermore, acceptance by potential users and regulatory authorities will be challenging without confidence in autonomous systems in developed in less critical, but still challenging applications. A question for the aviation community is how we can best develop practical ease-of-use for aircraft that are sized to carry a small number of passengers (e.g. 1-9) or equivalent cargo. Such development is unlikely to be a single event, but rather a managed, evolutionary process where responsibility and authority transitions from human to automation agents as operational experience is gained with increasingly intelligent systems. This talk presents a technology road map being developed at NASA Langley, as part of an overall strategy to foster ODM, for the development of ease-of-use for ODM aviation.

Goodrich, Ken↗

DOE OSTI2025

Focused Helium Ion Beam for Direct Patterning of Monolayer MoS 2 Nanoribbon Field Effect Devices

The helium ion microscope (HIM) focused ion beam (FIB) has emerged as a powerful tool to directly pattern nanostructures below 10 nm due to its high-resolution capabilities and the inert nature of the ion source. These attributes make HIM FIB particularly interesting for patterning 2D materials such as transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) to investigate transport phenomena at the nanoscale. Reported here is the fabrication of MoS 2 nanoribbon devices using HIM FIB-induced etching (FIBIE) with XeF 2 , allowing for reduced ion dose compared to direct sputtering. While patterning is efficacious, the devices exhibit performance degradation with decreasing nanoribbon width due to damage up to 150 nm beyond the patterned edge. Incorporating an hBN encapsulation improves device performance by one order of magnitude, although the lateral extent of damage remains unchanged. The spatial distribution of damage is shown to be determined by the forward- and backscattered ions and electrons, while the hBN encapsulation layer substantially reduces damage from XeF 2 interactions in unexposed regions. Raman and photoluminescence (PL) measurements corroborate these findings, while ion/solid interaction simulations further elucidate the resolution limits imposed by substrate interactions. In conclusion, this work provides critical insights and a practical pathway for utilizing HIM FIBIE in 2D TMD functional device patterning.

MoS 2↗

DOE OSTI2020

Single-Facet Dominant Anatase TiO 2 (101) and (001) Model Catalysts to Elucidate the Active Sites for Alkanol Dehydration

Alkanol dehydration on Lewis acid-base pairs of transition metal oxide catalysts is a reaction of importance in oxygen removal from biomass-derived feedstocks and their conversion to chemicals in general. However, catalysts with a high degree of structural heterogeneity, such as commercial TiO 2 powders, are not well-suited to establish rigorous structure-function relationships at an atomic level. Here, we provide compelling evidence for the effects of surface orientation of TiO 2 catalyst on elimination reactions of alcohols. Two anatase titania model catalysts, with preferential exposure of (101) and (001) facets, were synthesized and studied for 2-propanol dehydration using kinetic, isotopic, microscopic, and spectroscopic measurements, coupled with DFT calculations. Surface Lewis acid sites were found to be active for 2-propanol dehydration and (101) facets are more reactive than (001) facets under the reaction conditions studied. On both anatase surfaces, 2-propanol was found to dehydrate via concerted E2 elimination pathways, but with different initial states and thus also different intrinsic activation barriers. Molecular 2-propanol dehydration dominates on TiO2 (101) while on TiO 2 (001), 2-propanol simultaneously converts to more stable 2-propoxide before dehydration, which then requires higher activation energies for E2 elimination.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2020

Definition of Redox Centers in Reactions of Lithium Intercalation in Li 3 RuO 4 Polymorphs

Cathodes based on layered LiMO 2 are the limiting components in the path toward Li-ion batteries with energy densities suitable for electric vehicles. Introducing an over-stoichiometry of Li increases storage capacity beyond a conventional mechanism of formal transition metal redox. However, the role and fate of the oxide ligands in such intriguing additional capacity remain unclear. This reactivity was predicted in Li 3 RuO 4 , making it a valuable model system. For this study, a comprehensive analysis of the redox activity of both Ru and O under different electrochemical conditions was carried out, and the effect of Li/Ru ordering was evaluated. Li 3 RuO 4 displays highly reversible Li intercalation to Li 4 RuO 4 below 2.5 V vs Li + /Li 0 , with conventional reactivity through the formal Ru 5+ -Ru 4+ couple. In turn, it can also undergo anodic Li extraction at 3.9 V, which involves O states to a much greater extent than Ru. This reaction competes with side processes such as electrolyte decomposition and, to a much lesser extent, oxygen loss. Although the associated capacity is reversible, reintercalation unlocks a different, conventional pathway also involving the formal Ru 5+ -Ru 4+ couple despite operating above 2.5 V, leading to chemical hysteresis. This new pathway is both chemically and electrochemically reversible in subsequent cycles. This work exemplifies both the challenge of stabilizing highly depleted O states, even with 4d metals, and the ability of solids to access the same redox couple at two very different potential windows depending on the underlying structural changes. It highlights the importance of properly defining the covalency of oxides when defining charge compensation in view of the design of materials with high capacity for Li storage.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NASA NTRS2011

Seasonal Variations of Stratospheric Age Spectra in GEOSCCM

There are many pathways for an air parcel to travel from the troposphere to the stratosphere, each of which takes different time. The distribution of all the possible transient times, i.e. the stratospheric age spectrum, contains important information on transport characteristics. However, it is computationally very expensive to compute seasonally varying age spectra, and previous studies have focused mainly on the annual mean properties of the age spectra. To date our knowledge of the seasonality of the stratospheric age spectra is very limited. In this study we investigate the seasonal variations of the stratospheric age spectra in the Goddard Earth Observing System Chemistry Climate Model (GEOSCCM). We introduce a method to significantly reduce the computational cost for calculating seasonally dependent age spectra. Our simulations show that stratospheric age spectra in GEOSCCM have strong seasonal cycles and the seasonal cycles change with latitude and height. In the lower stratosphere extratropics, the average transit times and the most probable transit times in the winter/early spring spectra are more than twice as old as those in the summer/early fall spectra. But the seasonal cycle in the subtropical lower stratosphere is nearly out of phase with that in the extratropics. In the middle and upper stratosphere, significant seasonal variations occur in the sUbtropics. The spectral shapes also show dramatic seasonal change, especially at high latitudes. These seasonal variations reflect the seasonal evolution of the slow Brewer-Dobson circulation (with timescale of years) and the fast isentropic mixing (with timescale of days to months).

Li, Feng↗

DOE OSTI2023

Grand Challenges Revisited: Wind Energy Research Needs for a Global Energy Transition

Wind will be a foundational energy source in the electricity grid at the heart of a future integrated energy system, replacing traditional electricity generators powered by fossil fuels and providing grid reliability services in addition to energy. Future capabilities and functions of the wind energy sector will evolve apace with the future expansion and needs of global energy infrastructure; however, wind turbines designed today will not be able to provide the services needed to form and stabilize the grid as a majority supplier. In 2017, organizers for the IEA Wind Technical Experts Meeting (TEM) #89 Grand Vision for Wind Energy workshop assembled a group of experts to consider the question of how to enable a future in which wind energy supplies more than 50% of global electricity consumption. More than 70 experts representing 15 countries attended the workshop and provided diverse perspectives for the Grand Vision for Wind Energy. The IEA Wind TEM #109 was a subsequent gathering that was convened Feb. 28-March 1, 2023, in Boulder, Colorado, USA. The IEA Wind TEM #109 meeting aimed to bring together the leaders of all working groups and the IEA Wind Technology Collaboration Programme (TCP) to identify gaps in scientific knowledge, design, and deployment practice as well as identify recommendations for collaborative pathways, initiatives, and prioritized long-term research needs that can be addressed by IEA Wind. This report captures the outcomes of this meeting of international experts: five Grand Challenge areas (The Atmosphere, The Turbine, The Plant and Grid, Environmental Co-Design, and Social Science). In addition, meeting participants identified eight crosscutting topic areas that are discusses within this report (Environment-Turbine, Turbine-Atmosphere, Atmosphere-Grid/Plant, Grid/Plant-Turbine, Grid/Plant-Environment, Atmosphere-Environment, Turbine-Social, and Social-Grid/Plant).

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Basal Plane Hydrogen Evolution Activity from Mixed Metal Nitride MXenes Measured by Scanning Electrochemical Microscopy

2D early transition metal carbide and nitride MXenes have intriguing properties for electrochemical energy storage and electrocatalysis. These properties can be manipulated by modifying the basal plane chemistry. Here, mixed transition metal nitride MXenes, M-Ti 4 N 3 T x (M = V, Cr, Mo, or Mn; T x = O and/or OH), are developed by modifying pristine exfoliated Ti 4 N 3 T x MXene with V, Cr, Mo, and Mn salts using a simple solution-based method. The resulting mixed transition metal nitride MXenes contain 6–51% metal loading (cf. Ti) that exhibit rich electrochemistry including highly tunable hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) electrocatalytic activity in a 0.5 m H 2 SO 4 electrolyte as follows: V-Ti 4 N 3 T x > Cr-Ti 4 N 3 T x > Mo-Ti 4 N 3 T x > Mn-Ti 4 N 3 T x > pristine Ti 4 N 3 T x with overpotentials as low as 330 mV at -10 mA cm -2 with a charge-transfer resistance of 70 O. Scanning electrochemical microscopy (SECM) reveals the electrochemical activity of individual MXene flakes. The SECM data corroborate the bulk HER activity trend for M-Ti 4 N 3 T x as well as provide the first experimental evidence that HER results from catalysis on the MXene basal plane. These electrocatalytic results demonstrate a new pathway to tune the electrochemical properties of MXenes for water splitting and related electrochemical applications.

2D materials↗

DOE OSTI2023

Targeted inhibition of MASTL kinase activity induces apoptosis in breast cancer

Microtubule-associated serine/threonine kinase-like (MASTL) (or Greatwall kinase (GWL)) is an important cell cycle regulating kinase that regulates the G2-M transition. Uncontrolled MASTL activity is implicated in breast cancer progression. To date, very few inhibitors have been reported against this protein. Here, structure-based computational modeling indicates that the natural product flavopiridol (FLV) binds strongly to MASTL and these results are validated using molecular dynamics simulation studies. Further, an in vitro kinase assay reveals an EC 50 (effective concentration) value of FLV to be 82.1 nM and a better IC 50 compared to the positive reference compound, staurosporine. FLV is found to inhibit MASTL kinase activity, arresting the cell growth in the G1 phase and inducing apoptosis in breast cancer cells. Consistent with these results differential gene expression obtained using RNA sequencing studies, and validated by RT PCR and immunoblot analysis, indicate that MASTL inhibition induces cell cycle arrest and apoptotic-related genes. Furthermore, metastasis- and inflammation- related genes are downregulated. Thus, the deregulation of MASTL signaling pathways on targeted inhibition of its kinase activity is revealed. This study lays a strong foundation for investigating FLV as a lead compound in breast cancer therapeutics.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS2010

Aerosol-Induced Changes of Convective Cloud Anvils Produce Strong Climate Warming

The effect of aerosol on clouds poses one of the largest uncertainties in estimating the anthropogenic contribution to climate change. Small human-induced perturbations to cloud characteristics via aerosol pathways can create a change in the top-of-atmosphere radiative forcing of hundreds of Wm(exp-2) . Here we focus on links between aerosol and deep convective clouds of the Atlantic and Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zones, noting that the aerosol environment in each region is entirely different. The tops of these vertically developed clouds consisting of mostly ice can reach high levels of the atmosphere, overshooting the lower stratosphere and reaching altitudes greater than 16 km. We show a link between aerosol, clouds and the free atmosphere wind profile that can change the magnitude and sign of the overall climate radiative forcing. We find that increased aerosol loading is associated with taller cloud towers and anvils. The taller clouds reach levels of enhanced wind speeds that act to spread and thin the anvi1 clouds, increasing areal coverage and decreasing cloud optical depth. The radiative effect of this transition is to create a positive radiative forcing (warming) at top-of-atmosphere. Furthermore we introduce the cloud optical depth (r), cloud height (Z) forcing space and show that underestimation of radiative forcing is likely to occur in cases of non homogenous clouds. Specifically, the mean radiative forcing of towers and anvils in the same scene can be several times greater than simply calculating the forcing from the mean cloud optical depth in the scene. Limitations of the method are discussed, alternative sources of aerosol loading are tested and meteorological variance is restricted, but the trend of taller clouds; increased and thinner anvils associated with increased aerosol loading remains robust through all the different tests and perturbations.

Koren, I.↗

DOE OSTI2023

New structures of Class II Fructose-1,6-Bisphosphatase from Francisella tularensis provide a framework for a novel catalytic mechanism for the entire class

Class II Fructose-1,6-bisphosphatases (FBPaseII) (EC: 3.1.3.11) are highly conserved essential enzymes in the gluconeogenic pathway of microorganisms. Previous crystallographic studies of FBPasesII provided insights into various inactivated states of the enzyme in different species. Presented here is the first crystal structure of FBPaseII in an active state, solved for the enzyme from Francisella tularensis (FtFBPaseII), containing native metal cofactor Mn 2+ and complexed with catalytic product fructose-6-phosphate (F6P). Another crystal structure of the same enzyme complex is presented in the inactivated state due to the structural changes introduced by crystal packing. Analysis of the interatomic distances among the substrate, product, and divalent metal cations in the catalytic centers of the enzyme led to a revision of the catalytic mechanism suggested previously for class II FBPases. We propose that phosphate-1 is cleaved from the substrate fructose-1,6-bisphosphate (F1,6BP) by T89 in a proximal α-helix backbone (G88-T89-T90-I91-T92-S93-K94) in which the substrate transition state is stabilized by the positive dipole of the $\langle$-helix backbone. Once cleaved a water molecule found in the active site liberates the inorganic phosphate from T89 completing the catalytic mechanism. Additionally, a crystal structure of Mycobacterium tuberculosis FBPaseII (MtFBPaseII) containing a bound F1,6BP is presented to further support the substrate binding and novel catalytic mechanism suggested for this class of enzymes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

BETO 2021 Peer Review - WBS 4.1.2.32: Bioeconomy Scenario Analysis

The Bioeconomy Scenario Analysis project uses systems thinking and analysis to assess current and/or prospective techno-economics, research and development, deployment strategies, policy, and market conditions and their impact on the potential development trajectories of the bioenergy industry over time. Results from this project include identification of opportunities and constraints to industrial development, quantification of multiple metrics (energy, economic, environmental) and informing researchers, decision makers, and industry of the steps needed for a sustainable, nationwide biofuels industry. Analyses from this project enable the creation of a bioenergy industry by (1) inciting policy-makers to explore scenarios for nationwide biofuels production, identifying policy actions consistent with pathways for growth; (2) improving industry’s understanding of industry growth potential under different technology and investment conditions, better targeting their development efforts; and (3) providing universities and other interested stakeholders with tools and analyses that can be adapted to meet research and teaching objectives, connecting students with careers that build the industry. One of the many modeling tools used in this project, the Biomass Scenario Model (BSM) is a publicly-available, unique, validated, state-of-the-art, award-winning, fourth-generation model of the domestic biofuels supply chain which explicitly focuses on how and under what conditions biofuel technologies might be deployed to contribute to the U.S. transportation energy sector. We use models like the BSM to examine the implications of policies and incentives as well as their potential side-effects. The BSM uses a system-dynamics simulation to model dynamic interactions and transitions across the supply chain; it tracks the deployment of biofuels given industrial learning and the reaction of the investment community in the context of land availability, projected oil markets, consumer demand for biofuels, and government policies over time. Under expected market conditions, analyses using the BSM suggest that the biofuels industry may require significant external actions in the early years to thrive. Interventions that accelerate the industrial learning process (e.g. operation of pre-commercial and commercial facilities) have been identified as having strong influence in starting the growth of a commercial biofuel industry. Policies which are coordinated across the whole supply chain in BSM foster the growth of the biofuels industry and production of tens of billions of gallons of biofuels may occur under sufficiently favorable conditions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Single-Molecule Kinetics of Styrene Hydrogenation on Silica-Supported Vanadium: The Role of Disorder for Single-Atom Catalysts

We report a theoretical approach for the study of supported atom catalysis is developed based on recent advances in the study of single-molecule kinetics. This view is particularly useful in exhibiting the role of disorder in single-atom and single-site catalysts on amorphous supports. The distribution of passage times (or waiting times) through a complex catalytic network originating from a set of coupled active sites is described by a probability distribution function (PDF), f(t), that reflects the local environment of the reaction center. An efficient algorithm is developed based on the linear algebra of the Markov transition matrix that produces f(t) or its moments. The kinetics of the hydrogenation reaction of styrene on an organovanadium(III) catalyst supported on amorphous silica is studied. A kinetic model consisting of three intertwined catalytic cycles emanating from three chemically distinct active sites is proposed to describe the chemistry. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations are employed to determine the free energy barriers of the reactions, which are used to construct the rate coefficient matrix. The disorder induced by the amorphous support material is divided into a low-dimensional short-range component reflecting the covalent structures near the reaction center and a weaker long-range component modeling the bulk randomness. The results are computed and analyzed for a wide range of concentration values and disorder scenarios. The unusual structure in the f(t) PDF is found to occur for certain cases that reveal the contribution of multiple catalytic pathways acting in concert.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗