Effect of gravity wave induced small-scale perturbations in the atmosphere on infrasound arrival times at a high-altitude floating sensor system
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Silber, Elizabeth Allaryce↗
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Results for “timing system”
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Development, Monitoring, and Control of Fracture Thermal Energy Storage (FTES) in Crystalline Rock Formations (DEMO-FTES) (CRADA Final Report)
The DEMO-FTES project sought to demonstrate the thermal efficiency of fracture thermal energy storage (FTES) through numerical simulations, laboratory and meso-scale field tests. A detailed dimensional and scaling analysis was performed to identify key parameters and how they can be most effectively scaled to the laboratory and decameter scale. Numerical models were developed and used for three purposes: 1. Before field experiments, numerical modelling can be used to estimate fracture properties based on previous data from the EGS Collab experiment and then predict thermal hydrological behaviors of the fracture system with hot water injection/withdrawal, therefore, help to design the experiments (e.g., to decide the duration of the cycles based on the flow rate the pump can provide, and the estimated fracture properties); 2. After the field experiment, to estimate the system properties during the experiment (as the size and shape of a fracture could change over time), and understand why system performance is different than what has been predicted, i.e., to help understand the meso-scale test; and, 3. To model the lab experiments and estimate fracture properties and storage efficiency. Ultimately, the experiment and numerical models could shed light on the processes and uncertainty happening during fracture activation and help understand the scaling between lab and field test, and finally, the design and optimization of potential fracture thermal energy storage systems.
25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
Communication system and method for applying security for a time sensitive network
A method includes identifying power connections between plural components of a time sensitive network (TSN) that are interconnected via a predetermined connection plan. The method also includes determining a topology of the components of the TSN based on the power connections. Also, the method includes scheduling flows for the TSN based on the topology determined based on the power connections.
Bush, Stephen Francis↗
Formulation of Three-Phase State Estimation Problem Using a Virtual Reference
State Estimation (SE) is the backbone of modern Energy Management System (EMS) due its capability of processing real time measurements and provide reliable information to system operators. Since its introduction to power systems in the 70’s, SE has been widely used in transmission networks. Distribution grids on the other hand lack sufficient number of real time measurements, and for that reason SE has not been widely implemented on these systems. The recent increase in the number of renewable energy sources connected to the grid at lower voltage levels, the advent of Distribution Automation (DA) and Smart Grids necessitate closer monitoring of distribution networks and thus forcing utilities to upgrade their operations and deploy Advanced Distribution Management Sytems (ADMS). Therefore, Distribution System State Estimation (DSE) is paramount to provide real time monitoring of active distribution grids. This papers investigates the formulation of the three-phase distribution state estimation where in the most general case, none of the system buses may have balanced three phase voltages. In such a case, the choice and definition of the slack bus need to be revisited. Most of the existing work arbitrarily assign the root bus of the distribution feeder as the balanced three-phase reference which may not be realistic for today’s active distribution systems. This paper addresses this shortcoming of the existing SE formulations by introducing a virtual reference bus. Here, the proposed approach is effectively validated by simulations carried out on distribution test systems.
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
Time-frequency based cyber security defense of wide-area control system for fast frequency reserve
Global power systems are transiting from conventional fossil fuel energy to renewable energies due to their environmental benefits. The increasing penetration of renewable energies presents challenges for power system operation. The efficiency and sufficiency of responsive reserves have become increasingly important for power systems with a high proportion of renewable energies. The Fast Frequency Reserve (FFR), especially the Wide-area Monitoring System (WAMS)-based FFR, is a promising and effective solution to secure and enhance the stability of power systems. However, cyber security has become a new challenge for the WAMS-based FFR system. Cyber attacks on the FFR control system may threaten the safety of power system operation due to the rapid power controllability requirement of FFR. Therefore, to address this problem, a time-frequency based cyber security defense framework is proposed to detect the cyber spoofing of synchrophasor data in WAMS-based FFR control systems. This paper first introduces the Continuous Wavelet Transforms (CWTs) to decompose spoofing signals. Then, the Dual-frequency Scale Convolutional Neural Networks (DSCNN) is proposed to identify the time-frequency domains matrix from two frequency scales. Integrating CWTs and DSCNN, an identification framework called CWTs-DSCNN is further proposed to detect the spoofing attacks in the WAMS-based FFR system. Multiple experiments using the actual data from FNET/GridEye are performed to verify the effectiveness of the framework in securing WAMS-based FFR systems.
25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
A zone-level occupancy counting system for commercial office spaces using low-resolution time-of-flight sensors
Understanding the locations of occupants in a commercial built environment is critical for realizing energy savings by delivering lighting, heating, and cooling only where it is needed. In this paper, we present an indoor occupancy counting system using a sparse array of inexpensive, low-resolution, and privacy-preserving time-of-flight sensors. We develop and validate an algorithm for zonal occupancy counting that can deal with multiple people walking underneath the sensors in arbitrary directions, and evaluate the system both in realistic simulations of office spaces and in a real-world installation. Finally, we found that our system has an error rate of around 0.4%, resulting in highly accurate person localization and zone counting using only a few sensors per space.
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
MEBT Chopper System: System Design Document (SDD)
The Medium Energy Beam Transport (MEBT) chopper removes unwanted beam bunches by deflecting them to a target from a bunched beam transported through the MEBT from RFQ to the Drift-Tube Linac (DTL) entrance. The unchopped bunches propagate through the MEBT to DTL, while the deflected bunches are deposited on a target downstream of chopper. The chopper system consists of a deflecting structure, where the beam-deflecting fields are created, and a pulse generator (pulser) that feeds this structure with voltage pulses having the required time pattern. Ideally, the system should turn deflection on and off in the time interval between the bunches to prevent partially chopped / deflected bunches. This usually requires traveling slow-wave chopper structures where the field propagates with the same velocity as the beam, as illustrated in Fig. 1.
43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
Switchgrass cropping systems affect soil carbon and nitrogen and microbial diversity and activity on marginal lands
Abstract Switchgrass ( Panicum virgatum L.), as a dedicated bioenergy crop, can provide cellulosic feedstock for biofuel production while improving or maintaining soil quality. However, comprehensive evaluations of how switchgrass cultivation and nitrogen (N) management impact soil and plant parameters remain incomplete. We conducted field trials in three years (2016–2018) at six locations in the North Central Great Lakes Region to evaluate the effects of cropping systems (switchgrass, restored prairie, undisturbed control) and N rates (0, 56 kg N ha −1 year −1 ) on biomass yield and soil physicochemical, microbial, and enzymatic parameters. Switchgrass cropping system yielded an aboveground biomass 2.9–3.3 times higher than the other two systems (Jayawardena et al., unpublished data) but our study found that this biomass accumulation did not reduce soil dissolved organic C, total dissolved N (TDN), or bacterial diversity. The annual aboveground biomass removal for bioenergy feedstock, however, reduced soil microbial biomass C (MBC) and microbial biomass N (MBN) and bacterial richness in the second and third years; despite this, continuous monocropping of switchgrass improved soil TDN, inorganic N, bacterial diversity, and shoot biomass in the second and/or third years compared with the first year. N fertilization increased aboveground biomass yield by 1.2 times and significantly increased soil TDN, MBN, and the shoot biomass of switchgrass compared with the unfertilized control. Locations with higher C and N contents and lower C:N ratio had higher aboveground biomass, MBC, MBN, and the activity of BG, CBH, and UREA enzymes; by contrast, locations with higher pH had higher soil TDN and activity of NAG and LAP enzymes. Our research demonstrates that switchgrass cultivation could improve or maintain soil N content and N fertilization can increase plant biomass yield. The comprehensive data also can inform future biogeochemical models to successfully implement switchgrass for bioenergy production.
09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
Role of Electric Vehicles in the U.S. Power Sector Transition: A System-Level Perspective
After over a century of petroleum dominance many anticipate that electrification could disrupt the transportation energy landscape. At the same time, the electric power systems are undergoing profound changes: variable renewables are displacing conventional generation sources; distributed generation is disrupting utility business models; energy storage and other new technologies are emerging; and the traditional system based on the premise that generation is dispatched to match an inelastic demand is evolving to create a system with greater participation in power system planning and operations from traditionally passive consumers. In this context, it is important to understand how transportation electrification will impact electricity demand and in turn electricity supply, including changes in the load shapes that characterize the system and the opportunity to leverage flexible electric vehicle (EV) charging to better integrate demand and supply. Assessing the impacts of electrification on the energy system requires an understanding of how it might impact the amount and shape of electricity consumption, and how this electricity can be supplied. In particular, increased adoption of electric vehicles introduces a new source of demand altogether, potentially very flexible. Moreover, electrification could shift the consumption of natural gas between sectors, thereby affecting the economics for natural gas-fired generation relative to other electricity generation options. Several factors will impact the evolution of the power system under a widespread electrified future, which, in turn, could have far-reaching effects on future energy costs and emissions.
47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
Linear Time-Invariant Models of a Large Cumulus Ensemble
Abstract Methods in system identification are used to obtain linear time-invariant state-space models that describe how horizontal averages of temperature and humidity of a large cumulus ensemble evolve with time under small forcing. The cumulus ensemble studied here is simulated with cloud-system-resolving models in radiative–convective equilibrium. The identified models extend steady-state linear response functions used in past studies and provide accurate descriptions of the transfer function, the noise model, and the behavior of cumulus convection when coupled with two-dimensional gravity waves. A novel procedure is developed to convert the state-space models into an interpretable form, which is used to elucidate and quantify memory in cumulus convection. The linear problem studied here serves as a useful reference point for more general efforts to obtain data-driven and interpretable parameterizations of cumulus convection.
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗
Accuracy of hourly energy predictions for demand flexibility applications
Decarbonization goals in the United States electricity sector are increasing the levels of renewable energy generation in the electricity supply system, and are driving increased attention to building electrification, which will increase the magnitude and shift the timing of the electricity system peak. These changes are motivating new approaches to coordinate building electricity demand with low-carbon renewable generation, elevating the importance of demand flexibility (DF) in buildings and the need to quantify the temporal impacts of DF. In this paper, we first characterize the hourly predictive accuracy of six commonly used baseline models in an application context of quantifying building-level load shift. Our analysis revealed insights such as hours of the day (afternoons), periods of the week (weekends), and seasons (summer) that were predicted with more accuracy than other time periods. In addition, the analysis showed tendencies toward overprediction or underprediction of load. Secondly, we provide the first published investigation of baseline erosion from repeated dispatch of building load shifting. We observed that as the baseline period is pushed back further from the prediction day, the distribution of errors across baseline model predictions increases, with notable inflection points near the three-week erosion point for two of the three models.
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
Augmenting the Structural Dynamics Workflow to Reduce Development Times
The success of future systems development at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) depends, in part, on the ability to make informed decisions quickly. This is particularly true when asked to perform structural-mechanical analyses across many design alternatives. To help reduce development time, techniques in reduced-order finite-element modeling (FEM), pretest predictions, and FEM-test correlation and updating were demonstrated in the fiscal year (FY) 23 Technology and Demonstration Project (TED): Augmenting the Structural Dynamics Workflow to Reduce Development Times. This report expands on the TED project final report, LA-UR-34022.
42 ENGINEERING↗
The Role of Nuclear Data Sensitivities in Prompt α-Eigenvalue Predictions of Delayed Critical Benchmarks
Alpha (α) eigenvalues, which describe the logarithmic time derivative of the neutron population in a multiplying system, are integral to time-dependent behavior and diagnostic applications. However, uncertainties in the evaluated nuclear data can significantly impact the accuracy of transport simulations for such quantities. This work explores the use of machine learning models to predict two key outputs, α-eigenvalues and keff bias, using input features derived from α-eigenvalue sensitivities to nuclear data. The criticality safety benchmark models used in this study come from the International Handbook of Evaluated Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiments. Three models, random forest, XGBoost, and NGBoost, are trained on both energy-resolved and energy-summed α sensitivities. For the α-eigenvalue bias prediction, NGBoost achieved the highest R 2 (0.9476) using energy-resolved features, while XGBoost performed best using summed sensitivities. In contrast, when predicting the keff bias, all the models showed moderate predictive capability (best R 2 ≈ 0.72), as the mapping from the static α-sensitivities to the static keff bias was less direct. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis was used to interpret the model predictions. Across both prediction tasks, the features associated with neutron capture [H-1 (n, γ)], uranium scattering reactions (such as 235 U elastic/inelastic), and actinide capture/fission reactions (such as 239 Pu and 234 U) were consistently identified as the most impactful. This highlights the key role of specific nuclear reactions and energy ranges in shaping both time-dependent and steady-state criticality behavior. These results demonstrated that α-sensitivities, despite being computed for time-dependent metrics, can provide valuable insights for predicting both α-eigenvalues and the keff bias. Moreover, machine learning models offer a promising pathway for uncovering important nuclear data dependencies and guiding future data evaluation efforts.
Nuclear data↗
Data-Driven Cyber-Attack Detection for PV Farms via Time-Frequency Domain Features
The internetworking of grid-connected power electronics converters (PECs) in photovoltaic (PV) farms has inevitably expanded the cyber-attack surfaces. Here this paper presents a comprehensive study on cyber-attack detection and diagnosis for PEC-enabled PV farms via single waveform sensor to distinguish between normal conditions, open-circuit faults, short-circuit faults, and cyber-attacks. To our knowledge, this has not been attempted before. Firstly, we propose frequency-domain magnitude-based residuals to identify short-circuit faults and a time-domain mean current vector-based feature to distinguish open-circuit faults from other threats. These features can fully reflect the specific physical characteristics of PV farms during threat duration. Secondly, unlike micro phasor measurement units (µPMU) and raw electric waveform-based methods, the proposed innovative features can address novel cyber-attacks that are excluded from the training process. Thirdly, an online hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) testbed using the OPAL-RT real-time digital simulator has verified the effectiveness. The monitoring system runs in real-time while using HIL as an operational solar farm and a National Instruments (NI) data acquisition card as the electric waveform sensor at the point of coupling.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Machine Learning for Real-time Fusion Plasma Behavior Prediction and Manipulation (Final Report)
The goal of this project is to implement real-time analysis of 2D Beam Emission Spectroscopy (BES) data to predict and control transient and high-bandwidth events at DIII-D. In essence, we wish to bring high-bandwidth fluctuation diagnostics into the realm of real-time measurements and control. The BES ML models will necessarily be deep neural networks (DNN) with a “data flow” architecture for compatibility with high-throughput, low-latency evaluation on a field-programmable gate array (FPGA) or other emerging processor technologies. The real-time output will be fed to the plasma control system (PCS) for real-time control tasks, specifically for ELM control and avoidance and for QH-mode access and sustainment. We anticipate that the real-time analysis of fluctuation diagnostics will create new enabling technologies to predict and control transient events such as confinement mode transitions, edge-localized modes, Alfven eigenmode events, and disruptions. The proposed research is aligned with ITER research needs and DIII-D programmatic goals. For instance, the prediction and avoidance of ELM events is critical for ITER machine safety. Also, H-mode access with RMP ELM suppression in ITER is an active research area due to high separatrix density, narrow SOL width, and elevated LH transition power threshold.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
Multi-scale dynamics of magnetic flux tubes and inverse magnetic energy transfer
Here, we report on an analytical and numerical study of the dynamics of a three-dimensional array of identical magnetic flux tubes in the reduced-magnetohydrodynamic description of the plasma. We propose that the long-time evolution of this system is dictated by flux-tube mergers, and that such mergers are dynamically constrained by the conservation of the pertinent (ideal) invariants, viz. the magnetic potential and axial fluxes of each tube. We also propose that in the direction perpendicular to the merging plane, flux tubes evolve in a critically balanced fashion. These notions allow us to construct an analytical model for how quantities such as the magnetic energy and the energy-containing scale evolve as functions of time. Of particular importance is the conclusion that, like its two-dimensional counterpart, this system exhibits an inverse transfer of magnetic energy that terminates only at the system scale. We perform direct numerical simulations that confirm these predictions and reveal other interesting aspects of the evolution of the system. We find, for example, that the early time evolution is characterized by a sharp decay of the initial magnetic energy, which we attribute to the ubiquitous formation of current sheets. We also show that a quantitatively similar inverse transfer of magnetic energy is observed when the initial condition is a random, small-scale magnetic seed field.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
Center for Alternative Synchronization and Timing (CAST) Technical Bulletin #007: Holdover Experiment #1
Stable and accurate timing forms the foundation of many modern essential services. While Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) provide a cheap way to achieve extremely accurate timing, these systems are vulnerable to interference and complete outages, forcing systems that rely on them into a state of holdover. Testing and characterizing holdover performance is therefore essential for ensuring that these modern services do not go down when GNSS-based timing is unavailable.
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
Center for Alternative Synchronization and Timing (CAST) Technical Bulletin #006: Holdover Experimental Summary
Stable and accurate timing forms the foundation of many modern essential services. While Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) provide a cheap way to achieve extremely accurate timing, these systems are vulnerable to interference and complete outages, forcing systems that rely on them into a state of holdover. Testing and characterizing holdover performance is therefore essential for ensuring that these modern services do not go down when GNSS-based timing is unavailable.
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗